Annual Statements Open main menu

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC. - Quarter Report: 2015 June (Form 10-Q)



UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
 
FORM 10-Q
 

T    QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2015
 
OR

£    TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 For the transition period from                      to                      

Commission File Number 1-8957
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
 
Delaware
 
91-1292054
(State of Incorporation)
 
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

 
19300 International Boulevard, Seattle, Washington 98188
Telephone: (206) 392-5040

 Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes T  No £ 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes T No £
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See definitions of “large accelerated filer”, "accelerated filer" and "smaller reporting company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act (Check one):
Large accelerated filer   T
Accelerated filer  £ 
Non-accelerated filer   £
Smaller reporting company   £
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.): Yes £ No T
 
The registrant has 127,322,155 common shares, par value $0.01, outstanding at July 31, 2015.




ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
FORM 10-Q FOR THE QUARTER ENDED JUNE 30, 2015

 TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

As used in this Form 10-Q, the terms “Air Group,” the "Company," “our,” “we” and "us," refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless the context indicates otherwise. Alaska Airlines, Inc. and Horizon Air Industries, Inc. are referred to as “Alaska” and “Horizon,” respectively, and together as our “airlines.”
 

2




CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
 
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
In addition to historical information, this Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are those that predict or describe future events or trends and that do not relate solely to historical matters. You can generally identify forward-looking statements as statements containing the words "believe," "expect," "will," "anticipate," "intend," "estimate," "project," "assume" or other similar expressions, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical experience or the Company’s present expectations. Some of the things that could cause our actual results to differ from our expectations are:

the competitive environment in our industry;
changes in our operating costs, primarily fuel, which can be volatile;
general economic conditions, including the impact of those conditions on customer travel behavior;
our ability to meet our cost reduction goals;
operational disruptions;
an aircraft accident or incident;
labor disputes and our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel;
the concentration of our revenue from a few key markets;
actual or threatened terrorist attacks, global instability and potential U.S. military actions or activities;
our reliance on automated systems and the risks associated with changes made to those systems;
changes in laws and regulations.

You should not place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements because the matters they describe are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other unpredictable factors, many of which are beyond our control. Our forward-looking statements are based on the information currently available to us and speak only as of the date on which this report was filed with the SEC. We expressly disclaim any obligation to issue any updates or revisions to our forward-looking statements, even if subsequent events cause our expectations to change regarding the matters discussed in those statements. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements will likely differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, and such differences might be significant and materially adverse to our shareholders. For a discussion of these and other risk factors, see Item 1A. "Risk Factors” of the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014, and Item 1A. "Risk Factors" included herein. Please consider our forward-looking statements in light of those risks as you read this report.


3



PART I
 
ITEM 1. CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
 
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

(in millions)
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
ASSETS
 
 
 
Current Assets
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
$
45

 
$
107

Marketable securities
1,147

 
1,110

Total cash and marketable securities
1,192

 
1,217

Receivables - net
194

 
259

Inventories and supplies - net
58

 
58

Deferred income taxes
123

 
117

Prepaid expenses and other current assets
87

 
105

Total Current Assets
1,654

 
1,756

 
 
 
 
Property and Equipment
 

 
 

Aircraft and other flight equipment
5,345

 
5,165

Other property and equipment
915

 
896

Deposits for future flight equipment
905

 
555

 
7,165

 
6,616

Less accumulated depreciation and amortization
2,460

 
2,317

Total Property and Equipment - Net
4,705

 
4,299

 
 
 
 
Other Assets
121

 
126

 
 
 
 
Total Assets
$
6,480

 
$
6,181


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.


4


ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

(in millions, except share amounts)
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
 
 
Current Liabilities
 
 
 
Accounts payable
$
56

 
$
62

Accrued wages, vacation and payroll taxes
179

 
232

Other accrued liabilities
736

 
629

Air traffic liability
840

 
631

Current portion of long-term debt
116

 
117

Total Current Liabilities
1,927

 
1,671

 
 
 
 
Long-Term Debt, Net of Current Portion
629

 
686

Other Liabilities and Credits
 

 
 

Deferred income taxes
718

 
750

Deferred revenue
401

 
374

Obligation for pension and postretirement medical benefits
247

 
246

Other liabilities
339

 
327

 
1,705

 
1,697

Commitments and Contingencies


 


Shareholders' Equity
 

 
 

Preferred stock, $0.01 par value Authorized: 5,000,000 shares, none issued or outstanding

 

Common stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 200,000,000 shares, Issued: 2015 - 128,144,917 shares; 2014 - 131,556,573 shares, Outstanding: 2015 - 128,024,917 shares; 2014 - 131,481,473
1

 
1

Capital in excess of par value
56

 
296

Treasury stock (common), at cost: 2015 - 120,000 shares; 2014 - 75,100 shares
(8
)
 
(4
)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(304
)
 
(310
)
Retained earnings
2,474

 
2,144

 
2,219

 
2,127

Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
$
6,480

 
$
6,181

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.


5


ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions, except per share amounts)
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Operating Revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
$
1,019

 
$
974

 
$
1,920

 
$
1,828

Regional
212

 
200

 
398

 
386

Total passenger revenue
1,231

 
1,174

 
2,318

 
2,214

Freight and mail
30

 
32

 
53

 
56

Other - net
176

 
169

 
335

 
327

Total Operating Revenues
1,437

 
1,375

 
2,706

 
2,597

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating Expenses
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

Wages and benefits
305

 
281

 
611

 
553

Variable incentive pay
32

 
29

 
58

 
54

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses
261

 
360

 
496

 
718

Aircraft maintenance
52

 
57

 
115

 
108

Aircraft rent
26

 
29

 
52

 
57

Landing fees and other rentals
66

 
64

 
137

 
133

Contracted services
68

 
62

 
135

 
122

Selling expenses
54

 
53

 
107

 
99

Depreciation and amortization
79

 
73

 
155

 
143

Food and beverage service
28

 
23

 
53

 
44

Other
94

 
81

 
177

 
161

Total Operating Expenses
1,065

 
1,112

 
2,096

 
2,192

Operating Income
372

 
263

 
610

 
405

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonoperating Income (Expense)
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

Interest income
6

 
5

 
11

 
10

Interest expense
(11
)
 
(12
)
 
(22
)
 
(25
)
Interest capitalized
8

 
4

 
16

 
9

Other - net
1

 
5

 
1

 
18

 
4

 
2

 
6

 
12

Income before income tax
376

 
265

 
616

 
417

Income tax expense
142

 
100

 
233

 
158

Net Income
$
234

 
$
165

 
$
383

 
$
259

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic Earnings Per Share:
$
1.80

 
$
1.20

 
$
2.93

 
$
1.88

Diluted Earnings Per Share:
$
1.79

 
$
1.19

 
$
2.91

 
$
1.86

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shares used for computation:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Basic
129.236

 
137.274

 
130.173

 
137.304

Diluted
130.255

 
138.711

 
131.271

 
138.776

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash dividend declared per share:
$
0.20

 
$
0.125

 
$
0.40

 
$
0.25

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

6


ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE OPERATIONS (unaudited)

 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net Income
$
234

 
$
165

 
$
383

 
$
259

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Comprehensive Income (Loss):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Related to marketable securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during the period
(5
)
 
4

 
2

 
7

Reclassification of (gains) losses into Other-net nonoperating income (expense)

 
(1
)
 

 
(1
)
Income tax effect
2

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
 
(2
)
Total
(3
)
 
2

 
1

 
4

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Related to employee benefit plans:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reclassification of net pension expense into Wages and benefits
5

 
3

 
8

 
5

Income tax effect
(2
)
 
(1
)
 
(3
)
 
(2
)
Total
3

 
2

 
5

 
3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Related to interest rate derivative instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during the period
1

 
(2
)
 
(3
)
 
(5
)
Reclassification of (gains) losses into Aircraft rent
1

 
1

 
3

 
3

Income tax effect
(1
)
 

 

 

Total
1

 
(1
)
 

 
(2
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Comprehensive Income
1

 
3

 
6

 
5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Comprehensive Income
$
235

 
$
168

 
$
389

 
$
264

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.


7


ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (unaudited)
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
Cash flows from operating activities:
 
 
 
Net income
$
383

 
$
259

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
 

 
 

Depreciation and amortization
155

 
143

Stock-based compensation and other
14

 
21

Changes in certain assets and liabilities:
 
 
 
Changes in deferred income taxes
(44
)
 
14

Increase in air traffic liability
209

 
243

Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
27

 
7

Other - net
145

 
(52
)
Net cash provided by operating activities
889

 
635

 
 
 
 
Cash flows from investing activities:
 

 
 

Property and equipment additions:
 

 
 

Aircraft and aircraft purchase deposits
(490
)
 
(255
)
Other flight equipment
(43
)
 
(60
)
Other property and equipment
(26
)
 
(35
)
Total property and equipment additions
(559
)
 
(350
)
Purchases of marketable securities
(711
)
 
(628
)
Sales and maturities of marketable securities
676

 
398

Proceeds from disposition of assets and changes in restricted deposits

 
(2
)
Net cash used in investing activities
(594
)
 
(582
)
 
 
 
 
Cash flows from financing activities:
 

 
 

Proceeds from issuance of debt

 
51

Long-term debt payments
(58
)
 
(64
)
Common stock repurchases
(262
)
 
(83
)
Dividends paid
(52
)
 
(34
)
Other financing activities
15

 
19

Net cash used in financing activities
(357
)
 
(111
)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
(62
)
 
(58
)
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
107

 
80

Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period
$
45

 
$
22

 
 
 
 
Supplemental disclosure:
 

 
 

Cash paid during the period for:
 
 
 
Interest (net of amount capitalized)
$
8

 
$
16

Income taxes paid (received)
108

 
93

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

8



NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

NOTE 1. GENERAL AND SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Organization and Basis of Presentation
 
The interim condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group or the Company) and its subsidiaries, Alaska Airlines, Inc. (Alaska) and Horizon Air Industries, Inc. (Horizon), through which the Company conducts substantially all of its operations. All intercompany balances and transactions have been eliminated. These financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP) for interim financial information. Consistent with these requirements, this Form 10-Q does not include all the information required by GAAP for complete financial statements. As a result, this Form 10-Q should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying Notes in the Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014. In the opinion of management, all adjustments have been made that are necessary to present fairly the Company’s financial position as of June 30, 2015, as well as the results of operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014. The adjustments made were of a normal recurring nature.

In preparing these statements, the Company is required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent liabilities, as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses. Due to seasonal variations in the demand for air travel, the volatility of aircraft fuel prices, changes in global economic conditions, changes in the competitive environment, and other factors, operating results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2015, are not necessarily indicative of operating results for the entire year.

Certain reclassifications, such as changes in our equity structure, have been made to prior year financial statements to conform with classifications used in the current year.

Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In May 2014, the FASB issued Accounting Standard Update 2014-09, "Revenue from Contracts with Customers" (ASU 2014-09), which requires an entity to recognize the amount of revenue to which it expects to be entitled for the transfer of promised goods or services to customers. The ASU will replace most existing revenue recognition guidance in U.S. GAAP when it becomes effective. In July 2015, the FASB agreed to defer the effective date one year, and now allows early adoption one year prior to the effective date. The standard would be effective for the Company on January 1, 2018, and early adoption is allowed on January 1, 2017. The standard permits the use of either the retrospective or cumulative effect transition method. The Company is evaluating the effect that ASU 2014-09 will have on its consolidated financial statements and related disclosures. The Company has not yet selected a transition method nor has it determined whether or not it will early adopt the standard.

NOTE 2. CASH, CASH EQUIVALENTS AND MARKETABLE SECURITIES

Components for cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities (in millions):
June 30, 2015
Cost Basis
 
Unrealized
Gains
 
Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
Cash
$
5

 
$

 
$

 
$
5

Cash equivalents
40

 

 

 
40

Cash and cash equivalents
45

 

 

 
45

U.S. government and agency securities
179

 

 

 
179

Foreign government bonds
31

 

 

 
31

Asset-backed securities
131

 

 

 
131

Mortgage-backed securities
120

 
1

 
(1
)
 
120

Corporate notes and bonds
662

 
3

 
(1
)
 
664

Municipal securities
22

 

 

 
22

Marketable securities
1,145

 
4

 
(2
)
 
1,147

Total
$
1,190

 
$
4

 
$
(2
)
 
$
1,192



9



December 31, 2014
Cost Basis
 
Unrealized
Gains
 
Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
Cash
$
4

 
$

 
$

 
$
4

Cash equivalents
103

 

 

 
103

Cash and cash equivalents
107

 

 

 
107

U.S. government and agency securities
166

 

 

 
166

Foreign government bonds
25

 

 

 
25

Asset-backed securities
130

 

 

 
130

Mortgage-backed securities
127

 

 
(1
)
 
126

Corporate notes and bonds
644

 
3

 
(2
)
 
645

Municipal securities
18

 

 

 
18

Marketable securities
1,110

 
3

 
(3
)
 
1,110

Total
$
1,217

 
$
3

 
$
(3
)
 
$
1,217


Unrealized losses from fixed-income securities are primarily attributable to changes in interest rates. Management does not believe any remaining unrealized losses represent other-than-temporary impairments based on our evaluation of available evidence as of June 30, 2015.

Activity for marketable securities (in millions):  
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Proceeds from sales and maturities
$
417

 
$
171

 
$
676

 
$
398

Gross realized gains
1

 
1

 
2

 
2

Gross realized losses
(1
)
 

 
(2
)
 
(1
)
 
Maturities for marketable securities (in millions):
June 30, 2015
Cost Basis
 
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
$
105

 
$
105

Due after one year through five years
1,038

 
1,040

Due after five years through 10 years
2

 
2

Due after 10 years

 

Total
$
1,145

 
$
1,147


NOTE 3. DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS

Fuel Hedge Contracts

The Company’s operations are inherently dependent upon the price and availability of aircraft fuel. To manage economic risks associated with fluctuations in aircraft fuel prices, the Company periodically enters into call options for crude oil.

As of June 30, 2015, the Company had outstanding fuel hedge contracts covering 259 million gallons of crude oil that will be settled from July 2015 to December 2016. Refer to the contractual obligations and commitments section of Item 2 for further information.

Interest Rate Swap Agreements

The Company has interest rate swap agreements with a third party designed to hedge the volatility of the underlying variable interest rate in the Company's aircraft lease agreements for six Boeing 737-800 aircraft. The agreements stipulate that the Company pay a fixed interest rate over the term of the contract and receive a floating interest rate. All significant terms of the swap agreement match the terms of the lease agreements, including interest-rate index, rate reset dates, termination dates and underlying notional values. The agreements expire from February 2020 through March 2021 to coincide with the lease termination dates.

10




Fair Values of Derivative Instruments

Fair values of derivative instruments on the consolidated balance sheet (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Derivative Instruments Not Designated as Hedges
 
 
 
Fuel hedge contracts
 
 
 
Fuel hedge contracts, current assets
$
7

 
$
3

Fuel hedge contracts, noncurrent assets
3

 
4

 
 
 
 
Derivative Instruments Designated as Hedges
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
 
 
Other accrued liabilities
(6
)
 
(6
)
Other liabilities
(13
)
 
(13
)
Losses in accumulated other comprehensive loss (AOCL)
(19
)
 
(19
)

The net cash received (paid) for new positions and settlements was ($4) million and $1 million during the three months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, respectively. The net cash received (paid) for new positions and settlements was ($8) million and ($6) million during the six months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, respectively.

Pretax effect of derivative instruments on earnings (in millions):
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Derivative Instruments Not Designated as Hedges
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel hedge contracts:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gains (losses) recognized in aircraft fuel expense
$
1

 
$
5

 
$
(4
)
 
$
(6
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative Instruments Designated as Hedges
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses recognized in aircraft rent
(1
)
 
(1
)
 
(3
)
 
(3
)
Gains (losses) recognized in other comprehensive income (OCI)
1

 
(2
)
 
(3
)
 
(5
)

The Company expects $6 million to be reclassified from AOCL to aircraft rent within the next twelve months.

Credit Risk and Collateral

The Company maintains security agreements with a number of its counterparties which may require the Company to post collateral if the fair value of the selected derivative instruments fall below specified mark-to-market thresholds. The posted collateral does not offset the fair value of the derivative instruments and is included in "Prepaid expenses and other current assets" on the consolidated balance sheet. The Company posted collateral of $1 million and $3 million as of June 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014, respectively.


11



NOTE 4. FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS

Fair Value of Financial Instruments on a Recurring Basis

Fair values of financial instruments on the consolidated balance sheet (in millions):
June 30, 2015
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
Marketable securities
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and agency securities
$
179

 
$

 
$
179

All other securities

 
968

 
968

Derivative instruments
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel hedge call options

 
10

 
10

 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative instruments
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swap agreements

 
(19
)
 
(19
)

December 31, 2014
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
Marketable securities
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and agency securities
$
166

 
$

 
$
166

All other securities

 
944

 
944

Derivative instruments
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel hedge call options

 
7

 
7

 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative instruments
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swap agreements

 
(19
)
 
(19
)

The Company uses the market and income approach to determine the fair value of marketable securities. U.S. government securities are Level 1 as the fair value is based on quoted prices in active markets. All other securities (Foreign government bonds, asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, corporate notes and bonds, and municipal securities) are Level 2 as the fair value is based on industry standard valuation models that are calculated based on observable inputs.

The Company uses the market approach and the income approach to determine the fair value of derivative instruments. Fuel hedge contracts are Level 2 as the fair value is primarily based on inputs which are readily available in active markets or can be derived from information available in active markets. The fair value considers the exposure to credit losses in the event of nonperformance by counterparties. Interest rate swap agreements are Level 2 as the fair value of these contracts is determined based on the difference between the fixed interest rate in the agreements and the observable LIBOR-based forward interest rates at period end, multiplied by the total notional value.

The Company has no financial assets that are measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis at June 30, 2015.

Fair Value of Other Financial Instruments

The Company used the following methods and assumptions to determine the fair value of financial instruments that are not recognized at fair value as described below.

Cash and Cash Equivalents: Carried at amortized cost, which approximates fair value.

Debt: The carrying amount of the Company's variable-rate debt approximates fair values. For fixed-rate debt, the Company uses the income approach to determine the estimated fair value, through a discounted cash flow analysis using interest rates for

12



comparable debt over the weighted remaining life of the outstanding debt. The estimated fair value of the fixed-rate debt is Level 3 as certain inputs used are unobservable.

Fixed-rate debt that is not carried at fair value on the consolidated balance sheet and the estimated fair value of long-term fixed-rate debt (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Carrying amount
$
567

 
$
614

Fair value
612

 
666


NOTE 5. MILEAGE PLAN

Alaska's Mileage Plan liabilities and deferrals on the consolidated balance sheets (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Current Liabilities:
 
 
 
Other accrued liabilities
$
352

 
$
343

Other Liabilities and Credits:
 
 
 
Deferred revenue
395

 
367

Other liabilities
20

 
20

Total
$
767

 
$
730

 
Alaska's Mileage Plan revenue included in the consolidated statements of operations (in millions):
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Passenger revenues
$
69

 
$
62

 
$
134

 
$
118

Other - net revenues
82

 
73

 
159

 
146

Total
$
151

 
$
135

 
$
293

 
$
264


NOTE 6. LONG-TERM DEBT
 
Long-term debt obligations on the consolidated balance sheet (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Fixed-rate notes payable due through 2024
$
567

 
$
614

Variable-rate notes payable due through 2025
178

 
189

Total debt
745

 
803

Less current portion
116

 
117

Long-term debt, less current portion
$
629

 
$
686

 
 
 
 
Weighted-average fixed-interest rate
5.7
%
 
5.7
%
Weighted-average variable-interest rate
1.7
%
 
1.6
%

During the six months ended June 30, 2015, the Company made debt payments of $58 million.


13



At June 30, 2015, long-term debt principal payments for the next five years and thereafter are as follows (in millions):
 
Total
Remainder of 2015
$
59

2016
115

2017
121

2018
151

2019
114

Thereafter
185

Total
$
745

 
Bank Lines of Credit
 
The Company has two $100 million variable rate credit facilities, with interest rates based on LIBOR plus a specified margin. One of the $100 million facilities, which expires in September 2017, is secured by aircraft. The other $100 million facility, which expires in March 2017, is secured by certain accounts receivable, spare engines, spare parts and ground service equipment. The Company has no immediate plans to borrow using either of these facilities. These facilities have a requirement to maintain a minimum unrestricted cash and marketable securities balance of $500 million. The Company is in compliance with this covenant at June 30, 2015.

NOTE 7. EMPLOYEE BENEFIT PLANS

Net periodic benefit costs recognized in the consolidated statements of operations (in millions): 
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Qualified
 
Postretirement Medical
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Service cost
$
10

 
$
8

 
$

 
$

Interest cost
21

 
20

 
1

 
1

Expected return on assets
(30
)
 
(29
)
 

 

Amortization of prior service cost

 
(1
)
 

 

Recognized actuarial loss (gain)
6

 
4

 
(2
)
 

Total
$
7

 
$
2

 
$
(1
)
 
$
1


Net periodic benefit costs recognized in the consolidated statements of operations (in millions): 
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
Qualified
 
Postretirement Medical
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
Service cost
$
20

 
$
16

 
$
1

 
$
1

Interest cost
42

 
40

 
2

 
2

Expected return on assets
(61
)
 
(58
)
 

 

Amortization of prior service cost

 
(1
)
 

 

Recognized actuarial loss (gain)
13

 
7

 
(5
)
 
(1
)
Total
$
14

 
$
4

 
$
(2
)
 
$
2



14



NOTE 8. COMMITMENTS

Future minimum fixed payments for commitments (in millions):
June 30, 2015
Aircraft Commitments
 
Capacity Purchase Agreements (CPA)
 
Aircraft Leases(a)
 
Facility Leases
Remainder of 2015
$
133

 
$
31

 
$
27

 
$
50

2016
604

 
67

 
111

 
99

2017
548

 
58

 
93

 
94

2018
428

 
60

 
78

 
44

2019
372

 
64

 
67

 
42

Thereafter
650

 
623

 
345

 
212

Total
$
2,735

 
$
903

 
$
721

 
$
541

(a)  
Includes embedded leases under the CPA with SkyWest.

Aircraft Commitments
 
As of June 30, 2015, the Company is committed to purchasing 76 B737 aircraft (39 737-900ER aircraft and 37 737 MAX aircraft) and two Q400 aircraft, with deliveries in 2015 through 2022. In addition, the Company has options to purchase 46 B737 aircraft and five Q400 aircraft.

Capacity Purchase Agreements (CPAs)
 
At June 30, 2015, Alaska had CPAs with three carriers, including the Company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Horizon. Horizon sells 100% of its capacity to Alaska under a CPA, for which all intercompany transactions are eliminated upon consolidation. In addition, Alaska has CPAs with SkyWest Airlines, Inc. (SkyWest) to fly certain routes and Peninsula Airways, Inc. (PenAir) to fly one route in the state of Alaska. Under these agreements, Alaska pays the third-party carriers an amount which is based on a determination of their cost of operating those flights and other factors. The costs paid by Alaska to Horizon are based on similar data and are intended to approximate market rates for those services. Future payments (excluding those due to Horizon) are based on contractually required minimum levels of flying by the third-party carriers, which could differ materially due to variable payments based on actual levels of flying and certain costs associated with operating flights, such as fuel.

During the second quarter Alaska signed an amendment to the CPA with SkyWest to remove the eight CRJ-700 aircraft out of regional operations and replace them with eight E-175 aircraft. Six of these CRJ-700 aircraft are leased by the Company and two of the aircraft are owned by the Company. The E-175 aircraft will be introduced into service throughout 2016, at which time the CRJ-700 aircraft will be removed from service. The CPA with SkyWest is a service contract that, in accordance with GAAP, includes embedded leases related to the aircraft operated under the agreement.

Lease Commitments

At June 30, 2015, the Company had lease contracts for 28 B737 aircraft, 15 Q400 aircraft, 6 CRJ-700 aircraft (operated by SkyWest), and 8 CRJ-700 aircraft that are subleased and operated by another carrier (i.e. not in the Company's fleet). In addition, the Company has 15 E-175 aircraft under the CPA with SkyWest, three of which are included in the fleet as of June 30, 2015. All lease contracts have remaining noncancelable lease terms ranging from 2015 to 2028. The Company has the option to increase capacity flown by SkyWest with 16 additional E-175 aircraft.

The majority of airport and terminal facilities are also leased. Rent expense for aircraft and facility leases was $67 million and $66 million for the three months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, respectively. Rent expense for aircraft and facility leases was $140 million and $141 million for the six months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, respectively.

NOTE 9. SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Dividends

During the three months ended June 30, 2015, the Company declared and paid cash dividends of $0.20 per share, or $26 million. During the six months ended June 30, 2015, the Company declared and paid cash dividends of $0.40 per share, or $52 million.


15



Common Stock Repurchase

In September 2012, the Board of Directors authorized a $250 million share repurchase program, which was completed in July 2014. In May 2014, the Board of Directors authorized a $650 million share repurchase program.
Share repurchase activity (in millions, except share amounts):
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
 
Shares
 
Amount
 
Shares
 
Amount
 
Shares
 
Amount
 
Shares
 
Amount
2014 Repurchase Program - $650 million
2,480,807

 
$
160

 

 
$

 
4,061,554

 
$
262

 

 
$

2012 Repurchase Program - $250 million

 
$

 
1,108,334

 
$
53

 

 
$

 
1,814,036

 
$
83

Total
2,480,807

 
$
160

 
1,108,334

 
$
53

 
4,061,554

 
$
262

 
1,814,036

 
$
83

 
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss
 
Components of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Marketable securities
$
1

 
$

Employee benefit plans
(293
)
 
(298
)
Interest rate derivatives
(12
)
 
(12
)
Total
$
(304
)
 
$
(310
)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Diluted EPS is calculated by dividing net income by the average number of common shares outstanding plus the number of additional common shares that would have been outstanding assuming the exercise of in-the-money stock options and restricted stock units, using the treasury-stock method. For the three and six months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, anti-dilutive shares excluded from the calculation of EPS were not material.

NOTE 10. OPERATING SEGMENT INFORMATION
 
Air Group has two operating airlines - Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air. Each is a regulated airline with separate management teams primarily in operational roles. Horizon sells 100% of its capacity to Alaska under a CPA, for which all intercompany transactions are eliminated upon consolidation. In addition, Alaska has CPAs with SkyWest to fly certain routes and PenAir to fly one route in the state of Alaska. The Company attributes revenue between Mainline and Regional based on the coupon fare in effect on the date of issuance relative to the origin and destination of each flight segment. To manage the two operating airlines and the revenues and expenses associated with the CPAs, management views the business in three operating segments.
Alaska Mainline - Flying Boeing 737 jets and all associated revenues and costs.
Alaska Regional - Alaska's CPAs with Horizon, SkyWest and PenAir. In this segment, Alaska Regional records actual on-board passenger revenue, less costs such as fuel, distribution costs, and payments made to Horizon, SkyWest and PenAir under the respective CPAs. Additionally, Alaska Regional includes an allocation of corporate overhead such as IT, finance, and other administrative costs incurred by Alaska on behalf of the regional operations.
Horizon - Horizon operates turboprop Q400 aircraft. All of Horizon's capacity is sold to Alaska under a CPA.  Expenses include those typically borne by regional airlines such as crew costs, ownership costs, and maintenance costs.
The following table reports “Air Group adjusted,” which is not a measure determined in accordance with GAAP. The Company's chief operating decision-makers and others in management use this measure to evaluate operational performance and determine resource allocations. Adjustments are further explained below in reconciliation to consolidated GAAP results. Operating segment information is as follows (in millions):

16



 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2015
 
Alaska
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
 
Regional
 
Horizon
 
Consolidating
 
Air Group Adjusted(a)
 
Special Items(b)
 
Consolidated
Operating revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
$
1,019

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,019

 
$

 
$
1,019

Regional

 
212

 

 

 
212

 

 
212

Total passenger revenues
1,019

 
212

 

 

 
1,231

 

 
1,231

CPA revenues

 

 
99

 
(99
)
 

 

 

Freight and mail
28

 
2

 

 

 
30

 

 
30

Other - net
156

 
19

 
1

 

 
176

 

 
176

Total operating revenues
1,203

 
233

 
100

 
(99
)
 
1,437

 

 
1,437

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses, excluding fuel
645

 
169

 
90

 
(100
)
 
804

 

 
804

Economic fuel
232

 
35

 

 

 
267

 
(6
)
 
261

Total operating expenses
877

 
204

 
90

 
(100
)
 
1,071

 
(6
)
 
1,065

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonoperating income (expense)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest income
5

 

 

 
1

 
6

 

 
6

Interest expense
(7
)
 

 
(1
)
 
(3
)
 
(11
)
 

 
(11
)
Other
7

 

 
(1
)
 
3

 
9

 

 
9

 
5

 

 
(2
)
 
1

 
4

 

 
4

Income before income tax
$
331

 
$
29

 
$
8

 
$
2

 
$
370

 
$
6

 
$
376

 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2014
 
Alaska
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
 
Regional
 
Horizon
 
Consolidating
 
Air Group Adjusted(a)
 
Special Items(b)
 
Consolidated
Operating revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
$
974

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
974

 
$

 
$
974

Regional

 
200

 

 

 
200

 

 
200

Total passenger revenues
974

 
200

 

 

 
1,174

 

 
1,174

CPA revenues

 

 
87

 
(87
)
 

 

 

Freight and mail
31

 
1

 

 

 
32

 

 
32

Other - net
147

 
20

 
2

 

 
169

 

 
169

Total operating revenues
1,152

 
221

 
89

 
(87
)
 
1,375

 

 
1,375

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses, excluding fuel
602

 
151

 
86

 
(87
)
 
752

 

 
752

Economic fuel
324

 
49

 

 

 
373

 
(13
)
 
360

Total operating expenses
926

 
200

 
86

 
(87
)
 
1,125

 
(13
)
 
1,112

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonoperating income (expense)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest income
5

 

 

 

 
5

 

 
5

Interest expense
(9
)
 
(1
)
 
(2
)
 

 
(12
)
 

 
(12
)
Other
9

 
1

 
(1
)
 

 
9

 

 
9

 
5

 

 
(3
)
 

 
2

 

 
2

Income before income tax
$
231

 
$
21

 
$

 
$

 
$
252

 
$
13

 
$
265



17



 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2015
 
Alaska
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
 
Regional
 
Horizon
 
Consolidating
 
Air Group Adjusted(a)
 
Special Items(b)
 
Consolidated
Operating revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
1,920

 

 

 

 
1,920

 

 
1,920

Regional

 
398

 

 

 
398

 

 
398

Total passenger revenues
1,920

 
398

 

 

 
2,318

 

 
2,318

CPA revenues

 

 
198

 
(198
)
 

 

 

Freight and mail
50

 
3

 

 

 
53

 

 
53

Other-net
298

 
35

 
2

 

 
335

 

 
335

Total operating revenues
2,268

 
436

 
200

 
(198
)
 
2,706

 

 
2,706

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses, excluding fuel
1,284

 
333

 
181

 
(198
)
 
1,600

 

 
1,600

Economic fuel
436

 
66

 

 

 
502

 
(6
)
 
496

Total operating expenses
1,720

 
399

 
181

 
(198
)
 
2,102

 
(6
)
 
2,096

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonoperating income (expense)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest income
10

 

 

 
1

 
11

 

 
11

Interest expense
(14
)
 

 
(5
)
 
(3
)
 
(22
)
 

 
(22
)
Other
14

 

 

 
3

 
17

 

 
17

 
10

 

 
(5
)
 
1

 
6

 

 
6

Income before income tax
558

 
37

 
14

 
1

 
610

 
6

 
616

 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
 
Alaska
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
 
Regional
 
Horizon
 
Consolidating
 
Air Group Adjusted(a)
 
Special Items(b)
 
Consolidated
Operating revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
1,828

 

 

 

 
1,828

 

 
1,828

Regional

 
386

 

 

 
386

 

 
386

Total passenger revenues
1,828

 
386

 

 

 
2,214

 

 
2,214

CPA revenues

 

 
178

 
(178
)
 

 

 

Freight and mail
54

 
2

 

 

 
56

 

 
56

Other-net
287

 
37

 
3

 

 
327

 

 
327

Total operating revenues
2,169

 
425

 
181

 
(178
)
 
2,597

 

 
2,597

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating expenses, excluding fuel
1,178

 
302

 
172

 
(178
)
 
1,474

 

 
1,474

Economic fuel
642

 
97

 

 

 
739

 
(21
)
 
718

Total operating expenses
1,820

 
399

 
172

 
(178
)
 
2,213

 
(21
)
 
2,192

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonoperating income (expense)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest income
10

 

 

 

 
10

 

 
10

Interest expense
(17
)
 
(1
)
 
(6
)
 
(1
)
 
(25
)
 

 
(25
)
Other
27

 

 

 

 
27

 

 
27

 
20

 
(1
)
 
(6
)
 
(1
)
 
12

 

 
12

Income before income tax
369

 
25

 
3

 
(1
)
 
396

 
21

 
417

(a) 
The adjusted column represents the financial information that is reviewed by management to assess performance of operations and determine capital allocations and does not include certain charges.
(b) 
Includes mark-to-market fuel-hedge accounting charges.

18




Total assets were as follows (in millions):
 
June 30,
2015
 
December 31,
2014
Alaska
$
7,567

 
$
6,772

Horizon
781

 
818

Parent company
3,877

 
3,552

Elimination of inter-company accounts
(5,745
)
 
(4,961
)
Consolidated
$
6,480

 
$
6,181



19



ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
 
OVERVIEW
 
The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) is intended to help the reader understand the Company, our segment operations and our present business environment. MD&A is provided as a supplement to – and should be read in conjunction with – our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes. All statements in the following discussion that are not statements of historical information or descriptions of current accounting policy are forward-looking statements. Please consider our forward-looking statements in light of the risks referred to in this report’s introductory cautionary note and the risks mentioned in Item 1A. "Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014. This overview summarizes the MD&A, which includes the following sections:
 
Second Quarter Review—highlights from the second quarter of 2015 outlining some of the major events that happened during the period and how they affected our financial performance.
 
Results of Operations—an in-depth analysis of our revenues by segment and our expenses from a consolidated perspective for the three and six months ended June 30, 2015. To the extent material to the understanding of segment profitability, we more fully describe the segment expenses per financial statement line item. Financial and statistical data is also included here. This section includes forward-looking statements regarding our view of the remainder of 2015
  
Liquidity and Capital Resources—an overview of our financial position, analysis of cash flows, and relevant contractual obligations and commitments.

SECOND QUARTER REVIEW

Our record consolidated pretax income was $376 million during the second quarter of 2015, compared to $265 million in the second quarter of 2014. The increase of $111 million was driven by lower aircraft fuel expense of $99 million and increased revenues of $62 million, partially offset by an increase in non-fuel operating expenses of $52 million. The lower fuel cost was the result of a sharp decline in fuel prices over the past year and the increase in revenues was due to growth in our capacity of 10.7% compared to second quarter of 2014.

See “Results of Operations” below for further discussion of changes in revenues and operating expenses and our reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Operations Performance

During the second quarter, both Alaska and Horizon continued their strong operational performance, reporting that 88.3% and 88.6% of their flights arrived on time, respectively. For the twelve months ended February 2015, Alaska maintained its ranking as the top carrier among the eight largest U.S. airlines for on-time performance, according to the U.S. Department of Transportation.


20



New Markets

New routes announced are as follows:
New Non-Stop Routes Announced (Launch Dates)
 
Seattle to Nashville, TN (9/23/15)
Eugene to San Jose, CA (11/5/15)
Seattle to Raleigh-Durham, NC (10/1/15)
Portland to Austin, TX (11/5/15)
Seattle to Charleston, SC (11/16/15)
Boise to Reno, NV (11/5/15)
Los Angeles to Baltimore, MD (9/9/15)
Los Angeles to Gunnison-Crested Butte, CO (12/16/15)
Los Angeles to San Jose, Costa Rica (10/31/15)
Portland to Kansas City, MO (2/18/16)
Los Angeles to Liberia, Costa Rica (11/1/15)
Portland to Minneapolis/St Paul, MN (2/18/16)
Los Angeles to Monterey, CA (11/5/15)
Portland to Omaha, NE (2/18/16)

Shareholder Returns

During the second quarter of 2015, we paid cash dividends of $26 million and we repurchased 2,480,807 shares of our common stock for $160 million under the $650 million repurchase program authorized by our Board of Directors in May 2014. Since 2007, we have repurchased 53,150,805 shares of common stock under such programs for $1.1 billion for an average price of $20 per share. During the month of July, we repurchased 718,827 shares of our common stock for $51 million, resulting in 127,322,155 shares outstanding at July 31, 2015. For 2015, we expect to deploy at least $550 million to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases.

Outlook

For the third and fourth quarters of 2015, we expect competitive capacity (weighted by the concentration of our own capacity in competitive markets) to be up 12 points and 8 points, respectively, which compares to competitive capacity growth of 14 points in the second quarter of 2015. Currently, we expect this added capacity to put pressure on our yields and load factors, in similar markets as the second quarter. Because of our low cost structure, fuel-efficient fleet, and our strong balance sheet, we are able to offer lower fares, while maintaining our return and capital allocation objectives. We believe this offers our customers an outstanding value proposition when coupled with the improvements we've made in our in-flight experience with Alaska BeyondTM, including upgraded food and beverage offerings, new streaming in-flight entertainment, comfortable Recaro seats with power at every seat, and our award-winning service.

We expect our capacity to increase approximately 8% in the third quarter as we launch several new routes, providing additional utility to our existing customers, and gaining new customers. We will launch 18 new routes in the second half of 2015. We currently expect our unit costs to increase approximately 5.5% in the third quarter compared to 2014 due to higher wages and benefits and maintenance costs, and we are targeting an approximate 0.5% decrease in unit costs for the full year of 2015 compared to 2014.

Our current expectations for capacity and CASM excluding fuel and special items are summarized below:
 
Forecast
Q3 2015
 
Change
Y-O-Y
 
Forecast
Full Year 2015
 
Change
Y-O-Y
Consolidated:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
10,325 - 10,375
 
~ 8.0%
 
39,700 - 39,900
 
~ 10.0%
CASM excluding fuel (cents)
8.28¢ - 8.33¢
 
~ 5.5 %
 
8.29¢ - 8.34¢
 
~ (0.5) %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
9,250 - 9,300
 
~ 7.5%
 
35,700 - 35,900
 
~ 10.0%
CASM excluding fuel (cents)
7.43¢ - 7.48¢
 
~ 6.0 %
 
7.40¢ - 7.45¢
 
~ (0.5) %

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
 
COMPARISON OF THREE MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2015 COMPARED TO THREE MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2014


21



Our consolidated net income for the second quarter of 2015 was $234 million, or $1.79 per diluted share, compared to net income of $165 million, or $1.19 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2014.

ADJUSTED (NON-GAAP) RESULTS AND PER-SHARE AMOUNTS

We believe disclosure of earnings excluding the impact of mark-to-market gains or losses or other individual revenues or expenses is useful information to investors because:

CASM excluding fuel and certain special items is one of the most important measures used by management and by the Air Group Board of Directors in assessing quarterly and annual cost performance;

By eliminating fuel expense and certain special items from our unit metrics, we believe that we have better visibility into the results of our non-fuel continuing operations.  Our industry is highly competitive and is characterized by high fixed costs, so even a small reduction in non-fuel operating costs can result in a significant improvement in operating results. In addition, we believe that all domestic carriers are similarly impacted by changes in jet fuel costs over the long run, so it is important for management (and thus investors) to understand the impact of (and trends in) company-specific cost drivers such as labor rates and productivity, airport costs, maintenance costs, etc., which are more controllable by management;

Our results excluding fuel expense and certain special items serve as the basis for our various employee incentive plans, thus the information allows investors to better understand the changes in variable incentive pay expense in our consolidated statements of operations;

We believe it is the basis by which we are evaluated by industry analysts; and

It is useful to monitor performance without these items as it improves a reader’s ability to compare our results to those of other airlines.

Although we are presenting these non-GAAP amounts for the reasons above, investors and other readers should not necessarily conclude these amounts are non-recurring, infrequent, or unusual in nature.

Excluding the impact of mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments, our adjusted consolidated net income for the second quarter of 2015 was $230 million, or $1.76 per diluted share, compared to $157 million, or $1.13 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2014.
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Dollars
 
Diluted EPS
 
Dollars
 
Diluted EPS
Net income and diluted EPS as reported
$
234

 
$
1.79

 
$
165

 
$
1.19

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments, net of tax
(4
)
 
(0.03
)
 
(8
)
 
(0.06
)
Non-GAAP adjusted income and per-share amounts
$
230

 
$
1.76

 
$
157

 
$
1.13


Our operating costs per ASM are summarized below:
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
(in cents)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Consolidated:
 
 
 
 
 
CASM

10.70
¢
 

12.37
¢
 
(13.5
)
Less the following components:
 
 
 

 
 

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses
2.62

 
4.00

 
(34.5
)
CASM excluding fuel

8.08
¢
 

8.37
¢
 
(3.5
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline:
 
 
 
 
 
CASM

9.70
¢
 

11.28
¢
 
(14.0
)
Less the following components:
 
 
 

 
 

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses
2.53

 
3.83

 
(33.9
)
CASM excluding fuel

7.17
¢
 

7.45
¢
 
(3.8
)

22




OPERATING STATISTICS SUMMARY (unaudited)
Below are operating statistics we use to measure operating performance. We often refer to unit revenues and adjusted unit costs, which are non-GAAP measures.
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
Change
 
2015
 
2014
 
Change
Consolidated Operating Statistics:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue passengers (000)
8,024
 
7,353
 
9.1%
 
15,340
 
14,002
 
9.6%
Revenue passenger miles (RPM) (000,000) "traffic"
8,451
 
7,755
 
9.0%
 
16,173
 
14,832
 
9.0%
Available seat miles (ASM) (000,000) "capacity"
9,949
 
8,988
 
10.7%
 
19,206
 
17,341
 
10.8%
Load factor
84.9%
 
86.3%
 
(1.4) pts
 
84.2%
 
85.5%
 
(1.3) pts
Yield
14.56¢
 
15.14¢
 
(3.8%)
 
14.33¢
 
14.93¢
 
(4.0%)
Passenger revenue per ASM (PRASM)
12.37¢
 
13.06¢
 
(5.3%)
 
12.07¢
 
12.77¢
 
(5.5%)
Revenue per ASM (RASM)(b)
14.44¢
 
15.29¢
 
(5.6%)
 
14.09¢
 
14.98¢
 
(5.9%)
Operating expense per ASM (CASM) excluding fuel(b)
8.08¢
 
8.37¢
 
(3.5%)
 
8.33¢
 
8.50¢
 
(2.0%)
Economic fuel cost per gallon(b)
$2.12
 
$3.20
 
(33.8%)
 
$2.05
 
$3.26
 
(37.1%)
Fuel gallons (000,000)
126
 
116
 
8.6%
 
245
 
227
 
7.9%
ASMs per fuel gallon
79.0
 
77.5
 
1.9%
 
78.4
 
76.4
 
2.6%
Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs)
13,793
 
12,515
 
10.2%
 
13,534
 
12,451
 
8.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline Operating Statistics:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue passengers (000)
5,787
 
5,307
 
9.0%
 
11,022
 
10,044
 
9.7%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"
7,662
 
7,029
 
9.0%
 
14,657
 
13,431
 
9.1%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
8,984
 
8,095
 
11.0%
 
17,330
 
15,590
 
11.2%
Load factor
85.3%
 
86.8%
 
(1.5) pts
 
84.6%
 
86.2%
 
(1.6) pts
Yield
13.29¢
 
13.86¢
 
(4.1%)
 
13.10¢
 
13.61¢
 
(3.7%)
PRASM
11.34¢
 
12.03¢
 
(5.7%)
 
11.08¢
 
11.73¢
 
(5.5%)
RASM
13.40¢
 
14.24¢
 
(5.9%)
 
13.09¢
 
13.92¢
 
(6.0%)
CASM excluding fuel(b)
7.17¢
 
7.45¢
 
(3.8%)
 
7.41¢
 
7.56¢
 
(2.0%)
Economic fuel cost per gallon(b)
$2.12
 
$3.19
 
(33.5%)
 
$2.05
 
$3.25
 
(36.9%)
Fuel gallons (000,000)
110
 
102
 
7.8%
 
213
 
197
 
8.1%
ASMs per fuel gallon
81.7
 
79.4
 
2.9%
 
81.4
 
79.1
 
2.9%
Average FTEs
10,726
 
9,767
 
9.8%
 
10,553
 
9,679
 
9.0%
Aircraft utilization
11.1
 
10.5
 
5.7%
 
10.8
 
10.4
 
3.8%
Average aircraft stage length
1,191
 
1,181
 
0.8%
 
1,195
 
1,190
 
0.4%
Mainline operating fleet at period-end
140
 
134
 
6 a/c
 
140
 
134
 
6 a/c
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional Operating Statistics:(c)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue passengers (000)
2,237
 
2,046
 
9.3%
 
4,318
 
3,958
 
9.1%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"
789
 
725
 
8.8%
 
1,516
 
1,401
 
8.2%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
965
 
894
 
7.9%
 
1,876
 
1,751
 
7.1%
Load factor
81.8%
 
81.2%
 
0.6 pts
 
80.8%
 
80.0%
 
0.8 pts
Yield
26.92¢
 
27.55¢
 
(2.3%)
 
26.28¢
 
27.54¢
 
(4.6%)
PRASM
21.99¢
 
22.37¢
 
(1.7%)
 
21.25¢
 
22.04¢
 
(3.6%)
Regional operating fleet at period-end (Horizon and dedicated Skywest aircraft)
63
 
59
 
4 a/c
 
63
 
59
 
4 a/c
(a) 
Except for FTEs, data includes information related to third-party Regional CPA arrangements.
(b) 
See reconciliation of this measure to the most directly related GAAP measure in the "Results of Operations" section.
(c) 
Data presented includes information related to Regional CPAs.

23



OPERATING REVENUES

Total operating revenues increased $62 million, or 5%, during the second quarter of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014. The changes are summarized in the following table:
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
$
1,019

 
$
974

 
5

Regional
212

 
200

 
6

Total passenger revenue
1,231

 
1,174

 
5

Freight and mail
30

 
32

 
(6
)
Other - net
176

 
169

 
4

Total operating revenues
$
1,437

 
$
1,375

 
5


Passenger Revenue – Mainline

Mainline passenger revenue for the second quarter of 2015 increased by 5% due to an 11.0% increase in capacity, partially offset by a decrease of 5.7% in PRASM compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase in capacity was driven by 5.7% higher utilization of our aircraft, adding larger aircraft to our fleet, and the annualization of new routes. The decrease in PRASM was driven by a 4.1% decline in ticket yield and a 1.5-point reduction in load factor compared to the prior-year quarter. The decrease in yield and load factor was primarily due to increased competitive capacity in our markets and, to a lesser extent, new markets that have not yet fully matured.

Passenger Revenue – Regional

Regional passenger revenue increased 6% compared to the second quarter of 2014, primarily due to a 7.9% increase in capacity. The increase in capacity was partially offset by a 1.7% decrease in PRASM. The increase in capacity was driven by additional frequencies and longer aircraft stage lengths. The decrease in PRASM was due to a 2.3% decline in yield, partially offset by an increase in load factor of 0.6 points. The decrease in yield is due to an increase in competitive capacity in our regional markets and our own growth as we strengthen our network utility in the Pacific Northwest.

Other – Net

Other - net revenue increased $7 million from the second quarter of 2014, due to increases in Mileage Plan revenues and an 18% increase in food and beverage revenue. Mileage Plan revenues grew due to growth in the number of members in the program and an increase in miles sold to our credit card partner. The increase in food and beverage revenue is due to a 9.1% increase in passengers and selling more premium offerings such as Tom Douglas signature meals.

OPERATING EXPENSES
Total operating expenses decreased $47 million, or 4%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. We believe it is useful to summarize operating expenses as follows, which is consistent with the way expenses are reported internally and evaluated by management:
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Fuel expense
$
261

 
$
360

 
(28
)
Non-fuel expenses
804

 
752

 
7

Total Operating Expenses
$
1,065

 
$
1,112

 
(4
)

Significant operating expense variances from 2014 are more fully described below.


24



Wages and benefits

Wages and benefits increased during the second quarter of 2015 by $24 million.  The primary components of wages and benefits are shown in the following table:
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Wages
$
231

 
$
211

 
9

Pension - Defined benefit plans
7

 
2

 
250

Defined contribution plans
15

 
13

 
15

Medical and other benefits
35

 
39

 
(10
)
Payroll taxes
17

 
16

 
6

Total wages and benefits
$
305

 
$
281

 
9


Wages increased 9% with a 10.2% increase in FTEs. FTEs increased largely with our front-line work groups compared to the prior year due to the growth in departures.

Pension expense increased $5 million compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase is due to revaluing the pension obligation at December 31, 2014 with higher mortality assumptions, and a lower discount rate that increased the pension obligation. The resulting unrealized loss is amortized over the expected service period.

Medical and other benefits decreased 10% compared to the same period in the prior year. The decrease is primarily due to lower post-retirement medical costs and workers compensation claims.

Variable incentive pay

Variable incentive pay expense increased $3 million, or 10% compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is primarily due to a 10.2% increase in FTEs.

Aircraft fuel

Aircraft fuel expense includes both raw fuel expense (as defined below) plus the effect of mark-to-market adjustments to our fuel hedge portfolio included in our consolidated statement of operations as the value of that portfolio increases and decreases. Our aircraft fuel expense is very volatile, even between quarters, because it includes these gains or losses in the value of the underlying instrument as crude oil prices and refining margins increase or decrease. Raw fuel expense is defined as the price that we generally pay at the airport, or the “into-plane” price, including taxes and fees. Raw fuel prices are impacted by world oil prices and refining costs, which can vary by region in the U.S.  Raw fuel expense approximates cash paid to suppliers and does not reflect the effect of our fuel hedges.

Aircraft fuel expense decreased $99 million, or 28% compared to 2014. The elements of the change are illustrated in the following table: 
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
(in millions, except for per gallon amounts)
Dollars
 
Cost/Gal
 
Dollars
 
Cost/Gal
Raw or "into-plane" fuel cost
$
262

 
$
2.08

 
$
365

 
$
3.13

Losses on settled hedges
5

 
0.04

 
8

 
0.07

Consolidated economic fuel expense
267

 
2.12

 
373

 
3.20

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments
(6
)
 
(0.05
)
 
(13
)
 
(0.11
)
GAAP fuel expense
$
261

 
$
2.07

 
$
360

 
$
3.09

Fuel gallons
126

 
 
 
116

 
 
 
Fuel expense was lower than in the second quarter of 2014 as the raw fuel price per gallon decreased 34% on a 9% increase in fuel gallons consumed. West Coast jet fuel prices are impacted by both the price of crude oil, as well as refining margins

25



associated with the conversion of crude oil to jet fuel. The decrease in raw fuel price per gallon during the second quarter of 2015 was due to lower crude oil prices of 44% with a slight increase in refining margins.
 
We also evaluate economic fuel expense, which we define as raw fuel expense adjusted for the cash we receive from, or pay to, hedge counterparties for hedges that settle during the period, and for the premium expense that we paid for those contracts. A key difference between aircraft fuel expense and economic fuel expense is the timing of gain or loss recognition on our hedge portfolio. When we refer to economic fuel expense, we include gains and losses only when they are realized for those contracts that were settled during the period based on their original contract terms.  We believe this is the best measure of the effect that fuel prices are currently having on our business because it most closely approximates the net cash outflow associated with purchasing fuel for our operations. Accordingly, many industry analysts evaluate our results using this measure, and it is the basis for most internal management reporting and incentive pay plans.

We recognized losses of $5 million for hedges that settled during the second quarter of 2015, compared to losses of $8 million in the second quarter of 2014.  These amounts represent the net cash paid including the premium expense recognized for those hedges.

Aircraft maintenance

Aircraft maintenance expense decreased by $5 million, or 9%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. During the period we received vendor credits of $10 million for work that was previously completed on the B737 fleet. Partially offsetting the credits were heavier airframe maintenance activities on the mainline fleet and more engine events for the Q400 fleet.

Contracted services

Contracted services expense increased $6 million, or 10%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is primarily due to increased flying at stations where we use vendors to assist us with passenger and ramp handling. Additionally, payments to our CPA partners increased approximately $3 million compared to the same period in the prior year because of increased flying.

Depreciation and amortization

Depreciation and amortization expense increased $6 million, or 8%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is due to seven additional aircraft in the fleet, the completion of our cabin improvement project, and capitalization of non-aircraft assets.

Food and beverage service

Food and beverage service expense increased $5 million, or 22%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is due to increased buy-on-board sales and changes in the menu offering higher quality food and beverage products.

Other expense

Other operating expenses increased $13 million, or 16.0%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is primarily due to higher property tax assessments, hotel and per diem costs for our flight crews, and professional services specifically in the areas of information technology and human resources.

Nonoperating Income

Net nonoperating income increased $2 million, compared to the second quarter of 2014, primarily due to higher capitalized interest related to an increase prepaid aircraft deposits, partially offset by the gain on sale of certain securities in the prior-year period.


26



Operating Expenses Compared to Capacity Growth

We are presenting our line-item expenses below both in absolute dollars and on an ASM basis to highlight areas in which costs have increased or decreased either more or less than capacity.

 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
 
Change
(in millions, except CASM)
Amount
 
Amount
 
CASM
 
CASM
 
CASM
Wages and benefits
$
305

 
$
281

 

3.08
¢
 

3.13
¢
 
(1.6
)%
Variable incentive pay
32

 
29

 
0.32

 
0.32

 
 %
Aircraft maintenance
52

 
57

 
0.52

 
0.63

 
(17.5
)%
Aircraft rent
26

 
29

 
0.26

 
0.32

 
(18.8
)%
Landing fees and other rentals
66

 
64

 
0.66

 
0.71

 
(7.0
)%
Contracted services
68

 
62

 
0.68

 
0.69

 
(1.4
)%
Selling expenses
54

 
53

 
0.54

 
0.59

 
(8.5
)%
Depreciation and amortization
79

 
73

 
0.80

 
0.81

 
(1.2
)%
Food and beverage service
28

 
23

 
0.28

 
0.26

 
7.7
 %
Other
94

 
81

 
0.94

 
0.91

 
3.3
 %
Non-fuel Expenses
$
804

 
$
752

 

8.08
¢
 

8.37
¢
 
(3.4
)%

Additional Segment Information

Refer to the Notes of the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for a detailed description of each segment. Below is a summary of each segment's profitability.

Alaska Mainline

Pretax profit for Alaska Mainline was $331 million in the second quarter of 2015 compared to $231 million in the second quarter of 2014. The $45 million increase in Mainline passenger revenue is described above. Mainline operating expense excluding fuel increased by $43 million to $645 million in 2015 due to higher wages to support our growth, higher ramp and passenger handling vendor costs associated with an increase in passengers, higher depreciation related to our fleet growth, and increased costs with higher quality food and beverage products. Economic fuel cost decreased due to lower raw fuel costs, partially offset by a 7.8% increase in consumption.

Alaska Regional

Pretax profit for Alaska Regional was $29 million in the second quarter of 2015 compared to $21 million the second quarter of 2014. The $12 million increase in Regional passenger revenue is described above. Regional operating expenses excluding fuel increased due to more departures and higher block hours. Fuel was also lower due to the 33.8% decline in economic fuel price per gallon.

Horizon

Pretax profit for Horizon was $8 million in the second quarter of 2015 compared to $0 million in the second quarter of 2014. CPA Revenues (100% of which are from Alaska and eliminated in consolidation) increased due to an increase in capacity and higher rates. The $4 million increase in Horizon's non-fuel operating expenses was largely driven by more costly engine maintenance and an increase in wages to support additional flying.



27



COMPARISON OF SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2015 COMPARED TO SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2014

Our consolidated net income for the first six months of 2015 was $383 million, or $2.91 per diluted share, compared to net income of $259 million, or $1.86 per diluted share, in the first six months of 2014. Significant items impacting the comparability between the periods are as follows:

Both periods include adjustments to reflect the timing of net unrealized mark-to-market gains and losses related to our fuel hedge positions. For the first six months of 2015, we recognized net mark-to-market gains of $6 million ($4 million after tax, or $0.03 per diluted share) compared to gains of $21 million ($13 million after tax, or $0.09 per diluted share) in the first six months of 2014.

Excluding the impact of mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments our adjusted consolidated net income for the first six months of 2015 was $379 million, or $2.88 per diluted share, compared to an adjusted consolidated net income of $246 million, or $1.77 per share, in the first six months of 2014.

 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Dollars
 
Diluted EPS
 
Dollars
 
Diluted EPS
Net income and diluted EPS as reported
$
383

 
$
2.91

 
$
259

 
$
1.86

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments, net of tax
(4
)
 
(0.03
)
 
(13
)
 
(0.09
)
Non-GAAP adjusted income and per-share amounts
$
379

 
$
2.88

 
$
246

 
$
1.77


Our operating costs per ASM are summarized below:
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in cents)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Consolidated:
 
 
 
 
 
CASM

10.91
¢
 

12.64
¢
 
(13.7
)
Less the following components:
 
 
 

 
 

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses
2.58

 
4.14

 
(37.7
)
CASM excluding fuel

8.33
¢
 

8.50
¢
 
(2.0
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline:
 
 
 
 
 
CASM

9.89
¢
 

11.54
¢
 
(14.3
)
Less the following components:
 
 
 

 
 

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses
2.48

 
3.98

 
(37.7
)
CASM excluding fuel

7.41
¢
 

7.56
¢
 
(2.0
)

OPERATING REVENUES

Total operating revenues increased $109 million, or 4%, during the first six months of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014.  The changes are summarized in the following table:
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Passenger
 
 
 
 
 
Mainline
$
1,920

 
$
1,828

 
5

Regional
398

 
386

 
3

Total passenger revenue
2,318

 
2,214

 
5

Freight and mail
53

 
56

 
(5
)
Other - net
335

 
327

 
2

Total operating revenues
$
2,706

 
$
2,597

 
4


28




Passenger Revenue – Mainline

Mainline passenger revenue for the first six months of 2015 increased by 5% on an 11.2% increase in capacity and a 5.5% decrease in PRASM compared to the same period in 2014. The increase in capacity is driven by routes added in the last twelve months. The decrease in PRASM was driven by a 3.7% decrease in ticket yield, and a 1.6 point decrease in load factor compared to the prior-year period. Yields declined due to increased competitive capacity in the markets we serve.

Passenger Revenue – Regional

Regional passenger revenue increased by $12 million, or 3%, compared to the first six months of 2014, due to a 7.1% increase in capacity, partially offset by a 3.6% decrease in PRASM. The increase in capacity is due to an increase in departures and average aircraft stage length. The decrease in PRASM was due to a decrease in ticket yield of 4.6%, partially offset by an increase in load factor of 0.8 points. The decrease in yield was due to an increase in competitive capacity in our regional markets and our own growth as we strengthen our network utility in the Pacific Northwest.

Other – Net

Other - net revenue increased $8 million, or 2%, from the first six months of 2014, due to increases in Mileage Plan revenue and food and beverage sales, partially offset by lower bag fee revenues. Mileage Plan revenue increased $13 million, due to an increase in miles sold. Higher food and beverage sales was due to a 9.6% increase in passengers and selling more premium offerings such as Tom Douglas signature meals. Bag fee revenue was lower due to promotions launched earlier in the year to offer a free first checked bag to our Mileage Plan members in January and to all Alaska Airlines Signature Visa credit card holders beginning in February.


OPERATING EXPENSES

Total operating expenses decreased $96 million, or 4%, compared to the first six months of 2014, mostly as a result of lower fuel costs. We believe it is useful to summarize operating expenses as follows, which is consistent with the way expenses are reported internally and evaluated by management:
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Fuel expense
$
496

 
$
718

 
(31
)
Non-fuel expenses
1,600

 
1,474

 
9

Total Operating Expenses
$
2,096

 
$
2,192

 
(4
)

Significant operating expense variances from 2014 are more fully described below.

Wages and Benefits

Wages and benefits increased during the first six months of 2015 by $58 million, or 10%, compared to 2014.  The primary components of wages and benefits are shown in the following table:
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
(in millions)
2015
 
2014
 
% Change
Wages
$
461

 
$
421

 
10
Pension - Defined benefit plans
14

 
4

 
250
Defined contribution plans
30

 
25

 
20
Medical and other benefits
73

 
72

 
1
Payroll taxes
33

 
31

 
6
Total wages and benefits
$
611

 
$
553

 
10

Wages increased 10% on an 8.7% increase in FTEs. The primary driver of the increase in wages was the annualization of new labor contracts that included higher rates. The increase in FTEs was to support our growth.


29



Pension expense increased $10 million, compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase is due to revaluing the pension obligation at December 31, 2014 with higher mortality assumptions, and a lower discount rate that increased the pension obligation. The resulting unrealized loss is amortized over the expected service period.

Defined contribution plans increased 20%, due to increased contributions throughout all labor groups and an increased matched percentage as a part of the new labor contracts.

We expect wages and benefits to increase for the full year due to the recent long term labor deals, more FTEs to support our growth, higher medical and other benefits, and higher pension expense.

Aircraft Fuel

Aircraft fuel expense decreased $222 million, compared to 2014. The elements of the change are illustrated in the following table: 
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
(in millions, except for per gallon amounts)
Dollars
 
Cost/Gallon
 
Dollars
 
Cost/Gallon
Raw or "into-plane" fuel cost
$
492

 
$
2.01

 
$
712

 
$
3.14

(Gains) losses on settled hedges
10

 
0.04

 
27

 
0.12

Consolidated economic fuel expense
502

 
2.05

 
739

 
3.26

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments
(6
)
 
(0.02
)
 
(21
)
 
(0.09
)
GAAP fuel expense
$
496

 
$
2.03

 
$
718

 
$
3.17

Fuel gallons
245

 
 
 
227

 
 

The raw fuel price per gallon decreased 36.0% as a result of lower West Coast jet fuel prices. West Coast jet fuel prices are impacted by both the price of crude oil, as well as refining margins associated with the conversion of crude oil to jet fuel. The decrease in raw fuel price per gallon during the first six months of 2015 was due to a decline in crude oil prices of 47.1% slightly offset by increases in refining margins of 1.8%.
 
Losses recognized for hedges that settled during the year were $10 million in 2015, compared to $27 million in 2014.  These amounts represent the cash paid for premium expense, offset by cash received from those hedges. The decrease in losses on settled hedges is primarily due to our increasing use of "out of the money" call options as well as purchasing shorter-dated options, both of which reduce the premium cost we pay.

We currently expect our economic fuel price per gallon to be lower in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the third quarter of 2014 and for the full year due to our current expectation of lower crude prices and a decrease in hedge premium expense.

Aircraft Maintenance

Aircraft maintenance increased by $7 million, or 6%, compared to the prior-year period. The increase is due to more scheduled engine events that were more expensive due to replacing life-limited parts, and heavier airframe checks for both fleets, offset by vendor credits of $10 million for work that was previously completed on the B737 fleet.

We expect full-year aircraft maintenance expense to be 5% to 10% higher than full-year 2014 due to an increase in engine maintenance expense for both fleet types.

Contracted Services

Contracted services expense increased $13 million, or 11%, compared to the first six months of 2014. The increase is primarily due to increased flying at stations where we use vendors to assist us with passenger and ramp handling. Additionally, payments to our CPA partners increased approximately $5 million compared to the same period in the prior year because of increased flying.

We expect full-year contracted services to be 10% to 15% higher than full-year 2014 to support additional capacity throughout our network.


30



Food and beverage service

Food and beverage services expense increased $9 million, or 20%, compared to the second quarter of 2014. The increase is due to increased buy-on-board sales and changes in the menu offering higher quality food and beverage products.

We expect full-year food and beverage services expense to be approximately 20% higher than 2014 due to an increase in passengers and higher quality food and beverage products.

Other Operating Expenses

Other operating expenses increased $16 million, or 10%, compared to the first six months of 2014.  The increase is primarily due to higher property tax assessments, hotel and per diem costs for our flight crews, and IT-related costs.

We expect full-year other operating expenses to be 10% to 15% higher than full-year 2014 for the same reasons mentioned above.
 
Nonoperating Income (Expense)

During the first six months of 2015, we had nonoperating income of $6 million, compared to an income of $12 million in the same period in 2014. In the prior year, we recognized gains on the sale of certain equity securities. For the first six months of 2015, we have capitalized more of our interest expense on an increasing balance of prepaid aircraft deposits.

Operating Expenses Compared to Capacity Growth

We are presenting our line-item expenses below both in absolute dollars and on an ASM basis to highlight areas in which costs have increased or decreased either more or less than capacity.
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
 
%Change
(in millions, except CASM)
Amount
 
Amount
 
CASM
 
CASM
 
CASM
Wages and benefits
$
611

 
$
553

 

3.18
¢
 

3.19
¢
 
(0.3
)%
Variable incentive pay
58

 
54

 
0.30

 
0.31

 
(3.2
)%
Aircraft maintenance
115

 
108

 
0.60

 
0.62

 
(3.2
)%
Aircraft rent
52

 
57

 
0.27

 
0.33

 
(18.2
)%
Landing fees and other rentals
137

 
133

 
0.71

 
0.77

 
(7.8
)%
Contracted services
135

 
122

 
0.70

 
0.70

 
 %
Selling expenses
107

 
99

 
0.56

 
0.57

 
(1.8
)%
Depreciation and amortization
155

 
143

 
0.81

 
0.82

 
(1.2
)%
Food and beverage service
53

 
44

 
0.28

 
0.25

 
12.0
 %
Other
177

 
161

 
0.92

 
0.94

 
(2.1
)%
Non-fuel Expenses
$
1,600

 
$
1,474

 

8.33
¢
 

8.50
¢
 
(2.0
)%

Additional Segment Information

Refer to the Notes of the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for a detailed description of each segment. Below is a summary of each segment's profitability.

Alaska Mainline

Pretax profit for Alaska Mainline was $558 million in the first six months of 2015, compared to $369 million in the same period in 2014. The $92 million increase in Mainline passenger revenue is described above. Mainline operating expense excluding fuel increased by $106 million to $1.3 billion in 2015 due to higher wages to support our growth, higher ramp and passenger handling associated with increased flying, higher depreciation related to our fleet growth, and increased food and beverage costs. Economic fuel cost decreased due to lower raw fuel costs, partially offset by a 7.9% increase in consumption.


31



Alaska Regional

Pretax profit for Alaska Regional was $37 million in the first six months of 2015, compared to $25 million the second quarter of 2014. The $12 million increase in Regional passenger revenue is described above. Regional operating expenses excluding fuel increased due to additional departures. The economic fuel price per gallon decreased 37.1% .

Horizon

Pretax profit for Horizon was $14 million in the first six months of 2015, compared to pretax profit of $3 million in the same period in 2014. CPA Revenues (100% of which are from Alaska and eliminated in consolidation) increased due to additional capacity and higher rates. The $9 million increase in Horizon's non-fuel operating expenses was largely driven by increased engine maintenance and other expenses to support the increase in capacity.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
 
Our primary sources of liquidity are:
 
Our existing cash and marketable securities balance of $1.2 billion;

Our expected cash from operations; 

Our 80 unencumbered aircraft in the operating fleet that could be financed, if necessary; and

Our combined $200 million bank line-of-credit facilities, with no outstanding borrowings.
  
In our cash and marketable securities portfolio, we invest only in securities that meet our overall investment policy of maintaining and securing investment principal. Our investment portfolio is managed by reputable firms that adhere to our investment policy that sets forth certain objectives, approved and prohibited investments, and duration and credit quality guidelines. Our policy and the portfolio managers are continually reviewed to ensure that the investments align with our strategy.

The table below presents the major indicators of financial condition and liquidity: 
(in millions, except per share and debt-to-capital amounts)
June 30, 2015
 
December 31, 2014
 
Change
Cash and marketable securities
$
1,192

 
$
1,217

 
(2.1)
 %
Cash, marketable securities, and unused lines of credit as a percentage of trailing twelve months revenue
25
%
 
26
%
 
(1) pts

Long-term debt, net of current portion
$
629

 
$
686

 
(8.3)
 %
Shareholders’ equity
$
2,219

 
$
2,127

 
4.3
 %
Long-term debt-to-capital including net present value of aircraft operating lease payments(a)
29%:71%

 
31%:69%

 
(2) pts

(a) 
 Calculated using the present value of remaining aircraft lease payments.

Given our strong financial condition, we will continue to evaluate our cash flows from operations, reinvest in the business, and return capital to our shareholders, while maintaining a strong liquidity position.

The following discussion summarizes the primary drivers of the increase in our cash and marketable securities balance and our expectation of future cash requirements.

ANALYSIS OF OUR CASH FLOWS
 
Cash Provided by Operating Activities
 
For the first six months of 2015, net cash provided by operating activities was $889 million, compared to $635 million during the same period in 2014. The $254 million increase was primarily attributable to a lower jet fuel costs and the collection of a $65 million income tax receivable from 2014.


32



We typically generate positive cash flows from operations and expect to use that cash flow to buy aircraft and capital equipment, make normal debt payments, and to return capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
 
Cash Used in Investing Activities
 
Cash used in investing activities was $594 million during the first six months of 2015, compared to $582 million during the same period of 2014. Our capital expenditures were $559 million in the first six months of 2015, primarily due to purchase deposits related to 35 aircraft deliveries over the next 24 months.

The table below reflects our full-year expectation for capital expenditures and the additional expenditures if options were exercised. These options will be exercised only if we believe return on invested capital targets can be met.
(in millions)
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
2018
Aircraft and aircraft purchase deposits - firm
$
580

 
$
535

 
$
505

 
$
400

Other flight equipment
55

 
70

 
45

 
25

Other property and equipment
100

 
80

 
80

 
80

Total property and equipment additions
$
735

 
$
685

 
$
630

 
$
505

Option aircraft and aircraft deposits, if exercised(a)
$

 
$
60

 
$
140

 
$
290

(a) 
Alaska has options to acquire 46 B737 aircraft with deliveries from 2018 through 2024. Horizon has options to acquire five Q400 aircraft with deliveries from 2018 through 2019.

Cash Used by Financing Activities
 
Net cash used by financing activities was $357 million during the first six months of 2015 compared to $111 million during the same period in 2014. During the first six months of 2015 we made debt payments of $58 million, stock repurchases of $262 million, and dividend payments totaling $52 million.

CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS AND COMMITMENTS
 
Aircraft Purchase Commitments and Options
 
As of June 30, 2015, we have firm orders to purchase 78 aircraft. We also have options to acquire 46 B737 aircraft with deliveries from 2018 through 2024 and have options to acquire five Q400 aircraft with deliveries from 2018 through 2019. In addition, we have options to add regional capacity by having SkyWest operate up to 16 more E-175 aircraft.

The following table summarizes expected fleet activity by year:
 
Actual Fleet
 
Expected Fleet Activity(a)
Aircraft
Dec 31, 2014
 
2015 Changes
 
Dec 31, 2015
 
2016-2017 Changes
 
Dec 31, 2017
737 Freighters & Combis
6

 

 
6

 
(3
)
 
3

737 Passenger Aircraft
131

 
10

 
141

 
9

 
150

Total Mainline Fleet
137

 
10

 
147

 
6

 
153

Q400
51

 
1

 
52

 
2

 
54

E-175

 
5

 
5

 
10

 
15

CRJ700
8

 

 
8

 
(8
)
 

Total Regional Fleet
59

 
6

 
65

 
4

 
69

Total
196

 
16

 
212

 
10

 
222

(a) 
Expected fleet activity includes aircraft deliveries, net of planned retirements and lease returns.

For future aircraft deliveries, we may finance the aircraft through internally generated cash, long-term debt, or lease arrangements.


33



Fuel Hedge Positions

All of our current oil positions are call options, which are designed to effectively cap the cost of the crude oil component of our jet fuel purchases. With call options, we benefit from a decline in crude oil prices, as there is no cash outlay other than the premiums we pay to enter into the contracts. Our crude oil positions are as follows:
 
Approximate % of Expected Fuel Requirements
 
Weighted-Average Crude Oil Price per Barrel
 
Average Premium Cost per Barrel
Third Quarter 2015
50
%
 
$90
 
$3
Fourth Quarter 2015
50
%
 
$83
 
$3
Remainder 2015
50
%
 
$86
 
$3
First Quarter 2016
40
%
 
$80
 
$3
Second Quarter 2016
30
%
 
$73
 
$3
Third Quarter 2016
20
%
 
$74
 
$3
Fourth Quarter 2016
10
%
 
$75
 
$3
Full Year 2016
25
%
 
$76
 
$3

Contractual Obligations
 
The following table provides a summary of our principal payments under current and long-term debt obligations, operating lease commitments, aircraft purchase commitments and other obligations as of June 30, 2015:
(in millions)
Remainder of 2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
2018
 
2019
 
Beyond 2019
 
Total
Current and long-term debt obligations
$
59

 
$
115

 
$
121

 
$
151

 
$
114

 
$
185

 
$
745

Operating lease commitments(a)
77

 
210

 
187

 
122

 
109

 
557

 
1,262

Aircraft purchase commitments
133

 
604

 
548

 
428

 
372

 
650

 
2,735

Interest obligations(b)
18

 
32

 
27

 
21

 
13

 
13

 
124

Other obligations(c)
36

 
67

 
58

 
60

 
64

 
623

 
908

Total
$
323

 
$
1,028

 
$
941

 
$
782

 
$
672

 
$
2,028

 
$
5,774

(a) 
Operating lease commitments generally include aircraft operating leases, airport property and hangar leases, office space, and other equipment leases. Included here are 15 E-175 aircraft that will be operated by SkyWest under a capacity
purchase agreement beginning in 2015.
(b) 
For variable-rate debt, future obligations are shown above using interest rates in effect as of June 30, 2015.
(c) 
Includes minimum obligations under our long-term power-by-the-hour maintenance agreement and obligations associated with third-party CPAs with SkyWest and PenAir. Refer to the "Commitments" note in the condensed consolidated financial statements for further information.

 Credit Card Agreements
 
We have agreements with a number of credit card companies to process the sale of tickets and other services. Under these agreements, there are material adverse change clauses that, if triggered, could result in the credit card companies holding back a reserve from our credit card receivables. Under one such agreement, we could be required to maintain a reserve if our credit rating is downgraded to, or below, a rating specified by the agreement or our cash and marketable securities balance falls below $500 million. Under another such agreement, we could be required to maintain a reserve if our cash and marketable securities balance falls below $500 million. We are not currently required to maintain any reserve under these agreements, but if we were, our financial position and liquidity could be materially harmed.

Deferred Income Taxes

For federal income tax purposes, the majority of our assets are fully depreciated over a seven-year life using an accelerated depreciation method or bonus depreciation, if available. For financial reporting purposes, the majority of our assets are depreciated over 15 to 20 years to an estimated salvage value using the straight-line basis. This difference, along with other deferred liabilities and offset by deferred assets, have created a significant deferred tax liability. At some point in the future the depreciation basis will reverse, potentially resulting in an increase in income taxes paid.

34




Taxable income and cash taxes payable in the short term are impacted by many items, including the amount of book income generated (which can be volatile depending on revenue and fuel prices), availability of "bonus depreciation", and other legislative changes that are out of our control. We believe that we have the liquidity to make our future tax payments.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

There have been no material changes to our critical accounting estimates for the three months ended June 30, 2015. For
information on our critical accounting estimates, see Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations" of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014.

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURE ABOUT MARKET RISK
 
There have been no material changes in market risk from the information provided in Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014.
 
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
 
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

As of June 30, 2015, an evaluation was performed under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our chief executive officer and chief financial officer (collectively, our “certifying officers”), of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures. These disclosure controls and procedures are designed to ensure that the information required to be disclosed by us in our periodic reports filed with or submitted to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified by the SEC's rules and forms, and includes, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our certifying officers, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. Our certifying officers concluded, based on their evaluation, that disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of June 30, 2015.
 
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
 
We made no changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter ended June 30, 2015, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

Our internal control over financial reporting is based on the 2013 framework in Internal Control – Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (the COSO Framework).

PART II

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
 
We are a party to routine litigation matters incidental to our business. Management believes the ultimate disposition of these matters is not likely to materially affect our financial position or results of operations. This forward-looking statement is based on management’s current understanding of the relevant law and facts, and it is subject to various contingencies, including the potential costs and risks associated with litigation and the actions of judges and juries.

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

There have been no material changes to the risk factors affecting our business, financial condition or future results from those set forth in Item 1A."Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014. However, you should carefully consider the factors discussed in such section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K, which could materially

35



affect our business, financial condition or future results. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial also may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and/or operating results.

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

This table provides certain information with respect to our purchases of shares of our common stock during the second quarter of 2015.  
 
Total Number of
Shares Purchased
 
Average Price
Paid per Share
 
Total Number of Shares (or units) Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs
 
Maximum remaining
dollar value of shares
that can be purchased
under the plan (in millions)
April 1, 2015 - April 30, 2015
829,873

 
$
64.25

 
829,873

 
 
May 1, 2015 - May 31, 2015
779,874

 
64.92

 
779,874

 
 
June 1, 2015 - June 30, 2015
871,060

 
64.17

 
871,060

 
 
Total
2,480,807

 
$
64.50

 
2,480,807

 
$
122


The shares were purchased pursuant to a $650 million repurchase plan authorized by the Board of Directors in May 2014.

ITEM 3. DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES

None
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES

None
ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION
 
None
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
 
The following documents are filed as part of this report:

1.
Exhibits: See Exhibit Index.

SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
 
 
 
/s/ CHRISTOPHER M. BERRY
 
Christopher M. Berry
 
Controller, Alaska Airlines Managing Director, Accounting
 
(Principal Accounting Officer)
 
August 4, 2015
 
 

36



EXHIBIT INDEX
 
Exhibit
Number
Exhibit
Description
31.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
31.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
32.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
32.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
101.INS
XBRL Instance Document
101.SCH
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document
101.CAL
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document
101.DEF
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document
101.LAB
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document
101.PRE
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document
#
Pursuant to 17 CFR 240.24b-2, confidential information has been omitted and filed separately with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to a Confidential Treatment Application filed with the Commission.


37