CNA FINANCIAL CORP - Annual Report: 2012 (Form 10-K)
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
[x] ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012
OR
[ ] TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from _____ to _____
Commission File Number 1-5823
CNA FINANCIAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | 36-6169860 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
333 S. Wabash Chicago, Illinois (Address of principal executive offices) | 60604 (Zip Code) |
(312) 822-5000
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Common Stock with a par value of $2.50 per share | Name of each exchange on which registered New York Stock Exchange Chicago Stock Exchange |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes [x] No [ ]
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes [ ] No [x]
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes [x] No [ ]
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes [x] No [ ]
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. [x]
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer [x] Accelerated filer [ ] Non-accelerated filer (Do not check if a smaller reporting company) [ ] Smaller reporting company [ ]
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes [ ] No [x]
As of February 15, 2013, 269,465,879 shares of common stock were outstanding. The aggregate market value of the common stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant as of June 30, 2012 was approximately $735 million based on the closing price of $27.72 per share of the common stock on the New York Stock Exchange on June 30, 2012.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE:
Portions of the CNA Financial Corporation Proxy Statement prepared for the 2013 annual meeting of shareholders, pursuant to Regulation 14A, are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Report.
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PART II | ||
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PART III | ||
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PART IV | ||
15. |
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PART I
ITEM 1. BUSINESS
CNA Financial Corporation (CNAF) was incorporated in 1967 and is an insurance holding company. Collectively, CNAF and its subsidiaries are referred to as CNA or the Company. References to “CNA,” “the Company,” “we,” “our,” “us” or like terms refer to the business of CNAF and its subsidiaries. CNA's property and casualty and remaining life and group insurance operations are primarily conducted by Continental Casualty Company (CCC), The Continental Insurance Company, Western Surety Company, Hardy Underwriting Bermuda Limited and its subsidiaries and Continental Assurance Company (CAC). Loews Corporation (Loews) owned approximately 90% of our outstanding common stock as of December 31, 2012.
Our insurance products primarily include commercial property and casualty coverages, including surety. Our services include risk management, information services, warranty and claims administration. Our products and services are primarily marketed through independent agents, brokers and managing general underwriters to a wide variety of customers, including small, medium and large businesses, insurance companies, associations, professionals and other groups.
Our core business, commercial property and casualty insurance operations, is reported in three business segments: CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial and Hardy. Our non-core businesses are managed in two business segments: Life & Group Non-Core and Corporate & Other Non-Core. Each segment is managed separately due to differences in their product lines and markets. Discussions of each segment, including the products offered, customers served, and distribution channels used, are set forth in the Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) included under Item 7 and in Note O to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Competition
The property and casualty insurance industry is highly competitive both as to rate and service. We compete with a large number of stock and mutual insurance companies and other entities for both distributors and customers. Insurers compete on the basis of factors including products, price, services, ratings and financial strength. We must continuously allocate resources to refine and improve our insurance products and services.
There are approximately 2,800 individual companies that sell property and casualty insurance in the United States. Based on 2011 statutory net written premiums, we are the seventh largest commercial insurance writer and the 13th largest property and casualty insurance organization in the United States.
Regulation
The insurance industry is subject to comprehensive and detailed regulation and supervision. Each domestic and foreign jurisdiction has established supervisory agencies with broad administrative powers relative to licensing insurers and agents, approving policy forms, establishing reserve requirements, prescribing the form and content of statutory financial reports, and regulating capital adequacy and the type, quality and amount of investments permitted. Such regulatory powers also extend to premium rate regulations, which require that rates not be excessive, inadequate or unfairly discriminatory. In addition to regulation of dividends by insurance subsidiaries, intercompany transfers of assets may be subject to prior notice or approval by insurance regulators, depending on the size of such transfers and payments in relation to the financial position of the insurance subsidiaries making the transfer or payment.
Hardy, a specialized Lloyd's of London (Lloyd's) underwriter, is also supervised by the Council of Lloyd's, which is the franchisor for all Lloyd's operations. The Council of Lloyd's has wide discretionary powers to regulate Lloyd's underwriting, such as establishing the capital requirements for syndicate participation. In addition, the annual business plans of each syndicate are subject to the review and approval of the Lloyd's Franchise Board, which is responsible for business planning and monitoring for all syndicates.
The European Union's executive body, the European Commission, is implementing new capital adequacy and risk management regulations called Solvency II that would apply to our European operations. In addition, global regulators, including the United States National Association of Insurance Commissioners, are working with the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) to consider changes to insurance company supervision. Among the areas being addressed are company and group capital requirements, group supervision and enterprise
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risk management. It is not currently clear to what extent or how the activities of the IAIS will impact the Company or U.S. insurance regulation.
Domestic insurers are also required by the state insurance regulators to provide coverage to insureds who would not otherwise be considered eligible by the insurers. Each state dictates the types of insurance and the level of coverage that must be provided to such involuntary risks. Our share of these involuntary risks is mandatory and generally a function of our respective share of the voluntary market by line of insurance in each state.
Further, insurance companies are subject to state guaranty fund and other insurance-related assessments. Guaranty fund assessments are levied by the state departments of insurance to cover claims of insolvent insurers. Other insurance-related assessments are generally levied by state agencies to fund various organizations including disaster relief funds, rating bureaus, insurance departments, and workers' compensation second injury funds, or by industry organizations that assist in the statistical analysis and ratemaking process.
Although the federal government does not directly regulate the business of insurance, federal legislative and regulatory initiatives can impact the insurance industry in a variety of ways. These initiatives and legislation include tort reform proposals; proposals addressing natural catastrophe exposures; terrorism risk mechanisms; federal financial services reforms; various tax proposals affecting insurance companies; and possible regulatory limitations, impositions and restrictions arising from the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, as well as the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, both enacted in 2010.
Various legislative and regulatory efforts to reform the tort liability system have, and will continue to, impact our industry. Although there has been some tort reform with positive impact to the insurance industry, new causes of action and theories of damages continue to be proposed in state court actions or by federal or state legislatures that continue to expand liability for insurers and their policyholders. For example, some state legislatures have from time to time considered legislation addressing direct actions against insurers related to bad faith claims. As a result of this unpredictability in the law, insurance underwriting is expected to continue to be difficult in commercial lines, professional liability and other specialty coverages.
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act expanded the federal presence in insurance oversight and may increase the regulatory requirements to which we may be subject. The Act's requirements include streamlining the state-based regulation of reinsurance and nonadmitted insurance (property or casualty insurance placed from insurers that are eligible to accept insurance, but are not licensed to write insurance in a particular state). The Act also established a new Federal Insurance Office within the U.S. Department of the Treasury. The Act called for numerous studies and contemplates further regulation.
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the related amendments in the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act may increase our operating costs and underwriting losses. This landmark legislation may lead to numerous changes in the health care industry that could create additional operating costs for us, particularly with respect to our workers' compensation and long term care products.
Employee Relations
As of December 31, 2012, we had approximately 7,500 employees and have experienced satisfactory labor relations. We have never had work stoppages due to labor disputes.
We have comprehensive benefit plans for substantially all of our employees, including retirement plans, savings plans, disability programs, group life programs and group health care programs. See Note K to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8 for further discussion of our benefit plans.
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Direct Written Premiums by Geographic Concentration
Set forth below is the distribution of our direct written premiums by geographic concentration.
Direct Written Premiums
Years ended December 31 | Percent of Total | |||||||
2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||
California | 9.5 | % | 9.4 | % | 9.3 | % | ||
Texas | 7.4 | 6.7 | 6.5 | |||||
New York | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.8 | |||||
Illinois | 6.5 | 4.9 | 4.0 | |||||
Florida | 5.8 | 6.1 | 6.1 | |||||
New Jersey | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | |||||
Pennsylvania | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | |||||
Canada | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 | |||||
All other states, countries or political subdivisions | 53.8 | 56.3 | 57.5 | |||||
Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
Approximately 9.2%, 8.8% and 6.9% of our direct written premiums were derived from outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010.
Property and Casualty Claim and Claim Adjustment Expenses
The following loss reserve development table illustrates the change over time of reserves established for property and casualty claim and claim adjustment expenses at the end of the preceding ten calendar years for our property and casualty insurance companies. The table excludes our life insurance subsidiaries, and as such, the carried reserves will not agree to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8. The first section shows the reserves as originally reported at the end of the stated year. The second section, reading down, shows the cumulative amounts paid as of the end of successive years with respect to the originally reported reserve liability. The third section, reading down, shows re-estimates of the originally recorded reserves as of the end of each successive year, which is the result of our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries' expanded awareness of additional facts and circumstances that pertain to the unsettled claims. The last section compares the latest re-estimated reserves to the reserves originally established, and indicates whether the original reserves were adequate or inadequate to cover the estimated costs of unsettled claims.
The loss reserve development table is cumulative and, therefore, ending balances should not be added since the amount at the end of each calendar year includes activity for both the current and prior years. The development amounts in the table below include the impact of reinsurance commutations, but exclude the impact of the provision for uncollectible reinsurance.
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Schedule of Loss Reserve Development
Calendar Year Ended | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 (a) | 2011 | 2012 (b) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Originally reported gross reserves for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses | $ | 25,719 | $ | 31,284 | $ | 31,204 | $ | 30,694 | $ | 29,459 | $ | 28,415 | $ | 27,475 | $ | 26,712 | $ | 25,412 | $ | 24,228 | $ | 24,696 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Originally reported ceded recoverable | 10,490 | 13,847 | 13,682 | 10,438 | 8,078 | 6,945 | 6,213 | 5,524 | 6,060 | 4,967 | 5,075 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Originally reported net reserves for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses | $ | 15,229 | $ | 17,437 | $ | 17,522 | $ | 20,256 | $ | 21,381 | $ | 21,470 | $ | 21,262 | $ | 21,188 | $ | 19,352 | $ | 19,261 | $ | 19,621 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative net paid as of: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
One year later | $ | 5,373 | $ | 4,382 | $ | 2,651 | $ | 3,442 | $ | 4,436 | $ | 4,308 | $ | 3,930 | $ | 3,762 | $ | 3,472 | $ | 4,277 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||
Two years later | 8,768 | 6,104 | 4,963 | 7,022 | 7,676 | 7,127 | 6,746 | 6,174 | 6,504 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three years later | 9,747 | 7,780 | 7,825 | 9,620 | 9,822 | 9,102 | 8,340 | 8,374 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four years later | 10,870 | 10,085 | 9,914 | 11,289 | 11,312 | 10,121 | 9,863 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Five years later | 12,814 | 11,834 | 11,261 | 12,465 | 11,973 | 11,262 | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Six years later | 14,320 | 12,988 | 12,226 | 12,917 | 12,858 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seven years later | 15,291 | 13,845 | 12,551 | 13,680 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Eight years later | 16,022 | 14,073 | 13,245 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nine years later | 16,180 | 14,713 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ten years later | 16,754 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net reserves re-estimated as of: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
End of initial year | $ | 15,229 | $ | 17,437 | $ | 17,522 | $ | 20,256 | $ | 21,381 | $ | 21,470 | $ | 21,262 | $ | 21,188 | $ | 19,352 | $ | 19,261 | $ | 19,621 | |||||||||||||||||||||
One year later | 17,650 | 17,671 | 18,513 | 20,588 | 21,601 | 21,463 | 21,021 | 20,643 | 18,923 | 19,081 | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Two years later | 18,248 | 19,120 | 19,044 | 20,975 | 21,706 | 21,259 | 20,472 | 20,237 | 18,734 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three years later | 19,814 | 19,760 | 19,631 | 21,408 | 21,609 | 20,752 | 20,014 | 20,012 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four years later | 20,384 | 20,425 | 20,212 | 21,432 | 21,286 | 20,350 | 19,784 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Five years later | 21,076 | 21,060 | 20,301 | 21,326 | 20,982 | 20,155 | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Six years later | 21,769 | 21,217 | 20,339 | 21,060 | 20,815 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seven years later | 21,974 | 21,381 | 20,142 | 20,926 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Eight years later | 22,168 | 21,199 | 20,023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nine years later | 22,016 | 21,100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ten years later | 21,922 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net (deficiency) redundancy | $ | (6,693 | ) | $ | (3,663 | ) | $ | (2,501 | ) | $ | (670 | ) | $ | 566 | $ | 1,315 | $ | 1,478 | $ | 1,176 | $ | 618 | $ | 180 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||
Reconciliation to gross re-estimated reserves: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net reserves re-estimated | $ | 21,922 | $ | 21,100 | $ | 20,023 | $ | 20,926 | $ | 20,815 | $ | 20,155 | $ | 19,784 | $ | 20,012 | $ | 18,734 | $ | 19,081 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||
Re-estimated ceded recoverable | 16,903 | 15,273 | 14,131 | 11,455 | 9,131 | 7,728 | 6,686 | 6,032 | 6,536 | 5,316 | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total gross re-estimated reserves | $ | 38,825 | $ | 36,373 | $ | 34,154 | $ | 32,381 | $ | 29,946 | $ | 27,883 | $ | 26,470 | $ | 26,044 | $ | 25,270 | $ | 24,397 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total gross (deficiency) redundancy | $ | (13,106 | ) | $ | (5,089 | ) | $ | (2,950 | ) | $ | (1,687 | ) | $ | (487 | ) | $ | 532 | $ | 1,005 | $ | 668 | $ | 142 | $ | (169 | ) | $ | — | |||||||||||||||
Net (deficiency) redundancy related to: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asbestos | $ | (827 | ) | $ | (177 | ) | $ | (123 | ) | $ | (113 | ) | $ | (112 | ) | $ | (107 | ) | $ | (79 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | ||||||||||||||
Environmental pollution | (282 | ) | (209 | ) | (209 | ) | (159 | ) | (159 | ) | (159 | ) | (76 | ) | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total asbestos and environmental pollution | (1,109 | ) | (386 | ) | (332 | ) | (272 | ) | (271 | ) | (266 | ) | (155 | ) | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Core (Non-asbestos & environmental pollution) | (5,584 | ) | (3,277 | ) | (2,169 | ) | (398 | ) | 837 | 1,581 | 1,633 | 1,176 | 618 | 180 | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net (deficiency) redundancy | $ | (6,693 | ) | $ | (3,663 | ) | $ | (2,501 | ) | $ | (670 | ) | $ | 566 | $ | 1,315 | $ | 1,478 | $ | 1,176 | $ | 618 | $ | 180 | $ | — |
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(a) | Effective January 1, 2010, we ceded approximately $1.5 billion of net asbestos and environmental pollution claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves relating to our continuing operations under a retroactive reinsurance agreement with an aggregate limit of $4 billion, as further discussed in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8. |
(b) | On July 2, 2012, we acquired Hardy Underwriting Bermuda Limited. As a result of this acquisition, net reserves were increased by $291 million. Further information on this acquisition is set forth in Note B to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8. |
Additional information regarding our property and casualty claim and claim adjustment expense reserves and reserve development is set forth in the MD&A included under Item 7 and in Notes A and G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Available Information
We file annual, quarterly and current reports, proxy statements and other documents with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Exchange Act). The public may read and copy any materials that we file with the SEC at the SEC's Public Reference Room at 100 F Street, NE, Washington, D.C. 20549. The public may obtain information on the operation of the Public Reference Room by calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330. The SEC also maintains an Internet site that contains reports, proxy and information statements, and other information regarding issuers, including CNA, that file electronically with the SEC. The public can obtain any documents that we file with the SEC at www.sec.gov.
We also make available free of charge on or through our internet website at www.cna.com our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the SEC. Copies of these reports may also be obtained, free of charge, upon written request to: CNA Financial Corporation, 333 S. Wabash Avenue, Chicago, IL 60604, Attn: Jonathan D. Kantor, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary.
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ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Our business faces many risks. Each of the risks and uncertainties described below could lead to events or circumstances that have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, equity, business and insurer financial strength and corporate debt ratings. You should carefully consider and evaluate all of the information included in this Report and any subsequent reports we may file with the SEC or make available to the public before investing in any securities we issue.
If we determine that our recorded insurance reserves are insufficient to cover our estimated ultimate unpaid liability for claim and claim adjustment expenses, we may need to increase our insurance reserves.
We maintain insurance reserves to cover our estimated ultimate unpaid liability for claim and claim adjustment expenses, including the estimated cost of the claims adjudication process, for reported and unreported claims and for future policy benefits. Reserves represent our best estimate at a given point in time. Insurance reserves are not an exact calculation of liability but instead are complex estimates derived by us, generally utilizing a variety of reserve estimation techniques from numerous assumptions and expectations about future events, many of which are highly uncertain, such as estimates of claims severity, frequency of claims, mortality, morbidity, discount rates, inflation, claims handling, case reserving policies and procedures, underwriting and pricing policies, changes in the legal and regulatory environment and the lag time between the occurrence of an insured event and the time of its ultimate settlement. Mortality is the relative incidence of death. Morbidity is the frequency and severity of illness, sickness and diseases contracted. Many of these uncertainties are not precisely quantifiable and require significant judgment on our part. As trends in underlying claims develop, particularly in so-called “long tail” or long duration coverages, we are sometimes required to add to our reserves. This is called unfavorable net prior year development and results in a charge to our earnings in the amount of the added reserves, recorded in the period the change in estimate is made. These charges can be substantial.
We are subject to the uncertain effects of emerging or potential claims and coverage issues that arise as industry practices and legal, judicial, social, economic and other environmental conditions change. These issues have had, and may continue to have, a negative effect on our business by either extending coverage beyond the original underwriting intent or by increasing the number or size of claims, resulting in further increases in our reserves. The effects of these and other unforeseen emerging claim and coverage issues are extremely hard to predict. Examples of emerging or potential claims and coverage issues include:
• | the effects of worldwide economic conditions, which have resulted in an increase in the number and size of certain claims, including both directors and officers (D&O) and errors and omissions (E&O) insurance claims related to corporate failures, as well as other coverages; |
• | class action litigation relating to claims handling and other practices; and |
• | mass tort claims, including bodily injury claims related to welding rods, benzene, lead, noise induced hearing loss, injuries from various medical products including pharmaceuticals, and various other chemical and radiation exposure claims. |
In light of the many uncertainties associated with establishing the estimates and making the assumptions necessary to establish reserve levels, we review and change our reserve estimates in a regular and ongoing process as experience develops and further claims are reported and settled. If estimated reserves are insufficient for any reason, the required increase in reserves would be recorded as a charge against our earnings in the period in which reserves are determined to be insufficient. These charges could be substantial.
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Our key assumptions used to determine reserves for long term care products and payout annuity contracts could vary significantly from actual experience.
Our reserves for long term care products and payout annuity contracts are based on certain key assumptions including morbidity, mortality, policy persistency (the percentage of policies remaining in force) and discount rates (which are impacted by expected investment yields). A prolonged period during which interest rates remain at levels lower than those anticipated in our reserving may result in shortfalls in investment income on assets supporting policy obligations, which may require changes to reserves. These assumptions, while based on historical data and industry experience and monitored consistently, are critical bases for reserve estimates and are inherently uncertain. If estimated reserves are insufficient for any reason, the required increase in reserves would be recorded as a charge against our earnings in the period in which reserves are determined to be insufficient. These charges could be substantial.
Catastrophe losses are unpredictable and could result in material losses.
Catastrophe losses are an inevitable part of our business. Various events can cause catastrophe losses. These events can be natural or man-made, and may include hurricanes, windstorms, earthquakes, hail, severe winter weather, fires, and acts of terrorism. The frequency and severity of these catastrophe events are inherently unpredictable. In addition, longer-term natural catastrophe trends may be changing and new types of catastrophe losses may be developing due to climate change, a phenomenon that has been associated with extreme weather events linked to rising temperatures, and includes effects on global weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea levels, rain, hail and snow.
The extent of our losses from catastrophes is a function of the total amount of our insured exposures in the affected areas, the frequency and severity of the events themselves, the level of reinsurance assumed and ceded, and reinsurance reinstatement premiums, if any. As in the case of catastrophe losses generally, it can take a long time for the ultimate cost to us to be finally determined, as a multitude of factors contribute to such costs, including evaluation of general liability and pollution exposures, additional living expenses, infrastructure disruption, business interruption and reinsurance collectibility. Reinsurance coverage for terrorism events is provided only in limited circumstances, especially in regard to “unconventional” terrorism acts, such as nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological attacks. As a result, catastrophe losses are particularly difficult to estimate.
As our claim experience develops on a specific catastrophe, we may be required to adjust our reserves, or take unfavorable net prior year development, to reflect our revised estimates of the total cost of claims.
We have exposures related to asbestos and environmental pollution (A&EP) claims, which could result in material losses.
Our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries have exposures related to A&EP claims. Our experience has been that establishing claim and claim adjustment expense reserves for casualty coverages relating to A&EP claims is subject to uncertainties that are greater than those presented by other claims. Additionally, traditional actuarial methods and techniques employed to estimate the ultimate cost of claims for more traditional property and casualty exposures are less precise in estimating claim and claim adjustment expense reserves for A&EP. As a result, estimating the ultimate cost of both reported and unreported A&EP claims is subject to a higher degree of variability.
On August 31, 2010, we completed a retroactive reinsurance transaction under which substantially all of our legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to National Indemnity Company (NICO), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., subject to an aggregate limit of $4 billion (Loss Portfolio Transfer). If the other parties to the Loss Portfolio Transfer do not fully perform their obligations, our liabilities for A&EP claims covered by the Loss Portfolio Transfer exceed the aggregate limit of $4 billion, or we determine we have exposures to A&EP claims not covered by the Loss Portfolio Transfer, we may need to increase our recorded net reserves which would result in a charge against our earnings. These charges could be substantial.
Our premium writings and profitability are affected by the availability and cost of reinsurance.
We purchase reinsurance to help manage our exposure to risk. Under our ceded reinsurance arrangements, another insurer assumes a specified portion of our exposure in exchange for a specified portion of policy premiums. Market conditions determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection we purchase, which affects the level of our business and profitability, as well as the level and types of risk we retain. If we are unable to obtain sufficient
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reinsurance at a cost we deem acceptable, we may be unwilling to bear the increased risk and would reduce the level of our underwriting commitments.
We may not be able to collect amounts owed to us by reinsurers, which could result in higher net incurred losses.
We have significant amounts recoverable from reinsurers which are reported as receivables on our Consolidated Balance Sheets and are estimated in a manner consistent with claim and claim adjustment expense reserves or future policy benefits reserves. The ceding of insurance does not, however, discharge our primary liability for claims. As a result, we are subject to credit risk relating to our ability to recover amounts due from reinsurers. In the past, certain of our reinsurance carriers have experienced credit downgrades by rating agencies within the term of our contractual relationship. Such action increases the likelihood that we will not be able to recover amounts due. In addition, reinsurers could dispute amounts which we believe are due to us. If we are not able to collect the amounts due to us from reinsurers for any of the foregoing reasons, our net incurred losses will be higher.
We may not be able to collect amounts owed to us by policyholders who hold deductible policies, which could result in higher net incurred losses.
A portion of our business is written under deductible policies. Under these policies, we are obligated to pay the related insurance claims and are reimbursed by the policyholder to the extent of the deductible, which may be significant. As a result we are exposed to credit risk to the policyholder. If we are not able to collect the amounts due to us from policyholders, our incurred losses will be higher.
We have incurred and may continue to incur significant realized and unrealized investment losses and volatility in net investment income arising from volatility in the capital and credit markets.
Our investment portfolio is exposed to various risks, such as interest rate, credit, and currency risks, many of which are unpredictable. Investment returns are an important part of our overall profitability. General economic conditions, changes in financial markets such as fluctuations in interest rates, credit conditions and currency, commodity and stock prices, and many other factors beyond our control can adversely affect the value of our investments and the realization of investment income. Further, we invest a portion of our assets in equity securities and limited partnerships which are subject to greater market volatility than our fixed income investments. In addition, limited partnership investments generally present higher illiquidity than fixed income investments. As a result of all of these factors, we may not realize an adequate return on our investments, may incur losses on sales of our investments, and may be required to write down the value of our investments.
Our valuation of investments and impairment of securities requires significant judgment, which is inherently uncertain.
We exercise significant judgment in analyzing and validating fair values, which are primarily provided by third parties, for securities in our investment portfolio, including those that are not regularly traded in active markets. We also exercise significant judgment in determining whether the impairment of particular investments is temporary or other-than-temporary. The valuation of residential and commercial mortgage and other asset-backed securities can be particularly sensitive to fairly small changes in collateral performance.
Due to the inherent uncertainties involved with these judgments, we may incur unrealized losses and conclude that other-than-temporary write downs of our investments are required.
Any significant interruption in the operation of our facilities, systems and business functions could result in a materially adverse effect on our operations.
Our business is highly dependent upon our ability to perform, in an efficient and uninterrupted manner, through our employees or vendor relationships, necessary business functions (such as Internet support and 24-hour call centers), processing new and renewal business, and processing and paying claims and other obligations. Our facilities and systems could become unavailable, inoperable, or otherwise impaired from a variety of causes, including, without limitation, natural events, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, windstorms, earthquakes, severe winter weather and fires, or other events, such as explosions, terrorist attacks, computer security breaches or cyber attacks, riots, hazardous material releases, medical epidemics, utility outages, interruptions of our data processing and storage systems or the systems of third-party vendors, or unavailability of communications facilities. Likewise,
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we could experience a significant failure or corruption of one or more of our information technology, telecommunications, or other systems for various reasons, including significant failures that might occur as existing systems are replaced or upgraded.
The shut-down or unavailability of one or more of our systems or facilities for any reason could significantly impair our ability to perform critical business functions on a timely basis. In addition, because our information technology and telecommunications systems interface with and depend on third-party systems, we could experience service denials if demand for such service exceeds capacity or a third-party system fails or experiences an interruption. If sustained or repeated, such events could result in a deterioration of our ability to write and process new and renewal business, provide customer service, pay claims in a timely manner, or perform other necessary business functions. This could result in a materially adverse effect on our business results, prospects, and liquidity, as well as damage to customer goodwill.
Loss of key vendor relationships or failure of a vendor to protect personal information of our customers, claimants or employees could result in a materially adverse effect on our operations.
We rely on services and products provided by many vendors in the United States and abroad. These include, for example, vendors of computer hardware and software and vendors of services such as claim adjustment services and human resource benefits management services. In the event that one or more of our vendors suffers a bankruptcy or otherwise becomes unable to continue to provide products or services, or fails to protect personal information of our customers, claimants or employees, we may suffer operational impairments and financial losses.
We face intense competition in our industry and may be adversely affected by the cyclical nature of the property and casualty business.
All aspects of the insurance industry are highly competitive and we must continuously allocate resources to refine and improve our insurance products and services. We compete with a large number of stock and mutual insurance companies and other entities for both distributors and customers. Insurers compete on the basis of factors including products, price, services, ratings and financial strength. The property and casualty market is cyclical and has experienced periods characterized by relatively high levels of price competition, less restrictive underwriting standards and relatively low premium rates, followed by periods of relatively lower levels of competition, more selective underwriting standards and relatively high premium rates. During periods in which price competition is high, we may lose business to competitors offering competitive insurance products at lower prices. As a result, our premium levels and expense ratio could be materially adversely impacted.
We are subject to capital adequacy requirements and, if we are unable to maintain or raise sufficient capital to meet these requirements, regulatory agencies may restrict or prohibit us from operating our business.
Insurance companies such as us are subject to capital adequacy standards set by regulators to help identify companies that merit further regulatory attention. These standards apply specified risk factors to various asset, premium and reserve components of statutory capital and surplus reported in our statutory basis of accounting financial statements. Current rules, including those promulgated by insurance regulators and specialized markets, such as Lloyd's, require companies to maintain statutory capital and surplus at a specified minimum level determined using the applicable regulatory capital adequacy formula. If we do not meet these minimum requirements, we may be restricted or prohibited from operating our business. If we are required to record a material charge against earnings in connection with a change in estimate or the occurrence of an event, or if we incur significant losses related to our investment portfolio, we may violate these minimum capital adequacy requirements unless we are able to raise sufficient additional capital.
While Loews has provided us with substantial amounts of capital in prior years, Loews may be restricted in its ability or may not be willing to provide additional capital support to us in the future. If we are in need of additional capital, we may be required to secure this funding from sources other than Loews. We may be limited in our ability to raise significant amounts of capital on favorable terms or at all.
Our insurance subsidiaries, upon whom we depend for dividends in order to fund our working capital needs, are limited by insurance regulators in their ability to pay dividends.
We are a holding company and are dependent upon dividends, loans and other sources of cash from our subsidiaries in order to meet our obligations. Ordinary dividend payments, or dividends that do not require prior approval by
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the insurance subsidiaries' domiciliary insurance regulator are generally limited to amounts determined by formula which varies by jurisdiction. The formula for the majority of domestic states is the greater of 10% of the prior year statutory surplus or the prior year statutory net income, less the aggregate of all dividends paid during the twelve months prior to the date of payment. Some jurisdictions, including certain domestic states, however, have an additional stipulation that dividends cannot exceed the prior year's earned surplus. If we are restricted, by regulatory rule or otherwise, from paying or receiving inter-company dividends, we may not be able to fund our working capital needs and debt service requirements from available cash. As a result, we would need to look to other sources of capital which may be more expensive or may not be available at all.
Rating agencies may downgrade their ratings of us and thereby adversely affect our ability to write insurance at competitive rates or at all.
Ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. Our insurance company subsidiaries, as well as our public debt, are rated by rating agencies, namely, A.M. Best Company (A.M. Best), Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (Moody's) and Standard & Poor's (S&P). Ratings reflect the rating agency's opinions of an insurance company's or insurance holding company's financial strength, capital adequacy, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet its obligations to policyholders and debt holders.
Due to the intense competitive environment in which we operate, the uncertainty in determining reserves and the potential for us to take material unfavorable net prior year development in the future, and possible changes in the methodology or criteria applied by the rating agencies, the rating agencies may take action to lower our ratings in the future. If our property and casualty insurance financial strength ratings are downgraded below current levels, our business and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. The severity of the impact on our business is dependent on the level of downgrade and, for certain products, which rating agency takes the rating action. Among the adverse effects in the event of such downgrades would be the inability to obtain a material volume of business from certain major insurance brokers, the inability to sell a material volume of our insurance products to certain markets, and the required collateralization of certain future payment obligations or reserves.
In addition, it is possible that a lowering of the corporate debt ratings of Loews by certain of the rating agencies could result in an adverse impact on our ratings, independent of any change in our circumstances. We have entered into several settlement agreements and assumed reinsurance contracts that require collateralization of future payment obligations and assumed reserves if our ratings or other specific criteria fall below certain thresholds. The ratings triggers are generally more than one level below our current ratings.
We are subject to extensive federal, state, local and foreign governmental regulations that restrict our ability to do business and generate revenues.
The insurance industry is subject to comprehensive and detailed regulation and supervision. Most insurance regulations are designed to protect the interests of our policyholders rather than our investors. Each jurisdiction in which we do business has established supervisory agencies that regulate the manner in which we do business. In addition, the Lloyd's marketplace sets rules under which its members, including our Hardy syndicate, operate.
These rules and regulations relate to, among other things, the following:
• | standards of solvency including risk-based capital measurements; |
• | restrictions on the nature, quality and concentration of investments; |
• | restrictions on our ability to withdraw from unprofitable lines of insurance or unprofitable market areas; |
• | the required use of certain methods of accounting and reporting; |
• | the establishment of reserves for unearned premiums, losses and other purposes; |
• | potential assessments for funds necessary to settle covered claims against impaired, insolvent or failed private or quasi-governmental insurers; |
• | licensing of insurers and agents; |
• | approval of policy forms; |
• | limitations on the ability of our insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends to us; and |
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• | limitations on the ability to non-renew, cancel or change terms and conditions in policies. |
Regulatory powers also extend to premium rate regulations which require that rates not be excessive, inadequate or unfairly discriminatory. The jurisdictions in which we do business may also require us to provide coverage to persons whom we would not otherwise consider eligible. Each jurisdiction dictates the types of insurance and the level of coverage that must be provided to such involuntary risks. Our share of these involuntary risks is mandatory and generally a function of our respective share of the voluntary market by line of insurance in each jurisdiction.
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ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
None.
ITEM 2. PROPERTIES
The Chicago location, owned by CCC, houses our principal executive offices. Our subsidiaries own or lease office space in various cities throughout the United States and in other countries. The following table sets forth certain information with respect to our principal office locations.
Location | Amount (Square Feet) of Building Owned and Occupied or Leased and Occupied by CNA | Principal Usage | ||
333 S. Wabash Avenue, Chicago, Illinois | 732,332 | Principal executive offices of CNAF | ||
401 Penn Street, Reading, Pennsylvania | 169,941 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
2405 Lucien Way, Maitland, Florida | 111,724 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
125 S. Broad Street, New York, New York | 68,935 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
101 S. Reid Street, Sioux Falls, South Dakota | 64,789 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
4150 N. Drinkwater Boulevard, Scottsdale, Arizona | 56,281 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
600 N. Pearl Street, Dallas, Texas | 50,088 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
675 Placentia Avenue, Brea, California | 49,957 | Property and casualty insurance offices | ||
4267 Meridian Parkway, Aurora, Illinois | 46,903 | Data center | ||
10375 Park Meadows Drive, Littleton, Colorado | 41,706 | Property and casualty insurance offices |
We lease the office space described above except for the buildings in Chicago, Illinois, Reading, Pennsylvania and Aurora, Illinois, which are owned. We consider that our properties are generally in good condition, are well maintained and are suitable and adequate to carry on our business.
ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
Information on our legal proceedings is set forth in Note H to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
Not applicable.
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PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the Chicago Stock Exchange under the symbol CNA.
As of February 15, 2013, we had 269,465,879 shares of common stock outstanding. Approximately 90% of our outstanding common stock is owned by Loews. We had 1,289 stockholders of record as of February 15, 2013 according to the records maintained by our transfer agent.
Our Board of Directors has approved an authorization to purchase, in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions, our outstanding common stock, as our management deems appropriate. No repurchases were made in the fourth quarter of 2012.
The table below shows the high and low sales prices for our common stock based on the New York Stock Exchange Composite Transactions.
Common Stock Information
2012 | 2011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarter: | High | Low | Dividends Declared | High | Low | Dividends Declared | |||||||||||||||||
First | $ | 29.73 | $ | 26.70 | $ | 0.15 | $ | 30.26 | $ | 26.47 | $ | 0.10 | |||||||||||
Second | 30.67 | 26.87 | 0.15 | 31.04 | 28.56 | 0.10 | |||||||||||||||||
Third | 28.35 | 25.91 | 0.15 | 29.42 | 21.89 | 0.10 | |||||||||||||||||
Fourth | 29.57 | 27.06 | 0.15 | 27.04 | 21.58 | 0.10 |
The following graph compares the total return of our common stock, the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) Index and the S&P 500 Property & Casualty Insurance Index for the five year period from December 31, 2007 through December 31, 2012. The graph assumes that the value of the investment in our common stock and for each index was $100 on December 31, 2007 and that dividends, if any, were reinvested.
Stock Price Performance Graph
Company / Index | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||||||
CNA Financial Corporation | 100.00 | 49.53 | 72.31 | 81.50 | 81.78 | 87.50 | ||||||
S&P 500 Index | 100.00 | 63.00 | 79.67 | 91.68 | 93.61 | 108.59 | ||||||
S&P 500 Property & Casualty Insurance Index | 100.00 | 70.59 | 79.30 | 86.39 | 86.18 | 103.51 |
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ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
The following table presents selected financial data. The table should be read in conjunction with Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data of this Form 10-K.
Selected Financial Data
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
(In millions, except per share data) | 2012 (a) | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||
Results of Operations: | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | $ | 9,547 | $ | 8,949 | $ | 9,209 | $ | 8,472 | $ | 7,799 | |||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax | $ | 628 | $ | 629 | $ | 780 | $ | 482 | $ | (246 | ) | ||||||||
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax | — | (1 | ) | (21 | ) | (2 | ) | 9 | |||||||||||
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests, net of tax | — | (16 | ) | (68 | ) | (62 | ) | (57 | ) | ||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to CNA | $ | 628 | $ | 612 | $ | 691 | $ | 418 | $ | (294 | ) | ||||||||
Basic and Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share Attributable to CNA Common Stockholders: | |||||||||||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations attributable to CNA common stockholders | $ | 2.33 | $ | 2.27 | $ | 2.36 | $ | 1.11 | $ | (1.19 | ) | ||||||||
Income (loss) from discontinued operations attributable to CNA common stockholders | — | — | (0.08 | ) | (0.01 | ) | 0.03 | ||||||||||||
Basic and diluted earnings (loss) per share attributable to CNA common stockholders | $ | 2.33 | $ | 2.27 | $ | 2.28 | $ | 1.10 | $ | (1.16 | ) | ||||||||
Dividends declared per common share | $ | 0.60 | $ | 0.40 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 0.45 | |||||||||
Financial Condition: | |||||||||||||||||||
Total investments | $ | 47,636 | $ | 44,373 | $ | 42,655 | $ | 41,996 | $ | 35,003 | |||||||||
Total assets | 58,522 | 55,110 | 55,252 | 55,218 | 51,609 | ||||||||||||||
Insurance reserves | 40,005 | 37,554 | 37,590 | 38,263 | 38,771 | ||||||||||||||
Long and short term debt | 2,570 | 2,608 | 2,651 | 2,303 | 2,058 | ||||||||||||||
Total CNA stockholders' equity | 12,314 | 11,488 | 10,882 | 10,587 | 6,805 | ||||||||||||||
Book value per common share | $ | 45.71 | $ | 42.66 | $ | 40.44 | $ | 35.64 | $ | 20.65 |
____________________
(a) | On July 2, 2012, we acquired Hardy Underwriting Bermuda Limited and its subsidiaries. The results of Hardy are included from the date of acquisition. Further information on the acquisition of Hardy is set forth in Note B to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8. |
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Index to this MD&A
Management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations is comprised of the following sections:
Page No. | |
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OVERVIEW
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Item 1A. Risk Factors, Item 6. Selected Financial Data and Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data of this Form 10-K. References to net operating income (loss), net realized investment gains (losses) and net income (loss) used in this MD&A reflect amounts attributable to CNA, unless otherwise noted.
Acquisition of Hardy
On July 2, 2012, we acquired Hardy Underwriting Bermuda Limited and its subsidiaries, a specialized Lloyd's underwriter. Hardy has business operations in the United Kingdom, Bermuda, Bahrain, Guernsey and Singapore. The acquisition of Hardy aligns with our specialized underwriting focus and will be a key platform for expanding our global business through the Lloyd's marketplace. The Lloyd's market provides access to international licenses, sophisticated excess and surplus insurance business and other syndicated risks. Hardy continues to operate under its own brand and its existing leadership team.
Further information on the acquisition of Hardy is set forth in Note B to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Accounting for Costs Associated with Acquiring or Renewing Insurance Contracts
We have adjusted our previously reported financial information included herein, to reflect the change in accounting guidance for costs associated with acquiring or renewing insurance contracts. This MD&A gives effect to the adjustment of the Consolidated Financial Statements. See Note A to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8 for additional information.
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CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS
Results of Operations
The following table includes the consolidated results of our operations. For more detailed components of our business operations and the net operating income financial measure, see the segment discussions within this MD&A.
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Operating Revenues | |||||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 6,882 | $ | 6,603 | $ | 6,515 | |||||
Net investment income | 2,282 | 2,054 | 2,316 | ||||||||
Other revenues | 320 | 294 | 292 | ||||||||
Total operating revenues | 9,484 | 8,951 | 9,123 | ||||||||
Claims, Benefits and Expenses | |||||||||||
Net incurred claims and benefits | 5,867 | 5,476 | 4,955 | ||||||||
Policyholders' dividends | 29 | 13 | 30 | ||||||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | 1,274 | 1,176 | 1,168 | ||||||||
Other insurance related expenses | 1,049 | 980 | 1,016 | ||||||||
Other expenses | 456 | 433 | 928 | ||||||||
Total claims, benefits and expenses | 8,675 | 8,078 | 8,097 | ||||||||
Operating income (loss) from continuing operations before income tax | 809 | 873 | 1,026 | ||||||||
Income tax (expense) benefit on operating income (loss) | (222 | ) | (247 | ) | (296 | ) | |||||
Net operating (income) loss, after-tax, attributable to noncontrolling interests | — | (16 | ) | (69 | ) | ||||||
Net operating income (loss) from continuing operations attributable to CNA | 587 | 610 | 661 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), net of participating policyholders' interests | 63 | (2 | ) | 86 | |||||||
Income tax (expense) benefit on net realized investment gains (losses) | (22 | ) | 5 | (36 | ) | ||||||
Net realized investment (gains) losses, after-tax, attributable to noncontrolling interests | — | — | 1 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) attributable to CNA | 41 | 3 | 51 | ||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations attributable to CNA | 628 | 613 | 712 | ||||||||
Loss from discontinued operations attributable to CNA | — | (1 | ) | (21 | ) | ||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to CNA | $ | 628 | $ | 612 | $ | 691 |
2012 Compared with 2011
Net income increased $16 million in 2012 as compared with 2011, driven by increased net realized investment gains, partially offset by lower net operating income.
Net realized investment gains increased $38 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of net investment income and net realized investment results.
Net operating income decreased $23 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. Net operating income decreased $126 million for our core segments, CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial and Hardy. This decrease was primarily due to higher catastrophe impacts and decreased favorable net prior year development. These unfavorable impacts were partially offset by higher net investment income, driven by significantly favorable limited partnership results. Catastrophe impacts were $270 million after-tax in 2012 as compared to $144 million after-tax in 2011. Catastrophe impacts in 2012 reflect $190 million after-tax related to Storm Sandy, including reinstatement premiums of $10 million after-tax. Net operating results improved $103 million for our non-core segments, primarily related to results in our Life & Group Non-Core segment. See the Life & Group Non-Core and Corporate & Other Non-Core sections of this MD&A for further discussion of our non-core results.
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Favorable net prior year development of $251 million and $431 million was recorded in 2012 and 2011 related to our CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial, Hardy and Corporate & Other Non-Core segments. Further information on net prior year development for 2012 and 2011 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Net earned premiums increased $279 million in 2012 as compared with 2011 driven by the acquisition of Hardy, a $102 million increase in CNA Specialty and a $66 million increase in CNA Commercial. See the Segment Results section of this MD&A for further discussion.
2011 Compared with 2010
As further discussed in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8, on August 31, 2010, we completed a transaction with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., under which substantially all our legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to NICO. We recognized an after-tax loss of $365 million in the third quarter of 2010, of which $344 million related to our continuing operations and $21 million related to our discontinued operations.
Net income decreased $79 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. Excluding the loss associated with the Loss Portfolio Transfer in 2010, net income decreased $444 million in 2011 as compared with 2010 due to lower net operating income and decreased net realized investment gains.
Net realized investment gains decreased $48 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of net investment income and net realized investment results.
Net operating income decreased $51 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. Excluding the loss associated with the Loss Portfolio Transfer, net operating income decreased $395 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. Net operating income decreased $253 million for our core segments, CNA Specialty and CNA Commercial. This decrease was primarily due to lower net investment income, lower favorable net prior year development, and higher catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses were $144 million after-tax in 2011 as compared to catastrophe losses of $79 million after-tax in 2010. These unfavorable impacts were partially offset by improved non-catastrophe current accident year underwriting results, including lower expenses. Expenses in 2010 were unfavorably impacted by costs associated with our Information Technology (IT) Transformation as discussed below. Net operating results decreased $142 million for our non-core segments, Life & Group Non-Core and Corporate & Other Non-Core. This decrease was primarily due to the 2011 results in our payout annuity business, which were negatively impacted by a $115 million after-tax increase in insurance reserves, due to unlocking actuarial reserve assumptions for anticipated adverse changes in mortality and discount rates, which reflect the current low interest rate environment and our view of expected investment yields. The initial reserving assumptions for these contracts were determined at issuance, including a margin for adverse deviation, and were locked in throughout the life of the contract unless a premium deficiency developed. In 2011, a premium deficiency emerged and the actuarial reserve assumptions were unlocked and revised to management's current best estimates. See the Life & Group Non-Core and Corporate & Other Non-Core sections of this MD&A for further discussion of our non-core results.
As further discussed in Note P to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8, we commenced a program during 2010 to significantly transform our IT organization and delivery model. The total costs for this program were $37 million, of which $36 million were incurred in 2010. The savings resulting from this program are being reinvested in IT and other property and casualty underwriting areas necessary to support our business strategies.
Favorable net prior year development of $431 million and $594 million was recorded in 2011 and 2010 related to our CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial and Corporate & Other Non-Core segments. Further information on net prior year development for 2011 and 2010 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Net earned premiums increased $88 million in 2011 as compared with 2010 driven by a $117 million increase in CNA Specialty. See the Segment Results section of this MD&A for further discussion.
Net loss from discontinued operations decreased $20 million in 2011 as compared to 2010 due to the loss associated with the Loss Portfolio Transfer in 2010.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the Consolidated Financial Statements and the amounts of revenues and expenses reported during the period. Actual results may differ from those estimates.
Our Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying notes have been prepared in accordance with GAAP applied on a consistent basis. We continually evaluate the accounting policies and estimates used to prepare the Consolidated Financial Statements. In general, our estimates are based on historical experience, evaluation of current trends, information from third party professionals and various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the known facts and circumstances.
The accounting estimates discussed below are considered by us to be critical to an understanding of our Consolidated Financial Statements as their application places the most significant demands on our judgment. Note A to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8 should be read in conjunction with this section to assist with obtaining an understanding of the underlying accounting policies related to these estimates. Due to the inherent uncertainties involved with these types of judgments, actual results could differ significantly from estimates and may have a material adverse impact on our results of operations or equity.
Insurance Reserves
Insurance reserves are established for both short and long-duration insurance contracts. Short-duration contracts are primarily related to property and casualty insurance policies where the reserving process is based on actuarial estimates of the amount of loss, including amounts for known and unknown claims. Long-duration contracts include long term care products and payout annuity contracts and are estimated using actuarial estimates about mortality, morbidity and persistency as well as assumptions about expected investment returns. The reserve for unearned premiums on property and casualty contracts represents the portion of premiums written related to the unexpired terms of coverage. The reserving process is discussed in further detail in the Reserves - Estimates and Uncertainties section below.
Reinsurance and Insurance Receivables
An exposure exists with respect to the collectibility of ceded property and casualty and life reinsurance to the extent that any reinsurer is unable to meet its obligations or disputes the liabilities we have ceded under reinsurance agreements. An allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is recorded on the basis of periodic evaluations of balances due from reinsurers, reinsurer solvency, our past experience and current economic conditions. Further information on our reinsurance receivables is included in Note I to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Additionally, an exposure exists with respect to the collectibility of amounts due from policyholders related to insurance contracts, including amounts due from insureds under high deductible policies. An allowance for uncollectible insurance receivables is recorded on the basis of periodic evaluations of balances due from insureds currently or in the future, management's experience and current economic conditions.
If actual experience differs from the estimates made by management in determining the allowances for uncollectible reinsurance and insurance receivables, net receivables as reflected on our Consolidated Balance Sheets may not be collected. Therefore, our results of operations or equity could be materially adversely impacted.
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Valuation of Investments and Impairment of Securities
We classify our fixed maturity securities and equity securities as either available-for-sale or trading which are both carried at fair value on the balance sheet. Fair value represents the price that would be received in a sale of an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date, the determination of which requires us to make a significant number of assumptions and judgments. Securities with the greatest level of subjectivity around valuation are those that rely on inputs that are significant to the estimated fair value and that are not observable in the market or cannot be derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data. These unobservable inputs are based on assumptions consistent with what we believe other market participants would use to price such securities. Further information on our fair value measurements is included in Note E to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Our investment portfolio is subject to market declines below amortized cost that may be other-than-temporary and therefore result in the recognition of impairment losses in earnings. Factors considered in the determination of whether or not a decline is other-than-temporary include a current intention or need to sell the security or an indication that a credit loss exists. Significant judgment exists regarding the evaluation of the financial condition and expected near-term and long-term prospects of the issuer, the relevant industry conditions and trends, and whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We have an Impairment Committee which reviews the investment portfolio on at least a quarterly basis, with ongoing analysis as new information becomes available. Further information on our process for evaluating impairments is included in Note C to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Long Term Care Products and Payout Annuity Contracts
Future policy benefit reserves for our long term care products and payout annuity contracts are based on certain assumptions including morbidity, mortality, policy persistency, and discount rates, which are impacted by expected investment yields. The adequacy of the reserves are contingent on actual experience related to these key assumptions, which were generally established at time of issue. If actual experience differs from these assumptions, the reserves may not be adequate, requiring us to add to reserves. Therefore, our results of operations or equity could be adversely impacted. The reserving process is discussed in further detail in the Reserves - Estimates and Uncertainties section below.
Pension and Postretirement Benefit Obligations
We make a significant number of assumptions in estimating the liabilities and costs related to our pension and postretirement benefit obligations under our benefit plans. The assumptions that most impact these costs are the discount rate and the expected long term rate of return on plan assets. These assumptions are evaluated relative to current economic factors such as inflation, interest rates and fiscal and monetary policies. Changes in these assumptions can have a material impact on pension obligations and pension expense.
To determine the discount rate assumption as of the year-end measurement date for our CNA Retirement Plan and CNA Health and Group Benefits Program, we considered the estimated timing of plan benefit payments and available yields on high quality fixed income debt securities. For this purpose, high quality is considered a rating of Aa or better by Moody's or a rating of AA or better from S&P. We reviewed several yield curves constructed using the cash flow characteristics of the plans as well as bond indices as of the measurement date. The year-over-year change of those data points was also considered.
In determining the expected long term rate of return on plan assets assumption for our CNA Retirement Plan, we considered the historical performance of the investment portfolio as well as the long term market return expectations based on the investment mix of the portfolio.
Further information on our pension and postretirement benefit obligations is included in Note K to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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Income Taxes
We account for income taxes under the asset and liability method. Under this method, deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial statement and tax return basis of assets and liabilities. Any resulting future tax benefits are recognized to the extent that realization of such benefits is more likely than not, and a valuation allowance is established for any portion of a deferred tax asset that management believes will not be realized. The assessment of the need for a valuation allowance requires management to make estimates and assumptions about future earnings, reversal of existing temporary differences and available tax planning strategies. If actual experience differs from these estimates and assumptions, the recorded deferred tax asset may not be fully realized resulting in an increase to income tax expense in our results of operations. In addition, the ability to record deferred tax assets in the future could be limited, resulting in a higher effective tax rate in that future period.
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RESERVES - ESTIMATES AND UNCERTAINTIES
Property and Casualty Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
We maintain loss reserves to cover our estimated ultimate unpaid liability for claim and claim adjustment expenses, including the estimated cost of the claims adjudication process, for claims that have been reported but not yet settled (case reserves) and claims that have been incurred but not reported (IBNR). Claim and claim adjustment expense reserves are reflected as liabilities and are included on the Consolidated Balance Sheets under the heading “Insurance Reserves.” Adjustments to prior year reserve estimates, if necessary, are reflected in results of operations in the period that the need for such adjustments is determined. The carried case and IBNR reserves as of each balance sheet date are provided in the Segment Results section of this MD&A and in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
The level of reserves we maintain represents our best estimate, as of a particular point in time, of what the ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost based on our assessment of facts and circumstances known at that time. Reserves are not an exact calculation of liability but instead are complex estimates that we derive, generally utilizing a variety of actuarial reserve estimation techniques, from numerous assumptions and expectations about future events, both internal and external, many of which are highly uncertain.
We are subject to the uncertain effects of emerging or potential claims and coverage issues that arise as industry practices and legal, judicial, social, economic and other environmental conditions change. These issues have had, and may continue to have, a negative effect on our business by either extending coverage beyond the original underwriting intent or by increasing the number or size of claims. Examples of emerging or potential claims and coverage issues include:
• | the effects of worldwide economic conditions, which have resulted in an increase in the number and size of certain claims, including both D&O and E&O insurance claims related to corporate failures, as well as other coverages; |
• | class action litigation relating to claims handling and other practices; and |
• | mass tort claims, including bodily injury claims related to welding rods, benzene, lead, noise induced hearing loss, injuries from various medical products including pharmaceuticals, and various other chemical and radiation exposure claims. |
The impact of these and other unforeseen emerging or potential claims and coverage issues is difficult to predict and could materially adversely affect the adequacy of our claim and claim adjustment expense reserves and could lead to future reserve additions.
Our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries also have actual and potential exposures related to A&EP claims. Our experience has been that establishing reserves for casualty coverages relating to A&EP claims and the related claim adjustment expenses are subject to uncertainties that are greater than those presented by other claims. Additionally, traditional actuarial methods and techniques employed to estimate the ultimate cost of claims for more traditional property and casualty exposures are less precise in estimating claim and claim adjustment reserves for A&EP. As a result, estimating the ultimate cost of both reported and unreported A&EP claims are subject to a higher degree of variability.
To mitigate the risks posed by our exposure to A&EP claims and claim adjustment expenses, as further discussed in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8, on August 31, 2010 we completed a transaction with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., under which substantially all of our legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to NICO effective January 1, 2010 (Loss Portfolio Transfer).
The Loss Portfolio Transfer is considered a retroactive reinsurance contract. In the event that the cumulative claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses ceded under the Loss Portfolio Transfer exceed the consideration paid, the resulting gain from such excess would be deferred. A cumulative amortization adjustment would be recognized in earnings in the period such excess arises so that the resulting deferred gain would reflect the balance that would have existed if the revised estimate was available at the inception date of the Loss Portfolio Transfer. This accounting generally results in a reserve charge because of the timing difference between the recognition of the gross adverse reserve development and the related ceded reinsurance benefit. However, there is no economic impact as long as
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the additional losses are within the limit under the contract. Any future adverse prior year development in excess of approximately $230 million would put the Loss Portfolio Transfer into an overall gain position under retroactive reinsurance accounting.
Establishing Reserve Estimates
In developing claim and claim adjustment expense ("loss" or "losses") reserve estimates, our actuaries perform detailed reserve analyses that are staggered throughout the year. The data is organized at a "product" level. A product can be a line of business covering a subset of insureds such as commercial automobile liability for small or middle market customers, it can encompass several lines of business provided to a specific set of customers such as dentists, or it can be a particular type of claim such as construction defect. Every product is analyzed at least once during the year, with the exception of certain run-off products which are analyzed on a periodic basis. The analyses generally review losses gross of ceded reinsurance and apply the ceded reinsurance terms to the gross estimates to establish estimates net of reinsurance. In addition to the detailed analyses, we review actual loss emergence for all products each quarter.
The detailed analyses use a variety of generally accepted actuarial methods and techniques to produce a number of estimates of ultimate loss. Our actuaries determine a point estimate of ultimate loss by reviewing the various estimates and assigning weight to each estimate given the characteristics of the product being reviewed. The reserve estimate is the difference between the estimated ultimate loss and the losses paid to date. The difference between the estimated ultimate loss and the case incurred loss (paid loss plus case reserve) is IBNR. IBNR calculated as such includes a provision for development on known cases (supplemental development) as well as a provision for claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported (pure IBNR).
Most of our business can be characterized as long-tail. For long-tail business, it will generally be several years between the time the business is written and the time when all claims are settled. Our long-tail exposures include commercial automobile liability, workers' compensation, general liability, medical professional liability, other professional liability coverages, assumed reinsurance run-off and products liability. Short-tail exposures include property, commercial automobile physical damage, marine and warranty. CNA Specialty and CNA Commercial contain both long-tail and short-tail exposures. Hardy contains primarily short-tail exposures. Corporate & Other Non-Core contains long-tail exposures.
Various methods are used to project ultimate loss for both long-tail and short-tail exposures including, but not limited to, the following:
•paid development;
•incurred development;
•loss ratio;
•Bornhuetter-Ferguson using paid loss;
•Bornhuetter-Ferguson using incurred loss;
•frequency times severity; and
•stochastic modeling.
The paid development method estimates ultimate losses by reviewing paid loss patterns and applying them to accident or policy years with further expected changes in paid loss. Selection of the paid loss pattern may require consideration of several factors including the impact of inflation on claims costs, the rate at which claims professionals make claim payments and close claims, the impact of judicial decisions, the impact of underwriting changes, the impact of large claim payments and other factors. Claim cost inflation itself may require evaluation of changes in the cost of repairing or replacing property, changes in the cost of medical care, changes in the cost of wage replacement, judicial decisions, legislative changes and other factors. Because this method assumes that losses are paid at a consistent rate, changes in any of these factors can impact the results. Since the method does not rely on case reserves, it is not directly influenced by changes in the adequacy of case reserves.
For many products, paid loss data for recent periods may be too immature or erratic for accurate predictions. This situation often exists for long-tail exposures. In addition, changes in the factors described above may result in
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inconsistent payment patterns. Finally, estimating the paid loss pattern subsequent to the most mature point available in the data analyzed often involves considerable uncertainty for long-tail products such as workers' compensation.
The incurred development method is similar to the paid development method, but it uses case incurred losses instead of paid losses. Since the method uses more data (case reserves in addition to paid losses) than the paid development method, the incurred development patterns may be less variable than paid patterns. However, selection of the incurred loss pattern typically requires analysis of all of the same factors described above. In addition, the inclusion of case reserves can lead to distortions if changes in case reserving practices have taken place, and the use of case incurred losses may not eliminate the issues associated with estimating the incurred loss pattern subsequent to the most mature point available.
The loss ratio method multiplies earned premiums by an expected loss ratio to produce ultimate loss estimates for each accident or policy year. This method may be useful for immature accident or policy periods or if loss development patterns are inconsistent, losses emerge very slowly, or there is relatively little loss history from which to estimate future losses. The selection of the expected loss ratio typically requires analysis of loss ratios from earlier accident or policy years or pricing studies and analysis of inflationary trends, frequency trends, rate changes, underwriting changes, and other applicable factors.
The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method using paid loss is a combination of the paid development method and the loss ratio method. This method normally determines expected loss ratios similar to the approach used to estimate the expected loss ratio for the loss ratio method and typically requires analysis of the same factors described above. This method assumes that future losses will develop at the expected loss ratio level. The percent of paid loss to ultimate loss implied from the paid development method is used to determine what percentage of ultimate loss is yet to be paid. The use of the pattern from the paid development method typically requires consideration of the same factors listed in the description of the paid development method. The estimate of losses yet to be paid is added to current paid losses to estimate the ultimate loss for each year. For long-tail lines, this method will react very slowly if actual ultimate loss ratios are different from expectations due to changes not accounted for by the expected loss ratio calculation.
The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method using incurred loss is similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method using paid loss except that it uses case incurred losses. The use of case incurred losses instead of paid losses can result in development patterns that are less variable than paid patterns. However, the inclusion of case reserves can lead to distortions if changes in case reserving have taken place, and the method typically requires analysis of the same factors that need to be reviewed for the loss ratio and incurred development methods.
The frequency times severity method multiplies a projected number of ultimate claims by an estimated ultimate average loss for each accident or policy year to produce ultimate loss estimates. Since projections of the ultimate number of claims are often less variable than projections of ultimate loss, this method can provide more reliable results for products where loss development patterns are inconsistent or too variable to be relied on exclusively. In addition, this method can more directly account for changes in coverage that impact the number and size of claims. However, this method can be difficult to apply to situations where very large claims or a substantial number of unusual claims result in volatile average claim sizes. Projecting the ultimate number of claims may require analysis of several factors including the rate at which policyholders report claims to us, the impact of judicial decisions, the impact of underwriting changes and other factors. Estimating the ultimate average loss may require analysis of the impact of large losses and claim cost trends based on changes in the cost of repairing or replacing property, changes in the cost of medical care, changes in the cost of wage replacement, judicial decisions, legislative changes and other factors.
Stochastic modeling produces a range of possible outcomes based on varying assumptions related to the particular product being modeled. For some products, we use models which rely on historical development patterns at an aggregate level, while other products are modeled using individual claim variability assumptions supplied by the claims department. In either case, multiple simulations are run and the results are analyzed to produce a range of potential outcomes. The results will typically include a mean and percentiles of the possible reserve distribution which aid in the selection of a point estimate.
For many exposures, especially those that can be considered long-tail, a particular accident or policy year may not have a sufficient volume of paid losses to produce a statistically reliable estimate of ultimate losses. In such a
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case, our actuaries typically assign more weight to the incurred development method than to the paid development method. As claims continue to settle and the volume of paid loss increases, the actuaries may assign additional weight to the paid development method. For most of our products, even the incurred losses for accident or policy years that are early in the claim settlement process will not be of sufficient volume to produce a reliable estimate of ultimate losses. In these cases, we will not assign any weight to the paid and incurred development methods. We will use the loss ratio, Bornhuetter-Ferguson and frequency times severity methods. For short-tail exposures, the paid and incurred development methods can often be relied on sooner, primarily because our history includes a sufficient number of years to cover the entire period over which paid and incurred losses are expected to change. However, we may also use the loss ratio, Bornhuetter-Ferguson and frequency times severity methods for short-tail exposures.
For other more complex products where the above methods may not produce reliable indications, we use additional methods tailored to the characteristics of the specific situation.
Periodic Reserve Reviews
The reserve analyses performed by our actuaries result in point estimates. Each quarter, the results of the detailed reserve reviews are summarized and discussed with our senior management to determine the best estimate of reserves. This group considers many factors in making this decision. The factors include, but are not limited to, the historical pattern and volatility of the actuarial indications, the sensitivity of the actuarial indications to changes in paid and incurred loss patterns, the consistency of claims handling processes, the consistency of case reserving practices, changes in our pricing and underwriting, pricing and underwriting trends in the insurance market, and legal, judicial, social and economic trends.
Our recorded reserves reflect our best estimate as of a particular point in time based upon known facts, consideration of the factors cited above, and our judgment. The carried reserve may differ from the actuarial point estimate as the result of our consideration of the factors noted above as well as the potential volatility of the projections associated with the specific product being analyzed and other factors impacting claims costs that may not be quantifiable through traditional actuarial analysis. This process results in management's best estimate which is then recorded as the loss reserve.
Currently, our recorded reserves are modestly higher than the actuarial point estimate. For CNA Commercial, CNA Specialty and Hardy, the difference between our reserves and the actuarial point estimate is primarily driven by uncertainty with respect to immature accident years, claim cost inflation, changes in claims handling, tort reform roll-backs which may adversely impact claim costs, and the effects from the economy. For Corporate & Other Non-Core, the difference between our reserves and the actuarial point estimate is primarily driven by the potential tail volatility of run-off exposures.
The key assumptions fundamental to the reserving process are often different for various products and accident or policy years. Some of these assumptions are explicit assumptions that are required of a particular method, but most of the assumptions are implicit and cannot be precisely quantified. An example of an explicit assumption is the pattern employed in the paid development method. However, the assumed pattern is itself based on several implicit assumptions such as the impact of inflation on medical costs and the rate at which claim professionals close claims. As a result, the effect on reserve estimates of a particular change in assumptions typically cannot be specifically quantified, and changes in these assumptions cannot be tracked over time.
Our recorded reserves are management's best estimate. In order to provide an indication of the variability associated with our net reserves, the following discussion provides a sensitivity analysis that shows the approximate estimated impact of variations in significant factors affecting our reserve estimates for particular types of business. These significant factors are the ones that we believe could most likely materially impact the reserves. This discussion covers the major types of business for which we believe a material deviation to our reserves is reasonably possible. There can be no assurance that actual experience will be consistent with the current assumptions or with the variation indicated by the discussion. In addition, there can be no assurance that other factors and assumptions will not have a material impact on our reserves.
Within CNA Specialty, we believe a material deviation to our net reserves is reasonably possible for professional liability and related business. This business includes professional liability coverages provided to various professional firms, including architects, real estate agents, small and mid-sized accounting firms, law firms and
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technology firms. This business also includes D&O, employment practices, fiduciary, fidelity and surety coverages, as well as insurance products serving the healthcare delivery system. The most significant factor affecting reserve estimates for this business is claim severity. Claim severity is driven by the cost of medical care, the cost of wage replacement, legal fees, judicial decisions, legislative changes and other factors. Underwriting and claim handling decisions such as the classes of business written and individual claim settlement decisions can also impact claim severity. If the estimated claim severity increases by 9%, we estimate that the net reserves would increase by approximately $500 million. If the estimated claim severity decreases by 3%, we estimate that net reserves would decrease by approximately $150 million. Our net reserves for this business were approximately $5.3 billion at December 31, 2012.
Within CNA Commercial, the two types of business for which we believe a material deviation to our net reserves is reasonably possible are workers' compensation and general liability.
For CNA Commercial workers' compensation, since many years will pass from the time the business is written until all claim payments have been made, claim cost inflation on claim payments is the most significant factor affecting workers' compensation reserve estimates. Workers' compensation claim cost inflation is driven by the cost of medical care, the cost of wage replacement, expected claimant lifetimes, judicial decisions, legislative changes and other factors. If estimated workers' compensation claim cost inflation increases by 100 basis points for the entire period over which claim payments will be made, we estimate that our net reserves would increase by approximately $450 million. If estimated workers' compensation claim cost inflation decreases by 100 basis points for the entire period over which claim payments will be made, we estimate that our net reserves would decrease by approximately $400 million. Our net reserves for CNA Commercial workers' compensation were approximately $4.9 billion at December 31, 2012.
For CNA Commercial general liability, the most significant factor affecting reserve estimates is claim severity. Claim severity is driven by changes in the cost of repairing or replacing property, the cost of medical care, the cost of wage replacement, judicial decisions, legislation and other factors. If the estimated claim severity for general liability increases by 6%, we estimate that our net reserves would increase by approximately $250 million. If the estimated claim severity for general liability decreases by 3%, we estimate that our net reserves would decrease by approximately $100 million. Our net reserves for CNA Commercial general liability were approximately $3.8 billion at December 31, 2012.
Given the factors described above, it is not possible to quantify precisely the ultimate exposure represented by claims and related litigation. As a result, we regularly review the adequacy of our reserves and reassess our reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops, additional claims are reported and settled and additional information becomes available in subsequent periods.
In light of the many uncertainties associated with establishing the estimates and making the assumptions necessary to establish reserve levels, we review our reserve estimates on a regular basis and make adjustments in the period that the need for such adjustments is determined. These reviews have resulted in our identification of information and trends that have caused us to change our reserves in prior periods and could lead to the identification of a need for additional material increases or decreases in claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, which could materially affect our results of operations, equity, business and insurer financial strength and corporate debt ratings positively or negatively. See the Ratings section of this MD&A for further information regarding our financial strength and corporate debt ratings.
Life & Group Non-Core Policyholder Reserves
We calculate and maintain reserves for policyholder claims and benefits for our Life & Group Non-Core segment based on actuarial assumptions. The determination of these reserves is fundamental to our financial results and requires management to make assumptions about expected investment and policyholder experience over the life of the contract. Since many of these contracts may be in force for several decades, these assumptions are subject to significant estimation risk.
The actuarial assumptions represent management's best estimate at the date the contract was issued plus a margin for adverse deviation. Actuarial assumptions include estimates of morbidity, mortality, policy persistency, discount rates and expenses over the life of the contracts. Under GAAP, these assumptions are locked in throughout the life of the contract unless a premium deficiency develops. The impact of differences between the actuarial
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assumptions and actual experience is reflected in results of operations each period.
Annually, management assesses the adequacy of its GAAP reserves by product group by performing premium deficiency testing. In this test, reserves computed using best estimate assumptions as of the date of the test without provisions for adverse deviation are compared to the recorded reserves. If reserves determined based on management's current best estimate assumptions are greater than the existing net GAAP reserves (i.e. reserves net of any Deferred acquisition costs asset), the existing net GAAP reserves are adjusted to the greater amount.
Payout Annuity Reserves
Our payout annuity reserves consist primarily of single premium group and structured settlement annuities. The annuity payments are generally fixed and are either for a specified period or contingent on the survival of the payee. These reserves are discounted except for reserves for loss adjustment expenses on structured settlements not funded by annuities in our property and casualty insurance companies. In 2012 and 2011, we recognized a premium deficiency on our payout annuity reserves. Therefore, the actuarial assumptions established at time of issue have been unlocked and updated to management's then current best estimate. The actuarial assumptions that management believes are subject to the most variability are discount rates and mortality.
The table below summarizes the estimated pretax impact on our results of operations from various hypothetical revisions to our assumptions. We have assumed that revisions to such assumptions would occur in each policy type, age and duration within each policy group. Although such hypothetical revisions are not currently required or anticipated, we believe they could occur based on past variances in experience and our expectations of the ranges of future experience that could reasonably occur.
Sensitivity Analysis
December 31, 2012 | |||
Estimated reduction | |||
Hypothetical revisions (In millions) | to pretax income | ||
Discount rate: | |||
50 basis point decline | $ | 131 | |
100 basis point decline | $ | 277 | |
Mortality: | |||
5% decline | $ | 25 | |
10% decline | $ | 51 |
Any actual adjustment would be dependent on the specific policies affected and, therefore, may differ from the estimates summarized above.
Long Term Care Reserves
Long term care policies provide benefits for nursing home, assisted living and home health care subject to various daily and lifetime caps. Policyholders must continue to make periodic premium payments to keep the policy in force. Generally we have the ability to increase policy premiums, subject to state regulatory approval.
Our long term care reserves consist of an active life reserve, a liability for due and unpaid claims, claims in the course of settlement and incurred but not reported claims. The active life reserve represents the present value of expected future benefit payments and expenses less expected future premium.
The actuarial assumptions that management believes are subject to the most variability are discount rates, morbidity, and persistency, which can be affected by policy lapses and death. The table below summarizes the estimated pretax impact on our results of operations from various hypothetical revisions to our assumptions. We have assumed that revisions to such assumptions would occur in each policy type, age and duration within each policy group. Although such hypothetical revisions are not currently required or anticipated, we believe they could occur based on past variances in experience and our expectations of the ranges of future experience that could reasonably occur.
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It should be noted that our current GAAP long term care reserves contain a level of margin in excess of management's current best estimates. Any required increase in the net GAAP reserves resulting from the hypothetical revisions in the table below would first reduce the margin before they would affect results of operations. The estimated impact to results of operations in the table below are after consideration of the existing margin.
Sensitivity Analysis
December 31, 2012 | |||
Estimated reduction | |||
Hypothetical revisions (In millions) | to pretax income | ||
Discount rate: | |||
50 basis point decline | $ | 491 | |
100 basis point decline | $ | 1,221 | |
Morbidity: | |||
5% increase | $ | 357 | |
10% increase | $ | 869 | |
Persistency: | |||
5% decline in voluntary lapse and mortality | $ | 208 | |
10% decline in voluntary lapse and mortality | $ | 607 |
Any actual adjustment would be dependent on the specific policies affected and, therefore, may differ from the estimates summarized above.
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SEGMENT RESULTS
The following discusses the results of continuing operations for our operating segments.
Our core property and casualty commercial insurance operations are reported in three business segments: CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial and Hardy. CNA Specialty provides a broad array of professional, financial and specialty property and casualty products and services, primarily through insurance brokers and managing general underwriters. CNA Commercial includes property and casualty coverages sold to small businesses and middle market entities and organizations primarily through an independent agency distribution system. CNA Commercial also includes commercial insurance and risk management products sold to large corporations primarily through insurance brokers. Hardy underwrites primarily short-tail exposures in marine and aviation, non-marine property, specialty lines and property treaty reinsurance. The Company acquired Hardy on July 2, 2012. Further information on Hardy is set forth in Note B.
Our non-core operations are managed in two segments: Life & Group Non-Core and Corporate & Other Non-Core. Life & Group Non-Core primarily includes the results of the life and group lines of business that are in run-off. Corporate & Other Non-Core primarily includes certain corporate expenses, including interest on corporate debt, and the results of certain property and casualty business in run-off, including CNA Re and A&EP. Intersegment eliminations are also included in this segment.
Our property and casualty field structure consists of 49 underwriting locations across the United States. In addition, there are five centralized processing operations which handle policy processing, billing and collection activities, and also act as call centers to optimize service. The claims structure consists of two regional claim centers designed to efficiently handle the high volume of low severity claims including property damage, liability, and workers' compensation medical only claims, and 16 principal claim offices handling the more complex claims. In addition, we have underwriting and claim capabilities in Canada and Europe.
We utilize the net operating income financial measure to monitor our operations. Net operating income is calculated by excluding from net income (loss) attributable to CNA the after-tax effects of 1) net realized investment gains or losses, 2) income or loss from discontinued operations and 3) any cumulative effects of changes in accounting guidance. See further discussion regarding how we manage our business in Note O to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8. In evaluating the results of our CNA Specialty, CNA Commercial and Hardy segments, we utilize the loss ratio, the expense ratio, the dividend ratio and the combined ratio. These ratios are calculated using GAAP financial results. The loss ratio is the percentage of net incurred claim and claim adjustment expenses to net earned premiums. The expense ratio is the percentage of insurance underwriting and acquisition expenses, including the amortization of deferred acquisition costs, to net earned premiums. The dividend ratio is the ratio of policyholders' dividends incurred to net earned premiums. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss, expense and dividend ratios.
Changes in estimates of claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves and premium accruals, net of reinsurance, for prior years are defined as net prior year development within this MD&A. These changes can be favorable or unfavorable. Net prior year development does not include the impact of related acquisition expenses. Further information on our reserves is provided in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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CNA Specialty
Business Overview
CNA Specialty provides professional and management liability and other coverages through property and casualty products and services, both domestically and abroad, through a network of brokers, independent agencies and managing general underwriters. CNA Specialty provides solutions for managing the risks of its clients, including architects, lawyers, accountants, health care professionals, financial intermediaries and public and private companies. Product offerings also include surety and fidelity bonds and warranty services.
CNA Specialty includes the following business groups:
Professional & Management Liability provides management and professional liability insurance and risk management services and other specialized property and casualty coverages in the United States. This group provides professional liability coverages to various professional firms, including architects, real estate agents, small and mid-sized accounting firms, law firms and technology firms. Professional & Management Liability also provides D&O, employment practices, fiduciary and fidelity coverages. Specific areas of focus include small and mid-size firms as well as privately held firms and not-for-profit organizations, where tailored products for this client segment are offered. Products within Professional & Management Liability are distributed through brokers, independent agents and managing general underwriters. Professional & Management Liability, through CNA HealthPro, also offers insurance products to serve the healthcare industry. Products include professional liability and associated standard property and casualty coverages, and are distributed on a national basis through brokers, independent agents and managing general underwriters. Key customer segments include long term care facilities, allied health care providers, life sciences, dental professionals and mid-size and large health care facilities.
International provides similar management and professional liability insurance and other specialized property and casualty coverages, through similar distribution channels, in Canada and Europe.
Surety offers small, medium and large contract and commercial surety bonds. Surety provides surety and fidelity bonds in all 50 states through a network of independent agencies. On June 10, 2011, CNA completed the acquisition of the noncontrolling interest of Surety.
Warranty and Alternative Risks provides extended service contracts and related products that provide protection from the financial burden associated with mechanical breakdown and other related losses, primarily for vehicles and portable electronic communication devices.
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The following table details the results of operations for CNA Specialty.
Results of Operations
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions, except ratios) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Net written premiums | $ | 2,924 | $ | 2,872 | $ | 2,691 | |||||
Net earned premiums | 2,898 | 2,796 | 2,679 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 592 | 500 | 591 | ||||||||
Net operating income (loss) | 504 | 517 | 623 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), after-tax | 13 | (3 | ) | 20 | |||||||
Net income (loss) | 517 | 514 | 643 | ||||||||
Ratios | |||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense | 63.2 | % | 59.3 | % | 54.0 | % | |||||
Expense | 31.5 | 30.7 | 30.6 | ||||||||
Dividend | 0.1 | (0.1 | ) | 0.5 | |||||||
Combined | 94.8 | % | 89.9 | % | 85.1 | % |
2012 Compared with 2011
Net written premiums for CNA Specialty increased $52 million in 2012 as compared with 2011, primarily driven by positive rate achievement, partially offset by lower new business levels in certain lines. Net earned premiums increased $102 million in 2012 as compared with 2011, consistent with increases in net written premiums.
CNA Specialty's average rate increased 5% for 2012, as compared to flat average rate in 2011 for the policies that renewed during those periods. Retention of 86% and 87% was achieved in each period.
Net income increased $3 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. This increase was due to improved net realized investment results, partially offset by lower net operating income.
Net operating income decreased $13 million in 2012 as compared with 2011, primarily due to decreased favorable net prior year development and decreased current accident year underwriting results, partially offset by higher investment income and the inclusion of our Surety business on a wholly-owned basis in 2012.
The combined ratio increased 4.9 points in 2012 as compared with 2011. The loss ratio increased 3.9 points, primarily due to decreased favorable net prior year development as well as the impact of a higher current accident year loss ratio. The expense ratio increased 0.8 points in 2012 as compared with 2011, primarily due to increased acquisition and underwriting expenses.
Favorable net prior year development of $150 million and $245 million was recorded in 2012 and 2011. Further information on CNA Specialty's net prior year development for 2012 and 2011 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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The following table summarizes the gross and net carried reserves as of December 31, 2012 and 2011 for CNA Specialty.
Gross and Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
December 31 | |||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | |||||
Gross Case Reserves | $ | 2,292 | $ | 2,441 | |||
Gross IBNR Reserves | 4,456 | 4,399 | |||||
Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 6,748 | $ | 6,840 | |||
Net Case Reserves | $ | 2,008 | $ | 2,086 | |||
Net IBNR Reserves | 4,104 | 3,937 | |||||
Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 6,112 | $ | 6,023 |
2011 Compared with 2010
Net written premiums for CNA Specialty increased $181 million in 2011 as compared with 2010, primarily driven by new business. Net earned premiums increased $117 million in 2011 as compared with the same period in 2010, consistent with increases in net written premiums in recent quarters and favorable premium development in 2011.
CNA Specialty's average rate was flat for 2011, as compared to a decrease of 2% in 2010 for the policies that renewed in each period. Retention of 87% and 86% was achieved in each period.
Net income decreased $129 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. This decrease was due to lower net operating income and decreased net realized investment results.
Net operating income decreased $106 million in 2011 as compared with 2010, primarily due to lower favorable net prior year development and decreased net investment income.
The combined ratio increased 4.8 points in 2011 as compared with 2010. The loss ratio increased 5.3 points, primarily due to lower favorable net prior year development as well as the impact of a higher current accident year loss ratio. The 2011 current accident year loss ratio was unfavorably affected by the anticipated loss cost trend that exceeded earned rate levels.
Favorable net prior year development of $245 million and $344 million was recorded in 2011 and 2010. Further information on CNA Specialty's net prior year development for 2011 and 2010 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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CNA Commercial
Business Overview
CNA Commercial works with an independent agency distribution system and a network of brokers to market a broad range of property and casualty insurance products and services to small, middle-market and large businesses and organizations domestically and abroad. Property products include standard and excess property coverages, as well as marine coverage, and boiler and machinery. Casualty products include standard casualty insurance products such as workers' compensation, general and product liability, commercial auto and umbrella coverages. Most insurance programs are provided on a guaranteed cost basis; however, we also offer specialized loss-sensitive insurance programs to those customers viewed as higher risk and less predictable in exposure.
These property and casualty products are offered as part of our Small Business, Commercial and International insurance groups. Our Small Business insurance group serves our smaller commercial accounts and the Commercial insurance group serves our middle markets and larger risks. In addition, CNA Commercial provides total risk management services relating to claim and information services to the large commercial insurance marketplace, through a wholly-owned subsidiary, CNA ClaimPlus, Inc., a third party administrator. The International insurance group primarily consists of the commercial product lines of our operations in Europe and Canada. During the fourth quarter of 2011, we sold our 50% ownership interest in First Insurance Company of Hawaii (FICOH).
Also included in CNA Commercial is CNA Select Risk (Select Risk), which includes our excess and surplus lines coverages. Select Risk provides specialized insurance for selected commercial risks on both an individual customer and program basis. Customers insured by Select Risk are generally viewed as higher risk and less predictable in exposure than those covered by standard insurance markets. Select Risk's products are distributed throughout the United States through specialist producers, program agents and brokers.
The following table details the results of operations for CNA Commercial.
Results of Operations
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions, except ratios) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Net written premiums | $ | 3,373 | $ | 3,350 | $ | 3,208 | |||||
Net earned premiums | 3,306 | 3,240 | 3,256 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 854 | 763 | 873 | ||||||||
Net operating income (loss) | 277 | 367 | 514 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), after-tax | 27 | 14 | (15 | ) | |||||||
Net income (loss) | 304 | 381 | 499 | ||||||||
Ratios | |||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense | 77.9 | % | 70.9 | % | 66.8 | % | |||||
Expense | 35.3 | 34.6 | 35.4 | ||||||||
Dividend | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | ||||||||
Combined | 113.5 | % | 105.8 | % | 102.6 | % |
2012 Compared with 2011
Net written premiums for CNA Commercial increased $23 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. Net written premiums for 2011 included $128 million related to FICOH. Excluding FICOH, the increase in net written premiums was primarily driven by positive rate achievement. Net earned premiums increased $66 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. Net earned premium for 2011 included $125 million related to FICOH. Excluding FICOH, the increase in net earned premiums was driven by the increase in net written premiums and the impact of favorable premium development in 2012 as compared with unfavorable premium development in 2011.
CNA Commercial's average rate increased 7% in 2012, as compared with an increase of 2% in 2011 for the policies that renewed in each period. Retention of 78% was achieved in each period.
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Net income decreased $77 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. This decrease was due to lower net operating income, partially offset by improved net realized investment results.
Net operating income decreased $90 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. This decrease was primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and decreased favorable net prior year development. These unfavorable impacts were partially offset by higher net investment income, as well as the tax expense item in 2011 discussed below.
The combined ratio increased 7.7 points in 2012 as compared with 2011. The loss ratio increased 7.0 points, primarily due to the impacts of higher catastrophe losses and decreased favorable net prior year development, partially offset by an improved current accident year non-catastrophe loss ratio. Catastrophe losses were $356 million, or 10.9 points of the loss ratio, for 2012, as compared to $208 million, or 6.4 points of the loss ratio, for 2011. Catastrophe losses in 2012 included $241 million related to Storm Sandy.
The expense ratio increased 0.7 points in 2012 as compared with 2011, primarily due to the favorable impact of recoveries in 2011 on insurance receivables written off in prior years.
Favorable net prior year development of $81 million and $183 million was recorded in 2012 and 2011. Further information on CNA Commercial net prior year development for 2012 and 2011 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
The following table summarizes the gross and net carried reserves as of December 31, 2012 and 2011 for CNA Commercial.
Gross and Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
December 31 | |||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | |||||
Gross Case Reserves | $ | 6,146 | $ | 6,266 | |||
Gross IBNR Reserves | 5,180 | 5,243 | |||||
Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 11,326 | $ | 11,509 | |||
Net Case Reserves | $ | 5,611 | $ | 5,720 | |||
Net IBNR Reserves | 4,600 | 4,670 | |||||
Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 10,211 | $ | 10,390 |
2011 Compared with 2010
Net written premiums for CNA Commercial increased $142 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. This increase was driven by continued positive rate achievement, improved economic conditions reflected in insured exposures, as well as lower reinsurance costs and higher new business levels in certain business lines.
CNA Commercial's average rate increased 2% for 2011, as compared with an increase of 1% in 2010 for the policies that renewed during those periods. Retention of 78% and 80% was achieved in each period.
Net income decreased $118 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. This decrease was due to lower net operating income, partially offset by improved net realized investment results.
Net operating income decreased $147 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. This decrease was primarily due to lower net investment income, higher catastrophe losses and lower favorable net prior year development. In addition, income tax expense of $22 million was recorded in the third quarter of 2011 due to an increase in the tax rate applicable to the undistributed earnings of a 50% owned subsidiary which was sold later in 2011. The sale resulted in a modest after-tax loss inclusive of this income tax expense. These unfavorable impacts were partially offset by improved non-catastrophe current accident year underwriting results, including lower expenses. In 2010, expenses were unfavorably impacted by IT transformation costs, as further discussed in Note P to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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The combined ratio increased 3.2 points in 2011 as compared with 2010. The loss ratio increased 4.1 points, primarily due to lower favorable net prior year development and higher catastrophe losses, partially offset by an improved current accident year non-catastrophe loss ratio. Catastrophe losses were $208 million, or 6.4 points of the loss ratio for 2011, as compared to $113 million, or 3.5 points of the loss ratio, for 2010.
The expense ratio improved 0.8 points in 2011 as compared with 2010, primarily due to the favorable impact of recoveries in 2011 on insurance receivables written off in prior years and the impact of IT Transformation costs incurred in 2010, as discussed above.
Favorable net prior year development of $183 million and $256 million was recorded in 2011 and 2010. Further information on CNA Commercial net prior year development for 2011 and 2010 is included in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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Hardy
Business Overview
On July 2, 2012, we completed the acquisition of Hardy. Through Lloyd's Syndicate 382, Hardy underwrites primarily short-tail exposures in the following coverages.
Marine & Aviation provides coverage for a variety of large risks including energy, cargo and specie, marine hull, and general aviation. Energy covers participants in the energy supply, generation and delivery chain, with a primary focus on worldwide upstream oil and gas operations. Products primarily include offshore and onshore property damage, loss of production income and business interruption, construction abandonment, and seepage and pollution. Cargo covers the transportation and storage of a wide range of products and commodities and specie offers coverage for jewelers block and fine art. Marine hull provides coverage for ocean and brown water hull, fishing vessels, yachts and other marine related risks. General aviation primarily consists of rotor wing aircraft.
Non-Marine Property comprises direct and facultative property, including construction insurance of industrial and commercial risks (heavy industry, general manufacturing, commercial property portfolios), together with residential and small commercial risks.
Property Treaty Reinsurance offers catastrophe reinsurance on an excess of loss basis, proportional treaty and excess of loss coverages and crop reinsurance.
Specialty Lines offers coverage for a variety of risks including political violence, accident and health, and financial institutions.
Syndicate 382 has £330 million of underwriting capacity for the 2012 year of account. The results below only reflect Hardy's share of Syndicate 382's results. Third party capital providers provided 25% of Syndicate 382's capital for the 2012 year of account and 7.5% for the 2011 year of account. We have provided 100% of the capital for the 2013 year of account.
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The following table details the results of operations for Hardy.
Results of Operations
Period from July 2, 2012 to December 31, 2012 | |||
(In millions, except ratios) | 2012 | ||
Net written premiums | $ | 117 | |
Net earned premiums | 120 | ||
Net investment income | 3 | ||
Net operating income (loss) | (23 | ) | |
Net realized investment gains (losses), after-tax | (1 | ) | |
Net income (loss) | (24 | ) | |
Ratios | |||
Loss and loss adjustment expense | 60.3 | % | |
Expense | 57.2 | ||
Dividend | — | ||
Combined | 117.5 | % |
Results
The composition of net earned premiums for Hardy was $47 million for marine and aviation, $37 million for non-marine property, $18 million for specialty lines and $18 million for property treaty reinsurance. The results reflect reinstatement premiums of $9 million related to Storm Sandy.
Hardy's average rate increased 1% for the six months ended December 31, 2012 for the policies that renewed in the period. Retention of 68% was achieved in the period.
Net operating loss included pretax amortization expense of $43 million related to intangible assets and favorable net prior year development of $8 million. Catastrophe losses related to Storm Sandy and were $17 million, or 17.3 points of the loss ratio and 21.4 points of the combined ratio, reflecting the impact of reinstatement premiums. Further information on Hardy's amortization expense is included in Note B to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Gross and Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
(In millions) | December 31, 2012 | ||
Gross Case Reserves | $ | 333 | |
Gross IBNR Reserves | 188 | ||
Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 521 | |
Net Case Reserves | $ | 192 | |
Net IBNR Reserves | 82 | ||
Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 274 |
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Life & Group Non-Core
Business Overview
The Life & Group Non-Core segment primarily includes the results of the life and group lines of business that are in run-off. We continue to service our existing individual long term care commitments, our payout annuity business and our pension deposit business. We also retain a block of group reinsurance and life settlement contracts. These businesses are being managed as a run-off operation. Our group long term care business, while considered non-core, continues to accept new employees in existing groups.
The following table summarizes the results of operations for Life & Group Non-Core.
Results of Operations
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 560 | $ | 569 | $ | 582 | |||||
Net investment income | 801 | 759 | 715 | ||||||||
Net operating income (loss) | (90 | ) | (208 | ) | (89 | ) | |||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), after-tax | — | (5 | ) | 33 | |||||||
Net income (loss) | (90 | ) | (213 | ) | (56 | ) |
2012 Compared with 2011
Net earned premiums for Life & Group Non-Core decreased $9 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. Net earned premiums relate primarily to the individual and group long term care businesses. The decrease in earned premiums was primarily due to lapsing of policies in our individual long term care business, which is in run-off, partially offset by increased premiums resulting from rate increase actions related to this business.
Net loss decreased $123 million in 2012 as compared with 2011. The results included the unfavorable impact of a $24 million after-tax charge in 2012 as compared to a $115 million after-tax charge in 2011 related to our payout annuity business, due to unlocking actuarial reserve assumptions. The initial reserving assumptions for these contracts were determined at issuance, including a margin for adverse deviation, and were locked in throughout the life of the contract unless a premium deficiency developed. The increase to the related reserves in 2012 related to anticipated adverse changes in discount rates, which reflect the current low interest rate environment and our view of expected future investment yields. The increase in 2011 related to anticipated adverse changes in mortality and discount rates. Additionally, long term care claim reserves were increased by $20 million after-tax in 2012 and $33 million after-tax in 2011.
The decrease in net loss was also driven by improved results in our life settlement contracts business and the impact of unfavorable performance in 2011 on our remaining pension deposit business.
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Net Carried Life & Group Non-Core Policyholder Reserves
December 31, 2012 | |||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Claim and claim adjustment expenses | Future policy benefits | Policyholders' funds | Separate account business | |||||||||||
Long term care | $ | 1,683 | $ | 6,879 | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||
Payout annuities | 637 | 2,008 | — | — | |||||||||||
Institutional markets | 1 | 12 | 100 | 312 | |||||||||||
Other | 45 | 4 | — | — | |||||||||||
Total | $ | 2,366 | $ | 8,903 | $ | 100 | $ | 312 |
The reserve amounts above are net of $1,272 million of ceded reserves and exclude $162 million of claim and claim adjustment expenses and $1,812 million of future policy benefits relating to Shadow Adjustments, as further discussed in Note A to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
December 31, 2011 | |||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Claim and claim adjustment expenses | Future policy benefits | Policyholders' funds | Separate account business | |||||||||||
Long term care | $ | 1,470 | $ | 6,374 | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||
Payout annuities | 660 | 1,997 | — | — | |||||||||||
Institutional markets | 1 | 15 | 129 | 417 | |||||||||||
Other | 53 | 5 | — | — | |||||||||||
Total | $ | 2,184 | $ | 8,391 | $ | 129 | $ | 417 |
The reserve amounts above are net of $1,375 million of ceded reserves and exclude $95 million of claim and claim adjustment expenses and $627 million of future policy benefits relating to Shadow Adjustments.
2011 Compared with 2010
Net earned premiums for Life & Group Non-Core decreased $13 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. Net earned premiums relate primarily to the individual and group long term care businesses.
Net loss increased $157 million in 2011 as compared with 2010 due to decreased results in our payout annuity, pension deposit and long term care businesses. In 2011, our payout annuity business was negatively impacted by a $115 million after-tax increase in insurance reserves, as discussed above. In 2010, our payout annuity reserves were increased by $39 million pretax and after-tax, resulting from unlocking assumptions. Additionally, long term care claim reserves were increased by $33 million after-tax in 2011.
A number of our separate account pension deposit contracts guarantee principal and an annual minimum rate of interest. If aggregate contract value in the separate account exceeds the fair value of the related assets, an additional Policyholders' funds liability is established. During 2011, we increased this pretax liability by $18 million. During 2010, we decreased this pretax liability by $24 million.
Additionally, the increase in net loss was driven by decreased net realized investment results. The increase in net loss was further driven by favorable reserve development arising from a commutation of an assumed reinsurance agreement in 2010. These unfavorable impacts were partially offset by decreased expenses. In 2010, expenses were unfavorably impacted by the IT transformation costs, as further discussed in Note P to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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Corporate & Other Non-Core
Overview
Corporate & Other Non-Core primarily includes certain corporate expenses, including interest on corporate debt, and the results of certain property and casualty business in run-off, including CNA Re and A&EP. In 2010, we ceded substantially all of our legacy A&EP liabilities under the Loss Portfolio Transfer, as further discussed in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
The following table summarizes the results of operations for the Corporate & Other Non-Core segment, including A&EP and intersegment eliminations.
Results of Operations
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Net investment income | $ | 32 | $ | 32 | $ | 137 | |||||
Net operating income (loss) | (81 | ) | (66 | ) | (387 | ) | |||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), after-tax | 2 | (3 | ) | 13 | |||||||
Net income (loss) | (79 | ) | (69 | ) | (374 | ) |
2012 Compared with 2011
Net loss increased $10 million in 2012 as compared with 2011, primarily driven by the favorable impact in 2011 of a prior year tax amount as discussed later in this section, partially offset by increased favorable net prior year development and improved net realized investment results.
Favorable net prior year development of $12 million and $3 million was recorded in 2012 and 2011.
The following table summarizes the gross and net carried reserves as of December 31, 2012 and 2011 for Corporate & Other Non-Core.
Gross and Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
December 31 | |||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | |||||
Gross Case Reserves | $ | 1,207 | $ | 1,321 | |||
Gross IBNR Reserves | 1,955 | 1,808 | |||||
Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 3,162 | $ | 3,129 | |||
Net Case Reserves | $ | 292 | $ | 347 | |||
Net IBNR Reserves | 220 | 244 | |||||
Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves | $ | 512 | $ | 591 |
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2011 Compared with 2010
Net loss decreased $305 million in 2011 as compared with 2010, primarily driven by the after-tax loss of $344 million as a result of the Loss Portfolio Transfer consummated in the third quarter of 2010. As a result of that transaction, the investment income allocated to the Corporate & Other Non-Core segment decreased substantially because of the lower net reserve base and associated risk capital. Claim adjustment expenses are lower because the counterparty to the Loss Portfolio Transfer is responsible for A&EP claim handling. The A&EP operations produced net operating income of $23 million for 2010.
Additionally, the decrease in net loss was driven by the favorable impact of a $22 million prior year tax amount and a $15 million pretax release of a previously established allowance for uncollectible reinsurance receivables arising from a change in estimate. These favorable impacts were partially offset by decreased net realized investment results and higher interest expense. The increase in interest expense primarily relates to the use of debt to fund a portion of the 2010 redemption of our preferred stock.
Favorable net prior year development of $3 million was recorded in 2011, compared to unfavorable net prior development of $6 million in 2010.
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INVESTMENTS
Net Investment Income
The significant components of pretax net investment income are presented in the following table.
Net Investment Income
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities | $ | 2,022 | $ | 2,011 | $ | 2,051 | |||||
Short term investments | 5 | 8 | 15 | ||||||||
Limited partnership investments | 251 | 48 | 249 | ||||||||
Equity securities | 12 | 20 | 32 | ||||||||
Mortgage loans | 17 | 9 | 2 | ||||||||
Trading portfolio | 24 | 9 | 13 | ||||||||
Other | 7 | 7 | 8 | ||||||||
Gross investment income | 2,338 | 2,112 | 2,370 | ||||||||
Investment expense | (56 | ) | (58 | ) | (54 | ) | |||||
Net investment income | $ | 2,282 | $ | 2,054 | $ | 2,316 |
Net investment income for the year ended December 31, 2012 increased $228 million as compared with the same period in 2011. The increase was primarily driven by a significant increase in limited partnership investment income, increased trading portfolio income and an increase in fixed maturity securities income. Limited partnership results were positively impacted by more favorable equity market returns, and overall capital market and credit spread volatility. The increase in fixed maturity securities income was driven by a higher invested asset base and the favorable net impact of changes in estimates of prepayments for asset-backed securities. These favorable impacts were partially offset by the effect of purchasing new investments at lower market interest rates.
Net investment income decreased $262 million in 2011 as compared with 2010. The decrease was primarily driven by a significant decrease in limited partnership results as well as lower fixed maturity security income. Limited partnership results were adversely impacted by less favorable equity market returns, and overall capital market and credit spread volatility. The decrease in fixed maturity security income was primarily driven by the effect of purchasing new investments at lower market interest rates.
The fixed maturity investment portfolio provided a pretax effective income yield of 5.3%, 5.5% and 5.6% for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010. Tax-exempt municipal bonds generated $274 million of net investment income for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared with $240 million and $263 million of net investment income for the same periods in 2011 and 2010.
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Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)
The components of net realized investment results are presented in the following table.
Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)
Years ended December 31 | |||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds | $ | 106 | $ | 48 | $ | 164 | |||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | (4 | ) | 5 | (128 | ) | ||||||
Asset-backed | (26 | ) | (82 | ) | 44 | ||||||
U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises | 3 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||
Foreign government | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||
Redeemable preferred stock | — | 3 | 7 | ||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities | 83 | (22 | ) | 92 | |||||||
Equity securities | (23 | ) | (1 | ) | (2 | ) | |||||
Derivative securities | (2 | ) | — | (1 | ) | ||||||
Short term investments and other | 5 | 21 | (3 | ) | |||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), net of participating policyholders’ interests | 63 | (2 | ) | 86 | |||||||
Income tax (expense) benefit on net realized investment gains (losses) | (22 | ) | 5 | (36 | ) | ||||||
Net realized investment (gains) losses, after-tax, attributable to noncontrolling interests | — | — | 1 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) attributable to CNA | $ | 41 | $ | 3 | $ | 51 |
Net realized investment gains increased $38 million for 2012 as compared with 2011, driven by lower other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses recognized in earnings. Net realized investment gains decreased $48 million for 2011 as compared with 2010. Net realized investment results include OTTI losses of $100 million, $140 million, and $151 million for 2012, 2011, and 2010. Further information on our realized gains and losses, including our OTTI losses and impairment decision process, is set forth in Note C to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Portfolio Quality
Our fixed maturity portfolio consists primarily of high quality bonds, 92% of which were rated as investment grade (rated BBB- or higher) at December 31, 2012 and 2011. The classification between investment grade and non-investment grade is based on a ratings methodology that takes into account ratings from two major providers, S&P and Moody's, in that order of preference. If a security is not rated by these providers, we formulate an internal rating. At December 31, 2012 and 2011, approximately 98% of the fixed maturity portfolio was rated by S&P or Moody's, or was issued or guaranteed by the U.S. Government, Government agencies or Government-sponsored enterprises.
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The following table summarizes the ratings of our fixed maturity portfolio at fair value.
Fixed Maturity Ratings
December 31 | |||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | % | 2011 | % | |||||||||
U.S. Government, Government agencies and Government-sponsored enterprises | $ | 4,540 | 11 | % | $ | 4,760 | 12 | % | |||||
AAA rated | 3,224 | 8 | 3,421 | 8 | |||||||||
AA and A rated | 19,305 | 45 | 17,807 | 45 | |||||||||
BBB rated | 11,997 | 28 | 10,790 | 27 | |||||||||
Non-investment grade | 3,567 | 8 | 3,159 | 8 | |||||||||
Total | $ | 42,633 | 100 | % | $ | 39,937 | 100 | % |
Non-investment grade fixed maturity securities, as presented in the table below, include high-yield securities rated below BBB- by bond rating agencies and other unrated securities that, according to our analysis, are below investment grade. Non-investment grade securities generally involve a greater degree of risk than investment grade securities. The amortized cost of our non-investment grade fixed maturity bond portfolio was $3,355 million and $3,200 million at December 31, 2012 and 2011. The following table summarizes the ratings of this portfolio at fair value.
Non-investment Grade
December 31 | |||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | % | 2011 | % | |||||||||
BB | $ | 1,529 | 43 | % | $ | 1,484 | 47 | % | |||||
B | 1,075 | 30 | 867 | 27 | |||||||||
CCC - C | 724 | 20 | 689 | 22 | |||||||||
D | 239 | 7 | 119 | 4 | |||||||||
Total | $ | 3,567 | 100 | % | $ | 3,159 | 100 | % |
The following table summarizes available-for-sale fixed maturity securities in a gross unrealized loss position by ratings distribution as of December 31, 2012.
Gross Unrealized Losses by Ratings Distribution
December 31, 2012 | Estimated Fair Value | % | Gross Unrealized Losses | % | |||||||||
(In millions) | |||||||||||||
U.S. Government, Government agencies and Government-sponsored enterprises | $ | 642 | 24 | % | $ | 45 | 29 | % | |||||
AAA | 172 | 6 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
AA | 387 | 14 | 41 | 26 | |||||||||
A | 323 | 12 | 12 | 8 | |||||||||
BBB | 551 | 21 | 22 | 14 | |||||||||
Non-Investment Grade | 610 | 23 | 32 | 21 | |||||||||
Total | $ | 2,685 | 100 | % | $ | 155 | 100 | % |
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The following table provides the maturity profile for these available-for-sale fixed maturity securities. Securities not due to mature on a single date are allocated based on weighted average life.
Maturity Profile
December 31, 2012 | Estimated Fair Value | % | Gross Unrealized Losses | % | |||||||||
Due in one year or less | $ | 213 | 8 | % | $ | 8 | 5 | % | |||||
Due after one year through five years | 913 | 34 | 22 | 14 | |||||||||
Due after five years through ten years | 865 | 32 | 72 | 47 | |||||||||
Due after ten years | 694 | 26 | 53 | 34 | |||||||||
Total | $ | 2,685 | 100 | % | $ | 155 | 100 | % |
Duration
A primary objective in the management of the investment portfolio is to optimize return relative to corresponding liabilities and respective liquidity needs. Our views on the current interest rate environment, tax regulations, asset class valuations, specific security issuer and broader industry segment conditions, and the domestic and global economic conditions, are some of the factors that enter into an investment decision. We also continually monitor exposure to issuers of securities held and broader industry sector exposures and may from time to time adjust such exposures based on our views of a specific issuer or industry sector.
A further consideration in the management of the investment portfolio is the characteristics of the corresponding liabilities and the ability to align the duration of the portfolio to those liabilities and to meet future liquidity needs, minimize interest rate risk and maintain a level of income sufficient to support the underlying insurance liabilities. For portfolios where future liability cash flows are determinable and typically long term in nature, we segregate investments for asset/liability management purposes. The segregated investments support the liabilities in the Life & Group Non-Core segment including annuities, structured settlements and long term care products.
The effective durations of fixed maturity securities, short term investments and interest rate derivatives are presented in the table below. Short term investments are net of payable and receivable amounts for securities purchased and sold, but not yet settled.
Effective Durations
December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | ||||||||||||
(In millions) | Fair Value | Effective Duration (In years) | Fair Value | Effective Duration (In years) | |||||||||
Investments supporting Life & Group Non-Core | $ | 15,590 | 11.3 | $ | 13,820 | 11.5 | |||||||
Other interest sensitive investments | 28,855 | 3.9 | 28,071 | 3.9 | |||||||||
Total | $ | 44,445 | 6.5 | $ | 41,891 | 6.4 |
The investment portfolio is periodically analyzed for changes in duration and related price risk. Additionally, we periodically review the sensitivity of the portfolio to the level of foreign exchange rates and other factors that contribute to market price changes. A summary of these risks and specific analysis on changes is included in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk included herein.
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Short Term Investments
The carrying value of the components of the short term investment portfolio is presented in the following table.
Short Term Investments
December 31 | |||||||
(In millions) | 2012 | 2011 | |||||
Short term investments: | |||||||
Commercial paper | $ | 751 | $ | 411 | |||
U.S. Treasury securities | 617 | 903 | |||||
Money market funds | 301 | 45 | |||||
Other | 163 | 282 | |||||
Total short term investments | $ | 1,832 | $ | 1,641 |
European Exposure
Our fixed maturity portfolio also includes European exposure. The following table summarizes European exposure included within fixed maturity holdings.
European Exposure
December 31, 2012 | Corporate | Sovereign | Total | ||||||||||||
(In millions) | Financial Sector | Other Sectors | |||||||||||||
AAA | $ | 224 | $ | 77 | $ | 118 | $ | 419 | |||||||
AA | 227 | 128 | 35 | 390 | |||||||||||
A | 878 | 796 | 6 | 1,680 | |||||||||||
BBB | 386 | 1,109 | 6 | 1,501 | |||||||||||
Non-investment grade | 15 | 193 | — | 208 | |||||||||||
Total fair value | $ | 1,730 | $ | 2,303 | $ | 165 | $ | 4,198 | |||||||
Total amortized cost | $ | 1,615 | $ | 2,027 | $ | 161 | $ | 3,803 |
European exposure is based on application of a country of risk methodology. Country of risk is derived from the issuing entity's management location, country of primary listing, revenue and reporting currency. As of December 31, 2012, securities with a fair value and amortized cost of $2,034 million and $1,830 million relate to Eurozone countries, which consist of member states of the European Union that use the Euro as their national currency. Of this amount, securities with a fair value and amortized cost of $324 million and $298 million pertain to Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, commonly referred to as “GIIPS.”
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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Cash Flows
Our primary operating cash flow sources are premiums and investment income from our insurance subsidiaries. Our primary operating cash flow uses are payments for claims, policy benefits and operating expenses, including interest expense on corporate debt. Additionally, cash may be paid or received for income taxes.
For 2012, net cash provided by operating activities was $1,250 million as compared with $1,702 million for 2011. Cash flows resulting from reinsurance contract commutations are reported as operating activities. During 2012, operating cash flows were decreased by $30 million related to net cash outflows from commutations as compared with net cash inflows of $547 million during 2011. Additionally, we received a $29 million tax refund in 2012 as compared to tax payments of $61 million in 2011.
Net cash used by operating activities was $89 million in 2010. As further discussed in Note G to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8 and previously referenced in this MD&A, in 2010 we completed the Loss Portfolio Transfer transaction. As a result of this transaction, operating cash flows were reduced for the initial net cash settlement with NICO. Excluding the impact of this transaction, net cash provided by operating activities was approximately $1,800 million for 2010.
Cash flows from investing activities include the purchase and disposition of available-for-sale financial instruments. Additionally, cash flows from investing activities may include the purchase and sale of businesses, land, buildings, equipment and other assets not generally held for resale.
Net cash used by investing activities was $934 million for 2012, as compared with net cash used of $1,060 million for 2011 and net cash provided of $767 million for 2010. The cash flow from investing activities is impacted by various factors such as the anticipated payment of claims, financing activity, asset/liability management and individual security buy and sell decisions made in the normal course of portfolio management. Additionally, during 2012, we acquired Hardy. Net cash provided by investing activities in 2010 primarily related to the sale of short term investments which was used to fund the $1.9 billion initial net cash settlement with NICO as discussed above.
Cash flows from financing activities may include proceeds from the issuance of debt and equity securities, outflows for stockholder dividends or repayment of debt and outlays to reacquire equity instruments. Net cash used by financing activities was $239 million, $644 million, and $742 million for 2012, 2011 and 2010.
Liquidity
We believe that our present cash flows from operations, investing activities and financing activities are sufficient to fund our current and expected working capital and debt obligation needs and we do not expect this to change in the near term. There are currently no amounts outstanding under our $250 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility.
During 2012, CCC repaid to CNAF the $250 million outstanding balance of the $1.0 billion surplus note which was originally issued in 2008. Additionally, CCC paid dividends of $450 million.
We have an effective automatic shelf registration statement under which we may issue debt, equity or hybrid securities.
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Common Stock Dividends
Dividends of $0.60 per share of our common stock were declared and paid in 2012. On February 8, 2013, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share, payable March 7, 2013 to stockholders of record on February 21, 2013. The declaration and payment of future dividends to holders of our common stock will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend on many factors, including our earnings, financial condition, business needs, and regulatory constraints.
Our ability to pay dividends and other credit obligations is significantly dependent on receipt of dividends from our subsidiaries. The payment of dividends to us by our insurance subsidiaries without prior approval of the insurance department of each subsidiary's domiciliary jurisdiction is limited by formula. Dividends in excess of these amounts are subject to prior approval by the respective state insurance departments.
Further information on our dividends from subsidiaries is provided in Note M to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
Commitments, Contingencies, and Guarantees
We have various commitments, contingencies and guarantees which arose in the ordinary course of business. The impact of these commitments, contingencies and guarantees should be considered when evaluating our liquidity and capital resources.
A summary of our commitments as of December 31, 2012 is presented in the following table.
Contractual Commitments
December 31, 2012 | |||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Total | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | ||||||||||||||
Debt (a) | $ | 3,653 | $ | 178 | $ | 845 | $ | 591 | $ | 2,039 | |||||||||
Lease obligations | 210 | 39 | 58 | 41 | 72 | ||||||||||||||
Claim and claim adjustment expense reserves (b) | 26,505 | 6,152 | 7,607 | 3,910 | 8,836 | ||||||||||||||
Future policy benefits reserves (c) | 35,607 | 153 | 449 | 726 | 34,279 | ||||||||||||||
Policyholder funds reserves (c) | 133 | 26 | 15 | (1 | ) | 93 | |||||||||||||
Guaranteed payment contracts (d) | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | ||||||||||||||
Total (e) | $ | 66,115 | $ | 6,550 | $ | 8,978 | $ | 5,268 | $ | 45,319 |
(a) | Includes estimated future interest payments. |
(b) | Claim and claim adjustment expense reserves are not discounted and represent our estimate of the amount and timing of the ultimate settlement and administration of gross claims based on our assessment of facts and circumstances known as of December 31, 2012. See the Reserves - Estimates and Uncertainties section of this MD&A for further information. |
(c) | Future policy benefits and policyholders' funds reserves are not discounted and represent our estimate of the ultimate amount and timing of the settlement of benefits based on our assessment of facts and circumstances known as of December 31, 2012. Future policy benefit reserves of $697 million and policyholders' fund reserves of $35 million related to business which has been 100% ceded to unaffiliated parties in connection with the sale of our individual life business in 2004 are not included. See the Reserves - Estimates and Uncertainties section of this MD&A for further information. |
(d) | Primarily relating to outsourced services and software. |
(e) | Does not include expected estimated contribution of $96 million to our pension and postretirement plans in 2013. |
Further information on our commitments, contingencies and guarantees is provided in Notes A, C, D, G, H, J, K and L to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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Ratings
Ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. Our insurance company subsidiaries are rated by major rating agencies, and these ratings reflect the rating agency's opinion of the insurance company's financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet our obligations to policyholders. Agency ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, and may be revised or withdrawn at any time by the issuing organization. Each agency's rating should be evaluated independently of any other agency's rating. One or more of these agencies could take action in the future to change the ratings of our insurance subsidiaries.
The table below reflects the various group ratings issued by A.M. Best, Moody's and S&P for the property and casualty and life companies. The table also includes the ratings for CNAF senior debt.
Insurance Financial Strength Ratings | Corporate Debt Ratings | ||||||
Property & Casualty | Life | CNAF | |||||
CCC Group | Western Surety Group | CAC | Senior Debt | ||||
A.M. Best | A | A | A- | bbb | |||
Moody's | A3 | Not rated | Not rated | Baa2 | |||
S&P | A- | A- | Not rated | BBB- |
S&P maintains a positive outlook and A.M. Best maintains a stable outlook on the Company. In June 2012, Moody's upgraded the Company's debt rating to Baa2 with a stable outlook, affirmed our insurance financial strength rating and revised its outlook on our financial strength rating to positive from stable.
If our property and casualty insurance financial strength ratings were downgraded below current levels, our business and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. The severity of the impact on our business is dependent on the level of downgrade and, for certain products, which rating agency takes the rating action. Among the adverse effects in the event of such downgrades would be the inability to obtain a material volume of business from certain major insurance brokers, the inability to sell a material volume of our insurance products to certain markets and the required collateralization of certain future payment obligations or reserves. Downgrades of our corporate debt ratings could result in adverse effects upon our liquidity position, including negatively impacting our ability to access capital markets, and increasing our financing costs.
Further, additional collateralization may be required for certain settlement agreements and assumed reinsurance contracts, as well as derivative contracts, if our ratings or other specific criteria fall below certain thresholds.
In addition, it is possible that a lowering of the corporate debt ratings of Loews by certain of these agencies could result in an adverse impact on our ratings, independent of any change in our circumstances. None of the major rating agencies which rates Loews currently maintains a negative outlook or has Loews on negative Credit Watch.
ACCOUNTING STANDARDS UPDATES
For discussion of accounting standards updates that have been adopted or will be adopted in the future, see Note A to the Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 8.
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This report contains a number of forward-looking statements which relate to anticipated future events rather than actual present conditions or historical events. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and generally include words such as “believes,” “expects,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements in this report include any and all statements regarding expected developments in our insurance business, including losses and loss reserves for asbestos and environmental pollution and other mass tort claims which are more uncertain, and therefore more difficult to estimate than loss reserves respecting traditional property and casualty exposures; the impact of routine ongoing insurance reserve reviews we are conducting; our expectations concerning our revenues, earnings, expenses and investment activities; volatility in investment returns; expected cost savings and other results from our expense reduction activities; and our proposed actions in response to trends in our business. Forward-looking statements, by their nature, are subject to a variety of inherent risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results projected in the forward-looking statement. We cannot control many of these risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following:
Company-Specific Factors
• | the risks and uncertainties associated with our loss reserves, as outlined in the Critical Accounting Estimates and the Reserves - Estimates and Uncertainties sections of this Report, including the sufficiency of the reserves and the possibility for future increases, which would be reflected in the results of operations in the period that the need for such adjustment is determined; |
• | the risk that the other parties to the transaction in which, subject to certain limitations, we ceded our legacy A&EP liabilities will not fully perform their obligations to CNA, the uncertainty in estimating loss reserves for A&EP liabilities and the possible continued exposure of CNA to liabilities for A&EP claims that are not covered under the terms of the transaction; |
• | the performance of reinsurance companies under reinsurance contracts with us; and |
• | the consummation of contemplated transactions and the successful integration of acquired operations. |
Industry and General Market Factors
• | the impact of competitive products, policies and pricing and the competitive environment in which we operate, including changes in our book of business; |
• | product and policy availability and demand and market responses, including the level of ability to obtain rate increases and decline or non-renew under priced accounts, to achieve premium targets and profitability and to realize growth and retention estimates; |
• | general economic and business conditions, including recessionary conditions that may decrease the size and number of our insurance customers and create additional losses to our lines of business, especially those that provide management and professional liability insurance, as well as surety bonds, to businesses engaged in real estate, financial services and professional services, and inflationary pressures on medical care costs, construction costs and other economic sectors that increase the severity of claims; |
• | conditions in the capital and credit markets, including continuing uncertainty and instability in these markets, as well as the overall economy, and their impact on the returns, types, liquidity and valuation of our investments; |
• | conditions in the capital and credit markets that may limit our ability to raise significant amounts of capital on favorable terms, as well as restrictions on the ability or willingness of Loews to provide additional capital support to us; and |
• | the possibility of changes in our ratings by ratings agencies, including the inability to access certain markets or distribution channels and the required collateralization of future payment obligations as a result of such changes, and changes in rating agency policies and practices. |
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Regulatory Factors
• | regulatory initiatives and compliance with governmental regulations, judicial interpretations within the regulatory framework, including interpretation of policy provisions, decisions regarding coverage and theories of liability, trends in litigation and the outcome of any litigation involving us, and rulings and changes in tax laws and regulations; |
• | regulatory limitations, impositions and restrictions upon us, including the effects of assessments and other surcharges for guaranty funds and second-injury funds, other mandatory pooling arrangements and future assessments levied on insurance companies as well as the new federal financial regulatory reform of the insurance industry established by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act; |
• | increased operating costs and underwriting losses arising from the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the related amendments in the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act, as well as health care reform proposals at the state level; and |
• | regulatory limitations and restrictions, including limitations upon our ability to receive dividends from our insurance subsidiaries, imposed by regulatory authorities, including regulatory capital adequacy standards. |
Impact of Catastrophic Events and Related Developments
• | weather and other natural physical events, including the severity and frequency of storms, hail, snowfall and other winter conditions, natural disasters such as hurricanes and earthquakes, as well as climate change, including effects on weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea levels, rain and snow; |
• | regulatory requirements imposed by coastal state regulators in the wake of hurricanes or other natural disasters, including limitations on the ability to exit markets or to non-renew, cancel or change terms and conditions in policies, as well as mandatory assessments to fund any shortfalls arising from the inability of quasi-governmental insurers to pay claims; |
• | man-made disasters, including the possible occurrence of terrorist attacks and the effect of the absence or insufficiency of applicable terrorism legislation on coverages; |
• | the unpredictability of the nature, targets, severity or frequency of potential terrorist events, as well as the uncertainty as to our ability to contain our terrorism exposure effectively; and |
• | the occurrence of epidemics. |
Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of the statement, even if our expectations or any related events or circumstances change.
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ITEM 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Our financial instruments are exposed to various market risks, such as interest rate risk, equity price risk and foreign currency risk. Due to the level of risk associated with certain invested assets and the level of uncertainty related to changes in the value of these assets, it is possible that changes in these risks in the near term could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations or equity.
Discussions herein regarding market risk focus on only one element of market risk, which is price risk. Price risk relates to changes in the level of prices due to changes in interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates or other factors such as credit spreads and market liquidity. The fair value of the financial instruments is generally adversely affected when interest rates rise, equity markets decline and the dollar strengthens against foreign currency.
Active management of market risk is integral to our operations. We may take the following actions to manage our exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges: (1) change the character of future investments purchased or sold, (2) use derivatives to offset the market behavior of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased and liabilities to be incurred, or (3) rebalance our existing asset and liability portfolios.
Sensitivity Analysis
We monitor our sensitivity to interest rate changes by revaluing financial assets and liabilities using a variety of different interest rates. The Company uses duration and convexity at the security level to estimate the change in fair value that would result from a change in each security's yield. Duration measures the price sensitivity of an asset to changes in the yield rate. Convexity measures how the duration of the asset changes with interest rates. The duration and convexity analysis takes into account the unique characteristics (e.g., call and put options and prepayment expectations) of each security in determining the hypothetical change in fair value. The analysis is performed at the security level and aggregated up to the asset category levels for reporting in the tables below.
The evaluation is performed by applying an instantaneous change in yield rates of varying magnitudes on a static balance sheet to determine the effect such a change in rates would have on our fair value at risk and the resulting effect on stockholders' equity. The analysis presents the sensitivity of the fair value of our financial instruments to selected changes in market rates and prices. The range of change chosen reflects our view of changes that are reasonably possible over a one-year period. The selection of the range of values chosen to represent changes in interest rates should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but rather an illustration of the impact of such events.
The sensitivity analysis estimates the decline in the fair value of our interest sensitive assets and liabilities that were held on December 31, 2012 and 2011 due to an instantaneous change in the yield of the security at the end of the period of 100 and 150 basis points.
The sensitivity analysis also assumes an instantaneous 10% and 20% decline in the foreign currency exchange rates versus the United States dollar from their levels at December 31, 2012 and 2011, with all other variables held constant.
Equity price risk was measured assuming an instantaneous 10% and 25% decline in the S&P 500 from its level at December 31, 2012 and 2011, with all other variables held constant. Our equity holdings were assumed to be highly and positively correlated with the S&P 500.
The value of limited partnerships can be affected by changes in equity markets as well as changes in interest rates. A model was developed to analyze the observed changes in the value of limited partnerships held by the Company over a multiple year period along with the corresponding changes in various equity indices and interest rates. The result of the model allowed us to estimate the change in value of limited partnerships when equity markets decline by 10% and 25% and interest rates increase by 100 and 150 basis points.
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Our sensitivity analysis has also been applied to the assets supporting our separate account business because certain of our separate account products guarantee principal and a minimum rate of interest. All or a portion of these decreases related to the separate account assets may be offset by decreases in related separate account liabilities to customers, but that is dependent on the position of the separate account in relation to the specific guarantees at the time of the interest rate or price decline. Similarly, increases in the fair value of the separate account investments would also be offset by increases in the same related separate account liabilities by the same approximate amounts.
The following tables present the estimated effects on the fair value of our financial instruments at December 31, 2012 and 2011, due to an increase in yield rates of 100 basis points, a 10% decline in foreign currency exchange rates and a 10% decline in the S&P 500.
Market Risk Scenario 1
December 31, 2012 | Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Estimated Fair Value | Interest Rate Risk | Foreign Currency Risk | Equity Price Risk | |||||||||||
General account: | |||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale: | |||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds | $ | 22,207 | $ | (1,294 | ) | $ | (150 | ) | $ | — | |||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | 10,783 | (1,141 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Asset-backed | 8,694 | (354 | ) | (7 | ) | — | |||||||||
U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises | 182 | (4 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Foreign government | 613 | (18 | ) | (60 | ) | — | |||||||||
Redeemable preferred stock | 125 | (7 | ) | — | (5 | ) | |||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities available-for-sale | 42,604 | (2,818 | ) | (217 | ) | (5 | ) | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities trading | 29 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Equity securities available-for-sale | 249 | (11 | ) | (1 | ) | (25 | ) | ||||||||
Limited partnership investments | 2,462 | 1 | — | (55 | ) | ||||||||||
Other invested assets | 59 | — | (5 | ) | — | ||||||||||
Mortgage loans (a) | 418 | (18 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Short term investments | 1,832 | (3 | ) | (22 | ) | — | |||||||||
Total general account | 47,653 | (2,849 | ) | (245 | ) | (85 | ) | ||||||||
Separate accounts: | |||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities | 288 | (5 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Short term investments | 21 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Total separate accounts | 309 | (5 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Derivative financial instruments, included in Other liabilities | (3 | ) | — | — | — | ||||||||||
Total securities | $ | 47,959 | $ | (2,854 | ) | $ | (245 | ) | $ | (85 | ) | ||||
Long term debt (a) | $ | 3,016 | $ | (144 | ) | $ | — | $ | — |
___________________
(a) Reported at amortized value in the Consolidated Balance Sheets included under Item 8 and not adjusted for fair value changes.
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Market Risk Scenario 1
December 31, 2011 | Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Estimated Fair Value | Interest Rate Risk | Foreign Currency Risk | Equity Price Risk | |||||||||||
General account: | |||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale: | |||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds | $ | 20,878 | $ | (1,175 | ) | $ | (117 | ) | $ | — | |||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | 9,782 | (1,066 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Asset-backed | 8,084 | (345 | ) | (2 | ) | — | |||||||||
U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises | 493 | (8 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Foreign government | 636 | (18 | ) | (63 | ) | — | |||||||||
Redeemable preferred stock | 58 | (3 | ) | — | (2 | ) | |||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities available-for-sale | 39,931 | (2,615 | ) | (182 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities trading | 6 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Equity securities available-for-sale | 304 | (14 | ) | (1 | ) | (30 | ) | ||||||||
Limited partnership investments | 2,245 | 1 | — | (51 | ) | ||||||||||
Other invested assets | 11 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Mortgage loans (a) | 247 | (11 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Short term investments | 1,641 | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | — | |||||||||
Derivatives | 1 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Total general account | 44,386 | (2,645 | ) | (191 | ) | (83 | ) | ||||||||
Separate accounts: | |||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities | 381 | (15 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Short term investments | 31 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Total separate accounts | 412 | (15 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Derivative financial instruments, included in Other liabilities | (1 | ) | — | — | — | ||||||||||
Total securities | $ | 44,797 | $ | (2,660 | ) | $ | (191 | ) | $ | (83 | ) | ||||
Long term debt (a) | $ | 2,679 | $ | (142 | ) | $ | — | $ | — |
___________________
(a) Reported at amortized value in the Consolidated Balance Sheets included under Item 8 and not adjusted for fair value changes.
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The following tables present the estimated effects on the fair value of our financial instruments at December 31, 2012 and 2011, due to an increase in yield rates of 150 basis points, a 20% decline in foreign currency exchange rates and a 25% decline in the S&P 500.
Market Risk Scenario 2
December 31, 2012 | Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Estimated Fair Value | Interest Rate Risk | Foreign Currency Risk | Equity Price Risk | |||||||||||
General account: | |||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale: | |||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds | $ | 22,207 | $ | (1,876 | ) | $ | (301 | ) | $ | — | |||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | 10,783 | (1,704 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Asset-backed | 8,694 | (562 | ) | (14 | ) | — | |||||||||
U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises | 182 | (6 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||
Foreign government | 613 | (26 | ) | (119 | ) | — | |||||||||
Redeemable preferred stock | 125 | (12 | ) | — | (13 | ) | |||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities available-for-sale | 42,604 | (4,186 | ) | (434 | ) | (13 | ) | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities trading | 29 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Equity securities available-for-sale | 249 | (19 | ) | (1 | ) | (62 | ) | ||||||||
Limited partnership investments | 2,462 | 1 | — |