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Drive Shack Inc. - Quarter Report: 2009 June (Form 10-Q)

Form 10-Q
Table of Contents

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 10-Q

 

 

 

x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009

or

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from              to             

Commission File Number: 001-31458

 

 

Newcastle Investment Corp.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Maryland   81-0559116
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY   10105
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(212) 798-6100

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulations S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    ¨  Yes    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

Large accelerated filer  ¨    Accelerated filer  x    Non-accelerated filer  ¨    (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

Smaller reporting company  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes  ¨    No  x

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the last practicable date.

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share: 52,905,335 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2009.

 

 

 


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CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This report contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, the operating performance of our investments, the stability of our earnings, and our financing needs. Forward-looking statements are generally identifiable by use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “potential,” “intend,” “expect,” “endeavor,” “seek,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “overestimate,” “underestimate,” “believe,” “could,” “project,” “predict,” “continue” or other similar words or expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions, discuss future expectations, describe future plans and strategies, contain projections of results of operations or of financial condition or state other forward-looking information. Our ability to predict results or the actual outcome of future plans or strategies is inherently uncertain. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, our actual results and performance could differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. Factors which could have a material adverse effect on our operations and future prospects include, but are not limited to:

 

   

our ability to take advantage of opportunities in additional asset classes at attractive risk-adjusted prices;

 

   

our ability to deploy capital accretively;

 

   

the risks that default and recovery rates on our loan portfolios exceed our underwriting estimates;

 

   

the relationship between yields on assets which are paid off and yields on assets in which such monies can be reinvested;

 

   

the relative spreads between the yield on the assets we invest in and the cost of financing;

 

   

changes in economic conditions generally and the real estate and bond markets specifically;

 

   

adverse changes in the financing markets we access affecting our ability to finance our investments, or in a manner that maintains our historic net spreads;

 

   

changing risk assessments by lenders that potentially lead to increased margin calls, not extending our repurchase agreements or other financings in accordance with their current terms or entering into new financings with us;

 

   

changes in interest rates and/or credit spreads, as well as the success of any hedging strategy we may undertake in relation to such changes;

 

   

the quality and size of the investment pipeline and the rate at which we can invest our cash, including cash inside our CDOs;

 

   

impairments in the value of the collateral underlying our investments and the relation of any such impairments to our judgments as to whether changes in the market value of our securities, loans or real estate are temporary or not and whether circumstances bearing on the value of such assets warrant changes in carrying values;

 

   

legislative/regulatory changes, including but not limited to, any modification of the terms of loans;

 

   

reductions in cash flows received from our investments, particularly our CDOs;

 

   

completion of pending investments;

 

   

the availability and cost of capital for future investments;

 

   

competition within the finance and real estate industries; and

 

   

other risks detailed from time to time below, particularly under the heading “Risk Factors,” and in our other SEC reports.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. The factors noted above could cause our actual results to differ significantly from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any of these forward-looking statements, which reflect our management’s views only as of the date of this report. We are under no duty to update any of the forward-looking statements after the date of this report to conform these statements to actual results.


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SPECIAL NOTE REGARDING EXHIBITS

In reviewing the agreements included as exhibits to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, please remember they are included to provide you with information regarding their terms and are not intended to provide any other factual or disclosure information about the Company or the other parties to the agreements. The agreements contain representations and warranties by each of the parties to the applicable agreement. These representations and warranties have been made solely for the benefit of the other parties to the applicable agreement and:

 

   

should not in all instances be treated as categorical statements of fact, but rather as a way of allocating the risk tone of the parties if those statements provide to be inaccurate;

 

   

have been qualified by disclosures that were made to the other party in connection with the negotiation of the applicable agreement, which disclosures are not necessarily reflected in the agreement;

 

   

may apply standards of materiality in a way that is different from what may be viewed as material to you or other investors; and

 

   

were made only as of the date of the applicable agreement or such other date or dates as may be specified in the agreement and are subject to more recent developments.

Accordingly, these representations and warranties may not describe the actual state of affairs as of the date they were made or at any other time. Additional information about the Company may be found elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the Company’s other public filings, which are available without charge through the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov.


Table of Contents

NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP.

FORM 10-Q

INDEX

 

           PAGE

PART I.

  

FINANCIAL INFORMATION

  

Item 1.

  

Financial Statements

  
  

Consolidated Balance Sheets as of June 30, 2009 (unaudited) and December 31, 2008

   1
  

Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited) for the three and six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008

   2
  

Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit) (unaudited) for the six months ended June 30, 2009

   3
  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited) for the six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008

   4
  

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)

   6

Item 2.

  

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

   22

Item 3.

  

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

   40

Item 4.

  

Controls and Procedures

   43

PART II.

  

OTHER INFORMATION

  

Item 1.

  

Legal Proceedings

   44

Item 1A.

  

Risk Factors

   44

Item 2.

  

Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

   61

Item 3.

  

Defaults upon Senior Securities

   61

Item 4.

  

Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

   61

Item 5.

  

Other Information

   61

Item 6.

  

Exhibits

   62

SIGNATURES

   63


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PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(dollars in thousands, except share data)

 

 

     June 30, 2009
(Unaudited)
    December 31, 2008  

Assets

    

Real estate securities, available for sale

   $ 1,568,324      $ 1,668,748   

Real estate related loans, held for sale

     717,078        843,212   

Residential mortgage loans, held for sale

     381,709        409,632   

Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option

     400,474        398,026   

Investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries

     221        384   

Operating real estate, held for sale

     10,266        11,866   

Cash and cash equivalents

     66,628        49,746   

Restricted cash

     77,573        44,282   

Receivables and other assets

     43,024        47,727   
                
   $ 3,265,297      $ 3,473,623   
                

Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit)

    

Liabilities

    

CDO bonds payable

   $ 4,270,103      $ 4,359,981   

Other bonds payable

     329,256        380,620   

Repurchase agreements

     117,478        276,472   

Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject to call option

     400,474        398,026   

Junior subordinated notes payable

     101,700        100,100   

Derivative liabilities

     222,252        333,977   

Due to affiliates

     1,497        1,532   

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     6,068        16,447   
                
     5,448,828        5,867,155   
                

Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit)

    

Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 100,000,000 shares authorized, 2,500,000 shares of 9.75% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, 1,600,000 shares of 8.05% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, and 2,000,000 shares of 8.375% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, liquidation preference $25.00 per share, issued and outstanding

     152,500        152,500   

Common stock, $0.01 par value, 500,000,000 shares authorized, 52,905,335 and 52,789,050 shares issued and outstanding at June 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively

     529        528   

Additional paid-in capital

     1,033,506        1,033,416   

Accumulated deficit

     (2,266,325     (3,272,403

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

     (1,103,741     (307,573
                
     (2,183,531     (2,393,532
                
   $ 3,265,297      $ 3,473,623   
                

See notes to consolidated financial statements

 

1


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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands, except share data)

 

 

     Three Months Ended
June 30,
    Six Months Ended
June 30,
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Interest income

   $ 87,338      $ 115,018      $ 211,811      $ 247,912   

Interest expense

     54,172        73,713        114,716        163,088   
                                

Net interest income

     33,166        41,305        97,095        84,824   
                                

Impairment

        

Provision for credit losses on loan pools

     3,557        1,868        5,464        4,373   

Valuation allowance (reversal) on loans (held for sale in 2009)

     (34,426     16,759        86,100        37,085   

Other-than-temporary impairment on securities

     209,554        101,797        396,136        148,169   

Portion of other-than-temporary impairment on securities recognized in other comprehensive income

     (55,278     —          (55,278     —     
                                
     123,407        120,424        432,422        189,627   
                                

Net interest income (loss) after impairment

     (90,241     (79,119     (335,327     (104,803

Other Income (Loss)

        

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net

     17,544        (37     11,042        6,489   

Gain on extinguishment of debt

     26,830        —          53,675        8,533   

Other income (loss), net

     10,939        1,427        4,445        (17,881

Equity in earnings (losses) of unconsolidated subsidiaries

     (28     7,062        (15     7,770   
                                
     55,285        8,452        69,147        4,911   
                                

Expenses

        

Loan and security servicing expense

     1,370        1,788        2,772        3,518   

General and administrative expense

     2,965        1,892        4,591        3,484   

Management fee to affiliate

     4,492        4,597        8,983        9,194   

Depreciation and amortization

     73        73        145        145   
                                
     8,900        8,350        16,491        16,341   
                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations

     (43,856     (79,017     (282,671     (116,233

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

     (142     (5,263     (175     (8,951
                                

Net Income (Loss)

     (43,998     (84,280     (282,846     (125,184

Preferred dividends

     (3,376     (3,376     (6,751     (6,751
                                

Income (Loss) Applicable to Common Stockholders

   $ (47,374   $ (87,656   $ (289,597   $ (131,935
                                

Income (Loss) Per Share of Common Stock

        

Basic

   $ (0.90   $ (1.66   $ (5.48   $ (2.50
                                

Diluted

   $ (0.90   $ (1.66   $ (5.48   $ (2.50
                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations per share of common stock, after preferred dividends

        

Basic

   $ (0.90   $ (1.56   $ (5.48   $ (2.33
                                

Diluted

   $ (0.90   $ (1.56   $ (5.48   $ (2.33
                                

Income (loss) from discontinued operations per share of common stock

        

Basic

   $ —        $ (0.10   $ —        $ (0.17
                                

Diluted

   $ —        $ (0.10   $ —        $ (0.17
                                

Weighted Average Number of Shares of Common Stock Outstanding

        

Basic

     52,836,208        52,783,006        52,821,800        52,781,662   
                                

Diluted

     52,836,208        52,783,006        52,821,800        52,781,662   
                                

Dividends Declared per Share of Common Stock

   $ —        $ 0.25      $ —        $ 0.50   
                                

See notes to consolidated financial statements

 

2


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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY (DEFICIT) (Unaudited)

FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

     Preferred Stock    Common Stock    Additional
Paid-in
Capital
   Accumulated
Deficit
    Accum. Other
Comp. Income
(Loss)
    Total
Stockholders’
Equity (Deficit)
 
     Shares    Amount    Shares    Amount          

Stockholders’ equity (deficit) - December 31, 2008

   6,100,000    $ 152,500    52,789,050    $ 528    $ 1,033,416    $ (3,272,403   $ (307,573   $ (2,393,532

Issuance of common stock to directors

   —        —      116,285      1      90      —          —          91   

Reclassification adjustment upon adoption of FSP 115-2 and 124-2

   —        —      —        —        —        1,288,924        (1,288,924     —     

Comprehensive income:

                     

Net (loss)

   —        —      —        —        —        (282,846     —          (282,846

Net unrealized gain on securities

   —        —      —        —        —        —          49,531        49,531   

Reclassification of net realized loss on securities into earnings

   —        —      —        —        —        —          331,891        331,891   

Net unrealized gain on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

   —        —      —        —        —        —          108,817        108,817   

Reclassification of net realized loss on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges into earnings

   —        —      —        —        —        —          2,517        2,517   
                           

Total comprehensive income (loss)

                        209,910   
                                                       

Stockholders’ equity (deficit) - June 30, 2009

   6,100,000    $ 152,500    52,905,335    $ 529    $ 1,033,506    $ (2,266,325   $ (1,103,741   $ (2,183,531
                                                       

See notes to consolidated financial statements

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

     Six Months Ended June 30,  
     2009     2008  

Cash Flows From Operating Activities

    

Net income (loss)

   $ (282,846   $ (125,184

Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (inclusive of amounts related to discontinued operations):

    

Depreciation and amortization

     150        493   

Accretion of discount and other amortization

     (33,612     (20,739

Deferred rent

     —          174   

Provision for credit losses on loan pools

     5,464        4,373   

Valuation allowance on loans held for sale

     86,100        37,085   

Non-cash directors' compensation

     91        75   

(Gain) on sale of investments

     (11,042     (6,913

Unrealized (gain) loss on non-hedge derivatives and hedge ineffectiveness

     (4,197     20,376   

Other-than-temporary impairment on securities

     340,858        157,219   

Impairment on real estate held for sale

     250        —     

(Gain) loss on extinguishment of debt

     (53,675     (8,533

Equity in (earnings) losses of unconsolidated subsidiaries

     15        (7,770

Distributions of earnings from unconsolidated subsidiaries

     —          7,770   

Change in:

    

Restricted cash

     1,459        3,196   

Receivables and other assets

     2,328        16,034   

Due to affiliates

     (35     —     

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     (1,674     (1,874
                

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

     49,634        75,782   
                

Cash Flows From Investing Activities

    

Purchase of real estate securities

     (1,800     —     

Proceeds from sale of real estate securities

     135,999        1,151,012   

Proceeds from settlement of loans

     —          12,636   

Purchase of and advances on loans

     (14,723     —     

Repayments of loan and security principal

     51,635        219,447   

Margin received on derivative instruments

     3,550        60,471   

Return of margin on derivative instruments

     —          (52,022

Margin deposits on total rate of return swaps (treated as derivative instruments)

     —          (22,200

Return of margin deposits on total rate of return swaps (treated as derivative instruments)

     37        29,891   

Net proceeds from termination of derivative instruments

     (11,610     (37,591

Purchase and improvement of operating real estate

     —          (604

Proceeds from sale of real estate held for sale

     1,350        —     

Distributions of capital from unconsolidated subsidiaries

     48        22,595   
                

Net cash provided by (used in) in investing activities

     164,486        1,383,635   
                

Continued on Page 5

See notes to consolidated financial statements

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

     Six Months Ended June 30,  
     2009     2008  

Cash Flows From Financing Activities

    

Repayments of CDO bonds payable

     (26,744     (332,643

Repayments of other bonds payable

     (51,472     (100,443

Borrowings under repurchase agreements

     —          20,819   

Repayments of repurchase agreements

     (159,048     (997,991

Return of margin deposits under repurchase agreements

     7,586        78,963   

Margin deposits under repurchase agreement

     (7,303     (72,656

Dividends paid

     —          (57,944

Payment of deferred financing costs

     (1,900     (337

Restricted cash returned from refinancing activities

     41,643        128,866   
                

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

     (197,238     (1,333,366
                

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents

     16,882        126,051   

Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Period

     49,746        55,916   
                

Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Period

   $ 66,628      $ 181,967   
                

Supplemental Disclosure of Cash Flow Information

    

Cash paid during the period for interest expense

   $ 87,067      $ 146,339   

Cash paid during the year for federal excise tax

   $ —        $ 316   

Supplemental Schedule of Non-Cash Investing and Financing Activities

    

Common stock dividends declared but not paid

   $ —        $ 13,197   

Preferred stock dividends declared but not paid

   $ —        $ 2,250   

See notes to consolidated financial statements

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

1. GENERAL

Newcastle Investment Corp. (and its subsidiaries, “Newcastle”) is a Maryland corporation that was formed in 2002. Newcastle conducts its business through four primary segments: (i) investments financed with non-recourse collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”), (ii) investments financed with other non-recourse debt, (iii) investments financed with recourse debt, including FNMA / FHLMC securities, and (iv) unlevered investments.

Newcastle is organized and conducts its operations to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”) for U.S. federal income tax purposes. As such, Newcastle will generally not be subject to U.S. federal corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders if it distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders by prescribed dates and complies with various other requirements.

Newcastle is party to a management agreement (the “Management Agreement”) with FIG LLC (the “Manager”), an affiliate of Fortress Investment Group LLC, under which the Manager advises Newcastle on various aspects of its business and manages its day-to-day operations, subject to the supervision of Newcastle’s board of directors. For its services, the Manager receives an annual management fee and incentive compensation, both as defined in the Management Agreement.

Approximately 5.0 million shares of Newcastle’s common stock were held by the Manager, through its affiliates, and the principals of an affiliate of the Manager at June 30, 2009. In addition, the Manager, through its affiliates, held options to purchase approximately 1.6 million shares of Newcastle’s common stock at June 30, 2009.

The accompanying consolidated financial statements and related notes of Newcastle have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States for interim financial reporting and the instructions to Form 10-Q and Rule 10-01 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles have been condensed or omitted. In the opinion of management, all adjustments considered necessary for a fair presentation of Newcastle’s financial position, results of operations and cash flows have been included and are of a normal and recurring nature. The operating results presented for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for any other interim period or for the entire year. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with Newcastle’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2008 and notes thereto included in Newcastle’s annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Capitalized terms used herein, and not otherwise defined, are defined in Newcastle’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2008.

Change in Presentation

Newcastle has changed the format of its consolidated statements of operations for all periods presented to be more consistent with the provisions of Article 9 of Regulation S-X. Article 9 of Regulation S-X is applicable to bank holding companies and Newcastle believes that, as a finance company, Article 9’s provisions are more closely aligned with its operations than those in Article 5, which applies to commercial and industrial companies. This change in format did not have any effect on any of the reported line items within the statements of operations, or on net income (loss) or net income (loss) per share.

2. INFORMATION REGARDING BUSINESS SEGMENTS

Newcastle conducts its business through four primary segments: (i) investments financed with non-recourse collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”), (ii) investments financed with other non-recourse debt, (iii) investments financed with recourse debt, including FNMA / FHLMC securities, and (iv) unlevered investments. In the second quarter of 2008, Newcastle changed the structure of its internal organization such that the basis of the composition of its reportable segments changed from investment type to financing type. Management believes this presentation better reflects the benefits and risks of the company’s structure.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

Summary financial data on Newcastle’s segments is given below, together with a reconciliation to the same data for Newcastle as a whole:

 

     CDOs (A)     Other
Non-Recourse
(A) (B)
    Recourse     Unlevered     Unallocated     Total  

Six Months Ended June 30, 2009

            

Interest income

   $ 166,939      $ 38,859      $ 4,802      $ 1,168      $ 43      $ 211,811   

Interest expense

     73,567        34,917        2,188        —          4,044        114,716   
                                                

Net interest income (expense)

     93,372        3,942        2,614        1,168        (4,001     97,095   

Impairment

     400,721        (6,557     32,471        5,787        —          432,422   

Other income (loss)

     60,418        4,515        4,311        (98     1        69,147   

Depreciation and amortization

     —          —          —          —          145        145   

Other operating expenses

     882        1,870        25        1        13,568        16,346   
                                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations

     (247,813     13,144        (25,571     (4,718     (17,713     (282,671

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

     —          —          —          (175     —          (175
                                                

Net income (loss)

     (247,813     13,144        (25,571     (4,893     (17,713     (282,846

Preferred dividends

     —          —          —          —          (6,751     (6,751
                                                

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

   $ (247,813   $ 13,144      $ (25,571   $ (4,893   $ (24,464   $ (289,597
                                                

Three Months Ended June 30, 2009

            

Interest income

   $ 66,176      $ 18,517      $ 2,284      $ 339      $ 22      $ 87,338   

Interest expense

     35,253        15,761        991        —          2,167        54,172   
                                                

Net interest income (expense)

     30,923        2,756        1,293        339        (2,145     33,166   

Impairment

     119,235        (10,153     11,177        3,148        —          123,407   

Other income (loss)

     45,073        10,196        78        (61     (1     55,285   

Depreciation and amortization

     —          —          —          —          73        73   

Other operating expenses

     442        929        3        —          7,453        8,827   
                                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations

     (43,681     22,176        (9,809     (2,870     (9,672     (43,856

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

     —          —          —          (142     —          (142
                                                

Net income (loss)

     (43,681     22,176        (9,809     (3,012     (9,672     (43,998

Preferred dividends

     —          —          —          —          (3,376     (3,376
                                                

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

   $ (43,681   $ 22,176      $ (9,809   $ (3,012   $ (13,048   $ (47,374
                                                

June 30, 2009

            

Investments (C)

   $ 2,195,235      $ 735,766      $ 135,040      $ 12,031      $ —        $ 3,078,072   

Cash and restricted cash

     74,644        —          3,200        413        65,944        144,201   

Other assets

     39,382        —          838        82        2,722        43,024   

Debt

     (4,270,103     (729,730     (117,478     —          (101,700     (5,219,011

Derivative liabilities

     (194,392     (24,850     (3,010     —          —          (222,252

Other liabilities

     (1,131     (980     (627     (133     (4,694     (7,565

Preferred stock

     —          —          —          —          (152,500     (152,500
                                                

GAAP book value (D)

   $ (2,156,365   $ (19,794   $ 17,963      $ 12,393      $ (190,228   $ (2,336,031
                                                

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

     CDOs (A)     Other
Non-Recourse
(A) (B)
    Recourse     Unlevered     Unallocated     Total  

Six Months Ended June 30, 2008

            

Interest income

   $ 157,600      $ 46,257      $ 27,957      $ 14,966      $ 1,132      $ 247,912   

Interest expense

     104,585        34,436        20,006        302        3,759        163,088   
                                                

Net interest income (expense)

     53,015        11,821        7,951        14,664        (2,627     84,824   

Impairment

     145,422        5,660        2,432        36,113        —          189,627   

Other income (loss)

     3,037        (548     (5,434     8,443        (587     4,911   

Depreciation and amortization

     —          —          —          —          145        145   

Other operating expenses

     820        2,603        25        104        12,644        16,196   
                                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations

     (90,190     3,010        60        (13,110     (16,003     (116,233

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

     —          —          —          (8,951     —          (8,951
                                                

Net income (loss)

     (90,190     3,010        60        (22,061     (16,003     (125,184

Preferred dividends

     —          —          —          —          (6,751     (6,751
                                                

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

   $ (90,190   $ 3,010      $ 60      $ (22,061   $ (22,754   $ (131,935
                                                

Three Months Ended June 30, 2008

            

Interest income

   $ 73,401      $ 22,002      $ 11,547      $ 7,472      $ 596      $ 115,018   

Interest expense

     47,492        16,540        7,614        187        1,880        73,713   
                                                

Net interest income (expense)

     25,909        5,462        3,933        7,285        (1,284     41,305   

Impairment

     84,545        1,933        —          33,946        —          120,424   

Other income (loss)

     821        (548     440        7,736        3        8,452   

Depreciation and amortization

     —          —          —          —          73        73   

Other operating expenses

     408        1,302        6        104        6,457        8,277   
                                                

Income (loss) from continuing operations

     (58,223     1,679        4,367        (19,029     (7,811     (79,017

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

     —          —          —          (5,263     —          (5,263
                                                

Net income (loss)

     (58,223     1,679        4,367        (24,292     (7,811     (84,280

Preferred dividends

     —          —          —          —          (3,376     (3,376
                                                

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

   $ (58,223   $ 1,679      $ 4,367      $ (24,292   $ (11,187   $ (87,656
                                                

 

(A) Assets held within CDOs and other non-recourse structures are not available to satisfy obligations outside of such financings, except to the extent Newcastle receives net cash flow distributions from such structures. Furthermore, economic losses from such structures cannot exceed Newcastle’s invested equity in them. Therefore, economically their book value cannot be less than zero, except for the amounts described in note (B) below.
(B) Includes all of the manufactured housing loan financing, of which $16.7 million (carrying value) was recourse as of June 30, 2009.
(C) Investments in the unlevered segment include $8.3 million of real estate securities, $3.6 million of a real estate related loan and $0.2 million of interests in a joint venture at June 30, 2009. The real estate related loan was pledged as collateral for the junior subordinated notes and will be released at the end of the interest rate modification period.
(D) Newcastle cannot economically lose more than its investment amount in any given non-recourse financing structure. Therefore, impairment recorded in excess of such investment, which results in negative GAAP book value for a given non-recourse financing structure, cannot economically be incurred and will eventually be reversed through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the deconsolidation or termination of such non-recourse financing structure. For non-recourse financing structures with negative GAAP book value, except as noted in (B) above, the aggregate negative GAAP book value which will eventually be recorded as income is $1.1 billion.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

Unconsolidated Subsidiaries

The following table summarizes the activity for significant subsidiaries affecting the equity held by Newcastle in unconsolidated subsidiaries:

 

     Real Estate Loan  

Balance at December 31, 2008

   $ 283   

Distributions from unconsolidated subsidiaries

     (47

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries

     (15
        

Balance at June 30, 2009

   $ 221   
        

Gain (Loss) on Settlement of Investments, Net and Other Income (Loss), Net

These items are comprised of the following:

 

     Six Months Ended June 30,  
     2009     2008  

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net

    

Gain on settlement of real estate securities

   $ 25,470      $ 6,459   

Loss on settlement of real estate securities

     (16,503     (979

Gain on disposition of loans held for sale

     2,071        1,434   

Realized gain (loss) on termination of derivative instruments

     4        (425
                
   $ 11,042      $ 6,489   
                

Other income (loss), net

    

Realized (loss) on total rate of return swaps

   $ —        $ (7,145

Unrealized (loss) on total rate of return swaps

     —          (3,624

Gain (loss) on non-hedge derivative instruments

     13,312        (8,405

Unrealized (loss) recognized at de-designation of hedges

     (8,797     (990

Hedge ineffectiveness

     (318     213   

Other income (loss)

     248        2,070   
                
   $ 4,445      $ (17,881
                

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

3. REAL ESTATE SECURITIES

The following is a summary of Newcastle’s real estate securities at June 30, 2009, all of which are classified as available for sale and are therefore reported at fair value with changes in fair value recorded in other comprehensive income, except for securities that are other-than-temporarily impaired.

 

Asset Type

   Amortized Cost Basis               Carrying Value (B)    Number
of
Securities
   Weighted Average
   Outstanding
Face Amount
   Before
Impairment
   Other-Than-
Temporary
Impairment (A)
    After
Impairment
   Gross Unrealized           Rating (C)    Coupon     Yield     Maturity
(Years)
              Gains    Losses                 

CMBS-Conduit

   $ 1,637,779    $ 1,462,986    $ (565,829   $ 897,157    $ 10,208    $ (441,168   $ 466,197    200    BBB    5.70   7.47   4.0

CMBS- Single Borrower

     622,971      611,790      (14,853     596,937      276      (254,096     343,117    69    BB    4.43   4.98   2.7

CMBS-Large Loan

     89,225      89,219      (2,086     87,133      —        (57,222     29,911    12    BB    1.98   2.08   2.5

CMBS- CDO

     16,000      14,731      (14,731     —        —        —          —      1    CC    10.13   0.00   —  

REIT Debt

     564,067      563,748      (8,285     555,463      5,586      (93,381     467,668    59    BB+    6.13   5.91   4.5

ABS-Subprime

     502,336      468,222      (263,724     204,498      103      (54,301     150,300    111    B    1.50   9.24   4.2

ABS-Manufactured Housing

     52,172      50,605      —          50,605      26      (13,410     37,221    9    BBB    6.69   7.23   5.8

ABS-Franchise

     36,721      37,237      (18,408     18,829      —        (5,816     13,013    17    BBB-    3.97   3.83   3.1

FNMA/FHLMC (D)

     51,476      52,855      —          52,855      2,024      —          54,879    3    AAA    5.84   5.56   4.0
                                                                             

Subtotal/Average (E)

     3,572,747      3,351,393      (887,916     2,463,477      18,223      (919,394     1,562,306    481    BB+    4.88   6.40   3.9
                                                                             

Retained Securities (F)

     76,059      73,081      (68,958     4,123      —        (1,059     3,064    7    CC    2.39   7.97   1.9

Residual Interests (F)

     365      29,527      (29,162     365      —        —          365    1    NR    0.00   30.00   0.3
                                                                             

Debt Security Total/Average

   $ 3,649,171      3,454,001      (986,036     2,467,965      18,223      (920,453     1,565,735    489    BB+    4.83   6.40   3.8
                                               

Equity Security

        1,111      —          1,111      1,478      —          2,589    1          
                                                             

Total

      $ 3,455,112    $ (986,036   $ 2,469,076    $ 19,701    $ (920,453   $ 1,568,324    490          
                                                             

 

(A) Represents the cumulative impairment against amortized cost basis recorded through earnings, net of the effect of the cumulative adjustment as a result of the adoption of FSP 115-2 and 124-2 (see below).
(B) See Note 6 regarding the estimation of fair value, which is equal to carrying value for all securities.
(C) Represents the weighted average of the ratings of all securities in each asset type, expressed as an S&P equivalent rating. For each security rated by multiple rating agencies, the lowest rating is used. FNMA/FHLMC securities have an implied AAA rating. Ratings provided were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
(D) Amortized cost basis and carrying value include principal receivable of $0.8 million.
(E) The total outstanding face amount of fixed rate securities was $2.6 billion, and of floating rate securities was $1.0 billion.
(F) Represents the retained bonds and equity from Securitization Trust 2006 and Securitization Trust 2007. The residuals do not have stated coupons and therefore their coupons have been treated as zero for purposes of the table.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

Unrealized losses that are considered other-than-temporary are recognized currently in income. During the six months ended June 30, 2009, Newcastle recorded other-than-temporary impairment charges of $396.1 million (gross of $55.3 million of the portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other comprehensive income) with respect to real estate securities. Based on management’s analysis of these securities, the performance of the underlying loans and changes in market factors, Newcastle noted adverse changes in the expected cash flows on certain of these securities and concluded that they were other-than-temporarily impaired in accordance with FSP FAS 115-2 and 124-2 (see below). The remaining unrealized losses on Newcastle’s securities are primarily the result of market factors. Pursuant to the FSP, these noncredit unrealized losses are recognized in accumulated other comprehensive income.

 

          Amortized Cost Basis    Gross Unrealized               Weighted Average

Securities in
an Unrealized
Loss Position

   Outstanding
Face
Amount
   Before
Impairment
   Other-than-
Temporary
Impairment
    After
Impairment
   Gains    Losses     Carrying
Value
   Number
of
Securities
   Rating (E)    Coupon     Yield     Maturity
(Years)

Less Than Twelve Months

   $ 741,146    $ 687,688    $ (424,248   $ 263,440    $ —      $ (47,616     215,824    129    B    3.28   9.79   3.1

Twelve or More Months

     2,517,417      2,460,984      (440,656     2,020,328      —        (872,837     1,147,491    313    BB+    5.19   5.39   3.7
                                                                             

Total

   $ 3,258,563    $ 3,148,672    $ (864,904   $ 2,283,768    $ —      $ (920,453   $ 1,363,315    442    BB    4.75   5.90   3.6
                                                                             

In April 2009, the FASB issued FSP FAS 115-2 and 124-2 “Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments.” The FSP changes the guidance for determining, recording and disclosing other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”). This guidance applies to debt securities in an unrealized loss position (i.e. their fair value is less than their amortized cost basis) as follows:

 

     

Old Guidance

 

Current Guidance

Must express an intent and ability to hold securities until an expected recovery in value to amortized cost basis, or else record OTTI for the difference between fair value and amortized cost.   Must not have the intent to sell a security nor be in a position where a required sale is more likely than not, or else record OTTI for the difference between fair value and amortized cost.
   
If no recovery to amortized cost basis is expected, must record OTTI in the same amount.   Otherwise, must record OTTI relating to the portion of the unrealized loss which represents a credit loss, if any.

Newcastle performed an assessment of all of its debt securities that are in an unrealized loss position (unrealized loss position exists when a security’s amortized cost basis, excluding the effect of other than temporary impartment, exceeds its fair value) in accordance with the guidance of FSP FAS 115-2 and 124-2 and determined the following:

 

     June 30, 2009  
               Unrealized Losses  
     Fair Value    Amortized
Cost Basis (A)
   Credit (B)     Non-Credit (C)  

Securities Newcastle intends to sell

   $ —      $ —      $ —        N/A   

Securities Newcastle is more likely than not to be required to sell (A)

     —        —        —        N/A   

Securities Newcastle has no intent to sell and is not more likely than not to be required to sell:

          

Credit impaired securities

     165,571      234,094      (864,904   (68,523

Non credit impaired securities

     1,197,744      2,049,674      —        (851,930
                            

Total

     1,363,315      2,283,768      (864,904   (920,453
                            

 

(A) Newcastle may, at times, be more likely than not to be required to sell certain securities for liquidity purposes. While the amount of the securities to be sold may be an estimate, and the securities to be sold have not yet been identified, this FSP requires Newcastle to make its best estimate, which is subject to significant judgment regarding future events, and may differ materially from actual future sales.
(B) Excluding the effect of previously recorded other-than-temporary impairment, which must be reconsidered as a result of this FSP. These amounts, which aggregate $864.9 million, are required to be recorded as other-than-temporary impairment through the income statement. Of this amount, $710.6 million relates to prior periods (and will be recorded as part of the reclassification adjustment upon adoption, as described below) and $154.3 million relates to the three months ended June 30, 2009. In measuring the portion of credit losses, Newcastle’s management estimates the expected cash flow for each of the securities. This evaluation includes a review of the credit status and the performance of the collateral supporting those securities, including the credit of the issuer, key terms of the securities and the effect of local, industry and broader economic trends. Significant inputs in estimating the cash flows include management’s expectations of prepayment speeds, default rates and loss severities. Credit losses are measured as the decline in the present value of the expected future cash flows discounted at the investment’s effective interest rate.
(C) This amount represents unrealized losses on securities that are due to non-credit factors and is required to be recorded through other comprehensive income.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

As a result of this reassessment, Newcastle is recording a reclassification adjustment upon adoption of FSP 115-2 and 124-2 of $1.3 billion of loss from Accumulated Deficit to Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) and is recording $154.3 million of net other-than-temporary impairment on its securities for the three months ended June 30, 2009. The reclassification adjustment had no impact on total consolidated assets, liabilities or equity and did not impact Newcastle’s liquidity. This represents a substantive reversal of a large portion of the impairment charge recorded in the fourth quarter of 2008, which was originally recorded as a result of Newcastle’s inability to express the intent and ability to hold its securities until an expected recovery in value (if any).

The following table summarizes the activity related to credit losses on debt securities for the quarter ended June 30, 2009:

 

     Three months ended June 30, 2009  

Beginning balance of credit losses on debt securities for which a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income

   $ (363,125

Additions for credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was not previously recognized

     (69,962

Increases to credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was previously recognized and a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income

     (74,560

Additions for credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was previously recognized without any portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other comprehensive income

     (370,166

Reduction for credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was previously recognized and a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income at the beginning but not at the end of the quarter

     12,909   

Reduction for increases in cash flows expected to be collected that are recognized over the remaining life of the security

     532   
        

Ending balance of credit losses on debt securities for which a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income

   $ (864,372
        

In January 2009, the FASB issued FSP EITF 99-20-1, “Amendments to the Impairment Guidance of EITF Issue No. 99-20.” This FSP amends EITF No. 99-20 to achieve more consistent determination of whether an other-than-temporary impairment has occurred, with the same objective as SFAS 115. In particular, it changed a requirement to analyze a security’s estimated cash flows from a market participant’s perspective to an analysis from the perspective of the holder. The adoption of EITF 99-20-1 did not have a material impact on Newcastle’s impairment analysis for the six months ended June 30, 2009 because Newcastle generally analyzes cash flows of securities in a manner consistent with market practice.

The table below summarizes the geographic distribution of the collateral securing our CMBS at June 30, 2009 (in thousands):

 

Geographic Location

   Outstanding Face Amount    Percentage  

Northeastern U.S.

   $ 562,885    23.8

Western U.S.

     565,161    23.9

Southeastern U.S.

     471,758    19.9

Midwestern U.S.

     305,683    12.9

Southwestern U.S.

     253,058    10.7

Other

     181,440    7.7

Foreign

     25,990    1.1
             
   $ 2,365,975    100.0
             

Geographic concentrations of investments expose Newcastle to the risk of economic downturns within the relevant regions, particularly given the current unfavorable market conditions. These market conditions may make regions more vulnerable to downturns in certain market factors. Any such downturn in a region where Newcastle holds significant investments could have a material, negative impact on Newcastle.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

4. REAL ESTATE RELATED LOANS HELD FOR SALE, RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LOANS HELD FOR SALE AND SUBPRIME MORTGAGE LOANS

The following is a summary of real estate related loans held for sale, residential mortgage loans held for sale and subprime mortgage loans at June 30, 2009. The loans contain various terms, including fixed and floating rates, self-amortizing and interest only. They are generally subject to prepayment.

 

Loan Type

   Outstanding
Face Amount
   Carrying
Value
   Loan
Count
   Wtd. Avg.
Yield
    Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years) (A)
   Floating Rate
Loans as a %
of Face
Amount
    Delinquent Face
Amount (B)

Mezzanine Loans

   $ 755,477    $ 296,542    23    54.15   2.1    86.9   $ 44,955

Corporate Bank Loans

     452,043      273,190    12    10.47   2.4    100.0     52,997

B-Notes

     309,710      80,568    11    51.77   2.0    84.3     95,092

Whole Loans

     102,053      66,778    4    30.66   1.9    97.6     —  
                                          

Total Real Estate Related Loans Held for Sale

   $ 1,619,283    $ 717,078    50    35.05   2.1    90.7   $ 193,044
                                          

Residential Loans

   $ 73,793    $ 46,417    251    14.04   6.1    100.0   $ 6,705

Manufactured Housing Loans

     442,761      335,292    13,089    14.51   7.0    10.7     6,698
                                          

Total Residential Mortgage Loans Held for Sale (C)

   $ 516,554    $ 381,709    13,340    14.45   6.8    23.5   $ 13,403
                                          

Subprime Mortgage Loans Subject to Call Option

   $ 406,217    $ 400,474             
                          

 

(A) The weighted average maturities were calculated based on constant prepayment rates (CPR) of 7% and 30% for the residential loan pools, and 4% and 6% for the manufactured housing loan pools.
(B) Includes loans that are non-performing, in foreclosure, considered real estate owned and real estate related loans under bankruptcy filing.
(C) Carrying value includes interest receivable of $0.2 million for the residential housing loans and principal and interest receivable of $8.5 million for the manufactured housing loans.

The following is a reconciliation of the related loss allowance.

 

     Real Estate
Related Loans
    Residential
Mortgage Loans
 

Balance at December 31, 2008

   $ (827,328   $ (136,206

Provision for credit losses

     —          (5,464

Valuation (allowance) reversal on loans held for sale

     (92,263     6,163   

Realized losses

     62,001        5,464   
                

Balance at June 30, 2009

   $ (857,590   $ (130,043
                

Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Loans

The following table presents information on the retained interests in Newcastle’s securitizations of subprime mortgage loans and the sensitivity of their fair value for immediate 10% and 20% adverse changes in the assumptions utilized in calculating such fair value, at June 30, 2009:

 

     Subprime Portfolio  
     I     II  

Total securitized loans (unpaid principal balance) (A)

   $ 639,824      $ 860,417   

Loans subject to call option (carrying value)

   $ 296,989      $ 103,485   

Retained interests (fair value) (B)

   $ 1,746      $ 1,684   

Weighted average life (years) of residual interest

     —          0.3   

Weighted average expected credit losses (C)

     24.4     43.1

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 10% adverse change

   $ (195   $ (232

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 20% adverse change

   $ (385   $ (410

Weighted average constant prepayment rate (D)

     9.6     3.8

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 10% adverse change

   $ (36   $ (33

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 20% adverse change

   $ (59   $ (62

Weighted average discount rate

     19.6     22.2

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 10% adverse change

   $ (120   $ (21

Effect on fair value of retained interests of 20% adverse change

   $ (219   $ (41

 

(A) Average loan seasoning of 46 months and 29 months for Subprime Portfolios I and II, respectively, at June 30, 2009.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

(B) The retained interests include residual interests and retained bonds of the securitizations. Their fair value is estimated based on pricing models.
(C) Represents the percentage of losses on the original principal balance of the loans from the date of the respective securitizations (April 2006 and July 2007) to the maturity of the loans.
(D) Represents the weighted average voluntary prepayment rate for the loans from the date of the respective securitizations (April 2006 and July 2007) to the maturity of the loans.

The sensitivity analysis is hypothetical and should be used with caution. In particular, the results are calculated by stressing a particular economic assumption independent of changes in any other assumption; in practice, changes in one factor may result in changes in another, which might counteract or amplify the sensitivities. Also, changes in the fair value based on a 10% or 20% variation in an assumption generally may not be extrapolated because the relationship of the change in the assumption to the change in fair value may not be linear.

The following table summarizes certain characteristics of the underlying subprime mortgage loans, and related financing, in the securitizations as of June 30, 2009:

 

     Subprime Portfolio  
     I     II  

Loan unpaid principal balance (UPB)

   $ 639,824      $ 860,417   

Weighted average coupon rate of loans

     7.22     7.10

Delinquencies of 60 or more days (UPB) (A)

   $ 111,751      $ 210,437   

Net credit losses for the six months ended June 30, 2009

   $ 52,686      $ 37,296   

Cumulative net credit losses

   $ 97,530      $ 57,260   

Cumulative net credit losses as a % of original UPB

     6.49     5.26

Percentage of ARM loans (B)

     55.2     67.8

Percentage of loans with loan-to-value ratio >90%

     10.5     17.4

Percentage of interest-only loans

     24.8     4.5

Face amount of debt (C)

   $ 602,590      $ 782,926   

Weighted average funding cost of debt (D)

     1.78     2.57

 

(A) Delinquencies include loans 60 or more days past due, in foreclosure, or real estate owned.
(B) ARM loans are adjustable-rate mortgage loans. An option ARM is an adjustable-rate mortgage that provides the borrower with an option to choose from several payment amounts each month for a specified period of the loan term. None of the loans in the subprime portfolios are an option ARM.
(C) Excludes face amount of $37.2 million and $38.8 million of retained notes for Subprime Portfolios I and II, respectively, at June 30, 2009.
(D) Includes the effect of applicable hedges.

Newcastle received net cash inflows of $0.5 million and $0.8 million from the retained interests of Subprime Portfolios I and II, respectively, during the six months ended June 30, 2009.

The weighted average yields of the retained notes of Subprime Portfolios I and II were 9.65% and 4.88%, respectively, as of June 30, 2009. The loans subject to call option and the corresponding financing recognize interest income and expense based on the expected weighted average coupons of the loans subject to call option at the call date of 9.24% and 8.68%, for Subprime Portfolios I and II, respectively.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

5. DEBT OBLIGATIONS

The following table presents certain information regarding Newcastle’s debt obligations and related hedges at June 30, 2009:

 

Debt Obligation/Collateral

   Month
Issued
    Outstanding
Face
Amount
   Carrying
Value
   Unhedged
Weighted
Average
Funding Cost (A)
  Final Stated
Maturity
    Weighted
Average
Funding
Cost (B)
    Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years)
   Face
Amount
of Floating
Rate
Debt
   Collateral
Amortized
Cost Basis (C)
   Collateral
Carrying
Value (C)
   Collateral
Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years)
   Face
Amount of
Floating Rate
Collateral (C)
   Aggregate
Notional
Amount of
Current
Hedges

CDO Bonds Payable

                                  

CDO IV

   Mar 2004      $ 383,685    $ 382,068    1.46%   Mar 2039      3.07   3.3    $ 360,600    $ 382,918    $ 219,780    3.8    $ 184,152    $ 177,300

CDO V

   Sep 2004        454,500      452,438    1.27%   Sep 2039      3.04   3.7      442,500      428,450      232,957    3.9      236,666      208,574

CDO VI (D)

   Apr 2005        439,992      438,210    0.82%   Apr 2040      3.31   4.4      432,444      327,997      181,409    4.1      180,108      242,025

CDO VII (D)

   Dec 2005        414,792      412,125    0.80%   Dec 2050      4.17   6.2      408,499      224,713      134,398    4.3      111,844      298,355

CDO VIII

   Nov 2006        763,000      762,100    1.01%   Nov 2052      2.01   4.4      755,400      406,792      377,993    3.1      573,390      161,655

CDO IX

   May 2007        585,750      586,389    0.89%   May 2052      1.62   5.6      585,750      398,646      395,182    2.3      608,549      91,835

CDO X

   Jul 2007        1,237,750      1,236,773    0.47%   Jul 2052      4.39   5.7      1,237,750      1,019,675      743,846    3.8      286,292      949,393
                                                                      
       4,279,469      4,270,103        3.19   4.9      4,222,943      3,189,191      2,285,565    3.5      2,181,001      2,129,137
                                                                      

Other Bonds Payable

                                  

Manufactured housing loans (E)

   Jan 2006        118,213      118,213    LIBOR+0.75%   Jan 2009  (E)    4.96   —        118,213      124,526      124,526    8.0      2,533      —  

Manufactured housing loans (F)

   Aug 2006        212,075      211,043    LIBOR+1.02%   Aug 2011      6.45   1.9      212,075      210,765      210,765    6.3      44,650      —  
                                                                      
       330,288      329,256        5.92   1.2      330,288      335,291      335,291    7.0      47,183      —  
                                                                      

Repurchase Agreements (G)

                                  

Real estate securities, loans and properties

   Various        72,914      72,914    LIBOR+1.64%   Various      1.95   0.5      72,914      86,251      86,251    1.4      232,918      —  

FNMA/FHLMC securities

   Rolling        44,564      44,564    LIBOR+0.09%   Apr 2009      4.90   0.1      44,564      46,557      48,580    4.0      —        40,931
                                                                      
       117,478      117,478        3.07   0.4      117,478      132,808      134,831    1.8      232,918      40,931
                                                                      

Corporate

                                  

Junior subordinated notes payable (H)

   Mar 2006        101,700      101,700    1.00%(H)   Apr 2035      7.28   26.5      —        —        —      —        —        —  
                                                                      
       101,700      101,700        7.28   26.5      —        —        —      —        —        —  
                                                                      

Subtotal debt obligations

       4,828,935      4,818,537        3.46   5.0    $ 4,670,709    $ 3,657,290    $ 2,755,687    3.7    $ 2,461,102    $ 2,170,068
                                                                      

Financing on subprime mortgage loans subject to call option

   (I     406,217      400,474                           
                                          

Total debt obligations

     $ 5,235,152    $ 5,219,011                           
                                          

 

(A) Weighted average, including floating and fixed rate classes and excluding the amortization of deferred financing costs.
(B) Including the effect of applicable hedges.
(C) Including restricted cash held for reinvestments in CDOs.
(D) CDOs VI and VII were not in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests as of June 30, 2009. Newcastle is not receiving cash flows from these CDOs (other than senior management fees) and expects these CDOs to remain out of compliance for the foreseeable future.
(E) See further description below.
(F) Of which $16.8 million face amount is recourse financing.
(G) The counterparties on these repurchase agreements include: Goldman Sachs ($44.6 million of FNMA/FHLMC financing), Deutsche Bank ($36.8 million), Credit Suisse ($12.1 million) and Citigroup ($24.0 million). The non-FNMA/FHLMC financings are subject to scheduled repayments, with the final payment to be made in June 2010.
(H) In April 2009, Newcastle entered into an exchange agreement with the holder of the trust preferred securities under which Newcastle will effectively be accruing interest at a rate of 1.0% per annum beginning February 1, 2009 for a maximum of six quarters, after which the rate reverts to 7.574% through April 2016 and to LIBOR + 2.25% after April 2016. Pursuant to the exchange, a real estate loan, which was valued at $3.6 million on June 30, 2009, was pledged as collateral for the junior subordinated notes and will be released at the end of the interest rate modification period. For details, see Note 9 below.
(I) Issued in April 2006 and July 2007. See Note 4 regarding the securitizations of Subprime Portfolios I and II.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

In the first quarter of 2009, Newcastle repurchased $30.3 million face amount of three classes of CDO bonds for $3.2 million. As a result, Newcastle extinguished $30.3 million face amount of CDO debt and recorded a gain on extinguishment of debt of $26.9 million in the first quarter of 2009.

In January 2009, the debt for one of Newcastle’s manufactured housing loan portfolios ($118.2 million outstanding at June 30, 2009) became callable at the option of the lender. The principal and interest payments from the underlying loans, net of expenses and payments related to interest rate swap contracts, are used to repay the outstanding debt on a monthly basis.

In February 2009, Newcastle renegotiated the terms of a recourse loan agreement financing one of its manufactured housing loan portfolios. Under the amended terms of the agreement, certain debt covenants relating to equity requirements were removed.

In February 2009, Newcastle renegotiated the terms of a repurchase agreement financing its investment in a real estate related loan. Under the amended terms of the repurchase agreement, certain debt covenants relating to a concentration limit and equity requirements, as well as the mark-to-market (margin posting) requirement were removed.

In March 2009, Newcastle renegotiated the terms of a repurchase agreement financing its investment in a real estate related loan. Under the amended terms of the repurchase agreement, the mark-to-market (margin posting) provisions and certain financial covenants relating to net worth and leverage ratio were removed. Newcastle also agreed not to enter into any new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance FNMA/FHLMC securities.

In April 2009, Newcastle repurchased $29.5 million face amount of two classes of CDO bonds for $2.4 million. As a result, Newcastle extinguished $29.5 million face amount of CDO debt and recorded a gain on extinguishment of debt of $26.8 million in the second quarter of 2009.

On April 30, 2009, Newcastle entered into an exchange agreement with several collateralized debt obligations managed by a third party pursuant to which Newcastle agreed to exchange newly issued junior subordinated notes due in 2035 with an initial aggregate principal amount of $101.7 million (the “Notes”) for $100 million in aggregate liquidation amount of trust preferred securities that were previously issued by a subsidiary of Newcastle (the “TRUPs”) and were owned by the third party. The Notes accrue interest at a rate of 1.0% per year for a maximum of six quarters, beginning on February 1, 2009 and the aggregate principal amount of the Notes will increase to $104.9 million by July 30, 2010. Subsequent to that period, the rate reverts to that which Newcastle was required to pay on the TRUPs (7.574% through April 2016 and at a floating rate of 3-month LIBOR plus 2.25% thereafter). In conjunction with the exchange, the TRUPs were cancelled and Newcastle pledged 100% of its equity interests in NIC TP LLC, a special purpose subsidiary that holds Newcastle’s participation in a loan and related deposit account, which were valued at $3.6 million on June 30, 2009, as collateral. The pledged collateral will be released at the end of the interest rate modification period. Under the provisions of SFAS 15, this exchange is considered a troubled debt restructuring which requires Newcastle to account for the effect of the interest modification prospectively and to record the expenses related to the modification immediately through earnings.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

6. FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

Fair Value Summary Table

Newcastle held the following financial instruments at June 30, 2009:

 

     Principal
Balance or
Notional
Amount
   Carrying
Value
   Fair Value   

Fair Value Method (A)

   Weighted
Average
Yield/Funding
Cost
    Weighted
Average

Maturity
(Years)
 

Assets:

                

Real estate securities, available for sale*

   $ 3,649,171    $ 1,568,324    $ 1,568,324    Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models    6.40   3.8   

Real estate related loans, held for sale*

     1,619,283      717,078      717,078    Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models    35.05   2.1   

Residential mortgage loans, held for sale*

     516,554      381,709      381,709    Pricing models    14.45   6.8   

Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)

     406,217      400,474      400,474    (B)    9.09   (B

Liabilities:

                

CDO bonds payable

     4,279,469      4,270,103      736,935    Counterparty quotations, pricing models    3.19   4.9   

Other bonds payable

     330,288      329,256      253,157    Pricing models    5.92   1.2   

Repurchase agreements

     117,478      117,478      117,478    Market comparables    3.07   0.3   

Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)

     406,217      400,474      400,474    (B)    9.09   (B

Junior subordinated notes payable

     101,700      101,700      26,024    Pricing models    7.28   26.5   

Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges (C)(E)*

     2,170,068      197,402      197,402    Counterparty quotations    N/A      (C

Non-hedge derivatives (D)(E)*

     265,533      24,850      24,850    Counterparty quotations    N/A      (D

 

* Measured at fair value on a recurring basis.
(A) Methods are listed in order of priority. In the case of real estate securities and real estate related loans, broker quotations are obtained if available and practicable, otherwise counterparty quotations or pricing service valuations are obtained or, finally, internal pricing models are used. Internal pricing models are only used for (i) securities and loans which are not traded in an active market, and therefore have little or no price transparency, and for which significant unobservable inputs must be used in estimating fair value, or (ii) loans or debt obligations which are private and untraded.
(B) These two items results from an option, not an obligation, to repurchase loans from Newcastle’s subprime mortgage loan securitizations (Note 4), are noneconomic until such option is exercised, and are equal and offsetting.
(C) Represents current swap agreements as follows:

 

Maturing In

   Weighted Average Month of
Maturity
   Aggregate Notional
Amount
   Weighted Average
Fixed Pay Rate
    Aggregate
Fair Value
 

Agreements which receive 1-Month LIBOR:

          

2011

   December    $ 111,754    5.004   $ (8,598

2012

   July      21,012    5.388     (1,698

2014

   October      16,738    5.093     (1,684

2015

   September      1,280,501    5.255     (121,813

2016

   May      180,155    5.043     (18,618

2017

   August      174,034    5.235     (21,974

Agreements which receive 3-Month LIBOR:

          

2011

   February      32,000    5.078     (1,979

2014

   June      353,874    4.196     (21,038
                    
      $ 2,170,068      $ (197,402
                    

 

(D) These include two interest rate swaps with a total notional balance of $265.5 million. The maturity dates of the $102.3 million and $163.2 million interest rate swaps are January 2016 and June 2016, respectively. Newcastle entered into these swap agreements to reduce its exposure to interest rate changes on the floating rate financings of its manufactured housing loan portfolios. These swaps were dedesignated as hedges for hedge accounting purposes.
(E) Newcastle’s derivatives fall into two categories. Derivatives held within Newcastle’s nonrecourse debt structures (primarily CDOs) with an aggregate notional balance of $2.4 billion, all of which were liabilities at period end, are not subject to Newcastle’s credit risk as they are senior to all the debt obligations of the related structure. Derivatives held outside Newcastle’s nonrecourse debt structures with an aggregate notional balance of $72.9 million are primarily 100% collateralized by margin (based on their current fair value) and therefore are not subject to Newcastle’s or its counterparty’s credit risk. As a result, no adjustments have been made to the fair value quotations received related to credit risk. Newcastle’s significant derivative counterparties include Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Wachovia and Credit Suisse.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

Securities Valuation

As of June 30, 2009, Newcastle’s securities valuation methodology and results are further detailed as follows:

 

               Fair Value

Asset Type

   Outstanding
Face
Amount (A)
   Amortized
Cost
Basis (B)
   Multiple
Quotes (C)
   Single
Quote (D)
   Internal
Pricing
Models (E)
   Total

CMBS

   $ 2,365,975    $ 1,581,227    $ 549,135    $ 157,513    $ 132,577    $ 839,225

ABS – subprime

     502,336      204,498      56,307      18,579      75,414      150,300

Subprime retained

     76,059      4,123      —        —        3,064      3,064

Subprime residuals

     365      365      —        —        365      365

ABS – other real estate

     88,893      69,434      18,093      21,520      10,621      50,234

FNMA / FHLMC

     51,476      52,855      —        54,879      —        54,879

REIT debt

     564,067      555,463      223,502      244,166      —        467,668
                                         

Debt security total

   $ 3,649,171      2,467,965      847,037      497,657      222,041      1,565,735
                     

Equity security

        1,111      —        —        2,589      2,589
                                     

Total

      $ 2,469,076    $ 847,037    $ 497,657    $ 224,630      1,568,324
                                     

 

(A) Net of incurred losses.
(B) Net of discounts (or gross premiums) and after other-than-temporary impairment, including impairment taken during the period ended June 30, 2009.
(C) Management generally obtained broker quotations from two sources, one of which was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security). Management selected one of the quotes received as being most representative of fair value and did not use an average of the quotes. Newcastle’s methodology is to not use quotes from selling brokers, unless those quotes are the only marks available, or unless the quotes provided by other (non-selling) brokers are, in management’s judgment, not representative of fair value. Even if Newcastle receives two or more quotes on a particular security that come from non-selling brokers, it does not use an average because management believes using an actual quote more closely represents a transactable price for the security than an average level. Furthermore, in some cases there is a wide disparity between the quotes Newcastle receives. Management believes using an average of the quotes in these cases would generally not represent the fair value of the asset. Based on Newcastle’s own fair value analysis using internal models, management selects one of the quotes which is believed to more accurately reflect fair value. Newcastle never adjusts quotes received.
(D) Management was unable to obtain quotations from more than one source on these securities. The one source was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security).
(E) Securities whose fair value was estimated based on internal pricing models are further detailed as follows:

 

     Amortized
Cost
Basis
   Fair Value    Impairment
Recorded
In Current
Year
   Unrealized
Gains (Losses)
in Accumulated
OCI
    Assumption Ranges
                Discount
Rate
   Prepayment
Speed (F)
   Cumulative
Default Rate
   Loss Severity

CMBS

   $ 263,208    $ 132,577    $ 179,241    $ (130,631   20% - 82%    N/A    0% - 100%    0% - 100%

ABS – subprime

     105,642      75,414      50,885      (30,228   20%    1% - 13%    21% - 92%    50% - 100%

Subprime retained

     4,123      3,064      2,669      (1,059   20%    3%    60% - 74%    65% - 70%

Subprime residuals

     365      365      599      —        30%    3%    74%    65%

ABS – other RE

     14,902      10,621      3,793      (4,281   20%    2%    59%    69%
                                        

Debt security total

   $ 388,240    $ 222,041    $ 237,187    $ (166,199           

Equity security

     1,111      2,589         1,478              
                                        

Total

   $ 389,351    $ 224,630    $ 237,187    $ (164,721           
                                        

All of the assumptions listed have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources. Collateral prepayment, default and loss severity projections are in the form of “curves” or “vectors” that vary for each monthly collateral cash flow projection. Methods used to develop these projections vary by asset class (e.g., CMBS projections are developed differently than Home Equity ABS projections) but conform to industry conventions. We use assumptions that generate our best estimate of future cash flows of each respective security.

The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to voluntarily pay off at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on projections from the a widely published investment bank model which considers factors such as collateral FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, and vintage on a loan level basis. This vector is scaled up or down to match recent collateral-specific prepayment experience, as obtained from remittance reports and market data services.

Loss severities are based on recent collateral-specific experience with additional consideration given to collateral characteristics. Collateral age is taken into consideration because severities tend to initially increase with collateral age before eventually stabilizing. We typically use projected severities that are higher than the historic experience for collateral that is relatively new (e.g., 2007 vintage origination) to account for this effect. Collateral characteristics such as loan size, lien position, and location (state) also effect loss severity. We consider whether a collateral pool has experienced a significant change in its composition with respect to these factors when assigning severity projections.

Default vectors are determined from the current “pipeline” of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure, or are real estate owned (REO). These significantly delinquent loans determine the first 24 months of the default vector. Beyond month 24, the default vector transitions to a steady-state value that is generally equal to or greater than that given by the widely published investment bank model.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

The discount rates we use are derived from a range of observable pricing on securities backed by similar collateral and offered in a live market. As the markets in which we transact have become less liquid, we have had to rely on fewer data points in this analysis.

 

(F) Lifetime average constant prepayment rate.

Valuation Hierarchy

Pursuant to SFAS 157, the methodologies used for valuing such instruments have been categorized into three broad levels which form a hierarchy. Newcastle follows this hierarchy for its financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis. The classifications are based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.

The following table summarizes such financial assets and liabilities at June 30, 2009:

 

               Fair Value
     Principal Balance
or Notional
Amount
   Carrying Value    Level 2    Level 3A    Level 3B    Total

Assets:

                 

Real estate securities, available for sale:

                 

CMBS

   $ 2,365,975    $ 839,225    $ —      $ 706,648    $ 132,577    $ 839,225

ABS – subprime

     502,336      150,300      —        74,886      75,414      150,300

Subprime retained

     76,059      3,064      —        —        3,064      3,064

Subprime residuals

     365      365      —        —        365      365

ABS – other real estate

     88,893      50,234      —        39,613      10,621      50,234

FNMA / FHLMC

     51,476      54,879      54,879      —        —        54,879

REIT debt

     564,067      467,668      —        467,668      —        467,668
                                         

Debt security total

     3,649,171      1,565,735      54,879      1,288,815      222,041      1,565,735
                     

Equity security

        2,589      —        —        2,589      2,589
                                     

Total

      $ 1,568,324    $ 54,879    $ 1,288,815    $ 224,630    $ 1,568,324
                                     

Liabilities:

                 

Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges

     2,170,068      197,402      197,402      —        —        197,402

Non-hedge derivatives

     265,533      24,850      24,850      —        —        24,850

Newcastle’s investments in instruments measured at fair value using Level 3 inputs changed during the six months ended June 30, 2009 as follows:

 

     Level 3A     Level 3B     Total  

Assets

      

Balance at December 31, 2008

   $ 1,304,776      $ 179,763      $ 1,484,539   

Total gains (losses)

      

Included in net income (loss) (A)

     (124,929     (211,150     (336,079

Reclassification related to the adoption of FSP 115-2 included in Other Comprehensive income (loss)

     979,089        309,835        1,288,924   

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)

     (737,725     (169,117     (906,842

Amortization included in interest income

     43,087        17,455        60,542   

Settlements or repayments

     (40,423     (37,216     (77,639

Transfers between Level 3A and Level 3B

     (135,060     135,060        —     

Transfers into Level 3 (B)

     —          —          —     

Transfers out of Level 3 (B)

     —          —          —     
                        

Balance at June 30, 2009

   $ 1,288,815      $ 224,630      $ 1,513,445   
                        

 

(A) These gains (losses) are recorded in the following line items in the consolidated statement of operations:

 

     Six Months Ended
June 30, 2009
 

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net

   $ 4,779   

Other income (loss), net

     —     

Other-than-temporary impairment

     (340,858
        

Total

   $ (336,079
        

Other-than-temporary impairment recorded in earnings during the six months ended June 30, 2009 is attributable to the change in unrealized losses relating to Level 3 assets still held at June 30, 2009.

 

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net, from investments transferred into Level 3 during the period

   $ 0.00

 

(B) Transfers are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarter.

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

During the six months ended June 30, 2009, Newcastle recorded $92.3 million and ($6.2) million of valuation allowance (reversal) on real estate related loans and residential mortgage loans (Note 4), respectively. These loans were written down to fair value at the time of the impairment, based on broker quotations, pricing service quotations or internal pricing models. All the loans were within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. For real estate related loans, the most significant inputs used in the valuations are the amount and timing of expected future cash flows, market yields and the estimated collateral value of such loan investments. For residential mortgage loans, significant inputs include management’s expectations of prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of similar pools of residential mortgage loans.

Derivatives

SFAS 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities” establishes the accounting and reporting standards for derivative instruments and SFAS 161, “Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities—an amendment of FASB Statement No. 133” amends and expands the disclosure requirements of SFAS 133. The disclosure below provides information relating to Newcastle’s uses and reporting of derivative instruments, as well as enhanced qualitative and quantitative disclosures pursuant to these accounting standards.

Newcastle is exposed to certain risks relating to its ongoing business operations. The primary risk managed by Newcastle using derivative instruments is interest rate risk. Newcastle enters into interest rate swap agreements to reduce the impact of fluctuating interest rates on its earnings. Pursuant to SFAS 133, Newcastle designates certain interest rate swap agreements as cash flow hedges of its floating rate financings. For derivative instruments that are designated and qualify as a cash flow hedge (i.e. hedging the exposure to variability in expected future cash flows that is attributable to a particular risk), the effective portion of the gain or loss, and net payments received or made, on the derivative instrument are reported as a component of other comprehensive income and reclassified into earnings in the same period or periods during which the hedged transaction affects earnings. The remaining gain or loss on the derivative instrument in excess of the cumulative change in the present value of future cash flows of the hedged item, if any, is recognized in current earnings during the period of change.

Newcastle’s derivatives are recorded on its balance sheet as follows:

 

          Fair Value
     Balance sheet location    June 30,
2009
   December 31,
2008

Interest rate swaps, designated as hedging instruments under SFAS 133

   Derivative liabilities    $ 197,402    $ 317,757

Interest rate swaps, not designated as hedging instruments under SFAS 133

   Derivative liabilities      24,850      16,220
                
      $ 222,252    $ 333,977
                

The following table summarizes information related to derivatives:

 

     June 30,
2009
    December 31,
2008
 

Cash flow hedges

    

Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements

   $ 2,170,068      $ 2,376,420   

Amount of (loss) recognized in OCI on effective portion

     (193,043     (312,431

Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to anticipated financings, which have subsequently occurred, net of amortization

     883        932   

Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to dedesignation, net of amortization

     (10,828     (2,825

Expected reclassification of deferred hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months

     (4,726     1,149   

Expected reclassification of current hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months

     (92,827     (19,570

Non-hedge Derivatives

    

Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements

     265,533        182,867   

 

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NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)

JUNE 30, 2009

(dollars in tables in thousands, except share data)

 

 

The following table summarizes gains (losses) recorded in relation to derivatives (excluding total rate of return swaps, which are reported separately):

 

          Six Months Ended June 30,  
    

Income statement location

   2009     2008  

Cash flow hedges

       

Gain (loss) on the ineffective portion

   Other income (loss)    $ (318   $ 213   

Gain (loss) immediately recognized at dedesignation

   Other income (loss)      (8,797     (990

Amount of gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion

   Interest expense      (48,701     (27,267

Deferred hedge gain reclassified from AOCI into income, related to anticipated financings

   Interest expense      49        46   

Deferred hedge gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion of dedesignated hedges

   Interest expense      (6,763     722   

Non-hedge derivatives gain (loss)

   Other income (loss)      13,312        (8,405

7. EARNINGS PER SHARE

Newcastle is required to present both basic and diluted earnings per share (“EPS”). Basic EPS is calculated by dividing net income available for common stockholders by the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding during each period. Diluted EPS is calculated by dividing net income available for common stockholders by the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding plus the additional dilutive effect of common stock equivalents during each period. Newcastle’s common stock equivalents are its outstanding stock options. During the six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008, Newcastle had no dilutive common stock equivalents. Net loss applicable to common stockholders is equal to net loss less preferred dividends.

As of June 30, 2009, Newcastle’s outstanding options were summarized as follows:

 

Held by the Manager

   1,612,772

Issued to the Manager and subsequently transferred to certain of the Manager's employees

   871,837

Held by the independent directors and former directors

   14,000
    

Total

   2,498,609
    

8. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

Loan Commitment — With respect to a commercial construction loan, Newcastle entered into an agreement effective June 30, 2009 with the other parties to the loan. As a result, as of June 30, 2009, Newcastle and its CDOs do not have any future funding commitment with respect to this loan.

Litigation — Newcastle is, from time to time, a defendant in legal actions from transactions conducted in the ordinary course of business. Management, after consultation with legal counsel, believes the ultimate liability arising from such actions which existed at June 30, 2009, if any, will not materially affect Newcastle’s consolidated results of operations or financial position.

Preferred Dividends in Arrears — As of June 30, 2009, $9.0 million of dividends on Newcastle’s cumulative preferred stock were unpaid and in arrears.

Contingent Gain in CDOs — Newcastle has recorded $1.1 billion of losses in its CDOs in excess of its economic exposure which must eventually be reversed through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the deconsolidation or termination of the CDOs.

Contingent Gain in Other Non-Recourse Financing — Newcastle has recorded $3.0 million of losses in its manufactured housing loan portfolios in excess of its economic exposure which must eventually be reversed through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the extinguishment of debt.

9. RECENT ACTIVITIES

These financial statements include a discussion of material events which have occurred subsequent to June 30, 2009 (referred to as “subsequent events”) through the issuance of these consolidated financial statements on August 10, 2009. Events subsequent to that date have not been considered in these financial statements.

 

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and notes included herein.

GENERAL

Newcastle Investment Corp. is a real estate investment and finance company. We invest in, and actively manage, a portfolio of real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets. Our objective is to maximize the difference between the yield on our investments and the cost of financing these investments while hedging our interest rate risk. We emphasize portfolio management, asset quality, diversification, match funded financing and credit risk management.

We currently own a diversified portfolio of credit sensitive real estate debt investments, including securities and loans. Our portfolio of real estate securities includes commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS), senior unsecured debt issued by property REITs, real estate related asset backed securities (ABS), and FNMA/FHLMC securities. Mortgage backed securities are interests in or obligations secured by pools of mortgage loans. We generally target investments rated A through BB, except for our FNMA/FHLMC securities which have an implied AAA rating. We also own, directly and indirectly, interests in loans and pools of loans, including real estate related loans, commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage loans, manufactured housing loans, and subprime mortgage loans.

We employ leverage as part of our investment strategy. We do not have a predetermined target debt to equity ratio as we believe the appropriate leverage for the particular assets we are financing depends on the credit quality of those assets. As a result of our negative GAAP equity, our GAAP debt to equity ratio is not a meaningful measure as of June 30, 2009. Our general investment guidelines adopted by our board of directors limit total leverage (as defined under the governing documents) to a maximum 9.0 to 1 debt to equity ratio. As of June 30, 2009, our debt to equity ratio, as computed under this method, was approximately 4.5 to 1.0.

We strive to maintain access to a broad array of capital resources in an effort to insulate our business from potential fluctuations in the availability of capital. We utilize multiple forms of financing including collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), other securitizations, term loans, and trust preferred securities, as well as short term financing in the form of loans and repurchase agreements. As we discuss in more detail under “–Market Considerations” below, the ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has limited the array of capital resources available to us and made the terms of capital resources we are able to obtain generally less favorable to us relative to the terms we were able to obtain prior to the crisis. For example, we are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance up to a specified amount of FNMA/FHLMC securities.

We seek to match fund our investments with respect to interest rates and maturities in order to reduce the impact of interest rate fluctuations on earnings and reduce the risk of refinancing our liabilities prior to the maturity of the investments. We seek to finance a substantial portion of our real estate securities and loans through the issuance of term debt, which generally represents obligations issued in multiple classes secured by an underlying portfolio of assets. Specifically, our CDO financings offer us the structural flexibility to buy and sell certain investments to manage risk and, subject to certain limitations, to optimize returns.

We conduct our business through four primary segments: (i) investments financed with non-recourse collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), (ii) investments financed with other non-recourse debt, (iii) investments financed with recourse debt, including FNMA / FHLMC securities, and (iv) unlevered investments. In the second quarter of 2008, Newcastle changed the structure of its internal organization such that the basis of the composition of its reportable segments changed from investment type to financing type. Revenues attributable to each segment are disclosed below (in thousands).

 

For the Six Months

Ended June 30,

   CDOs    Other
Non-Recourse
   Recourse    Unlevered    Unallocated    Total

2009

   $ 166,939    $ 38,859    $ 4,802    $ 1,168    $ 43    $ 211,811

2008

   $ 157,600    $ 46,257    $ 27,957    $ 14,966    $ 1,132    $ 247,912

 

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Market Considerations

Financial Institutions

Many market participants remain uncertain about the health of a number of financial institutions and the financial system in general. Continuing write-downs and capital related issues affecting financial market participants have contributed to the recent wave of significant events affecting financial institutions, including the insolvency of Lehman Brothers, the government’s placing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG under its supervision, the announced distressed sales of all or portions of Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Wachovia and Washington Mutual and the government’s increasing its equity investment in Citigroup. Although the United States and other governments have taken a number of significant steps to improve market conditions and the strength of major financial institutions, such efforts to date have not brought stability or liquidity to the capital markets, and we cannot predict the future conditions of these markets or the impact of such condition on our business.

The consolidation or elimination of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns and several other counterparties has increased our concentration of counterparty risk, decreased the universe of potential counterparties and reduced our ability to obtain competitive financing rates and terms. For a more detailed discussion of our counterparty default and concentration risk, see Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors – Risks Related to the Financial Services Industry and Financial Markets – We are subject to counterparty default and concentration risk.”

Financial Markets in which We Operate

Our ability to generate income is dependent on our ability to invest our capital on a timely basis at attractive levels. The two primary market factors that affect this ability are (1) credit spreads and (2) the availability of financing on favorable terms.

Generally speaking, widening credit spreads reduce any unrealized gains on our current investments (or cause or increase unrealized losses) and increase our costs for new financings, but increase the yields available on potential new investments, while tightening credit spreads increase the unrealized gains (or reduce unrealized losses) on our current investments and reduce our costs for new financings, but reduce the yields available on potential new investments. By reducing unrealized gains (or causing unrealized losses), widening credit spreads also impact our ability to realize gains on existing investments if we were to sell such assets.

During the first six months of 2009, credit spreads widened substantially. This widening of credit spreads caused the net unrealized losses on our securities to increase. One of the key drivers of the widening of credit spreads has been the continued disruption and liquidity concerns throughout the credit markets. The severity and scope of the disruption intensified meaningfully during the fourth quarter of 2008 and first six months of 2009 and caused credit spreads to widen further during this period.

Liquidity

The ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has adversely affected us and the market in which we operate in a number of other ways. For example, it has reduced the market trading activity for many real estate securities and loans, resulting in less liquid markets for those securities and loans. As the securities held by us and many other companies in our industry are marked to market at the end of each quarter, the decreased liquidity and concern over market conditions have resulted in significant reductions in mark to market valuations of many real estate securities and loans and the collateral underlying them. These lower valuations, and decreased expectations of future cash flows, have affected us by, among other things:

 

   

decreasing our net book value;

 

   

contributing to our decision to record significant impairment charges;

 

   

prompting us to negotiate the removal of certain financial covenants from our non-CDO financings;

 

   

reducing the amount, which we refer to as cushion, by which we satisfy the over collateralization and interest coverage tests of our CDOs (sometimes referred to as CDO “triggers”) or contributing to several of our CDOs failing their over collateralization tests (see “– Liquidity and Capital Resources” and “– Debt Obligations” below); and

 

   

requiring us to pay additional amounts under certain financing arrangements.

In some cases, we have sold, and may continue to sell, assets at prices below what we believed to be their value in order to meet liquidity requirements under certain financing arrangements. Failed CDO triggers, impairments resulting from incurred losses, and asset sales at prices significantly below face amount, while the related debt is being repaid at its full face amount, further contribute to reductions in future earnings, cash flow and liquidity. As a result, we expect that our future cash flow from operations will be significantly reduced relative to previous years.

In order to maintain liquidity, we have elected to retain the majority of our investment proceeds (including those from asset sales) in lieu of using those proceeds to make new investments, or to buy back stock or debt, and elected not to declare any common or preferred dividends during the fourth quarter of 2008 or the first two quarters of 2009. This approach has increased our liquidity while reducing our operating earnings. We may elect to adjust or not to pay any future dividend payments to reflect our current and expected cash from operations or to satisfy future liquidity needs.

 

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Extent of Market Disruption

We do not currently know the full extent to which this market disruption will affect us or the markets in which we operate, and we are unable to predict its length or ultimate severity. If the disruption continues, we will likely experience additional impairment charges, challenges in complying with the terms of our financing agreements, increased margin requirements, and additional challenges in raising capital and obtaining investment financing on attractive terms. Moreover, we will likely need to continue to place a high priority on managing our liquidity. If we raised capital or issued unsecured debt in the current market, it would be significantly dilutive to our current shareholders.

Future cash flows and our liquidity may be materially impacted if conditions do not improve. Should the current conditions worsen, or persist for an extended period of time, our available capital could be reduced upon the expiration or termination of our capital resources.

Certain aspects of these effects are more fully described in Part I, Item 2, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Interest Rate, Credit and Spread Risk” and “– Liquidity and Capital Resources” as well as in Part I, Item 3, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

APPLICATION OF CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Management’s discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations is based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires the use of estimates and assumptions that could affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses. Actual results could differ from these estimates. Management believes that the estimates and assumptions utilized in the preparation of the consolidated financial statements are prudent and reasonable. Actual results have been in line with management’s estimates and judgments used in applying each of the accounting policies described below, as modified periodically to reflect current market conditions. The following is a summary of our accounting policies that are most effected by judgments, estimates and assumptions.

Variable Interest Entities

Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation (“FIN”) No. 46R “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities” clarified the methodology for determining whether an entity is a variable interest entity (“VIE”) and the methodology for assessing who is the primary beneficiary of a VIE. VIEs are defined as entities in which equity investors do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial interest or do not have sufficient equity at risk for the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from other parties. A VIE is required to be consolidated by its primary beneficiary, and only by its primary beneficiary, which is defined as the party who will absorb a majority of the VIE’s expected losses or receive a majority of the expected residual returns as a result of holding variable interests.

The VIEs in which we have a significant interest include (i) our subprime securitizations, which are held in qualifying special purpose entities under SFAS 140 and are therefore exempt from consolidation as VIEs, and (ii) our CDOs, in which we have been determined to be the primary beneficiary and therefore consolidate them, since we would absorb a majority of their expected losses and receive a majority of their expended residual returns, as determined on the date of formation and on any applicable reconsideration dates. Our CDOs are held in special purpose entities whose debt is treated as a non-recourse secured borrowing of Newcastle.

We will continue to analyze future investments, as well as reconsideration events in existing entities, pursuant to the requirements of FIN 46R. These analyses require considerable judgment in determining the primary beneficiary of a VIE since they involve estimated probability weighting of subjectively determined possible cash flow scenarios. The result could be the consolidation of an entity that would otherwise not have been consolidated or the non-consolidation of an entity that would otherwise have been consolidated.

Valuation and Impairment of Securities

We have classified all our real estate securities as available for sale. As such, they are carried at fair value with net unrealized gains or losses reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income, to the extent impairment losses are considered temporary as described below. Fair value may be based upon broker quotations, counterparty quotations or pricing services quotations, which provide valuation estimates based upon reasonable market order indications or a good faith estimate thereof and are subject to significant variability based on market conditions, such as interest rates, credit spreads and market liquidity. A significant portion of our securities are currently not traded in active markets and therefore have little or no price transparency. For a further discussion of this trend, see “– Market Considerations” above. As a result, we have estimated the fair value of these illiquid securities based on internal pricing models rather than broker quotations. The determination of estimated cash flows used in pricing models is inherently subjective and imprecise. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant and immediate increase or decrease in our GAAP equity. For securities valued with pricing models, these inputs include the discount rate, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities, as well as other variables.

 

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See Note 6 to our consolidated financial statements in Part I, Item 1, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” for information regarding the fair value of our investments, and its estimation methodology, as of June 30, 2009.

Our estimation of the fair value of level 3B assets (as described below) involves significant judgment. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant increase or decrease in our GAAP equity. For securities valued using pricing models, the inputs include the discount rate, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities, as well as other variables. We validated the inputs and outputs of our models by comparing them to available independent third party market parameters and models for reasonableness. We believe the assumptions we used are within the range that a market participant would use and factor in the relative illiquidity currently in the markets. In comparison to the prior year end, we have used slower prepayment speeds, higher default rates and higher severity assumptions as inputs to our pricing models in order to reflect current market conditions. In the first two quarters of 2009, Newcastle lowered the prepayment assumptions based on observed reductions in actual prepayment speeds and slower expected future prepayments consistent with market projections. The slower prepayments were the result of increasing difficulties for borrowers to refinance, caused by a tightening of underwriting standards, decline in home prices, contraction of available lenders due to bank failures and a distressed securitization market. Default assumptions were increased due to higher levels of delinquent underlying loans. Loss severity assumptions were increased based on observed increases in recent loss severities that have been driven by falling home prices and the increasing number of foreclosures or distressed home sales in the residential sector and higher losses as a result of the increasing number of foreclosures and bankruptcies of borrowers experienced in the commercial sector.

For debt securities valued with internal models, which have an aggregate fair value of $222.0 million as of June 30, 2009, a 10% unfavorable change in our assumptions would result in the following decreases in such aggregate fair value:

 

     CMBS     ABS  

Outstanding face amount

   $ 896,170      $ 469,944   

Fair value

   $ 132,577      $ 89,464   

Effect on fair value with 10% unfavorable change in:

    

Discount rate

   $ (5,656   $ (3,341

Prepayment rate

     N/A      $ (1,449

Default rate

   $ (10,810   $ (7,219

Loss severity

   $ (11,511   $ (11,563

The sensitivity analysis is hypothetical and should be used with caution. In particular, the results are calculated by stressing a particular economic assumption independent of changes in any other assumption; in practice, changes in one factor may result in changes in another, which might counteract or amplify the sensitivities. Also, changes in the fair value based on a 10% variation in an assumption generally may not be extrapolated because the relationship of the change in the assumption to the change in fair value may not be linear.

Pursuant to SFAS 157, as described below, our securities must be categorized by the “level” of inputs used in estimating their fair values. Level 1 would be assets valued based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets; we have no level 1 assets. Level 2 would be assets valued based on quoted prices in active markets for similar instruments, on quoted prices in less active or inactive markets, or on other “observable” market inputs. Level 3 would be assets valued based significantly on “unobservable” market inputs. We have further broken level 3 into level 3A, third party indications, and level 3B, internal models. Fair value under SFAS 157 represents an exit price in the normal course of business, not a forced liquidation price. If we were forced to sell assets in a short period to meet liquidity needs, the prices we receive could be substantially less than the recorded fair values.

We generally classify the broker quotations we receive as level 3A inputs, except for certain liquid securities. They are quoted prices in generally inactive and illiquid markets for identical or similar securities. These quotations are generally received via email and contain disclaimers which state that they are “indicative” and not “actionable” – meaning that the party giving the quotation is not bound to actually purchase the security at the quoted price. These quotations are generally based on models prepared by the brokers and we have little visibility into the inputs they use. Based on procedures we have performed with respect to prior quotations received from these brokers in comparison to the outputs generated from our internal pricing models and transactions we have completed with respect to these securities, as well as on our knowledge and experience of these markets, we have generally determined that these quotes represent a reasonable estimate of fair value. In addition, management performs its own quarterly analysis of fair value, based on internal pricing models, to confirm that each of the quotations received represented a reasonable estimate of fair value as defined under SFAS 157. For securities valued using quotations, a 100 basis point change in credit spreads would impact estimated fair value at period and by approximately $39.7 million.

We must also assess whether unrealized losses on securities, if any, reflect a decline in value which is other-than-temporary and, if so, write the impaired security down to its fair value through earnings. A decline in value is deemed to be other-than-temporary if (i) it is probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of a security which was not impaired at acquisition (there is an expected credit loss), or (ii) if we have the intent to sell a security in an unrealized loss position or it is more likely than not we will be required to sell a security in an unrealized loss position prior to

 

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its anticipated recovery (if any). For the purposes of performing this analysis, we assume the anticipated recovery period is until the respective security’s expected maturity. Also, for those securities within the scope of EITF Issue No. 99-20, “Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased Beneficial Interests That Continue to Be Held by a Transferor in Securitized Financial Assets,” as amended by FSP EITF 99-20-1, whenever there is a probable adverse change in the timing or amounts of estimated cash flows of a security from the cash flows previously projected, an other-than-temporary impairment is considered to have occurred. Securities within the scope of EITF 99-20 are also analyzed for other-than-temporary impairment under the guidelines applicable to all securities as described herein. We note that primarily all of our securities, except our FNMA/FHLMC securities, fall within the scope of EITF 99-20.

Temporary declines in value generally result from changes in market factors, such as market interest rates and credit spreads, or from certain macroeconomic events, including market disruptions and supply changes, which do not directly impact our ability to collect amounts contractually due. We continually evaluate the credit status of each of our securities and the collateral supporting our securities. This evaluation includes a review of the credit of the issuer of the security (if applicable), the credit rating of the security, the key terms of the security (including credit support), debt service coverage and loan to value ratios, the performance of the pool of underlying loans and the estimated value of the collateral supporting such loans, including the effect of local, industry and broader economic trends and factors. These factors include loan default expectations and loss severities, which are analyzed in connection with a particular security’s credit support, as well as prepayment rates. These factors are also analyzed in relation to the amount of the unrealized loss and the period elapsed since it was incurred. The result of this evaluation is considered when determining management’s estimate of cash flows, particularly with respect to developing the necessary inputs and assumptions. Each security is impacted by different factors and in different ways; generally the more negative factors which are identified with respect to a given security, the more likely we are to determine that we do not expect to receive all contractual payments when due with respect to that security. Significant judgment is required in this analysis.

During the six months ended June 30, 2009, we had 186, or $427.1 million carrying amount of, securities that were downgraded and recorded a net other-than-temporary impairment charge of $104.9 million on these securities in the second quarter of 2009. However, we do not depend on credit ratings in underwriting our securities, either at acquisition or on an ongoing basis. As mentioned above, a credit rating downgrade is one factor that we monitor and consider in our analysis regarding other-than-temporary impairment, however it is not determinative. Our securities generally benefit from the support of one or more subordinate classes of securities or equity or other forms of credit support. Therefore, credit rating downgrades, even to the extent they relate to an expectation that a securitization we have invested in, on an overall basis, has credit issues, may not ultimately impact cash flow estimates for the class of securities in which we are invested.

Furthermore, the analysis of whether it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell securities in an unrealized loss position prior to an expected recovery in value (if any), the amount of such expected required sales, and the projected identification of which securities would be sold is also be subject to significant judgment, particularly in times of market illiquidity such as we are currently experiencing.

Revenue Recognition on Securities

Income on these securities is recognized using a level yield methodology based upon a number of cash flow assumptions that are subject to uncertainties and contingencies. Such assumptions include the rate and timing of principal and interest receipts (which may be subject to prepayments and defaults). These assumptions are updated on at least a quarterly basis to reflect changes related to a particular security, actual historical data, and market changes. These uncertainties and contingencies are difficult to predict and are subject to future events, and economic and market conditions, which may alter the assumptions. For securities acquired at a discount for credit losses, the net income recognized is based on a “loss adjusted yield” whereby a gross interest yield is recorded to Interest Income, offset by a provision for probable, incurred credit losses which is accrued on a periodic basis to Provision for Credit Losses. The provision is determined based on an evaluation of the credit status of securities, as described in connection with the analysis of impairment above.

Valuation of Derivatives

Similarly, our derivative instruments are carried at fair value pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 133 “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,” as amended. Fair value is based on counterparty quotations. Newcastle reports the fair value of derivative instruments gross of cash paid or received pursuant to credit support agreements and is reflected on a net by counterparty basis when Newcastle believes a legal right of setoff exists under an enforceable netting agreement. To the extent they qualify as cash flow hedges under SFAS No. 133, net unrealized gains or losses are reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income; otherwise, they are reported currently in income. To the extent they qualify as fair value hedges, net unrealized gains or losses on both the derivative and the related portion of the hedged item are reported currently in income. Fair values of such derivatives are subject to significant variability based on many of the same factors as the securities discussed above, including counterparty risk. The results of such variability could be a significant increase or decrease in our GAAP equity and/or earnings.

Impairment of Loans

We purchase, directly and indirectly, real estate related, commercial mortgage and residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans. We must periodically evaluate each of these loans or loan pools for

 

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possible impairment. Impairment is indicated when it is deemed probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of the loan, or, for loans acquired at a discount for credit losses, when it is deemed probable that we will be unable to collect as anticipated. Upon determination of impairment, we would establish a specific valuation allowance with a corresponding charge to earnings. We continually evaluate our loans receivable for impairment. Our residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans, are aggregated into pools for evaluation based on like characteristics, such as loan type and acquisition date. Individual loans are evaluated based on an analysis of the borrower’s performance, the credit rating of the borrower, debt service coverage and loan to value ratios, the estimated value of the underlying collateral, the key terms of the loan, and the effect of local, industry and broader economic trends and factors. Pools of loans are also evaluated based on similar criteria, including historical and anticipated trends in defaults and loss severities for the type and seasoning of loans being evaluated. This information is used to estimate specific impairment charges on individual loans as well as provisions for estimated unidentified incurred losses on pools of loans. Significant judgment is required both in determining impairment and in estimating the resulting loss allowance. Furthermore, we must assess our intent and ability to hold our loan investments on a periodic basis. If we do not have the intent to hold a loan for the foreseeable future or until its expected payoff, the loan must be classified as “held for sale” and recorded at the lower of cost or estimated fair value. As of June 30, 2009, we determined that we could not express the intent and ability to hold all of our loans which are in an unrealized loss position for the foreseeable future or until their expected pay off.

Revenue Recognition on Loans Held for Investment

Income on these loans is recognized similarly to that on our securities and is subject to similar uncertainties and contingencies, which are also analyzed on at least a quarterly basis. For loan pools acquired at a discount for credit losses, the net income recognized is based on a “loss adjusted yield” whereby a gross interest yield is recorded to Interest Income, offset by a provision for probable, incurred credit losses which is accrued on a periodic basis to Provision for Credit Losses. The provision is determined based on an evaluation of the loans as described under “Impairment of Loans” above. A rollforward of the provision is included in Note 4 to our consolidated financial statements included herein.

Revenue Recognition on Loans Held for Sale

Real estate related, commercial mortgage and residential mortgage loans that are considered held for sale are carried at the lower of amortized cost or market value determined on either an individual method basis, or in the aggregate for pools of similar loans. Interest income is recognized to the extent cash is received whereas a change in the market value of loans, to the extent that the value is not above the cost basis, is recorded in Valuation Allowance.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In February 2008, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position No. FAS 140-3 (“FSP FAS 140-3”), “Accounting for Transfers of Financial Assets and Repurchase Financing Transactions.” FSP FAS 140-3 provides guidance on accounting for a transfer of a financial asset and a repurchase financing. It presumes that an initial transfer of a financial asset and a repurchase financing are considered part of the same arrangement (a linked transaction) unless certain criteria are met. If the criteria are not met, the linked transaction would be recorded as a net investment, likely as a derivative, instead of recording the purchased financial asset on a gross basis along with a repurchase financing. FSP FAS 140-3 applies to reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2008 and is only applied prospectively to transactions that occur on or after the adoption date. As a result of the prospective nature of the adoption, we do not expect the adoption of FSP FAS 140-3 to have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations, unless we enter into transactions of this type after January 1, 2009. We did not enter into any such transactions during the first half of 2009.

In March 2008, the FASB issued SFAS 161, “Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.” SFAS 161 applies to reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2008. SFAS 161 requires enhanced disclosures about an entity’s derivative and hedging activities. It does not change the accounting for such activities. As a result, while the adoption of SFAS 161 has changed our disclosures, it did not have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations.

In January 2009, the FASB issued FSP EITF 99-20-1, “Amendments to the Impairment Guidance of EITF Issue No. 99-20.” This FSP amends EITF No. 99-20 to achieve more consistent determination of whether an other-than-temporary impairment has occurred, with the same objective as SFAS 115. In particular, it changed a requirement to analyze a security’s estimated cash flows from a market participant’s perspective to an analysis from the perspective of the holder. It is effective for periods ending after December 15, 2008 and is applied prospectively. Due to the prospective nature of its adoption, the adoption of FSP EITF 99-20-1 did not have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations. It did not have a material impact on our impairment analyses subsequent to adoption because we generally analyze cash flows of securities in a manner consistent with market practice.

In April 2009, the FASB issued three FSPs related to fair value and impairment, FSP FAS 107-1 and APB 28-1 “Interim Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial Instruments,” FSP FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2 “Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments,” and FSP FAS 157-4 “Determining Fair Value When the Volume and Level of Activity for the Asset or Liability Have Significantly Decreased and Identifying Transactions That Are Not Orderly.” These FSPs (i) require disclosures about the fair value of financial instruments on an interim basis, (ii) change the guidance for determining, recording and disclosing other-than-temporary impairment, and (iii) provide additional guidance for estimating fair value when

 

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the volume or level of activity for an asset or liability have significantly decreased. These FSPs were effective for Newcastle as of April 1, 2009. They had a significant impact on our disclosures, but no material impact on our financial condition, liquidity, or results of operations upon adoption. A reclassification adjustment of $1.3 billion of loss from Accumulated Deficit to Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) was recorded at adoption of FSP FAS 115-2 and 124-2 but had no net effect on equity. Post-adoption impairment determinations, including the analysis performed at June 30, 2009, are performed using this new guidance and may result in materially different conclusions than would have been reached under prior guidance.

In June 2009, the FASB issued SFAS No. 166 “Accounting for Transfers of Financial Assets-an amendment of FASB Statement No. 140” SFAS 166 eliminates the concept of qualified special purpose entities (QSPEs), changes the requirements for reporting a transfer of a portion of financial assets as a sale, clarifies other sale accounting criteria and changes the initial measurement of a transferor’s interest in transferred financial assets. Furthermore, it requires additional disclosures. SFAS 166 is effective for fiscal year beginning after November 15, 2009. We are currently evaluating the potential impact of SFAS 166 will have on us.

In June 2009, the FASB issued SFAS No. 167 “Amendment to FASB Interpretation No. 46(R).” SFAS 167 changes the definition of a variable interest entity (“VIE”) and changes the methodology to determine who is the primary beneficiary of, or in other words who consolidates, a VIE. Furthermore, it eliminates the scope exception for qualified special purpose entities (QSPEs), which are now subject to the VIE consolidation rules. SFAS 167 is effective for fiscal year beginning after November 15, 2009. Generally, the changes are expected to cause more entities to be defined as VIE’s and to require consolidation by the entity that exercises day-to-day control over a VIE, such as servicers and collateral managers. We are currently evaluating the potential impact of SFAS 167 on us. If the adoption of this standard caused us to deconsolidate any of our CDOs or other non-recourse financing structures, we would record a gain to the extent that we have taken impairments on assets within a given VIE in excess of our investment in such VIE. This gain could be material. To the extent the adoption resulted in the consolidation of VIEs that are currently not consolidated, the impact could be material to our gross assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses but would not be material to the net income or equity applicable to our common stockholders.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table summarizes the changes in our results of operations from the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 to the three and six months ended June 30, 2009 (dollars in thousands):

 

     Three Months     Six Months     Explanations of
Material

Changes
 
     Amount Change     Percent Change     Amount Change     Percent Change    

Interest income

   $ (27,680   (24.1 )%    $ (36,101   (14.6 )%    (1

Interest expense

     (19,541   (26.5 )%      (48,372   (29.7 )%    (1

Provision for credit losses on loan pools

     1,689      90.4     1,091      24.9   (2

Valuation allowance on loans held for sale

     (51,185   N.M.        49,015      N.M.      (2

Other-than-temporary impairment on securities, net

     52,479      N.M.        192,689      N.M.      (3

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net

     17,581      N.M.        4,553      70.2   (4

Gain (loss) on extinguishment of debt

     26,830      N.M.        45,142      N.M.      (5

Other income (loss), net

     9,512      N.M.        22,326      N.M.      (6

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries

     (7,090   (100.4 )%      (7,785   (100.2 )%    (7

Loan and security servicing expense

     (418   (23.4 )%      (746   (21.2 )%    (1

General and administrative expense

     1,073      56.7     1,107      31.8   (8

Management fee to affiliate

     (105   (2.3 )%      (211   (2.3 )%    (9

Depreciation and amortization

     —        0.0     —        0.0   N/A   
                              

Income (loss) from continuing operations

   $ 35,161      44.5   $ (166,438   143.2  
                              

 

N.M.—Not meaningful

 

(1) Changes in interest income and expense are primarily related to our acquisition and disposition during these periods of interest bearing assets and related financings, as follows:

 

     Three Months     Six Months  
     Period to Period Increase (Decrease)     Period to Period Increase (Decrease)  
     Interest Income     Interest Expense     Interest Income     Interest Expense  

Disposition of securities and loans

   $ (5,166   $ (4,381   $ (13,218   $ (12,332

Repayment of debt obligations and related dispositions

     —          —          (4,004     (3,152

Paydowns

     (6,050     (3,020     (11,667     (7,270

Other (see below)

     (16,464     (12,140     (7,212     (25,618
                                
   $ (27,680   $ (19,541   $ (36,101   $ (48,372
                                

Changes in Other are primarily due to changes in interest rates and the increased interest income recorded in the first quarter of 2009 as a result of accretion of discounts on the impaired securities.

Changes in loan and security servicing expense are primarily due to dispositions and paydowns.

 

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(2) This change is primarily the result of the classification of loans as held for sale in the fourth quarter of 2008 as we could no longer express the intent and ability to hold our loan investments through maturity. For the six months ended June 30, 2009, the actual losses incurred in our pools of residential mortgage loans were recorded to Provision for Credit Losses on Loan Pools whereas the change in fair value was recorded to Valuation Allowance on Loans Held for Sale. The change for the three months ended June 30, 2009 is a result of a net increase in the valuation of the loans, primarily due to an increase in the valuation of a loan which was paid down at par subsequent to June 30, 2009.
(3) This change is due to the impairment charges recorded as a result of the continued credit market turmoil, which led us to record write downs to primarily all of our securities.
(4) This change is predominantly the result of the gains recorded on paydown at par of loans and securities previously written down, partially offset by the loss on sales of certain securities and loans.
(5) This change is primarily due to increased gains on the repurchase of our own debt.
(6) This change is primarily due to an increase in the fair value of our interest rate swaps not designated as accounting hedges in the six months ended June 30, 2009 which we mark to market through the statement of operations, and the unrealized loss recorded on the total rate of return swaps held in the first quarter of 2008.
(7) This change is primarily due to the sale of our interests in the operating real estate joint venture in 2008.
(8) This change is primarily to due to increases in legal fees related to the trust preferred modification and insurance expense, partially offset by a refund of excise tax paid in 2008.
(9) Management fees have remained relatively stable as we did not raise capital through common or preferred stock offerings during these periods. As a result of impairment charges, we will not incur incentive compensation to our manager for an indefinite period of time.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Overview

Liquidity is a measurement of our ability to meet potential cash requirements, including ongoing commitments to repay borrowings, fund and maintain investments, and other general business needs. Additionally, to maintain our status as a REIT under the Code, we must distribute annually at least 90% of our REIT taxable income. We note that up to 90% of this requirement may be met in future years through stock dividends, rather than cash, subject to limitations based on the value of our stock. Our primary sources of funds for liquidity consist of net cash provided by operating activities, sales or repayments of investments, potential refinancing of existing debt and the issuance of equity securities, when available. Our debt obligations are generally secured directly by our investment assets.

Sources of Liquidity and Uses of Capital

As of the date if this filing, we currently have sufficient cash on hand to satisfy all of our non-agency recourse liabilities (excluding our trust preferred securities, which are long-term obligations). With respect to the next twelve months, we expect that our cash on hand combined with our cash flow provided by operations will be sufficient to satisfy our anticipated liquidity needs with respect to our current investment portfolio, including related financings, hedges, potential margin calls and operating expenses. While it is inherently more difficult to forecast beyond the next twelve months, we currently expect to meet our long term liquidity requirements, specifically the repayment of our debt obligations, through our cash on hand and, if needed, additional borrowings, proceeds received from repurchase agreements and similar financings, the liquidation or refinancing of our assets.

These short-term and long-term expectations are forward-looking and subject to a number of uncertainties and assumptions, which are described below under “–Factors That Could Impact Our Liquidity” as well as Part II, Item 1A, “Risk Factors.” If our assumptions about our liquidity prove to be incorrect, we could be subject to a shortfall in liquidity in the future, and this short-fall may occur rapidly and with little or no notice, which would limit our ability to address the shortfall on a timely basis.

Cash flow provided by operations constitutes a critical component of our liquidity. Essentially, our cash flow provided by operations is equal to (i) the net cash flow from our CDOs that have not failed their over collateralization and interest coverage tests, plus (ii) the net cash flow from our non-CDO investments that are not subject to mandatory debt repayment, including principal and sales proceeds, less (iii) operating expenses (primarily management fees, professional fees and insurance), and less (iv) interest on the junior subordinated notes payable.

Our cash flow provided by operations differs from our net income (loss) due to these primary factors: (i) accretion of discount or premium on our real estate securities and loans (including the accrual of interest and fees payable at maturity), discount on our debt obligations, deferred financing costs and interest rate cap premiums, and deferred hedge gains and losses, (ii) gains and losses from sales of assets financed with CDOs, (iii) the provision for credit losses and valuation allowance recorded in connection with our loan assets, as well as other-than-temporary impairment on our securities, (iv) unrealized gains or losses on our non-hedge derivatives, (v) the non-cash charges associated with our early extinguishment of debt, and (vi) net income (loss) generated within CDOs that have failed their over collateralization tests and one of the manufactured housing loan portfolios that became callable in January 2009 and therefore do not remit cash to us. Proceeds from the sale of assets which serve as collateral for our CDO financings, including gains thereon, are required to be retained in the CDO structure until the related bonds are retired and are therefore not available to fund current cash needs outside of these structures.

 

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Update on Liquidity, Capital Resources and Capital Obligations

Certain details regarding our liquidity, current financings and capital obligations as of August 5, 2009 are set forth below:

 

 

Cash – We had unrestricted cash of $69.1 million. In addition, we had $126.6 million of restricted cash for reinvestments in our CDOs;

 

 

Margin Exposure – We have no financings subject to margin calls, other than one repurchase agreement with a face amount of $43.7 million which finances our FNMA/FHLMC investments and four interest rate swap agreements with an aggregate notional amount of $72.2 million;

 

 

Construction Loan Funding Commitment – In June 2009, we entered into an agreement with the other lender parties to the commercial construction loan to terminate all future funding commitments. As a result, as of June 30, 2009, we no longer have any future funding commitments with respect to this loan; and

 

 

Recourse Financings – Substantially all of our assets, other than our FNMA/FHLMC investments, are currently financed with term debt subject to amortization payments, as opposed to short-term debt such as repurchase agreements, which could be subject to margin requirements or termination. The following table compares the face amount of our recourse financings, excluding the trust preferred securities:

 

     August 5, 2009    June 30, 2009    December 31, 2008

Recourse Financings

        

Real Estate Securities, Loans and Properties

   $ 51,873    $ 72,914    $ 102,977

Manufactured Housing Loans

     15,650      16,764      51,118

FNMA/FHLMC Securities

     43,703      44,564      173,495
                    

Total Recourse Financings

   $ 111,226    $ 134,242    $ 327,590
                    

The following table summarizes the scheduled repayments of our recourse financings as of August 5, 2009:

August 6, 2009 to September 30, 2009 (A)

   $ 52,703      

4th Quarter 2009

     11,500      

1st Quarter 2010

     19,373      

2nd Quarter 2010

     23,000      

3rd Quarter 2010

     3,000      

4th Quarter 2010

     1,650      
            

Total Recourse Financings

   $ 111,226      
            

 

(A) Includes $43.7 million of financing on FNMA/FHLMC securities, which is expected to be “rolled” (refinanced at similar terms) upon maturity.

It is important for readers to understand that our liquidity, available capital resources and capital obligations could change rapidly due to a variety of factors, many of which are beyond our control. Set forth below is a discussion of some of the factors that could impact our liquidity, available capital resources and capital obligations.

Factors That Could Impact Our Liquidity, Capital Resources and Capital Obligations

We refer readers to our discussions in other sections of this report for the following information:

 

 

For a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our liquidity, see “– Market Considerations” above;

 

 

As described below, under “– Interest Rate, Credit and Spread Risk,” we are subject to margin calls in connection with our derivatives related to the non-recourse financing structures;

 

 

Our match funded investments are financed long term, and their credit status is continuously monitored, which is described under “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk — Interest Rate Exposure” below. Our remaining investments, generally financed with short term debt or short term repurchase agreements, are also subject to refinancing risk upon the maturity of the related debt. See “Debt Obligations” below; and

 

 

For a further discussion of a number of risks that could affect our liquidity, access to capital resources and our capital obligations, see Part II, Item 1A, “Risk Factors”.

In addition to the information referenced above, the following factors could also affect our liquidity, access to capital resources and our capital obligations. As such, if their outcomes do not fall within our expectations, changes in these factors could result in a liquidity shortfall.

 

 

Access to Financing from Counterparties – Decisions by investors, counterparties and lenders to enter into transactions with us will depend upon a number of factors, such as our historical and projected financial performance, compliance with the terms of our current credit and derivative arrangements, industry and market trends, the availability of capital and our investors’, counterparties’ and lenders’ policies and rates applicable thereto, and the relative attractiveness of alternative investment or lending opportunities. As we discuss in more detail under “– Market Considerations”

 

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below, the ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has limited the array of capital resources available to us and made the terms of capital resources we are able to obtain generally less favorable to us relative to the terms we were able to obtain prior to the crisis. For example, we are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance up to a specified amount of FNMA/FHLMC securities. Our core business strategy is dependent upon our ability to finance our real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets with match funded debt at rates that provide a positive net spread. Currently, spreads for such liabilities have widened and demand for such liabilities has become extremely limited, therefore restricting our ability to execute future financings. This restriction can be exacerbated by the requirement to post margin on existing obligations.

 

 

Impact of Rating Downgrades on CDO Cash Flows – Ratings downgrades of assets in our CDOs can negatively impact compliance with the CDOs’ over collateralization tests. Generally, the over collateralization test measures the principal balance of the specified pool of assets in a CDO against the corresponding liabilities issued by the CDO. However, based on ratings downgrades, the principal balance of an asset or of a specified percentage of assets in a CDO may be deemed to be reduced below their current balance to levels set forth in the related CDO documents for purposes of calculating the over collateralization test. As a result, ratings downgrades can reduce the assumed principal balance of the assets used in the over collateralization test relative to the corresponding liabilities in the test, thereby reducing the over collateralization percentage. In addition, actual defaults of assets would also negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Failure to satisfy an over collateralization test could result in the redirection of cashflows, or, in certain cases, in the potential removal of Newcastle as collateral manager of the affected CDO. We note that we currently have approximately $1 billion of CMBS assets that are under review by S&P and are under downgrade watch. S&P could downgrade some or all of these CMBS assets at any time, and any such downgrade could affect – and possibly materially affect – our future cash flows.

 

 

Impact of Expected Repayment or Forecasted Sale on Cash Flows – The timing of and proceeds from the repayment or sale of certain investments may be different than expected or may not occur as expected. Proceeds from sales of assets in the current illiquid market environment are unpredictable and may vary materially from their estimated fair value and their carrying value.

Investment Portfolio

The following summarizes our investment portfolio at June 30, 2009 (dollars in millions).

 

     Outstanding Face
Amount
   Amortized Cost
Basis (1)
    Percentage of
Amortized Cost
Basis
    Number of
Investments
   Credit
(2)
    Weighted
Average Life
(years) (3)

Investment (5)

              

Commercial

              

CMBS

   $ 2,366    $ 1,581      44.4   282    BBB –    3.6

Mezzanine Loans

     755      297      8.3   23    68   2.1

B-Notes

     310      81      2.3   11    60   2.0

Whole Loans

     102      67      1.9   4    45   1.9
                              

Total Commercial Assets

     3,533      2,026      56.9        3.1
                              

Residential

              

Manufactured Housing and Residential Mortgage Loans

     517      373      10.5   13,340    694      6.8

Subprime Securities

     502      205      5.8   111    B      4.2

Subprime Retained Securities and Residuals

     76      4      0.1   8    CC/650      1.9

Real Estate ABS

     89      69      1.9   26    BBB      4.7
                              
     1,184      651      18.3        5.2
                              

FNMA/FHLMC securities

     52      52      1.5   3    AAA      4.0
                              

Total Residential Assets

     1,236      703      19.8        5.2
                              

Corporate

              

REIT Debt

     564      555      15.6   59    BB+      4.5

Corporate Bank Loans

     452      273      7.7   12    CCC      2.4
                              

Total Corporate Assets

     1,016      828      23.3        3.6
                              

TOTAL / WA

   $ 5,785    $ 3,557      100.0        3.6
                              

Reconciliation to GAAP total assets:

              

Net unrealized loss recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income

        (901         

Other assets

              

Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (4)

        400            

Real estate held for sale

        10            

Cash and restricted cash

        145            

Other

        54            
                    

GAAP total assets

      $ 3,265            
                    

 

WA – Weighted average, in all tables.

 

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(1) Net of impairments.
(2) Credit represents weighted average of minimum rating for rated assets, LTV (based on the appraised value at the time of purchase) for non-rated commercial assets, FICO score for non-rated residential assets and an implied AAA rating for FNMA/FHLMC securities. Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
(3) Weighted average life represents the timing of expected principal payments on the asset. For an asset with an expected loss, weighted average life represents the timing of all remaining expected cash flows, both principal and interest payments.
(4) Our subprime mortgage loans subject to call option are excluded from the statistics because they result from an option, not an obligation, to repurchase such loans, are noneconomic until such option is exercised, and are offset by an equal liability on the consolidated balance sheet.
(5) The following tables summarize certain supplemental data relating to our investments (dollars in thousands):

CMBS

 

Deal Vintage (A)

   Average
Minimum
Rating (B)
   Number    Outstanding
Face Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Percentage of
Amortized
Cost Basis
    Delinquency
60+/FC/REO (C)
    Principal
Subordination (D)
    Weighted
Average Life
(years)

Pre 2004

   BBB+    77    $ 400,963    $ 393,643    24.9   2.9   11.7   3.5

2004

   BB+    61      446,969      367,993    23.3   2.8   5.4   4.2

2005

   BBB-    55      608,759      288,451    18.2   1.7   6.0   3.8

2006

   BBB-    49      461,555      319,283    20.2   1.4   9.7   3.2

2007

   BB    40      447,729      211,857    13.4   2.3   10.7   3.1
                                              

Total / WA

   BBB-    282    $ 2,365,975    $ 1,581,227    100.0   2.1   8.5   3.6
                                              

 

(A) The year in which the securities were issued.
(B) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
(C) The percentage of underlying loans that are 60+ days delinquent, or in foreclosure or considered real estate owned (REO).
(D) The percentage of the outstanding face amount of securities that is subordinate to our investments.

Mezzanine Loans, B-Notes and Whole Loans

 

     Mezzanine     B-Note     Whole Loan     Total / WA  

Outstanding Face Amount

   $ 755,477      $ 309,710      $ 102,053      $ 1,167,240   

Amortized Cost Basis

   $ 296,542      $ 80,568      $ 66,763      $ 443,873   

Number

     23        11        4        38   

Weighted Average First $ Loan to Value (A)

     55.8     48.0     0.0     48.8

Weighted Average Last $ Loan to Value (A)

     68.1     59.9     44.8     63.9

Delinquency (B)

     6.0     30.7     0.0     12.0

 

(A) Loan to value is based on the appraised value at the time of purchase.
(B) The percentage of underlying loans that are non-performing, in foreclosure, under bankruptcy filing or considered real estate owned.

Manufactured Housing Loans

 

Deal

   Outstanding
Face Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Percentage
of Amortized
Cost Basis
    Weighted
Average
Loan Age
(months)
   Original
Balance
   Delinquency
90+/FC/REO (A)
    Actual
Cumulative
Loss to
Date
 

Portfolio I

   $ 180,823    $ 122,191    37.4   94    $ 327,855    1.6   4.7

Portfolio II

     261,938      204,625    62.6   123      434,743    1.1   2.9
                                            

Total / WA

   $ 442,761    $ 326,816    100.0   111    $ 762,598    1.3   3.6
                                            

 

(A) The percentage of loans that are 90+ days delinquent, or in foreclosure or considered real estate owned (REO).

Subprime Securities (A)

 

     Security Characteristics  

Vintage (B)

   Average
Minimum
Rating (C)
   Number of
Securities
   Outstanding
Face Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Percentage of
Amortized
Cost Basis
    Principal
Subordination (D)
    Excess
Spread (E)
 

2003

   BBB+    15    $ 24,763    $ 18,248    8.9   20.5   4.2

2004

   BB    30      101,920      45,727    22.4   12.9   4.4

2005

   B-    45      190,941      49,885    24.4   20.2   5.2

2006

   CCC-    14      114,699      45,952    22.5   17.9   4.5

2007

   BB+    7      70,013      44,686    21.8   30.1   4.7
                                          

Total / WA

   B    111    $ 502,336    $ 204,498    100.0   19.6   4.7
                                          

 

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     Collateral Characteristics  

Vintage (B)

   Average
Loan Age
(months)
   Collateral
Factor (F)
   3 month
CPR (G)
    Delinquency (H)     Cumulative Losses
to Date
 

2003

   75    0.11    10.7   13.7   2.5

2004

   62    0.15    12.3   18.0   2.5

2005

   49    0.26    19.6   31.4   6.7

2006

   35    0.59    16.0   35.0   7.7

2007

   32    0.73    16.7   32.4   6.0
                            

Total / WA

   47    0.37    16.5   28.8   5.8
                            

 

(A) Excludes subprime retained securities and residual interests.
(B) The year in which the securities were issued.
(C) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
(D) The percentage of the outstanding face amount of securities and residual interests that is subordinate to our investments.
(E) The annualized amount of interest received on the underlying loans in excess of the interest paid on the securities, as a percentage of the outstanding collateral balance.
(F) The ratio of original unpaid principal balance of loans still outstanding.
(G) Three month average constant prepayment rate.
(H) The percentage of underlying loans that are 90+ days delinquent, or in foreclosure or considered real estate owned (REO).

Subprime Retained Securities and Residual Interests

Represents $3.1 million and $0.4 million of amortized cost basis of retained bonds and residual interests, respectively, in the securitizations of Subprime Portfolios I and II. For further information on these securitizations, see Note 4 to our consolidated financial statements included herein.

REIT Debt

 

Industry

   Average
Minimum
Rating (A)
    Number    Outstanding
Face
Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Percentage of
Amortized
Cost Basis
 

Retail

   BB+      17    $ 163,935    $ 151,980    27.4

Diversified

   B+      14      151,463      151,857    27.3

Office

   BBB      12      130,219      132,604    23.9

Multifamily

   BBB      4      18,765      17,490    3.1

Hotel

   BBB –    4      37,220      37,818    6.8

Healthcare

   BBB –    4      36,600      37,124    6.7

Storage

   A –    1      5,000      5,084    0.9

Industrial

   BB –    3      20,865      21,506    3.9
                               

Total / WA

   BB+      59    $ 564,067    $ 555,463    100.0
                               

Corporate Bank Loans

 

Industry

   Average
Minimum
Rating (A)
    Number    Outstanding
Face
Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Percentage of
Amortized
Cost Basis
 

Real Estate

   CC      3    $ 115,299    $ 55,803    20.4

Media

   CCC      2      112,000      27,625    10.1

Retail

   B –    1      97,438      97,438    35.7

Resorts

   BB –    1      76,406      54,630    20.0

Restaurant

   B      2      19,436      13,755    5.0

Gaming

   CCC      1      3,000      276    0.1

Transportation

   NR      1      27,000      22,275    8.2

Theatres

   B –    1      1,464      1,388    0.5
                               

Total / WA

   CCC      12    $ 452,043    $ 273,190    100.0
                               

 

(A) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.

 

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Debt Obligations

Our debt obligations, as summarized in Note 5 to our consolidated financial statements included herein, existing at June 30, 2009 (gross of $16.1 million of discounts) had contractual maturities as follows (in thousands):

 

     Nonrecourse    Recourse    Total

Period from July 1, 2009 through December 31, 2009

   $ 118,213    $ 80,149    $ 198,362

2010

     —        54,093      54,093

2011

     195,311      —        195,311

2012

     —        —        —  

2013

     —        —        —  

2014

     —        —        —  

Thereafter

     4,685,686      101,700      4,787,386
                    

Total

   $ 4,999,210    $ 235,942    $ 5,235,152
                    

Certain of the debt obligations included above are obligations of our consolidated subsidiaries which own the related collateral. In some cases, including the CDO and Other Bonds Payable, such collateral is not available to other creditors of ours.

Our non-CDO debt obligations contain various customary loan covenants. We were in compliance with all the covenants in our non-CDO financings as of June 30, 2009.

Our Other Bonds Payable are collateralized by two portfolios of manufactured housing loans. In January 2009, the debt for one of the portfolios of manufactured housing loans ($118.2 million outstanding at June 30, 2009) became callable at the option of the lender, and is reflected as due on July 1, 2009 in the table above. The principal and interest payments from the underlying loans, net of expenses and payments related to interest rate swap contracts, are used to repay the outstanding debt on a monthly basis.

In the first quarter of 2009, we repurchased $30.3 million face amount of three classes of CDO bonds for $3.2 million. As a result, we extinguished $30.3 million face amount of CDO debt and recorded a gain on extinguishment of debt of $26.9 million.

In February 2009, we renegotiated the terms of a recourse loan agreement financing one of our manufactured housing loan portfolios. Under the amended terms of the agreement, certain debt covenants relating to equity requirements were removed.

In February 2009, we renegotiated the terms of a repurchase agreement financing our investment in a real estate related loan. Under the amended terms of the repurchase agreement, certain debt covenants relating to a concentration limit and equity requirements, as well as the mark-to-market (margin posting) requirement were removed.

In March 2009, we renegotiated the terms of a repurchase agreement financing our investment in a real estate related loan. Under the amended terms of the repurchase agreement, the mark-to-market (margin posting) provisions and certain financial covenants relating to net worth and leverage ratio were removed. Newcastle also agreed not to enter into any new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance FNMA/FHLMC securities.

In April 2009, we repurchased $29.5 million face amount of two classes of CDO bonds for $2.4 million. As a result, we extinguished $29.5 million face amount of CDO debt and recorded a gain on extinguishment of debt of $26.8 million in the second quarter of 2009.

On April 30, 2009, we entered into an exchange agreement with several collateralized debt obligations managed by a third party pursuant to which we agreed to exchange newly issued junior subordinated notes due in 2035 with an initial aggregate principal amount of $101.7 million (the “Notes”) for $100 million in aggregate liquidation amount of trust preferred securities that were previously issued by a subsidiary of us (the “TRUPs”) and were owned by the third party. The Notes accrue interest at a rate of 1.0% per year for a maximum of six quarters, beginning on February 1, 2009 and the aggregate principal amount of the Notes will increase to $104.9 million by July 31, 2010. Subsequent to that period, the rate reverts to that which we were required to pay on the TRUPs (7.574% through April 2016 and at a floating rate of 3-month LIBOR plus 2.25% thereafter). In conjunction with the exchange, the TRUPs were cancelled and we pledged 100% of our equity interests in NIC TP LLC, a special purpose subsidiary that holds our participation in a loan and related deposit account, which were valued at $3.6 million on June 30, 2009, as collateral. The pledged collateral will be released at the end of the interest rate modification period. Under the provisions of SFAS 15, this exchange is considered a troubled debt restructuring which requires us to account for the effect of the interest modification prospectively and to record expenses related to the modification immediately through earnings.

 

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The following table summarizes our CDO financings as of June 30, 2009 (dollars in thousands). The amounts reflect data at the CDO level which is unconsolidated and thus is different from the GAAP balance sheet due to intercompany amounts eliminated in consolidation.

 

     CDO IV     CDO V     CDO VI     CDO VII     CDO VIII     CDO IX     CDO X     Total / Weighted
Average
 

Balance Sheet:

                              

Asset Face Amount

   $ 427,521        $ 513,201        $ 490,375        $ 512,032        $ 918,008        $ 807,045        $ 1,413,474        $ 5,081,656   
                              

Asset Amortized Cost Basis

   $ 382,918        $ 428,450        $ 327,997        $ 224,713        $ 485,317        $ 412,896        $ 1,047,578        $ 3,309,869   

Debt Carrying Value

     387,289          452,438          438,210          453,746          762,101          636,389          1,286,980          4,417,153   
                                                                              

Invested Equity(1)

   $ —          $ —          $ —          $ —          $ —          $ —          $ —          $ —     
                                                                              

Quarterly Net Cash Receipts(2)

   $ 2,428        $ 3,464        $ 152        $ 158        $ 4,006        $ 4,234        $ 7,860        $ 22,302   

Collateral Composition(3):

                              

CMBS

     59.1   BB+        63.2   BB+        64.8   BB+        65.1   BBB –      19.9   BB+        10.9   BB+        59.1   BBB        46.0

REIT Debt

     22.1   BBB –      15.5   BBB –      10.4   BBB –      13.1   BBB        3.3   D        0.0   —          17.1   BB+        11.1

ABS

     14.2   A –      19.6   BBB –      16.6   B –      19.6   CCC+        7.2   BB –      0.0   —          15.0   BBB –      12.2

Bank Loans

     2.3   CCC –      0.0   —          7.9   CCC+        2.1   C        17.3   CCC+        23.6   CCC        3.1   CCC        8.9

Mezzanine Loans / B-Notes

     2.3   BB+        0.0   —          0.0   —          0.0   —          42.3   CCC+        61.8   B –      0.0   —          17.6

CDO

     0.0   —          0.0   —          0.0   —          0.0   —          9.9   B        1.8   BB –      2.9   CC        2.9

Restricted Cash

     0.0   —          1.7   —          0.3   —          0.1   —          0.1   —          1.9   —          2.8   —          1.3
                                                                                                          

Total

     100.0   BB+        100.0   BB+        100.0   BB        100.0   BB        100.0   B        100.0   B –      100.0   BBB –      100.0
                                                                                                          

CDO Overview:

                              

Effective Date

     Sep-04          Feb-05          Aug-05          Jan-06          Mar-07          Jul-07          Dec-07       

Reinvestment Period Ends(4)

     Mar-09          Sep-09          Apr-10          Dec-10          Nov-11          May-12          Jul-12       

Optional Call Date(5)

     Jun-17          Dec-07          May-08          Jan-09          Dec-09          Jun-10          Aug-10       

Auction Call Date(6)

     Mar-14          Sep-14          Apr-15          Dec-15          Nov-16          May-17          Jul-17       

Avg Debt Spread (bps)(7)

     52          45          38          46          46          60          36          45   

Asset Weighted Average Life

     3.8          3.9          4.1          4.2          3.6          2.4          3.9          3.6   

Debt Weighted Average Life

     3.3          3.7          4.4          6.2          4.4          5.7          5.8          5.0   

CDO Cashflow Triggers(8):

                              

Over Collateralization(9)

                              

On the Effective Date

     109.4       110.0       111.9       113.4       113.2       116.1       109.8    

Current

     106.5       110.2       95.9       90.8       113.1       110.3       105.1    

Trigger

     105.9       107.5       109.3       110.9       108.7       108.0       101.5    

Interest Coverage

                              

Current

     215.3       264.8       288.5       228.6       408.4       321.0       242.8    

Trigger

     106.0       106.0       106.0       106.0       106.0       103.0       107.0    

See notes next page.

 

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(1) Given the non-recourse nature of our CDO liabilities, invested equity cannot be less than zero. As of period end, our GAAP equity in our CDOs was $1.1 billion in the aggregate lower than our invested equity due to impairment recorded in excess of our maximum possible economic loss.
(2) Represents net cash received from each CDO based on all of our interests in such CDO (including senior management fees). Cash receipts for the quarter-ended June 30, 2009 included $7.5 million of non-recurring prepayment fees and may not be indicative of cash receipts for subsequent periods. See Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements for risk and uncertainties that could cause our receipts for subsequent periods to differ materially from these amounts. We note that we currently have approximately $1 billion of CMBS assets that are under review by S&P and are under downgrade watch. S&P could downgrade some or all of these CMBS assets at any time, and any such downgrade could affect – and possibly materially affect – our future cash flows.
(3) Collateral composition is calculated as a percentage of the face amount of collateral and includes CDO bonds of $147.1 million and other bonds of $67.3 million issued by Newcastle, which are eliminated in consolidation. Also reflected are weighted average credit ratings, which were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
(4) Our CDO financings typically have a 5 year reinvestment period. Generally, after such period ends, principal payments on the collateral are used to paydown the most senior debt outstanding. Prior to the end of the reinvestment period, principal payments received on the collateral are reinvested.
(5) At the option call date, Newcastle, as the equity holder, has the right to payoff the CDO bonds at their related redemption price. The funds needed to pay the debt could be raised either through a sale or refinancing of the collateral.
(6) At the auction call date, there is a mandatory auction of the assets. If the prices are sufficient to pay off the outstanding CDO bonds, the assets will be sold and the CDO bonds will be redeemed.
(7) Debt spread represents the spread above the benchmark interest rate (LIBOR or U.S. Treasuries) that Newcastle pays on its debt.
(8) Each of our CDO financings contains tests that measure the amount of over collateralization and excess interest in the transaction. Failure to satisfy these tests would cause the principal and/or interest cashflow that would otherwise be distributed to more junior classes of securities (including those held by Newcastle) to be redirected to pay down the most senior class of securities outstanding until the tests are satisfied. As a result, our cash flow and liquidity are negatively impacted upon such a failure, and the impact could be material. Each CDO contains tests at various over collateralization and interest coverage percentage levels. The trigger percentages identified above represent the first threshold at which cashflows would be redirected as described in this footnote. The data presented is as of the most recent remittance date on or before June 30, 2009 and may change or have changed subsequent to that date. In addition, our CDOs may also contain specific over collateralization tests that, if failed, can result in the occurrence of an event of default or our being removed as collateral manager of the CDO. Failure of the over collateralization tests can also cause a “phantom income” issue if cash that constitutes income is diverted to pay down debt instead of distributed to us. As of August 5, 2009, CDOs VI and VII, were not in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests and, consequently, we are not receiving cash flows from these CDOs (other than senior management fees). Based upon our current calculations, we expect these portfolios to remain out of compliance for the foreseeable future. Moreover, given current market conditions, it is possible that all of our CDOs could be out of compliance with their over collateralization tests as of one or more measurement dates within the next twelve months. Our ability to rebalance will depend upon the availability of suitable securities, market prices, whether the reinvestment period of the applicable CDO has ended, and other factors that are beyond our control, such rebalancing efforts may be extremely difficult given current market conditions and we cannot assure you that we will be successful in our rebalancing efforts. If the liabilities of our CDOs are downgraded by Moody’s to certain predetermined levels, our discretion to rebalance the applicable CDO portfolios may be negatively impacted. Moreover, if we bring these coverage tests into compliance, we cannot assure you that they will not fall out of compliance in the future or that we will be able to correct any noncompliance.
(9) Ratings downgrades of assets in our CDOs can negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Generally, the over collateralization test measures the principal balance of the specified pool of assets in a CDO against the corresponding liabilities issued by the CDO. However, based on ratings downgrades, the principal balance of an asset or of a specified percentage of assets in a CDO may be deemed reduced below their current balance to levels set forth in the related CDO documents for purposes of calculating the over collateralization test. As a result, ratings downgrades can reduce the principal balance of the assets used in the over collateralization test relative to the corresponding liabilities in the test, thereby reducing the over collateralization percentage. In addition, actual defaults of an asset would also negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Failure to satisfy an over collateralization test could result in the redirection of cashflows as described in footnote 9 above or, in certain instances, our removal as manager of the applicable portfolio.

Stockholders’ Equity

Common Stock

The following table presents information on shares of our common stock issued during the six months ended June 30, 2009:

 

Shares
Issued
  Range of Issue
Prices (1)
  Net Proceeds
(millions)
  Option Granted to
Manager
116,285   N/A (2)   $0.0   N/A

 

(1) Excludes prices of shares issued pursuant to the exercise of options and of shares issued to our independent directors.
(2) The only shares issued during this period were to our independent directors.

At June 30, 2009, we had 52,905,335 shares of common stock outstanding.

As of June 30, 2009, our outstanding options had a weighted average strike price of $26.64 and were summarized as follows:

 

Held by the Manager

   1,612,772

Issued to the Manager and subsequently transferred to certain of the Manager’s employees

   871,837

Held by the independent directors and former directors

   14,000
    

Total

   2,498,609
    

As of June 30, 2009, approximately 5.0 million shares of our common stock were held by our manager, through affiliates, and its principals.

No dividends were declared with respect to our common stock related to the six months ended June 30, 2009.

Preferred Stock

As of June 30, 2009, $9.0 million of dividends on Newcastle’s cumulative preferred stock were unpaid and in arrears.

 

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Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

During the six months ended June 30, 2009, our accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) changed due to the following factors (in thousands):

 

     Gains (Losses) on
Cash Flow
Hedges
    Unrealized Gains
(Losses) on
Securities
    Total Accumulated
Other Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), December, 31, 2008

   $ (314,323   $ 6,750      $ (307,573

Net unrealized gain (loss) on securities

     —          49,531        49,531   

Reclassification of net realized (gain) loss on securities into earnings

     —          331,891        331,891   

Net unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     108,817        —          108,817   

Reclassification of net realized (gain) loss on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges into earnings

     2,517        —          2,517   

Reclassification adjustment upon adoption of FSP 115-2 and 124-2 (discussed above)

     —          (1,288,924     (1,288,924
                        

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss), June 30, 2009

   $ (202,989   $ (900,752   $ (1,103,741
                        

Our GAAP equity changes as our real estate securities portfolio and derivatives are marked to market each quarter, among other factors. The primary causes of mark to market changes are changes in interest rates and credit spreads. During the six months ended June 30, 2009, a net widening of credit spreads has resulted in a net increase in unrealized losses on our real estate securities and derivatives.

See “- Market Considerations” above for a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our unrealized gains and losses as well as our liquidity.

Cash Flow

Operating Activities

Net cash flow provided by operating activities decreased to $49.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009 from $75.8 million for the six months ended June 30, 2008. This change primarily resulted from the acquisition and settlement of our investments as described above, and the performance thereof.

Operating Activities – Direct Method Comparison

Cash interest received for investments in securities and loans decreased approximately $75.1 million as a result of lower average interest earning securities and loans balance of $5.8 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2009 compared to $6.7 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2008 and a decrease in the weighted average interest rate to 5.05% from 6.04% for the six months ended June 30, 2009 and June 30, 2008, respectively. The lower asset balance is primarily the result of paydowns and a higher volume of asset sales.

Cash received from interest earned on cash balances decreased approximately $2.8 million as a result of lower cash balances.

Cash received from our investment in an operating real estate joint venture decreased by $7 million due to the sale of our interest in the second quarter of 2008.

Cash interest paid decreased approximately $59.2 million due to a lower average debt balance of $4.9 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2009 compared to $5.8 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2008 and a decrease in the weighted average funding cost, including the effect of hedges to 3.46% from 4.53% for the six months ended June 30, 2009 and June 30, 2008, respectively.

Investing Activities

Investing activities provided $164.5 million and $1,383.6 million during the six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008, respectively. Investing activities consisted primarily of investments made in certain real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets, offset by proceeds from the sale or settlement of investments.

Financing Activities

Financing activities provided (used) ($197.2) million and ($1,333.4) million during the six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008, respectively. The return of restricted cash from refinancing activities and return of margin deposits served as the primary sources of cash flow from financing activities. Offsetting uses included the repayment of debt as described above and the payment of related deferred financing costs.

See the consolidated statements of cash flows included in our consolidated financial statements for a reconciliation of our cash position for the periods described.

 

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INTEREST RATE, CREDIT AND SPREAD RISK

We are subject to interest rate, credit and spread risk with respect to our investments. These risks are further described in “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS

As of June 30, 2009, we had two material off-balance sheet arrangements. We believe that these off-balance sheet structures presented the most efficient and least expensive form of financing for these assets at the time they were entered, and represented the most common market-accepted method for financing such assets.

 

 

In April 2006, we securitized our Subprime Portfolio I. The loans were sold to a securitization trust, of which 80% were treated as a sale, which is an off-balance sheet financing.

 

 

In July 2007, we securitized our Subprime Portfolio II. The loans were sold to a securitization trust, of which 90% were treated as a sale, which is an off-balance sheet financing.

We have no obligation to repurchase any loans from either of our subprime securitizations. Therefore, it is expected that our exposure to loss is limited to the carrying amount of our retained interests in the securitization entities, as described above. A subsidiary of ours gave limited representations and warranties with respect to the second securitization; however, it has no assets and does not have recourse to the general credit of Newcastle.

We also had the following arrangements which do not meet the definition of off-balance sheet arrangements, but do have some of the characteristics of off-balance sheet arrangements.

 

 

We have made investments in three unconsolidated subsidiaries, two of which are dormant at June 30, 2009.

In each case, our exposure to loss is limited to the carrying (fair) value of our investment.

CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS

During the first six months of 2009, we had all of the material contractual obligations referred to in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, excluding the debt which was repaid or repurchased and the related hedges which were terminated, as described in “– Liquidity and Capital Resources,” as well as the following:

 

Contract Category   

Change

Repurchase agreements    As described above, we modified the terms of several debt agreements.
Junior subordinated notes    As described above, we modified the terms of the junior subordinated notes issued by us.
Loan commitment    As described above, Newcastle’s and its CDOs’ future funding commitments with respect to the commercial construction loan were terminated.

The terms of these contracts are described under “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” below.

INFLATION

We believe that our risk of increases in the market interest rates on our floating rate debt as a result of inflation is largely offset by our use of match funding and hedging instruments as described above. See “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk — Interest Rate Exposure” below.

 

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ADJUSTED FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS

We believe Adjusted Funds From Operations (“AFFO”) is one appropriate measure of the operating performance of real estate companies. We also believe that AFFO is an appropriate supplemental disclosure of operating performance for a REIT. Furthermore, AFFO is used to compute our incentive compensation to the Manager. AFFO, for our purposes, represents net income available for common stockholders (computed in accordance with GAAP), excluding extraordinary items, plus depreciation of operating real estate, and after adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any. We consider gains and losses on resolution of our investments to be a normal part of our recurring operations and therefore do not exclude such gains and losses when arriving at AFFO. This is the one difference between our definition of AFFO and the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (“NAREIT”) definition of FFO, which excludes gains and losses. Adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any, are calculated to reflect AFFO on the same basis. AFFO does not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance with GAAP and therefore should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indicator of our operating performance or as an alternative to cash flow as a measure of liquidity and is not necessarily indicative of cash available to fund cash needs. Our calculation of AFFO may be different from the calculation used by other companies and, therefore, comparability may be limited.

AFFO is calculated as follows (in thousands):

 

     For the Six Months
Ended June 30,
 
     2009     2008  

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

   $ (289,597   $ (131,935

Operating real estate depreciation

     (124     —     
                

Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO)

   $ (289,721   $ (131,935
                

Adjusted Funds from Operations was derived from our segments as follows (in thousands):

 

     Book Equity at
June 30, 2009
    AFFO for the Six
Months Ended
June 30, 2009
    AFFO for the
Three Months
Ended
June 30, 2009
 

CDOs

   $ (1,066,267   $ (247,813   $ (43,681

Other nonrecourse

     (4,927     13,144        22,176   

Recourse

     19,340        (25,571     (9,809

Unlevered

     11,543        (5,017     (3,012

Unallocated (1)

     (191,111     (24,464     (13,048
                        

Total (2)

     (1,231,422   $ (289,721   $ (47,374
                  

Preferred stock

     152,500       

Accumulated depreciation

     (868    

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

     (1,103,741    
            

Net GAAP equity

   $ (2,183,531    
            

 

(1) Unallocated AFFO represents ($6,751) of preferred dividends, ($4,044) of interest expense on our junior subordinated notes payable, and ($13,669) of corporate general and administrative expenses and management fees for the six months ended June 30, 2009.
(2) Invested common equity is equal to GAAP equity excluding preferred stock, accumulated depreciation and accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).

As a result of the effect of the other-than-temporary impairment on our AFFO, we expect that there will be no incentive compensation payable to the Manager for an indeterminate amount of time.

 

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ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

Market risk is the exposure to loss resulting from changes in interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices and equity prices. The primary market risks that we are exposed to are interest rate risk and credit spread risk. These risks are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political considerations and other factors beyond our control. All of our market risk sensitive assets, liabilities and related derivative positions are for non-trading purposes only. For a further understanding of how market risk may affect our financial position or results of operations, please refer to “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Application of Critical Accounting Policies.”

Interest Rate Exposure

Changes in interest rates, including changes in expected interest rates or “yield curves,” affect our investments in two distinct ways, each of which is discussed below.

First, changes in interest rates affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income earned on assets and the interest expense incurred in connection with our debt obligations and hedges.

Our general financing strategy focuses on the use of match funded structures, when appropriate and available. This means that we seek to match the maturities of our debt obligations with the maturities of our assets to minimize the risk that we have to refinance our liabilities prior to the maturities of our assets, and to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings. In addition, we generally match fund interest rates on our assets with like-kind debt (i.e., fixed rate assets are financed with fixed rate debt and floating rate assets are financed with floating rate debt), directly or through the use of interest rate swaps, caps or other financial instruments (see below), or through a combination of these strategies, which also allows us to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings.

However, increases in interest rates can nonetheless reduce our net interest income to the extent that we are not completely match funded. Furthermore, a period of rising interest rates can negatively impact our return on certain floating rate investments. Although these investments may be financed with floating rate debt, the interest rate on the debt may reset prior to, and in some cases more frequently than, the interest rate on the assets, causing a decrease in return on equity during a period of rising interest rates.

As of June 30, 2009, a 100 basis point increase in short term interest rates would decrease our earnings by approximately $0.1 million per annum, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings.

Second, changes in the level of interest rates also affect the yields required by the marketplace on debt. Increasing interest rates would decrease the value of the fixed rate assets we hold at the time because higher required yields result in lower prices on existing fixed rate assets in order to adjust their yield upward to meet the market.

Changes in unrealized gains or losses resulting from changes in market interest rates do not directly affect our cash flows, or our ability to pay a dividend, to the extent the related assets are expected to be held, as their fair value is not relevant to their underlying cash flows. Our assets are largely financed to maturity through long term CDO financings that are not redeemable as a result of book value changes. As long as these fixed rate assets continue to perform as expected, our cash flows from these assets would not be affected by increasing interest rates. Changes in unrealized gains or losses would impact our ability to realize gains on existing investments if they were sold. Furthermore, with respect to changes in unrealized gains or losses on investments which are carried at fair value, changes in unrealized gains or losses would impact our net book value and, in the cases of impaired assets and non-hedge derivatives, our net income (loss).

Changes in the value of our assets could affect our ability to borrow and access capital. Also, if the value of our assets subject to short term financing were to decline, it could cause us to fund margin and affect our ability to refinance such assets upon the maturity of the related financings, adversely impacting our rate of return on such securities.

As of June 30, 2009, a 100 basis point change in short term interest rates would impact our net book value by approximately $64.8 million, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings.

Interest rate swaps are agreements in which a series of interest rate flows are exchanged with a third party (counterparty) over a prescribed period. The notional amount on which swaps are based is not exchanged. In general, our swaps are “pay fixed” swaps involving the exchange of floating rate interest payments from the counterparty for fixed interest payments from us. This can effectively convert a floating rate debt obligation into a fixed rate debt obligation. Interest rate swaps may be subject to margin calls.

Similarly, an interest rate cap or floor agreement is a contract in which we purchase a cap or floor contract on a notional face amount. We will make an up-front payment to the counterparty for which the counterparty agrees to make future payments to us should the reference rate (typically LIBOR) rise above (cap agreements) or fall below (floor agreements) the “strike” rate specified in the contract. Payments on an annualized basis will equal the contractual notional face amount multiplied by the difference between the actual reference rate and the contracted strike rate.

 

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While a REIT may utilize these types of derivative instruments to hedge interest rate risk on its liabilities or for other purposes, such derivative instruments could generate income that is not qualified income for purposes of maintaining REIT status. As a consequence, we may only engage in such instruments to hedge such risks within the constraints of maintaining our standing as a REIT. We do not enter into derivative contracts for speculative purposes nor as a hedge against changes in credit risk.

Our hedging transactions using derivative instruments also involve certain additional risks such as counterparty credit risk, the enforceability of hedging contracts and the risk that unanticipated and significant changes in interest rates will cause a significant loss of basis in the contract. The counterparties to our derivative arrangements are major financial institutions with which we and our affiliates may also have other financial relationships. As a result, we do not anticipate that any of these counterparties will fail to meet their obligations. There can be no assurance that we will be able to adequately protect against the foregoing risks and will ultimately realize an economic benefit that exceeds the related amounts incurred in connection with engaging in such hedging strategies.

Credit Spread Exposure

Credit spreads measure the yield demanded on loans and securities by the market based on their credit relative to U.S. Treasuries, for fixed rate credit, or LIBOR, for floating rate credit. Our fixed rate loans and securities are valued based on a market credit spread over the rate payable on fixed rate U.S. Treasuries of like maturity. Our floating rate loans and securities are valued based on a market credit spread over LIBOR. Excessive supply of such loans and securities combined with reduced demand will generally cause the market to require a higher yield on such loans and securities, resulting in the use of a higher (or “wider”) spread over the benchmark rate to value them.

Widening credit spreads would result in higher yields being required by the marketplace on loans and securities. This widening would reduce the value of the loans and securities we hold at the time because higher required yields result in lower prices on existing securities in order to adjust their yield upward to meet the market. The effects of such a decrease in values on our financial position, results of operations and liquidity are discussed above under “- Interest Rate Exposure.”

As of June 30, 2009, a 25 basis point movement in credit spreads would impact our net book value by approximately $19.5 million, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings, but would not directly affect our earnings or cash flow.

Our financing strategy is dependent on our ability to place the match funded debt we use to finance our investments at rates that provide a positive net spread. Currently, spreads for such liabilities have widened and demand for such liabilities has become extremely limited, therefore restricting our ability to execute future financings.

In an environment where spreads are tightening, if spreads tighten on the assets we purchase to a greater degree than they tighten the liabilities we issue, our net spread will be reduced.

Credit Risk

In addition to the above described market risks, Newcastle is subject to credit risk.

Credit risk refers to the ability of each individual borrower under our loans and securities to make required interest and principal payments on the scheduled due dates. The commercial mortgage and asset backed securities we invest in are generally junior in right of payment of interest and principal to one or more senior classes, but benefit from the support of one or more subordinate classes of securities or other form of credit support (which absorbs losses before the securities in which we invest) within a securitization transaction. The senior unsecured REIT debt securities we invest in reflect comparable credit risk. As a result of the current economic crisis and illiquidity in the markets, the value of the subordinated securities has generally been reduced or, in some cases, eliminated, which could leave our securities economically in a first loss position. We also invest in loans and securities which represent “first loss” pieces; in other words, they do not benefit from credit support although we believe they predominantly benefit from underlying collateral value in excess of their carrying amounts.

We seek to reduce credit risk by actively monitoring our asset portfolio and the underlying credit quality of our holdings and, where appropriate and achievable, repositioning our investments to upgrade their credit quality. In the event of a significant rising interest rate environment and/or economic downturn, loan and collateral defaults may increase and result in credit losses that would adversely affect our liquidity and operating results. As described above in “- Market Considerations” and elsewhere in this quarterly report, adverse market and credit conditions have resulted in our recording of other-than-temporary impairment in certain securities and loans.

Margin

Certain of our derivatives are subject to margin calls based on the value of such instruments. We seek to maintain adequate cash reserves and other sources of available liquidity to meet any margin calls resulting from decreases in value related to a reasonably possible (in the opinion of management) change in interest rates.

 

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Interest Rate and Credit Spread Risk Sensitive Instruments and Fair Value

Our holdings of such financial instruments, and their fair values and the estimation methodology thereof, are detailed in Note 6 to our consolidated financial statements included herein. For information regarding the impact of prepayment, reinvestment, and expected loss factors on the timing of realization of our investments, please refer to the consolidated financial statements included herein and in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. For information regarding the impact of changes in these factors on the value of securities valued with internal models, see Part I, Item 2, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Critical Accounting Policies.”

We note that the values of our investments in real estate securities, loans and derivative instruments are sensitive to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors. The value of these investments can vary, and has varied, materially from period to period.

Trends

See “- Market Considerations” above for a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our liquidity, unrealized gains and losses.

 

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ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

 

(a) Disclosure Controls and Procedures. The Company’s management, with the participation of the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act” )) as of the end of the period covered by this report. The Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance that information is recorded, processed, summarized and reported accurately and on a timely basis. Based on such evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective.

 

(b) Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. There have not been any changes in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) under the Exchange Act) occurred during the fiscal quarter to which this report relates that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

 

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

From time to time, we are or may be involved in various disputes and litigation matters that arise in the ordinary course of business. The Company is not party to any material legal proceedings as of the date on which this report is filed.

 

Item 1A. Risk Factors

Risks relating to our management, business and company include, specifically:

Risks Related to the Financial Services Industry and Financial Markets

We do not know what impact the U.S. government’s plans to purchase large amounts of illiquid, mortgage-backed and other securities, or its plans to modify the terms of outstanding loans, will have on the financial markets or our business.

In response to the financial crises affecting the banking system and financial markets and going concern threats to investment banks and other financial institutions, the U.S. government enacted the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, or EESA, on October 3, 2008. Pursuant to the EESA, the U.S. Treasury has the authority to, among other things, purchase up to $700 billion of mortgage-backed and other securities from financial institutions for the purpose of stabilizing the financial markets. As part of this plan, the U.S. government also recently made preferred equity investments in a number of the largest financial institutions. More recently, the U.S. government has approved an additional financial stimulus package, and President Obama and members of Congress have proposed modifying the terms of certain loans, including real estate mortgages and asset-backed securities. It is not clear what impact these initiatives will have on the financial markets, including the illiquidity in the global credit markets and the downward trends and extreme levels of volatility in the global equity markets. Moreover, while the details of some of these initiatives are not yet finalized, it appears that these initiatives will not directly benefit us, and it is possible that any modifications to the terms of loans for which we are the lender could have a significantly negative impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Moreover, if any of our competitors are able to benefit from one or more of these initiatives, they may gain a significant competitive advantage over us.

We are subject to counterparty default and concentration risks.

In the ordinary course of our business, we enter into various types of financing arrangements with counterparties. Currently, the majority of our financing arrangements take the form of repurchase agreements, securitization vehicles, loans, hedge contracts, swaps and other derivative and non-derivative contracts. The terms of these contracts are often customized and complex, and many of these arrangements occur in markets or relate to products that are not subject to regulatory oversight.

We are subject to the risk that the counterparty to one or more of these contracts defaults, either voluntarily or involuntarily, on its performance under the contract. Any such default may occur rapidly and without notice to us. Moreover, if a counterparty defaults, we may be unable to take action to cover our exposure, either because we lack the contractual ability or because market conditions make it difficult to take effective action. This inability could occur in times of market stress consistent with the conditions we are currently experiencing, which are precisely the times when defaults may be most likely to occur.

In addition, our risk-management processes may not accurately anticipate the impact of market stress or counterparty financial condition, and as a result, we may not take sufficient action to reduce our risks effectively. Although we monitor our credit exposures, default risk may arise from events or circumstances that are difficult to detect, foresee or evaluate. In addition, concerns about, or a default by, one large participant could lead to significant liquidity problems for other participants, which may in turn expose us to significant losses.

In the event of a counterparty default, particularly a default by a major investment bank, we could incur material losses rapidly, and the resulting market impact of a major counterparty default could seriously harm our business, results of operations and financial condition. In the event that one of our counterparties becomes insolvent or files for bankruptcy, our ability to eventually recover any losses suffered as a result of that counterparty’s default may be limited by the liquidity of the counterparty or the applicable legal regime governing the bankruptcy proceeding.

In addition, with respect to our CDOs, certain of our derivative counterparties are required to maintain certain ratings to avoid having to post collateral or transfer the derivative to another counterparty. If the counterparty was downgraded below these levels they may not be able to satisfy their obligations under the derivative, which could have a material negative effect on the applicable CDO.

The counterparty risks that we face have increased in complexity and magnitude as a result of the deterioration of conditions in the financial markets and weakening or insolvency of a number of major financial institutions (such as Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and AIG). For example, the consolidation and elimination of counterparties has increased our concentration of counterparty risk and decreased the universe of potential counterparties. We currently finance all of our FNMA/FHLMC securities under a repurchase agreement with one counterparty. If this counterparty elected not to roll this repurchase agreement, it is likely that we would not be able to find a replacement counterparty, which could negatively impact

 

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us in a number of ways, including forcing us to sell these securities at distressed prices and use cash on hand to make up for any additional amounts needed to repay the counterparty. Moreover, because we currently hold our FNMA/FHLMC securities mainly to maintain our exemption under the Investment Company Act, the sale of these securities may, if we are unable to return to compliance, require us to register as an investment company or cause us to lose our REIT status, either of which would negatively impact us in a number of ways described below. In addition, counterparties have generally reacted to the ongoing market volatility by tightening their underwriting standards and increasing their margin requirements for all categories of financing, which has negatively impacted us in several ways, including, decreasing the number of counterparties willing to provide financing to us, decreasing the overall amount of leverage available to us, and increasing the costs of borrowing. As a result, we currently finance all of our assets not held in CDOs with a very concentrated number of counterparties. If one or more of these counterparties elected not to continue to provide financing to us, we would likely not be able to find substitute financing in a timely manner or on economical terms, which could, in turn, significantly harm our ability to conduct our business, our financial condition and results of operations.

We are not restricted from dealing with any particular counterparty or from concentrating any or all of our transactions with one counterparty. Any loss suffered by us as a result of a counterparty defaulting, refusing to conduct business with us or imposing more onerous terms on us would also negatively affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our Management

We are dependent on our manager and may not find a suitable replacement if our manager terminates the management agreement.

We have no employees. Our officers and other individuals who perform services for us are employees of our manager. We are completely reliant on our manager, which has significant discretion as to the implementation of our operating policies and strategies, to conduct our business. We are subject to the risk that our manager will terminate the management agreement and that we will not be able to find a suitable replacement for our manager in a timely manner, at a reasonable cost or at all. Furthermore, we are dependent on the services of certain key employees of our manager whose compensation is partially or entirely dependent upon the amount of incentive or management compensation earned by our manager and whose continued service is not guaranteed and the loss of such services could adversely affect our operations.

There are conflicts of interest in our relationship with our manager.

Our chairman serves as an officer of our manager. Our management agreement with our manager was not negotiated at arm’s-length and its terms, including fees payable, may not be as favorable to us as if it had been negotiated with an unaffiliated third party.

There are conflicts of interest inherent in our relationship with our manager insofar as our manager and its affiliates — including investment funds, private investment funds, or businesses managed by our manager — invest in real estate securities, real estate related loans and operating real estate and whose investment objectives overlap with our investment objectives. Certain investments appropriate for Newcastle may also be appropriate for one or more of these other investment vehicles. Members of our board of directors and employees of our manager who are our officers may serve as officers and/or directors of these other entities. In addition, our manager or its affiliates may have investments in and/or earn fees from such other investment vehicles which are larger than their economic interests in Newcastle and which may therefore create an incentive to allocate investments to such other investment vehicles. Our manager or its affiliates may determine, in their discretion, to make a particular investment through another investment vehicle rather than through Newcastle and have no obligation to offer to Newcastle the opportunity to participate in any particular investment opportunity. Accordingly, it is possible that we may not be given the opportunity to participate at all in certain investments made by our affiliates that meet our investment objectives.

Our management agreement with our manager generally does not limit or restrict our manager or its affiliates from engaging in any business or managing other pooled investment vehicles that invest in investments that meet our investment objectives, except that under our management agreement neither our manager nor any entity controlled by or under common control with our manager is permitted to raise or sponsor any new pooled investment vehicle whose investment policies, guidelines or plan targets as its primary investment category investment in United States dollar-denominated credit sensitive real estate related securities reflecting primarily United States loans or assets. Our manager intends to engage in additional real estate related management and investment opportunities in the future which may compete with us for investments.

The ability of our manager and its officers and employees to engage in other business activities, subject to the terms of our management agreement with our manager, may reduce the time our manager spends managing Newcastle. In addition, we may engage in material transactions with our manager or another entity managed by our manager or one of its affiliates, including certain financing arrangements and co-investments which present an actual, potential or perceived conflict of interest, subject to our investment guidelines. It is possible that actual, potential or perceived conflicts could give rise to investor dissatisfaction, litigation or regulatory enforcement actions. Appropriately dealing with conflicts of interest is complex and difficult, and our reputation could be damaged if we fail, or appear to fail, to deal appropriately with one or more potential, actual or perceived conflicts of interest. Regulatory scrutiny of, or litigation in connection with, conflicts of interest could have a material adverse effect on our reputation which could materially adversely affect our business in a number of ways, including causing an inability to raise additional funds, a reluctance of counterparties to do business with us, a decrease in the prices of our common and preferred securities and a resulting increased risk of litigation and regulatory enforcement actions.

 

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The management compensation structure that we have agreed to with our manager may incentivize our manager to invest in high risk investments. In addition to its management fee, our manager is entitled to receive incentive compensation based in part upon our achievement of targeted levels of funds from operations. In evaluating investments and other management strategies, the opportunity to earn incentive compensation based on funds from operations may lead our manager to place undue emphasis on the maximization of funds from operations at the expense of other criteria, such as preservation of capital, in order to achieve higher incentive compensation, particularly in light of the fact that our manager has not received any incentive compensation and likely will not receive any incentive compensation in the future unless it meaningfully increases Newcastle’s investment returns. Investments with higher yield potential are generally riskier or more speculative than lower-yielding investments. Moreover, because our manager receives compensation in the form of options in connection with the completion of our common equity offerings, our manager may be incentivized to cause us to issue additional common stock, which could be dilutive to existing shareholders.

It would be difficult and costly to terminate our management agreement with our manager.

Termination of the management agreement with our manager would be difficult and costly. The management agreement may only be terminated annually upon the affirmative vote of at least two-thirds of our independent directors, or by a vote of the holders of a majority of the outstanding shares of our common stock, based upon (1) unsatisfactory performance by our manager that is materially detrimental to us or (2) a determination that the management fee payable to our manager is not fair, subject to our manager’s right to prevent such a compensation termination by accepting a mutually acceptable reduction of fees. Our manager will be provided 60 days’ prior notice of any termination and will be paid a termination fee equal to the amount of the management fee earned by the manager during the twelve-month period preceding such termination. In addition, following any termination of the management agreement, the manager may require us to purchase its right to receive incentive compensation at a price determined as if our assets were sold for their fair market value (as determined by an appraisal, taking into account, among other things, the expected future value of the underlying investments) or otherwise we may continue to pay the incentive compensation to our manager. These provisions may increase the effective cost to us of terminating the management agreement, thereby adversely affecting our ability to terminate our manager without cause.

Our directors have approved very broad investment guidelines for our manager and do not approve each investment decision made by our manager.

Our manager is authorized to follow very broad investment guidelines. Consequently, our manager has great latitude in determining the types of assets it may decide are proper investments for us. Our directors periodically review our investment guidelines and our investment portfolio. However, our board does not review or pre-approve each proposed investment or our related financing arrangements. In addition, in conducting periodic reviews, the directors rely primarily on information provided to them by our manager. Furthermore, transactions entered into by our manager may be difficult or impossible to unwind by the time they are reviewed by the directors even if the transactions contravene the terms of the management agreement.

We may change our investment strategy without stockholder consent, which may result in our making investments that entail more risk than our current investments.

Our investment strategy may evolve, in light of existing market conditions and investment opportunities, and this evolution may involve additional risks depending upon the nature of such assets and our ability to finance such assets on a short or long term basis. Investment opportunities that present unattractive risk-return profiles relative to other available investment opportunities under particular market conditions may become relatively attractive under changed market conditions and changes in market conditions may therefore result in changes in the investments we target. Decisions to make investments in new asset categories present risks that may be difficult for us to adequately assess and could therefore reduce the stability of our dividends or have adverse effects on our financial condition. A change in our investment strategy may also increase our exposure to interest rate, foreign currency, real estate market or credit market fluctuations. Our failure to accurately assess the risks inherent in new asset categories or the financing risks associated with such assets could adversely affect our results of operations and our financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our Business

Challenging market conditions will likely continue to negatively impact our business, results of operations and financial condition, including liquidity.

The market in which we operate is affected by a number of factors that are largely beyond our control but can nonetheless have a potentially significant, negative impact on us. These factors include, among other things:

 

   

Interest rates and credit spreads;

 

   

The availability of credit, including the price, terms and conditions under which it can be obtained;

 

   

The quality, pricing and availability of suitable investments and credit losses with respect to our investments;

 

   

The ability to obtain accurate market-based valuations;

 

   

Loan values relative to the value of the underlying real estate assets;

 

   

Default rates on both commercial and residential mortgages and the amount of the related losses;

 

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The actual and perceived state of the real estate markets, market for dividend-paying stocks and public capital markets generally;

 

   

Unemployment rates; and

 

   

The attractiveness of other types of investments relative to investments in real estate or REITs generally.

Changes in these factors are difficult to predict, and a change in one factor can affect other factors. For example, during 2007, increased default rates in the subprime mortgage market played a role in causing credit spreads to widen, reducing availability of credit on favorable terms, reducing liquidity and price transparency of real estate related assets, resulting in difficulty in obtaining accurate mark-to-market valuations, and causing a negative perception of the state of the real estate markets and of REITs generally. These conditions worsened during 2008 as a result of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis and continue to have a significantly negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition. We do not currently know the full extent to which this market disruption will affect us or the markets in which we operate, and we are unable to predict its length or ultimate severity. If the challenging conditions continue, we may experience challenges maintaining sufficient liquidity, additional impairment charges as well as additional challenges in raising capital and obtaining investment or other financing on attractive terms or at all. In addition, if current market conditions continue or deteriorate, we could experience a rapid, significant deterioration of our liquidity, business, results of operations and financial condition and possibly be obliged to file for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

A prolonged economic slowdown, a lengthy or severe recession, or declining real estate values could harm our operations.

We believe the risks associated with our business are more severe during periods similar to those we are currently experiencing in which an economic slowdown or recession is accompanied by declining real estate values. Declining real estate values generally reduce the level of new mortgage loan originations, since borrowers often use increases in the value of their existing properties to support the purchase of, or investment in, additional properties. Borrowers may also be less able to pay principal and interest on our loans, and the loans underlying our securities, if the real estate economy weakens. Further, declining real estate values significantly increase the likelihood that we will incur losses on our loans and securities in the event of default because the value of our collateral may be insufficient to cover our basis. Any sustained period of increased payment delinquencies, foreclosures or losses could adversely affect both our net interest income from loans and securities in our portfolio as well as our ability to originate, sell and securitize loans, which would significantly harm our revenues, results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, business prospects and our ability to make distributions to our shareholders. For more information on the impact of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis on our business and results of operations see Part I, Item 2, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations.”

We have limited liquidity. We are party to agreements that require cash payments at periodic intervals, including during the next twelve months. Failure to make such required payments have a material adverse affect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We are currently party to non-FNMA/FHLMC recourse financing agreements that require us to make cash payments at periodic intervals. During the period from August 6, 2009 through June 30, 2010, we are required to make principal payments under these financing agreements of approximately $62.9 million. Events could occur or circumstances could arise, which we may not be able to foresee, that may cause us to be unable to make these cash payments when they become due. Failure to make the payments required under our financing documents would give the lenders the right to require us to repay all amounts owed to them under the applicable financing immediately. If the lender exercises this right, we likely would not have sufficient cash on hand to repay such amounts, which would cause a rapid deterioration in our financial condition and could necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

The use of CDO financings with coverage tests may have a negative impact on our operating results and cash flows.

We have retained, and may in the future retain, subordinate classes of bonds issued by certain of our subsidiaries in our CDO financings. Each of our CDO financings contains tests that measure the amount of over collateralization and excess interest in the transaction. Failure to satisfy these tests would result in principal and/or interest cash flow that would otherwise be distributed to more junior classes of securities (including those held by Newcastle) to be redirected to pay down the most senior class of securities outstanding until the tests are satisfied. As a result, failure to satisfy the coverage tests could adversely affect our operating results and cash flows by temporarily or permanently directing funds that would otherwise come to us to holders of the senior classes of bonds. In addition, the redirected funds would be used to pay down financing which currently bears an attractive rate, thereby reducing our future earnings from the affected CDO. The ratings assigned to the assets in each CDO affect the results of the tests governing whether a CDO can distribute cash to the various classes of securities in the CDO. As a result, ratings downgrades of the assets in a CDO can result in a CDO failing its tests and thereby cause us not to receive cash flows from the affected CDO. We note that we currently have approximately $1 billion of CMBS assets that are under review by S&P and are under downgrade watch. S&P could downgrade some or all of these CMBS assets at any time, and any such downgrade could affect – and possibly materially affect – our future cash flows. As of August 5, 2009, CDOs VII and VIII were not in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests and, consequently, we are not receiving cash flows from these CDOs (other than senior management fees). Based upon our current calculations, we expect these to remain out of compliance for the foreseeable future. Moreover, given current market conditions, it is possible that all of our CDOs could be

 

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out of compliance with their over collateralization tests as of one or more measurement dates within the next twelve months. Our ability to rebalance will depend upon the availability of suitable securities, market prices, whether the reinvestment period of the applicable CDO has ended, and other factors that are beyond our control, such rebalancing efforts may be extremely difficult given current market conditions and we cannot assure you that we will be successful in our rebalancing efforts. If the liabilities of our CDOs are downgraded by Moody’s to certain predetermined levels, our discretion to rebalance the applicable CDO portfolios may be negatively impacted. Moreover, if we bring these coverage tests into compliance, we cannot assure you that they will not fall out of compliance in the future or that we will be able to correct any noncompliance. Failure of the over collateralization tests can also cause a “phantom income” issue if cash that constitutes income is diverted to pay down debt instead of distributed to us. For more information regarding noncompliance with the terms of certain of our CDO financings in the near future, please see “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations–Liquidity and Capital Resources” and “–Debt Obligations.”

We may experience an event of default or the removal of us as collateral manager under one or more of our CDOs, which would negatively affect us in a number of ways.

The documentation governing our CDOs specify certain events of default, which, if they occur, would negatively affect us. Events of default include, among other things, failure to pay interest on senior classes of securities within the CDO, breaches of covenants, representations or warranties, bankruptcy, and failure to satisfy specific over collateralization and interest coverage tests. If an event of default occurs under any of our CDOs, it would negatively affect our cash flows, business, results of operations and financial condition.

In addition, we can be removed as manager of a CDO if certain events occur, including the failure to satisfy specific over collateralization and interest coverage tests, failure to satisfy certain “key man” requirements or an event of default occurring for the failure to pay interest on the related senior classes of securities of the CDO. If we are removed as collateral manager, we would no longer receive management fees from — and no longer be able to manage the assets of — the applicable CDO, which would negatively affect our cash flows, business, results of operations and financial condition.

Our investments have previously been — and in the future may be — subject to significant impairment charges, which adversely affect our results of operations.

We are required to periodically evaluate our investments for impairment indicators. The value of an investment is impaired when our analysis indicates that, with respect to a loan, it is probable that we will not be able to collect the full amount we intended to collect from the loan or, with respect to a security, it is probable that the value of security is other than temporarily impaired. The judgment regarding the existence of impairment indicators is based on a variety of factors depending upon the nature of the investment and the manner in which the income related to such investment calculated for purposes of our financial statements. If we determine that an impairment has occurred, we are required to make an adjustment to the net carrying value of the investment, which could adversely affect our results of operations and funds from operations in the applicable period and thereby adversely affect our ability to pay dividends to our stockholders.

As has been widely publicized, the recent and ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has resulted in a number of financial institutions recording an unprecedented amount of impairment charges, and we have also been affected by these conditions. The liquidity crisis has reduced the market trading activity for many real estate securities, resulting in less liquid markets for those securities. These lower valuations have affected us by, among other things, decreasing our net book value and contributing to our decision to record impairment charges.

The lenders under any repurchase agreements that we may enter into from time to time may elect not to extend financing to us, which could quickly and seriously impair our liquidity.

We have historically financed a meaningful portion of our investments not held in CDOs with repurchase agreements, which are short-term financing arrangements. Under the terms of these agreements, and we may enter into additional repurchase agreements in the future, we sell a security to a counterparty for a specified price and concurrently agree to repurchase the same security from our counterparty at a later date for a higher specified price. During the term of the repurchase agreement – generally 30 days – the counterparty makes funds available to us and holds the security as collateral. Our counterparties can also require us to post additional margin as collateral at any time during the term of the agreement. When the term of a repurchase agreement ends, we are required to repurchase the security for the specified repurchase price, with the difference between the sale and repurchase prices serving as the equivalent of paying interest to the counterparty in return for extending financing to us. If we want to continue to finance the security with a repurchase agreement, we ask the counterparty to extend – or “roll” – the repurchase agreement for another term.

Our counterparties are not required to roll our repurchase agreements upon the expiration of the stated terms, which subjects us to a number of risks. As we have experienced recently and may experience in the future, counterparties electing to roll our repurchase agreements may charge higher spread and impose more onerous terms upon us, including the requirement that we post additional margin as collateral. More significantly, if a repurchase agreement counterparty elects not to extend our financing, we would be required to pay the counterparty the full repurchase price on the maturity date and find an alternate source of financing. Alternate sources of financing may be more expensive, contain more onerous terms or simply may not be available. If we were unable to pay the repurchase price for any security financed with a repurchase agreement, the

 

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counterparty has the right to sell the underlying security being held as collateral and require us to compensate them for any shortfall between the value of our obligation to the counterparty and the amount for which the collateral was sold (which may be sold at a significantly discounted price). As of June 30, 2009, we had $44.6 million in repurchase agreement obligations relating to FNMA/FHLMC securities. Moreover, all of our FNMA/FHLMC securities are financed under a repurchase agreement with one counterparty. If this counterparty elected not to roll this repurchase agreement, it is likely that we would not be able to find a replacement counterparty in a timely manner. If one or more of our repurchase agreement counterparties elected not to roll our existing repurchase agreements, such nonrenewal could increase our cost of financing, significantly reduce our liquidity and force us to sell assets at a loss, each of which would cause a rapid deterioration in our financial condition and possibly necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

Our determination of how much leverage to apply to our investments may adversely affect our return on our investments and may reduce cash available for distribution.

We leverage our portfolio through borrowings, generally through the use of credit facilities, warehouse facilities, repurchase agreements, mortgage loans on real estate, securitizations, including the issuance of CDOs, private or public offerings of debt by subsidiaries, loans to entities in which we hold, directly or indirectly, interests in pools of properties or loans, and other borrowings. Our investment policies do not limit the amount of leverage we may incur with respect to any specific asset or pool of assets, subject to an overall limit on our use of leverage to 90% (as defined in our governing documents) of the value of our assets on an aggregate basis. As a result of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis, the return we are able to earn on our investments and cash available for distribution to our stockholders has been significantly reduced due to changes in market conditions causing the cost of our financing to increase relative to the income that can be derived from our assets.

Although we seek to match fund our investments to limit refinance risk and lock in net spreads, we do not currently match fund our investments not held in our CDOs, which increases the risks related to refinancing these investments.

A key to our investment strategy is to finance our investments using match funded financing structures, which match assets and liabilities with respect to maturities and interest rates. This strategy limits our refinance risk, including the risk of being able to refinance an investment on favorable terms or at all. We generally use match funded financing structures, such as CDOs, to finance our investments in real estate securities and loans. However, our manager may elect for us to bear a level of refinancing risk on a short term or longer term basis, such as is the case with investments financed with repurchase agreements, when, based on its analysis, our manager determines that bearing such risk is deemed advisable or unavoidable (this is generally the case with respect to the residential mortgage loans and FNMA/FHLMC in which we invest). In addition, we may be unable, as a result of conditions in the credit markets, to match fund investments. For example, non-recourse term financing not subject to margin requirements has generally not been available or economical for the past year, and may not be available for an indeterminate period of time, which impairs our ability to match fund our investments. The decision not, or the inability, to match fund certain investments exposes us to additional refinancing risks that may not apply to our other investments.

Furthermore, we anticipate that, in most cases, for any period during which our floating rate assets are not match funded with respect to maturity, the income from such assets may respond more slowly to interest rate fluctuations than the cost of our borrowings. Because of this dynamic, interest income from such investments may rise more slowly than the related interest expense, with a consequent decrease in our net income. Interest rate fluctuations resulting in our interest expense exceeding interest income would result in operating losses for us from these investments.

Accordingly, if we do not or are unable to match fund our investments with respect to maturities and interest rates, we will be exposed to the risk that we may not be able to finance or refinance our investments on economically favorable terms or may have to liquidate assets at a loss.

We may not be able to finance our investments on a long term basis on attractive terms, including by means of securitization, which may require us to seek more costly financing for our investments or to liquidate assets.

When we acquire securities and loans that we finance on a short term basis with a view to securitization or other long term financing, we bear the risk of being unable to securitize the assets or otherwise finance them on a long term basis at attractive prices or in a timely matter, or at all. If it is not possible or economical for us to securitize or otherwise finance such assets on a long term basis, we may be unable to pay down our short term credit facilities, or be required to liquidate the assets at a loss in order to do so. For example, as a result of the continued deterioration in the credit markets beginning in 2007, financing investments with securitizations or other long-term non-recourse financing not subject to margin requirements has not been available or economical for the past year, and we do not expect it to be possible or economical for the foreseeable future. These conditions make it highly likely that we will have to use less efficient forms of financing for any new investments, which will likely require a larger portion of our cash flows to be put toward making the initial investment and thereby reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our stockholders and funds available for operations and investments, and which will also likely require us to assume higher levels of risk when financing our investments.

The loans we invest in, and the loans underlying the securities and total rate of return swaps we invest in, are subject to delinquency, foreclosure and loss, which could result in losses to us.

Commercial mortgage loans are secured by multifamily or commercial property and are subject to risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss. The ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by an income-producing property typically is dependent primarily upon the successful operation of such property rather than upon the existence of independent income or

 

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assets of the borrower. If the net operating income of the property is reduced, the borrower’s ability to repay the loan may be impaired. Net operating income of an income-producing property can be affected by, among other things: tenant mix, success of tenant businesses, property management decisions, property location and condition, competition from comparable types of properties, changes in laws that increase operating expense or limit rents that may be charged, any need to address environmental contamination at the property, the occurrence of any uninsured casualty at the property, changes in national, regional or local economic conditions and/or specific industry segments, declines in regional or local real estate values, declines in regional or local rental or occupancy rates, increases in interest rates, changes in the availability of credit on favorable terms, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses, changes in governmental rules, regulations and fiscal policies, including environmental legislation, acts of God, terrorism, social unrest and civil disturbances.

Residential mortgage loans, manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans are secured by single-family residential property and are also subject to risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss. The ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by a residential property is dependent upon the income or assets of the borrower. A number of factors may impair borrowers’ abilities to repay their loans, including, among other things, changes in the borrower’s employment status, changes in national, regional or local economic conditions, changes in interest rates or the availability of credit on favorable terms, changes in regional or local real estate values, changes in regional or local rental rates and changes in real estate taxes.

In the event of any default under a loan held directly by us, we will bear a risk of loss of principal to the extent of any deficiency between the value of the collateral and the outstanding principal and accrued but unpaid interest of the loan, which could adversely affect our cash flow from operations. Foreclosure of a loan, particularly a commercial loan, can be an expensive and lengthy process, which would negatively affect our anticipated return on the foreclosed loan.

Mortgage and asset backed securities are bonds or notes backed by loans and/or other financial assets and include commercial mortgage back securities (CMBS), FNMA/FHLMC securities, and real estate related asset backed securities (ABS). The ability of a borrower to repay these loans or other financial assets is dependent upon the income or assets of these borrowers. If a borrower has insufficient income or assets to repay these loans, it will default on its loan. While we intend to focus on real estate related asset backed securities, there can be no assurance that we will not invest in other types of asset backed securities.

Our investments in mortgage and asset backed securities will be adversely affected by defaults under the loans underlying such securities. To the extent losses are realized on the loans underlying the securities in which we invest, the Company may not recover the amount invested in, or, in extreme cases, any of our investment in, such securities.

We have recently experienced increased default rates on our commercial and residential mortgage loans.

We face a heightened risk of delinquency and loss from our investment in subprime mortgage loans.

We face a heightened risk of delinquency and loss from our investment in subprime mortgage loans. Subprime mortgage loans are generally loans to credit impaired borrowers and borrowers that are ineligible to qualify for loans from conventional mortgage sources due to loan size, lower credit characteristics or documentation standards. As of June 30, 2009, our subprime mortgage holdings totaled $153.7 million, or 4.7% of our assets. Loans to lower credit grade borrowers generally experience higher-than-average default and loss rates than do loans to borrowers with better credit characteristics. Material differences in the defaults, loss severities and/or prepayments on the subprime mortgage loans we acquire (or on the manufactured housing loans we acquire) from what we estimate in connection with our underwriting of the acquisition of such loans would cause reductions in our income and adversely affect our operating results, both with respect to unsecuritized loans and loans that we have securitized or otherwise financed on a long term match funded basis. We cannot assure you that our underwriting criteria will afford adequate protection against the higher risks associated with loans made to lower credit grade borrowers. If we underestimate the extent of losses that our loans will incur, then our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations will be adversely impacted. We have recently experienced increased default rates on our subprime mortgage loans.

Our investments in debt securities are subject to specific risks relating to the particular issuer of the securities and to the general risks of investing in subordinated real estate securities.

Our investments in debt securities involve special risks. REITs generally are required to invest substantially in real estate or real estate-related assets and are subject to the inherent risks associated with real estate-related investments discussed in this report. Our investments in debt are subject to the risks described above with respect to mortgage loans and MBS and similar risks, including:

 

   

risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss in the event thereof;

 

   

the dependence upon the successful operation of and net income from real property;

 

   

risks generally incident to interests in real property; and

 

   

risks that may be presented by the type and use of a particular property.

Debt securities may be unsecured and may also be subordinated to other obligations of the issuer. We may also invest in debt securities that are rated below investment grade. As a result, investments in debt securities are also subject to risks of:

 

   

limited liquidity in the secondary trading market;

 

   

substantial market price volatility resulting from changes in prevailing interest rates or credit spreads;

 

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subordination to the prior claims of senior lenders to the issuer;

 

   

the possibility that earnings of the debt security issuer may be insufficient to meet its debt service; and

 

   

the declining creditworthiness and potential for insolvency of the issuer of such debt securities during periods of rising interest rates and economic downturn.

These risks may adversely affect the value of outstanding debt securities and the ability of the issuers thereof to repay principal and interest.

We may be required to post significant amounts of cash collateral at any time to satisfy our margin requirements under some of our financing arrangements, which could adversely affect our liquidity, results of operations and financial condition.

We finance certain of our investments with debt, such as repurchase agreements and derivatives, that is subject to margin calls. Under the terms of these agreements, the value of assets underlying the debt is marked-to-market by the lender at the lender’s discretion, including on a daily basis. If the value of the underlying asset declines, the lender has the ability to require us to post additional margin – cash or other liquid collateral – to compensate for the decline in value of the asset. (Conversely, if the value of the underlying asset increases, a portion of the margin we previously posted may be returned to us.) In addition, if the value of the derivative declines due to interest rate changes, the derivative counterparty has the ability to require us to post additional margin. We are typically required to post additional margin in response to any margin call within 24 hours in order to avoid defaulting under the terms of the financing arrangement.

We are subject to margin calls at any time, and being forced to post additional margin could adversely affect our business in a number of ways. Posting additional margin would decrease our cash available to make other, higher yielding investments (thereby decreasing our return on equity) or to satisfy other obligations, including future margin calls. While we significantly reduced the amount of debt subject to margin calls as of the date of this report, and are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance a limited amount of FNMA/FHLMC securities, we may enter into new debt subject to margin calls in the future. If we do not have the funds available, or otherwise elect not, to satisfy any future margin calls, we could be forced to sell one or more investments at a loss. Moreover, we may be unable, in light of market conditions or other factors, to sell sufficient assets to satisfy the margin requirements within the timeframe required by lenders, which would entitle them to seize the underlying asset and seek payment from us for any shortfall between the value of our obligation to the lender and the value of the asset surrendered. Such a situation would likely result in a rapid deterioration of our financial condition and possibly necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

We are subject to significant competition and we may not compete successfully.

We are subject to significant competition in seeking investments. We compete with other companies, including other REITs, insurance companies and other investors, including funds and companies affiliated with our manager. Some of our competitors have greater resources than we possess or have greater access to capital or various types of financing structures than are available to us, and we may not be able to compete successfully for investments or provide attractive investment returns relative to our competitors. Furthermore, competition for investments of the type to be made by us may lead to the returns available from such investments decreasing, which may further limit our ability to generate our desired returns. We cannot assure you that other companies will not be formed that compete with us for investments or otherwise pursue investment strategies similar to ours or that we will be able to complete successfully against any such companies.

Both during the ramp up phase of a potential CDO financing and following the closing of a CDO financing when we have locked in the liability costs for a CDO during the reinvestment period, the rate at which we are able to acquire eligible investments and changes in market conditions may adversely affect our anticipated returns.

We seek to acquire real estate securities and loans and finance them on a long term basis, typically through the issuance of collateralized debt obligations. We use short term warehouse lines of credit or other arrangements to finance the acquisition of real estate securities and loans until a sufficient quantity of assets are accumulated, at which time we may refinance these lines through a securitization, such as a CDO financing, or other long term financing. As a result, we are subject to the risk that we will not be able to acquire, during the period that any warehouse facility or short-term financing is available, a sufficient amount of eligible assets to maximize the efficiency of a collateralized debt obligation financing. In addition, conditions in the capital markets may make the issuance of a collateralized debt obligation impossible or economically unattractive to us when we do have a sufficient pool of collateral. If we are unable to issue a collateralized debt obligation to finance these assets, we may be required to seek other forms of less attractive financing or otherwise to liquidate the assets.

In addition, following each CDO financing we must invest both the net cash raised in the financing as well as cash proceeds of any prepayment or assets which we determine to sell. Until we are able to acquire sufficient assets, our returns will reflect income earned on uninvested cash and, having locked in the cost of liabilities for the particular CDO, the particular CDO’s returns will be at risk of declining to the extent that yields on the assets to be acquired decline.

In general, our ability to acquire appropriate investments depends upon the supply in the market of investments we deem suitable, and changes in various economic factors may affect our determination of what constitutes a suitable investment.

 

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Our returns will be adversely affected when investments held in CDOs are prepaid or sold subsequent to the reinvestment period.

Real estate securities and loans are subject to prepayment risk. In addition, we may sell, and realize gains (or losses) on, investments. To the extent such assets were held in CDOs subsequent to the end of the reinvestment period, the proceeds are fully utilized to pay down the related CDOs debt. This causes the leverage on the CDO to decrease, thereby lowering our returns on equity.

Our investments in senior unsecured REIT securities are subject to specific risks relating to the particular REIT issuer and to the general risks of investing in subordinated real estate securities, which may result in losses to us.

Our investments in REIT securities involve special risks relating to the particular REIT issuer of the securities, including the financial condition and business outlook of the issuer. REITs generally are required to substantially invest in operating real estate or real estate related assets and are subject to the inherent risks associated with real estate related investments discussed in this report.

Our investments in REIT securities are also subject to the risks described above with respect to mortgage loans and mortgage backed securities and similar risks, including (i) risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss in the event thereof, (ii) the dependence upon the successful operation of and net income from real property, (iii) risks generally incident to interests in real property, and (iv) risks that may be presented by the type and use of a particular commercial property.

REIT securities are generally unsecured and may also be subordinated to other obligations of the issuer. We may also invest in REIT securities that are rated below investment grade. As a result, investments in REIT securities are also subject to risks of: (i) limited liquidity in the secondary trading market, (ii) substantial market price volatility resulting from changes in prevailing interest rates, (iii) subordination to the prior claims of banks and other senior lenders to the issuer, (iv) the operation of mandatory sinking fund or call/redemption provisions during periods of declining interest rates that could cause the issuer to reinvest premature redemption proceeds in lower yielding assets, (v) the possibility that earnings of the REIT issuer may be insufficient to meet its debt service and dividend obligations and (vi) the declining creditworthiness and potential for insolvency of the issuer of such REIT securities during periods of rising interest rates and economic downturn. These risks may adversely affect the value of outstanding REIT securities and the ability of the issuers thereof to repay principal and interest or make dividend payments.

The real estate related loans and other direct and indirect interests in pools of real estate properties or other loans that we invest in may be subject to additional risks relating to the structure and terms of these transactions, which may result in losses to us.

We invest in real estate related loans and other direct and indirect interests in pools of real estate properties or loans such as mezzanine loans and “B Note” mortgage loans. We invest in mezzanine loans that take the form of subordinated loans secured by second mortgages on the underlying real property or other business assets or revenue streams or loans secured by a pledge of the ownership interests of the entity owning real property or other business assets or revenue streams (or the ownership interest of the parent of such entity). These types of investments involve a higher degree of risk than long term senior lending secured by business assets or income producing real property because the investment may become unsecured as a result of foreclosure by a senior lender. In the event of a bankruptcy of the entity providing the pledge of its ownership interests as security, we may not have full recourse to the assets of such entity, or the assets of the entity may not be sufficient to repay our mezzanine loan. If a borrower defaults on our mezzanine loan or debt senior to our loan, or in the event of a borrower bankruptcy, our mezzanine loan will be satisfied only after the senior debt is repaid in full. As a result, we may not recover some or all of our investment. In addition, mezzanine loans may have higher loan to value ratios than conventional mortgage loans, resulting in less equity in the property and increasing the risk of loss of principal.

We also invest in mortgage loans (“B Notes”) that while secured by a first mortgage on a single large commercial property or group of related properties are subordinated to an “A Note” secured by the same first mortgage on the same collateral. As a result, if an issuer defaults, there may not be sufficient funds remaining for B Note holders. B Notes reflect similar credit risks to comparably rated commercial mortgage backed securities. In addition, we invest, directly or indirectly, in pools of real estate properties or loans. However, since each transaction is privately negotiated, these investments can vary in their structural characteristics and risks. For example, the rights of holders of B Notes to control the process following a borrower default may vary from transaction to transaction, while investments in pools of real estate properties or loans may be subject to varying contractual arrangements with third party co-investors in such pools. Further, B Notes typically are secured by a single property, and so reflect the risks associated with significant concentration. These investments also are less liquid than commercial mortgage backed securities.

We may not be able to extend any total return swaps that we enter into in the event that the maturity of the underlying asset is extended, which could adversely impact our leveraging strategy.

Subject to maintaining our qualification as a REIT, from time to time we leverage certain of our investments through the use of total return swaps. While we are not currently party to any total return swaps, we may enter into one or more total return swaps in the future. We may wish to renew many of such swaps, which are for specified terms, as they mature, particularly in the event that the maturity of the underlying asset is extended. However, there is a limited number of providers of such swaps, and there is no assurance the initial swap providers will choose to renew the swaps, and — if they do not renew — that we would be able to obtain suitable replacement providers. Providers may choose not to renew our total return swaps for a number of reasons, including:

 

   

increases in the provider’s cost of funding;

 

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insufficient volume of business with a particular provider;

 

   

a desire by our company to invest in a type of swap that the provider does not view as economically attractive due to changes in interest rates or other market factors; or

 

   

the inability of our company and a provider to agree on terms.

Furthermore, our ability to invest in total return swaps, other than through a taxable REIT subsidiary, or TRS, may be severely limited by the REIT qualification requirements because total return swaps are not qualifying assets and do not produce qualifying income for purposes of the REIT asset and income tests.

Investment in non-investment grade loans may involve increased risk of loss.

We acquire and may continue to acquire in the future certain loans that do not conform to conventional loan criteria applied by traditional lenders and are not rated or are rated as non-investment grade (for example, for investments rated by Moody’s Investors Service, ratings lower than Baa3, and for Standard & Poor’s, BBB- or below). The non-investment grade ratings for these loans typically result from the overall leverage of the loans, the lack of a strong operating history for the properties underlying the loans, the borrowers’ credit history, the properties’ underlying cash flow or other factors. As a result, these loans have a higher risk of default and loss than conventional loans. Any loss we incur may reduce distributions to our stockholders. There are no limits on the percentage of unrated or non-investment grade assets we may hold in our portfolio.

Insurance on real estate in which we have interests (including the real estate serving as collateral for our real estate securities and loans) may not cover all losses.

There are certain types of losses, generally of a catastrophic nature, such as earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, terrorism or acts of war, that may be uninsurable or not economically insurable. Inflation, changes in building codes and ordinances, environmental considerations, and other factors, including terrorism or acts of war, also might make the insurance proceeds insufficient to repair or replace a property if it is damaged or destroyed. Under such circumstances, the insurance proceeds received might not be adequate to restore our economic position with respect to the affected real property. As a result of the events of September 11, 2001, insurance companies are limiting and/or excluding coverage for acts of terrorism in insurance policies. As a result, we may suffer losses from acts of terrorism that are not covered by insurance.

In addition, the mortgage loans that are secured by certain of the properties in which we have interests contain customary covenants, including covenants that require property insurance to be maintained in an amount equal to the replacement cost of the properties. There can be no assurance that the lenders under these mortgage loans will not take the position that exclusions from coverage for losses due to terrorist acts is a breach of a covenant which, if uncured, could allow the lenders to declare an event of default and accelerate repayment of the mortgage loans.

Many of our investments are illiquid, and this lack of liquidity could significantly impede our ability to vary our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions or to realize the value at which such investments are carried if we are required to dispose of them.

The real estate properties that we own and operate and our other direct and indirect investments in real estate and real estate related assets are generally illiquid. Our investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries are also illiquid. In addition, the real estate securities that we purchase in connection with privately negotiated transactions are not registered under the relevant securities laws, resulting in a prohibition against their transfer, sale, pledge or other disposition except in a transaction that is exempt from the registration requirements of, or is otherwise in accordance with, those laws. In addition, there are no established trading markets for a majority of our investments. As a result, our ability to vary our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions may be limited.

Our securities have historically been valued based primarily on third party quotations, which are subject to significant variability based on the liquidity and price transparency created by market trading activity. The ongoing dislocation in the trading markets has continued to reduce the trading for many real estate securities, resulting in less transparent prices for those securities. Consequently, it is currently more difficult for us to sell many of our assets now that it has been historically because, if we were to sell such assets, we will likely not have access to readily ascertainable market prices when establishing valuations of them. Moreover, currently there is a relatively low market demand for the vast majority of the types of assets that we hold, which may make it extremely difficult to sell assets. If we are required to liquidate all or a portion of our illiquid investments quickly, we may realize significantly less than the amount at which we have previously valued these investments.

Interest rate fluctuations and shifts in the yield curve may cause losses.

Our primary interest rate exposures relate to our real estate securities, loans, floating rate debt obligations and interest rate swaps. Changes in interest rates, including changes in expected interest rates or “yield curves,” affect our business in a number of ways. Changes in the general level of interest rates can affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income earned on our interest-earning assets and the interest expense incurred in connection with our interest-bearing liabilities and hedges. Changes in the level of interest rates also can affect, among other things, our ability to acquire real estate securities and loans at attractive prices, the value of our real estate securities, loans and derivatives and our ability to realize gains from the sale of such assets.

 

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In the event of a significant rising interest rate environment and/or economic downturn, loan and collateral defaults may increase and result in credit losses that would adversely affect our liquidity and operating results. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions, and other factors beyond our control.

Our ability to execute our business strategy, particularly the growth of our investment portfolio, depends to a significant degree on our ability to obtain additional capital. Our financing strategy is dependent on our ability to place the match funded debt we use to finance our investments at rates that provide a positive net spread. If spreads for such liabilities widen or if demand for such liabilities ceases to exist, then our ability to execute future financings will be severely restricted.

Interest rate changes may also impact our net book value as our real estate securities, real estate related loans and hedge derivatives are marked to market each quarter. Debt obligations are not marked to market. Generally, as interest rates increase, the value of our fixed rate securities decreases, which will decrease the book value of our equity.

Furthermore, shifts in the U.S. Treasury yield curve reflecting an increase in interest rates would also affect the yield required on our real estate securities and therefore their value. For example, increasing interest rates would reduce the value of the fixed rate assets we hold at the time because the higher yields required by increased interest rates result in lower market prices on existing fixed rate assets in order to adjust the yield upward to meet the market, and vice versa. This would have similar effects on our real estate securities portfolio and our financial position and operations to a change in interest rates generally.

Our investments in real estate securities and loans are subject to changes in credit spreads, which could adversely affect our ability to realize gains on the sale of such investments.

Real estate securities and loans are subject to changes in credit spreads. Credit spreads measure the yield demanded on securities and loans by the market based on their credit relative to a specific benchmark.

Fixed rate securities and loans are valued based on a market credit spread over the rate payable on fixed rate U.S. Treasuries of like maturity. Floating rate securities and loans are valued based on a market credit spread over LIBOR and are affected similarly by changes in LIBOR spreads. Excessive supply of these securities combined with reduced demand will generally cause the market to require a higher yield on these securities and loans, resulting in the use of a higher, or “wider,” spread over the benchmark rate to value such securities. Under such conditions, the value of our real estate securities and loan portfolios would tend to decline. Conversely, if the spread used to value such securities were to decrease, or “tighten,” the value of our real estate securities portfolio would tend to increase. Such changes in the market value of our real estate securities and loan portfolios may affect our net equity, net income or cash flow directly through their impact on unrealized gains or losses on available for sale securities, and therefore our ability to realize gains on such securities, or indirectly through their impact on our ability to borrow and access capital. During 2008 through the first half of 2009, credit spreads widened substantially. This widening of credit spreads caused the net unrealized gains on our securities, loans and derivatives, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income or retained earnings, and therefore our book value per share, to decrease and resulted in net losses.

In addition, if the value of our loans subject to financing agreements were to decline, it could affect our ability to refinance such loans upon the maturity of the related repurchase agreements. Any credit or spread related losses incurred with respect to our loans would affect us in the same way as similar losses on our real estate securities portfolio as described above.

In addition, widening credit spreads will generally result in a decrease in the mark to market value of certain investments which are treated as derivatives on our balance sheet, such as total rate of return swaps. Since changes in the value of such assets are reflected in our income statement, this would result in a decrease in our net income. To the extent that we choose to make investments in real estate related assets by means of entering into total rate of return swaps, our net income will be susceptible to decreases stemming from credit spread changes.

Any hedging transactions that we enter into may limit our gains or result in losses.

We use derivatives to hedge a portion of our interest rate exposure, and this approach has certain risks, including the risk that losses on a hedge position will reduce the cash available for distribution to stockholders and that such losses may exceed the amount invested in such instruments. We have adopted a general policy with respect to the use of derivatives, which generally allows us to use derivatives where appropriate, but does not set forth specific policies and procedures or require that we hedge any specific amount of risk. From time to time, we use derivative instruments, including forwards, futures, swaps and options, in our risk management strategy to limit the effects of changes in interest rates on our operations. A hedge may not be effective in eliminating all of the risks inherent in any particular position. Our profitability may be adversely affected during any period as a result of the use of derivatives.

There are limits to the ability of hedging strategy to protect us completely against interest rate risks. When rates change, we expect the gain or loss on derivatives to be offset by a related but inverse change in the value of the items, generally our liabilities, which we hedge. We cannot assure you, however, that our use of derivatives will offset the risks related to changes

 

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in interest rates. We cannot assure you that our hedging strategy and the derivatives that we use will adequately offset the risk of interest rate volatility or that our hedging transactions will not result in losses. In addition, our hedging strategy may limit our flexibility by causing us to refrain from taking certain actions that would be potentially profitable but would cause adverse consequences under the terms of our hedging arrangements.

In managing our hedge instruments, we consider the effect of the expected hedging income on the REIT qualification tests that limit the amount of gross income that a REIT may receive from hedging. The REIT provisions of the Internal Revenue Code limit our ability to hedge. We need to carefully monitor, and may have to limit, our hedging strategy to assure that we do not realize hedging income, or hold hedges having a value, in excess of the amounts which would cause us to fail the REIT gross income and asset tests.

Accounting for derivatives under GAAP is extremely complicated. Any failure by us to account for our derivatives properly in accordance with GAAP in our financial statements could adversely affect our earnings.

Under certain conditions, increases in prepayment rates can adversely affect yields on certain investments, including our residential mortgage loans.

The value of our assets may be affected by prepayment rates on our residential mortgage loans and other floating rate assets. Prepayment rates are influenced by changes in current interest rates and a variety of economic, geographic and other factors beyond our control, and consequently, such prepayment rates cannot be predicted with certainty. In periods of declining mortgage interest rates, prepayments on loans generally increase. If general interest rates decline as well, the proceeds of such prepayments received during such periods are likely to be reinvested by us in assets yielding less than the yields on the assets that were prepaid. In addition, the market value of floating rate assets may, because of the risk of prepayment, benefit less than fixed rate assets from declining interest rates. Conversely, in periods of rising interest rates, prepayments on loans generally decrease, in which case we would not have the prepayment proceeds available to invest in assets with higher yields. Under certain interest rate and prepayment scenarios we may fail to recoup fully our cost of acquisition of certain investments.

In addition, when market conditions lead us to increase the portion of our CDO investments that are comprised of floating rate securities, the risk of assets inside our CDOs prepaying increases. Since our CDO financing costs are locked in, reinvestment of such prepayment proceeds at lower yields than the initial investments, as a result of changes in the interest rate or credit spread environment, will result in a decrease of the return on our equity and therefore our net income.

Changes in accounting rules could occur at any time and could impact us in significantly negative ways that we are unable to predict or protect against.

As has been widely publicized, the SEC and other regulatory bodies that establish the accounting rules applicable to us have recently proposed or enacted a wide array of changes to current accounting rules. Moreover, these regulators may propose additional changes in the future of which we are not currently aware. Changes to accounting rules that apply to us could significantly impact our business or our reported financial performance in negative ways that we cannot predict or prepare against. We cannot predict whether any changes to current account rules will occur or what impact any codified changes will have on our business, results of operation or financial condition.

Environmental compliance costs and liabilities with respect to our real estate in which we have interests may adversely affect our results of operations.

Our operating costs may be affected by our obligation to pay for the cost of complying with existing environmental laws, ordinances and regulations, as well as the cost of complying with future legislation with respect to the assets, or loans secured by assets, with environmental problems that materially impair the value of the assets. Under various federal, state and local environmental laws, ordinances and regulations, a current or previous owner or operator of real property may be liable for the costs of removal or remediation of hazardous or toxic substances on, under, or in such property. Such laws often impose liability whether or not the owner or operator knew of, or was responsible for, the presence of such hazardous or toxic substances. In addition, the presence of hazardous or toxic substances, or the failure to remediate properly, may adversely affect the owner’s ability to borrow by using such real property as collateral. Certain environmental laws and common law principles could be used to impose liability for releases of hazardous materials, including asbestos-containing materials, into the environment, and third parties may seek recovery from owners or operators of real properties for personal injury associated with exposure to released asbestos-containing materials or other hazardous materials. Environmental laws may also impose restrictions on the manner in which a property may be used or transferred or in which businesses it may be operated, and these restrictions may require expenditures. In connection with the direct or indirect ownership and operation of properties, we may be potentially liable for any such costs. The cost of defending against claims of liability or remediating contaminated property and the cost of complying with environmental laws could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our REIT Status and Other Matters

Our failure to qualify as a REIT would result in higher taxes and reduced cash available for distribution to our stockholders.

We operate in a manner intended to qualify as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. Our ability to satisfy the asset tests depends upon our analysis of the fair market values of our assets, some of which are not susceptible to a precise determination, and for which we will not obtain independent appraisals. Our compliance with the REIT income and quarterly asset

 

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requirements also depends upon our ability to successfully manage the composition of our income and assets on an ongoing basis. Moreover, the proper classification of an instrument as debt or equity for federal income tax purposes, and the tax treatment of participation interests that we hold in mortgage loans and mezzanine loans, may be uncertain in some circumstances, which could affect the application of the REIT qualification requirements. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the IRS will not contend that our interests in subsidiaries or other issuers will not cause a violation of the REIT requirements.

If we were to fail to qualify as a REIT in any taxable year, we would be subject to federal income tax, including any applicable alternative minimum tax, on our taxable income at regular corporate rates, and distributions to stockholders would not be deductible by us in computing our taxable income. Any such corporate tax liability could be substantial and would reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our stockholders, which in turn could have an adverse impact on the value of, and trading prices for, our stock. Unless entitled to relief under certain Internal Revenue Code provisions, we also would be disqualified from taxation as a REIT for the four taxable years following the year during which we ceased to qualify as a REIT.

Our failure to qualify as a REIT would constitute an event of default under a significant number of our financings and other agreements and would cause our common and preferred stock to be delisted from the NYSE.

Our failure to qualify as a REIT would constitute an event of default under a significant number of our financing and other agreements, which would, in turn, result in either the acceleration of the amounts we owe to the applicable counterparty or otherwise give our counterparty the right to terminate the applicable agreement. Either scenario would likely have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to conduct our business, which would likely, in turn, require the Company to restructure or file for protection under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.

In addition, the New York Stock Exchange requires, as a condition to the continued listing of our common and preferred shares, that we maintain our REIT status. Consequently, if we fail to maintain our REIT status, our common and preferred shares would promptly be delisted from the NYSE, which would decrease the trading activity of such shares. This could make it difficult to sell shares and could cause the market volume of the shares trading to decline.

If Newcastle was delisted as a result of losing its REIT status and desired to relist its shares on the NYSE, the Company would have to reapply to the NYSE to be listed as a domestic corporation. As the NYSE’s listing standards for REITS are less onerous than its standards for domestic corporations, it would be more difficult for the Company to become a listed company under these heightened standards. Given current conditions, Newcastle would not be able to satisfy the NYSE’s listing standards for a domestic corporation. As a result, if it were delisted from the NYSE, it likely would not be able to relist as a domestic corporation, and thus the Company’s common and preferred shares could not trade on the NYSE.

Dividends payable by REITs do not qualify for the reduced tax rates.

Tax law changes in 2003 reduced the maximum tax rate for dividends payable to individuals from 35% to 15% (through 2010). Dividends payable by REITs, however, are generally not eligible for the reduced rates. Although this legislation does not adversely affect the taxation of REITs or dividends paid by REITs, the more favorable rates applicable to regular corporate dividends could cause investors who are individuals, trusts and estates to perceive investments in REITs to be relatively less attractive than investments in the stocks of non-REIT corporations that pay dividends, which could adversely affect the value of the stock of REITs, including our common stock. In addition, the relative attractiveness of real estate in general may be adversely affected by the newly favorable tax treatment given to corporate dividends, which could affect the value of our real estate assets negatively.

REIT distribution requirements could adversely affect our liquidity and our ability to execute our business plan.

We generally must distribute annually at least 90% of our net taxable income, excluding any net capital gain, in order for corporate income tax not to apply to earnings that we distribute. We intend to make distributions to our stockholders to comply with the requirements of the Internal Revenue Code. However, differences in timing between the recognition of taxable income and the actual receipt of cash could require us to sell assets or borrow funds on a short-term or long-term basis to meet the 90% distribution requirement of the Internal Revenue Code. Certain of our assets may generate substantial mismatches between taxable income and available cash. As a result, the requirement to distribute a substantial portion of our net taxable income could cause us to: (i) sell assets in adverse market conditions, (ii) borrow on unfavorable terms or (iii) distribute amounts that would otherwise be invested in future acquisitions, capital expenditures or repayment of debt, in order to comply with REIT requirements. Further, amounts distributed will not be available to fund investment activities. If we fail to obtain debt or equity capital in the future, it could limit our ability to satisfy our liquidity needs, which could adversely affect the value of our common stock.

Moreover, we could be required to distribute amounts to our shareholders in order to maintain our REIT status prior to our receiving the related cashflows. Also, we may experience issues regarding the characterization of income we receive. For example, we may recognize significant capital losses which we would not be able to use to reduce ordinary income, which could increase the amount we would be required to distribute to shareholders in order to maintain our REIT status. This could occur in the case of a non-recourse financing structure where we incur capital losses on the related assets, and ordinary income from the cancellation of the related non-recourse financing if the ultimate proceeds from the assets are insufficient to repay such debt. If we experienced any of these disconnects, we may not have sufficient cashflow to make the distributions necessary to satisfy our REIT distribution requirements, which would cause us to lose our REIT status and thereby materially negatively impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.

 

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We may be unable to generate sufficient revenue from operations to pay our operating expenses and to pay distributions to our stockholders.

As a REIT, we are generally required to distribute at least 90% of our REIT taxable income (determined without regard to the dividends paid deduction and not including net capital losses) each year to our stockholders. To qualify for the tax benefits accorded to REITs, we intend to make distributions to our stockholders in amounts such that we distribute all or substantially all our net taxable income each year, subject to certain adjustments. However, our ability to make distributions may be adversely affected by the risk factors described in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, particularly in light of current market conditions. In the event of a continued downturn in our operating results and financial performance or continued declines in the value of our asset portfolio, we may be unable to declare or pay quarterly distributions or make distributions to our stockholders, and we may elect to comply with our REIT distribution requirements by, after completing various procedural steps, distributing, under certain circumstances, up to 90% of the required amount in the form of common shares in lieu of cash. The timing and amount of distributions are in the sole discretion of our board of directors, which considers, among other factors, our earnings, financial condition, debt service obligations and applicable debt covenants, REIT qualification requirements and other tax considerations and capital expenditure requirements as our board may deem relevant from time to time.

The stock ownership limit imposed by the Internal Revenue Code for REITs and our charter may inhibit market activity in our stock and restrict our business combination opportunities.

In order for us to maintain our qualification as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code, not more than 50% in value of our outstanding stock may be owned, directly or indirectly, by five or fewer individuals (as defined in the Internal Revenue Code to include certain entities) at any time during the last half of each taxable year after our first year. Our charter, with certain exceptions, authorizes our board of directors to take the actions that are necessary and desirable to preserve our qualification as a REIT. Unless exempted by our board of directors, no person may own more than 8% of the aggregate value of our outstanding capital stock, treating classes and series of our stock in the aggregate, or more than 25% of the outstanding shares of our Series B Preferred Stock, Series C Preferred Stock or our Series D Preferred Stock. Our board may grant an exemption in its sole discretion, subject to such conditions, representations and undertakings as it may determine in its sole discretion. These ownership limits could delay or prevent a transaction or a change in our control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders. Our board has granted limited exemptions to an affiliate of our manager, a third party group of funds managed by Cohen & Steers, and certain affiliates of these entities.

Even if we remain qualified as a REIT, we may face other tax liabilities that reduce our cash flow.

Even if we remain qualified for taxation as a REIT, we may be subject to certain federal, state and local taxes on our income and assets, including taxes on any undistributed income, tax on income from some activities conducted as a result of a foreclosure, and state or local income, property and transfer taxes, such as mortgage recording taxes. Moreover, if a REIT distributes less than 85% of its taxable income to its stockholders during any calendar year (including any distributions declared by the last day of the calendar year but paid in the subsequent year), then it is required to pay an excise tax on 4% of any shortfall between the required 85% and the amount that was actually distributed. Any of these taxes would decrease cash available for distribution to our stockholders. In addition, in order to meet the REIT qualification requirements, or to avert the imposition of a 100% tax that applies to certain gains derived by a REIT from dealer property or inventory, we may hold some of our assets through taxable REIT subsidiaries. Such subsidiaries will be subject to corporate level income tax at regular rates.

Complying with REIT requirements may cause us to forego otherwise attractive opportunities.

To qualify as a REIT for federal income tax purposes, we must continually satisfy tests concerning, among other things, the sources of our income, the nature and diversification of our assets, the amounts we distribute to our stockholders and the ownership of our stock. We also may be required to make distributions to stockholders at disadvantageous times or when we do not have funds readily available for distribution. Thus, compliance with the REIT requirements may hinder our ability to make certain attractive investments.

Complying with REIT requirements may limit our ability to hedge effectively.

The existing REIT provisions of the Internal Revenue Code may substantially limit our ability to hedge our operations because a significant amount of the income from those hedging transactions is likely to be treated as non-qualifying income for purposes of both of satisfying REIT gross income tests. In addition, we must limit our aggregate income from non-qualified hedging transactions, from our provision of services and from other non-qualifying sources, to less than 5% of our annual gross income (determined without regard to gross income from qualified hedging transactions). As a result, we may have to limit our use of certain hedging techniques or implement those hedges through total return swaps. This could result in greater risks associated with changes in interest rates than we would otherwise want to incur or could increase the cost of our hedging activities. If we fail to comply with these limitations, we could lose our REIT qualification for U.S. federal income tax purposes, unless our failure was due to reasonable cause and not due to willful neglect, and we meet certain other technical requirements. Even if our failure was due to reasonable cause, we might incur a penalty tax.

The “taxable mortgage pool” rules may increase the taxes that we or our stockholders may incur, and may limit the manner in which we effect future securitizations.

 

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Certain of our securitizations have resulted in the creation of taxable mortgage pools for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, so long as we own 100% of the equity interests in a taxable mortgage pool, we would generally not be adversely affected by the characterization of the securitization as a taxable mortgage pool. Certain categories of stockholders, however, such as foreign stockholders eligible for treaty or other benefits, stockholders with net operating losses, and certain tax-exempt stockholders that are subject to unrelated business income tax, could be subject to increased taxes on a portion of their dividend

income from us that is attributable to the taxable mortgage pool. In addition, to the extent that our stock is owned by tax-exempt “disqualified organizations,” such as certain government-related entities and charitable remainder trusts that are not subject to tax on unrelated business income, we may incur a corporate level tax on a portion of our income from the taxable mortgage pool. In that case, we may reduce the amount of our distributions to any disqualified organization whose stock ownership gave rise to the tax.

Maintenance of our Investment Company Act exemption imposes limits on our operations.

We conduct our operations so as not to become regulated as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. We believe that there are a number of exemptions under the Investment Company Act that may be applicable to us. The assets that we may acquire, therefore, are limited by the provisions of the Investment Company Act and the rules and regulations promulgated under the Investment Company Act. In addition, we could, among other things, be required either (a) to change the manner in which we conduct our operations to avoid being required to register as an investment company or (b) to register as an investment company, either of which could adversely affect us and the market price for our stock.

ERISA may restrict investments by plans in our common stock.

A plan fiduciary considering an investment in our common stock should consider, among other things, whether such an investment is consistent with the fiduciary obligations under ERISA, including whether such investment might constitute or give rise to a prohibited transaction under ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any substantially similar federal, state or local law and, if so, whether an exemption from such prohibited transaction rules is available.

Maryland takeover statutes may prevent a change of our control. This could depress our stock price.

Under Maryland law, “business combinations” between a Maryland corporation and an interested stockholder or an affiliate of an interested stockholder are prohibited for five years after the most recent date on which the interested stockholder becomes an interested stockholder. These business combinations include certain mergers, consolidations, share exchanges, or, in circumstances specified in the statute, an asset transfer or issuance or reclassification of equity securities or a liquidation or dissolution. An interested stockholder is defined as:

 

   

any person who beneficially owns 10% or more of the voting power of the corporation’s outstanding shares; or

 

   

an affiliate or associate of a corporation who, at any time within the two-year period prior to the date in question, was the beneficial owner of 10% or more of the voting power of the then outstanding stock of the corporation.

A person is not an interested stockholder under the statute if the board of directors approved in advance the transaction by which he or she otherwise would have become an interested stockholder.

After the five-year prohibition, any business combination between the Maryland corporation and an interested stockholder generally must be recommended by the board of directors of the corporation and approved by the affirmative vote of at least:

 

   

80% of the votes entitled to be cast by holders of outstanding shares of voting stock of the corporation voting together as a single group; and

 

   

two-thirds of the votes entitled to be cast by holders of voting stock of the corporation other than shares held by the interested stockholder with whom or with whose affiliate the business combination is to be effected or held by an affiliate or associate of the interested stockholder voting together as a single voting group.

The business combination statute may discourage others from trying to acquire control of us and increase the difficulty of consummating any offer, including potential acquisitions that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

Our authorized, but unissued common and preferred stock may prevent a change in our control.

Our charter authorizes us to issue additional authorized but unissued shares of our common stock or preferred stock. In addition, our board of directors may classify or reclassify any unissued shares of common stock or preferred stock and may set the preferences, rights and other terms of the classified or reclassified shares. As a result, our board may establish a series of preferred stock that could delay or prevent a transaction or a change in control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

 

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Our stockholder rights plan could inhibit a change in our control.

We have adopted a stockholder rights agreement. Under the terms of the rights agreement, in general, if a person or group acquires more than 15% of the outstanding shares of our common stock, all of our other common stockholders will have the right to purchase securities from us at a discount to such securities’ fair market value, thus causing substantial dilution to the acquiring person. The rights agreement may have the effect of inhibiting or impeding a change in control not approved by our board of directors and, therefore, could adversely affect our stockholders’ ability to realize a premium over the then-prevailing market price for our common stock in connection with such a transaction. In addition, since our board of directors can prevent the rights agreement from operating, in the event our board approves of an acquiring person, the rights agreement gives our board of directors significant discretion over whether a potential acquirer’s efforts to acquire a large interest in us will be successful. Because the rights agreement contains provisions that are designed to assure that the executive officers, our manager and its affiliates will never, alone, be considered a group that is an acquiring person, the rights agreement provides the executive officers, our manager and its affiliates with certain advantages under the rights agreement that are not available to other stockholders.

Our staggered board and other provisions of our charter and bylaws may prevent a change in our control.

Our board of directors is divided into three classes of directors. Directors of each class are chosen for three-year terms upon the expiration of their current terms, and each year one class of directors is elected by the stockholders. The staggered terms of our directors may reduce the possibility of a tender offer or an attempt at a change in control, even though a tender offer or change in control might be in the best interest of our stockholders. In addition, our charter and bylaws also contain other provisions that may delay or prevent a transaction or a change in control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

Risks Related to Our Common Shares

We are currently not in compliance with one of the NYSE’s listing standards, and our shares of common stock and preferred stock may be delisted from the NYSE in the near future, which would reduce the trading activity and share price of both our common and preferred shares.

The New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) requires companies who list their shares on the exchange to comply with the NYSE’s regulations, a portion of which are referred to as the continued listing standards. As previously disclosed, on January 26, 2009, Newcastle received a notification from the NYSE that the Company was not in compliance with one of the NYSE’s continued listing standards, which requires that the average closing price of the Company’s common shares equal at least $1.00 per share over a 30 consecutive trading-day period. Under NYSE rules (as recently revised), the Company has until December 2009 to bring its 30-day average closing common share price above $1.00 per share in order to avoid the delisting of its common shares. While the Company notified the NYSE of its intent to cure this deficiency, the Company cannot provide any assurance that it will be able to do so. If the Company does not bring the average closing price of its common shares above $1.00 within the cure period, the NYSE will likely delist both the Company’s common stock as well as its preferred stock. If this delisting occurs, then shares of the Company’s common stock and preferred stock will likely trade on a less active trading platform, which would almost certainly decrease the trading activity of the Company’s common and preferred stock. This could make it difficult to sell shares and could cause the market volume of the shares trading to decline.

Even if the Company is able to cure the compliance deficiency described above, the Company could fail other tests under the NYSE’s continued listing standards such as the requirement that the Company maintain its status as a REIT or that its global market capitalization be not less than $15 million during any consecutive 30-day trading period. As of August 5, 2009, the Company’s average market capitalization over the most-recent consecutive 30-day trading period was approximately $30.8 million. If the Company fails either of these tests, the NYSE will promptly delist the Company’s common stock and preferred stock. Moreover, the NYSE has the right to delist the Company’s common stock and preferred stock with little or no notice if the NYSE deems it appropriate to do so. As a result, the Company cautions readers that its common stock and/or preferred stock could be delisted from the NYSE with little advance warning, and such delisting could occur in the near future.

Our share price has fluctuated significantly, particularly on a percentage basis, and may fluctuate significantly in the future. Accordingly, you may not be able to resell your shares at or above the price at which you purchased them.

The trading price of our common shares has recently been highly volatile, with daily fluctuations commonly ranging between 10% and 20% and at times varying as much as 80% during one day of trading. Moreover, future share price fluctuations could likely be subject to similarly wide price fluctuations in the future in response to various factors, including:

 

   

market conditions in the broader stock market in general, or in the REIT or real estate industry in particular;

 

   

market perception of our current and projected financial condition, potential growth, future earnings and future cash dividends;

 

   

actual or anticipated fluctuations in our quarterly financial and operating results;

 

   

market perception or media coverage of our manager or its affiliates;

 

   

actions by rating agencies;

 

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short sales of our common stock;

 

   

issuance of new or changed securities analysts’ reports or recommendations;

 

   

media coverage of us, other REITS or the outlook of the real estate industry;

 

   

major reductions in trading volumes on the exchanges on which we operate;

 

   

credit deterioration within our portfolio;

 

   

legislative or regulatory developments, including changes in the status of our regulatory approvals or licenses; and

 

   

litigation and governmental investigations.

These and other factors may cause the market price and demand for our common shares to fluctuate substantially, which may negatively affect the price or liquidity of our common shares. Moreover, the recent market conditions have negatively impacted our share price and may do so in the future. When the market price of a stock has been volatile or has decreased significantly in the past, holders of that stock have, at times, instituted securities class action litigation against the company that issued the stock. If any of our shareholders brought a lawsuit against us, we could incur substantial costs defending, settling or paying any resulting judgments related to the lawsuit. Such a lawsuit could also divert the time and attention of our management from our business and hurt our share price.

We may be unable – or elect not – to pay dividends on our common or preferred shares in the future, which would negatively impact our business in a number of ways and decrease the price of our common and preferred shares.

We did not pay dividends on our common stock for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2008 or the first and second fiscal quarters of 2009. While we are required to make distributions in order to maintain our REIT status (as described above under “–We may be unable to generate sufficient revenue from operations to pay our operating expenses and to pay distributions to our stockholders”), we may elect not to maintain our REIT status, in which case we would no longer be required to make such distributions. Moreover, even if we do elect to maintain our REIT status, we may elect to comply with the applicable requirements by, after completing various procedural steps, distributing, under certain circumstances, up to 90% of the required amount in the form of common shares in lieu of cash. If we elect not to maintain our REIT status or to satisfy any required distributions in common shares in lieu of cash, such action could negatively affect our business and financial condition as well as the price of both our common and preferred shares. No assurance can be given that we will pay any dividends on our common shares in the future.

In addition, in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2008 and the first and second fiscal quarters of 2009, our board of directors elected not to declare any of the specified dividends on our three series of preferred stock. Until we pay all accrued dividends on our preferred shares, we cannot pay any dividends on our common shares, pay any consideration to repurchase or otherwise acquire shares of our common stock or redeem any shares of any series of our preferred stock without redeeming all of our outstanding preferred shares in accordance with the governing documentation. Moreover, if we do not pay dividends on any series of preferred stock for six or more periods, then holders of each affected series obtain the right to call a special meeting and elect two members to our board of directors. Consequently, failure to pay dividends on our preferred shares restricts the actions that we may take with respect to our common and preferred shares and could affect the composition of our board and, thus, the management of our business. No assurance can be given that we will pay any dividends on any series of our preferred shares in the future.

Shares eligible for future sale may adversely affect our common stock price.

Sales of our common stock or other securities in the public or private market, or the perception that these sales may occur, could cause the market price of our common stock to decline. This could also impair our ability to raise additional capital through the sale of our equity securities. Under our certificate of incorporation, we are authorized to issue up to 500,000,000 shares of common stock, of which 52,905,335 shares of common stock were outstanding as of August 5, 2009. We cannot predict the size of future issuances of our common stock or other securities or the effect, if any, that future sales and issuances would have on the market price of our common stock.

An increase in market interest rates may have an adverse effect on the market price of our common stock.

One of the factors that investors may consider in deciding whether to buy or sell shares of our common stock is our distribution rate as a percentage of our share price relative to market interest rates. If the market price of our common stock is based primarily on the earnings and return that we derive from our investments and income with respect to our investments and our related distributions to stockholders, and not from the market value of the investments themselves, then interest rate fluctuations and capital market conditions will likely affect the market price of our common stock. For instance, if market interest rates rise without an increase in our distribution rate, the market price of our common stock could decrease as potential investors may require a higher distribution yield on our common stock or seek other securities paying higher distributions or interest. In addition, rising interest rates would result in increased interest expense on our variable rate debt, thereby adversely affecting cash flow and our ability to service our indebtedness and pay distributions.

 

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Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

None.

 

Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities

None.

 

Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

On May 27, 2009, the Company held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders at which the shareholders voted upon (i) the election of Stuart A. McFarland and Peter M. Miller to the Board of Directors as Class I directors for three-year terms and (ii) the ratification of the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the 2009 fiscal year.

The shareholders elected both directors and approved the ratification of the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the 2009 fiscal year. The number of votes cast for or against and the number of abstentions with respect to each matter voted upon, as applicable is set forth below (broker non-votes do not apply to these proposals):

 

Proposal

   For    Against    Abstain

Election of Directors

        

Stuart A. McFarland

   43,396,670    —      2,037,274

Peter M. Miller

   43,428,094    —      2,005,850

Ratification of the Appointment of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

   44,639,256    559,503    235,185

 

Item 5. Other Information

None.

 

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Item 6. Exhibits

 

  3.1

  Articles of Amendment and Restatement (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Registration Statement on Form S-11 (File No. 333-90578), Exhibit 3.1).

  3.2

  Articles Supplementary Relating to the Series B Preferred Stock (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2003, Exhibit 3.3).

  3.3

  Articles Supplementary Relating to the Series C Preferred Stock (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-K, Exhibit 3.3, filed on October 25, 2005).

  3.4

  Articles Supplementary Relating to the Series D Preferred Stock (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-A, Exhibit 3.1, filed on March 14, 2007).

  3.5

  Amended and Restated By-laws (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Registration Statement on Form 8-K, Exhibit 3.1, filed on May 5, 2006).

  4.1

  Rights Agreement between the Registrant and American Stock Transfer and Trust Company, as Rights Agent, dated October 16, 2002 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2002, Exhibit 4.1).

  4.2

  Junior Subordinated Indenture between Newcastle Investment Corp. and The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, National Association, dated April 30, 2009 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-K, Exhibit 4.1, filed on May 4, 2009).

  4.3

  Pledge and Security Agreement between Newcastle Investment Corp. and The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, National Association, as trustee, dated April 30, 2009 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-K, Exhibit 4.2, filed on May 4, 2009).

  4.4

  Pledge, Security Agreement and Account Control Agreement among Newcastle Investment Corp., NIC TP LLC, as pledgor, and The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, National Association, as bank and trustee, dated April 30, 2009 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-K, Exhibit 4.3, filed on May 4, 2009).

10.1

  Amended and Restated Management and Advisory Agreement by and among the Registrant and Fortress Investment Group LLC, dated June 23, 2003 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Registration Statement on Form S-11 (File No. 333-106135), Exhibit 10.1).

10.2

  Newcastle Investment Corp. Nonqualified Stock Option and Incentive Award Plan Amended and Restated Effective as of February 11, 2004 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005, Exhibit 10.2).

10.3

  Exchange Agreement between Newcastle Investment Corp. and Taberna Preferred Funding IV, Ltd., Taberna Preferred Funding V, Ltd., Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd. and Taberna Preferred Funding VII, Ltd., dated April 30, 2009 (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Report on Form 8-K, Exhibit 10.1, filed on May 4, 2009).

21.1

  Subsidiaries of the Registrant (incorporated by reference to the Registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, Exhibit 21.1)

31.1

  Certification of Chief Executive Officer as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

31.2

  Certification of Chief Financial Officer as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

32.1

  Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

32.2

  Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized:

 

NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP.
August 10, 2009
By:  

/s/ Kenneth M. Riis

  Kenneth M. Riis
  Chief Executive Officer and President

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this report has been signed below by the following persons on behalf of the registrant and in the capacities and on the dates indicated.

 

By:  

/s/ Kenneth M. Riis

  Kenneth M. Riis
  Chief Executive Officer and President
  August 10, 2009
By:  

/s/ Brian C. Sigman

  Brian C. Sigman
  Chief Financial Officer
  August 10, 2009

 

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