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NOVATION COMPANIES, INC. - Quarter Report: 2003 March (Form 10-Q)

Form 10-Q
Table of Contents

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

 

FORM 10-Q

 

x  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE  

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2003.

 

OR

¨  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE  

      SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from                          to                         .

 

Commission File Number:    001-13533

 

NovaStar Financial, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Maryland

    

74-2830661


    

(State or other jurisdiction of

incorporation or organization)

    

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

 

8140 Ward Parkway, Kansas City, MO 64114

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

 

(816) 237-7000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 


(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

 

Yes    x    No  ¨

 

The number of shares of the registrant’s common stock outstanding as of April 30, 2003 was 10,560,159



Table of Contents

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

FORM 10-Q

QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2003

INDEX

 

         

Page


PART I    FINANCIAL INFORMATION

    

Item 1.

  

Consolidated Financial Statements:

    
    

Balance Sheets

  

1

    

Statements of Income

  

2

    

Statements of Cash Flows

  

3

    

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

  

5

Item 2.

  

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

  

9

    

Table 1, Mortgage Loans by Credit Grade

  

15

    

Table 2, Mortgage Loans by Geographic Concentration

  

15

    

Table 3, Carrying Value of Mortgage Loans

  

16

    

Table 4, Mortgage Credit Analysis—Held-in-Portfolio Loans

  

16

    

Table 5, Loss Analysis—Held-in-Portfolio Loans

  

16

    

Table 6, Mortgage Loan Coupon and Prepayment Analysis

  

16

    

Table 7, Mortgage Securities

  

18

    

Table 8, Characteristics of Loan Collateral, Valuation of Individual Mortgage Securities and Assumptions

  

20

    

Table 9, Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities by Credit Grade

  

21

    

Table 10, Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities by Geographic Concentration

  

21

    

Table 11, Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities by Product/Type

  

22

    

Table 12, Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities, Coupon and Prepayment Analysis

  

22

    

Table 13, Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities, Credit Analysis

  

23

    

Table 14, Asset-backed Bonds

  

24

    

Table 15, Short-term Financing Resources

  

25

    

Table 16, Non-conforming Loan Originations

  

26

    

Table 17, Quarterly Mortgage Loan Originations by State

  

26

    

Table 18, Mortgage Securities Interest Analysis

  

27

 

 


Table of Contents
         

Page


    

Table 19, Loans Under Management Net Interest Income Analysis

  

28

    

Table 20, Quarterly Activity—Allowance for Credit Losses

  

29

    

Table 21, Gains on Sales of Mortgage Assets and Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments

  

30

    

Table 22, Quarterly Mortgage Loan Sales

  

31

    

Table 23, Loan Costs of Production

  

33

    

Table 24, Summary of Servicing Operations

  

33

    

Table 25, Loan Originations—Branches

  

34

    

Table 26, Taxable Net Income

  

34

Item 3.

  

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

  

37

    

Table 27, Interest Rate Sensitivity—Income

  

38

    

Table 28, Interest Rate Sensitivity—Market Value

  

38

Item 4.

  

Controls and Procedures

  

40

PART II    OTHER INFORMATION

    

Item 1.

  

Legal Proceedings

  

41

Item 2.

  

Changes in Securities

  

41

Item 3.

  

Defaults Upon Senior Securities

  

41

Item 4.

  

Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

  

41

Item 5.

  

Other Information

  

41

Item 6.

  

Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K

  

42

    

Signatures

  

43

    

Certifications

  

44

 


Table of Contents

 

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(unaudited; dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

    

March 31, 2003


    

December 31, 2002


 

Assets

                 

Cash and cash equivalents

  

$

67,695

 

  

$

79,742

 

Mortgage loans—held-for-sale

  

 

689,278

 

  

 

983,633

 

Mortgage loans—held-in-portfolio

  

 

136,593

 

  

 

149,876

 

Mortgage securities—available-for-sale

  

 

242,077

 

  

 

178,879

 

Corporate advances to borrowers

  

 

12,678

 

  

 

11,875

 

Mortgage servicing rights

  

 

10,453

 

  

 

7,906

 

Assets acquired through foreclosure

  

 

5,979

 

  

 

5,935

 

Accrued interest receivable

  

 

5,188

 

  

 

7,673

 

Other assets

  

 

30,579

 

  

 

26,978

 

    


  


Total assets

  

$

1,200,520

 

  

$

1,452,497

 

    


  


Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity

                 

Liabilities:

                 

Short-term borrowings

  

$

783,304

 

  

$

1,025,536

 

Asset-backed bonds

  

 

171,541

 

  

 

199,692

 

Accounts payable and other liabilities

  

 

27,430

 

  

 

27,244

 

Dividends payable

  

 

23,648

 

  

 

16,768

 

    


  


Total liabilities

  

 

1,005,923

 

  

 

1,269,240

 

    


  


Commitments and contingencies

                 

Stockholders’ equity:

                 

Capital stock, $0.01 par value, 50,000,000 shares authorized:

                 

Common stock, 10,510,243 and 10,479,910 shares issued

    and outstanding, respectively

  

 

105

 

  

 

105

 

Additional paid-in capital

  

 

134,553

 

  

 

133,358

 

Accumulated deficit

  

 

(16,818

)

  

 

(12,026

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income

  

 

77,837

 

  

 

62,935

 

Notes receivable from founders

  

 

(1,080

)

  

 

(1,115

)

    


  


Total stockholders’ equity

  

 

194,597

 

  

 

183,257

 

    


  


Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

  

$

1,200,520

 

  

$

1,452,497

 

    


  


 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

1


Table of Contents

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(unaudited; dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Interest income

  

$

39,316

 

  

$

18,848

 

Interest expense

  

 

12,432

 

  

 

9,159

 

    


  


Net interest income before provision for credit (losses) recoveries

  

 

26,884

 

  

 

9,689

 

Provision for credit (losses) recoveries

  

 

92

 

  

 

(133

)

    


  


Net interest income

  

 

26,976

 

  

 

9,556

 

Gains on sales of mortgage assets

  

 

29,443

 

  

 

4,630

 

Fee income

  

 

13,157

 

  

 

6,941

 

Prepayment penalty income

  

 

214

 

  

 

118

 

Premiums for mortgage loan insurance

  

 

(779

)

  

 

(574

)

Gains (losses) on derivative instruments

  

 

(7,346

)

  

 

4,692

 

Other income, net

  

 

1,329

 

  

 

493

 

General and administrative expenses:

                 

Compensation and benefits

  

 

19,442

 

  

 

9,136

 

Travel and public relations

  

 

5,603

 

  

 

2,673

 

Office administration

  

 

4,943

 

  

 

1,835

 

Loan expense

  

 

3,944

 

  

 

811

 

Professional and outside services

  

 

1,514

 

  

 

589

 

Other

  

 

1,085

 

  

 

591

 

    


  


Total general and administrative expenses

  

 

36,531

 

  

 

15,635

 

    


  


Income before income tax expense

  

 

26,463

 

  

 

10,221

 

Income tax expense

  

 

4,141

 

  

 

1,300

 

    


  


Net income available to common shareholders

  

$

22,322

 

  

$

8,921

 

    


  


Basic earnings per share

  

$

2.13

 

  

$

0.87

 

    


  


Diluted earnings per share

  

$

2.07

 

  

$

0.80

 

    


  


Weighted average basic shares outstanding

  

 

10,501

 

  

 

10,281

 

    


  


Weighted average diluted shares outstanding

  

 

10,764

 

  

 

11,165

 

    


  


Dividends declared per common share

  

$

2.58

 

  

$

0.80

 

    


  


 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

2


Table of Contents

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(unaudited; in thousands)

 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Cash flows from operating activities:

                 

Net income

  

$

22,322

 

  

$

8,921

 

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:

                 

Amortization of premiums on mortgage assets

  

 

274

 

  

 

566

 

Amortization of mortgage servicing rights

  

 

1,726

 

  

 

969

 

Accretion of available-for-sale securities

  

 

(18,318

)

  

 

(7,018

)

Amortization of deferred debt costs

  

 

115

 

  

 

64

 

Forgiveness of founders’ promissory notes

  

 

35

 

  

 

35

 

Provision for credit losses (recoveries)

  

 

(92

)

  

 

133

 

Proceeds from sale of mortgage loans held for sale

  

 

1,350,262

 

  

 

457,509

 

Originations of mortgage loans held for sale

  

 

(1,106,805

)

  

 

(493,095

)

Repayments of mortgage loans held for sale

  

 

7,953

 

  

 

1,286

 

Losses (gains) on sales of mortgage assets

  

 

(29,443

)

  

 

(4,630

)

Losses (gains) on derivative instruments

  

 

7,346

 

  

 

(4,692

)

Compensation recognized under stock option plan

  

 

962

 

  

 

172

 

Changes in:

                 

Accrued interest receivable

  

 

2,485

 

  

 

(511

)

Other assets

  

 

(13,742

)

  

 

1,981

 

Other liabilities

  

 

3,579

 

  

 

(6,139

)

    


  


Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

  

 

228,659

 

  

 

(44,449

)

Cash flows from investing activities:

                 

Mortgage loan repayments—held-in-portfolio

  

 

11,593

 

  

 

16,020

 

Proceeds from paydowns on available-for-sale securities

  

 

37,085

 

  

 

19,140

 

Sales of assets acquired through foreclosure

  

 

1,115

 

  

 

7,232

 

    


  


Net cash provided by investing activities

  

 

49,793

 

  

 

42,392

 

Cash flows from financing activities:

                 

Payments on asset-backed bonds

  

 

(28,266

)

  

 

(23,406

)

Change in short-term borrowings

  

 

(242,232

)

  

 

23,736

 

Proceeds from issuance of capital stock and exercise of equity instruments, net of offering costs

  

 

233

 

  

 

426

 

Dividends paid on preferred stock

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(2,014

)

Dividends paid on common stock

  

 

(20,234

)

  

 

(2,754

)

    


  


Net cash used in financing activities

  

 

(290,499

)

  

 

(4,012

)

    


  


Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents

  

 

(12,047

)

  

 

(6,069

)

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period

  

 

79,742

 

  

 

30,817

 

    


  


Cash and cash equivalents, end of period

  

$

67,695

 

  

$

24,748

 

    


  


 

 

3


Table of Contents

Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information:

                 

Cash paid for interest

  

$

12,989

 

  

$

9,117

 

    


  


Surrender of warrants

  

$

—  

 

  

$

3,673

 

    


  


Dividends payable

  

$

23,648

 

  

$

8,285

 

    


  


Cash paid for taxes

  

$

53

 

  

$

680

 

    


  


Non-cash operating and investing activities:

                 

Retention of mortgage servicing rights

  

$

(4,273

)

  

$

(1,558

)

    


  


Assets acquired through foreclosure

  

$

(1,387

)

  

$

(2,085

)

    


  


Securities retained in securitizations

  

$

(68,665

)

  

$

(20,608

)

    


  


 

 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

4


Table of Contents

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

March 31, 2003 (Unaudited)

 

Note 1.    Financial Statement Presentation

 

The consolidated financial statements as of March 31, 2003 and for the periods ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 are unaudited. In the opinion of management, all necessary adjustments have been made, which were of a normal and recurring nature, for a fair presentation of the consolidated financial statements. Certain reclassifications to prior year amounts have been made to conform to current year presentation. The consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and the consolidated financial statements of NovaStar Financial and the notes thereto, included in NovaStar Financial’s annual report to shareholders and annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2002.

 

The consolidated financial statements of NovaStar Financial include the accounts of all wholly owned subsidiaries. Significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated in consolidation. Interim results are not necessarily indicative of results for a full year.

 

 

Note 2.    Stock Based Compensation

 

The following table illustrates the effect on net income and earnings per share if the Company had applied the fair value recognition provisions of SFAS No. 123 to stock-based employee compensation.

 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Net income, as reported

  

$

22,322

 

  

$

8,921

 

Add: Stock-based employee compensation expense included in reported net income, net of related tax effects

  

 

962

 

  

 

172

 

Deduct: Total stock-based employee compensation expense determined under fair value based method for all awards, net of related tax effects

  

 

(262

)

  

 

(140

)

    


  


Pro forma net income

  

$

23,022

 

  

$

8,953

 

    


  


Earnings per share:

                 

Basic—as reported

  

$

2.13

 

  

$

0.87

 

    


  


Basic—pro forma

  

$

2.19

 

  

$

0.87

 

    


  


Diluted—as reported

  

$

2.07

 

  

$

0.80

 

    


  


Diluted—pro forma

  

$

2.14

 

  

$

0.80

 

    


  


 

 

Note 3.    NovaStar Mortgage Funding Trust Series 2003-1

 

On February 27, 2003, NovaStar Mortgage executed a securitization transaction accounted for as sales of loans. In addition, derivative instruments with a fair value of $(9.8) million were transferred into the 2003-1 trust. These instruments serve to reduce interest rate risk to the bondholders. Details of this transaction are as follows (dollars in thousands):

 

    

Value of Asset-Backed

Bonds Issued


    

Economic Residual Value as of

March 31, 2003


  

Book Value of Collateral Sold


    

Gain Recognized


NMFT 2003-1 (A)

  

$

1,257,750

    

$

74,649

  

$

1,084,906

    

$

23,732


(A)   On April 3, 2003, the remaining $215.2 million in loans collateralizing NMFT 2003-1 were delivered and a gain in the amount of $4.7 million was recognized.

 

5


Table of Contents

Note 4.    Comprehensive Income

 

Comprehensive income includes net income and revenues, expenses, gains and losses that are not included in net income. Following is a summary of comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 (in thousands).

 

    

For the Three

Months Ended

March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Net income

  

$

22,322

 

  

$

8,921

 

Other comprehensive income

                 

Change in unrealized gain on available-for-sale securities, net of income taxes

  

 

13,254

 

  

 

5,431

 

Change in unrealized loss on derivative instruments used in cash flow hedges

  

 

(1,006

)

  

 

(16

)

Net settlements of derivative instruments used in cash flow hedges reclassified to earnings

  

 

2,680

 

  

 

2,093

 

Other amortization

  

 

(26

)

  

 

(26

)

    


  


Comprehensive income

  

$

37,224

 

  

$

16,403

 

    


  


 

Note 5.    Segment Reporting

 

The Company reviews, manages and operates its business in three segments. These business segments are: mortgage portfolio management, mortgage lending and loan servicing and branches. Mortgage portfolio management operating results are driven from the income generated on the assets we manage less associated management costs. Mortgage lending and loan servicing operations include the marketing, underwriting and funding of loan production. Servicing operations represent the income and costs to service our on and off -balance sheet loans. Branches include the collective income generated by NovaStar Home Mortgage brokers and the associated operating costs. Also, the corporate-level income and costs to support the NHMI branches as well as the LLC branches are represented in our branches segment. Following is a summary of the operating results of the Company’s primary operating units for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 (in thousands).

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2003

 

    

Mortgage Portfolio Management


    

Mortgage

Lending and Loan Servicing


    

Branches


    

Total


 

Interest income

  

$

19,110

 

  

$

20,206

 

  

$

—  

 

  

$

39,316

 

Interest expense

  

 

(4,480

)

  

 

(7,952

)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(12,432

)

    


  


  


  


Net interest income before provision for credit losses

  

 

14,630

 

  

 

12,254

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

26,884

 

Provision for losses

  

 

92

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

92

 

Gains (losses) on sales of mortgage loans

  

 

(215

)

  

 

29,658

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

29,443

 

Fee income

  

 

—  

 

  

 

4,677

 

  

 

8,480

 

  

 

13,157

 

Losses on derivative instruments

  

 

(716

)

  

 

(6,630

)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(7,346

)

Other income

  

 

3,415

 

  

 

(2,668

)

  

 

17

 

  

 

764

 

General and administrative expenses

  

 

(2,331

)

  

 

(26,055

)

  

 

(8,145

)

  

 

(36,531

)

    


  


  


  


Income before income tax

  

 

14,875

 

  

 

11,236

 

  

 

352

 

  

 

26,463

 

Income tax expense

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(3,811

)

  

 

(330

)

  

 

(4,141

)

    


  


  


  


Net income

  

$

14,875

 

  

$

7,425

 

  

$

22

 

  

$

22,322

 

    


  


  


  


 

6


Table of Contents

Three Months Ended March 31, 2002

 

    

Mortgage Portfolio Management


    

Mortgage

Lending and Loan Servicing


    

Branches


    

Total


 

Interest income

  

$

11,876

 

  

$

6,972

 

  

$

—  

 

  

$

18,848

 

Interest expense

  

 

(3,684

)

  

 

(5,475

)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(9,159

)

    


  


  


  


Net interest income before provision for credit losses

  

 

8,192

 

  

 

1,497

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

9,689

 

Provision for losses

  

 

(133

)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(133

)

Gains (losses) on sales of mortgage loans

  

 

(73

)

  

 

4,703

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

4,630

 

Fee income

  

 

—  

 

  

 

2,319

 

  

 

4,622

 

  

 

6,941

 

Gains (losses) on derivative instruments

  

 

—  

 

  

 

4,692

 

  

 

—  

 

  

 

4,692

 

Other income

  

 

(142

)

  

 

174

 

  

 

5

 

  

 

37

 

General and administrative expenses

  

 

(939

)

  

 

(10,332

)

  

 

(4,364

)

  

 

(15,635

)

    


  


  


  


Income before income tax

  

 

6,905

 

  

 

3,053

 

  

 

263

 

  

 

10,221

 

Income tax expense

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(844

)

  

 

(456

)

  

 

(1,300

)

    


  


  


  


Net income

  

$

6,905

 

  

$

2,209

 

  

$

(193

)

  

$

8,921

 

    


  


  


  


 

Intersegment revenues and expenses that were eliminated in consolidation were as follows for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 (in thousands):

 

    

For the Three

Months Ended

March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Amounts paid to mortgage lending and loan servicing from mortgage portfolio:

                 

Loan servicing fees

  

$

193

 

  

$

340

 

Administrative fees

  

 

—  

 

  

 

211

 

Amounts received from mortgage lending and loan servicing to mortgage portfolio:

                 

Intercompany interest income

  

 

(3,428

)

  

 

(1,295

)

Guaranty, commitment, loan sale, and securitization fees

  

 

(2,934

)

  

 

(1,287

)

Amounts received from mortgage lending and loan servicing to branches:

                 

Lender premium

  

 

(1,528

)

  

 

(293

)

Subsidized fees

  

 

(499

)

  

 

(171

)

 

 

Note 6.    Guarantees

 

In the ordinary course of business, the Company sells loans with recourse for borrower defaults. For loans that have been sold with recourse and are no longer on the Company’s balance sheet, the recourse component is considered a guarantee. The Company sold loans with recourse for borrower defaults totaling $112.1 million and $47.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. The Company’s recorded obligation related to these guarantees totaled $101,000 and $29,000 as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively.

 

In the ordinary course of business, the Company sells loans with and without recourse for borrower defaults that may have to be subsequently repurchased due to defects in the loan origination process. The Company typically guarantees to cover investor losses should origination defects occur. The defects are categorized as documentation and underwriting errors, judgments, early payment defaults and fraud. If a defect is identified, the Company is required to repurchase the loan. As of March 31, 2003, the Company had loans sold without recourse with an outstanding principal balance of $3.5 billion.

 

In the normal course of its business, the Company is subject to various legal proceedings and claims, the resolution of which, in the opinion of management, will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition or results of operations.

 

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Note 7.    Earnings Per Share

 

The computations of basic and diluted EPS computations for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 are as follows (in thousands except per share amounts):

 

    

For the Three

Months Ended

March 31,


    

2003


  

2002


Numerator

  

$

22,322

  

$

8,921

    

  

Denominator:

             

Weighted average common shares outstanding—basic

  

 

10,501

  

 

10,281

    

  

Weighted average common shares outstanding—dilutive

             

Stock options

  

 

263

  

 

217

Warrants

  

 

—  

  

 

667

    

  

Weighted average common shares outstanding—dilutive

  

 

10,764

  

 

11,165

    

  

Basic earnings per share

  

$

2.13

  

$

0.87

    

  

Diluted earnings per share

  

$

2.07

  

$

0.80

    

  

 

8


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Item 2.     Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the preceding consolidated financial statements of NovaStar Financial and the notes thereto as well as NovaStar Financial’s annual report to shareholders and annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2002.

 

 

Safe Harbor Statement

 

“Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this discussion regarding NovaStar Financial, Inc. and its business, which are not historical facts, are “forward-looking statements” that involve risks and uncertainties. Certain matters discussed in this quarterly report may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws that inherently include certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results and the time of certain events could differ materially from those projected in or contemplated by the forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including general economic conditions, fluctuations in interest rates, fluctuations in prepayment speeds, fluctuations in losses due to defaults on mortgage loans, the availability of non-conforming residential mortgage loans, the availability and access to financing and liquidity resources, and other risk factors outlined in the annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2002. Other factors not presently identified may also cause actual results to differ. Management continuously updates and revises these estimates and assumptions based on actual conditions experienced. It is not practicable to publish all revisions and, as a result, no one should assume that results projected in or contemplated by the forward-looking statements will continue to be accurate in the future. Risks and uncertainties, which could cause results to differ from those discussed in the forward-looking statements herein, are listed in the “Risk Management” section of the annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2002.

 

 

Description of Businesses

 

Mortgage Lending and Loan Servicing

 

·   We originate conforming and non-conforming residential mortgage loans.

 

·   We reach the borrower through the retail mortgage broker and directly through outbound retail telemarketing.

 

·   Non-conforming borrowers are generally individuals or families who do not qualify for agency/conventional lending programs because of a lack of available documentation or previous credit difficulties.

 

·   We acquire pools of mortgages from correspondents.

 

·   We finance our loans through short-term warehouse facilities.

 

·   Loans we originate are held for sale in either outright sales for cash or in securitization transactions.

 

·   We service the loans we originate.

 

The mortgage lending operation is significant to our financial results as it produces the loans that ultimately collateralize the mortgage securities that we hold in our portfolio. During the three months ended March 31, 2003, we originated $1.1 billion in mortgage loans, the majority of which were retained in our servicing portfolio and serve as collateral for our securities. Most of the loans we originate are sold, either in securitization transactions or in outright sales to third parties. We recognized gains on sales of mortgage loans totaling $29.4 million and $4.6 million during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. In securitization transactions accounted for as sales, we retain interest-only, prepayment penalty and subordinated securities, along with the right to service the loans.

 

Mortgage servicing yields fee income for us in the form of normal customer service and processing fees. We recognized $3.7 million and $2.0 million in loan servicing fee income from the securitization trusts during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively.

 

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A significant risk to our mortgage lending operations is liquidity risk—the risk that we will not have financing facilities and cash available to fund and hold loans prior to their sale or securitization. We maintain committed lending facilities with large banking and investment institutions to reduce this risk.

 

 

Mortgage Portfolio Management

 

·   We invest in assets generated primarily from our origination of nonconforming, single-family, residential mortgage loans.

 

·   We operate as a long-term portfolio investor.

 

·   Financing is provided by issuing asset-backed bonds and entering into reverse repurchase agreements.

 

·   Earnings are generated from return on mortgage securities and spread income on the mortgage loan portfolio.

 

Earnings from our portfolio of mortgage loans and securities generate a substantial portion of our earnings. Gross interest income was $39.3 million and $18.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. Net interest income from the portfolio was $27.0 million and $9.6 million in the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. See our discussion of interest income under the heading “Results of Operations” and “Net Interest Income”.

 

A significant risk to our operations, relating to our portfolio management, is the risk that interest rates on our assets will not adjust at the same times or amounts that rates on our liabilities adjust. Many of the loans in our portfolio have fixed rates of interest for a period of time ranging from 2 to 30 years. Our funding costs are generally not constant or fixed. We use derivative instruments to mitigate the risk of our cost of funding increasing or decreasing at a faster rate than the interest on the loans (both those on the balance sheet and those that serve as collateral for mortgage securities).

 

In certain circumstances, because we enter into interest rate agreements which do not meet the hedging criteria set forth in generally accepted accounting principles, we are required to record the change in the value of derivatives as a component of earnings even though they may reduce our interest rate risk. In times where short-term rates drop significantly, the value of our agreements will decrease. As a result, we recognized losses on these derivatives of $7.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003. However, the declining short-term funding rates cause the yields on our securities as well as the gains we recognize on sales and securitizations of loans to increase. For the three months ended March 31, 2002, we recognized gains on these derivatives of $4.7 million due to an increase in interest rates from December 31, 2001 to March 31, 2002.

 

 

Branches

 

·   Branches include retail mortgage brokers that broker loans for more than 200 investors, including NovaStar Mortgage, Inc.

 

·   Branches operate under established policies.

 

·   The net operating income for the branch is returned as compensation to the branch “owner/manager.”

 

·   NovaStar Home Mortgage, Inc. receives fees for loans brokered by the branches.

 

The retail brokers provide an additional source for mortgage loan origination s which, in most cases, we will eventually sell, either in securitizations or in outright sales to third parties. During the three months ended March 31, 2003, our branches brokered $1.2 billion in loans, of which $311.9 million were funded by us.

 

Following is a diagram of the mortgage loan industry in which we operate and our loan production during the three months ended March 31, 2003 (in thousands).

 

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LOGO

 

(A)   The portion of loans that we have not securitized as of March 31, 2003 is included in our mortgage loans held-for-sale.

 

 

Significance of Estimates and Critical Accounting Policies

 

We prepare our consolidated financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America and, therefore, are required to make estimates regarding the values of our assets and liabilities and in recording income and expenses. These estimates are based, in part, on our judgment and assumptions regarding various economic conditions that we believe are reasonable based on facts and circumstances existing at the time of reporting. The results of these estimates affect reported amounts of assets, liabilities and accumulated other comprehensive income at the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of income, expenses and other comprehensive income during the periods presented. The following summarizes the components of our consolidated financial statements where understanding accounting policies is critical to understanding and evaluating our reported financial results, especially given the significant estimates used in applying the policies. The discussion is intended to demonstrate the significance of estimates to our financial statements and the related accounting policies. Detailed accounting policies are provided in Note 1 to our consolidated financial statements included in our 2002 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Our critical accounting estimates impact only two of our three reportable segments; our mortgage portfolio management and mortgage lending and loan servicing segments. Management has discussed the development and selection of these critical accounting estimates with the audit committee of our board of directors and the audit committee has reviewed our disclosure.

 

Mortgage Loans and Allowance for Credit Losses. Mortgage loans held-in-portfolio are recorded at their cost, adjusted for the amortization of deferred costs and for credit losses inherent in the portfolio. Mortgage loan origination fees and associated direct mortgage loan origination costs on mortgage loans

 

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held-in-portfolio are deferred and recognized over the life of the loan as an adjustment to yield using the level yield method. An allowance for credit losses is maintained for mortgage loans held-in-portfolio. Mortgage loans held-for-sale are recorded at the lower of cost or market. Mortgage loan origination fees and direct mortgage loan origination costs on mortgage loans held-for-sale are deferred until the related loans are sold.

 

The allowance for credit losses on mortgage loans held-in-portfolio, and therefore the related charge to income, is based on the assessment by management of various factors affecting our mortgage loan portfolio, including current economic conditions, the makeup of the portfolio based on credit grade, loan-to-value, delinquency status, mortgage insurance we purchase and other relevant factors. The allowance is maintained through ongoing provisions charged to operating income. The accounting estimate of the allowance for credit losses is considered a “critical accounting estimate” as significant changes in the mortgage loan portfolio, our ability to obtain mortgage insurance and/or economic conditions may affect the allowance for credit losses and net income. The assumptions used by management regarding these key economic indicators are highly uncertain and involve a great deal of judgment. An internally developed migration analysis is the primary tool used in analyzing our allowance for credit losses. This tool takes into consideration historical information regarding foreclosure and loss severity experience and applies that information to the portfolio at the reporting date. We also take into consideration our use of mortgage insurance as a method of managing credit risk. We pay mortgage insurance premiums on loans maintained on our balance sheet and have included the cost of mortgage insurance in our income statement.

 

The allowance for credit losses was $2.8 million as of March 31, 2003 compared to $3.0 million at December 31, 2002. The allowance for credit losses as a percent of mortgage loans held-in-portfolio was 2.1% as of March 31, 2003 compared to 2.0% as of December 31, 2002. No loans have been added to our portfolio since our last asset-backed bond transaction treated as a financing transaction in 1998. If we were to assume the estimate of credit losses as a percent of outstanding principal increased or decreased by 10%, the allowance for credit losses and related provision as of and for the three months ended March 31, 2003, respectively, would increase or decrease by $1.1 million. We have purchased mortgage insurance covering 80.9% of the mortgage loans held-in-portfolio principal balance as of March 31, 2003 compared to 81.1% as of December 31, 2002. The make-up of our mortgage loan portfolio is discussed under the heading “Mortgage Loans”. The allowance for credit losses is also discussed below under “Mortgage Loans”. We discuss purchased mortgage insurance under the heading “Premiums for Mortgage Loan Insurance”.

 

Transfers of Assets (Loan and Mortgage Security Securitizations) and Related Gains. In a loan securitization, we combine the mortgage loans we originate in pools to serve as collateral for asset-backed bonds that are issued to the public. In a mortgage security securitization (also known as a “Resecuritization”), we combine mortgage securities retained in previous loan securitization transactions to serve as collateral for asset-backed bonds that are issued to the public. The loans or mortgage securities are transferred to a trust designed to serve only for the purpose of holding the collateral. The trust is considered a qualifying special purpose entity as defined by SFAS No. 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities—a replacement of FASB Statement No. 125. The owners of the asset-backed bonds have no recourse to us in the event the collateral does not perform as planned.

 

In order for us to determine proper accounting treatment for each securitization or resecuritization, we evaluate whether or not we have retained or surrendered control over the transferred assets by reference to the conditions set forth in SFAS No. 140. All terms of these transactions are evaluated against the conditions set forth in these statements. Some of the conditions that must be considered include:

 

  ·   Have the transferred assets been isolated from the transferor?

 

  ·   Does the transferee have the right to pledge or exchange the transferred assets?

 

  ·   Is there a “call” agreement that requires the transferor to return specific assets?

 

  ·   Is there an agreement that both obligates and entitles the transferor to repurchase or redeem the transferred assets prior to maturity?

 

Generally, we intend to structure our securitizations so that control over the collateral is transferred and the transfer is accounted for as a sale. For resecuritizations, we intend to structure these transactions to be accounted for as secured borrowings.

 

When these transfers are executed in a manner such that we have surrendered control over the collateral, the transfer is accounted for as a sale. In accordance with SFAS No. 140, a gain or loss on

 

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sale is recognized based on the carrying amount of the financial assets involved in the transfer, allocated between the assets transferred and the retained interests based on their relative fair value at the date of transfer. In a loan securitization, we do retain the right to service the underlying mortgage loans and we also retain certain mortgage securities issued by the trust (see Mortgage Securities above). In a resecuritization, we retain an interest in a subordinated security that represents the right to receive the cash flows on the underlying mortgage security collateral after the senior bonds have been satisfied. As previously discussed, the gain recognized upon securitization (or resecuritization) depends on, among other things, the estimated fair value of the components of the securitization (or resecuritization) – the loans or mortgage securities transferred, the securities retained and the mortgage servicing rights. The estimated fair value of the securitization (or resecuritization) components is considered a “critical accounting estimate” as 1) these gains or losses represent a significant portion of our operating results and 2) the valuation assumptions used regarding economic conditions and the make-up of the collateral, including interest rates, principal payments, prepayments and loan defaults are highly uncertain and require a large degree of judgment. The valuation of mortgage securities is based on the present value of future expected cash flows to be received (See Mortgage Securities discussion above). The rate used to discount the cash flow projections is critical in the evaluation of our mortgage securities. Management uses internal, historical collateral performance data and published forward yield curves when modeling future expected cash flows.

 

For purposes of valuing our mortgage securities, it is also important to know that a significant portion of the underlying mortgage loan collateral is covered by mortgage insurance. The cost of the insurance is paid by the trust from proceeds the trust receives from the underlying collateral. The trust legally assumes the responsibility to pay the mortgage insurance premiums; therefore, we have no obligation to pay these insurance premiums. We discuss mortgage insurance premiums under the heading “Premiums for Mortgage Loan Insurance”.

 

The discount rates used in the initial valuation of mortgage securities for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 were 30%. If the discount rate used in the initial valuation of our mortgage securities in 2003 had been increased by 500 basis points, the initial value of our mortgage securities would have decreased by $6.1 million and the gain recognized on the transfer of mortgage loans in securitizations would have decreased by $5.0 million. If we would have decreased the discount rate used in the initial valuation of our mortgage securities by 500 basis points, the value of our mortgage securities would have increased by $7.1 million and the gain recognized on the transfer of mortgage loans in securitizations would have increased by $5.9 million.

 

Information regarding the assumptions we used is discussed under “Mortgage Securities” in the following discussion.

 

When we do have the ability to exert control over the transferred collateral, the assets remain on our financial records and a liability is recorded for the related asset-backed bonds.

 

Mortgage Securities. Our mortgage securities represent beneficial interests we retain in securitization and resecuritization transactions. The beneficial interests we retain in securitization transactions primarily consist of the right to receive the future cash flows from a pool of securitized mortgage loans which include:

 

  ·   The interest spread between the coupon on the underlying loans and the cost of financing.

 

  ·   Prepayment penalties received from borrowers who payoff their loans early in their life.

 

  ·   Overcollateralization, which is designed to protect the primary bondholder from credit loss on the underlying loans.

 

The beneficial interests we retain in resecuritization transactions represent the right to receive the remaining cash flows from the underlying mortgage security collateral after the obligations to outside bondholders have been satisfied.

 

The cash flows we receive are highly dependent upon the interest rate environment. The cost of financing for the securitized loans is indexed to short-term interest rates, while the loan coupons are less interest sensitive. As a result, as rates rise and fall, our cash flows will fall and rise, which in turn will decrease or increase the value of our mortgage securities. Likewise, increasing or decreasing cash flows will increase or decrease the yield on our securities. We adjust our yield (rate of income recognition) prospectively based on the expectation for cash flows on the securities.

 

We believe the accounting estimates related to the valuation of our mortgage securities and establishing the rate of income recognition on mortgage securities are “critical accounting estimates” because they can materially affect net income and require us to forecast interest rates, mortgage principal payments,

 

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prepayments and loan default assumptions which are highly uncertain and require a large degree of judgment. The rate used to discount the projected cash flows is also critical in the valuation of our mortgage securities. Management uses internal, historical collateral performance data and published forward yield curves when modeling future expected cash flows and establishing the rate of income recognized on mortgage securities. We believe the value of our mortgage securities is fair, but can provide no assurance that future prepayment and loss experience or changes in their required market discount rate will not require write-downs of the residual assets. Write-downs would reduce income of future periods.

 

Our average security yield has increased to 44.0% for the three months ended March 31, 2003 from 36.5% for the same period of 2002. This resulted in a corresponding increase in our mortgage securities income recognized during 2003. If the rates used to accrue income on our mortgage securities during 2003 had been increased or decreased by 10%, net income during the first three months of 2003 would have increased by $3.7 million and decreased by $2.4 million, respectively.

 

As of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002, the weighted average discount rate used in valuing our mortgage securities was 25%. The weighted-average constant prepayment rate used in valuing our mortgage securities as of March 31, 2003 was 34 versus 40 as of December 31, 2002. If the discount rate used in valuing our mortgage securities as of March 31, 2003 had been increased by 500 basis points, the value of our mortgage securities would have decreased by $18.2 million. If we had decreased the discount rate used in valuing our mortgage securities by 500 basis points, the value of our mortgage securities would have increased by $15.9 million.

 

Financial Condition as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002

 

Mortgage Loans. Our balance sheet consists primarily of mortgage loans we have originated. We classify our mortgage loans into two categories: “held-for-sale” and “held-in-portfolio.” A portion of our loans serve as collateral for asset-backed bonds we have issued and are classified as “held-in-portfolio.” The carrying value of “held-in-portfolio” mortgage loans as of March 31, 2003 was $136.6 million compared to $149.9 million as of December 31, 2002.

 

Loans we have originated, but have not yet sold or securitized, are classified as “held-for-sale.” We expect to sell these loans outright in third party transactions or in securitization transactions that will be, for tax and accounting purposes, recorded as sales. We use warehouse lines of credit and mortgage repurchase agreements to finance our held-for-sale loans. As such, the fluctuations in mortgage loans – held-for-sale and short-term borrowings between March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002 is dependent on loans we have originated during the period as well as loans we have sold outright or through securitization transactions. Details regarding loan originations during 2003 as well as mortgage loans sold can be found in the “Mortgage Loan Production” and “Gains on Sales of Mortgage Assets and Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments” sections of this document, respectively.

 

Premiums are paid on substantially all mortgage loans. Premiums on mortgage loans held-in-portfolio are amortized as a reduction of interest income over the estimated lives of the loans. Table 6 provides information to analyze the impact of principal payments on amortization. For mortgage loans held-for-sale, premiums are deferred until the related loans are sold. To mitigate the effect of prepayments on interest income from mortgage loans, we generally strive to originate mortgage loans with prepayment penalties.

 

In periods of decreasing interest rates, borrowers are more likely to refinance their mortgages to obtain a better interest rate. Even in rising rate environments, borrowers tend to repay their mortgage principal balances earlier than is required by the terms of their mortgages. Non-conforming borrowers, as they update their credit rating, are more likely to refinance their mortgage loan to obtain a lower interest rate.

 

Prepayment rates in Table 6 represent the annualized principal prepayment rate in the most recent three and twelve month periods and over the life of the pool of loans. This information has not been presented for held-for-sale loans as we do not expect to own the loans for a period long enough to experience material repayments.

 

Characteristics of the mortgage loans we own such as credit grade, coupon, loan-to-value, prepayment speeds and delinquency statistics are provided in Tables 1 through 6. These characteristics are important as they provide key indicators of the credit and prepayment risks inherent in our mortgage loan portfolio, which have a direct impact on our past and future operating performance. The operating performance of our mortgage loan portfolio, including net interest income, allowance for credit losses and effects of hedging,

 

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are discussed under “Results of Operations” and “Interest Rate/Market Risk.” Gains on the sales of mortgage loans, including impact of securitizations treated as sales, is also discussed under “Results of Operations.”

 

Table 1—Mortgage Loans by Credit Grade

(dollars in thousands)


 

                  

March 31, 2003


    

December 31, 2002


 

Credit

Grade


  

Allowed

Mortgage

Lates (A)


    

Maximum Loan-

to-value


    

Current

Principal


  

Weighted

Average

Coupon


    

Weighted

Average

Loan-to-

Value


    

Current

Principal


  

Weighted

Average

Coupon


    

Weighted

Average

Loan-to-

Value


 

Held-in-portfolio:

                                                       

AA

  

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

$

21,341

  

9.3

%

  

82.1

%

  

$

22,770

  

9.3

%

  

82.2

%

A

  

1 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

52,659

  

9.7

 

  

79.8

 

  

 

59,773

  

9.7

 

  

79.8

 

A-

  

2 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

33,118

  

10.2

 

  

81.8

 

  

 

34,933

  

10.2

 

  

81.6

 

B

  

3 x 30, 1 x 60, 5 x 30, 2 x 60

    

85

 

  

 

18,280

  

10.6

 

  

77.7

 

  

 

20,163

  

10.6

 

  

77.7

 

C

  

1 x 90

    

75

 

  

 

9,227

  

11.2

 

  

72.5

 

  

 

10,216

  

11.2

 

  

71.9

 

D

  

6 x 30, 3 x 60, 2 x 90

    

65

 

  

 

2,075

  

11.1

 

  

65.1

 

  

 

2,063

  

11.2

 

  

65.1

 

                  

                

             
                  

$

136,700

  

10.0

%

  

79.6

%

  

$

149,918

  

10.0

%

  

79.5

%

                  

  

  

  

  

  

Held-for-sale:

                                                       

Alt A

  

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

$

191,659

  

7.0

%

  

78.6

%

  

$

224,594

  

7.2

%

  

76.3

%

AAA

  

0 x 30

    

97

(B)

  

 

567

  

9.2

 

  

81.5

 

  

 

3,476

  

12.0

 

  

37.2

 

AA

  

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

 

2,036

  

10.0

 

  

77.6

 

  

 

30,769

  

9.5

 

  

84.6

 

A+

  

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

 

262,117

  

7.5

 

  

78.6

 

  

 

350,558

  

7.8

 

  

77.8

 

A

  

1 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

74,551

  

7.9

 

  

77.7

 

  

 

127,514

  

8.5

 

  

81.3

 

A-

  

2 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

44,074

  

7.9

 

  

76.1

 

  

 

79,168

  

8.4

 

  

80.0

 

B

  

3 x 30, 1 x 60, 5 x 30, 2 x 60

    

85

 

  

 

38,834

  

8.4

 

  

74.6

 

  

 

80,052

  

8.7

 

  

76.5

 

C

  

1 x 90

    

75

 

  

 

2,359

  

9.5

 

  

61.3

 

  

 

7,424

  

9.8

 

  

71.2

 

Other

  

Varies

    

97

 

  

 

63,968

  

7.9

 

  

83.8

 

  

 

68,805

  

8.3

 

  

85.9

 

                  

                

             
                  

$

680,165

  

7.5

%

  

78.5

%

  

$

972,360

  

8.0

%

  

78.6

%

                  

  

  

  

  

  


(A)   Represents the number of times a prospective borrower is allowed to be late more than 30, 60 or 90 days. For instance, a 3x30, 1x60 category would afford the prospective borrower to be more than 30 days late on three separate occasions and 60 days late no more than one time.
(B)   97% on fixed-rate only; all other maximum of 95%.

 

Table 2—Mortgage Loans by Geographic Concentration

Percent Current Principal


 

      

March 31, 2003


      

December 31, 2002


 
      

Held-in-portfolio


      

Held-for-sale


      

Held-in-portfolio


      

Held-for-sale


 

Collateral Location

                                   

Florida

    

15

%

    

15

%

    

15

%

    

14

%

California

    

12

 

    

27

 

    

12

 

    

28

 

Texas

    

5

 

    

4

 

    

5

 

    

3

 

Indiana

    

5

 

    

1

 

    

5

 

    

2

 

Washington

    

5

 

    

3

 

    

5

 

    

2

 

All other states

    

58

 

    

50

 

    

58

 

    

51

 

      

    

    

    

Total

    

100

%

    

100

%

    

100

%

    

100

%

      

    

    

    

 

 

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Table of Contents

Table 3—Carrying Value of Mortgage Loans

(in thousands)


 

    

March 31, 2003


    

December 31, 2002


 

Held-in-portfolio:

                 

Outstanding principal

  

$

136,700

 

  

$

149,918

 

Deferred broker premium and costs

  

 

2,720

 

  

 

2,994

 

Allowance for credit losses

  

 

(2,827

)

  

 

(3,036

)

    


  


Carrying value

  

$

136,593

 

  

$

149,876

 

    


  


Carrying value as a percent of principal

  

 

99.92

%

  

 

99.97

%

    


  


Held-for-sale:

                 

Outstanding principal

  

$

680,165

 

  

$

972,360

 

Deferred broker premium and costs

  

 

9,113

 

  

 

11,273

 

    


  


Carrying value

  

$

689,278

 

  

$

983,633

 

    


  


Carrying value as a percent of principal

  

 

101.34

%

  

 

101.16

%

    


  


 

 

Table 4—Mortgage Credit Analysis – Held-in-Portfolio Loans

(dollars in thousands)


 

                       

Defaults as Percent of Current Principal


    

Original Balance


  

Current Principal


    

Weighted Average delinquency


    

60-89 days


  

90 days and greater


    

Foreclosure

and REO


  

Total


March 31, 2003

  

$

1,115,760

  

$

136,700

    

15.4

%

  

0.9

  

1.5

    

10.1

  

12.5

    

  

    

  
  
    
  

December 31, 2002

  

$

1,115,760

  

$

149,918

    

14.9

%

  

1.9

  

2.0

    

7.9

  

11.8

    

  

    

  
  
    
  

 

 

Table 5—Loss Analysis – Held-in-Portfolio Loans

(dollars in thousands)


             

Loans Repurchased From Trusts


        
      

Cumulative Losses as Reported, as a Percent of Original Principal


    

Cumulative

Loss Amount


  

Loss as a % of Original Principal


    

Total Losses


 

March 31, 2003

    

2.75

%

  

$

20,912

  

1.87

%

  

4.62

%

      

  

  

  

December 31, 2002

    

2.70

%

  

$

20,194

  

1.81

%

  

4.51

%

      

  

  

  

 

 

Table 6—Mortgage Loan Coupon and Prepayment Analysis

(dollars in thousands)


 

                                          

Constant Prepayment Rate

(Annual Percent)


    

Original

Principal


  

Current

Principal


  

Premium


    

Percent with

Prepayment

Penalty


    

Coupon


      

Remaining Prepayment Penalty

Period (in years) for Loans with Penalty


  

Three-

Month


  

Twelve-

Month


  

Life


March 31, 2003:

Held-in-portfolio (A)

  

$

1,115,760

  

$

136,700

  

$

2,720

    

10

%

  

10.0

%

    

0.02

  

29

  

33

  

33

    

  

  

    

  

    
  
  
  

Held-for-sale

         

$

680,165

  

$

9,113

    

80

%

  

7.5

%

    

2.34

  

Not meaningful

           

  

    

  

    
              

December 31, 2002:

Held-in-portfolio (A)

  

$

1,115,760

  

$

149,918

  

$

2,994

    

18

%

  

10.0

%

    

0.06

  

32

  

34

  

33

    

  

  

    

  

    
  
  
  

Held-for-sale

         

$

972,360

  

$

11,273

    

81

%

  

8.0

%

    

2.25

  

Not meaningful

           

  

    

  

    
              

(A)   Serving as collateral for NovaStar Home Equity Series asset backed bonds.

 

16


Table of Contents

 

Mortgage Securities—Available-for-Sale. Since 1998, we have pooled the majority of the loans we have originated to serve as collateral for asset-backed bonds that are treated as sales for accounting and tax purposes. In these transactions, the loans are removed from our balance sheet. However, we retained excess interest securities, prepayment penalty securities and subordinated principal securities. Additionally, we service the loans sold in these securitizations (see Mortgage Servicing Rights under the header “Financial Condition as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002”). As of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002, the fair value of mortgage securities was $242.1 million and $178.9 million, respectively. During the first three months of 2003, we executed a securitization totaling $1.1 billion in mortgage loans and retained mortgage securities with a value of $68.7 million.

 

During the period before loans are transferred in a securitization transaction, as discussed under “Net Interest Income”, “Interest Rate/Market Risk” and “Hedging”, we enter into interest rate swap or cap agreements to reduce interest rate risk. We use interest rate cap and swap contracts to mitigate the risk of the cost of variable rate liabilities increasing at a faster rate than the earnings on assets during a period of rising rates. In recent securitization transactions, we have not only transferred loans to the trust, but we have also transferred interest rate agreements to the trust with the objective of reducing interest rate risk within the trust. The trust assumes the interest rate agreements and, therefore, the trust assumes the obligation to make payments and obtains the right to receive payments under these agreements. Ultimately, the cash flows we receive on our interest-only securities are less volatile as interest rates change.

 

The value of our securities represents the present value of the securities’ cash flows that we expect to receive over their lives, considering estimated prepayment speeds and credit losses of the underlying loans, discounted at an appropriate risk-adjusted market rate of return. The cash flows are realized over the life of the loan collateral as cash distributions are received from the trust that owns the collateral.

 

In estimating the fair value of our mortgage securities, management must make assumptions regarding the future performance and cash flow of the mortgage loans collateralizing the securities. These estimates are based on management’s judgments about the nature of the loans. Table 7 summarizes our mortgage securities, the underlying collateral and the senior asset-backed bonds. This table provides the current gross coupon on the mortgage loan collateral and the weighted average bond interest. The cash flow we receive on our mortgage securities will be the net of the gross coupon and the bond cost less administrative costs (servicing and trustee fees) and the cost of mortgage insurance. Additionally, the trust is a party to interest rate agreements. Our cash flow will include (exclude) payments from (to) the interest rate agreement counterparty. Table 8 provides a summary of the critical assumptions used in estimating the cash flows of the collateral and the resulting estimated fair value of the mortgage securities.

 

During the past two years, interest expense on asset-backed bonds has been unexpectedly low. As a result, the spread between the coupon interest and the bond cost has been unusually high. As a result, our cost basis in many of our mortgage securities has been significantly reduced. For example, our cost basis in NMFT Series 2001-1 has been reduced to $1,000 as of March 31, 2003 (see Table 8). When our cost basis in the retained securities (interest only, prepayment penalty and subordinated securities) reaches zero, the remaining future cash flows received on the securities will be recognized entirely as income.

 

The performance of the loans serving as collateral for our mortgage securities is critical to the return our mortgage securities will generate and their valuation. Credit quality and prepayment experience characteristics of the loan collateral, among others, are important to properly analyze the performance of our mortgage securities. We have presented characteristics of the loans collateralizing our mortgage securities in Tables 9 through 13.

 

The operating performance of our mortgage securities portfolio, including net interest income and effects of hedging are discussed under “Results of Operations” and “Interest Rate/Market Risk.”

 

17


Table of Contents

Table 7—Mortgage Securities

(dollars in thousands)


 

         

Asset-Backed Bonds


    

Mortgage Loans


                          

Weighted Average


    

Estimated Fair Value of Mortgage Securities


  

Remaining Principal


  

Interest Rate


    

Remaining Principal


  

Coupon


      

Estimated Months to Call


March 31, 2003:

                                         

NMFT 1999-1

                                         

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

$

5,209

  

$

32,765

  

4.61

%

  

$

39,731

  

9.8

%

    

17

NMFT 2000-1

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

3,500

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

513

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

1,492

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

5,505

  

 

67,544

  

1.81

 

  

 

70,568

  

10.2

 

    

16

NMFT 2000-2

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

5,939

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

789

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

2,446

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

9,174

  

 

108,798

  

1.76

 

  

 

113,975

  

10.5

 

    

17

NMFT 2001-1

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

11,431

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

1,454

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

1,918

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

14,803

  

 

211,215

  

1.70

 

  

 

217,146

  

10.3

 

    

23

NMFT 2001-2

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

30,364

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

5,230

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

3,440

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

39,034

  

 

519,519

  

1.65

 

  

 

531,913

  

9.7

 

    

32

NMFT 2002-1

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

19,558

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

3,832

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

4,613

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

28,003

  

 

392,849

  

1.67

 

  

 

405,687

  

8.8

 

    

53

NMFT 2002-2

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

15,188

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

2,257

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

2,923

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

20,368

  

 

270,994

  

1.65

 

  

 

279,641

  

8.8

 

    

67

NMFT 2002-3

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

37,547

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

4,051

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

3,734

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

45,332

  

 

703,942

  

1.68

 

  

 

717,548

  

8.0

 

    

86

NMFT 2003-1 (A)

                                         

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

64,170

                                  

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

5,248

                                  

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

5,231

                                  
    

                                  
    

 

74,649

  

 

1,245,208

  

1.85

 

  

 

1,074,390

  

7.6

 

    

96

Total

  

$

242,077

  

$

3,552,834

         

$

3,450,599

             
    

  

         

             

(A)   See Note 3 for discussion related to the loans collateralized.

 

18


Table of Contents
         

Asset-Backed Bonds


    

Mortgage Loans


                          

Weighted Average


    

Estimated Fair Value of Mortgage Securities


  

Remaining Principal


  

Interest Rate


    

Remaining Principal


  

Coupon


    

Estimated Months to Call


December 31, 2002:

                                       

NMFT 1999-1

                                       

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

$

4,250

  

$

35,955

  

4.66

%

  

$

42,724

  

9.9

%

  

—  

NMFT 2000-1

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

4,073

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

643

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

1,340

                                
    

                                
    

 

6,056

  

 

78,408

  

1.90

 

  

 

81,474

  

10.2

 

  

18

NMFT 2000-2

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

6,686

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

999

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

2,421

                                
    

                                
    

 

10,106

  

 

129,889

  

1.84

 

  

 

135,173

  

10.5

 

  

17

NMFT 2001-1

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

12,029

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

2,117

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

2,210

                                
    

                                
    

 

16,356

  

 

249,002

  

1.80

 

  

 

255,049

  

10.3

 

  

19

NMFT 2001-2

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

31,101

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

6,062

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

3,973

                                
    

                                
    

 

41,136

  

 

581,561

  

1.75

 

  

 

593,630

  

9.6

 

  

27

NMFT 2002-1

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

21,231

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

3,544

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

4,756

                                
    

                                
    

 

29,531

  

 

430,599

  

1.78

 

  

 

443,853

  

8.8

 

  

53

NMFT 2002-2

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

17,591

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

2,226

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

3,082

                                
    

                                
    

 

22,899

  

 

287,307

  

1.76

 

  

 

295,964

  

8.8

 

  

73

NMFT 2002-3

                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

 

40,676

                                

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

3,919

                                

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

3,950

                                
    

                                
    

 

48,545

  

 

724,929

  

1.77

 

  

 

738,626

  

8.0

 

  

91

Total

  

$

178,879

  

$

2,517,650

         

$

2,586,493

           
    

  

         

           

 

 

19


Table of Contents

Table 8—Characteristics of Loan Collateral, Valuation of Individual Mortgage Securities

and Assumptions (dollars in thousands)


 

    

March 31, 2003:


    

1999-1


    

2000-1


  

2000-2


  

2001-1


  

2001-2


  

2002-1


  

2002-2


  

2002-3


  

2003-1


  

Total


NovaStar Mortgage Funding Trust Series:

                                                                       

Discount rate (%)

  

 

25

 

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

      

Constant prepayment rate (%)

  

 

44

 

  

 

54

  

 

54

  

 

56

  

 

49

  

 

37

  

 

32

  

 

25

  

 

22

      

As a percent of mortgage loan principal (%):

                                                                       

Delinquent loans (30 days and greater)

  

 

10.9

 

  

 

5.4

  

 

3.0

  

 

4.8

  

 

3.4

  

 

1.9

  

 

1.3

  

 

0.4

  

 

0.2

      

Loans in foreclosure

  

 

5.4

 

  

 

4.4

  

 

4.5

  

 

3.8

  

 

3.2

  

 

2.0

  

 

1.3

  

 

0.6

  

 

0.2

      

Real estate owned

  

 

3.8

 

  

 

5.2

  

 

2.8

  

 

3.4

  

 

1.7

  

 

0.6

  

 

0.6

  

 

0.1

  

 

—  

      

Total losses

  

 

3.0

 

  

 

0.4

  

 

0.3

  

 

0.2

  

 

0.1

  

 

—  

  

 

—  

  

 

—  

  

 

—  

      

Cost basis of individual mortgage securities:

                                                                       

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

$

—  

 

  

$

626

  

$

311

  

$

1

  

$

8,019

  

$

11,907

  

$

11,716

  

$

28,300

  

$

59,278

  

$

120,158

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

185

  

 

88

  

 

—  

  

 

1,381

  

 

2,333

  

 

1,741

  

 

3,053

  

 

3,934

  

 

12,715

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

5,864

 

  

 

306

  

 

811

  

 

—  

  

 

909

  

 

2,809

  

 

2,255

  

 

2,814

  

 

3,922

  

 

19,690

Unrealized gain (loss)

  

 

(655

)

  

 

4,388

  

 

7,964

  

 

14,802

  

 

28,725

  

 

10,954

  

 

4,656

  

 

11,165

  

 

7,515

  

 

89,514

    


  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

Fair value (carrying value)

  

$

5,209

 

  

$

5,505

  

$

9,174

  

$

14,803

  

$

39,034

  

$

28,003

  

$

20,368

  

$

45,332

  

$

74,649

  

$

242,077

    


  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

 

    

December 31, 2002:


    

1999-1


    

2000-1


  

2000-2


  

2001-1


  

2001-2


  

2002-1


  

2002-2


  

2002-3


  

Total


NovaStar Mortgage Funding Trust Series:

                                                                

Discount rate (%)

  

 

25

 

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

  

 

25

      

Constant prepayment rate (%)

  

 

38

 

  

 

53

  

 

57

  

 

59

  

 

53

  

 

38

  

 

29

  

 

24

      

As a percent of mortgage loan principal (%):

                                                                

Delinquent loans (30 days and greater)

  

 

10.2

 

  

 

5.3

  

 

3.5

  

 

4.4

  

 

4.2

  

 

2.0

  

 

1.0

  

 

0.2

      

Loans in foreclosure

  

 

5.5

 

  

 

5.0

  

 

2.9

  

 

2.7

  

 

1.8

  

 

1.1

  

 

1.0

  

 

0.2

      

Real estate owned

  

 

5.5

 

  

 

4.5

  

 

2.4

  

 

2.4

  

 

1.5

  

 

0.2

  

 

0.1

  

 

—  

      

Total losses

  

 

3.3

 

  

 

0.4

  

 

0.3

  

 

0.1

  

 

0.1

  

 

—  

  

 

—  

  

 

—  

      

Cost basis of individual mortgage securities:

                                                                

Interest only (AAA-rated)

  

$

—  

 

  

$

984

  

$

1,355

  

$

1,766

  

$

10,295

  

$

14,925

  

$

13,941

  

$

31,729

  

$

74,995

Prepayment penalty (AAA-rated)

  

 

—  

 

  

 

273

  

 

379

  

 

311

  

 

2,007

  

 

2,491

  

 

1,764

  

 

3,057

  

 

10,282

Subordinated securities (non-investment grade)

  

 

5,791

 

  

 

299

  

 

792

  

 

324

  

 

1,315

  

 

3,343

  

 

2,443

  

 

3,081

  

 

17,388

Unrealized gain (loss)

  

 

(1,541

)

  

 

4,500

  

 

7,580

  

 

13,955

  

 

27,519

  

 

8,772

  

 

4,751

  

 

10,678

  

 

76,214

    


  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

Fair value (carrying value)

  

$

4,250

 

  

$

6,056

  

$

10,106

  

$

16,356

  

$

41,136

  

$

29,531

  

$

22,899

  

$

48,545

  

$

178,879

    


  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

 

 

20


Table of Contents

 

Table 9—Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities by Credit Grade

(dollars in thousands)


 

                 

March 31, 2003


    

December 31, 2002


 

Credit

Grade


 

Allowed

Mortgage

Lates (A)


    

Maximum Loan-

to-value


    

Current

Principal


  

Weighted

Average

Coupon


      

Weighted

Average

Loan-to-Value


    

Current

Principal


  

Weighted

Average

Coupon


      

Weighted

Average

Loan-to-Value


 

Alt A

 

0 x 30

    

97

(B)

  

$

535,251

  

7.4

%

    

79.5

%

  

$

246,980

  

7.9

%

    

83.2

%

AAA

 

0 x 30

    

97

(B)

  

 

354,031

  

8.6

 

    

80.1

 

  

 

391,219

  

8.7

 

    

80.6

 

AA

 

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

 

509,265

  

9.3

 

    

82.5

 

  

 

547,795

  

9.3

 

    

82.4

 

A+

 

0 x 30

    

95

 

  

 

635,054

  

7.7

 

    

78.4

 

  

 

231,568

  

7.7

 

    

80.8

 

A

 

1 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

485,963

  

9.0

 

    

79.3

 

  

 

401,496

  

9.4

 

    

79.6

 

A-

 

2 x 30

    

90

 

  

 

250,664

  

9.1

 

    

78.6

 

  

 

205,000

  

9.5

 

    

78.6

 

B

 

3 x 30, 1 x 60, 5 x 30, 2 x 60

    

85

 

  

 

213,106

  

9.3

 

    

75.2

 

  

 

163,387

  

9.6

 

    

75.3

 

C

 

1 x 90

    

75

 

  

 

22,866

  

10.5

 

    

66.4

 

  

 

19,388

  

10.7

 

    

66.0

 

D

 

6 x 30, 3 x 60, 2 x 90

    

65

 

  

 

445

  

11.7

 

    

64.3

 

  

 

620

  

11.8

 

    

64.0

 

Other

 

Varies

    

97

 

  

 

443,954

  

9.4

 

    

88.3

 

  

 

379,040

  

9.8

 

    

89.3

 

                 

                  

               
                 

$

3,450,599

  

8.6

%

    

80.5

%

  

$

2,586,493

  

9.1

%

    

81.8

%

                 

  

    

  

  

    


(A)   Represents the number of times a prospective borrower is allowed to be late more than 30, 60 or 90 days. For instance, a 3x30, 1x60 category would afford the prospective borrower to be more than 30 days late on three separate occasions and 60 days late no more than one time.
(B)   97% on fixed-rate purchases; all other maximum of 95%.

 

Table 10—Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities by Geographic Concentration

Percent of Current Principal


 

      

March 31,
2003


      

December 31,
2002


 

Collateral Location

                 

California

    

22

%

    

19

%

Florida

    

14

 

    

14

 

Michigan

    

5

 

    

6

 

Ohio

    

5

 

    

5

 

All other states

    

54

 

    

56

 

      

    

Total

    

100

%

    

100

%

      

    

 

 

21


Table of Contents

 

Table 11—Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities

Carrying Value of Loans by Product/Type (in thousands)


 

    

March 31, 2003


  

December 31, 2002


Product/Type

             

Two and three-year fixed

  

$

2,360,042

  

$

1,866,435

Six-month LIBOR and one-year CMT

  

 

6,062

  

 

1,167

30/15-year fixed and balloon

  

 

1,084,495

  

 

718,891

    

  

Outstanding principal

  

$

3,450,599

  

$

2,586,493

    

  

Fair value of retained mortgage securities

  

$

242,077

  

$

178,879

    

  

 

Table 12—Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities

Mortgage Loan Coupon and Prepayment Penalties (dollars in thousands)


 

                                          

Constant Prepayment Rate (Annual Percent)


NovaStar Mortgage

Funding

Trust Series:


  

Issue Date


  

Original Principal


  

Current Principal


    

Percent with Prepayment Penalty


    

Coupon


      

Remaining Prepayment Penalty Period (in years) for Loans with Penalty


  

Three-

Month


  

Twelve-

Month


  

Life


March 31, 2003:

                                                   

1999-1

  

January 29, 1999

  

$

164,995

  

$

39,731

    

39

%

  

9.8

%

    

0.20

  

17

  

29

  

28

2000-1

  

March 31, 2000

  

 

230,138

  

 

70,568

    

53

 

  

10.2

 

    

0.85

  

39

  

46

  

31

2000-2

  

September 28, 2000

  

 

339,688

  

 

113,975

    

57

 

  

10.5

 

    

0.87

  

53

  

51

  

34

2001-1

  

March 31, 2001

  

 

415,067

  

 

217,146

    

45

 

  

10.3

 

    

0.88

  

42

  

35

  

25

2001-2

  

September 25, 2001

  

 

800,033

  

 

531,913

    

90

 

  

9.7

 

    

1.17

  

34

  

28

  

21

2002-1

  

March 28, 2002

  

 

499,998

  

 

405,687

    

89

 

  

8.8

 

    

1.67

  

27

  

16

  

16

2002-2

  

June 28, 2002

  

 

310,000

  

 

279,641

    

88

 

  

8.8

 

    

1.77

  

16

  

—  

  

10

2002-3

  

September 27, 2002

  

 

750,003

  

 

717,548

    

83

 

  

8.0

 

    

1.86

  

9

  

—  

  

6

2003-1

  

February 27, 2003

  

 

1,084,906

  

 

1,074,390

    

81

 

  

7.6

 

    

2.16

  

—  

  

—  

  

—  

         

  

                                     

Total

       

$

4,594,828

  

$

3,450,599

    

80

%

  

8.6

%

    

1.68

              
         

  

    

  

    
              

December 31, 2002:

                                                   

1999-1

  

January 29, 1999

  

$

164,995

  

$

42,724

    

39

%

  

9.9

%

    

0.30

  

24

  

31

  

28

2000-1

  

March 31, 2000

  

 

230,138

  

 

81,474

    

65

 

  

10.2

 

    

0.98

  

40

  

45

  

30

2000-2

  

September 28, 2000

  

 

339,688

  

 

135,173

    

55

 

  

10.5

 

    

0.95

  

58

  

48

  

32

2001-1

  

March 31, 2001

  

 

415,067

  

 

255,049

    

75

 

  

10.3

 

    

1.02

  

36

  

31

  

23

2001-2

  

September 25, 2001

  

 

800,033

  

 

593,630

    

90

 

  

9.6

 

    

1.39

  

36

  

24

  

20

2002-1

  

March 28, 2002

  

 

499,998

  

 

443,853

    

88

 

  

8.8

 

    

1.88

  

19

  

—  

  

13

2002-2

  

June 28, 2002

  

 

310,000

  

 

295,964

    

87

 

  

8.8

 

    

1.97

  

11

  

—  

  

7

2002-3

  

September 27, 2002

  

 

750,003

  

 

738,626

    

82

 

  

8.0

 

    

2.05

  

—  

  

—  

  

—  

         

  

                                     

Total

       

$

3,509,922

  

$

2,586,493

    

82

%

  

9.1

%

    

1.64

              
         

  

    

  

    
              

 

 

22


Table of Contents

 

Table 13—Loans Collateralizing Mortgage Securities

Mortgage Credit Analysis (dollars in thousands)


 

                       

Defaults as Percent

of Current Principal


    

Original Balance


  

Current Principal


    

Weighted Average Loan-

to-Value Ratio


    

60-89 days


  

90 days and greater


    

Foreclosure

and REO


  

Total


March 31, 2003:

NMFT 1999-1

  

$

164,995

  

$

39,731

    

81.5

%

  

1.3

  

3.2

    

8.2

  

12.7

NMFT 2000-1

  

 

230,138

  

 

70,568

    

81.5

 

  

1.0

  

0.8

    

8.0

  

9.8

NMFT 2000-2

  

 

339,688

  

 

113,975

    

83.8

 

  

2.1

  

1.1

    

10.3

  

13.5

NMFT 2001-1

  

 

415,067

  

 

217,146

    

83.9

 

  

1.1

  

1.1

    

7.9

  

10.1

NMFT 2001-2

  

 

800,033

  

 

531,913

    

82.8

 

  

0.6

  

0.5

    

4.4

  

5.5

NMFT 2002-1

  

 

499,998

  

 

405,687

    

81.4

 

  

0.4

  

0.3

    

2.4

  

3.1

NMFT 2002-2

  

 

310,000

  

 

279,641

    

81.1

 

  

0.2

  

0.3

    

1.9

  

2.4

NMFT 2002-3

  

 

750,003

  

 

717,548

    

80.6

 

  

0.2

  

0.1

    

0.7

  

1.0

NMFT 2003-1

  

 

1,084,906

  

 

1,074,390

    

77.8

 

  

0.1

  

—  

    

0.1

  

0.2

    

  

                              

Total

  

$

4,594,828

  

$

3,450,599

    

80.5

%

                     
    

  

    

                     

December 31, 2002:

                                            

NMFT 1999-1

  

$

164,995

  

$

42,724

    

81.4

%

  

2.0

  

1.6

    

10.8

  

14.4

NMFT 2000-1

  

 

230,138

  

 

81,474

    

81.3

 

  

1.9

  

0.7

    

8.8

  

11.4

NMFT 2000-2

  

 

339,688

  

 

135,173

    

83.7

 

  

1.5

  

1.0

    

8.7

  

11.2

NMFT 2001-1

  

 

415,067

  

 

255,049

    

83.8

 

  

1.4

  

1.1

    

6.9

  

9.4

NMFT 2001-2

  

 

800,033

  

 

593,630

    

82.8

 

  

1.0

  

0.5

    

3.6

  

5.1

NMFT 2002-1

  

 

499,998

  

 

443,853

    

81.3

 

  

0.5

  

0.2

    

1.5

  

2.2

NMFT 2002-2

  

 

310,000

  

 

295,964

    

81.0

 

  

0.5

  

0.1

    

1.0

  

1.6

NMFT 2002-3

  

 

750,003

  

 

738,626

    

80.6

 

  

0.1

  

0.1

    

0.1

  

0.3

    

  

                              

Total

  

$

3,509,922

  

$

2,586,493

    

81.8

%

                     
    

  

    

                     

 

Corporate Advances to Borrowers. Advances on behalf of borrowers for taxes, insurance and other customer service functions are made by NovaStar Mortgage, Inc. and aggregated $12.7 million as of March 31, 2003 compared with $11.9 million as of December 31, 2002. These balances will generally increase as our assets and loan servicing balances increase.

 

Mortgage Servicing Rights. As discussed under Mortgage Securities – Available for Sale, we retain the right to service mortgage loans we originate and have securitized. Servicing rights for loans we sell to third parties are not retained and we have not purchased the right to service loans. As of March 31, 2003, we have $10.5 million in capitalized mortgage servicing rights compared with $7.9 million as of December 31, 2002. The value of the mortgage servicing rights we retained in our securitization during the first three months of 2003 was $4.3 million. Amortization of mortgage servicing rights was $1.7 million and $1.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively.

 

Assets Acquired through Foreclosure. As of March 31, 2003, we had 76 properties in real estate owned with a carrying value of $6.0 million compared to 69 properties with a carrying value of $5.9 million as of December 31, 2002. Losses or gains from the ultimate disposition of real estate owned are charged or credited to operating income and are detailed under the heading “Gains on Sales of Mortgage Assets and Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments”.

 

Other Assets. Included in other assets is collateral required under the terms of our derivative instrument contracts and other miscellaneous assets. Deposits with our derivative counterparties were $20.2 million as of March 31, 2003 compared with $30.3 million as of December 31, 2002. The value of the interest rate swaps offset the deposits by $12.0 million and $18.2 million as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively. These balances will generally decrease as interest rates rise and increase when interest rates fall. Also included in other assets at March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002 are fixed assets, net of accumulated depreciation of $8.7 million and $5.4 million, respectively. Fixed assets have increased primarily due to purchases of furniture, fixtures and office equipment related to the growth in the number of our employees.

 

Asset-backed Bonds. During 1997 and 1998, we completed the securitization of loans in transactions that were structured as financing arrangements for accounting purposes. These non-recourse financing

 

23


Table of Contents

arrangements match the loans with the financing arrangement for long periods of time, as compared to lines of credit and repurchase agreements that mature frequently with interest rates that reset frequently and have liquidity risk in the form of margin calls. Under the terms of our asset-backed bonds we are entitled to repurchase the mortgage loan collateral and repay the remaining bond obligations when the aggregate collateral principal balance falls below 35% of their original balance for the loans in NHES 97-01 and 25% for the loans in NHES 97-02, 98-01 and 98-02. We have not exercised our right to repurchase any loans and repay bond obligations.

 

On November 5, 2002, we resecuritized AAA-rated interest-only and prepayment penalty securities and issued NovaStar CAPS Certificate Series 2002-C1 in the amount of $68 million. The resecuritization was structured as a secured borrowing for financial reporting and income tax purposes. In accordance with SFAS No. 140, control over the transferred assets was not surrendered and thus the transaction was considered financing for the mortgage securities.

 

Details for all asset-backed bonds, and the related collateral that we have issued are presented below.

 

Table 14—Asset-backed Bonds

(in thousands)


 

    

Asset-backed Bonds


    

Mortgage Loans


 
    

Remaining Principal


    

Interest Rate


    

Remaining

Principal

(A)


    

Weighted

Average Coupon


      

Estimated
Weighted
Average
Months to Call


 

As of March 31, 2003:

                                        

NovaStar Home Equity Series:

                                        

Collateralizing Mortgage Loans:

                                        

Issue 1997-1

  

$

14,900

 

  

1.81

%

  

$

16,514

 

  

10.2

%

    

 

Issue 1997-2

  

 

19,030

 

  

1.81

 

  

 

20,960

 

  

10.5

 

    

 

Issue 1998-1

  

 

35,889

 

  

1.71

 

  

 

41,017

 

  

10.0

 

    

 

Issue 1998-2

  

 

60,390

 

  

1.72

 

  

 

63,748

 

  

9.9

 

    

 

Collateralizing Mortgage Securities:

                                        

Issue 2002-C1

  

 

42,162

 

  

7.15

(B)

  

 

(B

)

  

(B

)

    

(B

)

Unamortized debt issuance costs, net

  

 

(830

)

                               
    


      
    

$

171,541

 

                               
    


      

As of December 31, 2002:

                                        

NovaStar Home Equity Series:

                                        

Collateralizing Mortgage Loans:

                                        

Issue 1997-1

  

$

17,147

 

  

1.88

%

  

$

19,076

 

  

10.3

%

    

 

Issue 1997-2

  

 

20,714

 

  

1.88

 

  

 

22,812

 

  

10.5

 

    

 

Issue 1998-1

  

 

39,692

 

  

1.82

 

  

 

44,363

 

  

10.0

 

    

 

Issue 1998-2

  

 

65,906

 

  

1.63

 

  

 

69,432

 

  

9.8

 

    

 

Collateralizing Mortgage Securities:

                                        

Issue 2002-C1

  

 

57,219

 

  

7.15

(B)

  

 

(B

)

  

(B

)

    

(B

)

Unamortized debt issuance costs, net

  

 

(986

)

                               
    


      
    

$

199,692

 

                               
    


      

(A)   Includes assets acquired through foreclosure.
(B)   Collateral for the 2002-C1 asset backed bond is the AAA-IO and prepayment penalty mortgage securities of NMFT 2001-1 and NMFT 2001-2 (see tables 7, 8, 12 and 13).

 

Short-term Financing Arrangements. Mortgage loan originations are funded with various financing facilities prior to securitization. Loans originated are funded initially through one of three committed warehouse lines of credit. Repurchase agreements are used as interim, short-term financing before loans are transferred in our securitization transactions. The balances outstanding under our short-term arrangements fluctuate based on lending volume, cash flow from operating, investing and other financing activities and

 

24


Table of Contents

equity transactions. Amounts outstanding and available for borrowing as of March 31, 2003 are listed in Table 15.

 

Table 15—Short-term Financing Resources

(in thousands)


    

Credit

Limit


  

Lending

Value of

Collateral


  

Borrowings


  

Availability


Unrestricted cash

                       

$

67,695

Lines of credit and mortgage and securities repurchase facilities

  

$

1,625,000

  

$

791,348

  

$

787,457

  

$

3,891

    

  

  

  

Total

  

$

1,625,000

  

$

791,348

  

$

787,457

  

$

71,586

    

  

  

  

 

Stockholders’ Equity. The increase in our stockholders’ equity as of March 31, 2003 compared to December 31, 2002 is a result of the following:

 

  ·   $22.3 million increase due to net income recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2003.

 

  ·   $13.2 million increase due to increase in unrealized gains on mortgage securities classified as available-for-sale.

 

  ·   $1.0 million decrease due to increase in unrealized losses on derivative instruments used in cash flow hedges.

 

  ·   $2.7 million increase due to net settlements on cash flow hedges reclassified to earnings.

 

  ·   $0.2 million increase due to exercise of stock options.

 

  ·   $27.1 million decrease due to dividends on common stock.

 

  ·   $1.0 million increase due to compensation recognized under stock option plan.

 

Mortgage Loan Production

 

The volume and cost of our loan production is critical to our financial results. The loans we produce serve as collateral for our mortgage securities and have generated gains as they are sold or securitized. The cost of our production is also critical to our financial results as it is a significant factor in the gains we recognize.

Our non-conforming loans are originated through a network of mortgage brokers throughout the United States. Approximately 3,700 brokers are active customers and approximately 11,900 are approved. Loans are underwritten and funded in centralized facilities. We increased our sales force from 249 on January 1, 2003 to 259 on March 31, 2003. Our sales force operates in 42 states, which allows us to mitigate the risk of geographical concentrations of credit risk.

The following tables summarize our loan production. The gains we have recognized are discussed under “Results of Operations”. Additionally, we discuss our cost of production under “General and Administrative Expenses” under “Results of Operations”.

 

 

25


Table of Contents

Table 16—Non-conforming Loan Originations

(dollars in thousands, except for average loan balance)


    

Number


  

Principal


  

Average

Loan

Balance


  

Price Paid to

Broker


    

Weighted Average


      

Percent with

Prepayment

Penalty


 
                

Loan to

Value


    

Credit

Rating (A)


  

Coupon


      

2003:

                                                     

First quarter

  

6,426

  

$

912,599

  

$

142,017

  

101.3

%

  

78

%

  

5.73

  

7.5

%

    

80

%

    
  

  

  

  

  
  

    

2002:

                                                     

Fourth quarter

  

6,597

  

$

950,018

  

$

144,008

  

101.3

%

  

78

%

  

5.68

  

7.6

%

    

78

%

Third quarter

  

4,271

  

 

570,138

  

 

133,490

  

101.2

 

  

80

 

  

5.50

  

8.4

 

    

81

 

Second quarter

  

3,983

  

 

500,617

  

 

125,688

  

101.0

 

  

80

 

  

5.56

  

9.1

 

    

81

 

First quarter

  

3,602

  

 

471,994

  

 

131,037

  

101.0

 

  

80

 

  

5.45

  

9.0

 

    

84

 

    
  

                                         

Total

  

18,453

  

$

2,492,767

  

$

135,087

  

101.1

%

  

79

%

  

5.57

  

8.3

%

    

80

%

    
  

  

  

  

  
  

    


(A)   AAA=7, AA=6, A=5, A-=4, B=3, C=2, D=1

 

 

Table 17—Quarterly Mortgage Loan Originations by State (based on original principal)


    

2003


    

2002


 
    

First


    

Fourth


    

Third


    

Second


    

First


 

Collateral Location

                                  

California

  

29

%

  

29

%

  

22

%

  

22

%

  

22

%

Florida

  

15

 

  

14

 

  

14

 

  

12

 

  

12

 

Ohio

  

4

 

  

4

 

  

4

 

  

5

 

  

4

 

Michigan

  

3

 

  

4

 

  

4

 

  

5

 

  

5

 

Colorado

  

3

 

  

4

 

  

4

 

  

4

 

  

5

 

All other states

  

46

 

  

45

 

  

52

 

  

52

 

  

52

 

 

 

Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2003 Compared with the Three Months Ended March 31, 2002

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2003, we earned net income of $22.3 million, $2.07 per diluted share, compared with net income of $8.9 million, $0.80 per diluted share for the same period of 2002.

 

Our primary sources of revenue are interest earned on our mortgage loan and securities portfolios, fees from borrowers and gains on the sales and securitizations of mortgage loans. Earnings increased during 2003 as compared to 2002 due primarily to higher volume of average mortgage securities held and increased accrual rates on our mortgage securities portfolio due to better cash flow performance as a result of the widening spread between the coupon rates on the mortgage loan collateral and the floating rate bond liability rates. The effect of the higher volume and increasing yield on our mortgage securities is displayed in Table 18.

 

 

Net Interest Income

 

The mortgage loans we originate and own have relatively high coupons and generally, in the aggregate, the coupon is not volatile. As a result, the average yield on our loans has been fairly consistent. Rates on our financing arrangements adjust monthly, primarily indexed to one-month LIBOR. As a result, the cost of financing increases and decreases with short-term market conditions. Interest income on mortgage loans in the future will depend on the volume of loans we own. The net margin on our loans will depend on the coupons on the loans and short-term borrowing rates, which are a function of market demand and economic conditions.

 

Our securities primarily represent our ownership in the net cash flows of underlying mortgage loan collateral in excess of bond expenses and cost of funding. The cost of funding is indexed to one-month LIBOR. As one-month LIBOR decreased dramatically over the past two years, the net cash flows we have received has increased correspondingly. Therefore, our yield (rate of accrual) on these securities has increased. We experienced average income on our securities of 44.0% and 36.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively, to reflect the increase in cash flow. If rates continue to remain low, we anticipate the cash flow to continue to be high on our securities and further increases in

 

26


Table of Contents

income may be generated. However, future interest income will be largely dependent on economic conditions.

 

Additionally, as discussed under Financial Condition – Mortgage Securities – Available-for-Sale, the trust that issues our interest-only securities owns interest rate agreements. These agreements reduce interest rate risk within the trust and, as a result, the cash flows we receive on our interest-only securities are less volatile as interest rates change. We also expect to increase the amount of mortgage securities we own as we securitize the mortgage loans we originate.

 

Table 18 is a summary of the interest income and expense related to our mortgage securities and the related yields as a percentage of the fair market value of these securities for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002.

 

 

Table 18—Mortgage Securities Interest Analysis

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Average fair market value of mortgage securities

  

$

166,349

 

  

$

76,921

 

Average borrowings

  

 

165,748

 

  

 

62,000

 

                   

Interest income

  

 

18,318

 

  

 

7,018

 

Interest expense

  

 

1,743

 

  

 

377

 

    


  


Net interest income

  

$

16,575

 

  

$

6,641

 

    


  


Yields:

                 

Interest income

  

 

44.0

%

  

 

36.5

%

Interest expense

  

 

4.2

 

  

 

2.4

 

    


  


Net interest spread

  

 

39.8

%

  

 

34.1

%

    


  


Net Yield

  

 

39.9

%

  

 

34.5

%

    


  


 

All of NovaStar’s portfolio income comes from mortgage loans either directly (mortgage loans held-in-portfolio) or indirectly (mortgage securities). Table 19 attempts to look through the balance sheet presentation of the Company’s portfolio income and present income as a percentage of average assets under management. This metric allows the Company to be more easily compared to other finance companies or financial institutions that use on balance sheet portfolio accounting, where return on assets is a common performance calculation.

 

The net income for mortgage loans held-in-portfolio and mortgage securities reflect the income after interest expense, hedging, servicing and credit expense (mortgage insurance and provision to loss reserve). Table 19 shows the net yield in both assets under management and the return on assets during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002.

 

27


Table of Contents

Table 19—Loans Under Management Net Interest Income Analysis

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

Mortgage

Loans Held-in-Portfolio


    

Mortgage Securities


    

Total


 

For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2003

                          

Net interest income

  

$

273

 

  

$

16,575

 

  

$

16,848

 

Average balance of the underlying loans

  

$

136,912

 

  

$

2,782,291

 

  

$

2,919,203

 

Net interest yield on assets

  

 

0.80

%

  

 

2.38

%

  

 

2.31

%

    


  


  


For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2002

                          

Net interest income

  

$

867

 

  

$

6,641

 

  

$

7,508

 

Average balance of the underlying loans

  

$

198,078

 

  

$

1,680,494

 

  

$

1,878,572

 

Net interest yield on assets

  

 

1.75

%

  

 

1.58

%

  

 

1.60

%

    


  


  


 

Impact of Interest Rate Agreements. We have executed interest rate agreements designed to mitigate exposure to interest rate risk on short-term borrowings. Interest rate cap agreements require us to pay either a one-time “up front” premium or a quarterly premium, while allowing us to receive a rate that adjusts with LIBOR when rates rise above a certain agreed-upon rate. Interest rate swap agreements allow us to pay a fixed rate of interest while receiving a rate that adjusts with one-month LIBOR. These agreements are used to alter, in effect, the interest rates on funding costs to more closely match the yield on interest-earning assets. Due to the steady decline in short-term interest rates in 2002 and 2003 and the increase in the average notional amount of interest rate swaps outstanding, our expense related to interest rate agreements increased.

 

 

Provisions for Credit Losses

 

We originate and own loans in which the borrower possesses credit risk higher than that of conforming borrowers. Delinquent loans and losses are expected to occur. Provisions for credit losses are made in amounts considered necessary to maintain an allowance at a level sufficient to cover probable losses inherent in the loan portfolio. Charge-offs are recognized at the time of foreclosure by recording the value of real estate owned property at its estimated realizable value. One of the principal methods used to estimate expected losses is a delinquency migration analysis. This analysis takes into consideration historical information regarding foreclosure and loss severity experience and applies that information to the portfolio at the reporting date.

 

We use several techniques to mitigate credit losses including pre-funding audits by quality control personnel and in-depth appraisal reviews. Another loss mitigation technique allows a borrower to sell their property for less than the outstanding loan balance prior to foreclosure in transactions known as short sales, when it is believed that the resulting loss is less than what would be realized through foreclosure. Loans are charged off in full when the cost of pursuing foreclosure and liquidation exceed recorded balances. While short sales have served to reduce the overall severity of losses incurred, they also accelerate the timing of losses. As discussed further under the caption “Premiums for Mortgage Loan Insurance”, lender paid mortgage insurance is also used as a means of managing credit risk exposure. Generally, the exposure to credit loss on insured loans is considered minimal. Management also believes aggressive servicing is an important element to managing credit risk.

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 we made provisions for losses (recoveries) of $(92,000) and $133,000 respectively and incurred net charge-offs of $117,000 and $347,000, respectively. A rollforward of the allowance for credit losses is presented in Table 20.

 

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Table of Contents

Table 20—Quarterly Activity—Allowance for Credit Losses

(in thousands)


    

2003


    

2002


 
    

March 31


    

December 31


    

September 30


    

June 30


    

March 31


 

Beginning balance

  

$

3,036

 

  

$

3,312

 

  

$

4,014

 

  

$

5,343

 

  

$

5,557

 

Provision for credit losses

  

 

(92

)

  

 

197

 

  

 

(383

)

  

 

(379

)

  

 

133

 

Amounts charged off, net of recoveries

  

 

(117

)

  

 

(473

)

  

 

(319

)

  

 

(950

)

  

 

(347

)

    


  


  


  


  


Ending balance

  

$

2,827

 

  

$

3,036

 

  

$

3,312

 

  

$

4,014

 

  

$

5,343

 

    


  


  


  


  


 

 

Fee Income

 

Fee income primarily consists of fees from four sources: broker fees, loan origination fees, service fee income and branch management fees.

 

Broker fees are paid by borrowers and other lenders for placing loans with third party investors (lenders) and are based on negotiated rates with each lender to whom we broker loans. Revenue is recognized upon loan origination.

 

Loan origination fees represent fees paid to us by borrowers and are associated with the origination of mortgage loans. Loan origination fees are determined based on the type and amount of loans originated. Loan origination fees and direct origination costs on mortgage loans held-in-portfolio are deferred and recognized over the life of the loan using the level yield method. Loan origination fees and direct origination costs on mortgage loans held-for-sale are deferred and considered as part of the carrying value of the loan when sold.

 

Service fees are paid to us by either the investor on mortgage loans serviced or the borrower. Fees paid by investors on loans serviced are determined as a percentage of the principal collected for the loans serviced and are recognized in the period in which payments on the loans are received. Fees paid by borrowers on loans serviced are considered ancillary fees related to loan servicing and include late fees, processing fees and, for loans held in portfolio, prepayment penalties. Revenue is recognized on fees received from borrowers when an event occurs that generates the fee and they are considered to be collectible.

 

Affiliated branch management fees are charged to affiliated mortgage brokers to manage their administrative operations, which include providing accounting, payroll, human resources, loan investor management and license management. The amount of the fees is agreed upon when entering a contractual agreement with affiliated mortgage brokers and are recognized as services are rendered.

 

Fee income increased from $6.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2002 to $13.2 million for the same period of 2003 due to the following reasons:

 

  ·   Loans originated increased from $511.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2002 to $1.1 billion for the same period of 2003.

 

  ·   Our servicing portfolio increased from $2.3 billion to $4.2 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2002 and 2003, respectively.

 

  ·   The number of branches managed by us increased from 123 in the first quarter 2002 to 246 in the first quarter 2003.

 

 

Gains on Sales of Mortgage Assets and Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments

 

We executed securitization transactions in which we transferred mortgage loan collateral to an independent trust. In those transactions, we retained the AAA-rated interest-only and non-investment grade subordinated securities. In addition, we continue to service the loan collateral. These transactions are structured as sales for accounting and income tax reporting. Whole loan sales have also been executed whereby we sell loans to third parties. In the outright sales of mortgage loans, we retain no assets or servicing rights. Table 22 provides a summary of mortgage loans sold outright and transferred in securitizations.

 

For mortgage loans transferred in securitizations, we allocate our basis in the mortgage loans between the portion of the mortgage loans sold and the retained assets, securities and servicing rights, based on the relative fair values of those portions at the time of sale. The values of these servicing assets are determined by discounting estimated future cash flows using the cash flow method. The weighted average assumptions used for the valuation of our retained assets at the time of securitization were a constant prepayment rate of 26, projected losses of 1.9% and a discount rate of 26.3%.

 

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Table of Contents

We have entered into derivative instrument contracts that do not meet the requirements for hedge accounting treatment, but contribute to our overall risk management strategy by serving to reduce interest rate risk related to short-term borrowing rates. Changes in the fair value of these derivative instruments are credited or charged to current earnings. As interest rates decreased from December 31, 2002 to March 31, 2003, we recognized a loss of $7.3 million, reflective of the corresponding decrease in fair value of these non-hedge derivative instruments.

 

Table 21 provides the components of our gains on sales of mortgage assets and gains (losses) on derivative instruments. Table 22 is a presentation of our quarterly mortgage loan sales to third parties and the gain on sales of mortgage loans transferred in securitizations.

 

 

Table 21—Gains on Sales of Mortgage Assets and Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Gains on sales of mortgage loans transferred in securitizations

  

$

24,956

 

  

$

3,581

 

Gains on sales of mortgage loans to third parties—nonconforming

  

 

2,875

 

  

 

1,054

 

Gains on sales of mortgage loans to third parties—conforming

  

 

1,840

 

  

 

101

 

Losses on sales of real estate owned

  

 

(228

)

  

 

(106

)

    


  


Gains on sales of mortgage assets

  

 

29,443

 

  

 

4,630

 

Gains (losses) on derivatives

  

 

(7,346

)

  

 

4,692

 

    


  


Net gains on sales of mortgage assets and derivative instruments

  

$

22,097

 

  

$

9,322

 

    


  


 

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Table of Contents

 

Table 22—Quarterly Mortgage Loan Sales (A)

(dollars in thousands)

 

    

Outright Mortgage Loan Sales


    

Principal

Amount


    

Percent of

Total Sales


    

Net Gain (Loss)

Recognized


      

Weighted

Average Price

ToPar


2003:

                               

First quarter

  

$

112,068

    

9.4

%

  

$

2,875

 

    

104.3

    

    

  


    

2002:

                               

Fourth quarter

  

$

986

    

0.3

%

  

$

64

 

    

102.5

Third quarter

  

 

13,727

    

3.3

 

  

 

(151

)

    

100.2

Second quarter

  

 

80,421

    

16.2

 

  

 

1,332

 

    

103.0

First quarter

  

 

47,025

    

10.6

 

  

 

1,054

 

    

103.5

    

           


      

Total

  

$

142,159

    

8.4

%

  

$

2,299

 

    

102.9

    

    

  


    

 

    
 
    

Mortgage Loans Transferred in Securitizations


 
                              

Assumptions Underlying Initial Value of Mortgage Securities


 
    

Principal Amount


    

Percent of Total Sales


    

Net Gain
Recognized


  

Initial Value of
Mortgage Securities


    

Constant
Prepayment Rate


    

Discount
Rate


      

Expected Total
Credit Losses, Net
of Mortgage Insurance


 

2003:

                                                      

First quarter

  

$

1,084,906

    

90.6

%

  

$

24,956

  

$

69,740

    

23

    

30

%

    

3.10

%

    

    

  

  

    
    

    

2002:

                                                      

Fourth quarter

  

$

346,043

    

99.7

%

  

$

12,461

  

$

18,415

    

22

    

30

%

    

1.00

%

Third quarter

  

 

403,960

    

96.7

 

  

 

16,893

  

 

21,498

    

22

    

30

 

    

1.00

 

Second quarter

  

 

414,874

    

83.8

 

  

 

14,959

  

 

29,048

    

25

    

30

 

    

1.61

 

First quarter

  

 

395,124

    

89.4

 

  

 

3,581

  

 

23,942

    

28

    

30

 

    

1.65

 

    

    

  

  

                        

Total

  

$

1,560,001

    

91.6

%

  

$

47,894

  

$

92,903

    

24

    

30

%

    

1.33

%

    

    

  

  

    
    

    


(A)   Does not include conforming loan sales.

 

 

31


Table of Contents

 

Prepayment Penalty Income

 

A large percentage of the loans we originate require the borrower to pay a cash penalty if they pay off their loan early in the loan’s life, generally within two years of origination. This income serves to mitigate and offset prepayment risk and the amortization expense of premiums we paid to loan brokers. The penalty is generally six months of interest on 80% of the unpaid principal at prepayment. Prepayment penalty income was $214,000 and $118,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002.

 

Premiums for Mortgage Loan Insurance

 

The use of mortgage insurance is one method of managing the credit risk in the mortgage asset portfolio. Premiums for mortgage insurance on loans maintained on our balance sheet are paid by us and are recorded as a portfolio cost and included in the income statement under the caption “Premiums for Mortgage Loan Insurance” and totaled $779,000 and $574,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. We received mortgage insurance proceeds of $0.3 million and $0.8 million in the first quarter of 2003 and 2002, respectively.

 

It is important to note that substantially all of the mortgage loans that serve as collateral for our mortgage securities carry mortgage insurance. This serves to reduce credit loss exposure in those mortgage pools. When loans are securitized in transactions treated as sales, the obligation to pay mortgage insurance premiums is legally assumed by the trust. Therefore, we have no obligation to pay for mortgage insurance premiums. Insurance premiums on these loans are paid from the collateral proceeds and, therefore, are not included in the amount of total premiums for mortgage loan insurance expense in our statement of operations.

 

We intend to continue to purchase mortgage insurance coverage on the majority of newly originated loans as they are securitized. However, we have the risk that mortgage insurance providers will revise their guidelines to an extent where we will no longer be able to acquire coverage on all of our new production. Similarly, the providers may also increase insurance premiums to a point where the cost of coverage outweighs its benefit. We monitor the mortgage insurance market and currently anticipate being able to obtain affordable coverage on a substantial portion of our future production.

 

General and Administrative Expenses

 

Compensation and benefits includes employee base salaries, benefit costs and incentive compensation awards. Professional and outside services include fees for legal and accounting services. In the normal course of business, fees are incurred for professional services related to general corporate matters and specific transactions. Office administration includes items such as rent, depreciation, telephone, office supplies, postage, delivery, maintenance and repairs.

 

The increase in general and administrative expenses from $15.6 million during the three months ended March 31, 2002 to $36.5 million for the same period in 2003 is attributable to our new conforming and retail lines of businesses, growth in our wholesale business and our expanding servicing operations. As a result of this growth, we employed 1,171 people as of March 31, 2003, compared with 536 as of March 31, 2002. Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements presents a condensed income statement for our three segments, detailing our expenses by segment.

 

The loan costs of production table below includes all costs paid and fees collected during the loan origination cycle, including loans that do not fund. This distinction is important as we can only capitalize as deferred broker premium and costs, those costs (net of fees) directly associated with a “funded” loan. Costs associated with loans that do not fund are recognized immediately as a component of general and administrative expenses. For loans held-for-sale, deferred net costs are recognized when the related loans are sold outright or transferred in securitizations. For loans held-in-portfolio, deferred net costs are recognized over the life of the loan as a reduction to interest income. Increased efficiencies in the non-conforming lending operation correlate to lower general and administrative costs and higher interest income and gain on sales of mortgage assets.

 

 

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Table of Contents

Table 23—Loan Costs of Production, as a Percent of Principal


 

      

Gross Loan Production


    

Premium Paid to Broker, Net of Fees Collected


    

Total

Acquisition Cost


2003:

                    

First quarter

    

1.85

    

0.82

    

2.67

2002:

                    

Fourth quarter

    

1.74

    

0.92

    

2.66

Third quarter

    

2.03

    

0.86

    

2.89

Second quarter

    

2.13

    

0.58

    

2.71

First quarter

    

2.01

    

0.61

    

2.62

 

 

Mortgage Loan Servicing

 

Loan servicing is a critical part of our business. In the opinion of management, maintaining contact with borrowers is vital in managing credit risk and in borrower retention. Non-conforming borrowers are prone to late payments and are more likely to default on their obligations than conventional borrowers. We strive to identify issues and trends with borrowers early and take quick action to address such matters. Our annualized costs of servicing per unit increased from $302.40 in the fourth quarter 2002 to $387.15 in the first quarter 2003. The increase is primarily due to an increase in our compensation and benefits expense, which is a result of employee growth in our servicing operations.

 

 

Table 24—Summary of Servicing Operations

(dollars in thousands except per loan cost)


 

    

2003


 
    

March 31


 
    

Amount


    

%


 

Unpaid principal

  

$

4,212,986

 

      
    


      

Number of loans

  

 

32,835

 

      
    


      

Servicing income, net of amortization of mortgage servicing rights

  

$

2,536

 

  

0.24

 

Costs of servicing

  

 

3,178

 

  

0.30

 

    


  

Net servicing income

  

$

(642

)

  

(0.06

)

    


  

Annualized costs of servicing per unit

  

$

387.15

 

      
    


      

 

    
    

2002


    

December 31


  

September 30


  

June 30


  

March 31


    

Amount


  

%


  

Amount


  

%


  

Amount


    

%


  

Amount


  

%


Unpaid principal

  

$

3,657,640

       

$

2,911,263

       

$

2,558,407

 

       

$

2,307,620

    
    

       

       


       

    

Number of loans

  

 

28,849

       

 

23,757

       

 

21,379

 

       

 

19,593

    
    

       

       


       

    

Servicing income, net of amortization of mortgage servicing rights

  

$

2,478

  

0.27

  

$

2,261

  

0.31

  

$

1,773

 

  

0.28

  

$

1,675

  

0.29

Costs of servicing

  

 

2,181

  

0.24

  

 

2,194

  

0.30

  

 

1,791

 

  

0.28

  

 

1,538

  

0.27

    

  
  

  
  


  
  

  

Net servicing income

  

$

297

  

0.03

  

$

67

  

0.01

  

$

(18

)

  

0.00

  

$

137

  

0.02

    

  
  

  
  


  
  

  

Annualized costs of servicing per unit

  

$

302.40

       

$

369.41

       

$

335.10

 

       

$

313.99

    
    

       

       


       

    

 

 

Branches

 

We operate our mortgage brokerage unit under the name NovaStar Home Mortgage, Inc. (NHMI). Branch operations (offices) are divided into two groups: 1) branches operating under NHMI, and 2) branches operating as separate companies with an administrative relationship with NHMI, identified as NHMI LLC (Limited Liability Company) branches.

 

The NHMI branches are considered departmental functions of NHMI under which the branch manager (department head) is an employee of NHMI and receives compensation based on the profitability of the

 

33


Table of Contents

branch (department) as bonus compensation. NHMI branches are included in the NovaStar Financial consolidated financial statements.

 

LLC branches are established through LLC agreements entered into between solicited brokers and NHMI. The LLC agreements provide for initial capitalization and membership interests of 99.9% to the broker (branch manager) and 0.1% to NHMI. NHMI provides accounting, payroll, human resources, loan investor management and license management in conjunction with separate contractual agreements. We account for our minority interest in the LLC agreements using the equity method of accounting.

 

As of March 31, 2003 there were a total of 246 active branches, 9 of these were NHMI branches and 237 were NHMI LLC branches. As of March 31, 2002 there were a total of 142 active branches, 19 of these were NHMI branches and 123 were NHMI LLC branches.

 

The NHMI and LLC branch offices offer conforming and non-conforming loans to potential borrowers. Loans are brokered for approved investors, including NovaStar Mortgage, Inc. (NMI). Of the $1.1 billion and $511.5 million loans we originated, 29% and 19% were brokered to NMI from the branches during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively.

 

 

Table 25—Loan Originations—Branches

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

For the Three Months Ended March 31,

 
    

2003


    

2002


 
    

Amount


  

%


    

Amount


  

%


 

Loans brokered to NMI—non-conforming

  

$

204,403

  

17

%

  

$

58,729

  

13

%

Loans brokered to NMI—conforming and government

  

 

107,451

  

9

 

  

 

36,458

  

8

 

Loans brokered to non-affiliates

  

 

896,361

  

74

 

  

 

350,182

  

79

 

    

  

  

  

Branch loan originations

  

$

1,208,215

  

100

%

  

$

445,369

  

100

%

    

  

  

  

 

 

Income Taxes

 

NovaStar Financial, Inc. intends to operate and qualify as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) under the requirements of the Internal Revenue Code. Therefore, it will generally not be subject to federal income taxes at the corporate level on taxable income distributed to stockholders. Requirements for qualification as a REIT include various restrictions on common stock ownership and the nature of the assets and sources of income.

 

Below is a summary of the taxable net income available to common shareholders for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002.

 

 

Table 26—Taxable Net Income

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

For the Three

Months Ended

March 31,


 
    

2003


    

2002


 

Consolidated net income

  

$

22,322

 

  

$

8,921

 

Equity in net income of NFI Holding Corp.

  

 

(4,867

)

  

 

13

 

    


  


REIT GAAP income

  

 

17,455

 

  

 

8,934

 

Adjustments to GAAP income

  

 

7,050

 

  

 

(4,311

)

    


  


Taxable net income before preferred dividends

  

 

24,505

 

  

 

4,623

 

    


  


Taxable net income per common shareholder

  

$

2.33

 

  

$

0.45

 

    


  


 

Adjustments to GAAP income are the permanent and temporary differences between income and expense recognition for GAAP

purposes and income and expense recognition for tax purposes. A primary component of these adjustments is the temporary difference in the rate of income recognition on our mortgage securities. Examples of other components include permanent and temporary differences caused by derivative market value adjustments and stock compensation expense.

 

NFI Holding Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of NovaStar Financial, Inc., has not elected REIT-status and files a consolidated federal income tax return with its subsidiaries. NFI Holding Corporation

 

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reported net earnings before income taxes of $9.0 million and $1.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. As shown in our statement of income, this resulted in income tax expense of $4.1 million and $1.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively.

 

On January 29, 2003, we declared a special dividend related to 2002 taxable income of $0.33 per common share. On April 22, 2003, our Board of Directors declared a dividend of $2.25 per common share relative to our taxable income in the first quarter of 2003.

 

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

Liquidity means the need for, access to and uses of cash. Our primary needs for cash include the acquisition of mortgage loans, principal repayment and interest on borrowings, operating expenses and dividend payments. Substantial cash is required to support the operating activities of the business, especially the mortgage origination operation. Mortgage asset sales, principal, interest and fees collected on mortgage assets support cash needs. Drawing upon various borrowing arrangements typically satisfies major cash requirements. As shown in Table 15, we have $71.6 million in immediately available funds, including $67.7 million in cash.

 

Mortgage lending requires significant cash to fund loan originations. Our warehouse lending arrangements, including repurchase agreements, support the mortgage lending operation. Our warehouse mortgage lenders allow us to borrow the greater of the market value of the loans or 98% of the outstanding principal. Funding for the difference—generally 2% of the principal—must come from other cash inflows. We use operating cash inflow in the form of cash flow from mortgage securities, principal and interest on mortgage loans and fee income to support loan originations. In addition, proceeds from equity offerings have been used to support operations. Our immediately available funds would support funding more than $3.5 billion in loans, assuming no other demands on cash and assuming a 2% “haircut”.

 

Loans financed with warehouse and repurchase credit facilities are subject to changing market valuation and margin calls. The market value of our loans are dependent on a variety of economic conditions, including interest rates (and borrower demand) and end investor desire and capacity. Market values have been consistent over the past three years. However, there is no certainty that the prices will remain constant. To the extent the value of the loans declines significantly, we would be required to repay portions of the amounts we have borrowed. The value of our “recourse” loans (classified as held-for-sale) as of March 31, 2003 would need to decline by more than 10% before we would use all immediately available funds, assuming no other constraints on our immediately available funds.

 

We have no recourse for loans financed with asset-backed bonds and, as such, there is minimal liquidity risk.

 

The derivative financial instruments we use also subject us to “margin call” risk. Under our interest rate swaps, we pay a fixed rate to the counterparties while they pay us a floating rate. While floating rates are low, on a net basis we are paying the counterparty. In order to mitigate credit exposure to us, the counterparty required us to post margin deposits with them. As of March 31, 2003, we have approximately $20.2 million on deposit. Further declining interest rates would subject us to additional exposure for cash margin calls. However, the asset side of the balance sheet should increase in value in a further declining interest rate scenario. Incoming cash on our mortgage loans and securities is a principal source of cash. The volume of cash depends on, among other things, interest rates. While short-term interest rates (the basis for our funding costs) are low and the coupon rates on our loans are high, our net interest margin (and therefore incoming cash flow) is high. Severe and immediate changes in interest rates will impact the volume of our incoming cash flow. To the extent rates increase dramatically, our funding costs will increase quickly. While many of our loans are adjustable, they typically will not reset as quickly as our funding costs. This circumstance would temporarily reduce incoming cash flow. As noted above, derivative financial instruments are used to mitigate the effect of interest rate volatility. In this rising rate situation, our interest rate swaps and caps would provide additional cash flows to mitigate the lower cash on loans and securities.

 

Loans we originate can be sold to a third party, which also generates cash to fund on-going operations. When market prices exceed our cost to originate, we believe we can operate in this manner, provided that the level of loan originations is at or near the capacity of its production infrastructure.

 

Cash activity during the three months ended March 31, 2003 and 2002 is presented in the consolidated statement of cash flows.

 

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Table of Contents

 

As noted above, proceeds from equity offerings have supported our operations. Since inception, we have raised $143 million in net proceeds through private and public equity offerings. Equity offerings provide another avenue as a future liquidity source.

 

 

Off Balance Sheet Arrangements

 

As discussed previously, we pool the loans we originate and securitize them to obtain long-term financing for the assets. The loans are transferred to a trust where they serve as collateral for asset-backed bonds, which the trust issues to the public. Our ability to use the securitization capital market is critical to the operations of our business. Tables 7 and 8 summarize our off balance sheet securitizations.

 

External factors that are reasonably likely to affect our ability to continue to use this arrangement would be those factors that could disrupt the securitization capital market. A disruption in the market could prevent us from being able to sell the securities at a favorable price, or at all. Factors that could disrupt the securitization market include an international liquidity crisis such as occurred in the fall of 1998, a terrorist attack, outbreak of war or other significant event risk, and market specific events such as a default of a comparable type of securitization. If we were unable to access the securitization market, we may still be able to finance our mortgage operations by selling our loans to investors in the whole loan market. We were able to do this following the liquidity crisis in 1998.

 

Specific items that may affect our ability to use the securitizations to finance our loans relate primarily to the performance of the loans that have been securitized. Extremely poor loan performance may lead to poor bond performance and investor unwillingness to buy bonds supported by our collateral. Our financial performance and condition has little impact on our ability to securitize, as evidenced by our ability to securitize in 1998, 1999 and 2000 when our financial trend was weak.

 

We have commitments to borrowers to fund residential mortgage loans as well as commitments to purchase and sell mortgage loans to third parties. As commitments to originate, purchase and sell non-conforming loans are not readily convertible to cash and cannot readily be settled net, these commitments do not meet the definition of a derivative under generally accepted accounting principles. Accordingly, they are not recorded in the consolidated financial statements. As of March 31, 2003, we had outstanding commitments to originate and purchase loans of $133 million and $5 million, respectively. We had no commitment to sell loans at March 31, 2003.

 

On February 27, 2003, we executed a securitization transaction accounted for as a sale of loans. We delivered $1.1 billion in loans collateralizing NMFT Series 2003-1 (see Note 3). As of March 31, 2003, we had committed to deliver an additional $215.2 million in loans collateralizing NMFT Series 2003-1, which occurred on April 3, 2003.

 

 

Inflation

 

Virtually all of our assets and liabilities are financial in nature. As a result, interest rates and other factors drive company performance far more than does inflation. Changes in interest rates do not necessarily correlate with inflation rates or changes in inflation rates. Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America and dividends are based on taxable income. In each case, financial activities and balance sheet are measured with reference to historical cost or fair market value without considering inflation.

 

 

Impact of Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

 

Note 1 of the consolidated financial statements contained in the annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2002 describes certain recently issued accounting pronouncements. Management believes the implementation of these pronouncements and others that have gone into effect since the date of these reports will not have a material impact on the consolidated financial statements.

 

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Table of Contents

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

Interest Rate/Market Risk

 

Our investment policy sets the following general goals:

 

(1) Maintain the net interest margin between assets and liabilities, and

 

(2) Diminish the effect of changes in interest rate levels on our market value

 

Loan Price Volatility. Under our current mode of operation, we depend heavily on the market for wholesale non-conforming mortgage loans. To conserve capital, we may sell loans we originate. To the extent loans are sold, financial results will depend, in part, on the ability to find purchasers for the loans at prices that cover origination expenses. Exposure to loan price volatility is reduced as mortgage loans are acquired and retained rather than sold.

 

Interest Rate Risk. When interest rates on our assets do not adjust at the same rates as our liabilities or when the assets have fixed rates and the liabilities are adjusting, future earnings potential is affected. We express this interest rate risk as the risk that the market value of assets will increase or decrease at different rates than that of the liabilities. Expressed another way, this is the risk that net asset value will experience an adverse change when interest rates change. We assess the risk based on the change in market values given increases and decreases in interest rates. We also assess the risk based on the impact to net income in changing interest rate environments.

 

Management primarily uses financing sources where the interest rate resets frequently. As of March 31, 2003, borrowings under all financing arrangements adjust daily or monthly. On the other hand, very few of the mortgage assets we own, adjust on a monthly or daily basis. Most of the mortgage loans contain features where their rates are fixed for some period of time and then adjust frequently thereafter. For example, one of our loan products is the “2/28” loan. This loan is fixed for its first two years and then adjusts every six months thereafter.

 

While short-term borrowing rates are low and long-term asset rates are high, this portfolio structure produces good results. However, if short-term interest rates rise rapidly, earning potential is significantly affected, as the asset rate resets would lag the borrowing rate resets.

 

To assess interest sensitivity as an indication of exposure to interest rate risk, management relies on models of financial information in a variety of interest rate scenarios. Using these models, the fair value and interest rate sensitivity of each financial instrument, or groups of similar instruments is estimated, and then aggregated to form a comprehensive picture of the risk characteristics of the balance sheet. The risks are analyzed on both an income and market value basis.

 

The following are summaries of the analysis.

 

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Table of Contents

Table 27—Interest Rate Sensitivity—Income

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

Basis Point Increase (Decrease) in Interest Rate (A)


 
    

(200) (C)


  

(100)


    

Base


    

100


    

200


 

As of March 31, 2003:

                                        

Interest margin

  

N/A

  

$

209,300

 

  

$

184,029

 

  

$

157,163

 

  

$

128,660

 

Expense from interest rate agreements

  

N/A

  

 

(59,669

)

  

 

(41,275

)

  

 

(21,126

)

  

 

1,253

 

    
  


  


  


  


Net interest income

  

N/A

  

$

149,631

 

  

$

142,754

 

  

$

136,037

 

  

$

129,913

 

    
  


  


  


  


Percent change in net interest income from base

  

N/A

  

 

4.8

%

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(4.7

)%

  

 

(9.0

)%

    
  


  


  


  


Percent change of capital (B)

  

N/A

  

 

3.5

%

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(3.5

)%

  

 

(6.6

)%

    
  


  


  


  


As of December 31, 2002:

                                        

Interest margin

  

N/A

  

$

168,379

 

  

$

150,150

 

  

$

130,828

 

  

$

109,984

 

Expense from interest rate agreements

  

N/A

  

 

(42,284

)

  

 

(32,949

)

  

 

(20,573

)

  

 

(6,060

)

    
  


  


  


  


Net interest income

  

N/A

  

$

126,095

 

  

$

117,201

 

  

$

110,255

 

  

$

103,924

 

    
  


  


  


  


Percent change in net interest income from base

  

N/A

  

 

7.6

%

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(5.9

)%

  

 

(11.3

)%

    
  


  


  


  


Percent change of capital (B)

  

N/A

  

 

4.9

%

  

 

—  

 

  

 

(3.8

)%

  

 

(7.2

)%

    
  


  


  


  



(A)   Interest margin (income from assets less expense from liabilities) or expense from interest rate agreement in a parallel shift in the yield curve, up and down 1% and 2%.
(B)   Total change in estimated spread income as a percent of total stockholders’ equity as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002.
(C)   A decrease in interest rates by 200 basis points (2%) would imply rates on liabilities at or below zero.

 

 

Table 28—Interest Rate Sensitivity—Market Value

(dollars in thousands)


 

    

Basis Point Increase (Decrease) in Interest Rate (A)


 
    

(200) (C)


  

(100)


    

100


    

200


 

As of March 31, 2003:

                               

Change in market values of:

                               

Assets

  

N/A

  

$

36,208

 

  

$

(63,414

)

  

$

(149,758

)

Liabilities

  

N/A

  

 

(2,953

)

  

 

4,389

 

  

 

9,017

 

Interest rate agreements

  

N/A

  

 

(45,547

)

  

 

46,201

 

  

 

92,989

 

    
  


  


  


Cumulative change in market value

  

N/A

  

$

(12,292

)

  

$

(12,824

)

  

$

(47,752

)

    
  


  


  


Percent change of market value portfolio equity

  

N/A

  

 

(5.8

)%

  

 

(6.0

)%

  

 

(22.4

)%

    
  


  


  


As of December 31, 2002:

                               

Change in market values of:

                               

Assets

  

N/A

  

$

16,449

 

  

$

(49,343

)

  

$

(119,232

)

Liabilities

  

N/A

  

 

(2,311

)

  

 

2,451

 

  

 

4,969

 

Interest rate agreements

  

N/A

  

 

(36,249

)

  

 

37,930

 

  

 

76,873

 

    
  


  


  


Cumulative change in market value

  

N/A

  

$

(22,111

)

  

$

(8,962

)

  

$

(37,390

)

    
  


  


  


Percent change of market value portfolio equity (B)

  

N/A

  

 

(10.9

)%

  

 

(4.4

)%

  

 

(18.4

)%

    
  


  


  



(A)   Change in market value of assets, liabilities or interest rate agreements in a parallel shift in the yield curve, up and down 1% and 2%.
(B)   Total change in estimated market value as a percent of market value portfolio equity as of March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002.
(C)   A decrease in interest rates by 200 basis points (2%) would imply rates on liabilities at or below zero.

 

Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis. The values under the heading “Base” are management’s estimates of spread income for assets, liabilities and interest rate agreements on March 31, 2003 and December 31, 2002. The values under the headings “100”, “200”, “(100)” and “(200)” are management’s estimates of the income and change in market value of those same assets, liabilities and interest rate agreements assuming that interest rates were 100 and 200 basis points, or 1 and 2 percent higher and lower. The cumulative change in income or market value represents the change in income or market value of assets, net of the change in income or market value of liabilities and interest rate agreements.

 

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The interest sensitivity analysis is prepared monthly. If the analysis demonstrates that a 100 basis point shift, up or down, in interest rates would result in a 25% or more cumulative decrease in income from base, or a 10% cumulative decrease in market value from base, policy requires management to adjust the portfolio by adding or removing interest rate cap or swap agreements. The Board of Directors reviews and approves our interest rate sensitivity and hedged position quarterly. Although management also evaluates the portfolio using interest rate increases and decreases less than and greater than one percent, management focuses on the one percent increase.

 

Assumptions Used in Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis. Management uses a variety of estimates and assumptions in determining the income and market value of assets, liabilities and interest rate agreements. The estimates and assumptions have a significant impact on the results of the interest rate sensitivity analysis, the results of which are shown as of March 31, 2003.

 

Management’s analysis for assessing interest rate sensitivity on its mortgage loans relies significantly on estimates for prepayment speeds. A prepayment model has been internally developed based upon four main factors:

 

  ·   Refinancing incentives (the interest rate of the mortgage compared with the current mortgage rates available to the borrower)

 

  ·   Borrower credit grades

 

  ·   Loan-to-value ratios

 

  ·   Prepayment penalties, if any

 

Generally speaking, when market interest rates decline, borrowers are more likely to refinance their mortgages. The higher the interest rate a borrower currently has on his or her mortgage the more incentive he or she has to refinance the mortgage when rates decline. In addition, the higher the credit grade, the more incentive there is to refinance when credit ratings improve. When a borrower has a low loan-to-value ratio, he or she is more likely to do a “cash-out” refinance. Each of these factors increases the chance for higher prepayment speeds during the term of the loan. On the other hand, prepayment penalties serve to mitigate the risk that loans will prepay because the penalty is a deterrent to refinancing.

 

These factors are weighted based on management’s experience and an evaluation of the important trends observed in the non-conforming mortgage origination industry. Actual results may differ from the estimates and assumptions used in the model and the projected results as shown in the sensitivity analyses.

 

Projected prepayment rates in each interest rate scenario start at a prepayment speed less than 5% in month one and increase to a long-term prepayment speed in nine to 18 months, to account for the seasoning of the loans. The long-term prepayment speed ranges from 20% to 40% and depends on the characteristics of the loan which include type of product (ARM or fixed rate), note rate, credit grade, loan to value, gross margin, weighted average maturity and lifetime and periodic caps and floors. This prepayment curve is also multiplied by a factor of 60% on average for periods when a prepayment penalty is in effect on the loan. Prepayment assumptions are also multiplied by a factor of greater than 100% during periods around rate resets and prepayment penalty expirations. These assumptions change with levels of interest rates. The actual historical speeds experienced on our loans shown in Table 6 of “Management’s Discussion and Analysis” are weighted average speeds of all loans in each deal.

 

As discussed above, actual prepayment rates on loans that have been held in portfolio for shorter periods are slower than long term prepayment rates used in the interest rate sensitivity analysis. Also, as pools of loans held in portfolio season, the actual prepayment rates are more consistent with the long term prepayment rates used in the interest sensitivity analysis.

 

Hedging. In order to address a mismatch of assets and liabilities, the hedging section of the investment policy is followed, as approved by the Board. Specifically, the interest rate risk management program is formulated with the intent to offset the potential adverse effects resulting from rate adjustment limitations on mortgage assets and the differences between interest rate adjustment indices and interest rate adjustment periods of adjustable-rate mortgage loans and related borrowings.

 

We use interest rate cap and swap contracts to mitigate the risk of the cost of variable rate liabilities increasing at a faster rate than the earnings on assets during a period of rising rates. In this way, management intends generally to hedge as much of the interest rate risk as determined to be in our best interest, given the cost of hedging transactions and the need to maintain REIT status.

 

We seek to build a balance sheet and undertake an interest rate risk management program that is likely, in management’s view, to enable us to maintain an equity liquidation value sufficient to maintain operations

 

39


Table of Contents

given a variety of potentially adverse circumstances. Accordingly, the hedging program addresses both income preservation, as discussed in the first part of this section, and capital preservation concerns.

 

Interest rate cap agreements are legal contracts between us and a third party firm or “counter-party”. The counter-party agrees to make payments to us in the future should the one- or three-month LIBOR interest rate rise above the strike rate specified in the contract. We make either quarterly premium payments or have chosen to pay the premiums at the beginning to the counterparties under contract. Each contract has a fixed notional face amount on which the interest is computed, and a set term to maturity. When the referenced LIBOR interest rate rises above the contractual strike rate, we earn cap income. Payments on an annualized basis equal the contractual notional face amount times the difference between actual LIBOR and the strike rate. Interest rate swaps have similar characteristics. However, interest rate swap agreements allow us to pay a fixed rate of interest while receiving a rate that adjusts with one-month LIBOR.

 

 

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

 

Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures. Within the 90-day period immediately preceding the filing of this Report, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer has each evaluated the effectiveness of the Company’s “Disclosure Controls and Procedures” and has concluded that they were effective. As such term is used above, the Company’s Controls and Procedures are controls and other procedures of the Company that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports that it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the Security Exchange Commission’s rules and forms. Disclosure Controls and Procedures include, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Company in such reports is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its principal executive officer or officers and principal financial officer or officers, or persons performing similar functions, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

 

Changes in internal controls. There were no significant changes in the Company’s internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect such controls subsequent to the date that the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer conducted their evaluations of the Disclosure Controls and Procedures, including any corrective actions with regard to significant deficiencies and material weaknesses.

 

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Table of Contents

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1.

  

Legal Proceedings

    

As of March 31, 2003, there were no material legal proceedings pending to which we were a party or of which any of our property was subject.

Item 2.

  

Changes in Securities

    

Not applicable

Item 3.

  

Defaults upon Senior Securities

    

Not applicable

Item 4.

  

Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

    

Not applicable

Item 5.

  

Other Information

    

None

 

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Table of Contents

 

Item 6.

  

Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K

(a) Exhibit Listing

 

Exhibit No.


    

Description of Document


3.1

*

  

Articles of Amendment and Restatement of the Registrant

3.2

*

  

Articles Supplementary of the Registrant

3.3

*

  

Bylaws of the Registrant

3.3a

***

  

Amendment to Bylaws of the Registrant, adopted February 2, 2000

99.1

 

  

Statement Under Oath of Chief Executive Officer

99.2

 

  

Statement Under Oath of Principal Financial Officer


*   Incorporated by reference to the correspondingly numbered exhibit to the Registration Statement on Form S-11 (373-32327) filed by the Registrant with the SEC on July 29, 1997, as amended.
**   Incorporated by reference to the correspondingly numbered exhibit to Form 8-K filed by the Registrant with the SEC on April 5, 1999.
***   Incorporated by reference to the correspondingly numbered exhibit to Annual Report on Form 10-K filed by the Registrant with the SEC on March 20, 2000.

 

(b) NovaStar Financial filed no Form 8-K’s during the three months ended March 31, 2003.

 

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Table of Contents

 

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

NOVASTAR FINANCIAL, INC.

 

DATE: May 5, 2003

 

/s/    Scott F. Hartman


       

Scott F. Hartman

       

Chairman of the Board, Secretary and

       

Chief Executive Officer

 

DATE: May 5, 2003

 

/s/    Rodney E. Schwatken


       

Rodney E. Schwatken

       

Vice President, Treasurer and Controller

       

(Principal Financial Officer)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Table of Contents

 

CERTIFICATION

 

I, Scott F. Hartman, certify that :

 

1.   I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of Novastar Financial, Inc.;

 

2.   Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this quarterly report;

 

3.   Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this quarterly report;

 

4.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-14 and 15d-14) for the registrant and we have:

 

  a)   Designed such disclosure controls and procedures to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report is being prepared;

 

  b)   Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures as of a date within 90 days prior to the filing date of this quarterly report (the “Evaluation Date “); and

 

  c)   Presented in this quarterly report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures based on our evaluation as of the Evaluation Date;

 

  5.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent function):

 

  a)   All significant deficiencies in the design or operation of internal controls which could adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial data and have identified for the registrant’s auditors any material weaknesses in internal controls; and

 

  b)   Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal controls; and

 

  6.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I have indicated in this quarterly report whether or not there were significant changes in internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect internal controls subsequent to the date of our most recent evaluation, including any corrective actions with regard to significant deficiencies and material weaknesses.

 

Date: May 5, 2003

 

By: /s/    Scott F. Hartman

 

Name:

Scott F. Hartman

Title:

Chairman of the Board,

Secretary and Chief

Executive Officer

 

 

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Table of Contents

CERTIFICATION

 

I, Rodney E. Schwatken, certify that :

 

  1.   I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of Novastar Financial, Inc.;

 

  2.   Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this quarterly report;

 

  3.   Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this quarterly report;

 

  4.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-14 and 15d-14) for the registrant and we have:

 

  a)   Designed such disclosure controls and procedures to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report is being prepared;

 

  b)   Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures as of a date within 90 days prior to the filing date of this quarterly report (the “Evaluation Date”); and

 

  c)   Presented in this quarterly report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures based on our evaluation as of the Evaluation Date;

 

  5.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent function):

 

  a)   All significant deficiencies in the design or operation of internal controls which could adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial data and have identified for the registrant’s auditors any material weaknesses in internal controls; and

 

  b)   Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal controls; and

 

  6.   The registrant’s other certifying officers and I have indicated in this quarterly report whether or not there were significant changes in internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect internal controls subsequent to the date of our most recent evaluation, including any corrective actions with regard to significant deficiencies and material weaknesses.

 

Date: May 5, 2003

 

By: /s/    Rodney E. Schwatken

 

Name:    Rodney E. Schwatken

Title:      Vice President,

Treasurer and Controller

(Principal Financial Officer)

 

45