OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP - Quarter Report: 2008 March (Form 10-Q)
UNITED
STATES
SECURITIES
AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington,
D.C. 20549
|
FORM
10-Q
|
[x] Quarterly
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
for the quarterly period
ended: March 31,
2008
or
|
[ ] Transition
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
|
Commission
File Number: 001-10607
|
OLD REPUBLIC
INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
(Exact
name of registrant as specified in its
charter)
|
Delaware
|
No.
36-2678171
|
|
(State
or other jurisdiction of
incorporation
or organization)
|
(IRS
Employer Identification No.)
|
307
North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, Illinois
|
60601
|
|
(Address
of principal executive office)
|
(Zip
Code)
|
Registrant's
telephone number, including area code: 312-346-8100
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be
filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the
preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required
to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for
the past 90 days. Yes:x No:¨
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an
accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See
definitions of “accelerated filer”, “large accelerated filer”, and “smaller
reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one).
Large
accelerated filer x
|
Accelerated
filer ¨
|
Non-accelerated
filer ¨
|
Smaller
reporting company ¨
|
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Exchange
Act Rule 12b-2). Yes:¨ No:x
Class
|
Shares
Outstanding
March
31, 2008
|
|
Common
Stock / $1 par value
|
230,512,566
|
There are
34 pages in this report
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
Report on
Form 10-Q / March 31, 2008
INDEX
PAGE
NO.
|
|
PART
I FINANCIAL INFORMATION:
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
BALANCE SHEETS
|
3
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF INCOME
|
4
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
|
5
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
|
6
|
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
|
7 -
10
|
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
|
11
- 30
|
QUANTITATIVE
AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURE ABOUT MARKET RISK
|
31
|
CONTROLS
AND PROCEDURES
|
31
|
PART
II OTHER INFORMATION:
|
|
ITEM
1A – RISK FACTORS
|
32
|
ITEM
6 – EXHIBITS
|
32
|
SIGNATURE
|
33
|
EXHIBIT
INDEX
|
34
|
2
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Balance Sheets
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
(Unaudited)
March
31,
2008
|
December
31,
2007
|
Assets
|
||||||
Investments:
|
||||||
Available
for sale:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity securities (at fair value) (cost: $7,230.1 and
$7,312.2)
|
$
|
7,389.2
|
$
|
7,383.6
|
||
Equity
securities (at fair value) (cost: $882.0 and
$807.3)
|
659.0
|
842.1
|
||||
Short-term
investments (at fair value which approximates
cost)
|
617.4
|
462.6
|
||||
Miscellaneous
investments
|
39.0
|
64.7
|
||||
Total
|
8,704.7
|
8,753.1
|
||||
Other
investments
|
8.0
|
8.1
|
||||
Total
investments
|
8,712.8
|
8,761.2
|
||||
Other
Assets:
|
||||||
Cash
|
76.9
|
54.0
|
||||
Securities
and indebtedness of related
parties
|
18.3
|
15.3
|
||||
Accrued
investment
income
|
105.3
|
108.7
|
||||
Accounts
and notes
receivable
|
879.8
|
880.3
|
||||
Federal
income tax recoverable:
Current
|
-
|
6.2
|
||||
Prepaid
federal income
taxes
|
501.3
|
536.5
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and funds
held
|
68.7
|
69.9
|
||||
Reinsurance
recoverable: Paid losses
|
74.5
|
65.8
|
||||
Policy and claim
reserves
|
2,214.0
|
2,193.4
|
||||
Deferred
policy acquisition
costs
|
239.6
|
246.5
|
||||
Sundry
assets
|
358.2
|
352.3
|
||||
4,536.9
|
4,529.3
|
|||||
Total
Assets
|
$
|
13,249.7
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
||
Liabilities,
Preferred Stock, and Common Shareholders’ Equity
|
||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||
Losses,
claims, and settlement
expenses
|
$
|
6,465.3
|
$
|
6,231.1
|
||
Unearned
premiums
|
1,171.6
|
1,182.2
|
||||
Other
policyholders' benefits and
funds
|
186.5
|
190.2
|
||||
Total
policy liabilities and
accruals
|
7,823.4
|
7,603.5
|
||||
Commissions,
expenses, fees, and
taxes
|
211.8
|
225.9
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and
funds
|
300.7
|
288.7
|
||||
Federal
income tax payable: Current
|
11.9
|
-
|
||||
Deferred |
316.9
|
417.7
|
||||
Debt
|
66.9
|
64.1
|
||||
Sundry
liabilities
|
141.0
|
148.8
|
||||
Commitments
and contingent
liabilities
|
||||||
Total
Liabilities
|
8,873.0
|
8,749.0
|
||||
Preferred
Stock:
|
||||||
Convertible
preferred stock
(1)
|
-
|
-
|
||||
Common
Shareholders’ Equity:
|
||||||
Common
stock
(1)
|
232.0
|
232.0
|
||||
Additional
paid-in
capital
|
350.1
|
344.4
|
||||
Retained
earnings
|
3,844.2
|
3,900.1
|
||||
Accumulated
other comprehensive income
(loss)
|
(21.3)
|
93.3
|
||||
Treasury
stock (at
cost)(1)
|
(28.3)
|
(28.3)
|
||||
Total
Common Shareholders'
Equity
|
4,376.7
|
4,541.6
|
||||
Total
Liabilities, Preferred Stock and Common Shareholders’
Equity
|
$
|
13,249.7
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
|
(1)
|
At
March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, there were 75,000,000 shares of
$0.01 par value preferred stock authorized, of which no shares were
outstanding. As of the same dates, there were 500,000,000 shares of common
stock, $1.00 par value, authorized, of which 232,078,666 at March 31, 2008
and 232,038,331
at December 31, 2007 were issued. At March 31, 2008 and December
31, 2007, there were 100,000,000 shares of Class B Common Stock, $1.00 par
value, authorized, of which no shares were issued. Common shares
classified as treasury stock were 1,566,100 as of March 31, 2008 and
December 31, 2007.
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
3
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Income (Unaudited)
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
Quarters
Ended
March
31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Revenues:
|
||||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
804.1
|
$
|
814.2
|
||
Title,
escrow, and other
fees
|
42.5
|
55.5
|
||||
Total
premiums and
fees
|
846.6
|
869.8
|
||||
Net
investment
income
|
95.2
|
91.5
|
||||
Other
income
|
8.8
|
9.4
|
||||
Total
operating
revenues
|
950.7
|
970.9
|
||||
Realized
investment
gains
|
.9
|
2.9
|
||||
Total
revenues
|
951.6
|
973.9
|
||||
Benefits,
Claims and Expenses:
|
||||||
Benefits,
claims, and settlement
expenses
|
646.0
|
419.5
|
||||
Dividends
to
policyholders
|
2.3
|
2.7
|
||||
Underwriting,
acquisition, and other
expenses
|
342.3
|
393.6
|
||||
Interest
and other
charges
|
.6
|
2.2
|
||||
Total
expenses
|
991.3
|
818.2
|
||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes
(credits)
|
(39.6)
|
155.6
|
||||
Income
Taxes (Credits):
|
||||||
Current
|
19.4
|
49.1
|
||||
Deferred
|
(40.0)
|
(1.3)
|
||||
Total
|
(20.5)
|
47.8
|
||||
Net
Income
(Loss)
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
||
Net
Income (Loss) Per Share:
|
||||||
Basic:
|
$
|
(.08)
|
$
|
.47
|
||
Diluted:
|
$
|
(.08)
|
$
|
.46
|
Average
shares
outstanding: Basic
|
230,495,852
|
231,388,190
|
||
Diluted
|
230,495,852
|
233,614,450
|
Dividends
Per Common Share:
|
||||||
Cash
|
$
|
.16
|
$
|
.15
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
4
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Comprehensive Income (Unaudited)
($
in Millions)
Quarters
Ended
March
31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Net
income (loss) as
reported
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
||
Other
comprehensive income (loss):
|
||||||
Foreign
currency translation
adjustment
|
(5.4)
|
.6
|
||||
Unrealized
gains (losses) on securities:
|
||||||
Unrealized
gains (losses) arising during
period
|
(167.5)
|
29.7
|
||||
Less:
elimination of pretax realized gains included in income as
reported
|
.9
|
2.9
|
||||
Pretax
unrealized gains (losses) on securities carried at market
value
|
(168.5)
|
26.7
|
||||
Deferred
income taxes
(credits)
|
(59.0)
|
9.3
|
||||
Net
unrealized gains (losses) on
securities
|
(109.4)
|
17.3
|
||||
Net
adjustment related to defined benefit pension plans, net of
tax
|
.1
|
.4
|
||||
Net
adjustments
|
(114.7)
|
18.4
|
||||
Comprehensive
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(133.7)
|
$
|
126.2
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
5
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
($
in Millions)
Quarters
Ended
March
31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Cash
flows from operating activities:
|
||||||
Net
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
||
Adjustments
to reconcile net income to
|
||||||
net
cash provided by operating activities:
|
||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition
costs
|
6.2
|
11.8
|
||||
Premiums
and other
receivables
|
.6
|
70.6
|
||||
Unpaid
claims and related
items
|
217.2
|
72.0
|
||||
Other
policyholders’ benefits and
funds
|
(17.4)
|
(21.5)
|
||||
Income
taxes
|
(24.4)
|
46.1
|
||||
Prepaid
federal income
taxes
|
35.2
|
(68.1)
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and
funds
|
4.6
|
(19.4)
|
||||
Realized
investment
gains
|
(.9)
|
(2.9)
|
||||
Accounts
payable, accrued expenses and
other
|
(2.8)
|
.6
|
||||
Total
|
199.3
|
197.1
|
||||
Cash
flows from investing activities:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity securities:
|
||||||
Maturities
and early
calls
|
233.1
|
168.8
|
||||
Sales
|
19.9
|
14.3
|
||||
Sales
of:
|
||||||
Equity
securities
|
6.1
|
3.4
|
||||
Other
investments
|
26.9
|
.6
|
||||
Fixed
assets for company
use
|
.8
|
.2
|
||||
Purchases
of:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
(183.9)
|
(266.2)
|
||||
Equity
securities
|
(80.8)
|
-
|
||||
Other
investments
|
(2.3)
|
(.7)
|
||||
Fixed
assets for company
use
|
(8.2)
|
(3.8)
|
||||
Purchase
of a
business
|
(4.3)
|
-
|
||||
Net
decrease (increase) in short-term
investments
|
(155.2)
|
(66.2)
|
||||
Other-net
|
4.8
|
(2.1)
|
||||
Total
|
(142.9)
|
(151.7)
|
||||
Cash
flows from financing activities:
|
||||||
Issuance
of debentures and
notes
|
3.0
|
-
|
||||
Issuance
of common
shares
|
.4
|
5.4
|
||||
Redemption
of debentures and
notes
|
(.2)
|
(5.5)
|
||||
Dividends
on common
shares
|
(36.8)
|
(34.7)
|
||||
Other-net
|
.3
|
-
|
||||
Total
|
(33.3)
|
(34.6)
|
||||
Increase
(decrease) in cash:
|
22.9
|
10.6
|
||||
Cash,
beginning of
period
|
54.0
|
71.6
|
||||
Cash,
end of
period
|
$
|
76.9
|
$
|
82.3
|
||
Supplemental
cash flow information:
|
||||||
Cash
paid during the period for:
Interest
|
$
|
.6
|
$
|
.3
|
||
Income taxes |
$
|
1.7
|
$
|
1.3
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
6
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)
($ in
Millions, Except Share Data)
1.
|
Accounting Policies and Basis
of Presentation:
|
The
accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity
with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) as described in the
Company’s latest annual report to shareholders or otherwise disclosed herein.
The financial accounting and reporting process relies on estimates and on the
exercise of judgment, but in the opinion of management all adjustments,
consisting only of normal recurring accruals, necessary for a fair presentation
of the results were recorded for the interim periods. Amounts shown in the
consolidated financial statements and applicable notes are stated (except as
otherwise indicated and as to share data) in millions, which amounts may not add
to totals shown due to truncation. Necessary reclassifications are made in prior
periods’ financial statements whenever appropriate to conform to the most
current presentation.
The
Financial Accounting Standards Board’s (“FASB”) Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income
Taxes (“FIN 48”) became effective for the Company in the first quarter of
2007. FIN 48 provides recognition criteria and a related measurement model for
uncertain tax positions taken or expected to be taken in income tax returns. FIN
48 requires that a position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return be
recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not that the
position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. The Company’s
unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not
considered material to the consolidated financial statements and have not
changed significantly upon the adoption of FIN 48. There are no tax
uncertainties that are expected to result in significant increases or decreases
to unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve month period. The Company
views its income tax exposures as consisting of timing differences whereby the
ultimate deductibility of a taxable amount is highly certain but the timing of
its deductibility is uncertain. Such differences relate principally to the
timing of deductions for loss and premium reserves. As in prior examinations,
the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) could assert that claim reserve deductions
were overstated thereby reducing the Company’s statutory taxable income in any
particular year. The Company believes that it establishes its reserves fairly
and consistently at each balance sheet date, and that it would succeed in
defending its tax position in these regards. Because of the impact of deferred
tax accounting under GAAP, other than possible interest and penalties which are
classified as income tax expense, the possible accelerated payment of tax to the
IRS would not affect the annual effective tax rate. The IRS has audited the
Company’s consolidated Federal income tax returns through year end 2003 and no
significant adjustments have resulted.
The
Company’s adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, Fair Value Measurements (“FAS
157”), is discussed in Note 3 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
The
adoption of FIN 48 and FAS 157 result in additional financial statement
disclosures for GAAP reporting purposes and have no effect on the conduct of the
Company’s business, its financial condition and results of
operations.
2.
|
Common Share
Data:
|
Earnings
Per Share - The following table provides a reconciliation of the income and
number of shares used in basic and diluted earnings per share
calculations.
Quarters
Ended March 31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Numerator:
|
||||||
Net
Income
(loss)
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
||
Numerator
for basic earnings per share -
|
||||||
income
(loss) available to common
stockholders
|
(19.0)
|
107.7
|
||||
Numerator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
||||||
income
(loss) available to common stockholders
|
||||||
after
assumed
conversions
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
||
Denominator:
|
||||||
Denominator
for basic earnings per share -
|
||||||
weighted-average
shares
(a)
|
230,495,852
|
231,388,190
|
||||
Effect
of dilutive securities – stock options
(b)
|
-
|
2,226,260
|
||||
Denominator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
||||||
adjusted
weighted-average shares and
|
||||||
assumed
conversions
(a)
|
230,495,852
|
233,614,450
|
||||
Earnings
per share:
Basic
|
$
|
(.08)
|
$
|
.47
|
||
Diluted |
$
|
(.08)
|
$
|
.46
|
(a)
|
All
per share statistics have been restated to reflect all stock dividends and
splits declared through March 31,
2008.
|
(b)
|
Outstanding
stock option awards totaling 15,527,938 and 2,912,293 shares as of March
31, 2008 and 2007, respectively, were excluded from the computation of
earnings per share because their effect would have been antidilutive to
the periods presented.
|
7
3.
|
Investments:
|
Effective
January 1, 2008, the Company adopted FAS 157, Fair Value Measurements,
which establishes a framework for measuring fair value, and applies to existing
accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value
measurements. A fair value hierarchy is established within FAS 157
that prioritizes the sources (“inputs”) used to measure fair value into three
broad levels: inputs based on quoted market prices in active markets (Level 1
inputs); observable inputs based on corroboration with available market data
(Level 2 inputs); and unobservable inputs based on uncorroborated market data or
a reporting entity’s own assumptions (Level 3 inputs). The adoption
of FAS 157 has had no impact on the Company’s consolidated financial statements
nor has it resulted in any changes in the asset valuation methods consistently
followed by the Company. The Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K contains
disclosures regarding fair value techniques used for its invested asset
portfolio.
The
following table shows a summary of assets measured at fair value segregated
among the various input levels required by FAS 157:
Fair
value measurements as of March 31,
2008:
|
Level
1
|
Level
2
|
Level
3
|
Total
|
||||
Available
for sale:
|
|||||||
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
$
285.7
|
$
7,092.9
|
$
10.5
|
$
7,389.2
|
|||
Equity
securities
|
617.6
|
.3
|
40.9
|
659.0
|
|||
Short-term
investments
|
610.3
|
-
|
7.1
|
617.4
|
The
Company’s Level 3 fair value measurements are generally based upon external
quotes provided from third party sources which utilize inputs that are not
corroborated with observable market data, or in very few instances, upon the
Company’s own internal assumptions. There were no significant changes
in the fair value of assets measured with the use of significant unobservable
inputs during the quarter ended March 31, 2008. Net unrealized losses on
investments amounted to $30.3 million at March 31, 2008.
Unrealized depreciation of investments, before applicable deferred
income tax credits of $16.6 million at March 31, 2008 included gross unrealized
gains and (losses) of $301.2 million and $(348.3) million, respectively. For the
quarters ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, changes in net unrealized appreciation
(depreciation) of investments, net of deferred income taxes (credits), amounted
to $(109.4) million and $17.3 million, respectively.
4.
|
Pension
Plans:
|
The
Company has three defined benefit pension plans covering a portion of its work
force. All three plans have been closed to new participants since December 31,
2004. Pursuant to plan terms pension payments are based primarily on years of
service and employee compensation near retirement. It is the Company’s policy to
fund the plans’ costs as they accrue. Plan assets are comprised principally of
bonds, common stocks and short-term investments. The components of estimated net
periodic pension cost for the plans consisted of the following:
Quarter
Ended
March
31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Service
cost
|
$
|
2.0
|
$
|
2.3
|
|
Interest
cost
|
3.8
|
3.4
|
|||
Expected
return on plan
assets
|
(4.1)
|
(3.9)
|
|||
Recognized
loss
|
.1
|
.8
|
|||
Net
cost
|
$
|
1.8
|
$
|
2.6
|
The
Companies made no cash contributions to their pension plans in the first quarter
2008 and expect to make cash contributions of approximately $6.0 million to
their pension plans in the remaining portion of calendar year
2008.
8
5.
|
Information About Segments of
Business:
|
The
Company is engaged in the single business of insurance underwriting. It conducts
its operations through a number of regulated insurance company subsidiaries
organized into three major segments, namely its General Insurance (property and
liability insurance), Mortgage Guaranty and Title Insurance Groups. The results
of a small life & health insurance business are included with those of its
corporate and minor service operations. Each of the Company’s segments
underwrites and services only those insurance coverages which may be written by
it pursuant to state insurance regulations and corporate charter provisions.
Segment results exclude net realized investment gains or losses as these are
aggregated in the consolidated totals. The contributions of Old Republic’s
insurance industry segments to consolidated totals are shown in the following
table.
Quarters
Ended
March
31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
General
Insurance Group:
|
|||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
512.7
|
$
|
521.7
|
|
Net
investment income and other
income
|
68.8
|
68.0
|
|||
Total
revenues before realized gains or
losses
|
$
|
581.5
|
$
|
589.7
|
|
Income
before taxes and realized investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
89.8
|
$
|
102.9
|
|
Income
tax expense on
above
|
$
|
26.5
|
$
|
31.0
|
|
Mortgage
Guaranty Group:
|
|||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
147.6
|
$
|
118.0
|
|
Net
investment income and other
income
|
24.7
|
21.3
|
|||
Total
revenues before realized gains or
losses
|
$
|
172.4
|
$
|
139.4
|
|
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) and realized investment gains or
losses
|
$
|
(122.3)
|
$
|
48.3
|
|
Income
tax expense (credit) on
above
|
$
|
(44.2)
|
$
|
15.7
|
|
Title
Insurance Group:
|
|||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
118.1
|
$
|
154.5
|
|
Title,
escrow and other
fees
|
42.5
|
55.5
|
|||
Sub-total
|
160.7
|
210.1
|
|||
Net
investment income and other
income
|
6.3
|
7.1
|
|||
Total
revenues before realized gains or
losses
|
$
|
167.1
|
$
|
217.2
|
|
Income
(loss) before tax credits and realized investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
(12.6)
|
$
|
.7
|
|
Income
tax credit on
above
|
$
|
(4.9)
|
$
|
(.2)
|
|
Consolidated
Revenues:
|
|||||
Total
revenues of above Company
segments
|
$
|
921.1
|
$
|
946.3
|
|
Other
sources
(b)
|
38.4
|
33.3
|
|||
Consolidated
net realized investment
gains
|
.9
|
2.9
|
|||
Consolidation
elimination
adjustments
|
(8.8)
|
(8.8)
|
|||
Consolidated
revenues
|
$
|
951.6
|
$
|
973.9
|
|
Consolidated
Income (Loss) Before Taxes (Credits):
|
|||||
Total
income (loss) before taxes (credits) and realized investment
gains
or losses of above Company
segments
|
$
|
(45.2)
|
$
|
151.9
|
|
Other
sources – net
(b)
|
4.6
|
.6
|
|||
Consolidated
net realized investment
gains
|
.9
|
2.9
|
|||
Consolidated
income (loss) before income taxes (credits)
|
$
|
(39.6)
|
$
|
155.6
|
|
Consolidated
Income Tax Expense (Credit):
|
|||||
Total
income tax expense (credit) for above Company segments
|
$
|
(22.5)
|
$
|
46.5
|
|
Other
sources – net
(b)
|
1.6
|
.2
|
|||
Income
tax expense on consolidated net realized investment gains
|
.3
|
1.0
|
|||
Consolidated
income tax expense
(credit)
|
$
|
(20.5)
|
$
|
47.8
|
9
March
31,
|
December
31,
|
||
2008
|
2007
|
Consolidated
Assets:
|
|||||
General
|
$
|
9,695.6
|
$
|
9,769.9
|
|
Mortgage
|
2,624.9
|
2,523.8
|
|||
Title
|
777.7
|
770.4
|
|||
Other
assets
(b)
|
438.9
|
437.9
|
|||
Consolidation
elimination
adjustments
|
(287.5)
|
(211.5)
|
|||
Consolidated
|
$
|
13,249.7
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
In the
above tables, net premiums earned on a GAAP basis differ slightly from statutory
amounts due to certain differences in calculations of unearned premium reserves
under each accounting method.
(a)
|
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) is reported net of interest charges on
intercompany financing arrangements with Old Republic’s holding company
parent for the following segments: General - $3.5 million and $4.2 million
for the quarters ending March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively; Title - $.7
million and $.3 million for the quarters ending March 31, 2008
and 2007, respectively.
|
(b)
|
Represents
amounts for Old Republic’s holding company parent, minor corporate
services subsidiaries, and a small life and health insurance
operation.
|
|
6.
|
Commitments and Contingent
Liabilities:
|
Legal
proceedings against the Company arise in the normal course of business and
usually pertain to claim matters related to insurance policies and contracts
issued by its insurance subsidiaries. Other legal proceedings are discussed
below.
Purported
class action lawsuits are pending against the Company’s principal title
insurance subsidiary, Old Republic National Title Insurance Company (“ORNTIC”)
in state and federal courts in Connecticut, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania and
Texas. The plaintiffs allege that, pursuant to rate schedules filed by ORNTIC or
by state rating bureaus with the state insurance regulators, ORNTIC was required
to, but failed to give consumers reissue and/or refinance credits on the
premiums charged for title insurance covering mortgage refinancing transactions.
Substantially similar lawsuits are also pending against other unaffiliated title
insurance companies in these and other states as well. The actions seek damages
and declaratory and injunctive relief. ORNTIC intends to defend vigorously
against the actions but, at this stage in the litigation, the Company cannot
estimate the ultimate costs it may incur as the actions proceed to their
conclusions.
Since
early February 2008, more than 50 purported consumer class action lawsuits have
been filed against the principal title insurance companies, their subsidiaries
and affiliates, and title insurance rating bureaus or associations in at least
10 states. The suits are substantially identical in alleging that the defendant
title insurers engaged in illegal price-fixing agreements to set artificially
high premium rates and conspired to create premium rates which the state
insurance regulatory authorities could not evaluate and therefore, could not
adequately regulate. The Company and its principal title insurance subsidiary,
Old Republic National Title Insurance Company, are among the named defendants in
25 of these actions, and are likely to be included in others. A second
subsidiary, American Guaranty Title Insurance Company, is also named in most but
not all of the same suits. The Company and its subsidiaries intend to
defend vigorously against all of these actions and, given the recency of these
actions, are unable to estimate the costs they may incur in defending them to
their conclusions.
Purported
class action lawsuits are also pending against two of the Company’s title agency
subsidiaries, Old Republic Title & Escrow, Ltd. and Old Republic Title
Company, in the Superior Court of Washington, King County, and the U.S. District
Court for the Northern District of California, respectively. The action in
Washington alleges that the Company’s subsidiary overcharged customers for
escrow-related fees and did not disclose to customers that it would keep
interest or credits or benefits in lieu of interest on money deposited into
escrow. The action in California is brought by and on behalf of Hispanic home
buyers in Monterey County against various real estate developers, brokers,
mortgage brokers, mortgage lenders, mortgage loan servicers, as well as the
Company’s title agency subsidiary, and alleges that the title agency failed to
provide adequate disclosures to protect the buyers from the abusive sales and
predatory lending practices of the other defendants. Both actions seek damages,
declaratory and injunctive relief. The Company’s subsidiaries intend to defend
vigorously against both actions and are unable at this early stage in the
litigation to estimate the costs they may incur in defending these actions to
their conclusions.
10
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Quarters
Ended March 31, 2008 and 2007
($ in
Millions, Except Share Data)
OVERVIEW
|
This
management analysis of financial position and results of operations pertains to
the consolidated accounts of Old Republic International Corporation (“Old
Republic” or “the Company”). The Company conducts its operations through three
major regulatory segments, namely, its General (property and liability),
Mortgage Guaranty, and Title insurance segments. A small life and health
insurance business, accounting for 2.9% of consolidated revenues for the quarter
ended March 31, 2008 and 2.1% of consolidated assets as of March 31, 2008, is
included within the corporate and other caption of this financial report. The
consolidated accounts are presented on the basis of generally accepted
accounting principles (“GAAP”). This management analysis should be read in
conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the footnotes
appended to them.
The
insurance business is distinguished from most others in that the prices
(premiums) charged for various insurance coverages are set without certainty of
the ultimate benefit and claim costs that will emerge or be incurred, often many
years after issuance and expiration of a policy. This basic fact casts Old
Republic as a risk-taking enterprise managed for the long run. Management
therefore conducts the business with a primary focus on achieving favorable
underwriting results over cycles, and on the maintenance of financial soundness
in support of the insurance subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance
beneficiaries. To achieve these objectives, adherence to insurance risk
management principles is stressed, and asset diversification and quality are
emphasized. In addition to income arising from Old Republic’s basic underwriting
and related services functions, significant investment income is earned from
invested funds generated by those functions and from shareholders’ capital.
Investment management aims for stability of income from interest and dividends,
protection of capital, and sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting
and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Securities trading
and the realization of capital gains are not objectives. The investment
philosophy is therefore best characterized as emphasizing value, credit quality,
and relatively long-term holding periods. The Company’s ability to hold both
fixed maturity and equity securities for long periods of time is in turn enabled
by the scheduling of maturities in contemplation of an appropriate matching of
assets and liabilities.
In light
of the above factors, the Company’s affairs are managed without regard to the
arbitrary strictures of quarterly or even annual reporting periods that American
industry must observe. In Old Republic’s view, such short reporting time frames
do not comport well with the long-term nature of much of its business.
Management believes that the Company’s operating results and financial condition
can best be evaluated by observing underwriting and overall operating
performance trends over succeeding five to ten year intervals. Such extended
periods can encompass one or two economic and/or underwriting cycles, and
thereby provide appropriate time frames for such cycles to run their course and
for reserved claim costs to be quantified with greater finality and
effect.
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
|
Old
Republic’s consolidated operating results, which exclude net realized investment
gains, decreased significantly in this year’s first quarter. The reduced
performance stemmed from ongoing weakness in the Company’s housing-related
mortgage guaranty and title insurance lines. In management’s opinion, the
substantial dislocations that have enveloped all businesses with housing and
mortgage-lending exposures are likely to exert earnings pressures well into
2009. These lowered expectations aside, the Company’s strong
financial underpinnings and the earnings sustainability of its general insurance
business should provide necessary earnings support and capital management
flexibility for the resumption of positive operating trends in 2010 and
beyond.
11
Consolidated Results – The
major components of Old Republic’s consolidated results were as follows for the
periods shown:
Quarters
Ended March 31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
Operating
revenues:
|
||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
581.5
|
$
|
589.7
|
-1.4
|
%
|
||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
172.4
|
139.4
|
23.7
|
|||||
Title
insurance
|
167.1
|
217.2
|
-23.1
|
|||||
Corporate
and
other
|
29.6
|
24.5
|
||||||
Total
|
$
|
950.7
|
$
|
970.9
|
-2.1
|
%
|
||
Pretax
operating income (loss):
|
||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
89.8
|
$
|
102.9
|
-12.7
|
%
|
||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
(122.3)
|
48.3
|
-353.3
|
|||||
Title
insurance
|
(12.6)
|
0.7
|
N/M
|
|||||
Corporate
and
other
|
4.6
|
0.6
|
||||||
Sub-total
|
(40.5)
|
152.6
|
-126.6
|
|||||
Realized
investment gains (losses):
|
||||||||
From
sales
|
0.9
|
2.9
|
||||||
From
impairments
|
-
|
-
|
||||||
Net
realized investment
gains
|
0.9
|
2.9
|
||||||
Consolidated pretax
income (loss)
|
(39.6)
|
155.6
|
-125.5
|
|||||
Income
taxes
(credits)
|
(20.5)
|
47.8
|
-143.0
|
|||||
Net
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(19.0)
|
$
|
107.7
|
-117.7
|
%
|
Consolidated
underwriting ratio:
|
||||||||
Benefits
and claims
ratio
|
76.6
|
%
|
48.6
|
%
|
||||
Expense
ratio
|
39.1
|
43.6
|
||||||
Composite
ratio
|
115.7
|
%
|
92.2
|
%
|
Components
of diluted earnings per share:
|
||||||||
Net
operating income
(loss)
|
$
|
(0.08)
|
$
|
0.45
|
-117.8
|
%
|
||
Net
realized investment
gains
|
-
|
0.01
|
||||||
Net
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(0.08)
|
$
|
0.46
|
-117.4
|
%
|
N/M
= not meaningful
The above
table shows both operating and net income to highlight the effects of realized
investment gain or loss recognition and any non-recurring items on
period-to-period comparisons. Operating income, however, does not replace net
income computed in accordance with GAAP as a measure of total
profitability.
The
recognition of realized investment gains or losses can be highly discretionary
and arbitrary due to such factors as the timing of individual securities sales,
recognition of estimated losses from write-downs for impaired securities,
tax-planning considerations, and changes in investment management judgments
relative to the direction of securities markets or the future prospects of
individual investees or industry sectors. Likewise, non-recurring items which
may emerge from time to time, can distort the comparability of the Company’s
results from period to period. Accordingly, management uses net operating
income, a non-GAAP financial measure, to evaluate and better explain operating
performance, and believes its use enhances an understanding of Old Republic’s
basic business results.
General Insurance Results –
First quarter 2008 general insurance earnings were mainly affected by a
slightly lower earned premium base and the higher claim ratio shown in the
following table:
General
Insurance Group
|
Quarters
Ended March 31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
512.7
|
$
|
521.7
|
-1.7
|
%
|
||
Net
investment
income
|
64.5
|
62.8
|
2.7
|
|||||
Pretax
operating
income
|
$
|
89.8
|
$
|
102.9
|
-12.7
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
69.9
|
%
|
64.5
|
%
|
|||
Expense
ratio
|
24.4
|
26.9
|
|||||
Composite
ratio
|
94.3
|
%
|
91.4
|
%
|
Earned
premiums trended lower in this year’s first three months. A
moderately declining rate environment for most commercial insurance prices in
the past two years has precluded more positive additions to Old Republic’s
premium base. For this year’s first quarter, the slightly lower top line was
accompanied by an increase in the claims ratio to 69.9% from 64.5% in last
year’s first quarter, versus an average of 66.8% for the five most recent
calendar years. This year’s higher claims ratio was driven mostly by greater
loss costs in Old Republic’s consumer credit indemnity line and, to a lesser
extent, those of its general aviation and truck physical damage
coverages.
12
Expense-wise,
the ratio of 24.4% to earned premiums in the first three months of 2008 compared
favorably with the 26.9% registered in last year’s first quarter, and the
average of 24.8% for the five years ended in 2007. This most recent quarterly
decline reflects temporary differences in volume contributions by insurance
coverages experiencing varying year-over-year production volumes and expense
content. Over the near term, however, these differences should attenuate and
trend toward longer term averages.
General
Insurance Group net investment income growth, up 2.7% for this year’s first
quarter, was influenced by the combination of a greater invested asset
base, slightly higher market yields on fixed maturity securities, and
lower dividend yields on equity holdings.
Mortgage Guaranty Results – A
continued rise in claim costs, driven mainly by higher mortgage loan
delinquencies and claim severity, overcame a strong double digit increase in net
premiums earned for this year’s first three months. As a consequence, pretax
operating results were unprofitable for the third consecutive quarter. Key
indicators of this cyclical reversal in profitability for Old Republic’s second
largest business segment are shown below and in the accompanying statistical
exhibit.
Mortgage
Guaranty Group
|
Quarters
Ended March 31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
147.6
|
$
|
118.0
|
25.1
|
%
|
||
Net
investment
income
|
21.5
|
18.9
|
13.7
|
|||||
Pretax
operating income
(loss)
|
$
|
(122.3)
|
$
|
48.3
|
-353.3
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
181.1
|
%
|
54.4
|
%
|
|||
Expense
ratio
|
16.4
|
20.8
|
|||||
Composite
ratio
|
197.5
|
%
|
75.2
|
%
|
Mortgage
guaranty premium growth of 25.1% in this year’s first quarter was mostly due to
a 34.2% increase in traditional primary risk in force vis-à-vis the first
quarter of 2007. Growth of risk in force was in turn driven by higher
persistency of traditional primary business produced in prior years (78.3% for
this year’s first quarter versus 73.7% in the same period of 2007), and a 70.3%
year-over-year increase in new insurance written resulting from greater market
acceptance of traditional primary mortgage guaranty insurance.
The
unprecedented cyclical downturn in housing and related mortgage finance
industries currently affecting this Old Republic segment, however, contributed
to the above noted offsetting impact of claim costs. Such costs reflect the
combination of unfavorable loan default trends, greater claim severity caused by
the larger insured loan values of recent years, and lessened opportunities to
mitigate reported claims. Inflated inventories of unsold homes, weakening home
values, and a more restrictive credit environment are main causes for these
lessened mitigation opportunities.
This
year’s first quarter incurred loss ratio increased to 181.1% from 54.4%
registered in the same period last year. By contrast the ratio of paid losses to
earned premiums rose from 35.3% in the first quarter of 2007 to 55.0% in the
latest quarter. The disparity between paid and incurred losses is caused by much
greater claim reserve provisions which accounted for 126.1 loss ratio points in
this year’s first quarter, compared to just 19.1 loss ratio points in the same
quarter of 2007, and 76.3 loss ratio points for all of 2007 when the
incurred loss ratio rested at 118.8%. As of March 31, 2008, net
claims reserves of $831.0 million were approximately 206% higher than they were
one year before, and 29% greater than the year end 2007 level.
Lower
production and operating expenses, at 16.4% of net premiums earned for this
year’s first three months, continued to be a bright spot in operating trends.
The beneficial effect of this lower cost element on bottom line results,
however, was offset by the more severe impact of greater claim costs. The
combination of all these factors led to a rise in the composite ratio of claims
and expenses to 197.5% in this year’s first quarter versus 75.2% in last year’s
first three months, 194.6% in the final quarter of 2007, and 136.5% for all of
2007.
Underwriting
results notwithstanding, Old Republic’s Mortgage Guaranty segment continued to
post strong operating cash flows. These have been additive to a very liquid
invested asset base which reached $1.91 billion as of March 31, 2008, up 21.1%
from the level attained one year earlier. The greater invested asset base
produced 13.7% more investment income for the quarter.
13
Title Insurance Results – Old
Republic’s title insurance business registered an operating loss for this year’s
first quarter. Key indicators of its results are shown in the following
table:
Title
Insurance Group
|
Quarters
Ended March 31,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
Net
premiums and fees
earned
|
$
|
160.7
|
$
|
210.1
|
-23.5
|
%
|
||
Net
investment
income
|
6.4
|
6.7
|
-4.3
|
|||||
Pretax
operating income
(loss)
|
$
|
(12.6)
|
$
|
0.7
|
N/M
|
Claims
ratio
|
7.0
|
%
|
6.0
|
%
|
|||
Expense
ratio
|
104.5
|
96.8
|
|||||
Composite
ratio
|
111.5
|
%
|
102.8
|
%
|
The
ongoing cyclical downturn in the housing and related mortgage lending sectors of
the U.S. economy led to further reductions of premiums and fees revenues for the
title segment. Direct production facilities in the Western United States
continued to sustain the greatest adverse effects of this downturn. While
overall 2008 production and operating expenses dropped by 17.4% quarter over
quarter, the decline was insufficient to counter the much larger reduction in
title premium and fees revenues.
Corporate and Other Operations –
The Company’s small life and health insurance business and the net costs
associated with the parent holding company and internal services subsidiaries
produced a greater gain in this year’s first quarter. Period-to-period
variations in the results of these relatively minor elements of Old Republic’s
operations usually stem from the volatility inherent to the small scale of its
life and health business, fluctuations in the costs of external debt, and net
interest on intra-system financing arrangements.
Cash, Invested Assets, and
Shareholders’ Equity – The following table reflects Old Republic’s
consolidated cash and invested assets as well as shareholders’ equity at the
dates shown:
%
Change
|
March
2008
|
December
2007
|
March
2007
|
March
‘08/
Dec
‘07
|
March
‘08/
March
‘07
|
Cash
and invested assets at fair value
|
$
|
8,895.1
|
$
|
8,924.0
|
$
|
8,407.4
|
-0.3%
|
5.8%
|
|||||
Shareholders’
equity:
|
|||||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
4,376.7
|
$
|
4,541.6
|
$
|
4,471.8
|
-3.6%
|
-2.1%
|
|||||
Per
common
share
|
$
|
18.99
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.33
|
-3.7%
|
-1.8%
|
|||||
Composition
of shareholders’ equity per share:
|
|||||||||||||
Equity
before items
below
|
$
|
19.08
|
$
|
19.31
|
$
|
19.06
|
-1.2%
|
0.1%
|
|||||
Unrealized
investment gains or losses and other accumulated comprehensive
income
|
(0.09)
|
0.40
|
0.27
|
||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
18.99
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.33
|
-3.7%
|
-1.8%
|
Consolidated
cash flow from operating activities amounted to $199.3 million for the first
three months of 2008 versus $197.1 million for the same period in 2007. Other
than title insurance, each Old Republic segment remained cash flow - positive in
this year’s first quarter. Excluding the effects of unrealized gains or losses,
the cash and invested asset base grew by 1.6% to $8.94 billion between year-end
2007 and March 31st of this year, and by 8.0% for the fiscal twelve months ended
on the latter date.
The
investment portfolio reflects a current allocation of approximately 85% to
fixed-maturity securities and 8% to equities. As has been the case for many
years, Old Republic’s invested assets are managed in consideration of
enterprise-wide risk management objectives intended to assure solid funding of
its subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance policyholders and other
beneficiaries. Consequently, it contains little or no insurance
risk-correlated asset exposures to real estate, mortgage-backed securities and
collateralized debt obligations (“CDO’s”), nor to derivatives, junk bonds, or
illiquid private equity investments. In a similar vein, the Company does not
engage in hedging transactions and does not invest in securities whose values
are predicated on non-regulated financial instruments exhibiting amorphous
counter-party risk attributes.
14
Substantially
all changes in the shareholders’ equity account for the periods reported upon
reflect the registered earnings or losses, dividend payments, and changes in
market valuations of invested assets. A summary of changes in book value per
share follows:
Three
Months Ended
March
31,
2008
|
Fiscal
Twelve Months
Ended
March
31,
2008
|
Beginning
book value per
share
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.33
|
|
Changes
in shareholders’ equity for the periods:
|
|||||
Net operating income
(loss)
|
(0.08)
|
0.44
|
|||
Net realized investment gains
(losses)
|
-
|
0.19
|
|||
Net unrealized investment gains
(losses)
|
(0.48)
|
(0.50)
|
|||
Cash
dividends
|
(0.16)
|
(0.64)
|
|||
Treasury stock
acquired
|
-
|
0.01
|
|||
Stock issuance, foreign
exchange, and other
transactions
|
-
|
0.16
|
|||
Net
change
|
(0.72)
|
(0.34)
|
|||
Ending
book value per
share
|
$
|
18.99
|
$
|
18.99
|
TECHNICAL
MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS
|
CRITICAL
ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
|
The Company’s annual and interim
financial statements incorporate a large number and types of estimates relative
to matters which are highly uncertain at the time the estimates are made. The
estimation process required of an insurance enterprise is by its very nature
highly dynamic inasmuch as it necessitates a continuous evaluation, analysis,
and quantification of factual data as it becomes known to the Company. As a
result, actual experienced outcomes can differ from the estimates made at any
point in time, and thus affect future periods’ reported revenues, expenses, net
income, and financial condition.
Old Republic believes that its most
critical accounting estimates relate to: a) the determination of
other-than-temporary impairments in the value of fixed maturity and equity
investments; b) the establishment of deferred acquisition costs which vary
directly with the production of insurance premiums; c) the recoverability of
reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses; and d) the establishment of reserves
for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The major assumptions and methods used
in setting these estimates are discussed in the Company’s 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10K.
CHANGES
IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES
|
In July 2006, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (“FASB”) issued its Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income
Taxes (“FIN 48”), which became effective for the Company in the first
quarter of 2007. FIN 48 provides recognition criteria and a related measurement
model for uncertain tax positions taken or expected to be taken in income tax
returns. FIN 48 requires that a position taken or expected to be taken in a tax
return be recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not
that the position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. The
Company’s unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals,
are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements and did not
change significantly upon the adoption of FIN 48. There are no tax uncertainties
that are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to
unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve month period. As indicated in
Note 1 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, the Company believes
that the major uncertainties relating to its tax position pertain to timing
differences in the recognition of taxable income. Accordingly, the annual
effective tax rate, other than possible interest and penalties, would be largely
unaffected as an increase in currently due income taxes would likely be offset
by a corresponding deferred income tax adjustment.
In
September 2006, the FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No.
157 Fair Value
Measurements (“FAS 157”), which establishes a framework for measuring
fair value. FAS 157 applies to existing accounting pronouncements that require
or permit fair value measurements, and became effective for the Company in the
first quarter of 2008. Disclosure requirements associated with the standard have
been incorporated in Note 3 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
The
adoption of FIN 48 and FAS 157 result in additional financial statement
disclosures for GAAP reporting purposes and have no effect on the conduct of the
Company’s business, its financial condition and results of
operations.
15
FINANCIAL
POSITION
|
The
Company’s financial position at March 31, 2008 reflected decreases in assets and
common shareholders’ equity of .3%, and 3.6%, respectively, and increased
liabilities of 1.4% when compared to the immediately preceding year-end. Cash
and invested assets represented 67.1% of consolidated assets as of March 31,
2008 and December 31, 2007. Consolidated operating cash flow was positive at
$199.3 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to $197.1 million in the
same period of 2007. As of March 31, 2008, invested assets decreased .6% to
$8,712.8 million principally as a result of a net decline in the market
valuation of such assets.
Investments - During the
first quarters of 2008 and 2007, the Company committed most investable funds to
short to intermediate-term fixed maturity securities. At both March 31, 2008 and
2007, approximately 99% of the Company’s investments consisted of marketable
securities. Old Republic continues to adhere to its long-term policy of
investing primarily in investment grade, marketable securities. Investable funds
have not been directed to so-called "junk bonds", illiquid private equity
investments, real estate, mortgage loans, mortgage-backed securities,
collateralized debt obligations (“CDO’s”), or derivatives. In a similar vein,
the Company does not invest in securities whose values are predicated on
non-regulated financial instruments exhibiting amorphous counter-party risk
attributes. At March 31, 2008, the Company had no fixed maturity investments in
default as to principal and/or interest.
Relatively
high short-term maturity investment positions continued to be maintained as of
March 31, 2008. Such positions reflect a large variety of seasonal and
intermediate-term factors including current operating needs, expected operating
cash flows, quarter-end cash flow seasonality, and investment strategy
considerations. Accordingly, the future level of short-term investments will
vary and respond to the interplay of these factors and may, as a result,
increase or decrease from current levels.
The
Company does not own or utilize derivative financial instruments for the purpose
of hedging, enhancing the overall return of its investment portfolio, or
reducing the cost of its debt obligations. With regard to its equity portfolio,
the Company does not own any options nor does it engage in any type of option
writing. Traditional investment management tools and techniques are employed to
address the yield and valuation exposures of the invested assets base. The
long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is managed so as to limit various
risks inherent in the bond market. Credit risk is addressed through asset
diversification and the purchase of investment grade securities. Reinvestment
rate risk is reduced by concentrating on non-callable issues, and by taking
asset-liability matching considerations into account. Purchases of mortgage and
asset backed securities, which have variable principal prepayment options, are
generally avoided. Market value risk is limited through the purchase of bonds of
intermediate maturity. The combination of these investment management practices
is expected to produce a more stable long-term fixed maturity investment
portfolio that is not subject to extreme interest rate sensitivity and principal
deterioration.
The
market value of the Company’s long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is
sensitive, however, to fluctuations in the level of interest rates, but not
materially affected by changes in anticipated cash flows caused by any
prepayments. The impact of interest rate movements on the long-term fixed
maturity investment portfolio generally affects net unrealized gains or losses.
As a general rule, rising interest rates enhance currently available yields but
typically lead to a reduction in the fair value of existing fixed maturity
investments. By contrast, a decline in such rates reduces currently available
yields but usually serves to increase the fair value of the existing fixed
maturity investment portfolio. All such changes in fair value are reflected, net
of deferred income taxes, directly in the shareholders’ equity account, and as a
separate component of the statement of comprehensive income. Given the Company’s
inability to forecast or control the movement of interest rates, Old Republic
sets the maturity spectrum of its fixed maturity securities portfolio within
parameters of estimated liability payouts, and focuses the overall portfolio on
high quality investments. By so doing, Old Republic believes it is reasonably
assured of its ability to hold securities to maturity as it may deem necessary
in changing environments, and of ultimately recovering their aggregate
cost.
Possible
future declines in fair values for Old Republic’s bond and stock portfolios
would negatively affect the common shareholders’ equity account at any point in
time, but would not necessarily result in the recognition of realized investment
losses. The Company reviews the status and market value changes of each of its
investments on at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of
other-than-temporary impairments in the portfolio’s value are evaluated and
established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In reviewing investments for
other-than-temporary impairment, the Company, in addition to a security’s market
price history, considers the totality of such factors as the issuer’s operating
results, financial condition and liquidity, its ability to access capital
markets, credit rating trends, most current audit opinion, industry and
securities markets conditions, and analyst expectations to reach its
conclusions. Sudden market value declines caused by such adverse developments as
newly emerged or imminent bankruptcy filings, issuer default on significant
obligations, or reports of financial accounting developments that bring into
question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition,
are recognized as realized losses as soon as credible publicly available
information emerges to confirm such developments. Accordingly, the recognition
of losses from other-than-temporary value impairments is subject to a great deal
of judgment as well as turns of events over which the Company can exercise
little or no control. In the event the Company’s estimate of
other-than-temporary impairments is insufficient at any point in time, future
periods’ net income would be affected adversely by the recognition of additional
realized or impairment losses, but its financial condition would not necessarily
be affected adversely inasmuch as such losses, or a portion of them, could have
been recognized previously as unrealized losses.
16
The following tables show certain
information relating to the Company’s fixed maturity and equity portfolios as of
the dates shown:
Credit
Quality Ratings of Fixed Maturity Securities
(a)
|
March
31,
|
December
31,
|
|||
2008
|
2007
|
|||
Aaa
|
30.3%
|
32.9%
|
||
Aa
|
18.1
|
17.0
|
||
A
|
29.6
|
27.9
|
||
Baa
|
19.8
|
20.2
|
||
Total investment
grade
|
97.8
|
98.0
|
||
All
other
(b)
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
||
Total
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
|
(a)
|
Credit
quality ratings used are those assigned primarily by Moody’s; other
ratings are assigned by Standard & Poor’s and converted to equivalent
Moody’s ratings classifications.
|
|
(b)
|
“All
other” includes non-investment grade or non-rated small issues of
tax-exempt bonds.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Non-Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
March
31, 2008
|
Amortized
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
|||
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
||||
Service
|
$
39.4
|
$
7.4
|
||
Consumer
Durables
|
40.1
|
3.9
|
||
Financial
|
13.9
|
2.0
|
||
Industrial
|
5.0
|
.9
|
||
Other
(includes 6 industry
groups)
|
33.7
|
1.3
|
||
Total
|
$
132.3
|
(c)
|
$
15.7
|
|
(c)
|
Represents
1.8% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
March
31, 2008
|
||||
Amortized
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
|||
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
||||
Financial
|
$
116.3
|
$
6.4
|
||
Banking
|
140.9
|
4.9
|
||
Utilities
|
165.8
|
2.2
|
||
Telecom
|
33.4
|
2.2
|
||
Other
(includes 14 industry groups)
|
481.7
|
9.4
|
||
Total
|
$
938.4
|
(d)
|
$
25.1
|
|
(d)
|
Represents
13.0% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
17
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Equity
Securities
|
March
31, 2008
|
|||||
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
||||
Equity
Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
|||||
Insurance
|
$ 483.1
|
(e)
|
$
275.5
|
(e) | |
Banking
|
102.0
|
23.6
|
|||
Health
Care
|
22.4
|
4.2
|
|||
Natural
Gas
|
7.1
|
.9
|
|||
Utilities
|
6.8
|
.5
|
|||
Total
|
$
621.6
|
(f)
|
$
304.9
|
(g)
|
|
(e)
|
Represents
principally two insurance companies that have business operations
concentrated in the U.S. housing
industry.
|
|
(f)
|
Represents
70.5% of the total equity securities
portfolio.
|
|
(g)
|
Represents
34.6% of the cost of the total equity securities portfolio, while gross
unrealized gains represent 9.3% of the
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Maturity Ranges For All Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
March
31, 2008
|
|||||||
Amortized
Costs of
Fixed
Maturity Securities
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses
|
||||||
All
|
Non
Investment
Grade
Only
|
All
|
Non
Investment
Grade
Only
|
||||
Maturity
Ranges:
|
|||||||
Due in one year or
less
|
$
129.3
|
$
31.9
|
$ 1.8
|
$ 1.4
|
|||
Due after one year through five
years
|
483.3
|
85.1
|
22.7
|
11.2
|
|||
Due after five years through
ten years
|
450.6
|
15.2
|
16.1
|
3.1
|
|||
Due after ten
years
|
7.3
|
-
|
.2
|
-
|
|||
Total
|
$
1,070.7
|
$ 132.3
|
$
40.9
|
$
15.7
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Duration and Amount of Unrealized
Losses
|
March
31, 2008
|
||||||||
Amount
of Gross Unrealized Losses
|
||||||||
Less
than
20%
of Cost
|
20%
to 50%
of Cost
|
More
than
50%
of Cost
|
Total
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
|
Number
of Months in Loss Position:
|
|||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
|||||||||||||
One to six
months
|
$
|
4.4
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
4.4
|
|||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
7.0
|
1.3
|
-
|
8.3
|
|||||||||
More than twelve
months
|
21.7
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
28.1
|
|||||||||
Total
|
$
|
33.1
|
$
|
6.3
|
$
|
1.4
|
$
|
40.9
|
|||||
Equity
Securities:
|
|||||||||||||
One to six
months
|
$
|
8.5
|
$
|
135.0
|
$
|
157.0
|
$
|
300.6
|
|||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
4.2
|
-
|
-
|
4.2
|
|||||||||
More than twelve
months
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||
Total
|
$
|
12.8
|
$
|
135.0
|
$
|
157.0
|
$
|
304.9
|
|||||
Number
of Issues in Loss Position:
|
||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||||
One to six
months
|
79
|
-
|
-
|
79
|
||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
31
|
1
|
-
|
32
|
||||
More than twelve
months
|
133
|
3
|
1
|
137
|
||||
Total
|
243
|
4
|
1
|
248
|
(h)
|
|||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||||||
One to six
months
|
8
|
5
|
1
|
14
|
||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
||||
More than twelve
months
|
-
|
1
|
-
|
1
|
||||
Total
|
9
|
6
|
1
|
16
|
(h)
|
|
(h)
|
At
March 31, 2008 the number of issues in an unrealized loss position
represent 12.7% as to fixed maturities, and 59.3% as to equity securities
of the total number of such issues held by the
Company.
|
The aging
of issues with unrealized losses employs closing market price comparisons with
an issue’s original cost. The percentage reduction from original cost reflects
the decline as of a specific point in time (March 31, 2008 in the previous
table) and, accordingly, is not indicative of a security’s value having been
consistently below its cost at the percentages and throughout the periods
shown.
18
Age
Distribution of Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
March
31,
|
December
31,
|
|||
2008
|
2007
|
|||
Maturity
Ranges:
|
||||
Due in one year or
less
|
11.4%
|
11.7%
|
||
Due after one year through
five
years
|
50.2
|
46.8
|
||
Due after five years through
ten
years
|
38.1
|
41.1
|
||
Due after ten years through
fifteen
years
|
.3
|
.4
|
||
Due after fifteen
years
|
-
|
-
|
||
Total
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
||
Average
Maturity in
Years
|
4.3
|
4.4
|
||
Duration
(i)
|
3.7
|
3.8
|
|
(i)
|
Duration
is used as a measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rate changes. A
duration of 3.7 as of March 31, 2008 implies that a 100 basis point
parallel increase in interest rates from current levels would result in a
possible decline in the market value of the long-term fixed maturity
investment portfolio of approximately
3.7%.
|
Composition
of Unrealized Gains (Losses)
|
March
31,
|
December
31,
|
|||
2008
|
2007
|
|||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||
Amortized
cost
|
$
7,230.1
|
$ 7,312.2
|
||
Estimated fair
value
|
7,389.2
|
7,383.6
|
||
Gross unrealized
gains
|
200.0
|
106.9
|
||
Gross unrealized
losses
|
(40.9)
|
(35.6)
|
||
Net unrealized
gains
|
$
159.0
|
$
71.3
|
||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||
Cost
|
$
882.0
|
$
807.3
|
||
Estimated fair
value
|
659.0
|
842.1
|
||
Gross unrealized
gains
|
81.9
|
115.1
|
||
Gross unrealized
losses
|
(304.9)
|
(80.4)
|
||
Net unrealized gains
(losses)
|
$
(222.9)
|
$
34.7
|
Other Assets - Among other
major assets, substantially all of the Company’s receivables are not past due.
Reinsurance recoverable balances on paid or estimated unpaid losses are deemed
recoverable from solvent reinsurers or have otherwise been reduced by allowances
for estimated amounts unrecoverable. Deferred policy acquisition costs are
estimated by taking into account the variable costs of producing specific types
of insurance policies, and evaluating their recoverability on the basis of
recent trends in claims costs. The Company’s deferred policy acquisition cost
balances have not fluctuated substantially from period-to-period and do not
represent significant percentages of assets or shareholders’
equity.
Liquidity - The parent
holding company meets its liquidity and capital needs principally through
dividends paid by its subsidiaries. The insurance subsidiaries' ability to pay
cash dividends to the parent company is generally restricted by law or subject
to approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of the states in which they
are domiciled. The Company can receive up to $414.7 million in dividends from
its subsidiaries in 2008 without the prior approval of regulatory authorities.
The liquidity achievable through such permitted dividend payments is more than
adequate to cover the parent holding company’s currently expected cash outflows
represented mostly by interest on outstanding debt and quarterly cash dividend
payments to shareholders. In addition, Old Republic can access the commercial
paper market for up to $300.0 million to meet unanticipated liquidity needs of
which $60.0 million was outstanding at March 31, 2008.
Capitalization - Old
Republic’s total capitalization of $4,443.6 million at March 31, 2008
consisted of debt of $66.9 million and common shareholders' equity of $4,376.7
million. Changes in the common shareholders’ equity account reflect primarily
operating results for the period then ended, dividend payments, and changes in
market valuations of invested assets. Old Republic has paid cash dividends to
its shareholders without interruption since 1942, and has increased the regular
annual rate in each of the past 26 years. The annual dividend rate is typically
reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors in the first quarter of each
year. In establishing each year’s cash dividend rate the Company does not follow
a strict formulaic approach. Rather, it favors a gradual rise in the annual
dividend rate that is largely reflective of
19
long-term
consolidated operating earnings trends. Accordingly, each year’s dividend rate
is set judgmentally in consideration of such key factors as the dividend paying
capacity of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, the trends in average annual
statutory and GAAP earnings for the six most recent calendar years, and
management’s long-term expectations for the Company’s consolidated business. At
its February, 2008 meeting, the Board of Directors approved a new quarterly cash
dividend rate of 17 cents per share effective in the second quarter of 2008, up
from 16 cents per share, subject to the usual quarterly
authorizations.
At its
May, 2006 meeting, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the reacquisition
of up to $500.0 million of common shares as market conditions warrant during the
two year period from that date. During 2007, the Company reacquired 1,566,100
shares of its common stock for $28.3 million or $18.13 per share. As of March 31, 2008, a
total of $471.6 million of this authorization remains unutilized.
RESULTS
OF OPERATIONS
|
Revenues: Premiums
& Fees
|
Pursuant to GAAP applicable to the
insurance industry, revenues are associated with the related benefits, claims,
and expenses.
Substantially
all general insurance premiums are reflected in income on a pro-rata basis.
Earned but unbilled premiums are generally taken into income on the billing
date, while adjustments for retrospective premiums, commissions and similar
charges or credits are accrued on the basis of periodic evaluations of current
underwriting experience and contractual obligations.
The
Company’s mortgage guaranty premiums primarily stem from monthly installment
policies. Accordingly, substantially all such premiums are generally written and
earned in the month coverage is effective. With respect to annual or single
premium policies, earned premiums are largely recognized on a pro-rata basis
over the terms of the policies.
Title
premium and fee revenues stemming from the Company’s direct operations (which
include branch offices of its title insurers and wholly owned agency
subsidiaries) represent approximately 34% of 2008 consolidated title business
revenues. Such premiums are generally recognized as income at the escrow closing
date which approximates the policy effective date. Fee income related to escrow
and other closing services is recognized when the related services have been
performed and completed. The remaining 66% of consolidated title premium and fee
revenues is produced by independent title agents and underwritten title
companies. Rather than making estimates that could be subject to significant
variance from actual premium and fee production, the Company recognizes revenues
from those sources upon receipt. Such receipts can reflect a three to four month
lag relative to the effective date of the underlying title policy, and are
offset concurrently by production expenses and claim reserve
provisions.
The major sources of Old Republic’s
earned premiums and fees for the periods shown were as follows:
Earned
Premiums and Fees
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Other
|
Total
|
%
Change
from
prior
period
|
||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
$ 1,805.2
|
$
429.5
|
$
1,081.8
|
$
70.3
|
$
3,386.9
|
8.7%
|
|||||
2006
|
1,902.1
|
444.3
|
980.0
|
74.1
|
3,400.5
|
.4
|
|||||
2007
|
2,155.1
|
518.2
|
850.7
|
77.0
|
3,601.2
|
5.9
|
|||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
521.7
|
118.0
|
210.1
|
19.9
|
869.8
|
3.1
|
|||||
2008
|
$
512.7
|
$
147.6
|
$
160.7
|
$
25.5
|
$
846.6
|
-2.7%
|
The percentage allocation of net
premiums earned for major insurance coverages in the General Insurance Group was
as follows:
General
Insurance Earned Premiums by Type of
Coverage
|
Commercial
Automobile
(mostly
trucking)
|
Workers’
Compensation
|
Financial
Indemnity
|
Inland
Marine
and
Property
|
General
Liability
|
Other
|
||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
39.1%
|
21.9%
|
10.3%
|
11.0%
|
5.4%
|
12.3%
|
|||||
2006
|
39.6
|
21.7
|
11.0
|
10.7
|
5.1
|
11.9
|
|||||
2007
|
35.0
|
23.5
|
13.8
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
10.6
|
|||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
36.1
|
25.3
|
11.8
|
9.4
|
7.7
|
9.7
|
|||||
2008
|
34.0%
|
22.1%
|
16.9%
|
9.5%
|
7.8%
|
9.7%
|
20
The following
tables provide information on production and related risk exposure trends for
Old Republic’s Mortgage Guaranty Group.
Mortgage
Guaranty Production by Type
|
New Insurance
Written:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
$ 20,554.5
|
$
9,944.3
|
$
498.2
|
$
30,997.1
|
||||
2006
|
17,187.0
|
13,716.7
|
583.7
|
31,487.5
|
||||
2007
|
31,841.7
|
10,800.3
|
901.6
|
43,543.7
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
4,618.7
|
3,935.7
|
177.0
|
8,731.6
|
||||
2008
|
$
7,866.9
|
$
3.5
|
$
481.0
|
$
8,351.6
|
New Risk Written by
Type:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
$ 5,112.4
|
$
1,053.1
|
$
11.7
|
$
6,177.4
|
||||
2006
|
4,246.8
|
1,146.6
|
12.2
|
5,405.7
|
||||
2007
|
7,844.5
|
724.5
|
15.2
|
8,584.4
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
1,115.6
|
302.6
|
6.0
|
1,424.3
|
||||
2008
|
$
1,837.9
|
$
.6
|
$
4.8
|
$
1,843.4
|
Premium
and Persistency Trends by
Type:
|
Earned
Premiums
|
Persistency
|
||||||
Direct
|
Net
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
$
508.0
|
$
429.5
|
65.5%
|
59.5%
|
||||
2006
|
524.7
|
444.3
|
73.1
|
70.5
|
||||
2007
|
612.7
|
518.2
|
77.6
|
73.7
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
139.2
|
118.0
|
73.7
|
70.5
|
||||
2008
|
$
174.2
|
$
147.6
|
78.3%
|
77.5%
|
While there is no consensus in the
marketplace as to the precise definition of “sub-prime”, Old Republic generally
views loans with Fair, Issac & Company (“FICO”) credit scores below 620,
loans underwritten with reduced levels of documentation and loans with loan to
value ratios in excess of 95% as having a higher risk of default. Risk in force
concentrations by these attributes are disclosed in the following tables for
both traditional primary and bulk production. Premium rates for loans exhibiting
greater risk attributes are typically higher in anticipation of potentially
greater defaults and claim costs. Additionally, bulk insurance policies, which
represent 10.2% of total net risk in force, are frequently subject to
deductibles and aggregate stop losses which serve to limit the overall risk on a
pool of insured loans. As the decline in the housing markets has accelerated and
mortgage lending standards have tightened, rising defaults and the attendant
increases in reserves and paid claims on higher risk loans have become more
significant drivers of increased claim costs.
Net
Risk in Force
|
Net Risk in Force by
Type:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
$ 14,711.2
|
$
1,758.8
|
$
586.1
|
$
17,056.2
|
||||
2006
|
14,582.1
|
2,471.1
|
578.9
|
17,632.2
|
||||
2007
|
18,808.5
|
2,539.9
|
511.1
|
21,859.5
|
||||
As
of March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
14,718.2
|
2,557.1
|
542.8
|
17,818.1
|
||||
2008
|
$
19,747.0
|
$ 2,299.4
|
$
500.4
|
$
22,547.0
|
21
Analysis
of Risk in Force
|
Risk in Force
Distribution By FICO Scores:
|
FICO
less
than
620
|
FICO
620
to
680
|
FICO
Greater
than
680
|
Unscored/
Unavailable
|
||||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
8.3%
|
31.8%
|
53.1%
|
6.8%
|
||||
2006
|
8.5
|
32.6
|
54.6
|
4.3
|
||||
2007
|
8.5
|
33.6
|
55.1
|
2.8
|
||||
As
of March
31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
8.6
|
32.8
|
54.5
|
4.1
|
||||
2008
|
8.0%
|
32.9%
|
56.5%
|
2.6%
|
||||
Bulk(a):
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
21.2%
|
38.7%
|
38.7%
|
1.4%
|
||||
2006
|
24.1
|
35.7
|
39.8
|
.4
|
||||
2007
|
19.4
|
34.9
|
45.4
|
.3
|
||||
As
of March
31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
24.3
|
35.8
|
39.6
|
.3
|
||||
2008
|
19.5%
|
34.1%
|
46.2%
|
.2%
|
Risk in Force
Distribution By Loan to Value (“LTV”) Ratio:
|
LTV
less
than
85
|
LTV
85
to 90
|
LTV
90
to 95
|
LTV
Greater
than
95
|
||||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
5.4%
|
37.7%
|
39.1%
|
17.8%
|
||||
2006
|
5.0
|
37.4
|
36.0
|
21.6
|
||||
2007
|
4.7
|
34.4
|
32.0
|
28.9
|
||||
As
of March
31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
4.9
|
37.0
|
35.1
|
23.0
|
||||
2008
|
5.0%
|
34.3%
|
31.5%
|
29.2%
|
||||
Bulk(a):
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
57.3%
|
27.4%
|
11.6%
|
3.7%
|
||||
2006
|
63.4
|
23.1
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
||||
2007
|
62.0
|
20.9
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
||||
As
of March
31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
62.6
|
22.7
|
9.3
|
5.4
|
||||
2008
|
62.2%
|
20.9%
|
9.0%
|
7.9%
|
Risk in Force Distribution
By Top Ten States:
Traditional
Primary
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
9.0%
|
7.1%
|
6.3%
|
5.4%
|
3.7%
|
3.6%
|
3.1%
|
2.8%
|
4.7%
|
3.8%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
9.0
|
7.5
|
5.8
|
5.4
|
3.7
|
3.1
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
4.8
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
2007
|
8.9
|
7.7
|
5.3
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
4.5
|
3.8
|
|||||||||
As
of March
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
9.0
|
7.6
|
5.7
|
5.3
|
3.6
|
3.0
|
3.1
|
2.7
|
4.8
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
2008
|
8.8%
|
7.8%
|
5.2%
|
5.1%
|
3.3%
|
5.1%
|
3.1%
|
2.9%
|
4.4%
|
3.7%
|
Bulk(a)
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
CO
|
NY
|
|||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
8.3%
|
4.5%
|
3.3%
|
4.9%
|
3.6%
|
19.0%
|
3.8%
|
4.0%
|
2.7%
|
6.3%
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
3.6
|
4.5
|
3.4
|
17.7
|
3.2
|
4.4
|
2.8
|
4.6
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
4.2
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
17.5
|
3.4
|
4.2
|
3.0
|
5.5
|
||||||||||||
As
of March
31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
8.7
|
4.8
|
4.2
|
4.2
|
3.3
|
18.6
|
3.4
|
4.1
|
2.8
|
5.9
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
9.5%
|
4.6%
|
4.1%
|
4.0%
|
3.1%
|
18.0%
|
3.4%
|
4.3%
|
3.0%
|
5.3%
|
||||||||||||
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 42.4% of total bulk risk in-force at
March 31, 2008, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
22
Risk in Force
Distribution By Level of Documentation:
|
Full
Documentation
|
Reduced
Documentation
|
||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
90.6%
|
9.4%
|
||
2006
|
89.4
|
10.6
|
||
2007
|
88.0
|
12.0
|
||
As
of March
31:
|
||||
2007
|
89.2
|
10.8
|
||
2008
|
88.2%
|
11.8%
|
||
Bulk
(a):
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
51.9%
|
48.1%
|
||
2006
|
51.9
|
48.1
|
||
2007
|
49.6
|
50.4
|
||
As
of March
31:
|
||||
2007
|
50.9
|
49.1
|
||
2008
|
49.9%
|
50.1%
|
Risk in Force By Loan
Type:
|
Fixed
Rate
|
Adjustable
Rate
|
||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
90.9%
|
9.1%
|
||
2006
|
92.3
|
7.7
|
||
2007
|
94.4
|
5.6
|
||
As
of March
31:
|
||||
2007
|
92.7
|
7.3
|
||
2008
|
94.9%
|
5.1%
|
||
Bulk
(a):
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
64.6%
|
35.4%
|
||
2006
|
65.7
|
34.3
|
||
2007
|
70.9
|
29.1
|
||
As
of March
31:
|
||||
2007
|
64.5
|
35.5
|
||
2008
|
71.7%
|
28.3%
|
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 42.4% of total bulk risk in-force at
March 31, 2008, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
The following table shows the
percentage distribution of Title Group premium and fee revenues by production
sources:
Title
Premium and Fee Production by
Source
|
Direct
Operations
|
Independent
Title
Agents
& Other
|
|||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
37.1%
|
62.9%
|
||
2006
|
32.3
|
67.7
|
||
2007
|
32.1
|
67.9
|
||
Quarters
Ended March
31:
|
||||
2007
|
33.8
|
66.2
|
||
2008
|
34.2%
|
65.8%
|
Revenues:
Net Investment Income
|
Net investment income is affected by
trends in interest and dividend yields for the types of securities in which the
Company’s funds are invested during individual reporting periods. The following
tables reflect the segmented and consolidated invested asset bases as of the
indicated dates, and the investment income earned and resulting yields on such
assets. Since the Company can exercise little control over market values, yields
are evaluated on the basis of investment income earned in relation to the
amortized cost of the underlying invested assets, though yields based on the
market values of such assets are also shown in the statistics
below.
23
Market
|
Invested
|
||||
Invested
Assets at Cost
|
Value
|
Assets
at
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Corporate
and Other
|
Total
|
Adjust-
ment
|
Market
Value
|
|||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||
2006
|
$
5,524.8
|
$
1,571.6
|
$
611.1
|
$
246.6
|
$
7,954.3
|
$
101.8
|
$
8,056.1
|
||||||
2007
|
5,984.9
|
1,795.8
|
606.0
|
252.9
|
8,639.7
|
121.4
|
8,761.2
|
||||||
As
of March 31:
|
|||||||||||||
2007
|
5,707.3
|
1,573.0
|
617.5
|
197.0
|
8,095.0
|
128.5
|
8,223.5
|
||||||
2008
|
$
6,018.1
|
$ 1,885.5
|
$
599.4
|
$
256.3
|
$ 8,759.5
|
$
(46.6)
|
$
8,712.8
|
Net
Investment Income
|
Yield
at
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Corporate
and Other
|
Total
|
Cost
|
Market
|
|||||||
Years
Ended
|
|||||||||||||
December
31:
|
|||||||||||||
2005
|
$ 197.0
|
$ 70.1
|
$ 26.0
|
$ 16.9
|
$ 310.1
|
4.51%
|
4.40%
|
||||||
2006
|
221.5
|
74.3
|
26.9
|
18.7
|
341.6
|
4.52
|
4.47
|
||||||
2007
|
260.8
|
79.0
|
27.3
|
12.7
|
379.9
|
4.58
|
4.52
|
||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
|||||||||||||
March
31:
|
|||||||||||||
2007
|
62.8
|
18.9
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
91.5
|
4.56
|
4.50
|
||||||
2008
|
$ 64.5
|
$ 21.5
|
$ 6.4
|
$ 2.7
|
$ 95.2
|
4.38%
|
4.36%
|
Revenues:
Net Realized Gains
|
The
Company's investment policies have not been designed to maximize or emphasize
the realization of investment gains. Rather, these policies aim to assure a
stable source of income from interest and dividends, protection of capital, and
the providing of sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting
and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Sales of fixed
maturity securities arise mostly from scheduled maturities and early calls; for
the first quarters of 2008 and 2007, 92.1% and 92.2%, respectively, of all such
dispositions resulted from these occurrences. Dispositions of equity securities
at a realized gain or loss reflect such factors as ongoing assessments of
issuers’ business prospects, rotation among industry sectors, and tax planning
considerations. Additionally, the amount of net realized gains and losses
registered in any one accounting period are affected by the aforementioned
assessments of securities’ values for other than temporary impairment. As a
result of the interaction of all these factors and considerations, net realized
investment gains or losses can vary significantly from period-to-period, and in
the Company’s view are not indicative of any particular trend or result in the
basics of its insurance business.
The following table reflects the
composition of net realized gains or losses for the periods shown. A significant
portion of Old Republic’s indexed stock portfolio was sold at a gain during
2007, with proceeds redirected to a more concentrated, select list of common
stocks expected to provide greater long-term total returns. Relatively greater
realized gains in equity securities in 2005 resulted largely from sales of
substantial portions of actively managed equity holdings and reinvestment of
proceeds in index-style investment portfolios.
Realized
Gains (Losses) on
Disposition
of Securities
|
Impairment
Losses on Securities
|
Fixed
maturity
Securities
|
Equity
securities and miscell-
aneous
investments
|
Total
|
Fixed
maturity securities
|
Equity
securities and miscell-aneous investments
|
Total
|
Net
realized
gains
|
|||||||
Years
Ended
December
31:
|
|||||||||||||
2005
|
$
4.5
|
$
69.6
|
$
74.1
|
$ (2.7)
|
$
(6.5)
|
$
(9.2)
|
$
64.9
|
||||||
2006
|
2.0
|
16.9
|
19.0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
19.0
|
||||||
2007
|
2.2
|
68.1
|
70.3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
70.3
|
||||||
Quarters
Ended
March
31:
|
|||||||||||||
2007
|
.7
|
2.2
|
2.9
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2.9
|
||||||
2008
|
$
1.0
|
$
(.1)
|
$
.9
|
$
-
|
$
-
|
$
-
|
$
.9
|
24
Expenses:
Benefits and Claims
|
In order
to achieve a necessary matching of premium and fee revenues and expenses, the
Company records the benefits, claims and related settlement costs that have been
incurred during each accounting period. Total claim costs are affected by the
amount of paid claims and the adequacy of reserve estimates established for
current and prior years’ claim occurrences at each balance sheet
date.
The
following table shows a breakdown of gross and net of reinsurance claim and loss
adjustment expense reserve estimates for major types of insurance coverages as
of March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007:
March
31, 2008
|
December
31, 2007
|
||||||
Gross
|
Net
|
Gross
|
Net
|
||||
Claim
and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves:
|
|||||||
Commercial
automobile (mostly
trucking)
|
$
1,027.8
|
$
841.7
|
$
1,041.6
|
$
845.6
|
|||
Workers'
compensation
|
2,214.8
|
1,275.3
|
2,195.5
|
1,265.8
|
|||
General
liability
|
1,175.0
|
592.2
|
1,173.2
|
587.1
|
|||
Other
coverages
|
705.6
|
496.2
|
691.2
|
476.9
|
|||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves
|
154.9
|
104.1
|
154.8
|
104.0
|
|||
Total general insurance
reserves
|
5,278.3
|
3,309.8
|
5,256.5
|
3,279.7
|
|||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
856.7
|
829.0
|
645.2
|
642.9
|
|||
Title
|
272.1
|
272.1
|
273.5
|
273.5
|
|||
Life
and
health
|
32.5
|
26.7
|
30.3
|
24.7
|
|||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves –
other
coverages
|
25.6
|
25.6
|
25.4
|
25.4
|
|||
Total claim and loss adjustment
expense reserves
|
$ 6,465.3
|
$
4,463.3
|
$
6,231.1
|
$ 4,246.3
|
|||
Asbestosis
and environmental claim reserves included
in
the above general insurance reserves:
|
|||||||
Amount
|
$
182.6
|
$
152.4
|
$
190.5
|
$
158.1
|
|||
%
of total general insurance
reserves
|
3.5%
|
4.6%
|
3.6%
|
4.8%
|
The
Company’s reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses represents the
accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including incurred but not
reported losses and loss adjustment expenses. The establishment of claim
reserves by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries is a reasonably complex and
dynamic process influenced by a large variety of factors as further discussed
below. Consequently, reserves established are a reflection of the opinions of a
large number of persons, of the application and interpretation of historical
precedent and trends, of expectations as to future developments, and of
management’s judgment in interpreting all such factors. At any point in time the
Company is exposed to possibly higher or lower than anticipated claim costs and
the resulting changes in estimates are recorded in operations of the periods
during which they are made. Increases to prior reserve estimates are often
referred to as unfavorable development whereas any changes that decrease
previous estimates of the Company’s ultimate liability are referred to as
favorable development.
Overview
of Loss Reserving Process
Most of Old Republic’s consolidated
claim and related expense reserves stem from its general
insurance business. At March 31, 2008, such reserves accounted for 81.6%
and 74.2% of consolidated gross and net of reinsurance reserves, respectively,
while similar reserves at December 31, 2007 represented 84.4% and 77.2% of the
respective consolidated amounts.
The Company’s reserve setting process
reflects the nature of its insurance business and the decentralized basis upon
which it is conducted. Old Republic’s general insurance operations
encompass a large variety of lines or classes of commercial insurance; it has
negligible exposure to personal lines such as homeowners or private passenger
automobile insurance that exhibit wide diversification of risks, significant
frequency of claim occurrences, and high degrees of statistical credibility.
Additionally, the Company’s insurance subsidiaries do not provide significant
amounts of insurance protection for premises; most of its property insurance
exposures relate to cargo, incidental property, and insureds’ inland marine
assets. Consequently, the wide variety of policies issued and commercial
insurance customers served require that loss reserves be analyzed and
established in the context of the unique or different attributes of each block
or class of business produced by the Company. For example, accident liability
claims emanating from insured trucking companies or from general aviation
customers become known relatively quickly, whereas claims of a general liability
nature arising from the building activities of a construction company may emerge
over extended periods of time. Similarly, claims filed pursuant to errors and
omissions or directors and officers’ (“E&O/D&O”) liability coverages are
usually not prone to immediate evaluation or quantification inasmuch as many
such claims may be litigated over several years and their ultimate costs may be
affected by the vagaries of judged or jury verdicts. Approximately 85% of the
general insurance
group’s claim reserves stem from liability insurance coverages for commercial
customers which typically require more extended periods of investigation and at
times protracted litigation before they are finally settled. As a consequence of
these and other factors, Old Republic does not utilize a single, overarching
loss reserving approach.
25
The Company prepares periodic analyses
of its loss reserve estimates for its significant insurance coverages. It
establishes point estimates for most losses on an insurance coverage
line-by-line basis for individual subsidiaries, sub-classes, individual
accounts, blocks of business or other unique concentrations of insurance risks
such as directors and officers’ liability, that have similar attributes.
Actuarially or otherwise derived ranges of reserve levels are not utilized as
such in setting these reserves. Instead the reported reserves encompass the
Company’s best point estimates at each reporting date and the overall reserve
level at any point in time therefore represents the compilation of a very large
number of reported reserve estimates and the results of a variety of formula
calculations largely driven by statistical analysis of historical data. Reserve
releases or additions are implicitly covered by the point estimates incorporated
in total reserves at each balance sheet date. The Company does not project
future variability or make an explicit provision for uncertainty when
determining its best estimate of loss reserves, although over the most recent
ten-year period management’s estimates have developed slightly favorably on an
overall basis.
Aggregate loss reserves consist of
liability estimates for claims that have been reported (“case”) to the Company’s
insurance subsidiaries and reserves for claims that have been incurred but not
yet reported (“IBNR”) or whose ultimate costs may not become fully apparent
until a future time. Additionally, the Company establishes unallocated loss
adjustment expense reserves for loss settlement costs that are not directly
related to individual claims. Such reserves are based on prior years’ cost
experience and trends, and are intended to cover the unallocated costs of claim
departments’ administration of case and IBNR claims over time. Long-term,
disability-type workers’ compensation reserves are discounted to present value
based on interest rates that range from 3.5% to 4.0%.
A large variety of statistical analyses
and formula calculations are utilized to provide for IBNR claim costs as well as
additional costs that can arise from such factors as monetary and social
inflation, changes in claims administration processes, changes in reinsurance
ceded and recoverability levels, and expected trends in claim costs and related
ratios. Typically, such formulas take into account so-called link ratios that
represent prior years’ patterns of incurred or paid loss trends between
succeeding years, or past experience relative to progressions of the number of
claims reported over time and ultimate average costs per claim.
Overall, reserves pertaining to several
hundred large individual commercial insurance accounts that exhibit sufficient
statistical credibility, and at times may be subject to retrospective premium
rating plans or the utilization of varying levels or types of self-insured
retentions through captive insurers and similar risk management mechanisms are
established on an account by account basis using case reserves and applicable
formula-driven methods. Large account reserves are usually set and analyzed for
groups of coverages such as workers compensation, commercial auto and general
liability that are typically underwritten jointly for many customers. For
certain so-called long-tail categories of insurance such as retained or assumed
excess liability or excess workers’ compensation, officers and directors’
liability, and commercial umbrella liability relative to which claim development
patterns are particularly long, more volatile, and immature in their early
stages of development, the Company judgmentally establishes the most current
accident years’ loss reserves on the basis of expected loss ratios. Such
expected loss ratios typically reflect currently estimated loss ratios from
prior accident years, adjusted for the effect of actual and anticipated rate
changes, actual and anticipated changes in coverage, reinsurance, mix of
business, and other anticipated changes in external factors such as trends in
loss costs or the legal and claims environment. Expected loss ratios are
generally used for the two to three most recent accident years depending on the
individual class or category of business. As actual claims data emerges in
succeeding interim and annual periods, the original accident year loss ratio
assumptions are validated or otherwise adjusted sequentially through the
application of statistical projection techniques such as the
Bornhuetter/Ferguson method which utilizes data from the more mature experience
of prior years to arrive at a likely indication of more recent years’ loss
trends and costs.
Mortgage
guaranty insurance loss reserves are based
on statistical calculations that take into account the number of reported
insured mortgage loan defaults as of each balance sheet date, as well as
experience-based estimates of IBNR. Further, such loss reserve estimates also
take into account a large number of variables including trends in claim
severity, potential salvage recoveries, expected cure rates for reported loan
delinquencies at various stages of default, and judgments relative to future
employment levels, housing market activity, and mortgage loan interest costs,
demand, and extensions.
Title
insurance and related escrow
services loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established as point
estimates to cover the projected settlement costs of known as well as IBNR
losses related to premium and escrow service revenues of each reporting period.
Reserves for known claims are based on an assessment of the facts available to
the Company during the settlement process. The point estimates covering all
claim reserves take into account IBNR claims based on past experience and
evaluations of such variables as changing trends in the types of policies
issued, changes in real estate markets and interest rate environments, and
changing levels of loan refinancing, all of which can have a bearing on the
emergence, number, and ultimate costs of claims.
Incurred
Loss Experience
Management is of the opinion that the
Company’s overall reserving practices have been consistently applied over many
years. For at least the past ten years, previously established aggregate
reserves have produced reasonable estimates of the cumulative ultimate net costs
of claims incurred. However, there are no guarantees that such outcomes will
continue, and accordingly, no representation is made that ultimate net claim and
related costs will not develop in future years to be greater or lower than
currently established reserve estimates. In management’s opinion, however, such
potential development is not likely to have a material effect on the Company’s
consolidated financial position, although it could materially affect its
consolidated results of operations for any one annual or interim reporting
period. See further discussion in the Company’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K,
under Item 1A - Risk Factors.
26
The percentage of net claims,
benefits and related settlement expenses incurred as a percentage of premiums
and related fee revenues of the Company’s three major operating segments and for
its consolidated results were as follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
66.9%
|
37.2%
|
6.0%
|
43.3%
|
||||
2006
|
65.9
|
42.8
|
5.9
|
45.3
|
||||
2007
|
67.8
|
118.8
|
6.6
|
60.2
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
64.5
|
54.4
|
6.0
|
48.6
|
||||
2008
|
69.9%
|
181.1%
|
7.0%
|
76.6%
|
The percentage of net claims,
benefits and related settlement expenses measured against premiums earned by
major general insurance
types of coverage were as follows:
General
Insurance Claims Ratios by Type of
Coverage
|
Commercial
Automobile
(mostly
trucking)
|
Workers’
Compensation
|
Financial
Indemnity
|
Inland
Marine
and
Property
|
General
Liability
|
Other
|
||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
66.9%
|
78.9%
|
48.9%
|
52.1%
|
97.4%
|
59.5%
|
|||||
2006
|
75.4
|
74.5
|
40.6
|
55.0
|
57.5
|
55.6
|
|||||
2007
|
74.0
|
70.9
|
69.6
|
54.9
|
59.9
|
55.9
|
|||||
Quarters
Ended March
31:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
76.2
|
68.8
|
51.9
|
50.8
|
48.2
|
60.4
|
|||||
2008
|
73.5%
|
70.1%
|
88.5%
|
48.6%
|
65.3%
|
54.7%
|
The general insurance portion of
the claims ratio reflects reasonably consistent trends for all reporting
periods. To a large extent this major cost factor reflects pricing and risk
selection improvements that have been applied since 2001, together with elements
of reduced loss severity and frequency. The higher claim ratio for financial
indemnity coverages in 2007 and the first quarter of 2008 was driven principally
by greater claim frequencies experienced in Old Republic’s consumer credit
indemnity coverage. During the three most recent calendar years, the general insurance group
experienced favorable development of prior year loss reserves primarily due to
the commercial automobile and the E&O/D&O (financial indemnity) lines of
business; these were partially offset by unfavorable development in excess
workers compensation coverages and for ongoing development of asbestos and
environmental (“A&E”) exposures (general liability). Unfavorable
developments attributable to A&E claim reserves are due to periodic
re-evaluations of such reserves as well as reclassifications of other coverages’
reserves, typically workers compensation, deemed assignable to A&E types of
losses.
Except for a small portion that
emanates from ongoing primary insurance operations, a large majority of the
A&E claim reserves posted by Old Republic stem mainly from its
participations in assumed reinsurance treaties and insurance pools which were
discontinued fifteen or more years ago and have since been in run-off status.
With respect to the primary portion of gross A&E reserves, Old Republic
administers the related claims through its claims personnel as well as outside
attorneys, and posted reserves reflect its best estimates of ultimate claim
costs. Claims administration for the assumed portion of the Company’s A&E
exposures is handled by the claims departments of unrelated primary or ceding
reinsurance companies. While the Company performs periodic reviews of certain
claim files managed by third parties, the overall A&E reserves it
establishes respond to the paid claim and case reserve activity reported to the
Company as well as available industry statistical data such as so-called
survival ratios. Such ratios represent the number of years’ average paid losses
for the three or five most recent calendar years that are encompassed by an
insurer’s A&E reserve level at any point in time. According to this
simplistic appraisal of an insurer’s A&E loss reserve level, Old Republic’s
average five year survival ratios stood at 7.4 years (gross) and 9.2 years (net
of reinsurance) as of March 31, 2008 and 7.7 years (gross) and 10.7 years (net
of reinsurance) as of December 31, 2007. Fluctuations in this ratio between
years can be caused by the inconsistent pay out patterns associated with these
types of claims. Incurred net losses for A&E claims have averaged 2.8% of
general insurance group
net incurred losses for the five years ended December 31, 2007.
The mortgage guaranty claims
ratios have continued to rise in recent periods, principally reflecting higher
paid losses, as well as expectations of greater claim frequency and severity.
The most recent quarterly and full year 2007 claim ratios comparisons reflect a
significant increase due primarily to increasing loss severity on reported
delinquencies as well as to higher expected claim frequencies and the resulting
impact on claims reserves. Claim severity has trended upward primarily due to
loans with larger unpaid principal balances and corresponding risk moving into
default along with a lower level of mitigation potential due to housing
depreciation trends. Expectations of greater claim frequency are impacted by
several factors, including the number of loans entering into default, the
outlook for the housing market, tightening lending standards which effect
borrowers’ ability to refinance troubled loans, the aging of the bulk business,
and the state of the economy overall, especially employment levels.
27
Average
mortgage guaranty paid
claims, and certain delinquency ratio data as of the end of the periods shown
are listed below:
Average
Paid Claim Amount (a)
|
Delinquency
Ratio
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
$
24,255
|
$
20,639
|
4.67%
|
3.67%
|
||||
2006
|
25,989
|
21,846
|
4.41
|
3.29
|
||||
2007
|
32,214
|
34,951
|
5.47
|
6.85
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March
31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
28,076
|
28,192
|
4.22
|
3.51
|
||||
2008
|
$
39,311
|
$ 48,762
|
5.79%
|
9.13%
|
|
(a)
Amounts are in whole dollars.
|
Traditional
Primary Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
3.1%
|
5.7%
|
5.9%
|
4.2%
|
8.3%
|
1.8%
|
4.1%
|
2.2%
|
4.9%
|
4.7%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
2.7
|
4.5
|
6.1
|
4.5
|
7.8
|
2.9
|
4.1
|
2.6
|
4.6
|
4.8
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.7
|
4.5
|
7.2
|
5.4
|
8.1
|
6.7
|
5.4
|
4.1
|
4.8
|
5.2
|
|||||||||
As
of March
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
3.2
|
4.1
|
5.9
|
4.2
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
3.9
|
2.6
|
3.9
|
4.3
|
|||||||||
2008
|
10.0%
|
4.3%
|
7.2%
|
5.9%
|
7.8%
|
8.8%
|
5.9%
|
4.3%
|
4.3%
|
5.2%
|
Bulk
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
CO
|
NY
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
1.9%
|
5.5%
|
5.8%
|
3.0%
|
8.4%
|
.9%
|
3.7%
|
.9%
|
3.0%
|
4.3%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
1.6
|
4.0
|
4.4
|
4.2
|
9.3
|
1.6
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
3.3
|
4.4
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.8
|
5.4
|
7.3
|
8.6
|
10.6
|
7.0
|
6.6
|
5.1
|
5.8
|
6.6
|
|||||||||
As
of March
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
2.0
|
4.1
|
4.2
|
4.1
|
9.0
|
2.0
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
3.5
|
4.7
|
|||||||||
2008
|
12.0%
|
6.1%
|
9.6%
|
10.8%
|
12.5%
|
10.3%
|
8.9%
|
7.4%
|
6.8%
|
8.0%
|
Total
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States (includes “other” business)
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
2.4%
|
5.3%
|
5.3%
|
2.8%
|
7.5%
|
.9%
|
3.7%
|
1.6%
|
3.8%
|
4.3%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
2.0
|
4.1
|
5.2
|
3.1
|
7.3
|
1.4
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
3.3
|
4.3
|
|||||||||
2007
|
6.9
|
4.5
|
6.7
|
5.0
|
8.0
|
5.5
|
5.5
|
4.4
|
4.1
|
5.1
|
|||||||||
As
of March
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
2.4
|
3.9
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
7.1
|
1.6
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
3.1
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
2008
|
9.7%
|
4.4%
|
7.2%
|
5.7%
|
8.1%
|
7.7%
|
6.5%
|
6.2%
|
4.0%
|
5.4%
|
|
(b)
|
As
determined by risk in force as of March 31, 2008, these 10 states
represent 49.4%, 59.3%, and 50.0%, of traditional primary, bulk, and total
risk in force, respectively.
|
The title insurance loss ratios
remain in the low single digits due to a continuation of favorable trends in
claims frequency and severity for business underwritten since 1992 in
particular. Though still reasonably contained, the increases in claim costs in
2007 and for the first quarter of 2008 are reflective of the continuing downturn
in the housing and related mortgage lending industries.
Reinsurance
Programs
To maintain premium production within
its capacity and limit maximum losses and risks for which it might become liable
under its policies, Old Republic may cede a portion or all of its premiums and
liabilities on certain classes of insurance, individual policies, or blocks of
business to other insurers and reinsurers. Further discussion of the Company’s
reinsurance programs can be found in Part 1 of the Company’s 2007 Annual Report
on Form 10-K.
28
Expenses:
Underwriting, Acquisition and Other
Expenses
|
The following table sets forth the
expense ratios registered by each major business segment and in consolidation
for the periods shown:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
24.6%
|
22.4%
|
88.2%
|
45.2%
|
||||
2006
|
24.4
|
22.5
|
93.6
|
44.7
|
||||
2007
|
24.1
|
17.7
|
98.1
|
41.3
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
26.9
|
20.8
|
96.8
|
43.6
|
||||
2008
|
24.4%
|
16.4%
|
104.5%
|
39.1%
|
Variations in the Company’s
consolidated ratios reflect a continually changing mix of coverages sold
and attendant costs of producing business in the Company’s three largest
business segments. To a significant degree, expense ratios for both the general
and title insurance segments are mostly reflective of variable costs, such as
commissions or similar charges, that rise or decline along with corresponding
changes in premium and fee income, as well as changes in general
operating expenses which can contract or expand in differing proportions due to
varying levels of operating efficiencies and expense management opportunities in
the face of changing market conditions.
Expenses:
Total
|
The composite ratios of the above net
claims, benefits and underwriting expenses that reflect the sum total of all the
factors discussed herein were as follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
91.5%
|
59.6%
|
94.2%
|
88.5%
|
||||
2006
|
90.3
|
65.3
|
99.5
|
90.0
|
||||
2007
|
91.9
|
136.5
|
104.7
|
101.5
|
||||
Quarters
Ended March 31:
|
||||||||
2007
|
91.4
|
75.2
|
102.8
|
92.2
|
||||
2008
|
94.3%
|
197.5%
|
111.5%
|
115.7%
|
Expenses:
Income Taxes
|
The effective consolidated income tax
rate on the first quarter 2008 pretax loss was 51.9%, compared to an effective
tax rate on pretax income of 30.8% in the first quarter of 2007. The rates
reflect primarily the varying proportions of pretax operating income derived
from partially tax-sheltered investment income (principally state and municipal
tax-exempt interest) on the one hand, and the combination of fully taxable
investment income, realized investment gains or losses, and underwriting and
service income, on the other hand.
OTHER
INFORMATION
|
Reference
is here made to “Information About Segments of Business” appearing elsewhere
herein.
Historical
data pertaining to the operating results, liquidity, and other performance
indicators applicable to an insurance enterprise such as Old Republic are not
necessarily indicative of results to be achieved in succeeding years. In
addition to the factors cited below, the long-term nature of the insurance
business, seasonal and annual patterns in premium production and incidence of
claims, changes in yields obtained on invested assets, changes in government
policies and free markets affecting inflation rates and general economic
conditions, and changes in legal precedents or the application of law affecting
the settlement of disputed and other claims can have a bearing on
period-to-period comparisons and future operating results.
Some of
the oral or written statements made in the Company’s reports, press releases,
and conference calls following earnings releases, can constitute
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Of necessity, any such forward-looking statements
involve assumptions, uncertainties, and risks that may affect the Company’s
future performance. With regard to Old Republic’s General Insurance segment, its
results can be affected, in particular, by the level of market competition,
which is typically a function of available capital and expected returns on such
capital among competitors, the levels of interest and inflation rates, and
periodic changes in claim frequency and severity patterns caused by natural
disasters, weather conditions, accidents, illnesses, work-related injuries, and
unanticipated external events. Mortgage Guaranty and Title Insurance results can
be affected by similar factors, and by changes in national and regional housing
demand and values, the availability and cost of mortgage loans, employment
trends, and default rates on mortgage loans. Mortgage Guaranty results, in
particular, may also be affected by various risk-sharing arrangements with
business producers, as well as the risk management and pricing policies of
government-sponsored enterprises. Life and health insurance earnings can be
affected by the levels of employment and consumer spending, variations in
mortality and health trends, and changes in policy lapsation rates. At the
parent holding company level, operating earnings or losses are generally
reflective of the amount of debt outstanding and its cost, interest income on
temporary holdings of short-term investments, and period-to-period variations in
the costs of administering the Company’s widespread operations.
29
A more
detailed listing and discussion of the risks and other factors which affect the
Company’s risk-taking insurance business are included in Part I, Item 1A - Risk
Factors, of the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K annual report to the Securities and
Exchange Commission, which Item is specifically incorporated herein by
reference.
Any
forward-looking statements or commentaries speak only as of their dates. Old
Republic undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any and all such
comments, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
and accordingly they may not be unduly relied upon.
30
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
Item
3 - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk
Market
risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the fair value
of financial instruments as a result of changes in interest rates, equity
prices, foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. Old Republic’s primary
market risks consist of interest rate risk associated with investments in fixed
maturities and equity price risk associated with investments in equity
securities. The Company has no material foreign exchange or commodity
risk.
Old
Republic’s market risk exposures at March 31, 2008, have not materially changed
from those identified in the Company’s 2007 Annual Report on Form
10-K.
Item
4 - Controls and Procedures
|
Evaluation
of Disclosure Controls and
Procedures
|
The
Company’s principal executive officer and its principal financial officer have
evaluated the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the
period covered by this quarterly report. Based upon their evaluation, the
principal executive officer and principal financial officer have concluded that
the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e)
and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) are effective for the
above referenced evaluation period.
Changes
in Internal Control
During
the three month period ended March 31, 2008, there were no changes in internal
control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over
financial reporting.
|
Management’s
Report on Internal Control Over Financial
Reporting
|
The
Company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting
and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance
with generally accepted accounting principles. The Company’s internal control
over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain
to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly
reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the Company; (ii)
provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to
permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the Company are
being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of
the Company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or
timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of the
Company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial
statements.
Because
of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not
prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of
effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance
with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
31
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
FORM
10-Q
PART
II – OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1A – Risk
Factors
There
have been no material changes with respect to the risk factors disclosed in the
Company’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 6 –
Exhibits
(a)
Exhibits
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
|
32.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
32.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
32
|
SIGNATURE
|
Pursuant
to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has
duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto
duly authorized.
Old
Republic International Corporation
|
||||
(Registrant)
|
||||
Date:
|
May
2, 2008
|
|||
/s/ Karl W. Mueller
|
||||
Karl
W. Mueller
Senior
Vice President,
Chief
Financial Officer, and
Principal
Accounting Officer
|
33
EXHIBIT
INDEX
Exhibit
|
||
No.
|
Description
|
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
|
32.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
|
|
32.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|