RADIAN GROUP INC - Quarter Report: 2021 September (Form 10-Q)
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
_____________________________
FORM 10-Q
_____________________________
(Mark One)
☒ | QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2021
OR
☐ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission File Number 1-11356
_______________________________
Radian Group Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
_______________________________
Delaware | 23-2691170 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
550 East Swedesford Road, Suite 350, Wayne, PA 19087
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
(215) 231-1000
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
1500 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA 19102
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class | Trading Symbol(s) | Name of each exchange on which registered | ||||||
Common Stock, $0.001 par value per share | RDN | New York Stock Exchange |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large Accelerated Filer | ☒ | Accelerated filer | ☐ | Non-accelerated filer | ☐ | Smaller reporting company | ☐ | Emerging growth company | ☐ |
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ☐ No ☒
APPLICABLE ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 179,333,136 shares of common stock, $0.001 par value per share, outstanding on November 3, 2021.
Table of Contents
Page | ||||||||
PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION | ||||||||
Item 1 | ||||||||
Item 2 | ||||||||
Item 3 | ||||||||
Item 4 | ||||||||
PART II—OTHER INFORMATION | ||||||||
Item 1 | ||||||||
Item 1A | ||||||||
Item 2 | ||||||||
Item 6 | ||||||||
2
Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms
The following list defines various abbreviations and acronyms used throughout this report, including the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
Term | Definition | ||||
2020 Form 10-K | Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, filed with the SEC on February 26, 2021 | ||||
2014 Master Policy | Radian Guaranty’s master insurance policy, setting forth the terms and conditions of our mortgage insurance coverage, which became effective October 1, 2014 | ||||
2020 Master Policy | Radian Guaranty’s master insurance policy, setting forth the terms and conditions of our mortgage insurance coverage, which became effective March 1, 2020 | ||||
2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in the first quarter of 2016 and subsequently amended in the fourth quarter of 2017 | ||||
2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in October 2017 to cede a portion of Single Premium NIW beginning January 1, 2018 | ||||
2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in January 2020 to cede a portion of Single Premium NIW beginning January 1, 2020 | ||||
2017 Surplus Note | The $100 million 0.0% intercompany surplus note issued by Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, due December 31, 2027 | ||||
2020 Surplus Note | The $200 million 3.0% intercompany surplus note issued by Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, which was initially due January 31, 2030 but was converted to contributed surplus effective April 1, 2021 | ||||
ABS | Asset-backed securities | ||||
All Other | Radian’s non-reportable operating segments and other business activities, including: (i) income (losses) from assets held by our holding company; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; (iii) for all periods prior to its sale in the first quarter of 2020, income and expenses related to Clayton; (iv) for all periods presented, the income and expenses related to our traditional appraisal services; and (v) certain other immaterial revenue and expense items | ||||
ASU | Accounting Standards Update, issued by the FASB to communicate changes to GAAP | ||||
Available Assets | As defined in the PMIERs, assets primarily including the most liquid assets of a mortgage insurer, and reduced by, among other items, premiums received but not yet earned and reinsurance funds withheld | ||||
CARES Act | Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act signed into law on March 27, 2020 | ||||
Claim Curtailment | Our legal right, under certain conditions, to reduce the amount of a claim, including due to servicer negligence | ||||
Claim Denial | Our legal right, under certain conditions, to deny a claim | ||||
Claim Severity | The total claim amount paid divided by the original coverage amount | ||||
Clayton | Clayton Services LLC, a former indirect subsidiary of Radian Group that was sold on January 21, 2020, through which we provided services related to loan acquisition, RMBS securitization and distressed asset reviews and servicer and loan surveillance | ||||
CLO | Collateralized loan obligations | ||||
CMBS | Commercial mortgage-backed securities | ||||
COVID-19 | The novel coronavirus disease declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in March 2020 | ||||
COVID-19 Amendment | Amendment to the PMIERs effective June 30, 2020, primarily to recognize the COVID-19 pandemic as a nationwide “FEMA Declared Major Disaster” and to set forth guidelines on the application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge to COVID-19 Defaulted Loans | ||||
COVID-19 Crisis Period | Time period extending from March 1, 2020 to March 31, 2021 |
3
Term | Definition | ||||
COVID-19 Defaulted Loans | All non-performing loans that either: (i) have an Initial Missed Payment occurring during the COVID-19 Crisis Period or (ii) are subject to a forbearance plan granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19 (which is assumed under the COVID-19 Amendment to be the case for any loan that has an Initial Missed Payment occurring during the COVID-19 Crisis Period and is subject to a forbearance plan), the terms of which are materially consistent with the terms of forbearance plans offered by the GSEs | ||||
Cures | Loans that were in default as of the beginning of a period and are no longer in default because payments were received such that the loan is no longer 60 or more days past due | ||||
Default to Claim Rate | The percentage of defaulted loans that are assumed to result in a claim | ||||
Demotech | Demotech, Inc. | ||||
Disaster Related Capital Charge | Under the PMIERs, multiplier of 0.30 applied to the required asset amount factor for each non-performing loan: (i) backed by a property located in a FEMA Designated Area and (ii) either subject to a certain forbearance plan or with an initial default date occurring within a certain timeframe | ||||
Dodd-Frank Act | Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, as amended | ||||
Eagle Re Issuer(s) | A group of unaffiliated special purpose insurers (VIEs) domiciled in Bermuda, comprising Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2020-2 Ltd., and/or Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd., which provide reinsurance coverage under Radian Guaranty’s Excess-of-Loss Program. | ||||
ERCF | Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework, which was finalized by the FHFA in December 2020 and established a new regulatory capital framework for the GSEs | ||||
Excess-of-Loss Program | The credit risk protection obtained by Radian Guaranty in the form of excess-of-loss reinsurance, which indemnifies the ceding company against loss in excess of a specific agreed limit, up to a specified sum. The program includes reinsurance agreements with the Eagle Re Issuers in connection with various issuances of mortgage insurance-linked notes. The program also includes a separate agreement with a third-party reinsurer, representing a pro rata share of the credit risk alongside the risk assumed by Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd., an Eagle Re Issuer. | ||||
Exchange Act | Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended | ||||
Extraordinary Distribution | A dividend or distribution of capital that is required to be approved by an insurance company’s primary regulator that is greater than would be permitted as an ordinary distribution (which does not require regulatory approval) | ||||
Fannie Mae | Federal National Mortgage Association | ||||
FASB | Financial Accounting Standards Board | ||||
FEMA | Federal Emergency Management Agency, an agency of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security | ||||
FEMA Designated Area | Generally, an area that has been subject to a disaster, designated by FEMA as an individual assistance disaster area for the purpose of determining eligibility for various forms of federal assistance | ||||
FHA | Federal Housing Administration | ||||
FHFA | Federal Housing Finance Agency | ||||
FHLB | Federal Home Loan Bank of Pittsburgh | ||||
FICO | Fair Isaac Corporation (“FICO”) credit scores, for Radian’s portfolio statistics, represent the borrower’s credit score at origination and, in circumstances where there are multiple borrowers, the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores is utilized | ||||
Fitch | Fitch Ratings, Inc. | ||||
Freddie Mac | Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation | ||||
GAAP | Generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S., as amended from time to time | ||||
GSE(s) | Government-Sponsored Enterprises (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) | ||||
HARP | Home Affordable Refinance Program | ||||
homegenius | Radian’s business segment (formerly known as “Real Estate”) that offers a broad array of title, valuation, asset management, SaaS and other real estate services to mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents | ||||
IBNR | Losses incurred but not reported | ||||
IIF | Insurance in force, equal to the aggregate unpaid principal balances of the underlying loans |
4
Term | Definition | ||||
Initial Missed Payment | The first missed monthly payment, which would be reported to us as delinquent as of the last day of the month for which it was due. (For example, for a loan first reported to the approved insurer in May as having missed its payments due on April 1 and May 1, the Initial Missed Payment shall be deemed to have occurred on April 30. In this example, the loan would become a non-performing primary mortgage guaranty insurance loan in May and, if applicable, the Disaster Related Capital Charge would be applied for May, June, and July.) | ||||
LAE | Loss adjustment expenses, which include the cost of investigating and adjusting losses and paying claims | ||||
LIBOR | London Inter-bank Offered Rate | ||||
Loss Mitigation Activity/Activities | Activities such as Rescissions, Claim Denials, Claim Curtailments and cancellations | ||||
LTV | Loan-to-value ratio, calculated as the ratio of the original loan amount to the original value of the property, expressed as a percentage | ||||
Master Policies | The Prior Master Policy, the 2014 Master Policy, and the 2020 Master Policy, together | ||||
Minimum Required Asset(s) | A risk-based minimum required asset amount, as defined in the PMIERs, calculated based on net RIF (RIF, net of credits permitted for reinsurance) and a variety of measures related to expected credit performance and other factors, including the impact of the Disaster Related Capital Charge | ||||
Model Act | Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act, as issued by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners to establish minimum capital and surplus requirements for mortgage insurers | ||||
Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums (or Recurring Premium Policies) | Insurance premiums or policies, respectively, where premiums are paid on a monthly or other installment basis, in contrast to Single Premium Policies | ||||
Monthly Premium Policies | Insurance policies where premiums are paid on a monthly installment basis | ||||
Moody’s | Moody’s Investors Service | ||||
Mortgage | Radian’s mortgage insurance and risk services business segment, which provides credit-related insurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, as well as other credit risk management, contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors | ||||
MPP Requirement | Certain states’ statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirement that the mortgage insurer must maintain a minimum policyholder position, which is calculated based on both risk and surplus levels | ||||
NIW | New insurance written, representing the aggregate original principal amount of the mortgages underlying the Primary Mortgage Insurance | ||||
NOL | Net operating loss; for tax purposes, accumulated during years a company reported more tax deductions than taxable income. NOLs may be carried back or carried forward a certain number of years, depending on various factors which can reduce a company’s tax liability. | ||||
Persistency Rate | The percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time | ||||
PMIERs | Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements issued by the GSEs under oversight of the FHFA to set forth requirements an approved insurer must meet and maintain to provide mortgage guaranty insurance on loans acquired by the GSEs. The current PMIERs requirements, sometimes referred to as PMIERs 2.0, incorporate the most recent revisions to the PMIERs that became effective on March 31, 2019. | ||||
PMIERs Cushion | Under PMIERs, Radian Guaranty's excess of Available Assets over Minimum Required Assets | ||||
Pool Mortgage Insurance | Insurance that provides a lender or investor protection against default on a group or “pool” of mortgages, rather than on an individual mortgage loan basis, generally subject to an aggregate exposure limit, or “stop loss,” and/or deductible applied to the initial aggregate loan balance of the entire pool, pursuant to the terms of the applicable insurance agreement | ||||
Primary Mortgage Insurance | Insurance that provides a lender or investor protection against default on an individual mortgage loan basis, at a specified coverage percentage for each loan, pursuant to the terms of the applicable Master Policy | ||||
Prior Master Policy | Radian Guaranty’s master insurance policy, setting forth the terms and conditions of our mortgage insurance coverage, which was in effect prior to the effective date of the 2014 Master Policy |
5
Term | Definition | ||||
QM | Qualified mortgage; a mortgage that possesses certain low-risk characteristics that enable it to qualify for lender protection under the ability to repay rule instituted by the Dodd-Frank Act | ||||
QSR Program | The quota share reinsurance agreements entered into with a third-party reinsurance provider in the second and fourth quarters of 2012, collectively | ||||
Radian | Radian Group Inc. together with its consolidated subsidiaries | ||||
Radian Group | Radian Group Inc., our insurance holding company | ||||
Radian Guaranty | Radian Guaranty Inc., a Pennsylvania domiciled insurance subsidiary of Radian Group and our approved insurer under the PMIERs, through which we provide mortgage insurance products and services | ||||
Radian Reinsurance | Radian Reinsurance Inc., a Pennsylvania domiciled insurance subsidiary of Radian Group, through which we provide mortgage credit risk insurance and reinsurance, including through participation in credit risk transactions issued by the GSEs | ||||
Radian Title Insurance | Radian Title Insurance Inc., an Ohio domiciled insurance company and an indirect subsidiary of Radian Group, through which we offer title insurance | ||||
RBC States | Risk-based capital states, which are those states that currently impose a statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirement | ||||
Rescission | Our legal right, under certain conditions, to unilaterally rescind coverage on our mortgage insurance policies if we determine that a loan did not qualify for insurance | ||||
RIF | Risk in force; for Primary Mortgage Insurance, RIF is equal to the underlying loan unpaid principal balance multiplied by the insurance coverage percentage, whereas for Pool Mortgage Insurance, it represents the remaining exposure under the agreements | ||||
Risk-to-capital | Under certain state regulations, a maximum ratio of net RIF calculated relative to the level of statutory capital | ||||
RMBS | Residential mortgage-backed securities | ||||
S&P | Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC | ||||
SaaS | Software-as-a-Service | ||||
SAP | Statutory accounting principles and practices, including those required or permitted, if applicable, by the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of our insurance subsidiaries | ||||
SEC | United States Securities and Exchange Commission | ||||
Securities Act | Securities Act of 1933, as amended | ||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | Our 4.500% unsecured senior notes due October 2024 ($450 million original principal amount) | ||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | Our 6.625% unsecured senior notes due March 2025 ($525 million original principal amount) | ||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | Our 4.875% unsecured senior notes due March 2027 ($450 million original principal amount) | ||||
Single Premium NIW | NIW on Single Premium Policies | ||||
Single Premium Policy / Policies | Insurance policies where premiums are paid in a single payment, which includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically shortly after the loans have been originated) | ||||
Single Premium QSR Program | The 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement, the 2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement and the 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement, collectively | ||||
SOFR | Secured Overnight Financing Rate | ||||
Stage of Default | The stage a loan is in relative to the foreclosure process, based on whether a foreclosure sale has been scheduled or held | ||||
Statutory RBC Requirement | Risk-based capital requirement imposed by the RBC States, requiring a minimum surplus level and, in certain states, a minimum ratio of statutory capital relative to the level of risk | ||||
VIE | Variable interest entity |
6
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
—Safe Harbor Provisions
—Safe Harbor Provisions
All statements in this report that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act, Section 21E of the Exchange Act and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “goal,” “contemplate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “project,” “potential,” “continue,” “seek,” “strategy,” “future,” “likely” or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events, including management’s current views regarding the likely impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment where new risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us, particularly those associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, which has had wide-ranging and continually evolving effects. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and the forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation:
■the COVID-19 pandemic, which has caused significant economic disruption, high unemployment, periods of volatility and disruption in financial markets, and required adjustments in the housing finance system and real estate markets. The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely impacted our businesses, and the COVID-19 pandemic could further impact our business and subject us to certain risks, including those discussed in “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely impacted us, and its ultimate impact on our business and financial results will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope, severity and duration of the pandemic and actions taken by governmental authorities in response to the pandemic” and the other risk factors in our 2020 Form 10-K;
■changes in economic conditions that impact the size of the insurable market, the credit performance of our insured portfolio, and our business prospects;
■changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects;
■Radian Guaranty’s ability to remain eligible under the PMIERs and other applicable requirements imposed by the FHFA and by the GSEs to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
■our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy existing and future regulatory requirements, including the PMIERs and any changes thereto and potential changes to the Model Act currently under consideration;
■changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to, the GSEs, which may include further changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, changes in furtherance of housing policy objectives such as the current FHFA focus on increasing the accessibility and affordability of homeownership for low-and-moderate income borrowers and minority communities, changes in the requirements for Radian Guaranty to remain an approved insurer to the GSEs, changes in the GSEs’ interpretation and application of the PMIERs, or changes impacting loans purchased by the GSEs;
■the effects of the ERCF which, among other things, increases the capital requirements for the GSEs and reduces the credit they receive for risk transfer, which could impact their operations and pricing as well as the size of the insurable mortgage insurance market, and which may form the basis for future versions of the PMIERs;
■changes in the current housing finance system in the United States, including the roles of the FHA, the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system;
■our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our risk distribution strategy through the capital markets and reinsurance markets, and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our liquidity needs;
■our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including plans and strategies that require GSE and/or regulatory approvals and licenses or are subject to complex compliance requirements that we may be unable to satisfy, or that may expose us to new risks including those that could impact our capital and liquidity positions;
■uncertainty from the upcoming discontinuance of LIBOR and transition to one or more alternative benchmarks that could cause interest rate volatility and, among other things, impact our investment portfolio, cost of debt and cost of reinsurance through mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions;
■any disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies, as well as poor servicer performance, which could be impacted by the burdens placed on many servicers due to the COVID-19 pandemic;
7
■a decrease in the Persistency Rates of our mortgage insurance on Monthly Premium Policies;
■competition in the private mortgage insurance industry generally, and more specifically: price competition in our mortgage insurance business, including as a result of the increased use of loan-level pricing delivery methodologies that are less transparent than historical pricing practices; and competition from the FHA and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs as well as from other forms of credit enhancement, such as GSE-sponsored alternatives to traditional mortgage insurance;
■the effect of the Dodd-Frank Act on the financial services industry in general, and on our businesses in particular;
■legislative and regulatory activity (or inactivity), including the adoption of (or failure to adopt) new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied, including potential changes in tax law and other matters currently under consideration in the U.S. Congress;
■legal and regulatory claims, assertions, actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures, new or increased reserves or have other effects on our business;
■the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations;
■the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downturn or a period of extreme market volatility and economic uncertainty, the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business or to accurately calculate and/or project our Available Assets and Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which will be impacted by, among other things, the size and mix of our IIF, the level of defaults in our portfolio, the reported status of defaults in our portfolio, including whether they are subject to forbearance, a repayment plan or a loan modification trial period granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19, the level of cash flow generated by our insurance operations and our risk distribution strategies;
■volatility in our financial results caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including with respect to our use of derivatives and within our investment portfolio;
■changes in GAAP or SAP rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
■our ability and related costs to develop, launch and implement new and innovative technologies and digital products and services, and whether we will have broad customer acceptance of these products and services;
■effectiveness and security of our information technology systems and digital products and services, including the risk that these systems, products or services fail to operate as expected or planned or expose us to cybersecurity or third party risks, including due to computer viruses, unauthorized access, cyber-attack, natural disasters or other similar events;
■our ability to attract and retain key employees; and
■legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries, including dividends or ordinary course distributions under our internal tax- and expense-sharing arrangements.
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in this report and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2020 Form 10-K, and to subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the SEC. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this report. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.
8
PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)
Index to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
Page | |||||
Quarterly Financial Statements | |||||
Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements | |||||
9
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Assets | ||||||||||||||
Investments (Notes 5 and 6) | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale—at fair value, net of allowance for credit losses of $0 and $948 (amortized cost of $5,391,584 and $5,393,623) | $ | 5,580,212 | $ | 5,723,340 | ||||||||||
Trading securities—at fair value (amortized cost of $239,709 and $260,773) | 263,363 | 290,885 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities—at fair value (cost of $188,501 and $145,501) | 193,498 | 151,240 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments—at fair value (includes $41,661 and $15,587 of reinvested cash collateral held under securities lending agreements) | 617,515 | 618,004 | ||||||||||||
Other invested assets—at fair value | 3,899 | 4,973 | ||||||||||||
Total investments | 6,658,487 | 6,788,442 | ||||||||||||
Cash | 154,709 | 87,915 | ||||||||||||
Restricted cash | 1,866 | 6,231 | ||||||||||||
Accrued investment income | 33,258 | 34,047 | ||||||||||||
Accounts and notes receivable | 166,730 | 121,294 | ||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverables (includes $12 and $32 for paid losses) | 76,048 | 73,202 | ||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 16,823 | 18,305 | ||||||||||||
Property and equipment, net | 74,170 | 80,457 | ||||||||||||
Goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, net (Note 7) | 20,456 | 23,043 | ||||||||||||
Other assets (Note 9) | 839,061 | 715,085 | ||||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 8,041,608 | $ | 7,948,021 | ||||||||||
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity | ||||||||||||||
Liabilities | ||||||||||||||
Unearned premiums | $ | 348,322 | $ | 448,791 | ||||||||||
Reserve for losses and LAE (Note 11) | 893,155 | 848,413 | ||||||||||||
Senior notes (Note 12) | 1,408,502 | 1,405,674 | ||||||||||||
FHLB advances (Note 12) | 172,649 | 176,483 | ||||||||||||
Reinsurance funds withheld | 290,502 | 278,555 | ||||||||||||
Net deferred tax liability (Note 10) | 286,957 | 213,897 | ||||||||||||
Other liabilities | 383,585 | 291,855 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities | 3,783,672 | 3,663,668 | ||||||||||||
Commitments and contingencies (Note 13) | ||||||||||||||
Stockholders’ equity | ||||||||||||||
Common stock: par value $0.001 per share; 485,000 shares authorized at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020; 200,302 and 210,130 shares issued at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively; 181,336 and 191,606 shares outstanding at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively | 200 | 210 | ||||||||||||
Treasury stock, at cost: 18,966 and 18,524 shares at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively | (920,355) | (910,115) | ||||||||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 2,012,870 | 2,245,897 | ||||||||||||
Retained earnings | 3,012,997 | 2,684,636 | ||||||||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (Note 15) | 152,224 | 263,725 | ||||||||||||
Total stockholders’ equity | 4,257,936 | 4,284,353 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | $ | 8,041,608 | $ | 7,948,021 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
10
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned (Note 8) | $ | 249,118 | $ | 286,471 | $ | 775,746 | $ | 813,181 | ||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue (Note 4) | 37,773 | 33,943 | 90,132 | 93,945 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 35,960 | 36,255 | 110,502 | 115,922 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 2,098 | 17,652 | 12,578 | 42,901 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other income | 809 | 913 | 2,607 | 2,807 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 325,758 | 375,234 | 991,565 | 1,068,756 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 17,305 | 88,084 | 67,096 | 428,453 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 7,924 | 10,166 | 21,758 | 23,594 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 30,520 | 24,353 | 75,381 | 64,466 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 86,479 | 69,377 | 243,210 | 199,069 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 21,027 | 21,088 | 63,207 | 49,981 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets | 862 | 961 | 2,587 | 2,919 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 164,117 | 214,029 | 473,239 | 768,482 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Pretax income | 161,641 | 161,205 | 518,326 | 300,274 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax provision | 35,229 | 26,102 | 111,100 | 54,661 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 126,412 | $ | 135,103 | $ | 407,226 | $ | 245,613 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net Income Per Share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.68 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 2.13 | $ | 1.25 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 2.11 | $ | 1.25 | ||||||||||||||||||
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding—basic | 186,741 | 193,176 | 191,357 | 196,120 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Weighted-average number of common and common equivalent shares outstanding—diluted | 188,042 | 194,156 | 192,902 | 197,247 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
11
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 126,412 | $ | 135,103 | $ | 407,226 | $ | 245,613 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax (Note 15) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected losses has not been recognized | (23,394) | 30,839 | (106,286) | 143,602 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | 3,238 | 10,884 | 4,490 | 24,172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net decrease (increase) in expected credit losses | — | 147 | 725 | (2,051) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax | (26,632) | 19,808 | (111,501) | 121,481 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income | $ | 99,780 | $ | 154,911 | $ | 295,725 | $ | 367,094 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
12
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Common Stockholders’ Equity (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Common Stockholders’ Equity (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Common Stock | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | $ | 207 | $ | 210 | $ | 210 | $ | 219 | ||||||||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock under incentive and benefit plans | — | — | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares repurchased under share repurchase program (Note 14) | (7) | — | (11) | (11) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 200 | 210 | 200 | 210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury Stock | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | (920,225) | (909,738) | (910,115) | (901,657) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Repurchases of common stock under incentive plans | (130) | (7) | (10,240) | (8,088) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | (920,355) | (909,745) | (920,355) | (909,745) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Additional Paid-in Capital | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | 2,161,857 | 2,232,949 | 2,245,897 | 2,449,884 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock under incentive and benefit plans | 1,007 | 825 | 2,944 | 3,096 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | 8,282 | 5,095 | 20,996 | 12,183 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares repurchased under share repurchase program (Note 14) | (158,276) | — | (256,967) | (226,294) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 2,012,870 | 2,238,869 | 2,012,870 | 2,238,869 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained Earnings | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | 2,913,138 | 2,450,423 | 2,684,636 | 2,389,789 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | 126,412 | 135,103 | 407,226 | 245,613 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividends and dividend equivalents declared | (26,553) | (24,450) | (78,865) | (74,326) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 3,012,997 | 2,561,076 | 3,012,997 | 2,561,076 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | 178,856 | 212,161 | 263,725 | 110,488 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments, net of tax | (26,632) | 19,808 | (111,501) | 121,481 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 152,224 | 231,969 | 152,224 | 231,969 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Stockholders’ Equity | $ | 4,257,936 | $ | 4,122,379 | $ | 4,257,936 | $ | 4,122,379 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
13
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
Cash Flows from Operating Activities | ||||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities | $ | 403,304 | $ | 498,756 | ||||||||||
Cash Flows from Investing Activities | ||||||||||||||
Proceeds from sales of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | 536,387 | 894,998 | ||||||||||||
Trading securities | 7,952 | 11,602 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities | 29,289 | 77,445 | ||||||||||||
Proceeds from redemptions of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | 917,027 | 443,723 | ||||||||||||
Trading securities | 11,703 | 22,112 | ||||||||||||
Purchases of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | (1,413,445) | (2,099,281) | ||||||||||||
Equity securities | (102,956) | (69,206) | ||||||||||||
Sales, redemptions and (purchases) of: | ||||||||||||||
Short-term investments, net | (17,474) | (21,797) | ||||||||||||
Other assets and other invested assets, net | 6,253 | 989 | ||||||||||||
Proceeds from sale of subsidiary, net of cash sold | — | 16,481 | ||||||||||||
Purchases of property and equipment | (8,720) | (14,723) | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | (33,984) | (737,657) | ||||||||||||
Cash Flows from Financing Activities | ||||||||||||||
Dividends and dividend equivalents paid | (78,165) | (73,365) | ||||||||||||
Issuance of senior notes, net | — | 515,567 | ||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock | 1,225 | 1,505 | ||||||||||||
Repurchases of common stock | (251,482) | (226,305) | ||||||||||||
Credit facility commitment fees paid | (710) | (1,993) | ||||||||||||
Change in secured borrowings, net (with terms three months or less) | 38,241 | (19,191) | ||||||||||||
Proceeds from secured borrowings (with terms greater than three months) | 32,000 | 138,909 | ||||||||||||
Repayments of secured borrowings (with terms greater than three months) | (48,000) | (105,977) | ||||||||||||
Repayments of other borrowings | — | (79) | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | (306,891) | 229,071 | ||||||||||||
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash | 62,429 | (9,830) | ||||||||||||
Cash and restricted cash, beginning of period | 94,146 | 96,274 | ||||||||||||
Cash and restricted cash, end of period | $ | 156,575 | $ | 86,444 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
14
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
1. Description of Business
We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business, providing both credit-related mortgage insurance coverage and a broad array of other mortgage, risk, title, valuation, asset management, SaaS and other real estate services. We have two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. Our homegenius segment was previously named “Real Estate” and during the second quarter of 2021 we renamed it “homegenius” to align with updates to our branding strategy for the segment’s products and services.
Mortgage
Our Mortgage segment provides credit-related insurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, as well as other credit risk management, contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors. We provide our mortgage insurance products and services mainly through our wholly-owned subsidiary, Radian Guaranty.
Private mortgage insurance plays an important role in the U.S. housing finance system because it promotes affordable home ownership and helps protect mortgage lenders and investors, as well as other beneficiaries, by mitigating default-related losses on residential mortgage loans. Generally, these loans are made to homebuyers who make down payments of less than 20% of the purchase price for their home or, in the case of refinancings, have less than 20% equity in their home. Private mortgage insurance also facilitates the sale of these low down payment loans in the secondary mortgage market, most of which are currently sold to the GSEs.
Our total direct primary mortgage IIF and RIF were $241.6 billion and $59.4 billion, respectively, as of September 30, 2021, compared to $246.1 billion and $60.7 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2020. In addition to providing private mortgage insurance, we participate in credit risk transfer programs developed by the GSEs as part of their initiative to distribute mortgage credit risk and increase the role of private capital in the mortgage market. Our additional RIF under credit risk transfer transactions, resulting from our participation in these programs with the GSEs, totaled $429.3 million as of September 30, 2021 compared to $392.0 million as of December 31, 2020.
The GSEs and state insurance regulators impose various capital and financial requirements on our mortgage insurance subsidiaries. These include Risk-to-capital, other risk-based capital measures and surplus requirements, as well as the PMIERs financial requirements. Failure to comply with these capital and financial requirements may limit the amount of insurance that our mortgage insurance subsidiaries write or may prohibit them from writing insurance altogether. The GSEs and state insurance regulators possess significant discretion with respect to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries and all aspects of their business. See Note 16 for additional information on PMIERs and other regulatory information, and “—Recent Developments” below for a discussion of the elevated risks posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has led to an increase in mortgage defaults in our insured portfolio and a resulting increase in our Minimum Required Assets.
homegenius
Our homegenius segment is primarily a fee-for-service business that offers a broad array of products and services to market participants across the real estate value chain. Our homegenius products and services include title, valuation, asset management, SaaS and other real estate services offered primarily to mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents. These products and services help lenders, investors, consumers and real estate agents evaluate, manage, monitor, acquire and sell properties. These products and services include SaaS solutions and platforms, as well as managed services, such as real estate owned asset management, single family rental services and real estate valuation services. In addition, we provide title insurance and non-insurance title, closing and settlement services to mortgage lenders, GSEs and mortgage investors, as well as directly to consumers for residential mortgage loans.
See Note 4 for additional information about our reportable segments and All Other business activities.
COVID-19 Developments
As a seller of mortgage credit protection, our results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing finance and real estate markets, including events that impact mortgage originations and the credit performance of our RIF. Many of these conditions are beyond our control, including housing prices, unemployment, interest rate changes, the availability of credit and other factors that may be derived from national and regional economic conditions.
In general, a deterioration in economic conditions increases the likelihood that borrowers will be unable to satisfy their mortgage obligations. A deteriorating economy can adversely affect housing values, which in turn can influence the willingness of borrowers to continue to make mortgage payments regardless of whether they have the financial resources to do so. Mortgage defaults can also occur due to a variety of specific events affecting borrowers, including death or illness, divorce or other family problems, unemployment, or other events. In addition, factors impacting regional economic conditions, acts of terrorism, war or other severe conflicts, event-specific economic depressions or other catastrophic events, such as natural
15
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
disasters and pandemics, could result in increased defaults due to the impact of such events on the ability of borrowers to satisfy their mortgage obligations and on the value of affected homes.
The unprecedented and continually evolving social and economic impacts associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. and global economies that began in early 2020 had a negative effect on our business and our financial results for the second quarter of 2020, and since then to a lesser extent, as further discussed below. Specifically, and primarily as a result of a sharp increase in the number of new defaults during the second quarter of 2020, our financial results in 2020 included: (i) an increase in both provision for losses and reserve for losses and (ii) an increase in our Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs.
However, beginning in the third quarter of 2020 and continuing throughout 2021, the number of new defaults has decreased significantly and has now returned to levels experienced prior to the start of the pandemic. These trends, combined with strong home price appreciation and favorable outcomes from mortgage forbearance programs implemented during the pandemic to assist homeowners, have led to favorable reserve development during 2021 on prior year defaults. See Note 11 for additional information on our reserve for losses.
In addition, in response to the threat posed to the economy from the COVID-19 pandemic, in early 2020 the Federal Reserve enacted certain protective measures, to support the economy that resulted in a drop in interest rates generally, and in mortgage rates specifically, resulting in increased mortgage refinance activity. While these developments have benefited our NIW volumes, the low interest rate environment in recent periods has resulted in a high level of refinance activity and associated increase in policy cancellations, which has reduced our Persistency Rate, and in turn contributed to a reduction in our IIF, particularly as a result of a decline in our Single Premium Policies. In the second quarter of 2021 this refinance activity began to moderate, and this trend has continued in the three months ended September 30, 2021.
While recent trends have been favorable, the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our businesses will depend on, among other things: the extent and duration of the pandemic, the severity of illness and number of people infected with the virus and the acceptance and long-term effectiveness of anti-viral treatments and vaccines, especially as new strains of COVID-19 have emerged; the wider economic effects of the pandemic and the scope and duration of governmental and other third-party measures restricting day-to-day life and business operations; the impact of economic stimulus efforts to support the economy through the pandemic; and governmental and GSE programs implemented to assist borrowers experiencing a COVID-19-related hardship, including forbearance programs and forbearance exit programs, as well as suspensions of foreclosures and evictions.
2. Significant Accounting Policies
Basis of Presentation
Our condensed consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP and include the accounts of Radian Group Inc. and its subsidiaries. All intercompany accounts and transactions, and intercompany profits and losses, have been eliminated. We have condensed or omitted certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP pursuant to the instructions set forth in Article 10 of Regulation S-X of the SEC.
We refer to Radian Group Inc. together with its consolidated subsidiaries as “Radian,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our,” unless the context requires otherwise. We generally refer to Radian Group Inc. alone, without its consolidated subsidiaries, as “Radian Group.” Unless otherwise defined in this report, certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.
The financial information presented for interim periods is unaudited; however, such information reflects all adjustments that are, in the opinion of management, necessary for the fair statement of the financial position, results of operations, comprehensive income (loss) and cash flows for the interim periods presented. Such adjustments are of a normal recurring nature. The year-end condensed balance sheet data was derived from our audited financial statements, but does not include all disclosures required by GAAP.
To fully understand the basis of presentation, these interim financial statements and related notes contained herein should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements and notes thereto included in our 2020 Form 10-K. The results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period.
Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to current period presentation, including: (i) certain balance sheet line items now reported in other assets and (ii) certain segment reporting balances due to changes in the composition of our segments during 2020.
16
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Use of Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of our contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements, as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. While the amounts included in our condensed consolidated financial statements include our best estimates and assumptions, actual results may vary materially.
Other Significant Accounting Policies
See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for information regarding other significant accounting policies. There have been no significant changes in our significant accounting policies from those discussed in our 2020 Form 10-K, other than described below in “—Recent Accounting Pronouncements—Accounting Standards Adopted During 2021.”
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
Accounting Standards Adopted During 2021
In December 2019, the FASB issued ASU 2019-12, Income Taxes—Simplifying the Accounting for Income Taxes. This update simplifies the accounting for income taxes by removing certain exceptions to the general principles of ASC Topic 740 in GAAP and clarifies certain aspects to promote consistency among reporting entities. We adopted this update effective January 1, 2021. The adoption of this update did not have an impact on our financial statements and disclosures.
In October 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-08, Codification Improvements to Subtopic 310-20, Receivables—Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs. This update clarifies that, for each reporting period, to the extent the amortized cost basis of an individual callable debt security exceeds the amount repayable by the issuer at the next call date, the excess (i.e., the premium) should be amortized to the next call date. We adopted ASU 2020-08 on January 1, 2021 on a prospective basis. The adoption of this update did not have a material impact on our financial statements and disclosures.
Accounting Standards Not Yet Adopted
In August 2018, the FASB issued ASU 2018-12, Financial Services—Insurance. The new standard: (i) requires that assumptions used to measure the liability for future policy benefits be reviewed at least annually; (ii) defines and simplifies the measurement of market risk benefits; (iii) simplifies the amortization of deferred acquisition costs; and (iv) enhances the required disclosures about long-duration contracts. This update is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2022, including interim periods within those fiscal years. Early adoption is permitted. We are currently evaluating the impact on our financial statements and future disclosures as a result of this update.
In March 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-04, Reference Rate Reform—Facilitation of the Effects of Reference Reform on Financial Reporting. This update provides optional expedients and exceptions for applying GAAP to contracts, hedging relationships, and other transactions affected by reference rate reform. The amendments in this update are optional and may be elected from the date of issuance through December 31, 2022, as reference rate reform activities occur. We are currently evaluating the impact of the guidance and our options related to the practical expedients.
17
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
3. Net Income Per Share
Basic net income per share is computed by dividing net income by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding, while diluted net income per share is computed by dividing net income attributable to common stockholders by the sum of the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding and the weighted-average number of dilutive potential common shares. Dilutive potential common shares relate to our share-based compensation arrangements.
The calculation of basic and diluted net income per share is as follows.
Net income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income—basic and diluted | $ | 126,412 | $ | 135,103 | $ | 407,226 | $ | 245,613 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average common shares outstanding—basic | 186,741 | 193,176 | 191,357 | 196,120 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dilutive effect of share-based compensation arrangements (1) | 1,301 | 980 | 1,545 | 1,127 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted | 188,042 | 194,156 | 192,902 | 197,247 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income per share: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.68 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 2.13 | $ | 1.25 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 2.11 | $ | 1.25 |
(1)The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our share-based compensation arrangements are not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because they are anti-dilutive.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares of common stock equivalents | — | 710 | — | 1,046 |
4. Segment Reporting
We have two strategic business units that we manage separately—Mortgage and homegenius. Our Mortgage segment derives its revenue from mortgage insurance and other mortgage and risk services, including contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions provided to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors. Our homegenius segment offers a broad array of title, valuation, asset management, SaaS and other real estate services to mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.
In addition, we report as All Other activities that include: (i) income (losses) from assets held by our holding company; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; (iii) for all periods through its sale in January 2020, income and expenses related to Clayton; (iv) for all periods presented, the income and expenses related to our traditional appraisal services, which we wound down beginning in the fourth quarter of 2020; and (v) certain other immaterial revenue and expense items.
As described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K, we implemented several changes to our segment reporting in 2020, including related to the wind down of our traditional appraisal business announced in the fourth quarter of 2020. All changes to the composition of our segment reporting have been reflected in our segment operating results for all periods presented.
During the second quarter of 2021, our Real Estate segment was renamed “homegenius” to align with updates to our branding strategy for the segment’s products and services. The homegenius segment name change had no impact on the composition of our segments or on our previously reported historical financial position, results of operations, cash flow or segment level results.
We allocate corporate operating expenses to both reportable segments based on each segment’s forecasted annual percentage of total revenue, which approximates the estimated percentage of management time spent on each segment. In addition, we allocate all corporate interest expense to our Mortgage segment, due to the capital-intensive nature of our mortgage insurance business.
18
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
With the exception of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets that relate to our homegenius segment, which are reviewed as part of our annual goodwill impairment assessment, we do not manage assets by segment.
See Note 1 for additional details about our Mortgage and homegenius businesses.
Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss)
Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of Radian’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as impairment of internal-use software, gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income (loss), including the reasons for their treatment.
Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss).
The reconciliation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our reportable segments to consolidated pretax income (loss) is as follows.
Reconciliation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) by segment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | $ | 163,124 | $ | 147,336 | $ | 528,873 | $ | 267,182 | ||||||||||||||||||
homegenius | (5,557) | (5,046) | (25,208) | (12,108) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for reportable segments (1) | 157,567 | 142,290 | 503,665 | 255,074 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
All Other adjusted pretax operating income (loss) | 3,082 | 2,690 | 9,019 | 6,006 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 2,098 | 17,652 | 12,578 | 42,901 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets | (862) | (961) | (2,587) | (2,919) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | (244) | (466) | (4,349) | (788) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated pretax income | $ | 161,641 | $ | 161,205 | $ | 518,326 | $ | 300,274 |
(1)Includes allocated corporate operating expenses and depreciation expense as follows.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (a) | $ | 34,341 | $ | 29,127 | $ | 95,225 | $ | 83,700 | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct depreciation expense | 2,240 | 2,895 | 7,342 | 9,719 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
homegenius | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (b) | $ | 4,918 | $ | 3,248 | $ | 13,635 | $ | 9,438 | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct depreciation expense | 639 | 679 | 1,828 | 2,113 |
(a)Includes allocated depreciation expense of $0.8 million and $2.5 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, and $0.8 million and $1.7 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020, respectively.
(b)Includes allocated depreciation expense of $0.1 million and $0.4 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, and $0.1 million and $0.2 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020, respectively.
19
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Revenue
The reconciliation of revenue for our reportable segments to consolidated revenues is as follows.
Reconciliation of revenues by segment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage (1) | $ | 274,659 | $ | 320,013 | $ | 862,757 | $ | 922,040 | ||||||||||||||||||
homegenius (2) | 45,091 | 29,793 | 104,337 | 78,866 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues for reportable segments | 319,750 | 349,806 | 967,094 | 1,000,906 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
All Other revenues (1) | 3,996 | 8,641 | 12,100 | 25,869 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 2,098 | 17,652 | 12,578 | 42,901 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating revenue | — | — | — | 247 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Elimination of inter-segment revenues | (86) | (865) | (207) | (1,167) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | $ | 325,758 | $ | 375,234 | $ | 991,565 | $ | 1,068,756 |
(1)Includes immaterial inter-segment revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.
(2)Includes immaterial inter-segment revenues for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
The table below, which represents total services revenue on our condensed consolidated statements of operations for the periods indicated, represents the disaggregation of services revenues from external customers, by type.
Services revenue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
homegenius services | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title services | $ | 12,926 | $ | 5,085 | $ | 30,382 | $ | 17,671 | ||||||||||||||||||
Asset management services | 9,538 | 7,379 | 20,976 | 22,275 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Valuation services | 9,418 | 7,177 | 22,798 | 17,195 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
SaaS and other real estate services | 837 | 2,120 | 2,742 | 5,340 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage services | 5,027 | 3,914 | 13,110 | 10,965 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
All Other services (1) | 27 | 8,268 | 124 | 20,499 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total services revenue | $ | 37,773 | $ | 33,943 | $ | 90,132 | $ | 93,945 |
(1)Includes services revenue from Clayton prior to its sale in January 2020 and amounts related to our traditional appraisal business, which we wound down beginning in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Revenue recognized related to services made available to customers and billed is reflected in accounts and notes receivable. Accounts and notes receivable includes $17.7 million and $18.8 million as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, related to services revenue contracts. Revenue recognized related to services performed and not yet billed is recorded in unbilled receivables and reflected in other assets. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policies and the services we offer.
5. Fair Value of Financial Instruments
For discussion of our valuation methodologies for assets and liabilities measured at fair value and the fair value hierarchy, see Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
The following tables include a list of assets that are measured at fair value by hierarchy level as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020.
20
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Assets carried at fair value by hierarchy level | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Level I | Level II | Level III | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 225,540 | $ | 29,618 | $ | — | $ | 255,158 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 161,011 | — | 161,011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 2,936,922 | — | 2,936,922 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 713,106 | — | 713,106 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 706,641 | — | 706,641 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | — | 559,320 | — | 559,320 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 195,019 | — | 195,019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | — | 5,344 | — | 5,344 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | — | 47,691 | — | 47,691 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | 225,540 | 5,354,672 | — | 5,580,212 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 99,329 | — | 99,329 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 120,298 | — | 120,298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 10,147 | — | 10,147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 33,589 | — | 33,589 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total trading securities | — | 263,363 | — | 263,363 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 185,214 | 8,284 | — | 193,498 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 84,823 | — | — | 84,823 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 12,470 | — | 12,470 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Money market instruments | 331,280 | — | — | 331,280 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 33,080 | — | 33,080 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 4,748 | — | 4,748 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 28 | — | 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (2) | — | 151,086 | — | 151,086 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total short-term investments | 416,103 | 201,412 | — | 617,515 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other invested assets (3) | — | — | 3,000 | 3,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total investments at fair value (3) | 826,857 | 5,827,731 | 3,000 | 6,657,588 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivatives (4) | — | — | 5,499 | 5,499 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Loaned securities (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 19,830 | — | — | 19,830 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 86,480 | — | 86,480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 28,748 | — | — | 28,748 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value (3) | $ | 875,435 | $ | 5,914,211 | $ | 8,499 | $ | 6,798,145 | ||||||||||||||||||
(1)Comprises the notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information about our reinsurance programs.
(2)Comprising short-term certificates of deposit and commercial paper.
(3)Does not include other invested assets of $0.9 million that are primarily invested in limited partnership investments valued using the net asset value as a practical expedient.
(4)Embedded derivatives related to our Excess-of-Loss Program are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 8 for more information about our reinsurance programs.
(5)Securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 for more information.
21
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Assets carried at fair value by hierarchy level | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Level I | Level II | Level III | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 140,034 | $ | 29,189 | $ | — | $ | 169,223 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 165,271 | — | 165,271 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 3,047,189 | — | 3,047,189 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 833,939 | — | 833,939 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 681,265 | — | 681,265 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | — | 568,558 | — | 568,558 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 252,457 | — | 252,457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | — | 5,438 | — | 5,438 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | 140,034 | 5,583,306 | — | 5,723,340 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 120,449 | — | 120,449 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 123,142 | — | 123,142 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 13,000 | — | 13,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 34,294 | — | 34,294 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total trading securities | — | 290,885 | — | 290,885 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 142,761 | 8,479 | — | 151,240 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 21,819 | — | 21,819 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Money market instruments | 268,900 | — | — | 268,900 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 30,495 | — | 30,495 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 219 | — | 219 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (1) | — | 296,571 | — | 296,571 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total short-term investments | 268,900 | 349,104 | — | 618,004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other invested assets (2) | — | — | 3,000 | 3,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total investments at fair value (2) | 551,695 | 6,231,774 | 3,000 | 6,786,469 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivatives (3) | — | — | 5,513 | 5,513 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Loaned securities (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 4,876 | — | — | 4,876 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 31,324 | — | 31,324 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 21,299 | — | — | 21,299 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value (2) | $ | 577,870 | $ | 6,263,098 | $ | 8,513 | $ | 6,849,481 | ||||||||||||||||||
(1)Comprising short-term certificates of deposit and commercial paper.
(2)Does not include other invested assets of $2.0 million that are primarily invested in limited partnership investments valued using the net asset value as a practical expedient.
(3)Embedded derivatives related to our Excess-of-Loss Program are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 8 for more information about our reinsurance programs.
(4)Securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 for more information.
There were no transfers to or from Level III for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 or the year ended December 31, 2020. Activity related to Level III assets and liabilities (including realized and unrealized gains and losses, purchases, sales, issuances, settlements and transfers) was immaterial for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and the year ended December 31, 2020.
22
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Other Fair Value Disclosure
The carrying value and estimated fair value of other selected liabilities not carried at fair value in our condensed consolidated balance sheets were as follows as of the dates indicated.
Financial liabilities not carried at fair value | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Carrying Amount | Estimated Fair Value | Carrying Amount | Estimated Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Senior notes | $ | 1,408,502 | $ | 1,556,285 | $ | 1,405,674 | $ | 1,563,503 | ||||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances | 172,649 | 174,551 | 176,483 | 179,578 |
The fair value of our senior notes is estimated based on quoted market prices. The fair value of our FHLB advances is estimated based on expected cash flows for similar borrowings. These liabilities are categorized in Level II of the fair value hierarchy. See Note 12 for further information about these borrowings.
6. Investments
Available for Sale Securities
Our available for sale securities within our investment portfolio consisted of the following as of the dates indicated.
Available for sale securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Allowance for Credit Losses | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 256,519 | $ | — | $ | 523 | $ | (1,884) | $ | 255,158 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 146,234 | — | 15,134 | (357) | 161,011 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 2,892,347 | — | 155,631 | (24,981) | 3,022,997 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 695,481 | — | 20,925 | (3,300) | 713,106 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 680,503 | — | 28,619 | (2,481) | 706,641 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 558,523 | — | 1,340 | (543) | 559,320 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 193,727 | — | 1,768 | (476) | 195,019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | 5,107 | — | 237 | — | 5,344 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | 45,384 | — | 2,307 | — | 47,691 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total securities available for sale, including loaned securities | 5,473,825 | $ | — | $ | 226,484 | $ | (34,022) | 5,666,287 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities (2) | 82,241 | 86,075 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,391,584 | $ | 5,580,212 |
(1)Comprises the notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information about our reinsurance programs.
(2)Included in other assets in our consolidated balance sheet as further described below. See below for a discussion of our securities lending agreements.
23
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Available for sale securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Allowance for Credit Losses | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 176,033 | $ | — | $ | 1,677 | $ | (3,611) | $ | 174,099 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 149,258 | — | 16,113 | (100) | 165,271 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 2,832,350 | (948) | 250,771 | (3,758) | 3,078,415 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 799,814 | — | 34,439 | (314) | 833,939 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 645,071 | — | 39,495 | (3,301) | 681,265 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 569,173 | — | 2,026 | (2,641) | 568,558 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 249,988 | — | 2,901 | (432) | 252,457 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | 5,100 | — | 338 | — | 5,438 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total securities available for sale, including loaned securities | 5,426,787 | $ | (948) | $ | 347,760 | $ | (14,157) | 5,759,442 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities (1) | 33,164 | 36,102 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,393,623 | $ | 5,723,340 |
(1)Included in other assets in our consolidated balance sheet as further described below. See below for a discussion of our securities lending agreements.
The following table provides a rollforward of the allowance for credit losses on fixed-maturities available for sale, which relates entirely to corporate bonds and notes for the periods indicated.
Rollforward of allowance for credit losses on fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning balance | $ | — | $ | 2,476 | $ | 948 | $ | — | ||||||||||||||||||
Current provision for securities without prior allowance | — | — | — | 2,596 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net increases (decreases) in allowance on previously impaired securities | — | (186) | (918) | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Reduction for securities sold | — | — | (30) | (306) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending balance | $ | — | $ | 2,290 | $ | — | $ | 2,290 |
Gross Unrealized Losses and Related Fair Value of Available for Sale Securities
For securities deemed “available for sale” that are in an unrealized loss position and for which an allowance for credit loss has not been established, the following tables show the gross unrealized losses and fair value, aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, as of the dates indicated. Included in the amounts as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 are loaned securities under securities lending agreements that are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets, as further described below.
24
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Unrealized losses on fixed-maturities available for sale by category and length of time | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | Less Than 12 Months | 12 Months or Greater | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description of Securities | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 14 | $ | 175,339 | $ | (1,207) | 2 | $ | 9,477 | $ | (677) | 16 | $ | 184,816 | $ | (1,884) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 15 | 20,223 | (254) | 1 | 2,831 | (103) | 16 | 23,054 | (357) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 175 | 719,649 | (16,424) | 32 | 90,207 | (8,557) | 207 | 809,856 | (24,981) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 36 | 258,829 | (3,291) | 2 | 758 | (9) | 38 | 259,587 | (3,300) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 59 | 118,990 | (1,555) | 12 | 25,224 | (926) | 71 | 144,214 | (2,481) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 68 | 251,734 | (287) | 14 | 55,150 | (256) | 82 | 306,884 | (543) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 44 | 99,325 | (453) | 2 | 859 | (23) | 46 | 100,184 | (476) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 411 | $ | 1,644,089 | $ | (23,471) | 65 | $ | 184,506 | $ | (10,551) | 476 | $ | 1,828,595 | $ | (34,022) |
December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | Less Than 12 Months | 12 Months or Greater | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description of Securities | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | # of securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 4 | $ | 90,591 | $ | (3,611) | — | $ | — | $ | — | 4 | $ | 90,591 | $ | (3,611) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 4 | 9,626 | (100) | — | — | — | 4 | 9,626 | (100) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 60 | 174,848 | (3,758) | — | — | — | 60 | 174,848 | (3,758) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 5 | 42,003 | (305) | 2 | 915 | (9) | 7 | 42,918 | (314) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 43 | 118,345 | (3,035) | 6 | 8,312 | (266) | 49 | 126,657 | (3,301) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 52 | 173,459 | (970) | 25 | 137,506 | (1,671) | 77 | 310,965 | (2,641) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 26 | 70,759 | (322) | 3 | 12,119 | (110) | 29 | 82,878 | (432) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 194 | $ | 679,631 | $ | (12,101) | 36 | $ | 158,852 | $ | (2,056) | 230 | $ | 838,483 | $ | (14,157) |
See “—Net Gains (Losses) on Investments” below for additional details on our net gains (losses) on investments, including the changes in the allowance for credit losses on fixed maturities available for sale and other impairments due to our intent to sell securities in an unrealized loss position. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policy for impairments.
Securities Lending Agreements
We participate in a securities lending program whereby we loan certain securities in our investment portfolio to third-party borrowers for short periods of time. Although we report such securities at fair value within other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets, rather than within investments, the detailed information we provide in this Note 6 includes these securities. See Note 5 for additional detail on the loaned securities, and see Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information about our accounting policies with respect to our securities lending agreements and the collateral requirements thereunder.
25
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
All of our securities lending agreements are classified as overnight and revolving. Securities collateral on deposit with us from third-party borrowers totaling $97.4 million and $43.3 million as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, may not be transferred or re-pledged unless the third-party borrower is in default, and is therefore not reflected in our condensed consolidated financial statements.
Net Gains (Losses) on Investments
Net gains (losses) on investments consisted of the following.
Net gains (losses) on investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale (1) | $ | 4,098 | $ | 13,777 | $ | 5,684 | $ | 31,998 | ||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | — | — | 391 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 8,632 | — | 8,405 | 361 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments | 1,516 | 196 | 3,850 | 273 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on investments | 14,246 | 13,973 | 18,330 | 32,636 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment losses due to intent to sell | — | — | — | (1,401) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net decrease (increase) in expected credit losses | — | 186 | 918 | (2,596) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments | (11,342) | 2,813 | (5,825) | 916 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net gains (losses) on investments | $ | 2,904 | $ | 16,972 | $ | 13,423 | $ | 29,555 |
(1)Components of net realized gains (losses) on fixed-maturities available for sale include the following.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross investment gains from sales and redemptions | $ | 5,874 | $ | 14,219 | $ | 19,588 | $ | 34,422 | ||||||||||||||||||
Gross investment losses from sales and redemptions | (1,776) | (442) | (13,904) | (2,424) |
The net changes in unrealized gains (losses) recognized in earnings on investments that were still held at each period-end were as follows.
Net changes in unrealized gains (losses) on investments still held | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments still held | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | $ | (2,659) | $ | (1,150) | $ | (6,011) | $ | 9,990 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | (1,086) | 4,455 | 6,251 | (8,158) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments | (13) | (173) | 1,050 | 152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments still held | $ | (3,758) | $ | 3,132 | $ | 1,290 | $ | 1,984 |
26
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Contractual Maturities
The contractual maturities of fixed-maturities available for sale were as follows.
Contractual maturities of fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||
Available for Sale | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Due in one year or less | $ | 194,384 | $ | 195,823 | ||||||||||
Due after one year through five years (1) | 1,113,491 | 1,159,751 | ||||||||||||
Due after five years through 10 years (1) | 1,222,598 | 1,276,635 | ||||||||||||
Due after 10 years (1) | 769,734 | 812,301 | ||||||||||||
Asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities (2) | 2,173,618 | 2,221,777 | ||||||||||||
Total | 5,473,825 | 5,666,287 | ||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities | 82,241 | 86,075 | ||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,391,584 | $ | 5,580,212 |
(1)Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.
(2)Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS and mortgage insurance-linked notes, which are not due at a single maturity date.
Other
For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, we did not transfer any securities to or from the available for sale or trading categories.
Our fixed-maturities available for sale include securities totaling $18.2 million and $16.9 million at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, on deposit and serving as collateral with various state regulatory authorities. Our fixed-maturities available for sale also include securities serving as collateral for our FHLB advances. See Note 12 for additional information about our FHLB advances.
7. Goodwill and Other Acquired Intangible Assets, Net
All of our goodwill and other acquired intangible assets relate to our homegenius segment. There was no change to our goodwill balance of $9.8 million during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021.
The following is a summary of the gross and net carrying amounts and accumulated amortization (including impairment) of our other acquired intangible assets as of the periods indicated.
Other acquired intangible assets | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Gross Carrying Amount | Accumulated Amortization | Net Carrying Amount | Gross Carrying Amount | Accumulated Amortization | Net Carrying Amount | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Client relationships | $ | 43,550 | $ | (33,855) | $ | 9,695 | $ | 43,550 | $ | (31,559) | $ | 11,991 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technology | 8,285 | (7,599) | 686 | 8,285 | (7,370) | 915 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Licenses | 463 | (190) | 273 | 463 | (128) | 335 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 52,298 | $ | (41,644) | $ | 10,654 | $ | 52,298 | $ | (39,057) | $ | 13,241 |
For additional information on our accounting policies for goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, see Notes 2 and 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
27
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
8. Reinsurance
In our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses, we use reinsurance as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. The reinsurance arrangements for our mortgage insurance business include premiums ceded under the QSR Program, the Single Premium QSR Program and the Excess-of-Loss Program. The amount of credit that we receive under the PMIERs financial requirements for our third-party reinsurance transactions is subject to ongoing review and approval by the GSEs.
The effect of all of our reinsurance programs on our net income is as follows.
Reinsurance impacts on net premiums written and earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Written | Net Premiums Earned | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | $ | 240,669 | $ | 266,067 | $ | 734,993 | $ | 812,806 | $ | 265,378 | $ | 325,556 | $ | 835,462 | $ | 937,827 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title insurance | 12,570 | 3,173 | 27,714 | 7,461 | 12,570 | 3,173 | 27,714 | 7,461 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total direct | 253,239 | 269,240 | 762,707 | 820,267 | 277,948 | 328,729 | 863,176 | 945,288 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assumed (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | 1,683 | 2,942 | 5,596 | 9,585 | 1,683 | 2,946 | 5,596 | 9,599 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | (14,236) | (9,731) | (34,572) | (72,681) | (30,194) | (45,146) | (92,441) | (141,475) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title insurance | (319) | (58) | (585) | (231) | (319) | (58) | (585) | (231) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total ceded | (14,555) | (9,789) | (35,157) | (72,912) | (30,513) | (45,204) | (93,026) | (141,706) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Net premiums | $ | 240,367 | $ | 262,393 | $ | 733,146 | $ | 756,940 | $ | 249,118 | $ | 286,471 | $ | 775,746 | $ | 813,181 |
(1)Primarily includes premiums from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs.
(2)Net of profit commission, which is impacted by the level of ceded losses recoverable, if any, on reinsurance transactions. See Note 11 for additional information on our reserve for losses and reinsurance recoverables.
Other reinsurance impacts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commissions earned (1) | $ | 7,120 | $ | 17,038 | $ | 25,446 | $ | 40,457 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ceded losses (2) | 795 | 10,189 | 3,463 | 51,786 |
(1)Ceding commissions earned are primarily related to mortgage insurance and are included as an offset to expenses primarily in other operating expenses on our condensed consolidated statements of operations. Deferred ceding commissions of $40.7 million and $52.5 million are included in other liabilities on our condensed consolidated balance sheets at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively.
(2)Primarily all related to mortgage insurance.
Single Premium QSR Program
Radian Guaranty entered into each of the 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement, 2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement and 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement with panels of third-party reinsurers to cede a contractual quota share percent of our Single Premium NIW as of the effective date of each agreement (as set forth in the table below), subject to certain conditions. Radian Guaranty receives a ceding commission for ceded premiums written pursuant to these transactions. Radian Guaranty also receives a profit commission annually, provided that the loss ratio on the loans covered under the agreement generally remains below the applicable prescribed thresholds. Losses on the ceded risk up to this level reduce Radian Guaranty’s profit commission on a dollar-for-dollar basis.
Each of the agreements is subject to a scheduled termination date as set forth in the table below; however, Radian Guaranty has the option, based on certain conditions and subject to a termination fee, to terminate any of the agreements at the end of any calendar quarter on or after the applicable optional termination date. If Radian Guaranty exercises this option in the future, it would result in Radian Guaranty reassuming the related RIF in exchange for a net payment to the reinsurer calculated in accordance with the terms of the applicable agreement. Radian Guaranty also may terminate any of the
28
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
agreements prior to the applicable scheduled termination date under certain circumstances, including if one or both of the GSEs no longer grant full PMIERs capital relief for the reinsurance.
The 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement is the only QSR agreement under which Radian Guaranty is currently ceding NIW. Under the 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement, NIW for Single Premium Policies issued between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021 is being ceded, subject to certain conditions and a limitation on ceded premiums written of $250 million. The parties may mutually agree to increase the amount of ceded risk above this level.
The following table sets forth additional details regarding the Single Premium QSR Program.
Single Premium QSR Program | ||||||||||||||||||||
2020 Singles QSR | 2018 Singles QSR | 2016 Singles QSR | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW Policy Dates | Jan 1, 2020-Dec 31, 2021 | Jan 1, 2018-Dec 31, 2019 | Jan 1, 2012-Dec 31, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||
Effective Date | January 1, 2020 | January 1, 2018 | January 1, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
Scheduled Termination Date | December 31, 2031 | December 31, 2029 | December 31, 2027 | |||||||||||||||||
Optional Termination Date | January 1, 2024 | January 1, 2022 | January 1, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
Quota Share % | 65% | 65% | 20% - 65% (1) | |||||||||||||||||
Ceding Commission % | 25% | 25% | 25% | |||||||||||||||||
Profit Commission % | Up to 56% | Up to 56% | Up to 55% | |||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of September 30, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||
RIF Ceded | $ | 2,046 | $ | 1,279 | $ | 2,115 | ||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||
RIF Ceded | $ | 1,597 | $ | 1,979 | $ | 3,071 |
(1)Effective December 31, 2017, we amended the 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement to increase the amount of ceded risk on performing loans under the agreement from 35% to 65% for the 2015 through 2017 vintages. Loans included in the 2012 through 2014 vintages, and any other loans subject to the agreement that were delinquent at the time of the amendment, were unaffected by the change and therefore the amount of ceded risk for those loans continues to range from 20% to 35%.
Excess-of-Loss Program
As of September 30, 2021, Radian Guaranty had entered into five fully collateralized reinsurance arrangements with the Eagle Re Issuers. For the respective coverage periods, Radian Guaranty retains the first-loss layer of aggregate losses, as well as any losses in excess of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amounts. The Eagle Re Issuers provide second layer coverage up to the outstanding coverage amounts. For each of these five reinsurance arrangements, the Eagle Re Issuers financed their coverage by issuing mortgage insurance-linked notes to eligible capital markets investors in unregistered private offerings. The aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for these arrangements decreases over a 10-year period as the principal balances of the underlying covered mortgages decrease and as any claims are paid by the applicable Eagle Re Issuer or the mortgage insurance is canceled. Radian Guaranty has rights to terminate the reinsurance agreements upon the occurrence of certain events.
Under each of the reinsurance agreements, the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount will begin amortizing after an initial period in which a target level of credit enhancement is obtained and will stop amortizing if certain thresholds, or triggers, are reached, including a delinquency trigger event based on an elevated level of delinquencies as defined in the related insurance-linked notes transaction agreements. With the exception of insurance-linked notes issued by Eagle Re 2020-2 Ltd and Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd., the insurance-linked notes issued by the Eagle Re Issuers in connection with our Excess-of-Loss Program are currently subject to a delinquency trigger event, which was first reported to the insurance-linked note investors on June 25, 2020. For the insurance-linked notes that are subject to a delinquency trigger event, both the amortization of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount pursuant to our reinsurance arrangements with the Eagle Re Issuers and the amortization of the principal amount of the related insurance-linked notes issued by the Eagle Re Issuers have been suspended and will continue to be suspended during the pendency of the trigger event.
29
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The following table sets forth additional details regarding the Excess-of-Loss Program as of September 30, 2021.
Excess-of-Loss Program | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2020-2 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issued | April 2021 | October 2020 | February 2020 | April 2019 | November 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NIW Policy Dates | Aug 1, 2020- Dec 31, 2020 | Oct 1, 2019- Jul 31, 2020 | Jan 1, 2019- Sep 30, 2019 | Jan 1, 2018- Dec 31, 2018 | Jan 1, 2017- Dec 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial RIF | $ | 11,061 | $ | 13,011 | $ | 9,866 | $ | 10,705 | $ | 9,109 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial Coverage | 498 | (1) | 390 | 488 | 562 | 434 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial First Layer Retention | 221 | 423 | 202 | 268 | 205 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF | $ | 9,999 | $ | 8,451 | $ | 3,727 | $ | 2,787 | $ | 2,415 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining Coverage | 498 | 206 | 488 | 385 | 276 | (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
First Layer Retention | 221 | 423 | 202 | 264 | 201 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF | $ | — | $ | 11,748 | $ | 6,121 | $ | 4,657 | $ | 3,986 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining Coverage | — | 390 | 488 | 385 | 276 | (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
First Layer Retention | — | 423 | 202 | 265 | 201 |
(1)Radian Group purchased $45.4 million original principal amount of these mortgage insurance-linked notes, which are included in fixed-maturities available for sale on our condensed consolidated balance sheet at September 30, 2021. See Notes 5 and 6 for additional information.
(2)Excludes a separate excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement entered into by Radian Guaranty with both initial and remaining coverage of $21.4 million.
The Eagle Re Issuers are not subsidiaries or affiliates of Radian Guaranty. Based on the accounting guidance that addresses VIEs, we have not consolidated any of the assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers in our financial statements, because Radian does not have: (i) the power to direct the activities that most significantly affect the Eagle Re Issuers’ economic performances or (ii) the obligation to absorb losses or the right to receive benefits from the Eagle Re Issuers that potentially could be significant to the Eagle Re Issuers. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information on our accounting treatment of VIEs.
The reinsurance premium due to the Eagle Re Issuers is calculated by multiplying the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount at the beginning of a period by a coupon rate, which is the sum of one-month LIBOR (or an acceptable alternative to LIBOR) or SOFR, as applicable, plus a contractual risk margin, and then subtracting actual investment income collected on the assets in the reinsurance trust during the preceding month. As a result, the premiums we pay will vary based on: (i) the spread between LIBOR (or an acceptable alternative to LIBOR) or SOFR, as provided in each applicable reinsurance agreement, and the rates on the investments held by the reinsurance trust and (ii) the outstanding amount of reinsurance coverage.
As the reinsurance premium will vary based on changes in these rates, we concluded that the reinsurance agreements contain embedded derivatives, which we have accounted for separately as freestanding derivatives and recorded in other assets or other liabilities on our condensed consolidated balance sheets. Changes in the fair value of these embedded derivatives are recorded in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments in our condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Note 5 herein and Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information on our fair value measurements of financial instruments, including our embedded derivatives.
In the event an Eagle Re Issuer is unable to meet its future obligations to us, if any, our insurance subsidiaries would be liable to make claims payments to our policyholders. In the event that all of the assets in the reinsurance trust (consisting of U.S. government money market funds, cash or U.S. Treasury securities) have become worthless and the Eagle Re Issuer is unable to make its payments to us, our maximum potential loss would be the amount of mortgage insurance claim payments for losses on the insured policies, net of the aggregate reinsurance payments already received, up to the full aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage amount. In the same scenario, the related embedded derivative would no longer have value.
30
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The Eagle Re Issuers represent our only VIEs as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020. The following table presents the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers as of the dates indicated.
Total assets and liabilities of Eagle Re Issuers (1) | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. | $ | 497,735 | $ | — | ||||||||||
Eagle Re 2020-2 Ltd. | 205,581 | 390,324 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. | 488,385 | 488,385 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. | 384,602 | 384,602 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. | 275,718 | 275,718 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 1,852,021 | $ | 1,539,029 |
(1)Assets held by the Eagle Re Issuers are required to be invested in U.S. government money market funds, cash or U.S. Treasury securities. Liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers consist of their mortgage insurance-linked notes, described above. Assets and liabilities are equal to each other for each of the Eagle Re Issuers.
Other Collateral
Although we use reinsurance as one of our risk management tools, reinsurance does not relieve us of our obligations to our policyholders. In the event the reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations to us, our insurance subsidiaries would be liable for any defaulted amounts. However, consistent with the PMIERs reinsurer counterparty collateral requirements, Radian Guaranty’s reinsurers have established trusts to help secure our potential cash recoveries. In addition to the total VIE assets of the Eagle Re Issuers discussed above, the amount held in reinsurance trusts was $172.6 million as of September 30, 2021, compared to $228.6 million as of December 31, 2020. In addition, for the Single Premium QSR Program, Radian Guaranty holds amounts related to ceded premiums written to collateralize the reinsurers’ obligations, which is reported in reinsurance funds withheld on our condensed consolidated balance sheets. Any loss recoveries and profit commissions paid to Radian Guaranty related to the Single Premium QSR Program are expected to be realized from this account.
See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information about our reinsurance transactions.
9. Other Assets
The following table shows the components of other assets as of the dates indicated.
Other assets | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Prepaid federal income taxes (Note 10) | $ | 313,123 | $ | 210,889 | ||||||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums (1) | 209,769 | 267,638 | ||||||||||||
Loaned securities (Note 5) | 135,058 | 57,499 | ||||||||||||
Company-owned life insurance (2) | 112,503 | 115,586 | ||||||||||||
Right-of-use assets (Note 13) | 32,690 | 32,985 | ||||||||||||
Other | 35,918 | 30,488 | ||||||||||||
Total other assets | $ | 839,061 | $ | 715,085 |
(1)Relates primarily to our Single Premium QSR Program.
(2)We are the beneficiary of insurance policies on the lives of certain of our current and past officers and employees. The balances reported in other assets reflect the amounts that could be realized upon surrender of the insurance policies as of each respective date.
Right-of-Use Assets
We assess our various asset groups, which include right-of-use assets, for changes in grouping and for potential impairment when certain events occur or when there are changes in circumstances, including potential alternative uses. If circumstances require a change in asset groupings or a right-of-use asset to be tested for possible impairment, and the carrying value of the right-of-use asset is not recoverable on an undiscounted cash flow basis, an impairment is recognized to the extent that the carrying value exceeds its fair value.
31
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
During the second quarter of 2021, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and Radian’s successful transition to a virtual work environment, we made the decision to exit, and to actively market for sublease, all office space in our former corporate headquarters in Philadelphia. As part of this change, we also entered into a new lease with reduced square footage at another Philadelphia area location, which we designated as our new corporate headquarters location effective September 2021.
As a result, during the three months ended June 30, 2021, we recognized an impairment of $3.5 million related to our former corporate headquarter leases, reducing the carrying value of certain lease assets and the related property and equipment to its estimated fair value. The right-of-use asset fair value was estimated using an income approach based on forecasted future cash flows expected to be derived from the property based on current sublease market rent, which could differ from actual results and require us to revise our initial estimates. Following this impairment, which was recorded within other operating expenses in our condensed consolidated statement of operations, the aggregate carrying value of the right-of-use assets and leasehold improvements related to the former corporate headquarter leases that we plan to sublease was $27.4 million as of September 30, 2021.
10. Income Taxes
As of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, our current income tax liability was $25.2 million and $17.5 million, respectively, and is included as a component of other liabilities in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Certain entities within our consolidated group have generated deferred tax assets relating primarily to state and local NOL carryforwards, which, if unutilized, will expire during various future tax periods. We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative. This requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether our deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. We have determined that certain entities within Radian Group may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain of their state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $84.7 million at September 30, 2021.
As a mortgage guaranty insurer, we are eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, under Internal Revenue Code Section 832(e) for amounts required by state law or regulation to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. The deduction is allowed only to the extent that, in conjunction with quarterly federal tax payment due dates, we purchase non-interest bearing U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury in an amount equal to the tax benefit derived from deducting any portion of our statutory contingency reserves. As of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, we held $313.1 million and $210.9 million of these bonds, respectively, which are included as prepaid federal income taxes within other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. The corresponding deduction of our statutory contingency reserves resulted in the recognition of a net deferred tax liability. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information about our U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds.
For additional information on our income taxes, including our accounting policies, see Notes 2 and 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
11. Losses and LAE
Our reserve for losses and LAE, at the end of each period indicated, consisted of the following.
Reserve for losses and LAE | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance loss reserves (1) | $ | 888,021 | $ | 844,107 | ||||||||||
Title insurance loss reserves | 5,134 | 4,306 | ||||||||||||
Total reserve for losses and LAE | $ | 893,155 | $ | 848,413 |
(1)Primarily comprises first lien primary case reserves of $851.2 million and $799.5 million at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively.
32
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
For the periods indicated, the following table presents information relating to our mortgage insurance reserve for losses, including our IBNR reserve and LAE, but excluding our second-lien mortgage loan premium deficiency reserve.
Rollforward of mortgage insurance reserve for losses | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | 844,107 | $ | 401,273 | ||||||||||
Less: Reinsurance recoverables (1) | 71,769 | 14,594 | ||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 772,338 | 386,679 | ||||||||||||
Add: Losses and LAE incurred in respect of default notices reported and unreported in: | ||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 119,823 | 448,584 | ||||||||||||
Prior years | (53,947) | (21,494) | ||||||||||||
Total incurred | 65,876 | 427,090 | ||||||||||||
Deduct: Paid claims and LAE related to: | ||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 499 | 2,841 | ||||||||||||
Prior years | 24,431 | 54,167 | ||||||||||||
Total paid | 24,930 | 57,008 | ||||||||||||
Balance at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 813,284 | 756,761 | ||||||||||||
Add: Reinsurance recoverables (1) | 74,737 | 64,947 | ||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | 888,021 | $ | 821,708 |
(1)Related to ceded losses recoverable, if any, on reinsurance transactions. See Note 8 for additional information.
(2)Related to underlying defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.
Reserve Activity
Incurred Losses
Case reserves established for new default notices were the primary driver of our total incurred losses for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, and they were primarily impacted by the number of new primary default notices received in the period and our related gross Default to Claim Rate assumption applied to those new defaults.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2021, we experienced a 70% decrease in the number of new primary default notices, compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2020, substantially all of which related to defaults subject to forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption applied to new defaults was 8.0% as of September 30, 2021, compared to 8.5% as of September 30, 2020. This combination of fewer new default notices and a lower Default to Claim Rate assumption on new defaults was the primary driver of the decrease in losses incurred related to current year defaults for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the first nine months of 2020.
Our provision for losses during the first nine months of 2021 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated, which resulted in, among other changes, a reduction from 8.5% to 8.0% in our Default to Claim Rate assumption for prior year default notices reported between April and December 2020 that was recorded as a change to our provision for losses during the second quarter of 2021. Our provision for losses during the first nine months of 2020 was also positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults. The favorable development in 2020 was primarily driven by a reduction in certain Default to Claim Rate assumptions for those prior year defaults based on observed trends.
During the third quarter of 2021, Hurricane Ida caused extensive property damage to areas of Louisiana, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, as well as other general disruptions including power outages and flooding. Although the Primary Mortgage Insurance we write protects lenders from a portion of losses resulting from mortgage defaults, it generally does not provide protection against property loss or physical damage, including damage caused by hurricanes or other severe weather events or natural disasters. As of September 30, 2021, we do not expect to incur any material losses due to current or future defaults in FEMA Designated Areas related to Hurricane Ida. However, the future impact to our reserves or PMIERs Cushion may be affected by various factors, including the pace of economic recovery in the FEMA Designated Areas.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
See Note 1 for additional information on the elevated risks and uncertainties resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic to our business.
Claims Paid
Total claims paid decreased for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 compared to the same period in 2020. The decrease in claims paid is primarily attributable to COVID-19-related hardship forbearance plans and suspensions of foreclosures and evictions. Claims paid in 2021 include payments made to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings. See Note 13 for additional information about these legal proceedings.
For additional information about our Reserve for Losses and LAE, including our accounting policies, see Notes 2 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
12. Borrowings and Financing Activities
The carrying value of our debt at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 was as follows.
Borrowings | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Senior notes | ||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | $ | 446,346 | $ | 445,512 | ||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | 517,950 | 516,634 | ||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | 444,206 | 443,528 | ||||||||||||
Total senior notes | $ | 1,408,502 | $ | 1,405,674 | ||||||||||
FHLB advances | ||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2021 | $ | 31,667 | $ | 67,500 | ||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2022 | 61,050 | 61,050 | ||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2023 | 52,994 | 27,995 | ||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2024 | 13,954 | 9,954 | ||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2025 | 9,984 | 9,984 | ||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2027 | 3,000 | — | ||||||||||||
Total FHLB advances | $ | 172,649 | $ | 176,483 |
FHLB Advances
As of September 30, 2021, we had $172.6 million of fixed-rate advances outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 0.87%. Interest on the FHLB advances is payable quarterly, or at maturity if the term of the advance is less than 90 days. Principal is due at maturity. For obligations with maturities greater than or equal to 90 days, we may prepay the debt at any time, subject to a prepayment fee calculation.
The principal balance of the FHLB advances are required to be collateralized by eligible assets with a market value that must be maintained generally within a minimum range of 103% to 114% of the amount borrowed, depending on the type of assets pledged. Our fixed-maturities available for sale and trading securities include securities totaling $199.5 million and $188.0 million at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, which serve as collateral for our FHLB advances to satisfy this requirement. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information about our FHLB advances.
Revolving Credit Facility
Radian Group has in place a $267.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders, which has a maturity date of January 18, 2022. At September 30, 2021, Radian Group was in compliance with all of the credit facility covenants, and there were no amounts outstanding. For more information regarding our revolving credit facility, including certain of its terms and covenants, see Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
13. Commitments and Contingencies
Legal Proceedings
We are routinely involved in a number of legal actions and proceedings, including litigation and other disputes arising in the ordinary course of our business. Legal and regulatory matters such as those discussed below and in our 2020 Form 10-K could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures or have other effects on our business. Management believes, based on current knowledge and after consultation with counsel, that the outcome of any currently pending or threatened actions will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition. The outcome of litigation and other legal and regulatory matters and proceedings is inherently uncertain, and it is possible that one or more of the matters currently pending or threatened could have an adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition or results of operations for any particular period.
On August 31, 2018, Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr. Cooper (“Nationstar”) filed a complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania against Radian Guaranty related to certain insurance coverage and premium refund decisions made by Radian Guaranty. Effective June 26, 2020, Radian Guaranty and Nationstar entered into a Confidential Settlement Agreement and Release (the “Nationstar Settlement”) to fully resolve, among other things, all claims and counterclaims in this litigation. Implementation of the Nationstar Settlement, which was subject to the condition precedent that the GSEs consent to the Nationstar Settlement, became effective on March 1, 2021, and the litigation was subsequently dismissed with prejudice. Pursuant to the Nationstar Settlement, among other things: (i) Radian made a cash settlement payment to Nationstar on March 5, 2021 and (ii) each party agreed to release the other with respect to all known or unknown claims with respect to the certificates subject to this litigation as well as with respect to all other certificates issued under certain policies on loans serviced by Nationstar for which Radian decided claims prior to January 1, 2019. See Note 13 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional background on this matter. The implementation of the Nationstar Settlement did not have a material impact on our mortgage insurance reserves for this proceeding.
We also are periodically subject to reviews and audits, as well as inquiries, information-gathering requests and investigations, by regulatory entities. In connection with these matters, from time to time we receive requests and subpoenas seeking information and documents related to aspects of our business.
Our Master Policies establish the timeline within which any suit or action arising from any right of an insured under the policy generally must be commenced. In general, any suit or action arising from any right of an insured under the policy must be commenced within two years after such right first arose for primary insurance and within three years for certain other policies, including certain Pool Mortgage Insurance policies. Although we believe that our Loss Mitigation Activities are justified under our policies, from time to time we face challenges from certain lender and servicer customers regarding our Loss Mitigation Activities. These challenges could result in additional arbitration or judicial proceedings and we may need to reassume the risk on, and increase loss reserves for, the associated policies or pay additional claims.
The legal and regulatory matters discussed above could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures or have other effects on our business in excess of amounts we have established as reserves for such matters.
Lease Liability
Our lease liability represents the present value of future lease payments over the lease term. Our operating lease liability was $54.3 million and $53.4 million as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, and is classified in other liabilities in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 9 for additional information on our operating lease right-of-use assets, including an impairment recognized in the second quarter of 2021 related to a decision to sublease the office space in our former corporate headquarters.
See Note 13 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for further information regarding our commitments and contingencies and our accounting policies for contingencies.
14. Capital Stock
Share Repurchase Activity
On August 14, 2019, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the Company to spend up to $200 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions, based on market and business conditions, stock price and other factors.
Since then, Radian Group’s board of directors has authorized several increases to the program along with extensions of the program’s expiration date. Most recently, in August 2021, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a $200 million
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
increase to this program, bringing the cumulative authorization to repurchase shares up to $675 million, excluding commissions, and extended the expiration of this program to August 31, 2022. Radian operates its share repurchase program pursuant to a trading plan under Rule 10b5-1 of the Exchange Act, which permits the Company to purchase shares, at pre-determined price targets, when it may otherwise be precluded from doing so.
During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, the Company purchased 7.1 million and 11.4 million shares at an average price of $22.44 and $22.62 per share, respectively, including commissions. As of September 30, 2021, purchase authority of up to $142.0 million remained available under this program.
During October, the Company purchased 2.0 million shares of its common stock under its share repurchase program at an average price of $23.72 per share, including commissions. After giving consideration to these repurchases, purchase authority of up to $95.5 million remained available under this program.
Other Purchases
We may purchase shares on the open market to settle stock options exercised by employees and purchases under the Amended and Restated Radian Group Inc. Employee Stock Purchase Plan. In addition, upon the vesting of certain restricted stock awards under our equity compensation plans, we may withhold from such vested awards shares of our common stock to satisfy the tax liability of the award recipients.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents
During the first quarter of 2021 and each quarter of 2020, we declared quarterly cash dividends on our common stock equal to $0.125 per share. On May 4, 2021, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to the Company’s quarterly dividend from $0.125 to $0.14 per share, beginning with the dividend declared in the second quarter of 2021.
Share-Based and Other Compensation Programs
During the second quarter of 2021, executive and non-executive officers were granted time-vested and performance-based RSUs to be settled in common stock. The maximum payout of performance-based RSUs at the end of the three-year performance period is 200% of a grantee’s target number of RSUs granted. The vesting of the performance-based RSUs granted to executive and non-executive officers is based upon the cumulative growth in Radian’s book value per share, adjusted for certain defined items, over a three-year performance period. Performance-based RSUs granted to executive officers are subject to a one-year post vesting holding period.
The time-vested RSU awards granted to executive and non-executive officers in 2021 generally vest in pro rata installments on each of the first three anniversaries of the grant date. In addition, time-vested RSU awards were also granted to non-employee directors and generally are subject to one-year cliff vesting. See Note 17 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the Company’s share-based and other compensation programs.
Information with regard to RSUs to be settled in stock for periods indicated is as follows.
Rollforward of RSUs | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Performance-Based | Time-Vested | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Number of Shares | Weighted-Average Grant Date Fair Value | Number of Shares | Weighted-Average Grant Date Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Outstanding, December 31, 2020 (1) | 2,186,244 | $ | 15.71 | 2,118,885 | $ | 13.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Granted (2) | 578,790 | $ | 20.39 | 511,166 | $ | 21.63 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Performance adjustment (3) | 421,357 | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
Vested (4) | (811,578) | $ | 15.98 | (456,790) | $ | 15.95 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Forfeited | (29,071) | $ | 18.12 | (27,099) | $ | 17.67 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Outstanding, September 30, 2021 (1) | 2,345,742 | $ | 16.76 | 2,146,162 | $ | 14.53 |
(1)Outstanding RSUs represent shares that have not yet been issued because not all conditions necessary to earn the right to benefit from the instruments have been satisfied. The final number of RSUs distributed depends on the cumulative growth in Radian's book value over the respective three-year performance period and, with the exception of certain retirement-eligible employees, continued service through the vesting date, which could result in changes in vested RSUs.
(2)For performance-based RSUs, number represents the number of target shares at grant date.
(3)For performance-based RSUs, represents the difference between the number of target shares at grant date and the number of shares vested at settlement, which can range from 0 to 200% of target depending on results over the applicable performance periods.
(4)Represents amounts vested during the year, including the impact of performance adjustments for performance-based awards.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
15. Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
The following tables show the rollforward of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) as of the periods indicated.
Rollforward of accumulated other comprehensive income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2021 | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | 226,400 | $ | 47,544 | $ | 178,856 | $ | 333,829 | $ | 70,104 | $ | 263,725 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected credit losses has not been recognized | (29,613) | (6,219) | (23,394) | (134,539) | (28,253) | (106,286) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | 4,099 | 861 | 3,238 | 5,684 | 1,194 | 4,490 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net decrease (increase) in expected credit losses | — | — | — | 918 | 193 | 725 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | (33,712) | (7,080) | (26,632) | (141,141) | (29,640) | (111,501) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | 192,688 | $ | 40,464 | $ | 152,224 | $ | 192,688 | $ | 40,464 | $ | 152,224 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2020 | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | 268,558 | $ | 56,397 | $ | 212,161 | $ | 139,858 | $ | 29,370 | $ | 110,488 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected credit losses has not been recognized | 39,037 | 8,198 | 30,839 | 181,775 | 38,173 | 143,602 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | 13,777 | 2,893 | 10,884 | 30,597 | 6,425 | 24,172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net decrease (increase) in expected credit losses | 186 | 39 | 147 | (2,596) | (545) | (2,051) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | 25,074 | 5,266 | 19,808 | 153,774 | 32,293 | 121,481 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | 293,632 | $ | 61,663 | $ | 231,969 | $ | 293,632 | $ | 61,663 | $ | 231,969 |
(1)Included in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments on our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
16. Statutory Information
Our insurance subsidiaries’ statutory net income for the year-to-date periods ended September 30, 2021 and 2020 and statutory policyholders’ surplus as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 were as follows.
Statutory net income | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty | $ | 516,866 | $ | 260,175 | ||||||||||
Radian Reinsurance | 8,765 | 30,358 | ||||||||||||
Other Mortgage Subsidiaries | 777 | 929 | ||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | 4,777 | 1,399 | ||||||||||||
Statutory policyholders’ surplus | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty | $ | 646,923 | $ | 481,484 | ||||||||||
Radian Reinsurance | 328,430 | 360,704 | ||||||||||||
Other Mortgage Subsidiaries | 42,715 | 41,327 | ||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | 34,342 | 28,849 |
State insurance regulations include various capital requirements and dividend restrictions based on our insurance subsidiaries’ statutory financial position and results of operations, as described below. As of September 30, 2021, the amount of restricted net assets held by our consolidated insurance subsidiaries (which represents our equity investment in those insurance subsidiaries) totaled $4.6 billion of our consolidated net assets.
In light of Radian Guaranty’s negative unassigned surplus related to operating losses in prior periods and the ongoing need to set aside contingency reserves, which totaled $3.8 billion as of September 30, 2021, we do not anticipate that Radian Guaranty will be permitted under applicable insurance laws to pay ordinary dividends or other distributions to Radian Group for the foreseeable future without the prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department.
Radian Reinsurance had positive unassigned surplus at December 31, 2020, and as a result, Radian Reinsurance paid an ordinary dividend of $36 million to Radian Group on September 22, 2021.
Under state insurance regulations, Radian Guaranty is required to maintain minimum surplus levels and, in certain states, a maximum ratio of net RIF relative to statutory capital, or Risk-to-capital. There are 16 RBC States that currently impose a Statutory RBC Requirement. The most common Statutory RBC Requirement is that a mortgage insurer’s Risk-to-capital may not exceed 25 to 1. In certain of the RBC States, a mortgage insurer must satisfy a MPP Requirement. Radian Guaranty was in compliance with all applicable Statutory RBC Requirements and MPP Requirements in each of the RBC States as of September 30, 2021. Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital was 11.4:1 and 12.7:1 as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. For purposes of the Risk-to-capital requirements imposed by certain states, statutory capital is defined as the sum of statutory policyholders’ surplus plus statutory contingency reserves. Our other mortgage insurance and title insurance subsidiaries were also in compliance with all statutory and counterparty capital requirements as of September 30, 2021.
In addition, in order to be eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs, mortgage insurers such as Radian Guaranty must meet the GSEs’ eligibility requirements, or PMIERs. At September 30, 2021, Radian Guaranty is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs and is in compliance with the current PMIERs financial requirements. Under the PMIERs there are increased financial requirements for loans in default, including as a result of natural disasters and pandemics. As a result, increases in defaults related to the COVID-19 pandemic have subjected Radian Guaranty to an increase in Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, and if these continue or increase, would continue to negatively impact our results of operations and could impact our compliance with the PMIERs. See Note 1 for discussion about the elevated risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the PMIERs, including the benefit provided by the Disaster Related Capital Charge.
Effective April 1, 2021, the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approved the termination of the 2020 Surplus Note via a conversion to Radian Guaranty’s gross paid-in and contributed surplus account. This conversion had no effect on Radian Guaranty’s total statutory policyholders’ surplus, Risk-to-capital or PMIERs Cushion.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
For a description of our compliance with statutory and other regulations for our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses, including statutory capital requirements and divided restrictions, see Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K.
39
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The disclosures in this quarterly report are complementary to those made in our 2020 Form 10-K and should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in this report, as well as our audited financial statements, notes thereto and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our 2020 Form 10-K.
The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 provides information that evaluates our financial condition as of September 30, 2021 compared with December 31, 2020 and our results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same period last year.
Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report. In addition, investors should review the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” above, and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2020 Form 10-K for a discussion of those risks and uncertainties that have the potential to adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows or prospects. Our results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period. See “Overview” and Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Index to Item 2
Item | Page | ||||
Overview
We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business with two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. Our Mortgage segment provides credit-related insurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, as well as other credit risk management, contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors. Our homegenius segment offers a broad array of title, valuation, asset management, SaaS and other real estate services to mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.
Our homegenius segment was previously named “Real Estate” and during the second quarter of 2021 we renamed it “homegenius” to align with updates to our branding strategy for the segment’s products and services. As further discussed in Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, the homegenius segment name change had no impact on the composition of our segments or on our previously reported historical financial position, results of operations, cash flow or segment level results.
Current Operating Environment
As a seller of mortgage credit protection and other mortgage and credit risk management solutions, our Mortgage business results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and other events that impact the housing, real estate and housing finance markets, the credit performance of our underlying insured assets and our future business opportunities, including the current global pandemic as well as seasonal fluctuations that specifically affect the mortgage origination environment. The macroeconomic conditions, seasonality and other events that impact the housing, mortgage finance and related real estate markets also affect the demand for our products and services offered through our homegenius segment.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The unprecedented and continually evolving social and economic impacts associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. and global economies that began in early 2020 had a negative effect on our business and our financial results for the second quarter of 2020, and since then to a lesser extent. See “—COVID-19 Impacts” below for further discussion of the impacts on our business associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, we wrote record levels of NIW in 2020, totaling $105.0 billion. In the first nine months of 2021 we wrote NIW of $68.2 billion, a decrease of 9% compared to our NIW in the first nine months of 2020. We continue to believe that the long-term housing market fundamentals and outlook remain positive, including low interest rates, demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a relatively constrained supply of homes available for sale. However, the low interest rate environment in recent periods has also resulted in an increase in policy cancellations associated with the high level of refinance activity, which has reduced our Persistency Rate, and in turn contributed to a reduction in our IIF, particularly as a result of a decline in our Single Premium Policies. In the second quarter of 2021 this refinance activity began to moderate, and this trend has continued in the three months ended September 30, 2021. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio” for additional details on our NIW and IIF.
In recent years, Radian and other participants in the private mortgage insurance industry have engaged in a range of risk distribution transactions and strategies and implemented enhanced risk-based pricing frameworks, which we believe have helped increase the financial strength and flexibility of the mortgage insurance industry by mitigating credit risk and financial volatility through varying economic cycles. As of September 30, 2021, 63% of our primary RIF is subject to a form of risk distribution and our estimated reinsurance recoverables related to our mortgage insurance portfolio were $74.7 million. Our use of risk distribution structures has reduced our required capital and enhanced our projected return on capital, and we expect these structures to provide a level of credit protection in periods of economic stress.
COVID-19 Impacts
The COVID-19 pandemic has created periods of significant economic disruption, high unemployment, volatility and disruption in financial markets, and required adjustments in the housing finance system and real estate markets. In addition, the pandemic has resulted in travel restrictions, temporary business shutdowns, and stay-at-home, quarantine, and similar orders, all of which contributed to a rapid and significant rise in unemployment that peaked in the second quarter of 2020. Since then, businesses have been reopening, and unemployment levels have declined from their peak, but numerous limitations, such as extensive health and safety measures and overall supply constraints and labor shortages, continue to limit operations. Unemployment levels also remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, and may remain elevated or may rise if the current economic disruption is prolonged.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the economy, including the significant increase in unemployment, we experienced a material increase in new defaults in 2020, substantially all of which related to defaults of loans subject to forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Beginning in the second quarter of 2020, the increase in the number of new mortgage defaults resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic has had a negative effect on our results of operations and our reserve for losses. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reserve for losses.
Our primary default rate was 3.4% at September 30, 2021, down from a peak at June 30, 2020 of 6.5%, which was elevated by the material increase in new defaults in the three months ended June 30, 2020. Favorable trends in the number of new defaults and Cures were the primary drivers of the decline in our default inventory and default rate, compared to their peaks at June 30, 2020. The number, timing and duration of new defaults and, in turn, the number of defaults that ultimately result in claims will depend on a variety of factors, including the scope, severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic, the resulting impact on the economy, including with respect to unemployment and housing prices, and the effectiveness of forbearance and other government efforts such as financial stimulus programs, to provide long-term economic and individual relief to assist homeowners. Consequently, the number and rate of total defaults is difficult to predict and will depend on the foregoing and other factors, including the number and timing of Cures and claims paid and the net impact on IIF from our Persistency Rate and future NIW. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional discussion of these factors and other risks and uncertainties.
Increases in new defaults may affect our ability to remain compliant with the PMIERs financial requirements. Once two missed payments have occurred on an insured loan, the PMIERs characterize the loan as “non-performing” and require us to establish an increased Minimum Required Asset factor for that loan regardless of the reason for the missed payments. During the COVID-19 Crisis Period, pursuant to the COVID-19 Amendment that amends the PMIERs, a Disaster Related Capital Charge that effectively reduces the Minimum Required Asset factor by 70% has been applied nationwide to all COVID-19 Defaulted Loans for no longer than three calendar months beginning with the month the loan becomes non-performing (i.e., missed two monthly payments), or if greater, the period of time that the loan is subject to a forbearance plan, repayment plan or loan modification trial period granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19. Under the terms of the COVID-19 Amendment, the COVID-19 Crisis Period ended March 31, 2021. As a result, after March 31, 2021 the Disaster Related Capital Charge is no longer being applied to all new defaults, and instead is only being applied to new defaults if they are subject to a COVID-19 forbearance plan, regardless of whether the forbearance plan was entered into before or after the expiration of the COVID-19 Crisis Period. See “—COVID-19 Amendment to PMIERs” below for more information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge reduces the total amount of assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would be required to hold against COVID-19 Defaulted Loans under the PMIERs. The reduction in Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets from this Disaster Related Capital Charge was approximately $336 million as of September 30, 2021, compared to approximately $650 million at December 31, 2020. Inclusive of this benefit in both periods, Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion increased to $1.7 billion as of September 30, 2021, from $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2020. While we expect Radian Guaranty to continue to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, there are possible scenarios in which the number of new defaults could impact Radian Guaranty’s ability to comply with the PMIERs financial requirements. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
As further described in this report, we have experienced increased financial requirements under the PMIERs as a result of new defaults related to the COVID-19 pandemic, lower Persistency Rates due to a low interest rate environment and increased reserves for losses due to the higher number of new defaults. See Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements in this report and “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely impacted us, and its ultimate impact on our business and financial results will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope, severity and duration of the pandemic and actions taken by governmental authorities in response to the pandemic” in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information.
Legislative and Regulatory Developments
We are subject to comprehensive regulation by both federal and state regulatory authorities. For a description of significant state and federal regulations and other requirements of the GSEs that are applicable to our businesses, as well as legislative and regulatory developments affecting the housing finance industry, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation” in our 2020 Form 10-K. Except as discussed below, there were no significant regulatory developments impacting our businesses from those discussed in our 2020 Form 10-K.
COVID-19 Amendment to PMIERs
In 2020, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the GSEs issued guidelines (“National Emergency Guidelines”) that became effective June 30, 2020 and, among other things, adopted the COVID-19 Amendment to the PMIERs to apply a Disaster Related Capital Charge nationwide to certain non-performing loans that we refer to as COVID-19 Defaulted Loans, which comprise non-performing loans that either: (i) have an Initial Missed Payment (discussed below) occurring during the COVID-19 Crisis Period or (ii) are subject to a forbearance plan granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19 (which is assumed under the COVID-19 Amendment to be the case for any loan that has an Initial Missed Payment occurring during the COVID-19 Crisis Period and is subject to a forbearance plan), the terms of which are materially consistent with the terms of forbearance plans offered by the GSEs.
The Disaster Related Capital Charge effectively reduces the Minimum Required Asset factor that applies to COVID-19 Defaulted Loans in recognition of the fact that these loans generally have a higher likelihood of curing. Under the COVID-19 Amendment, the Disaster Related Capital Charge applies for three calendar months beginning with the month the loan becomes non-performing (i.e., missed two monthly payments), or if greater, the period of time that the loan is subject to a forbearance plan, repayment plan or loan modification trial period granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19.
Under the terms of the COVID-19 Amendment, the COVID-19 Crisis Period ended March 31, 2021. As a result, as of April 1, 2021 the Disaster Related Capital Charge is no longer applied to all new defaults, and instead is applied only to new defaults if they are subject to a COVID-19 forbearance plan, regardless of whether the forbearance plan was entered into before or after the expiration of the COVID-19 Crisis Period. The Disaster Related Capital Charge will continue to be applied to these COVID-19 Defaulted Loans for as long as they remain in the COVID-19 forbearance plan, repayment plan or loan modification trial period.
Further, pursuant to the National Emergency Guidelines, through June 30, 2021, certain capital preservation measures were instituted that required the consent of the GSEs for private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, to: (i) pay dividends or make payments of principal or increase payments of interest beyond those commitments made prior to June 30, 2020 associated with the Surplus Notes; (ii) make any other payments, unless related to expenses incurred in the normal course of business or to commitments made prior to June 30, 2020; (iii) pledge or transfer asset(s) to any affiliate or investor; or (iv) enter into any new arrangements or alter any existing arrangements under tax-sharing and intercompany expense-sharing agreements other than renewals and extensions of agreements in effect prior to June 30, 2020 (collectively, the “Capital Preservation Actions”).
Effective July 1, 2021, the National Emergency Guidelines were modified to extend the capital preservation measures through December 31, 2021 and to provide an exception that would permit Radian Guaranty and the other private mortgage insurers to pay dividends and take the other Capital Preservation Actions without the GSEs’ prior consent as long as the private mortgage insurer’s PMIERs Cushion remains above an applicable threshold, as further described below. From July 1, 2021 through September 30, 2021, a private mortgage insurer may pay dividends or take the other Capital Preservation
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Actions without the prior consent of the GSEs as long as its PMIERs Cushion is 50% or greater than its Minimum Required Assets and taking such actions would not cause its PMIERs cushion to fall below 50% of its Minimum Required Assets as of the end of the quarter ending September 30, 2021. From October 1, 2021 through December 30, 2021, a private mortgage insurer may pay dividends or take the other Capital Preservation Actions without the prior consent of the GSEs as long as its PMIERs Cushion is 15% or greater than its Minimum Required Assets and taking such actions would not cause its PMIERs Cushion to fall below 15% of its Minimum Required Assets as of the end of the quarter ending December 31, 2021.
For additional information on the risks associated with the expiration of the COVID-19 Crisis Period and the capital preservation measures, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” and “Radian Group’s sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund its obligations” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
Change in FHFA Leadership
On June 23, 2021, following a U.S. Supreme Court decision that determined that the FHFA director may be removed by the President other than for cause, President Biden removed FHFA director Dr. Mark Calabria, who was appointed under the Trump Administration, and appointed Sandra Thompson as acting director of the FHFA.
Since assuming the role of acting director of the FHFA, Sandra Thompson has taken a number of actions that represent a reversal of the previous FHFA leadership’s primary focus on preparing the GSEs to exit from conservatorship by increasing the GSEs’ overall capital levels and reducing their credit risk profile. In contrast, the FHFA under acting director Thompson has been focused on increasing the accessibility and affordability of mortgage credit, in particular to low-and-moderate income borrowers and underserved communities. The FHFA has instituted this change in policy through the following actions:
■In August 2021, entered into a memorandum of understanding with HUD to collaborate in addressing fair housing and fair lending;
■In August 2021, cancelled a 50-basis point adverse market fee on refinance transactions;
■In September 2021, suspended limitations set forth in the preferred stock purchase agreements between the GSEs and U.S. Department of the Treasury that lifted limitations on GSE purchases loans deemed “high risk,” including loans with multiple higher risk attributes (i.e., LTVs greater than 90%, debt-to-income ratios greater than 45% and FICO credit scores less than 680);
■In September 2021, proposed changes to the ERCF to reduce the GSEs’ total capital requirements, including by giving greater credit to credit risk transfer;
■In October 2021, raised the area median income limitations from 80% to 100% for the GSEs’ special refinance programs aimed at supporting low-and-moderate income borrowers’ ability to take advantage of the low interest rate environment; and
■In October 2021, announced that “desktop appraisals,” which represent an alternative to traditional home appraisals, would be incorporated into the GSEs’ guidelines for many new purchases beginning in early 2022.
The recent actions taken by the FHFA and GSEs generally have been viewed as favorable to the housing market and to mortgage credit for low-and-moderate income borrowers, which often utilize private mortgage insurance in their home financing transactions. In this regard, the expansive approach by the GSEs has been positive for our mortgage insurance business and, although no assurance can be provided, may continue to provide further opportunities for our products. However, as discussed under “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Changes in the charters, business practices, or role of the GSEs in the U.S. housing market generally, could significantly impact our businesses” in our 2020 Form 10-K, the FHFA could alter the policy priorities at the FHFA and modify the GSEs’ business practices in ways that also could have a negative impact on our businesses.
Qualified Mortgage (QM) Requirements - Ability to Repay Requirements
Under the Dodd-Frank Act, mortgage lenders must make a reasonable and good faith determination that, at the time the loan is consummated, the consumer has a reasonable ability to repay the loan (the “Ability to Repay Rule”). The Dodd-Frank Act provides that a creditor may presume that a borrower will be able to repay a loan if the loan has certain low-risk characteristics that meet the definition of a qualified mortgage, or QM (the “QM Rule”). This QM presumption is generally rebuttable; however, loans that are deemed to have the lowest risk profiles are granted a safe harbor from liability (“QM Safe Harbor”) related to the borrower’s ability to repay the loan.
In implementing the QM Rule, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) established rigorous underwriting and product feature requirements for loans to be deemed QMs (“Original QM Definition”), including that the borrower does not exceed a 43% debt-to-income ratio after giving effect to the loan. As part of the Original QM Definition, the CFPB also created a special exemption for the GSEs, which is generally referred to as the “QM Patch,” that allows any loan that meets the GSE underwriting and product feature requirements to be deemed to be a QM, regardless of whether the loan exceeds the 43% debt-to-income ratio.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
In December 2020, the CFPB finalized two new definitions of QM. One of these new QM definitions (the “New General QM Definition”) is intended to replace the underwriting focused approach of the Original QM Definition, including the 43% debt-to-income ratio limitation, with a new pricing-based approach to QM. Under the New General QM Definition, certain underwriting considerations are retained, but QM status generally is achieved if the loan is priced at no greater than 2.25% above the Average Prime Offer Rate (“APOR”). Loans priced at or less than 1.5% above APOR are subject to the QM Safe Harbor, while all other QM loans would receive the general rebuttable presumption that the loans met the ability to repay standard.
Separately, the CFPB created another new QM definition (“Seasoned QM”) for first-lien, fixed-rate loans that meet certain performance requirements over a 36-month seasoning period and are held in the lender’s portfolio until the end of the seasoning period. Both new QM definitions became effective on March 1, 2021. The New General QM Definition originally had a mandatory compliance date of July 1, 2021, after which the Original QM Definition and QM Patch would no longer apply. In April 2021, the CFPB issued a new rule delaying the mandatory compliance deadline for the New General QM Definition until October 1, 2022, thereby preserving the Original QM Definition and QM Patch until such date.
On April 8, 2021, the GSEs announced that for loan applications received on or after July 1, 2021, they will only purchase loans satisfying the New General QM Definition. As a result, even though the CFPB has delayed the mandatory compliance date for the New General QM Definition until October 1, 2022, for GSE-acquired loans with applications received on or after July 1, 2021, the QM Patch is effectively limited to loans that satisfy the New General QM Definition. This decision by the GSEs reduced the number of loans that otherwise would have been designated QM compared to those receiving QM designation under the QM Patch, although not materially.
For more information regarding the CFPB’s proposed New General QM Definition and the risks it may present for us, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors—A decrease in the volume of mortgage originations could result in fewer opportunities for us to write new mortgage insurance business and conduct our Real Estate business” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
Recent Company Developments
Radian Guaranty expects to enter into a fully collateralized reinsurance agreement with Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd. on or about November 9, 2021. This reinsurance agreement is expected to provide for up to $484.1 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $10.8 billion that were predominantly issued between January 1, 2021 and July 31, 2021. Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd. will finance its coverage by issuing mortgage insurance-linked notes to eligible capital markets investors in the amount of $484.1 million in an unregistered private offering that priced on October 29, 2021 and is expected to close on or about November 9, 2021, subject to customary conditions. For additional information about our existing reinsurance arrangements, see Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
During the second quarter of 2021, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and Radian’s successful transition to a virtual work environment, we made the decision to exit, and to actively market for sublease, all office space in our former corporate headquarters. As part of this change, we also entered into a new lease with reduced square footage at another Philadelphia area location, which offers flexible, virtual and hybrid work arrangements to our employees. In September 2021, we designated the location as our new corporate headquarters. See Note 9 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information, including details on related impairments.
Key Factors Affecting Our Results
The key factors affecting our results are discussed in our 2020 Form 10-K. There have been no material changes to these key factors.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio
IIF by origination vintage (1) |
Insurance in Force as of: | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Vintage written in: ($ in billions) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | September 30, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2021 | $66.1 | 27.4 | % | $— | — | % | $— | — | % | |||||||||||||
¢ | 2020 | 80.1 | 33.1 | 98.8 | 40.2 | 73.0 | 29.8 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2019 | 27.7 | 11.5 | 44.6 | 18.1 | 51.8 | 21.1 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2018 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 23.5 | 9.5 | 28.1 | 11.4 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2017 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 25.3 | 10.3 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2016 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 17.5 | 7.1 | 20.7 | 8.4 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2009 - 2015 | 16.8 | 7.0 | 25.7 | 10.5 | 30.5 | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||
¢ | 2008 & Prior (2) | 12.2 | 5.0 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 16.1 | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||
Total | $241.6 | 100.0 | % | $246.1 | 100.0 | % | $245.5 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
(1)Policy years represent the original policy years, and have not been adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP.
(2)Adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP, these percentages would decrease to 3.3%, 3.7% and 3.9% as of September 30, 2021, December 31, 2020 and September 30, 2020, respectively.
New Insurance Written
A key component of our current business strategy is to write profitable NIW. We wrote $26.6 billion and $68.2 billion of primary new mortgage insurance in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, compared to $33.3 billion and $75.4 billion of NIW in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020, respectively. As shown in the chart above, IIF decreased to $241.6 billion at September 30, 2021, from $246.1 billion at December 31, 2020, driven by a lower Persistency Rate, partially offset by our NIW for the first nine months of 2021.
Our NIW decreased by 20.3% for the three months ended September 30, 2021 compared to the same period in 2020 due to lower refinance originations partially offset by increased purchase originations. Our NIW decreased by 9.5% for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same period in 2020 due to our lower market share and lower utilization of mortgage insurance, in connection with refinances, partially offset by increases in purchase mortgage originations. According to industry forecasts, total mortgage origination volume was lower for the three months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the comparable period in 2020 due to a decline in refinance activity. Total mortgage origination volume was higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 compared to the comparable period in 2020 due to a strong purchase market and an increase in refinance originations resulting from the low interest rate environment.
Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent market projections for 2021 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $4.2 trillion, which would represent a decline in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 2% as compared to 2020, with a private mortgage insurance market of $575 to $600 billion. This outlook anticipates a continued decrease in refinance originations in the fourth quarter of 2021. While expectations for refinance volume vary, there is consensus around a large purchase market driven by increased home sales, which is a positive for mortgage insurers given the higher likelihood that purchase loans will utilize private mortgage insurance as compared to refinance loans. If refinance volume declines, we would expect the Persistency Rate for our portfolio to increase, benefiting the size of our IIF portfolio. See "Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” above and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information.
NIW for direct Single Premiums include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated). The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
NIW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NIW | $ | 26,558 | $ | 33,320 | $ | 68,243 | $ | 75,391 | ||||||||||||||||||
Primary risk written | $ | 6,781 | $ | 7,970 | $ | 16,511 | $ | 17,712 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average coverage percentage | 25.5 | % | 23.9 | % | 24.2 | % | 23.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by loan purpose | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Purchases | 89.8 | % | 70.5 | % | 76.8 | % | 64.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Refinances | 10.2 | % | 29.5 | % | 23.2 | % | 35.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total borrower-paid NIW | 99.2 | % | 98.5 | % | 99.2 | % | 97.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by premium type | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums | 93.8 | % | 90.0 | % | 92.5 | % | 86.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct single premiums (1) | 6.2 | % | 10.0 | % | 7.5 | % | 13.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by FICO Score (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | 56.0 | % | 66.2 | % | 60.2 | % | 66.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
680-739 | 34.9 | % | 30.7 | % | 33.3 | % | 30.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
620-679 | 9.1 | % | 3.1 | % | 6.5 | % | 2.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by LTV | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 12.1 | % | 9.7 | % | 10.5 | % | 9.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 46.7 | % | 39.6 | % | 40.2 | % | 38.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 26.5 | % | 28.3 | % | 28.3 | % | 29.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 14.7 | % | 22.4 | % | 21.0 | % | 23.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
(1)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 6.0% and 7.2% of NIW for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, compared to 9.0% and 12.3% for the same periods in 2020, respectively. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements” in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information.
(2)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.
Insurance and Risk in Force
IIF at September 30, 2021 decreased 1.6% as compared to the same period last year, reflecting a 25.1% decline in Single Premium Policies in force, partially offset by a 5.8% increase in Monthly Premium Policies in force. Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Lower interest rate environments generally increase refinancings, which increase the cancellation rate of our insurance and negatively affect our Persistency Rates.
As shown in the table below, our Persistency Rate for the 12 months ended September 30, 2021 declined as compared to the same period in 2020. The decline in our Persistency Rate and the related decline in our Single Premium Policies in force at September 30, 2021, were attributable to increased refinance activity resulting from historically low interest rates, which led to an increase in Single Premium Policy cancellations. Single Premium Policy cancellations was the primary driver of the decrease in unearned premiums on our condensed consolidated balance sheet at September 30, 2021 as compared to December 31, 2020.
Our IIF is the primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial premiums in future periods, due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and its expected persistency over multiple years. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—IIF and Related Drivers” in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information.
Our earnings in future periods are subject to elevated risks and uncertainties due to the potential impact of the unprecedented and continually evolving social and economic impacts associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
and global economies generally, and in particular on the U.S. housing, real estate and housing finance markets. See Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about the COVID-19 pandemic, which could have a material negative effect on the Company’s business, liquidity, results of operations and financial condition. See “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” and, in our 2020 Form 10-K, “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.
Historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key predictors of credit performance. As of September 30, 2021, substantially all of our total primary RIF is comprised of our portfolio of business written subsequent to 2008 and has consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods. Although our actual and expected future losses on our portfolio written after 2008, together with refinancings under HARP, are significantly lower than those experienced on our NIW prior to and including 2008, our future losses, including the impact from the COVID-19 pandemic, are highly uncertain.
Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premiums include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF.
IIF and RIF | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | September 30, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
Primary IIF | $ | 241,575 | $ | 246,144 | $ | 245,467 | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF | $ | 59,421 | $ | 60,656 | $ | 60,989 | ||||||||||||||
Average coverage percentage | 24.6 | % | 24.6 | % | 24.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Total primary RIF on defaulted loans | $ | 1,928 | $ | 3,250 | $ | 3,747 | ||||||||||||||
Persistency Rate (12 months ended) | 60.8 | % | 61.2 | % | 65.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1) | 67.5 | % | 60.4 | % | 60.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Total borrower-paid RIF | 89.6 | % | 86.3 | % | 84.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by Premium Type | ||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums | 82.7 | % | 79.1 | % | 76.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Direct single premiums (2) | 17.3 | % | 20.9 | % | 23.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by FICO Score (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | 57.3 | % | 57.5 | % | 57.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
680-739 | 34.8 | % | 34.6 | % | 34.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
620-679 | 7.4 | % | 7.3 | % | 7.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
<=619 | 0.5 | % | 0.6 | % | 0.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by LTV | ||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 14.6 | % | 14.4 | % | 14.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 48.9 | % | 49.3 | % | 50.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 27.8 | % | 28.0 | % | 27.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 8.7 | % | 8.3 | % | 7.7 | % |
(1)The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods, and may not be indicative of full-year trends.
(2)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 8.8%, 9.4% and 9.7% of primary RIF for the periods indicated, respectively.
(3)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Risk Distribution
We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. When we enter into a reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed-upon portion of incurred losses. While these arrangements have the impact of reducing our earned premiums, they reduce our required capital and are expected to increase our return on required capital for the related policies.
The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—Risk Distribution” and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information about our reinsurance transactions.
The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.
PMIERs benefit from risk distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | September 30, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets | ||||||||||||||||||||
Excess-of-Loss Program | $ | 659,151 | $ | 912,734 | $ | 783,842 | ||||||||||||||
Single Premium QSR Program | 328,339 | 423,712 | 469,625 | |||||||||||||||||
QSR Program | 14,116 | 22,712 | 26,213 | |||||||||||||||||
Total PMIERs impact | $ | 1,001,606 | $ | 1,359,158 | $ | 1,279,680 | ||||||||||||||
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets | 22.1 | % | 28.8 | % | 26.8 | % |
Results of Operations—Consolidated
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and September 30, 2020 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage” and “Results of Operations—homegenius” for the operating results of these business segments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same periods in 2020.
See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding modifications to our segment reporting in 2020, including for the wind down of our traditional appraisal business announced in the fourth quarter of 2020. All changes in 2020 to the composition of our reportable segments have been reflected in our segment operating results for all periods presented.
In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by those factors described in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
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The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
Summary results of operations - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions, except per-share amounts) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pretax income | $ | 161.6 | $ | 161.2 | $ | 0.4 | $ | 518.3 | $ | 300.3 | $ | 218.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | 126.4 | 135.1 | (8.7) | 407.2 | 245.6 | 161.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted net income per share | 0.67 | 0.70 | (0.03) | 2.11 | 1.25 | 0.86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share at September 30 | 23.48 | 21.52 | 1.96 | 23.48 | 21.52 | 1.96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned (1) | 249.1 | 286.5 | (37.4) | 775.7 | 813.2 | (37.5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue (2) | 37.8 | 33.9 | 3.9 | 90.1 | 93.9 | (3.8) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income (1) | 36.0 | 36.3 | (0.3) | 110.5 | 115.9 | (5.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 2.1 | 17.7 | (15.6) | 12.6 | 42.9 | (30.3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses (1) | 17.3 | 88.1 | 70.8 | 67.1 | 428.5 | 361.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs (1) | 7.9 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 21.8 | 23.6 | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services (2) | 30.5 | 24.4 | (6.1) | 75.4 | 64.5 | (10.9) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses (3) | 86.5 | 69.4 | (17.1) | 243.2 | 199.1 | (44.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense (1) | 21.0 | 21.1 | 0.1 | 63.2 | 50.0 | (13.2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax provision (benefit) | 35.2 | 26.1 | (9.1) | 111.1 | 54.7 | (56.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (4) | 160.6 | 145.0 | 15.6 | 512.7 | 261.1 | 251.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (4) | 0.67 | 0.59 | 0.08 | 2.10 | 1.05 | 1.05 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Return on equity | 11.8 | % | 13.3 | % | (1.5) | % | 12.7 | % | 8.0 | % | 4.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net operating return on equity (4) | 11.8 | % | 11.3 | % | 0.5 | % | 12.6 | % | 6.7 | % | 5.9 | % |
(1)Relates primarily to the Mortgage segment. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage” for more information.
(2)Relates primarily to our homegenius segment. See “Results of Operations—homegenius” for more information.
(3)See “Results of Operations—Mortgage,” “Results of Operations—homegenius” and “Results of Operations—All Other” for more information on both direct and allocated operating expenses.
(4)See “—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.
Net Income. As discussed in more detail below, our net income for the three months ended September 30, 2021, decreased as compared to the same period in 2020, primarily reflecting: (i) a decrease in net premiums earned; (ii) an increase in other operating expenses; and (iii) a decrease in net gains on investments and other financial instruments. Partially offsetting these items was a decrease in provision for losses related to our Mortgage segment. Our net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, increased as compared to the same period in 2020, primarily reflecting a decrease in provision for losses related to our Mortgage segment. Partially offsetting this item was: (i) a decrease in net premiums earned; (ii) a decrease in net gains on investments and other financial instruments; (iii) an increase in other operating expenses; and (iv) an increase in interest expense.
Diluted Net Income Per Share. The change in diluted net income per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same periods in 2020, is primarily due to the change in net income, as discussed above.
Book Value Per Share. The increase in book value per share from $22.36 at December 31, 2020, to $23.48 at September 30, 2021, is primarily due to our net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2021. Partially offsetting this item is: (i) a decrease of $0.58 per share due to unrealized losses in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income and (ii) a $0.41 per share impact of dividends.
Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. The decrease in net gains on investments and other financial instruments for the three months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the same period in 2020, is primarily due to: (i) a decrease in net unrealized gains on our trading securities and (ii) a decrease in gains on other financial instruments. The decrease in net gains on investments and other financial instruments for the nine months ended September
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
30, 2021, as compared to the same period in 2020, is primarily due to: (i) a decrease in net realized gains on our fixed-maturities available for sale; (ii) a decrease in gains on other financial instruments; (iii) a decrease in net unrealized gains on our trading securities; and (iv) a decrease in the fair value of our embedded derivatives. These decreases were partially offset by a decrease in impairments recorded in earnings. See Notes 5 and 6 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about the embedded derivatives associated with our reinsurance obtained through mortgage linked-notes transactions and net gains (losses) on investments, respectively.
Income Tax Provision. Variations in our effective tax rates, combined with differences in pretax income, were the drivers of the changes in our income tax provision between periods. Our effective tax rate for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 was 21.8% and 21.4%, respectively, which approximated the federal statutory rate of 21%. Those effective tax rates compared to 16.2% and 18.2% for the same respective periods in 2020. Our effective tax rate for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 was lower than the federal statutory rate of 21% primarily due to the effects of an update recorded in the third quarter of 2020 related to our liability for uncertain tax positions.
Return on Equity. The change in return on equity is primarily due to the increase in net income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, as described above.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures. In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity” are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.
Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.
Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Results of Operations—Consolidated—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” each in our 2020 Form 10-K for detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income and the reasons for their treatment.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as impairment of internal-use software, gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated company of adjusted pretax operating income.
Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to consolidated adjusted pretax operating income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated pretax income | $ | 161,641 | $ | 161,205 | $ | 518,326 | $ | 300,274 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less reconciling income (expense) items | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 2,098 | 17,652 | 12,578 | 42,901 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets | (862) | (961) | (2,587) | (2,919) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | (244) | (466) | (4,349) | (788) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total adjusted pretax operating income (1) | $ | 160,649 | $ | 144,980 | $ | 512,684 | $ | 261,080 |
(1)Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage segment, our homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.
Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted net income per share | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 2.11 | $ | 1.25 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.22 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets | — | — | (0.01) | (0.01) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | — | — | (0.02) | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1) | — | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.04) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates | (0.01) | 0.04 | (0.02) | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items | — | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1) | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 2.10 | $ | 1.05 |
(1)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.
Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated company of adjusted net operating return on equity.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Return on equity (1) | 11.8 | % | 13.3 | % | 12.7 | % | 8.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Less impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | — | — | (0.1) | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3) | — | (0.3) | — | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates | (0.1) | 0.7 | (0.1) | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items | — | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net operating return on equity | 11.8 | % | 11.3 | % | 12.6 | % | 6.7 | % |
(1)Calculated by dividing annualized net income (loss) by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.
(2)Annualized, as a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.
(3)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.
Results of Operations—Mortgage
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020
The following table summarizes our Mortgage segment’s results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
Summary results of operations - Mortgage | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (1) (2) | $ | 163.1 | $ | 147.3 | $ | 15.8 | $ | 528.9 | $ | 267.2 | $ | 261.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | 228.1 | 259.3 | (31.2) | 706.0 | 749.7 | (43.7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums | 8.8 | 24.1 | (15.3) | 42.6 | 56.2 | (13.6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 236.9 | 283.4 | (46.5) | 748.6 | 806.0 | (57.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | 5.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 13.1 | 11.0 | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 32.2 | 32.1 | 0.1 | 99.0 | 103.0 | (4.0) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 16.8 | 87.8 | 71.0 | 66.0 | 427.0 | 361.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 7.9 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 21.8 | 23.6 | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 3.9 | 2.9 | (1.0) | 10.2 | 6.8 | (3.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses (2) | 61.9 | 50.8 | (11.1) | 172.7 | 147.5 | (25.2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 21.0 | 21.1 | 0.1 | 63.2 | 50.0 | (13.2) |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of the Company’s business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
(2)The following tables show additional information about Mortgage other operating expenses.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct other operating expenses | $ | 27.6 | $ | 21.7 | $ | 77.5 | $ | 63.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (a) | 34.3 | 29.1 | 95.2 | 83.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 61.9 | $ | 50.8 | $ | 172.7 | $ | 147.5 |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other general other operating expenses | $ | 50.4 | $ | 52.6 | $ | 151.3 | $ | 152.3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 17.1 | 10.5 | 41.2 | 25.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commissions | (5.6) | (12.3) | (19.8) | (30.7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 61.9 | $ | 50.8 | $ | 172.7 | $ | 147.5 |
(a)See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses to segments.
Adjusted Pretax Operating Income. Our Mortgage segment’s adjusted pretax operating income increased for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same periods in 2020, primarily due to a decrease in provision for losses. Partially offsetting this item is: (i) a decrease in net premiums earned and (ii) an increase in other operating expenses. Our Mortgage segment’s adjusted pretax operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the same period in 2020, was also impacted by an increase in interest expense. See “—Net Premiums Written and Earned” and “—Provision for Losses” below for more information about our net premiums earned and provision for losses, respectively.
Net Premiums Written and Earned. Net premiums written for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 decreased, compared to the same periods in 2020. The decrease for the three months ended September 30, 2021, was primarily driven by lower direct premium rates on our IIF portfolio compared to the same period in 2020, as well as a lower proportion of Single Premium Policies. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, higher recorded ceded losses resulted in elevated ceded premiums due to a reduction in accrued profit commissions, which lowered net premiums written in that period. The subsequent improvement in accrued profit commissions in 2021 was more than offset for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, by lower direct premium rates on our IIF portfolio compared to the same periods in 2020, as well as a lower proportion of Single Premium Policies.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.
Net premiums earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except as otherwise indicated) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations | $ | 239,786 | $ | 259,889 | $ | 739,768 | $ | 798,004 | ||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium Policy cancellations | 25,592 | 65,667 | 95,694 | 139,823 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct premiums | 265,378 | 325,556 | 835,462 | 937,827 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Assumed (1) | 1,683 | 2,946 | 5,596 | 9,599 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations | (27,662) | (25,120) | (80,359) | (80,222) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium Policy cancellations (2) | (7,338) | (18,679) | (27,483) | (40,286) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Profit commission—other (3) | 4,806 | (1,347) | 15,401 | (20,967) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums | (30,194) | (45,146) | (92,441) | (141,475) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net premiums earned | $ | 236,867 | $ | 283,356 | $ | 748,617 | $ | 805,951 | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (4) | 40.3 | 43.2 | 40.7 | 44.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premium yield (in basis points) (5) | 39.6 | 46.6 | 40.9 | 44.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Average primary IIF (in billions) | $ | 239.4 | $ | 243.4 | $ | 243.9 | $ | 243.0 |
(1)Primarily includes premiums earned from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs.
(2)Includes the impact of related profit commissions.
(3)Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.
(4)Calculated by dividing annualized direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.
(5)Calculated by dividing annualized net premiums earned by average primary IIF.
Net premiums earned decreased for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 compared to the same periods in 2020, primarily due to: (i) a decrease in premiums earned on our in-force Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies and (ii) a decrease in the impact, net of reinsurance, from Single Premium Policy cancellations, due to decreased refinance activity as compared to the same period in 2020. These decreases were partially offset by a decrease in ceded premiums, which were elevated in 2020 due to reduced profit commissions as a result of higher ceded losses in 2020.
The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. We believe that writing a mix of Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies has the potential to moderate the overall impact on our results if actual prepayments are significantly different from expectations. However, the impact of this moderating effect is affected by the amount of reinsurance we obtain on portions of our portfolio, with the Single Premium QSR Program currently reducing the proportion of retained Single Premium Policies in our portfolio. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—IIF and Related Drivers” in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The following table provides information related to the premium impact of our reinsurance transactions. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.
Ceded premiums earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium QSR Program | $ | 12,752 | $ | 34,578 | $ | 44,694 | $ | 109,444 | ||||||||||||||||||
Excess-of-Loss Program | 16,581 | 8,290 | 44,336 | 25,016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
QSR Program | 754 | 2,164 | 3,091 | 6,662 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | 107 | 114 | 320 | 353 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total ceded premiums earned (1) | $ | 30,194 | $ | 45,146 | $ | 92,441 | $ | 141,475 | ||||||||||||||||||
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned | 10.8 | % | 13.7 | % | 10.7 | % | 14.9 | % |
(1)Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions on our Single Premium QSR Programs, which are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statement of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Net Investment Income. Lower investment yields, partially offset by higher average investment balances, resulted in a decrease in net investment income for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same period in 2020. Our higher average investment balances were a result of investing our positive cash flows from operations.
Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.
Provision for losses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions, except reserve per new default) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Current period defaults (1) | $ | 33.3 | $ | 96.0 | $ | 119.8 | $ | 448.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
Prior period defaults (2) | (16.5) | (8.2) | (53.9) | (21.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Second-lien mortgage loan premium deficiency reserve and other | — | — | 0.1 | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | $ | 16.8 | $ | 87.8 | $ | 66.0 | $ | 427.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio (3) | 7.1 | % | 31.0 | % | 8.8 | % | 53.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Reserve per new default (4) | $ | 4,095 | $ | 4,681 | $ | 4,260 | $ | 4,798 |
(1)Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the period indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior period, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current period, the default would be considered a current period default.
(2)Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a period earlier than the period indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.
(3)Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See below and “—Net Premiums Written and Earned” for further discussion of the components of this ratio.
(4)Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by new primary defaults for each period.
Our mortgage insurance provision for losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 decreased by $71.0 million and $361.0 million, respectively, as compared to the same periods in 2020. Reserves established for new default notices were the primary driver of our total incurred losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020. Current period new primary defaults decreased significantly for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to the same periods in 2020, as shown below. The decreases primarily relate to a decrease in the number of new default notices related to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, as compared to the same periods last year. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at September 30, 2021, compared to 8.5% at September 30, 2020.
Our provision for losses during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 benefited from favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These trends resulted in, among other changes during the nine months ended September 30, 2021, a reduction from 8.5% to 8.0% in our Default to Claim Rate assumption for default notices reported between April and December 2020 that was recorded as a change to our provision for losses during the second quarter of 2021. See Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and, in our 2020 Form 10-K, “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Our primary default rate as a percentage of total insured loans at September 30, 2021 was 3.4% compared to 5.2% at December 31, 2020. The following table shows a rollforward of our primary loans in default.
Rollforward of primary loans in default | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning default inventory | 40,464 | 69,742 | 55,537 | 21,266 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
New defaults | 8,132 | 20,508 | 28,128 | 93,473 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cures | (14,475) | (27,283) | (49,293) | (50,837) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Claims paid | (321) | (240) | (562) | (1,154) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Rescissions and Claim Denials, net of Reinstatements (1) | (5) | 10 | (15) | (11) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending default inventory | 33,795 | 62,737 | 33,795 | 62,737 |
(1)Net of any previous Rescissions and Claim Denials that were reversed and reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.
The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.
Primary loans in default - additional information | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | Foreclosure Stage Defaulted Loans | Cure % During the 3rd Quarter | Reserve for Losses | % of Reserve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | # | % | # | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missed payments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three payments or less | 6,671 | 19.7 | % | 34 | 38.4 | % | $ | 59,663 | 7.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four to eleven payments | 9,977 | 29.5 | 102 | 28.5 | 177,416 | 20.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Twelve payments or more | 16,849 | 49.9 | 794 | 25.1 | 598,549 | 70.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pending claims | 298 | 0.9 | N/A | 14.2 | 15,523 | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 33,795 | 100.0 | % | 930 | 851,151 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IBNR and other | 3,788 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LAE | 21,400 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total primary reserve | $ | 876,339 |
December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | Foreclosure Stage Defaulted Loans | Cure % During the 4th Quarter | Reserve for Losses | % of Reserve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | # | % | # | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missed payments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three payments or less | 12,504 | 22.5 | % | 64 | 36.5 | % | $ | 99,491 | 12.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four to eleven payments | 37,691 | 67.9 | 190 | 26.3 | 512,248 | 64.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Twelve payments or more | 5,067 | 9.1 | 861 | 5.4 | 172,161 | 21.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pending claims | 275 | 0.5 | N/A | 8.2 | 15,614 | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 55,537 | 100.0 | % | 1,115 | 799,514 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IBNR and other | 9,966 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LAE | 20,172 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total primary reserve | $ | 829,652 |
N/A – Not applicable
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates based primarily on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.
Our aggregate weighted average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was approximately 42% and 24% at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. This increase was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of September 30, 2021, given the smaller proportion of loans with fewer missed payments.
Our net Default to Claim Rate and loss reserve estimate incorporates our expectations with respect to future Rescissions, Claim Denials and Claim Curtailments. Our estimate of such net future Loss Mitigation Activities, inclusive of claim withdrawals, reduced our loss reserve as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 by $29.5 million and $29.1 million, respectively. These expectations are based primarily on recent claim withdrawal activity and our recent experience with respect to the number of claims that have been denied due to the policyholder’s failure to submit sufficient documentation to perfect a claim within the time period permitted under our Master Policies and also our recent experience with respect to the number of insurance certificates that have been rescinded due to fraud, underwriter negligence or other factors.
During the third quarter of 2021, Hurricane Ida caused extensive property damage to areas of Louisiana, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, as well as other general disruptions including power outages and flooding. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Our mortgage insurance total loss reserve as a percentage of our mortgage insurance total RIF was 1.5% and 1.4% at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserves for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.
We considered the sensitivity of our loss reserve estimates at September 30, 2021 by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate for primary loans. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point absolute change in primary Claim Severity for our primary insurance risk exposure (which we estimated to be 98% of our risk exposure at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020), we estimated that our total loss reserve at September 30, 2021 would change by approximately $8.7 million. Assuming the portfolio mix and all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point absolute change in our primary net Default to Claim Rate, we estimated a $20.1 million change in our primary loss reserve at September 30, 2021.
Total mortgage insurance claims paid of $10.2 million and $24.9 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, decreased from claims paid of $10.8 million and $57.0 million for the same respective periods in 2020. The decrease in claims paid is primarily attributable to COVID-19-related forbearance plans and suspensions of foreclosure and evictions. Claims paid in both periods also include the impact of commutations and settlements. Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors (as described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims” in our 2020 Form 10-K) that make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.
The following table shows net claims paid and average primary claim paid for the periods indicated.
Claims paid | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net claims paid (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total primary claims paid | $ | 5,330 | $ | 11,331 | $ | 16,811 | $ | 57,833 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total pool and other | 991 | (230) | 204 | (502) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal | 6,321 | 11,101 | 17,015 | 57,331 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of commutations and settlements (2) | 3,915 | (267) | 7,915 | (323) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net claims paid | $ | 10,236 | $ | 10,834 | $ | 24,930 | $ | 57,008 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total average net primary claim paid (1) (3) | $ | 42.0 | $ | 46.4 | $ | 44.1 | $ | 48.6 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4) | $ | 43.2 | $ | 47.8 | $ | 45.6 | $ | 49.7 |
(1)Includes the impact of reinsurance recoveries and LAE.
(2)Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. For the nine months ended September 30, 2021, also includes payments made to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings.
(3)Calculated without giving effect to the impact of other commutations and settlements.
(4)Before reinsurance recoveries.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Other Operating Expenses. Other operating expenses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 increased as compared to the same periods in 2020, primarily due to: (i) an increase in variable and share-based incentive compensation expense in 2021, including as part of allocated corporate operating expenses and (ii) a decrease in ceding commissions.
Our expense ratio on a net premiums earned basis represents our Mortgage segment’s operating expenses (which include policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Our expense ratio was 29.5% and 26.0% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, compared to 21.5% and 21.2% for the same periods in 2020, respectively. The decrease in net premiums earned was the primary driver of the increase in the expense ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2021. The increase in other operating expenses was the primary driver of the increase in the expense ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2021.
Interest Expense. The increase in interest expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the same period in 2020, primarily reflects an increase in our senior notes outstanding in 2021 compared to 2020. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our senior notes.
Results of Operations—homegenius
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020
As noted above in Results of Operations—Consolidated and as further discussed in Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, we made certain modifications to our segment reporting in 2020. These changes to our reportable segments have been reflected in our homegenius segment operating results for all periods presented. The following table summarizes our homegenius segment’s results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
Summary results of operations - homegenius | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1) (2) | $ | (5.6) | $ | (5.0) | $ | (0.6) | $ | (25.2) | $ | (12.1) | $ | (13.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 12.3 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 27.1 | 15.0 | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | 32.8 | 22.6 | 10.2 | 77.1 | 63.6 | 13.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 26.6 | 18.1 | (8.5) | 65.1 | 45.8 | (19.3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses (2) | 23.5 | 16.4 | (7.1) | 63.3 | 43.7 | (19.6) |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of the Company’s business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
(2)The following tables show additional information about homegenius other operating expenses.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct other operating expenses | $ | 18.6 | $ | 13.1 | $ | 49.6 | $ | 34.3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (a) | 4.9 | 3.3 | 13.7 | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 23.5 | $ | 16.4 | $ | 63.3 | $ | 43.7 |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other general other operating expenses | $ | 15.0 | $ | 11.6 | $ | 42.9 | $ | 33.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 6.2 | 3.1 | 15.0 | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Title agent commissions | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 23.5 | $ | 16.4 | $ | 63.3 | $ | 43.7 |
(a)See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses to segments.
Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss). Our homegenius segment’s adjusted pretax operating loss for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 was $5.6 million and $25.2 million, respectively, compared to adjusted pretax operating loss of $5.0 million and $12.1 million for the same periods in 2020, respectively. The increase in our adjusted pretax operating loss for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the same period in 2020, was primarily driven by: (i) an increase in variable and share-based incentive compensation expense in 2021, including as part of allocated corporate operating expenses; (ii) an increase in title agent commissions; and (iii) continued strategic investments focused on our title and digital real estate businesses. Such investments contributed to an increase in total expenses, which was partially offset by increases in net premiums earned and services revenue. The increases in net premiums earned and services revenue were primarily due to increases in new policies written and closed orders in our title services business, respectively. This business has accounted for a majority of the total revenue from our homegenius segment in 2021. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for the disaggregation of services revenues from external customers, by type.
Results of Operations—All Other
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020
All Other activities include: (i) income (losses) from assets held by our holding company; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; (iii) for all periods prior to its sale in the first quarter of 2020, income and expenses related to Clayton; (iv) for all periods presented, the income and expenses related to our traditional appraisal services; and (v) certain other immaterial revenue and expense items. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The following table summarizes our All Other results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
Summary results of operations - All Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1) | $ | 3.1 | $ | 2.7 | $ | 0.4 | $ | 9.0 | $ | 6.0 | $ | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | — | 8.3 | (8.3) | 0.1 | 20.5 | (20.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 3.8 | 4.1 | (0.3) | 11.4 | 12.6 | (1.2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | — | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 12.8 | 12.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 4.1 |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of the Company’s business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Consolidated Cash Flows
The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.
Summary cash flows - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in): | ||||||||||||||
Operating activities | $ | 403,304 | $ | 498,756 | ||||||||||
Investing activities | (33,984) | (737,657) | ||||||||||||
Financing activities | (306,891) | 229,071 | ||||||||||||
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash | $ | 62,429 | $ | (9,830) |
Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are for our operating expenses and claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies. Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $403.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to $498.8 million for the same period in 2020. This decrease was principally due to lower direct premiums written, partially offset by a reduction in claims paid for the nine months ended September 30, 2021.
Investing Activities. Net cash used in investing activities was $34.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to $737.7 million used in investing activities for the same period in 2020. This change was primarily the result of a decrease in purchases, net of fixed-maturity investments available for sale.
Financing Activities. Net cash used in financing activities was $306.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2021, compared to net cash provided by financing activities of $229.1 million for the same period in 2020. For the nine months ended September 30, 2021, our primary financing activities included: (i) repurchases of our common shares; (ii) payment of dividends; and (iii) net changes in secured borrowings. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, cash provided by financing activities included the issuance of Senior Notes due 2025, partially offset by: (i) repurchases of our common shares and (ii) payments of dividends. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.
See “Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)—Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)” for additional information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At September 30, 2021, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $768.4 million. Available liquidity at September 30, 2021 excludes certain additional cash and liquid investments that have been advanced to Radian Group from its subsidiaries to pay for corporate expenses and interest payments. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $267.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $1.0 billion as of September 30, 2021.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, Radian Group’s available liquidity decreased by $334.3 million, primarily due to payments for share repurchases and dividends, as described below.
In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries; and (iv) amounts, if any, that Radian Guaranty is able to repay under the 2017 Surplus Note.
Radian Group also has in place a $267.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders, which has a maturity date of January 18, 2022. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At September 30, 2021, the full $267.5 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. The credit facility has a minimum liquidity requirement of $35 million. We expect to renew our credit facility prior to the January 2022 maturity date. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.
We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iii) subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition, the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which we increased in May 2021 from $0.125 to $0.14 per share; and (iv) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to our current and potential future share repurchase authorizations, as described below.
In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.4 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years. See “—Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile. Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations; (ii) potential additional investments to support our business strategy; and (iii) potential additional capital contributions to its subsidiaries, including due to the continuing impact that the COVID-19 pandemic could have on the liquidity, results of operations and financial condition of Radian Group and its subsidiaries. In our 2020 Form 10-K, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” including “—Radian Group’s sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund its obligations” and “—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” for additional discussion about the elevated risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and the potential impact to Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets. See also Notes 1 and 16 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” for further information.
If Radian Group’s current sources of liquidity are insufficient to fund its obligations, or if we otherwise decide to increase our liquidity position, Radian Group may seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.
Share Repurchases. During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, the Company repurchased 11.4 million shares of Radian Group common stock under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $257.0 million, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase program.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2020, and for the first quarter of 2021, our quarterly common stock dividend was $0.125 per share. Effective May 4, 2021, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase in the Company’s quarterly dividend to $0.14 per share. Based on our current outstanding shares of common stock and restricted stock units, we expect to require approximately $102 million in the aggregate to pay dividends and dividend equivalents for the next 12 months. Radian Group is not subject to any limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ determination.
Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 of $108.9 million and $62.0 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.
Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, Radian Group received $18.8 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its operating subsidiaries.
Capitalization—Holding Company
The following table presents our holding company capital structure.
Capital structure | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Debt | ||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | $ | 450,000 | $ | 450,000 | ||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | 525,000 | 525,000 | ||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | 450,000 | 450,000 | ||||||||||||
Deferred debt costs on senior notes | (16,498) | (19,326) | ||||||||||||
Revolving credit facility | — | — | ||||||||||||
Total | 1,408,502 | 1,405,674 | ||||||||||||
Stockholders’ equity | 4,257,936 | 4,284,353 | ||||||||||||
Total capitalization | $ | 5,666,438 | $ | 5,690,027 | ||||||||||
Debt-to-capital ratio | 24.9 | % | 24.7 | % |
Stockholders’ equity decreased by $26.4 million from December 31, 2020 to September 30, 2021. The net decrease in stockholders’ equity for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 resulted primarily from share repurchases of $257.0 million, net unrealized losses on investments of $111.5 million primarily as a result of an increase in market interest rates during the year, and dividends of $78.9 million, partially offset by our net income of $407.2 million.
We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders and financing sources, and consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. In the past we have repurchased and exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs, including as a result of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.
Mortgage
The principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business currently include: (i) the payment of claims and potential claim settlement transactions, net of reinsurance; (ii) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (iii) repayments of FHLB advances; (iv) repayments, if any, associated with the 2017 Surplus Note; and (v) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes 10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information related to these non-interest bearing instruments.
The principal sources of liquidity in our mortgage insurance business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with a substantial portion of the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future. However, see “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” and Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Statements for discussion about the elevated risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, including the impact on our PMIERs Cushion.
As of September 30, 2021, our mortgage insurance subsidiaries maintained claims paying resources of $5.8 billion on a statutory basis, which consists of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of September 30, 2021 was 11.4 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At September 30, 2021, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $646.9 million. This balance includes a $313.1 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information about these bonds and the risks associated with potential corporate tax rate increases, our statutory and PMIERs requirements and the potential effects of increased defaults due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At September 30, 2021, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled approximately $5.3 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $1.7 billion, or 49%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs cushion of $4.7 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2020.
The primary driver of the increase in Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 is the increase in Available Assets, reflecting positive cash flows from operating activities, combined with a decrease in Minimum Required Assets. During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets decreased primarily as a result of a decrease in the number of primary loans in default and an overall decline in IIF. Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets include a benefit as a result of reinsurance agreements, including the addition of the Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. reinsurance agreement in April 2021. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reinsurance agreements.
Our PMIERs Cushion at September 30, 2021, also includes a benefit from the application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge that has reduced the total amount of Minimum Required Assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would have been required to hold against pandemic-related defaults by approximately $336 million as of September 30, 2021, taking into consideration our risk distribution structures in effect as of that date. We expect that application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge will continue to materially reduce Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Minimum Required Assets, but will diminish over time.
Notwithstanding the continued application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge, the total amount of Minimum Required Assets we may be required to hold against defaulted loans will increase over time, because the 0.30 multiplier is applied to a higher base factor for the defaulting loans (including those in forbearance) as they age, with increases taking place upon four, six and 12 missed monthly payments. Additionally, given the lack of an expiration date under the CARES Act, it is difficult to estimate how long the GSEs may continue to offer COVID-19 forbearance programs for new defaults. It is also difficult to assess how long the GSEs may continue to apply the COVID-19 Amendment to loans in a COVID-19 related forbearance program. As described above, the COVID-19 Crisis Period expired March 31, 2021. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements” in our 2020 Form 10-K for more information about the Disaster Related Capital Charge, and for further information, including on the expiration of the COVID-19 Crisis Period, see “Overview—Legislative and Regulatory Developments—COVID-19 Amendment to PMIERs.”
The impact of increased defaults resulting from Hurricane Ida is expected to increase our Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements by an immaterial amount. See “—Results of Operations—Mortgage” for additional information.
Even though they hold assets in excess of the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. In light of Radian Guaranty’s negative unassigned surplus related to operating losses in prior periods, the ongoing need to set aside contingency reserves, and the current ongoing economic uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic, which increased losses in 2020 and could cause losses in future periods, we do not anticipate that Radian Guaranty will be permitted under applicable insurance laws to pay dividends or other distributions for the foreseeable future without prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, an insurer must obtain the Pennsylvania Insurance Department’s approval to pay an Extraordinary Distribution. Radian Guaranty sought and received such approval to return capital by paying Extraordinary Distributions to Radian Group in 2019 and 2018. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2020 Form 10-K for additional information on our Extraordinary Distributions, statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Radian Guaranty and Radian Reinsurance are both members of the FHLB. As members, they may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management purposes and for purchases of additional investment securities that have similar durations, for the purpose of generating additional earnings from our investment securities portfolio with limited incremental risk. As of September 30, 2021, there were $172.6 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
homegenius
As of September 30, 2021, our homegenius segment maintained cash and liquid investments totaling $84.5 million, primarily held by Radian Title Insurance.
Title insurance companies, including Radian Title Insurance, are subject to comprehensive state regulations, including minimum net worth requirements. Radian Title Insurance was in compliance with all of its minimum net worth requirements at September 30, 2021. In the event the cash flows from operations of the homegenius segment are not adequate to fund all of its needs, including the regulatory capital needs of Radian Title Insurance, Radian Group may provide additional funds to the homegenius segment in the form of an intercompany note or other capital contribution, and if needed for Radian Title Insurance, subject to the approval of the Ohio Department of Insurance. Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in new business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses.
Liquidity levels may fluctuate depending on the levels and contractual timing of our invoicing and the payment practices of our homegenius clients, in combination with the timing of our homegenius segment’s payments for employee compensation and to external vendors. The amount, if any, and timing of the homegenius segment’s dividend paying capacity will depend primarily on the amount of excess cash flow generated by the segment.
Ratings
Radian Group, Radian Guaranty, Radian Reinsurance and Radian Title Insurance have been assigned the ratings set forth in the chart below. We believe that ratings often are considered by others in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. The following ratings have been independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations, are for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The current financial strength ratings assigned to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries could weaken our competitive position and potential downgrades by rating agencies to these ratings and the ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
Ratings | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Subsidiary | Moody’s (1) | S&P (2) | Fitch (3) | Demotech (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Group | Ba1 | BB+ | BBB- | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Reinsurance | N/A | BBB+ | N/A | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | N/A | N/A | N/A | A |
(1)Based on the July 14, 2020 update, Moody’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty currently is Stable.
(2)Based on the April 28, 2021 update, S&P’s outlook for Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Reinsurance is currently Stable.
(3)Based on the May 3, 2021 release, Fitch’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty is currently Stable.
(4)Based on the May 20, 2021 release.
Critical Accounting Estimates
As of the filing date of this report, there were no significant changes in our critical accounting estimates from those discussed in our 2020 Form 10-K. See Note 2 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for accounting pronouncements issued but not yet adopted that may impact the Company’s consolidated financial position, earnings, cash flows or disclosures.
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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Market risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the value of financial instruments as a result of changes in market conditions. Examples of market risk include changes in interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency exchange rates and equity prices. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Our success depends, in part, on our ability to manage risks in our investment portfolio” in our 2020 Form 10-K.
Our market risk exposures at September 30, 2021 have not materially changed from those identified in our 2020
Form 10-K.
Form 10-K.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
We maintain disclosure controls and procedures designed to provide reasonable assurance that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
Our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Exchange Act) as of September 30, 2021, pursuant to Rule 15d-15(b) under the Exchange Act. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that, as of September 30, 2021, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective to provide reasonable assurance that the information required to be disclosed by us in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
During the three-month period ended September 30, 2021, there has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
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PART II—OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
We are routinely involved in a number of legal actions and proceedings, including reviews, audits and inquiries by various regulatory entities, as well as litigation and other disputes arising in the ordinary course of our business. See Note 13 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding legal and regulatory matters and proceedings.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
Except as provided below, there have been no material changes to our risk factors from those previously disclosed in our 2020 Form 10-K.
Changes in the charters, business practices, or role of the GSEs in the U.S. housing market generally, could significantly impact our businesses.
Our current business model is highly dependent on the GSEs as the GSEs are the primary beneficiaries of most of our mortgage insurance policies. Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, which can be implemented by the GSEs acting independently or through their conservator, the FHFA, could negatively impact our businesses and financial performance. Examples of potential changes that could impact our business, may include, without limitation:
■eligibility requirements for a mortgage insurer to become and remain an approved eligible insurer for the GSEs;
■underwriting standards on mortgages they purchase;
■policies or requirements that may result in a reduction in the number of mortgages they acquire;
■the national conforming loan limit for mortgages they acquire;
■the level of mortgage insurance required;
■the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage may be canceled before reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law;
■the terms required to be included in master policies for the mortgage insurance policies they acquire, including limitations on our ability to mitigate losses on insured mortgages that are in default;
■the amount of loan level price adjustments or guarantee fees, which often result in a higher cost to borrowers, that the GSEs charge on loans that require mortgage insurance; and
■the degree of influence that the GSEs have over a mortgage lender’s selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage.
In addition, the GSEs’ business practices have changed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, with the primary objectives of supporting borrowers impacted by the pandemic and protecting the ongoing functioning of the housing finance system. The significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing markets and the housing finance system is wide-ranging and unprecedented in scope. As the situation continues to evolve, the actions or potential inactions of the FHFA and GSEs in response to COVID-19 may continue to have a significant impact on the overall functioning of the housing finance system. Because traditional mortgage insurance is an important component of this system and because our businesses depend on the health of the housing finance system and housing markets in particular, these actions have impacted, and may continue to impact our business operations and performance.
The structure of the residential housing finance system could be altered in the future, including as a result of comprehensive housing reform legislation. Since the FHFA was appointed as conservator of the GSEs, there has been a wide range of legislative proposals to reform the U.S. housing finance market, including proposals for GSE reform ranging from nearly complete privatization and elimination of the role of the GSEs to a system that combines a federal role with private capital. In conjunction with these proposals, there has been ongoing debate about the roles that the federal government and private capital should play in the housing finance system. To the extent new legislative action alters the existing GSE charters without explicit preservation of the role of private mortgage insurance for high-LTV loans, our business could be adversely affected. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—Housing Finance Reform and the GSEs’ Business Practices” in the Company’s 2020 Form 10-K for a discussion of the future of housing finance in the U.S., including potential objectives for future reform.
In December 2020, the FHFA finalized the ERCF, which establishes new increased capital requirements for the GSEs, and the FHFA also has proposed new liquidity requirements for the GSEs that remain subject to public comment. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—Housing Finance Reform and the GSEs’ Business Practices” in the Company’s
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2020 Form 10-K for further information about the specific requirements established by the ERCF and the proposed new liquidity requirements. Taken together, compliance with the increased capital requirements imposed by the ERCF and the proposed new GSE liquidity requirements could significantly alter the business practices and operations of the GSEs, including potentially resulting in an increase in GSE pricing and a decrease in their use of credit risk transfer. An increase in GSE pricing could make alternatives to the GSEs such as FHA insured loans or the private securitization market more attractive, which could reduce the GSEs’ market position and reduce the number of loans available for private mortgage insurance. In September 2021, the FHFA proposed amendments to the ERCF that would, among other things, significantly reduce the amount of capital the GSEs are required to hold compared to version of the ERCF finalized in December 2020, including by increasing the capital credit the GSEs receive for the credit risk that they distribute. It is uncertain if and when these proposed amendments may be incorporated into the ERCF and the form that they may take. Further, the GSEs may seek to amend the PMIERs financial requirements in the future, including potentially to align with the ERCF and the GSE liquidity requirements, once finalized. It remains uncertain if, when and how the PMIERs ultimately may be amended, however, changes to the PMIERs to align with the ERCF could include: (i) an increase in the level of Radian Guaranty’s required capital and (ii) a decrease in the amount of PMIERs’ capital relief that Radian Guaranty receives for existing or future reinsurance or insurance-linked notes transactions.
The GSEs have in the past and may in the future pursue new products and activities in pursuit of their business strategies, including credit risk transfer transactions and structures that compete with private mortgage insurance. In 2018, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae launched pilot programs, IMAGIN and EPMI, respectively, as alternative ways for lenders to obtain credit enhancement and sell loans with LTVs greater than 80% to the GSEs. These programs were discontinued in 2021, but could be relaunched in the future. If these programs or any future credit risk transfer transactions and structures were to materially displace primary loan level or standard levels of mortgage insurance, the amount of mortgage insurance we write may be reduced, which could negatively impact our franchise value, results of operations and financial condition. The FHFA previously released for comment a proposed rule regarding the process for how it will consider and approve new GSE activities and products; however, this proposed rule has not been finalized. In addition, the proposed rule is intended to apply to any future pilot programs, and therefore, it is not certain whether the same standards and procedures proposed in the new rule also would apply to existing pilots such as IMAGIN and EPMI. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—Housing Finance Reform and the GSEs’ Business Practices” in the Company’s 2020 Form 10-K for further discussion of IMAGIN and EPMI and additional information about the proposed rule discussed above.
Following a change in leadership at the FHFA in June 2021, the FHFA and the GSEs have taken actions that represent a reversal of the previous FHFA leadership’s primary focus on preparing the GSEs to exit from conservatorship by increasing the GSEs’ overall capital levels and reducing their credit risk profile. In contrast, under its new leadership, the FHFA has been focused on increasing the accessibility and affordability of mortgage credit, in particular to low-and-moderate income borrowers and underserved communities.
The GSEs may in the future pursue new products and activities, or alter existing policies and practices in furtherance of these policy objectives. The U.S. mortgage insurance industry (including Radian Guaranty) has been invited to commence a dialogue with one of the GSEs to discuss the strategic goals of equitable, affordable, and sustainable housing. Depending on the outcome of such dialogue, one or both of the GSEs, together or in conjunction with one or more private mortgage insurers, could implement further initiatives in pursuit of housing policy objectives that could require changes to the GSEs’ business practices, including in ways that could negatively impact the results of operations or financial condition of Radian Guaranty.
Although we believe that traditional private mortgage insurance will continue to play an important role in any future housing finance structure, developments in the practices of the GSEs, including potentially new federal legislation, changes to existing statutes, rules or regulations, or interpretations of existing statutes, rules or regulations that reduce the level of private mortgage insurance coverage used by the GSEs as credit enhancement, or even eliminate the requirement, may diminish the franchise value of our mortgage insurance business and materially and adversely affect our business prospects, results of operations and financial condition.
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Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
Issuance of Unregistered Securities
During the three months ended September 30, 2021, no equity securities of Radian Group were sold that were not registered under the Securities Act.
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
The following table provides information about purchases of Radian Group common stock by us (and our affiliated purchasers) during the three months ended September 30, 2021.
Share repurchase program | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) | Total Number of Shares Purchased (1) | Average Price Paid per Share | Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (2) | Approximate Dollar Value of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under the Plans or Programs (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Period: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7/1/2021 to 7/31/2021 | 2,813,347 | $ | 21.86 | 2,808,658 | $ | 38,876 | ||||||||||||||||||||
8/1/2021 to 8/31/2021 | 1,322,782 | 23.57 | 1,322,499 | 207,727 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9/1/2021 to 9/30/2021 | 2,923,358 | 22.48 | 2,923,358 | 142,042 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 7,059,487 | 7,054,515 |
(1)Includes 4,972 shares tendered by employees as payment of taxes withheld on the vesting of certain restricted stock awards granted under the Company’s equity compensation plans.
(2)On August 14, 2019, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the Company to spend up to $200 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock. Since then, Radian Group’s board of directors has authorized several increases to the program along with extensions of the program’s expiration date. Most recently, in August 2021, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a $200 million increase to this program, bringing the cumulative authorization to repurchase shares up to $675 million, excluding commissions, and extended the expiration of this program to August 31, 2022. During the three months ended September 30, 2021, the Company purchased 7.1 million shares at an average price of $22.44, including commissions, under this share repurchase program which expires on August 31, 2021. See Note 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase program.
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Item 6. Exhibits
Exhibit Number | Exhibit | |||||||
*31 | ||||||||
**32 | ||||||||
*101.INS | Inline XBRL Instance Document - the instance document does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document. | |||||||
*101.SCH | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document | |||||||
*101.CAL | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document | |||||||
*101.DEF | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document | |||||||
*101.LAB | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document | |||||||
*101.PRE | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document | |||||||
*104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL and contained in Exhibit 101.INS) |
* Filed herewith.
** Furnished herewith.
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Signatures
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||
Date: | November 5, 2021 | /s/ J. FRANKLIN HALL | ||||||
J. Franklin Hall | ||||||||
Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer | ||||||||
/s/ ROBERT J. QUIGLEY | ||||||||
Robert J. Quigley | ||||||||
Executive Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer |
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