RADIAN GROUP INC - Quarter Report: 2023 September (Form 10-Q)
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
_____________________________
FORM 10-Q
_____________________________
(Mark One)
☒ | QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2023
OR
☐ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission File Number 1-11356
_______________________________
Radian Group Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
_______________________________
Delaware | 23-2691170 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
550 East Swedesford Road, Suite 350, Wayne, PA 19087
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
(215) 231-1000
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class | Trading Symbol(s) | Name of each exchange on which registered | ||||||
Common Stock, $0.001 par value per share | RDN | New York Stock Exchange |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large Accelerated Filer | ☒ | Accelerated filer | ☐ | Non-accelerated filer | ☐ | Smaller reporting company | ☐ | Emerging growth company | ☐ |
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ☐ No ☒
APPLICABLE ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 153,160,338 shares of common stock, $0.001 par value per share, outstanding on November 1, 2023.
Table of Contents
Page | ||||||||
PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION | ||||||||
Item 1 | ||||||||
Item 2 | ||||||||
Item 3 | ||||||||
Item 4 | ||||||||
PART II—OTHER INFORMATION | ||||||||
Item 1 | ||||||||
Item 1A | ||||||||
Item 2 | ||||||||
Item 5 | ||||||||
Item 6 | ||||||||
2
Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms for Selected References
The following list defines various abbreviations and acronyms used throughout this report, including the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
A number of cross-references to additional information included throughout this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 (“2022 Form 10-K”) are also utilized throughout this report, to assist readers seeking additional information related to a particular subject.
Term | Definition | ||||
2012 QSR Agreements | Collectively, the quota share reinsurance agreements entered into with a third-party reinsurance provider in the second and fourth quarters of 2012 to cede on a combined basis a portion of NIW originated between the fourth quarter of 2011 and the fourth quarter of 2014 | ||||
2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in the first quarter of 2016 and subsequently amended in the fourth quarter of 2017 to cede a portion of Single Premium NIW originated between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2017 | ||||
2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in October 2017 to cede a portion of Single Premium NIW originated between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019 | ||||
2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance agreement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers in January 2020 to cede a portion of Single Premium NIW originated between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021 | ||||
2022 QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance arrangement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers to cede, starting July 1, 2022, a portion of NIW, which includes both Recurring Premium Policies and Single Premium Policies, originated between January 1, 2022, and June 30, 2023 | ||||
2023 QSR Agreement | Quota share reinsurance arrangement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers to cede, starting July 1, 2023, a portion of NIW, which includes both Recurring Premium Policies and Single Premium Policies, originated between July 1, 2023, and June 30, 2024 | ||||
2023 XOL Agreement | Excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangement entered into with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers to provide excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for a portion of the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies originated between October 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022 | ||||
ABS | Asset-backed securities | ||||
All Other | Radian’s non-reportable operating segments and other business activities, including: (i) income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; and (iii) certain investments in new business opportunities, including activities and investments associated with Radian Mortgage Capital, and other immaterial activities | ||||
ASU | Accounting Standards Update, issued by the FASB to communicate changes to GAAP | ||||
Available Assets | As defined in the PMIERs, assets primarily including the most liquid assets of a mortgage insurer, and reduced by, among other items, premiums received but not yet earned and reinsurance funds withheld | ||||
BMO Master Repurchase Agreement | Uncommitted Master Repurchase Agreement, effective September 28, 2022, and as amended to date, between Bank of Montreal, a Canadian Chartered bank acting through its Chicago Branch, and Radian Mortgage Capital to finance Radian Mortgage Capital’s acquisition of mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. The termination date of the BMO Master Repurchase Agreement is currently September 25, 2024. | ||||
Claim Denial | Our legal right, under certain conditions, to deny a claim | ||||
CLO | Collateralized loan obligations | ||||
CMBS | Commercial mortgage-backed securities | ||||
COVID-19 | The coronavirus disease declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in March 2020 | ||||
Cures | Loans that were in default as of the beginning of a period and are no longer in default primarily because payments were received such that the loan is no longer 60 or more days past due | ||||
Default to Claim Rate | The percentage of defaulted loans that are assumed to result in a claim |
3
Term | Definition | ||||
Demotech | Demotech, Inc. | ||||
Disaster Related Capital Charge | Under the PMIERs, multiplier of 0.30 applied to the required asset amount factor for each non-performing loan: (i) backed by a property located in a FEMA Designated Area and (ii) either subject to a certain forbearance plan or with an initial default date occurring within a certain timeframe | ||||
Eagle Re Issuer(s) | A group of unaffiliated special purpose insurers (VIEs) domiciled in Bermuda, comprising Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd., Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. and/or Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd., which provide reinsurance coverage under Radian Guaranty’s Excess-of-Loss Program. The issuers also included Eagle Re 2020-2 Ltd. prior to its termination in September 2022. Effective in October 2023, also includes Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. | ||||
ERCF | Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework, finalized in February 2022, which establishes a new regulatory capital framework for the GSEs | ||||
Excess-of-Loss Program | The credit risk protection obtained by Radian Guaranty in the form of excess-of-loss reinsurance, which indemnifies the ceding company against loss in excess of a specific agreed limit, up to a specified sum. The program includes reinsurance agreements with the Eagle Re Issuers in connection with various issuances of mortgage insurance-linked notes. | ||||
Exchange Act | Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended | ||||
Fannie Mae | Federal National Mortgage Association | ||||
FASB | Financial Accounting Standards Board | ||||
FEMA | Federal Emergency Management Agency, an agency of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security | ||||
FEMA Designated Area | Generally, an area that has been subject to a disaster, designated by FEMA as an individual assistance disaster area for the purpose of determining eligibility for various forms of federal assistance | ||||
FHFA | Federal Housing Finance Agency | ||||
FHLB | Federal Home Loan Bank of Pittsburgh | ||||
FICO | Fair Isaac Corporation (“FICO”) credit scores, for Radian’s portfolio statistics, represent the borrower’s credit score at origination and, in circumstances where there are multiple borrowers, the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores is utilized | ||||
Fitch | Fitch Ratings, Inc. | ||||
Foreclosure Stage Defaulted Loans | Loans in the stage of default in which a foreclosure sale has been scheduled or held | ||||
Freddie Mac | Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation | ||||
GAAP | Generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S., as amended from time to time | ||||
Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement | Uncommitted Master Repurchase Agreement, effective July 15, 2022, and as amended to date, among Goldman Sachs Bank USA, a national banking institution, Radian Liberty Funding LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, and Radian Mortgage Capital to finance the acquisition of mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. The termination date of the Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement is currently September 14, 2024. | ||||
GSE(s) | Government-Sponsored Enterprises (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) | ||||
homegenius | Radian’s business segment that offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents | ||||
IBNR | Losses incurred but not reported | ||||
IIF | Insurance in force, equal to the aggregate unpaid principal balances of the underlying loans | ||||
LAE | Loss adjustment expenses, which include the cost of investigating and adjusting losses and paying claims | ||||
LTV | Loan-to-value ratio, calculated as the ratio of the original loan amount to the original value of the property, expressed as a percentage | ||||
Master Policy | Radian Guaranty’s master insurance policy form(s) setting forth the terms and conditions of our mortgage insurance coverage, which are updated periodically, including in response to requirements issued by the GSEs, and filed in each of the jurisdictions in which we conduct business |
4
Term | Definition | ||||
Master Repurchase Agreements | The Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement and the BMO Master Repurchase Agreement, collectively | ||||
Minimum Required Asset(s) | A risk-based minimum required asset amount, as defined in the PMIERs, calculated based on net RIF (RIF, net of credits permitted for reinsurance) and a variety of measures related to expected credit performance and other factors, including the impact of the Disaster Related Capital Charge | ||||
Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums (or Recurring Premium Policies) | Insurance premiums or policies, respectively, where premiums are paid on a monthly or other installment basis, in contrast to Single Premium Policies | ||||
Monthly Premium Policies | Insurance policies where premiums are paid on a monthly installment basis | ||||
Moody’s | Moody’s Investors Service | ||||
Mortgage | Radian’s mortgage insurance and risk services business segment, which provides credit-related insurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, as well as contract underwriting and other credit risk management solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors | ||||
MPP Requirement | Certain states’ statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirement that the mortgage insurer must maintain a minimum policyholder position, which is calculated based on both risk and surplus levels | ||||
NIW | New insurance written, representing the aggregate original principal amount of the mortgages underlying the Primary Mortgage Insurance | ||||
Parent Guarantees | Two separate parent guaranty agreements, entered into by Radian Group in connection with its mortgage conduit business, to guaranty the obligations of certain of its subsidiaries in connection with the Master Repurchase Agreements | ||||
Persistency Rate | The percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time | ||||
PMIERs | Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements issued by the GSEs under oversight of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and updated by them from time to time to set forth requirements an approved insurer must meet and maintain to provide mortgage guaranty insurance on loans acquired by the GSEs | ||||
PMIERs Cushion | Under PMIERs, Radian Guaranty’s excess of Available Assets over Minimum Required Assets | ||||
Pool Mortgage Insurance | Insurance that provides a lender or investor protection against default on a group or “pool” of mortgages, rather than on an individual mortgage loan basis, generally subject to an aggregate exposure limit, or “stop loss” (usually between 1% and 10%), and/or deductible applied to the initial aggregate loan balance of the entire pool, pursuant to the terms of the applicable insurance agreement | ||||
Primary Mortgage Insurance | Insurance that provides a lender or investor protection against default on an individual mortgage loan basis, at a specified coverage percentage for each loan, pursuant to the terms of the applicable Master Policy | ||||
QSR Program | The Single Premium QSR Program, the 2012 QSR Agreements, the 2022 QSR Agreement and the 2023 QSR Agreement, collectively | ||||
Radian | Radian Group Inc. together with its consolidated subsidiaries | ||||
Radian Group | Radian Group Inc., our insurance holding company | ||||
Radian Guaranty | Radian Guaranty Inc., a Pennsylvania domiciled insurance subsidiary of Radian Group and our approved insurer under the PMIERs, through which we provide mortgage insurance products and services | ||||
Radian Mortgage Capital | Radian Mortgage Capital LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and an indirect subsidiary of Radian Group, is a mortgage conduit formed to acquire residential mortgage loans which Radian Mortgage Capital expects to then distribute into the capital markets through private label securitizations or sell directly to mortgage investors | ||||
Radian Reinsurance | Radian Reinsurance Inc., a former Pennsylvania domiciled insurance company and subsidiary of Radian Group that was merged into Radian Guaranty in December 2022 | ||||
Radian Title Insurance | Radian Title Insurance Inc., an Ohio domiciled insurance company and an indirect subsidiary of Radian Group, through which we offer title insurance and settlement services |
5
Term | Definition | ||||
RBC States | Risk-based capital states, which are those states that currently impose a statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirement | ||||
Rescission | Our legal right, under certain conditions, to unilaterally rescind coverage on our mortgage insurance policies if we determine that a loan did not qualify for insurance | ||||
RIF | Risk in force; for Primary Mortgage Insurance, RIF is equal to the underlying loan unpaid principal balance multiplied by the insurance coverage percentage, whereas for Pool Mortgage Insurance, it represents the remaining exposure under the agreements | ||||
Risk-to-capital | Under certain state regulations, a maximum ratio of net RIF calculated relative to the level of statutory capital | ||||
RMBS | Residential mortgage-backed securities | ||||
RSU | Restricted stock unit | ||||
S&P | Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC | ||||
SAP | Statutory accounting principles and practices, including those required or permitted, if applicable, by the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of our insurance subsidiaries | ||||
SEC | United States Securities and Exchange Commission | ||||
Securities Act | Securities Act of 1933, as amended | ||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | Our 4.500% unsecured senior notes due October 2024 ($450 million original principal amount) | ||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | Our 6.625% unsecured senior notes due March 2025 ($525 million original principal amount) | ||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | Our 4.875% unsecured senior notes due March 2027 ($450 million original principal amount) | ||||
Single Premium NIW | NIW on Single Premium Policies | ||||
Single Premium Policy / Policies | Insurance policies where premiums are paid in a single payment, which includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically shortly after the loans have been originated) | ||||
Single Premium QSR Program | The 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement, the 2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement and the 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement, collectively | ||||
SOFR | Secured Overnight Financing Rate | ||||
Statutory RBC Requirement | Risk-based capital requirement imposed by the RBC States, requiring a minimum surplus level and, in certain states, a minimum ratio of statutory capital relative to the level of risk | ||||
VIE | Variable interest entity |
6
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
—Safe Harbor Provisions
—Safe Harbor Provisions
All statements in this report that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act, Section 21E of the Exchange Act and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “goal,” “contemplate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “project,” “potential,” “continue,” “seek,” “strategy,” “future,” “likely” or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment where new risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and the forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation:
■the health of the U.S. housing market generally and changes in economic conditions that impact the size of the insurable mortgage market, the credit performance of our insured mortgage portfolio and our business prospects, including more recently, changes resulting from inflationary pressures, the higher interest rate environment and the risks of a recession and of higher unemployment rates, as well as other macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties, including potential impacts resulting from geopolitical events;
■changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects;
■Radian Guaranty’s ability to remain eligible under the PMIERs to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
■our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy current and future regulatory requirements;
■changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to, the GSEs or loans purchased by the GSEs, or changes in the requirements for Radian Guaranty to remain an approved insurer to the GSEs, such as changes in the PMIERs or the GSEs’ interpretation and application of the PMIERs or other applicable requirements;
■the effects of the ERCF, which establishes a new regulatory capital framework for the GSEs, and which, as finalized, increases the capital requirements for the GSEs, and among other things, could impact the GSEs’ operations and pricing as well as the size of the insurable mortgage market, and which may form the basis for future changes to the PMIERs to better align with the ERCF;
■changes in the current housing finance system in the United States, including the roles of the Federal Housing Administration (the “FHA”), the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system;
■our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our risk distribution strategy through the capital markets and traditional reinsurance markets, and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our liquidity needs;
■our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including plans and strategies that may require GSE and/or regulatory approvals and licenses, that are subject to complex compliance requirements that we may be unable to satisfy, or that may expose us to new risks, including those that could impact our capital and liquidity positions;
■risks related to the quality of third-party mortgage underwriting and mortgage servicing;
■a decrease in the Persistency Rates of our mortgage insurance on Monthly Premium Policies;
■competition in the private mortgage insurance industry generally, and more specifically: price competition in our mortgage insurance business, including the prevalence of formulaic, granular risk-based pricing methodologies that are less transparent than historical rate-card-based pricing practices; and competition from the FHA and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs as well as from other forms of credit enhancement, such as any potential GSE-sponsored alternatives to traditional mortgage insurance;
■U.S. political conditions and legislative and regulatory activity (or inactivity), including adoption of (or failure to adopt) new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied;
■legal and regulatory claims, assertions, actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures, new or increased reserves or have other effects on our business;
7
■the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations;
■the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downturn or a period of extreme market volatility and economic uncertainty, the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business or to accurately calculate and/or project our Available Assets and Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which could be impacted by, among other things, the size and mix of our IIF, future changes to the PMIERs, the level of defaults in our portfolio, the reported status of defaults in our portfolio (including whether they are subject to mortgage forbearance, a repayment plan or a loan modification trial period), the level of cash flow generated by our insurance operations and our risk distribution strategies;
■volatility in our financial results caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including with respect to our use of derivatives and within our investment portfolio;
■changes in GAAP or SAP rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
■risks associated with investments to grow our existing businesses, or to pursue new lines of business or new products and services, including our ability and related costs to develop, launch and implement new and innovative technologies and digital products and services, whether these products and services receive broad customer acceptance or disrupt existing customer relationships, and additional financial risks related to these investments, including required changes in our investment, financing and hedging strategies, risks associated with our increased use of financial leverage, which could expose us to liquidity risks resulting from changes in the fair values of assets, and the risk that we may fail to achieve forecasted results, which could result in lower or negative earnings contribution and/or impairment charges associated with intangible assets;
■the effectiveness and security of our information technology systems and digital products and services, including the risk that these systems, products or services fail to operate as expected or planned or expose us to cybersecurity or third-party risks, including due to malware, unauthorized access, cyberattack, ransomware or other similar events;
■our ability to attract and retain key employees;
■the amount of dividends, if any, that our insurance subsidiaries may distribute to us, which under applicable regulatory requirements is based primarily on the financial performance of our insurance subsidiaries, and therefore, may be impacted by general economic, competitive and other factors, many of which are beyond our control; and
■the ability of our operating subsidiaries to distribute amounts to us under our internal tax- and expense-sharing arrangements, which for our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulatory review and could be terminated at the discretion of such regulators.
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in this report and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K, and to subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the SEC. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this report. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.
8
PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)
INDEX TO ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS | Page | ||||
Quarterly Financial Statements | |||||
Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements | |||||
9
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Assets | ||||||||||||||
Investments (Notes 5 and 6) | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale—at fair value (amortized cost of $5,683,372 and $5,587,261) | $ | 5,037,747 | $ | 5,017,711 | ||||||||||
Trading securities—at fair value (amortized cost of $110,676 and $122,472) | 99,769 | 115,665 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities—at fair value (cost of $113,248 and $162,899) | 108,911 | 148,965 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale—at fair value | 138,289 | 3,549 | ||||||||||||
Other invested assets—at fair value | 8,492 | 5,511 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments—at fair value (includes $119,197 and $99,735 of reinvested cash collateral held under securities lending agreements) | 492,444 | 402,090 | ||||||||||||
Total investments | 5,885,652 | 5,693,491 | ||||||||||||
Cash | 55,489 | 56,183 | ||||||||||||
Restricted cash | 1,305 | 377 | ||||||||||||
Accrued investment income | 45,623 | 40,093 | ||||||||||||
Accounts and notes receivable | 144,614 | 119,834 | ||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverables (includes $68 and $18 for paid losses) | 24,148 | 25,633 | ||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 18,817 | 18,460 | ||||||||||||
Property and equipment, net | 74,558 | 70,981 | ||||||||||||
Goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, net (Note 7) | 11,173 | 15,285 | ||||||||||||
Prepaid federal income taxes (Note 10) | 696,820 | 596,368 | ||||||||||||
Other assets (Note 9) | 420,483 | 427,024 | ||||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 7,378,682 | $ | 7,063,729 | ||||||||||
Liabilities and stockholders’ equity | ||||||||||||||
Liabilities | ||||||||||||||
Unearned premiums | $ | 236,400 | $ | 271,479 | ||||||||||
Reserve for losses and LAE (Note 11) | 367,568 | 426,843 | ||||||||||||
Senior notes (Note 12) | 1,416,687 | 1,413,504 | ||||||||||||
Secured borrowings (Note 12) | 241,753 | 155,822 | ||||||||||||
Reinsurance funds withheld | 156,114 | 152,067 | ||||||||||||
Net deferred tax liability | 497,560 | 391,083 | ||||||||||||
Other liabilities | 309,701 | 333,604 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities | 3,225,783 | 3,144,402 | ||||||||||||
Commitments and contingencies (Note 13) | ||||||||||||||
Stockholders’ equity | ||||||||||||||
Common stock ($0.001 par value; 485,000 shares authorized; 2023: 175,636 and 155,582 shares issued and outstanding, respectively; 2022: 176,509 and 157,056 shares issued and outstanding, respectively) | 175 | 176 | ||||||||||||
Treasury stock, at cost (2023: 20,054 shares; 2022: 19,453 shares) | (945,504) | (930,643) | ||||||||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 1,482,712 | 1,519,641 | ||||||||||||
Retained earnings | 4,136,598 | 3,786,952 | ||||||||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (Note 15) | (521,082) | (456,799) | ||||||||||||
Total stockholders’ equity | 4,152,899 | 3,919,327 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | $ | 7,378,682 | $ | 7,063,729 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
10
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned (Note 8) | $ | 240,262 | $ | 240,222 | $ | 686,929 | $ | 748,304 | ||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue (Note 4) | 10,892 | 20,146 | 33,673 | 76,775 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 68,825 | 51,414 | 192,228 | 136,567 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (includes net realized gains (losses) on investments of $(2,874), $(4,139), $(11,730) and $(8,454)) (Note 6) | (8,555) | (16,252) | (3,206) | (87,578) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other income | 2,109 | 659 | 4,942 | 1,934 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 313,533 | 296,189 | 914,566 | 876,002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | (8,135) | (96,964) | (46,696) | (294,640) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 6,920 | 5,442 | 18,431 | 17,987 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 8,886 | 18,717 | 29,541 | 66,230 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 79,206 | 91,327 | 252,360 | 271,363 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 24,302 | 21,183 | 69,148 | 62,860 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | 1,371 | 1,023 | 4,112 | 2,721 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 112,550 | 40,728 | 326,896 | 126,521 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Pretax income | 200,983 | 255,461 | 587,670 | 749,481 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax provision | 44,401 | 57,181 | 127,244 | 168,877 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 156,582 | $ | 198,280 | $ | 460,426 | $ | 580,604 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.99 | $ | 1.22 | $ | 2.90 | $ | 3.39 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.98 | $ | 1.20 | $ | 2.86 | $ | 3.34 | ||||||||||||||||||
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding—basic | 158,461 | 162,506 | 158,992 | 171,116 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Weighted average number of common and common equivalent shares outstanding—diluted | 160,147 | 164,738 | 160,869 | 173,618 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
11
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 156,582 | $ | 198,280 | $ | 460,426 | $ | 580,604 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax (Note 15) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected losses has not been recognized | (99,603) | (176,391) | (74,874) | (630,348) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | (2,207) | (3,281) | (10,412) | (7,956) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments | (97,396) | (173,110) | (64,462) | (622,392) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other adjustments to comprehensive income (loss), net | — | — | 179 | 84 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax | (97,396) | (173,110) | (64,283) | (622,308) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income (loss) | $ | 59,186 | $ | 25,170 | $ | 396,143 | $ | (41,704) |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
12
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Common Stockholders’ Equity (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Common Stockholders’ Equity (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | $ | 177 | $ | 186 | $ | 176 | $ | 194 | ||||||||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock under incentive and benefit plans | — | — | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares repurchased under share repurchase program (Note 14) | (2) | (10) | (3) | (20) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 175 | 176 | 175 | 176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | (945,032) | (930,284) | (930,643) | (920,798) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Repurchases of common stock under incentive plans | (472) | (112) | (14,861) | (9,598) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | (945,504) | (930,396) | (945,504) | (930,396) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Additional paid-in capital | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | 1,522,895 | 1,698,490 | 1,519,641 | 1,878,372 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock under incentive and benefit plans | 1,094 | 1,525 | 3,951 | 3,163 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | 9,159 | 7,714 | 29,564 | 31,280 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares repurchased under share repurchase program (Note 14) | (50,436) | (194,114) | (70,444) | (399,200) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 1,482,712 | 1,513,615 | 1,482,712 | 1,513,615 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained earnings | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | 4,016,482 | 3,491,675 | 3,786,952 | 3,180,935 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | 156,582 | 198,280 | 460,426 | 580,604 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividends and dividend equivalents declared | (36,466) | (33,085) | (110,780) | (104,669) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | 4,136,598 | 3,656,870 | 4,136,598 | 3,656,870 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | (423,686) | (329,105) | (456,799) | 120,093 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments, net of tax | (97,396) | (173,110) | (64,462) | (622,392) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other adjustments to other comprehensive income (loss) | — | — | 179 | 84 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | (521,082) | (502,215) | (521,082) | (502,215) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total stockholders’ equity | $ | 4,152,899 | $ | 3,738,050 | $ | 4,152,899 | $ | 3,738,050 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
13
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||
Cash flows from operating activities | ||||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities | $ | 264,476 | $ | 282,148 | ||||||||||
Cash flows from investing activities | ||||||||||||||
Proceeds from sales of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | 266,206 | 395,976 | ||||||||||||
Trading securities | 9,123 | 8,829 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities | 46,136 | 7,645 | ||||||||||||
Proceeds from redemptions of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | 384,262 | 663,255 | ||||||||||||
Trading securities | 1,538 | 78,462 | ||||||||||||
Purchases of: | ||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | (796,087) | (1,238,636) | ||||||||||||
Equity securities | (5,711) | (23,225) | ||||||||||||
Sales, redemptions and (purchases) of: | ||||||||||||||
Short-term investments, net | (77,572) | 168,933 | ||||||||||||
Other assets and other invested assets, net | (2,945) | (534) | ||||||||||||
Additions to property and equipment | (14,395) | (12,149) | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | (189,445) | 48,556 | ||||||||||||
Cash flows from financing activities | ||||||||||||||
Dividends and dividend equivalents paid | (111,029) | (103,721) | ||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock | 1,533 | 1,118 | ||||||||||||
Repurchases of common stock | (70,028) | (387,111) | ||||||||||||
Credit facility commitment fees paid | (666) | (574) | ||||||||||||
Change in secured borrowings, net (with terms three months or less) | 17,312 | 60,204 | ||||||||||||
Proceeds from secured borrowings (with terms greater than three months) | 175,366 | 26,568 | ||||||||||||
Repayments of secured borrowings (with terms greater than three months) | (87,285) | (24,000) | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | (74,797) | (427,516) | ||||||||||||
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash | 234 | (96,812) | ||||||||||||
Cash and restricted cash, beginning of period | 56,560 | 152,620 | ||||||||||||
Cash and restricted cash, end of period | $ | 56,794 | $ | 55,808 |
See Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
14
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
1. Description of Business
We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business, providing both credit-related mortgage insurance coverage and an array of other mortgage, risk, title, real estate and real estate technology products and services. We have two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius.
Mortgage
Our Mortgage segment provides credit-related insurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, as well as contract underwriting and other credit risk management solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors. We provide our mortgage insurance products and services mainly through our wholly owned subsidiary, Radian Guaranty.
Private mortgage insurance plays an important role in the U.S. housing finance system because it promotes affordable home ownership and helps protect mortgage lenders and mortgage investors, as well as other beneficiaries such as the GSEs, by mitigating default-related losses on residential mortgage loans. Generally, these loans are made to home buyers who make down payments of less than 20% of the purchase price for their home or, in the case of refinancings, have less than 20% equity in their home. Private mortgage insurance also facilitates the sale of these low down payment loans in the secondary mortgage market, almost all of which are currently sold to the GSEs.
Our total direct primary mortgage IIF and RIF were $269.5 billion and $69.3 billion, respectively, as of September 30, 2023, compared to $261.0 billion and $66.1 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2022.
The GSEs and state insurance regulators impose various capital and financial requirements on our mortgage insurance subsidiaries. These include the PMIERs financial requirements, as well as Risk-to-capital and other risk-based capital measures and surplus requirements. Failure to comply with these capital and financial requirements may limit the amount of insurance that our mortgage insurance subsidiaries write, or may prohibit them from writing insurance altogether. The GSEs and state insurance regulators possess significant discretion with respect to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries and all aspects of their business. See Note 16 for additional information on PMIERs and other regulatory information.
homegenius
Our homegenius segment is primarily a fee-for-service business that offers an array of products and services to market participants across the real estate value chain. Our homegenius products and services include title, real estate and real estate technology products and services offered primarily to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents. These products and services help lenders, investors, consumers and real estate agents evaluate, manage, monitor, acquire and sell properties. They include software-as-a-service solutions and platforms, as well as other services, such as real estate owned asset management, single-family rental services and real estate valuation services. In addition, we provide title insurance and non-insurance title, closing and settlement services to mortgage lenders, GSEs and mortgage investors, as well as directly to consumers for residential mortgage loans.
See Note 4 for additional information about our reportable segments and All Other business activities.
Risks and Uncertainties
In assessing the Company’s current financial condition and developing forecasts of future operations, management has made significant judgments and estimates with respect to potential factors impacting our financial and liquidity position. These judgments and estimates are subject to risks and uncertainties that could affect amounts reported in our financial statements in future periods and that could cause actual results to be materially different from our estimates, including as a result of macroeconomic stresses such as inflation, slower economic growth and higher levels of unemployment.
2. Significant Accounting Policies
Basis of Presentation
Our condensed consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP and include the accounts of Radian Group and its subsidiaries. All intercompany accounts and transactions, and intercompany profits and losses, have been eliminated. Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation. We have condensed or omitted certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP pursuant to the instructions set forth in Article 10 of Regulation S-X of the SEC.
We generally refer to our insurance holding company alone, without its consolidated subsidiaries, as “Radian Group.” We refer to Radian Group together with its consolidated subsidiaries as “Radian,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our,” unless the
15
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
context requires otherwise. Unless otherwise defined in this report, certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.
The financial information presented for interim periods is unaudited; however, such information reflects all adjustments that are, in the opinion of management, necessary for the fair statement of the financial position, results of operations, comprehensive income (loss) and cash flows for the interim periods presented. Such adjustments are of a normal recurring nature. The year-end condensed consolidated balance sheet data was derived from our audited financial statements, but does not include all disclosures required by GAAP.
To fully understand the basis of presentation, these interim financial statements and related notes contained herein should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements and notes thereto included in our 2022 Form 10-K. The results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period.
Use of Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of our contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements, as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. While the amounts included in our condensed consolidated financial statements include our best estimates and assumptions, actual results may vary materially.
Other Significant Accounting Policies
See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for information regarding other significant accounting policies. There have been no significant changes in our significant accounting policies from those discussed in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
Accounting Standards Adopted During 2023
In August 2018, the FASB issued ASU 2018-12, Financial Services—Insurance—Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts. The new standard: (i) requires that assumptions used to measure the liability for future policy benefits be reviewed at least annually; (ii) defines and simplifies the measurement of market risk benefits; (iii) simplifies the amortization of deferred acquisition costs; and (iv) enhances the required disclosures about long-duration contracts. This update is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2022, including interim periods within those fiscal years. The adoption of this update on January 1, 2023, did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
Accounting Standards Not Yet Adopted
In March 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-04, Reference Rate Reform—Facilitation of the Effects of Reference Reform on Financial Reporting. This guidance provides optional expedients and exceptions for applying GAAP requirements to investments, derivatives, or other transactions affected by reference rate reform such as those that impact the assessment of contract modifications. In December 2022, the FASB issued ASU 2022-06, Reference Rate Reform—Deferral of the Sunset Date of Topic 848, which extends the period of time that preparers can utilize the reference rate reform relief guidance. The prospective adoption of this update on July 1, 2023, did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements or disclosures.
In October 2023, the FASB issued ASU 2023-06, Disclosure Improvements—Codification Amendments in Response to the SEC’s Disclosure Update and Simplification Initiative. The amendments in this update modify disclosure and presentation requirements related to various topics and align codification with the SEC’s regulations. The effective date for each amendment will be the date on which the SEC’s removal of that related disclosure from Regulation S-X or Regulation S-K becomes effective. If by June 30, 2027, the SEC has not removed the applicable requirements, the pending content will be removed and not become effective. Early adoption is prohibited. We are currently evaluating the impact the new accounting guidance will have on our financial statements and disclosures.
3. Net Income Per Share
Basic net income per share is computed by dividing net income by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding, while diluted net income per share is computed by dividing net income attributable to common stockholders by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and the weighted average number of dilutive potential common shares. Dilutive potential common shares relate to our share-based compensation arrangements.
16
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The calculation of basic and diluted net income per share is as follows.
Net income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income—basic and diluted | $ | 156,582 | $ | 198,280 | $ | 460,426 | $ | 580,604 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average common shares outstanding—basic | 158,461 | 162,506 | 158,992 | 171,116 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dilutive effect of share-based compensation arrangements (1) | 1,686 | 2,232 | 1,877 | 2,502 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted | 160,147 | 164,738 | 160,869 | 173,618 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.99 | $ | 1.22 | $ | 2.90 | $ | 3.39 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.98 | $ | 1.20 | $ | 2.86 | $ | 3.34 |
(1)The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our share-based compensation arrangements are not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because their effect would be anti-dilutive.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares of common stock equivalents | — | — | 100 | — |
4. Segment Reporting
We have two strategic business units that we manage separately—Mortgage and homegenius. Our Mortgage segment derives its revenue from mortgage insurance and other mortgage and risk services, including contract underwriting solutions provided to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors. Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.
In addition, we report as All Other activities that include: (i) income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group, our holding company; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; and (iii) certain investments in new business opportunities, including activities and investments associated with Radian Mortgage Capital, and other immaterial activities.
We allocate corporate operating expenses to both reportable segments based primarily on each segment’s forecasted annual percentage of total revenue, which approximates the estimated percentage of management time spent on each segment. In addition, we allocate all corporate interest expense to our Mortgage segment, due to the capital-intensive nature of our mortgage insurance business. We do not manage assets by segment.
See Note 1 for additional details about our Mortgage and homegenius businesses.
Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss)
Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of Radian’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income (loss), including the reasons for their treatment.
Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss).
17
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The reconciliation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our reportable segments to consolidated pretax income is as follows.
Reconciliation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) by segment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | $ | 218,601 | $ | 295,675 | $ | 630,786 | $ | 890,036 | ||||||||||||||||||
homegenius | (20,932) | (25,536) | (68,394) | (56,732) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total adjusted pretax operating income for reportable segments (1) | 197,669 | 270,139 | 562,392 | 833,304 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
All Other adjusted pretax operating income | 12,786 | 2,581 | 32,301 | 6,397 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (2) | (8,838) | (16,252) | (3,664) | (87,578) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | (1,371) | (1,023) | (4,112) | (2,721) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | 737 | 16 | 753 | 79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated pretax income | $ | 200,983 | $ | 255,461 | $ | 587,670 | $ | 749,481 |
(1)Includes allocated corporate operating expenses and depreciation expense as follows.
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (a) | $ | 31,744 | $ | 32,457 | $ | 103,654 | $ | 101,903 | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct depreciation expense | 1,995 | 2,234 | 6,164 | 6,803 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
homegenius | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated corporate operating expenses (a) | $ | 4,241 | $ | 5,555 | $ | 13,853 | $ | 16,554 | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct depreciation expense | 704 | 646 | 1,912 | 1,932 |
(a)Includes immaterial allocated depreciation expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022.
(2)Excludes certain net gains (losses), if any, on investments and other financial instruments that are attributable to specific operating segments and therefore included in adjusted pretax operating income (loss).
Revenues
The reconciliation of revenues for our reportable segments to consolidated revenues is as follows.
Reconciliation of revenues by segment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | $ | 288,649 | $ | 281,033 | $ | 829,336 | $ | 855,262 | ||||||||||||||||||
homegenius (1) | 14,707 | 25,083 | 42,474 | 91,338 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues for reportable segments | 303,356 | 306,116 | 871,810 | 946,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
All Other revenues | 18,249 | 6,396 | 45,857 | 17,218 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | (8,838) | (16,252) | (3,664) | (87,578) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating revenue | 868 | — | 868 | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Elimination of inter-segment revenues | (102) | (71) | (305) | (238) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | $ | 313,533 | $ | 296,189 | $ | 914,566 | $ | 876,002 |
(1)Includes immaterial inter-segment revenues for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022.
18
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The table below, which represents total services revenue on our condensed consolidated statements of operations for the periods indicated, represents the disaggregation of services revenue by revenue type.
Services revenue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
homegenius | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Real estate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Valuation | $ | 4,024 | $ | 7,634 | $ | 12,141 | $ | 26,687 | ||||||||||||||||||
Single family rental | 1,529 | 5,430 | 5,583 | 20,887 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset management technology platform | 1,199 | 1,134 | 3,574 | 3,740 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Real estate owned asset management | 887 | 750 | 2,687 | 2,302 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other real estate services | 26 | 78 | 27 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Title | 2,964 | 4,714 | 8,751 | 16,012 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Real estate technology | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Real estate technology services | (3) | 2 | 24 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | 266 | 404 | 886 | 7,062 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total services revenue | $ | 10,892 | $ | 20,146 | $ | 33,673 | $ | 76,775 |
Revenue recognized related to services made available to customers and billed is reflected in accounts and notes receivable. Accounts and notes receivable include $8 million and $12 million as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, related to services revenue contracts. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policies and the services we offer.
5. Fair Value of Financial Instruments
For discussion of our valuation methodologies for assets and liabilities measured at fair value and the fair value hierarchy, see Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
The following tables include a list of assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value by hierarchy level as of the dates indicated.
Assets and liabilities carried at fair value by hierarchy level | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Level I | Level II | Level III | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 125,053 | $ | 10,125 | $ | — | $ | 135,178 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 133,569 | — | 133,569 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 2,379,958 | — | 2,379,958 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 959,210 | — | 959,210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 560,352 | — | 560,352 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | — | 493,677 | — | 493,677 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 320,088 | — | 320,088 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | — | 5,033 | — | 5,033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | — | 50,682 | — | 50,682 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | 125,053 | 4,912,694 | — | 5,037,747 |
19
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Assets and liabilities carried at fair value by hierarchy level | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Level I | Level II | Level III | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 66,554 | — | 66,554 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 22,798 | — | 22,798 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 5,883 | — | 5,883 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 4,534 | — | 4,534 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total trading securities | — | 99,769 | — | 99,769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 100,194 | 6,217 | 2,500 | 108,911 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale (2) | — | 138,289 | — | 138,289 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other invested assets (3) | — | — | 7,016 | 7,016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | 7,727 | — | — | 7,727 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 2,500 | — | 2,500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Money market instruments | 262,506 | — | — | 262,506 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 104,899 | — | 104,899 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 1,620 | — | 1,620 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 1,336 | — | 1,336 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 7,069 | — | 7,069 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (4) | — | 104,787 | — | 104,787 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total short-term investments | 270,233 | 222,211 | — | 492,444 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total investments at fair value (3) | 495,480 | 5,379,180 | 9,516 | 5,884,176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Derivative assets (5) | — | 2,426 | 137 | 2,563 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Loaned securities (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 79,016 | — | 79,016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 70,525 | — | — | 70,525 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value (3) | $ | 566,005 | $ | 5,460,622 | $ | 9,653 | $ | 6,036,280 | ||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities (5) | $ | — | $ | 15 | $ | 562 | $ | 577 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities at fair value | $ | — | $ | 15 | $ | 562 | $ | 577 |
(1)Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information.
(2)We elected the fair value option for our mortgage loans held for sale to mitigate income statement volatility and allow for consistent treatment of both loans and any associated hedges or derivatives. See Note 6 for more information about our mortgage loans held for sale.
(3)Does not include other invested assets of $1.5 million that are primarily invested in limited partnership investments valued using the net asset value as a practical expedient.
(4)Comprises short-term certificates of deposit and commercial paper.
(5)Level III derivative assets and liabilities consist of embedded derivatives related to our Excess-of-Loss Program, which are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 8 for more information.
(6)Securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 for more information.
20
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Assets and liabilities carried at fair value by hierarchy level | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Level I | Level II | Level III | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 140,011 | $ | 5,431 | $ | — | $ | 145,442 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 142,386 | — | 142,386 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 2,490,582 | — | 2,490,582 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 928,399 | — | 928,399 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 593,357 | — | 593,357 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | — | 498,192 | — | 498,192 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | — | 161,359 | — | 161,359 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | — | 4,975 | — | 4,975 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | — | 53,019 | — | 53,019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | 140,011 | 4,877,700 | — | 5,017,711 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 70,511 | — | 70,511 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 32,827 | — | 32,827 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | — | 6,847 | — | 6,847 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | — | 5,480 | — | 5,480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total trading securities | — | 115,665 | — | 115,665 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 138,716 | 7,749 | 2,500 | 148,965 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale | — | 3,549 | — | 3,549 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other invested assets (2) | — | — | 4,296 | 4,296 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | — | 2,785 | — | 2,785 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Money market instruments | 241,440 | — | — | 241,440 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 42,385 | — | 42,385 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (3) | — | 115,480 | — | 115,480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total short-term investments | 241,440 | 160,650 | — | 402,090 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total investments at fair value (2) | 520,167 | 5,165,313 | 6,796 | 5,692,276 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Derivative assets | — | 11 | — | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Loaned securities (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | — | 47,585 | — | 47,585 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 64,554 | — | — | 64,554 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value (2) | $ | 584,721 | $ | 5,212,909 | $ | 6,796 | $ | 5,804,426 | ||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities (5) | $ | — | $ | 42 | $ | 4,858 | $ | 4,900 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities at fair value | $ | — | $ | 42 | $ | 4,858 | $ | 4,900 |
(1)Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information.
(2)Does not include other invested assets of $1.2 million that are primarily invested in limited partnership investments valued using the net asset value as a practical expedient.
(3)Comprises short-term certificates of deposit and commercial paper.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
(4)Securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 for more information.
(5)Level III derivative liabilities consist of embedded derivatives related to our Excess-of-Loss Program, which are classified as other liabilities in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See Note 8 for more information.
There were no transfers to or from Level III for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 or 2022. Activity related to Level III assets and liabilities (including realized and unrealized gains and losses, purchases, sales, issuances, settlements and transfers) was immaterial for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022.
Other Fair Value Disclosure
The carrying value and estimated fair value of other selected assets and liabilities not carried at fair value in our condensed consolidated balance sheets were as follows as of the dates indicated.
Financial instruments not carried at fair value | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Carrying Amount | Estimated Fair Value | Carrying Amount | Estimated Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Company-owned life insurance | $ | 107,489 | $ | 95,407 | $ | 105,331 | $ | 94,943 | ||||||||||||||||||
Senior notes | 1,416,687 | 1,379,192 | 1,413,504 | 1,361,844 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Secured borrowings | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances | $ | 119,522 | $ | 119,543 | $ | 153,686 | $ | 153,728 | ||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loan financing facilities | 122,231 | 122,231 | 2,136 | 2,136 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total secured borrowings | $ | 241,753 | $ | 241,774 | $ | 155,822 | $ | 155,864 |
The fair value of our company-owned life insurance is estimated based on market surrender value less applicable surrender charges. These assets are categorized in Level III of the fair value hierarchy. See Note 9 for further information on our company-owned life insurance. The fair value of our senior notes is estimated based on quoted market prices. The fair value of our secured borrowings is estimated based on contractual cash flows discounted at current borrowing rates for similar borrowing arrangements. These liabilities are categorized in Level II of the fair value hierarchy. See Note 12 for further information about our senior notes and secured borrowings.
22
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
6. Investments
Available for Sale Securities
Our available for sale securities within our investment portfolio consisted of the following as of the dates indicated.
Available for sale securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 171,560 | $ | — | $ | (36,382) | $ | 135,178 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 158,658 | 4 | (25,093) | 133,569 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 2,853,366 | 120 | (394,766) | 2,458,720 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 1,089,098 | 5,446 | (135,334) | 959,210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 618,127 | 27 | (57,802) | 560,352 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 502,572 | 74 | (8,969) | 493,677 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 328,896 | 105 | (8,913) | 320,088 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | 5,125 | — | (92) | 5,033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | 49,264 | 1,424 | (6) | 50,682 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total securities available for sale, including loaned securities | 5,776,666 | $ | 7,200 | $ | (667,357) | (2) | 5,116,509 | |||||||||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities (3) | 93,294 | 78,762 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,683,372 | $ | 5,037,747 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 174,138 | $ | 206 | $ | (28,902) | $ | 145,442 | ||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 164,325 | — | (21,939) | 142,386 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 2,886,905 | 1,403 | (350,537) | 2,537,771 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 1,025,795 | 1,163 | (98,559) | 928,399 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 645,890 | 13 | (52,546) | 593,357 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 518,677 | — | (20,485) | 498,192 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 168,033 | 69 | (6,743) | 161,359 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | 5,118 | — | (143) | 4,975 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (1) | 54,578 | 80 | (1,639) | 53,019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total securities available for sale, including loaned securities | 5,643,459 | $ | 2,934 | $ | (581,493) | (2) | 5,064,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities (3) | 56,198 | 47,189 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,587,261 | $ | 5,017,711 |
(1)Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information.
(2)See “Gross Unrealized Losses and Related Fair Value of Available for Sale Securities” below for additional details.
(3)Included in other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. See “Loaned Securities” below for a discussion of our securities lending agreements.
23
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Gross Unrealized Losses and Related Fair Value of Available for Sale Securities
For securities deemed “available for sale” that are in an unrealized loss position and for which an allowance for credit loss has not been established, the following tables show the gross unrealized losses and fair value, aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, as of the dates indicated. Included in the amounts as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, are loaned securities that are classified as other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets, as further described below.
Unrealized losses on fixed-maturities available for sale by category and length of time | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Less Than 12 Months | 12 Months or Greater | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description of Securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 18,644 | $ | (3,052) | $ | 106,409 | $ | (33,330) | $ | 125,053 | $ | (36,382) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 34,225 | (2,994) | 98,445 | (22,099) | 132,670 | (25,093) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 439,005 | (18,372) | 1,976,424 | (376,394) | 2,415,429 | (394,766) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 201,321 | (11,093) | 628,227 | (124,241) | 829,548 | (135,334) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 18,900 | (272) | 538,095 | (57,530) | 556,995 | (57,802) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 14,841 | (19) | 445,391 | (8,950) | 460,232 | (8,969) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 203,657 | (3,774) | 69,537 | (5,139) | 273,194 | (8,913) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes | 3,125 | (6) | — | — | 3,125 | (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | — | — | 5,033 | (92) | 5,033 | (92) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 933,718 | $ | (39,582) | $ | 3,867,561 | $ | (627,775) | $ | 4,801,279 | $ | (667,357) |
December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Less Than 12 Months | 12 Months or Greater | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description of Securities | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | Unrealized Losses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agency securities | $ | 86,964 | $ | (21,370) | $ | 47,770 | $ | (7,532) | $ | 134,734 | $ | (28,902) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
State and municipal obligations | 116,285 | (14,231) | 25,401 | (7,708) | 141,686 | (21,939) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds and notes | 1,769,547 | (176,768) | 701,936 | (173,769) | 2,471,483 | (350,537) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 610,812 | (46,117) | 261,370 | (52,442) | 872,182 | (98,559) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMBS | 469,100 | (38,178) | 121,277 | (14,368) | 590,377 | (52,546) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLO | 246,705 | (10,271) | 245,584 | (10,214) | 492,289 | (20,485) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other ABS | 115,181 | (3,603) | 31,041 | (3,140) | 146,222 | (6,743) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance-linked notes | 43,745 | (1,639) | — | — | 43,745 | (1,639) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government and agency securities | 4,975 | (143) | — | — | 4,975 | (143) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 3,463,314 | $ | (312,320) | $ | 1,434,379 | $ | (269,173) | $ | 4,897,693 | $ | (581,493) |
There were 1,216 and 1,284 securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively. We determined that these unrealized losses were due to non-credit factors and that, as of September 30, 2023, we did not expect to realize a loss for our investments in an unrealized loss position given our intent and ability to hold these investment securities until recovery of their amortized cost basis. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policy for impairments of investments.
Loaned Securities
We participate in a securities lending program whereby we loan certain securities in our investment portfolio to third-party borrowers for short periods of time. Although we report such securities at fair value within other assets in our condensed consolidated balance sheets, rather than within investments, the detailed information we provide in this Note 6 includes these securities.
All of our securities lending agreements are classified as overnight and revolving. Securities collateral on deposit with us from third-party borrowers totaling $35 million and $16 million as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022,
24
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
respectively, may not be transferred or re-pledged unless the third-party borrower is in default, and is therefore not reflected in our condensed consolidated financial statements.
See Note 5 herein for additional detail on the loaned securities, and see Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information about our accounting policies with respect to our securities lending agreements and the collateral requirements thereunder.
Mortgage Loans Held for Sale
The carrying value of mortgage loans held for sale owned by Radian Mortgage Capital totaled $138 million and $4 million at September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, and is based on fair value as discussed below. As of September 30, 2023, our mortgage loans held for sale consisted of 331 mortgage loans with a total unpaid principal balance of $139 million, related to properties in 35 states and the District of Columbia. As of September 30, 2023, none of these loans were greater than ninety days delinquent. Interest earned on mortgage loans held for sale is included in net investment income on our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
We elected the fair value option for our mortgage loans held for sale to mitigate income statement volatility and allow for consistent treatment of both loans and any associated hedges or derivatives. Net gains (losses) associated with our mortgage loans held for sale and any related hedges are included in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments on our condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Note 5 for additional information about the fair value of these financial instruments.
We typically fund the purchases of our mortgage loans held for sale primarily with amounts borrowed under our mortgage loan financing facilities. See Note 12 for additional information on these facilities and their related terms.
Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments consisted of the following.
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on investments sold or redeemed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross realized gains | $ | 20 | $ | 411 | $ | 588 | $ | 2,554 | ||||||||||||||||||
Gross realized losses | (2,814) | (4,564) | (13,768) | (12,625) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed-maturities available for sale, net | (2,794) | (4,153) | (13,180) | (10,071) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | — | (30) | (402) | (136) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | — | — | 1,890 | 1,655 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale | (99) | — | (94) | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments | 19 | 44 | 56 | 98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on investments sold or redeemed | (2,874) | (4,139) | (11,730) | (8,454) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments sold or redeemed | 9 | 29 | 226 | (2,914) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments still held | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | (5,632) | (7,398) | (4,494) | (27,892) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities | 290 | (7,256) | 4,991 | (32,249) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale | (1,675) | — | (1,785) | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments | (1) | (149) | (97) | (490) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments still held | (7,018) | (14,803) | (1,385) | (60,631) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net gains (losses) on investments | (9,883) | (18,913) | (12,889) | (71,999) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments (1) | 1,328 | 2,661 | 9,683 | (15,579) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | $ | (8,555) | $ | (16,252) | $ | (3,206) | $ | (87,578) |
(1)Includes changes in the fair value of derivatives, including embedded derivatives associated with our Excess-of-Loss program and derivatives that hedge interest rate risk related to our mortgage loans held for sale.
25
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Contractual Maturities
The contractual maturities of fixed-maturities available for sale were as follows.
Contractual maturities of fixed-maturities available for sale | ||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Due in one year or less | $ | 108,051 | $ | 106,300 | ||||||||||
Due after one year through five years (1) | 1,296,150 | 1,209,013 | ||||||||||||
Due after five years through 10 years (1) | 917,687 | 781,903 | ||||||||||||
Due after 10 years (1) | 866,821 | 635,284 | ||||||||||||
Asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities (2) | 2,587,957 | 2,384,009 | ||||||||||||
Total | 5,776,666 | 5,116,509 | ||||||||||||
Less: loaned securities | 93,294 | 78,762 | ||||||||||||
Total fixed-maturities available for sale | $ | 5,683,372 | $ | 5,037,747 |
(1)Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.
(2)Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS and mortgage insurance-linked notes, which are not due at a single maturity date.
Other
Our fixed-maturities available for sale include securities totaling $13 million at both September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, on deposit and serving as collateral with various state regulatory authorities. Our fixed-maturities available for sale and trading securities also include securities serving as collateral for our FHLB advances. See Note 12 for additional information about our FHLB advances.
7. Goodwill and Other Acquired Intangible Assets, Net
All of our goodwill and other acquired intangible assets relate to our homegenius segment. There was no change to our goodwill balance of $9.8 million during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023.
The following is a summary of the gross and net carrying amounts and accumulated amortization (including impairment) of our other acquired intangible assets as of the periods indicated.
Other acquired intangible assets | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Gross Carrying Amount | Accumulated Amortization | Net Carrying Amount | Gross Carrying Amount | Accumulated Amortization | Net Carrying Amount | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Client relationships | $ | 43,550 | $ | (42,179) | $ | 1,371 | $ | 43,550 | $ | (38,067) | $ | 5,483 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For additional information on our accounting policies for goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, see Notes 2 and 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
8. Reinsurance
In our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses, we use reinsurance as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. The reinsurance arrangements for our mortgage insurance business include premiums ceded under the QSR Program and the Excess-of-Loss Program. The amount of credit that we receive under the PMIERs financial requirements for our third-party reinsurance transactions is subject to ongoing review and approval by the GSEs.
26
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The effect of all of our reinsurance programs on our net income is as follows.
Reinsurance impacts on net premiums written and earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Written | Net Premiums Earned | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | $ | 247,941 | $ | 243,145 | $ | 736,173 | $ | 728,171 | $ | 258,207 | $ | 256,845 | $ | 771,251 | $ | 771,971 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title insurance | 3,561 | 5,164 | 8,246 | 21,443 | 3,561 | 5,165 | 8,246 | 21,444 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total direct | 251,502 | 248,309 | 744,419 | 749,614 | 261,768 | 262,010 | 779,497 | 793,415 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assumed (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | — | 1,211 | — | 4,081 | — | 1,211 | — | 4,081 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance (2) | (12,771) | (9,278) | (57,044) | (170) | (21,406) | (22,859) | (92,268) | (48,772) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title insurance | (100) | (140) | (300) | (420) | (100) | (140) | (300) | (420) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total ceded (2) | (12,871) | (9,418) | (57,344) | (590) | (21,506) | (22,999) | (92,568) | (49,192) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net premiums | $ | 238,631 | $ | 240,102 | $ | 687,075 | $ | 753,105 | $ | 240,262 | $ | 240,222 | $ | 686,929 | $ | 748,304 |
(1)Represents premiums from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs. We discontinued our participation in these programs in December 2022 by novating these insurance policies to an unrelated third-party reinsurer. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information.
(2)Net of profit commission, which is impacted by the level of ceded losses recoverable, if any, on reinsurance transactions. See Note 11 for additional information on our reserve for losses and reinsurance recoverable. The nine months ended September 30, 2023, include a $21 million increase in ceded premiums related to the tender offers that were completed in the second quarter of 2023 by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. to purchase the mortgage insurance-linked notes issued by such entities. See “Excess-of-Loss Program” below for additional information.
Other reinsurance impacts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commissions earned (1) | $ | 5,650 | $ | 4,772 | $ | 15,953 | $ | 13,330 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ceded losses (2) | 1,289 | (9,278) | (1,095) | (37,138) |
(1)Ceding commissions earned are primarily related to mortgage insurance and are included as an offset to expenses primarily in other operating expenses on our condensed consolidated statements of operations. Deferred ceding commissions of $22 million and $27 million are included in other liabilities on our condensed consolidated balance sheets at September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively.
(2)Primarily all related to mortgage insurance.
QSR Program
2023 QSR Agreement
In July 2023, Radian Guaranty entered into the 2023 QSR Agreement with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers to cede a contractual quota share percentage of certain of our NIW, which includes both Recurring Premium Policies and Single Premium Policies (as set forth in the table below), subject to certain conditions, including a limitation on ceded RIF equal to $3.0 billion over the term of the agreement.
Radian Guaranty receives a ceding commission for ceded premiums earned pursuant to this transaction. Radian Guaranty is also entitled to receive a profit commission quarterly, subject to a final annual re-calculation, provided that the loss ratio on the loans covered under the agreement generally remains below the applicable prescribed thresholds. Losses on the ceded risk up to these thresholds reduce Radian Guaranty’s profit commission on a dollar-for-dollar basis. Radian Guaranty may discontinue ceding new policies under the agreement at the end of any calendar quarter.
27
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The agreement is scheduled to terminate June 30, 2034. Radian Guaranty has the option, based on certain conditions and subject to a termination fee, to terminate the agreement as of July 1, 2027, or at the end of any calendar quarter thereafter, which would result in Radian Guaranty reassuming the related RIF in exchange for a net payment to the reinsurers calculated in accordance with the terms of the agreement. Radian Guaranty also may terminate this agreement prior to the scheduled termination date under certain circumstances, including if one or both of the GSEs no longer grant full PMIERs credit for the reinsurance.
2022 QSR Agreement
In the third quarter of 2022, Radian Guaranty entered into the 2022 QSR Agreement with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers to cede a contractual quota share percentage of certain of our NIW, which includes both Recurring Premium Policies and Single Premium Policies (as set forth in the table below), subject to certain conditions, including a limitation on ceded RIF equal to $8.5 billion over the term of the agreement.
Radian Guaranty receives a ceding commission for ceded premiums earned pursuant to these transactions. Radian Guaranty is also entitled to receive a profit commission quarterly, subject to a final annual re-calculation, provided that the loss ratio on the loans covered under the agreement generally remains below the applicable prescribed thresholds. Losses on the ceded risk up to these thresholds reduce Radian Guaranty’s profit commission on a dollar-for-dollar basis.
As of July 1, 2023, Radian Guaranty is no longer ceding NIW under the 2022 QSR Agreement.
Single Premium QSR Program
Radian Guaranty entered into each of the 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement, 2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement and 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement with panels of third-party reinsurers to cede a contractual quota share percentage of our Single Premium NIW as of the effective date of each agreement (as set forth in the table below), subject to certain conditions.
Radian Guaranty receives a ceding commission for ceded premiums written pursuant to these transactions. Radian Guaranty also receives a profit commission annually, provided that the loss ratio on the loans covered under the agreement generally remains below the applicable prescribed thresholds. Losses on the ceded risk up to these thresholds reduce Radian Guaranty’s profit commission on a dollar-for-dollar basis.
As of January 1, 2022, Radian Guaranty is no longer ceding NIW under the Single Premium QSR Program.
The following table sets forth additional details regarding the QSR Program, with RIF ceded as of the dates indicated.
QSR Program (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 QSR Agreement | 2022 QSR Agreement | 2020 Single Premium QSR Agreement | 2018 Single Premium QSR Agreement | 2016 Single Premium QSR Agreement | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NIW policy dates | Jul 1, 2023- Jun 30, 2024 | Jan 1, 2022- Jun 30, 2023 | Jan 1, 2020- Dec 31, 2021 | Jan 1, 2018- Dec 31, 2019 | Jan 1, 2012- Dec 31, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Effective date | Jul 1, 2023 | Jul 1, 2022 | Jan 1, 2020 | Jan 1, 2018 | Jan 1, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scheduled termination date | Jun 30, 2034 | Jun 30, 2033 | Dec 31, 2031 | Dec 31, 2029 | Dec 31, 2027 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Optional termination date (2) | Jul 1, 2027 | Jul 1, 2026 | Jan 1, 2024 | Jan 1, 2022 | Jan 1, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quota share % | 22.5% | 20% | 65% | 65% | 18% - 57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commission % | 20% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Profit commission % | Up to 55% | Up to 59% | Up to 56% | Up to 56% | Up to 55% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of September 30, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF ceded | $ | 784 | $ | 4,524 | $ | 1,830 | $ | 763 | $ | 1,012 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF ceded | $ | — | $ | 3,307 | $ | 1,993 | $ | 876 | $ | 1,207 |
(1)Excludes the 2012 QSR Agreements, for which RIF ceded is no longer material.
(2)Radian Guaranty has the option, based on certain conditions and subject to a termination fee, to terminate any of the agreements at the end of any calendar quarter on or after the applicable optional termination date. If Radian Guaranty exercises this option in the future, it would result in Radian Guaranty reassuming the related RIF in exchange for a net payment to the reinsurers calculated in accordance with the terms of the applicable agreement. Radian Guaranty also may terminate any of the agreements prior to the scheduled termination date under certain circumstances, including if one or both of the GSEs no longer grant full PMIERs credit for the reinsurance.
28
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Excess-of-Loss Program
Radian Guaranty has entered into a number of fully collateralized reinsurance arrangements with the Eagle Re Issuers, as described below. For the respective coverage periods, Radian Guaranty retains the first-loss layer of aggregate losses, as well as any losses in excess of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amounts. The Eagle Re Issuers provide second layer coverage up to the outstanding coverage amounts. For each of these reinsurance arrangements, the Eagle Re Issuers financed their coverage by issuing mortgage insurance-linked notes to eligible capital markets investors in unregistered private offerings.
The aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for these arrangements decreases over the maturity period of the mortgage insurance-linked notes (either a 10-year or 12.5-year period depending on the transaction) as the principal balances of the underlying covered mortgages decrease and as any claims are paid by the applicable Eagle Re Issuer or the mortgage insurance is canceled. Radian Guaranty has rights to terminate the reinsurance agreements upon the occurrence of certain events, including an optional call feature that provides Radian Guaranty the right to terminate the transaction on or after the optional call date (5 or 7 years after the issuance of the insurance-linked notes depending on the transaction) and a right to exercise an optional clean-up call if the outstanding principal amount of the related insurance-linked notes falls below 10% of the initial principal balance of the related insurance-linked notes.
Under each of the reinsurance agreements, the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount will begin amortizing after an initial period in which a target level of credit enhancement is obtained and will stop amortizing if certain thresholds, or triggers, are reached, including a delinquency trigger event based on an elevated level of delinquencies as defined in the related insurance-linked notes transaction agreements. The insurance-linked notes issued by Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. are currently subject to a delinquency trigger event, which was first reported to the insurance-linked note investors on June 25, 2020. For the insurance-linked notes that are subject to a delinquency trigger event, both the amortization of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount pursuant to our reinsurance arrangements with Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. and the amortization of the principal amount of the related insurance-linked notes issued by Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. have been suspended and will continue to be suspended during the pendency of the trigger event.
Given the diminished PMIERs capital benefit and risk mitigation values that Radian Guaranty was receiving from the reinsurance agreements, in June 2023 Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. conducted tender offers to purchase the mortgage insurance-linked notes that supported their reinsurance agreements with Radian Guaranty. As a result of the tender offers, $455 million and $332 million of the original principal amount of the Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. mortgage insurance-linked notes, respectively, were tendered and repurchased, representing 100% of the Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. mortgage insurance-linked notes and 82% of the Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. mortgage insurance-linked notes. The corresponding portion of the reinsurance agreements supported by the tendered notes were terminated.
As a result of these tender offers, for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, Radian Guaranty incurred additional ceded premiums earned of $21 million, consisting of $16 million related to the cost of tender premiums and associated expenses and $5 million related to the acceleration of deferred costs from the original executions of these transactions. Based on projections and expectations in June 2023, at the time of the tender offers, Radian Guaranty expected to save approximately $58 million of future ceded premiums over time as a result of these tenders, including a full recovery of the $21 million of the upfront one-time costs noted above within one year. In addition, as a result of these tender offers, Radian Guaranty reestablished certain contingency reserves related to Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. See Note 16 for additional detail on this impact.
29
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The following table sets forth additional details regarding the Excess-of-Loss Program, with RIF, remaining coverage and first layer retention as of the dates indicated.
Excess-of-Loss Program | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. (1) | Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. | Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issued | November 2021 | April 2021 | February 2020 | April 2019 | November 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NIW policy dates | Jan 1, 2021- Jul 31, 2021 | Aug 1, 2020- Dec 31, 2020 | Jan 1, 2019- Sep 30, 2019 | Jan 1, 2018- Dec 31, 2018 | Jan 1, 2017- Dec 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial RIF | $ | 10,758 | $ | 11,061 | $ | 9,866 | $ | 10,705 | $ | 9,109 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial coverage | 484 | 498 | 488 | 562 | 434 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Initial first layer retention | 242 | 221 | 202 | 268 | 205 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF | $ | 8,010 | $ | 6,548 | $ | 2,113 | $ | — | $ | 1,261 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining coverage | 383 | 275 | 17 | — | 276 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
First layer retention | 242 | 221 | 202 | — | 200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | As of December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIF | $ | 9,150 | $ | 7,758 | $ | 2,401 | $ | 1,769 | $ | 1,509 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining coverage | 472 | 366 | 368 | 385 | 276 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
First layer retention | 242 | 221 | 202 | 263 | 200 |
(1)Radian Group purchased $45 million of Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. and $3 million of Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. outstanding principal amounts of the respective mortgage insurance-linked notes issued in connection with these reinsurance transactions. On our condensed consolidated balance sheet at September 30, 2023, these notes are included either in fixed-maturities available for sale or, if included in our securities lending program, in other assets. See Notes 5 and 6 for additional information.
The Eagle Re Issuers are not subsidiaries or affiliates of Radian Guaranty. Based on the accounting guidance that addresses VIEs, we have not consolidated any of the assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers in our financial statements, because Radian does not have: (i) the power to direct the activities that most significantly affect the Eagle Re Issuers’ economic performances or (ii) the obligation to absorb losses or the right to receive benefits from the Eagle Re Issuers that potentially could be significant to the Eagle Re Issuers. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information on our accounting treatment of VIEs.
The reinsurance premium due to the Eagle Re Issuers is calculated by multiplying the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount at the beginning of a period by a coupon rate, which is the sum of SOFR, plus a contractual risk margin, and then subtracting actual investment income collected on the assets in the reinsurance trust during the preceding month. As a result, the premiums we pay will vary based on: (i) the spread between SOFR and the rates on the investments held by the reinsurance trust and (ii) the outstanding amount of reinsurance coverage. Following the discontinuation of the London Inter-bank Offered Rate (LIBOR), effective June 30, 2023, SOFR is the effective benchmark rate for all of our reinsurance agreements with the Eagle Re Issuers as of September 30, 2023.
As the reinsurance premium will vary based on changes in these rates, we concluded that the reinsurance agreements contain embedded derivatives, which we have accounted for separately as freestanding derivatives and recorded in other assets or other liabilities on our condensed consolidated balance sheets. Changes in the fair value of these embedded derivatives are recorded in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments in our condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Note 5 herein and Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information on our fair value measurements of financial instruments, including our embedded derivatives.
In the event an Eagle Re Issuer is unable to meet its future obligations to us, if any, our insurance subsidiaries would be liable to make claims payments to our policyholders. In the event that all of the assets in the reinsurance trust (consisting of U.S. government money market funds, cash or U.S. Treasury securities) become worthless and the Eagle Re Issuer is unable to make its payments to us, our maximum potential loss would be the amount of mortgage insurance claim payments for losses on the insured policies, net of the aggregate reinsurance payments already received, up to the full aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage amount. In the same scenario, the related embedded derivative would no longer have value.
30
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
The Eagle Re Issuers represent our only VIEs as of the dates indicated. The following table presents the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers as of the dates indicated.
Total VIE assets and liabilities of Eagle Re Issuers (1) | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd. | $ | 382,985 | $ | 471,942 | ||||||||||
Eagle Re 2018-1 Ltd. | 275,718 | 275,718 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. | 274,588 | 366,169 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. | 16,971 | 368,378 | ||||||||||||
Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. | — | 384,602 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 950,262 | $ | 1,866,809 |
(1)Assets held by the Eagle Re Issuers are required to be invested in U.S. government money market funds, cash or U.S. Treasury securities. Liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers consist of their mortgage insurance-linked notes, as described above. Assets and liabilities are equal to each other for each of the Eagle Re Issuers.
In October 2023, Radian Guaranty entered into a fully collateralized reinsurance agreement with Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. This reinsurance agreement provides for up to $353 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.8 billion that were issued between April 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022. For the loans subject to the reinsurance agreement, Radian Guaranty retains the first-loss layer of aggregate losses, as well as any losses in excess of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amounts. Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. provides second layer coverage up to the outstanding coverage amounts. Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. financed its coverage by issuing mortgage insurance-linked notes to eligible capital markets investors in the amount of $353 million in an unregistered private offering.
Also in October 2023, Radian Guaranty executed the 2023 XOL Agreement with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers. This reinsurance agreement provides for up to $246 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.0 billion that were issued between October 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022. Radian Guaranty retains a portion of the aggregate losses up to a specified amount, after which the reinsurers provide coverage above the amount retained by Radian Guaranty up to the reinsurance coverage amount. Radian Guaranty is then responsible for any losses in excess of the reinsurance coverage amount. The agreement is scheduled to terminate September 30, 2033. Radian Guaranty has the option, based on certain conditions, to terminate the agreement as of September 30, 2028, or at the end of any calendar quarter thereafter, which would result in Radian Guaranty reassuming the related RIF. In the event Radian Guaranty does not terminate the agreement on September 30, 2028, the monthly premium rate will increase by a factor of 1.5 times the original monthly premium.
Other Collateral
Although we use reinsurance as one of our risk management tools, reinsurance does not relieve us of our obligations to our policyholders. In the event the reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations to us, our insurance subsidiaries would be liable for any defaulted amounts. However, consistent with the PMIERs reinsurer counterparty collateral requirements, Radian Guaranty’s reinsurers have established trusts to help secure our potential cash recoveries. In addition to the total VIE assets of the Eagle Re Issuers discussed above, the amount held in reinsurance trusts was $200 million as of September 30, 2023, compared to $175 million as of December 31, 2022.
In addition, primarily for the Single Premium QSR Program, Radian Guaranty holds amounts related to ceded premiums written to collateralize the reinsurers’ obligations, which is reported in reinsurance funds withheld on our condensed consolidated balance sheets. Any loss recoveries and profit commissions paid to Radian Guaranty related to the Single Premium QSR Program are expected to be realized from this account.
See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information about our reinsurance transactions.
31
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
9. Other Assets
The following table shows the components of other assets as of the dates indicated.
Other assets | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Loaned securities (Note 5 and 6) | $ | 149,541 | $ | 112,139 | ||||||||||
Company-owned life insurance (1) | 107,489 | 105,331 | ||||||||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums (2) | 106,178 | 141,402 | ||||||||||||
Right-of-use assets | 17,320 | 21,099 | ||||||||||||
Other | 39,955 | 47,053 | ||||||||||||
Total other assets | $ | 420,483 | $ | 427,024 |
(1)We are the beneficiary of insurance policies on the lives of certain of our current and past officers and employees. The balances reported in other assets reflect the amounts that could be realized upon surrender of the insurance policies as of each respective date.
(2)Relates primarily to our Single Premium QSR Program.
See Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information about our right-of-use assets and related impairment analysis.
10. Income Taxes
We use the estimated effective tax rate method to calculate income taxes in interim periods. Certain items, including those deemed to be unusual, infrequent or that cannot be reliably estimated, are excluded from the estimated annual tax rate. In these cases, the actual tax expense or benefit is reported in the same period as the related item.
As of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, our current federal income tax liability was $24 million and $21 million, respectively, which primarily relates to applying the standards of accounting for uncertainty in income taxes, and is included as a component of other liabilities in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
As a mortgage guaranty insurer, we are eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, under Internal Revenue Code Section 832(e) for amounts required by state law or regulation to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. The deduction is allowed only to the extent that, in conjunction with quarterly federal tax payment due dates, we purchase non-interest bearing U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury in an amount equal to the tax benefit derived from deducting any portion of our statutory contingency reserves. As of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, we held $697 million and $596 million of these bonds, respectively, which are included as prepaid federal income taxes in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. The corresponding deduction of our statutory contingency reserves resulted in the recognition of a net deferred tax liability.
For additional information on our income taxes, including our accounting policies, see Notes 2 and 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
11. Losses and LAE
Our reserve for losses and LAE consisted of the following as of the dates indicated.
Reserve for losses and LAE | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Primary case | $ | 343,336 | $ | 398,874 | ||||||||||
Primary IBNR and LAE | 10,005 | 12,169 | ||||||||||||
Pool and other | 8,497 | 9,912 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage insurance | 361,838 | 420,955 | ||||||||||||
Title insurance | 5,730 | 5,888 | ||||||||||||
Total reserve for losses and LAE | $ | 367,568 | $ | 426,843 |
32
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
For the periods indicated, the following table presents information relating to our mortgage insurance reserve for losses, including our IBNR reserve and LAE.
Rollforward of mortgage insurance reserve for losses | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | 420,955 | $ | 823,136 | ||||||||||
Less: Reinsurance recoverables (1) | 24,727 | 66,676 | ||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 396,228 | 756,460 | ||||||||||||
Add: Losses and LAE incurred in respect of default notices reported and unreported in: | ||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 130,740 | 115,159 | ||||||||||||
Prior years | (177,483) | (411,024) | ||||||||||||
Total incurred | (46,743) | (295,865) | ||||||||||||
Deduct: Paid claims and LAE related to: | ||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 204 | 381 | ||||||||||||
Prior years | 10,712 | 12,123 | ||||||||||||
Total paid | 10,916 | 12,504 | ||||||||||||
Balance at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 338,569 | 448,091 | ||||||||||||
Add: Reinsurance recoverables (1) | 23,269 | 29,656 | ||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | 361,838 | $ | 477,747 |
(1)Related to ceded losses recoverable, if any, on reinsurance transactions. See Note 8 for additional information.
(2)Related to underlying defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.
Reserve Activity
Incurred Losses
Total incurred losses are driven by: (i) case reserves established for new default notices, which are primarily impacted by both the number of new primary default notices received in the period and our related gross Default to Claim Rate assumption applied to those new defaults and (ii) reserve developments on prior period defaults, which are primarily impacted by changes to our prior Default to Claim Rate assumptions.
New primary default notices totaled 31,555 for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to 27,003 for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, representing an increase of 17%. This increase in new primary defaults is consistent with the natural seasoning of the portfolio, given the increase in our IIF in recent years.
Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption applied to new defaults was 8.0% as of both September 30, 2023, and September 30, 2022, as we continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.
Our provision for losses during both the first nine months of 2023 and 2022 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. As the remaining number of defaults has continued to decline, the magnitude of the impact to our provision for losses from reserve development on prior year defaults has declined as well.
Claims Paid
Total claims paid were materially unchanged for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022.
For additional information about our Reserve for Losses and LAE, including our accounting policies, see Notes 2 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
12. Borrowings and Financing Activities
The carrying value of our debt as of the dates indicated was as follows.
Borrowings | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | Interest rate | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
Senior notes | ||||||||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | 4.500 | % | $ | 448,723 | $ | 447,805 | ||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | 6.625 | % | 521,820 | 520,305 | ||||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | 4.875 | % | 446,144 | 445,394 | ||||||||||||||||
Total senior notes | $ | 1,416,687 | $ | 1,413,504 | ||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | Average interest rate (1) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
Secured borrowings | ||||||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances | ||||||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2023 | 4.666 | % | $ | 64,745 | $ | 104,895 | ||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2024 (2) | 3.325 | % | 32,371 | 32,371 | ||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2025 | 2.340 | % | 12,684 | 9,984 | ||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2026 | 4.469 | % | 1,835 | — | ||||||||||||||||
FHLB advances due 2027 | 2.562 | % | 7,887 | 6,436 | ||||||||||||||||
Total FHLB advances | 119,522 | 153,686 | ||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loan financing facilities | 7.050 | % | 122,231 | 2,136 | ||||||||||||||||
Total secured borrowings | $ | 241,753 | $ | 155,822 |
(1)As of September 30, 2023. See “FHLB Advances” and “Mortgage Loan Financing Facilities” below for more information.
(2)Includes $13 million of floating-rate advances with a weighted average interest rate of 5.51% and 3.62% as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, which resets daily based on changes in SOFR.
FHLB Advances
The principal balance of the FHLB advances is required to be collateralized by eligible assets with a fair value that must be maintained generally within a minimum range of 103% to 114% of the amount borrowed, depending on the type of assets pledged. Our fixed-maturities available for sale and trading securities include securities totaling $127 million and $164 million at September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, which serve as collateral for our FHLB advances to satisfy this requirement.
Mortgage Loan Financing Facilities
In 2022, Radian Mortgage Capital entered into the Master Repurchase Agreements to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. The Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement is an uncommitted mortgage loan repurchase facility that initially had a maximum borrowing amount of $300 million and was amended in July 2023 to reduce the maximum borrowing amount to $100 million. The BMO Master Repurchase Agreement, which is also uncommitted, initially had a maximum borrowing amount of $300 million and was amended in April 2023 to reduce the maximum borrowing amount to $150 million. The Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement and the BMO Master Repurchase Agreement are currently scheduled to expire on September 14, 2024, and September 25, 2024, respectively.
The borrowings under the Master Repurchase Agreements bear a variable interest rate based on the one-month SOFR, as adjusted, plus an applicable margin, with interest payable monthly. Principal is due upon the earliest of the sale or disposition of the related mortgage loans, the occurrence of certain default or acceleration events or at the termination date of the applicable Master Repurchase Agreement. As of September 30, 2023, there were $118 million and $4 million of outstanding borrowings under the BMO Master Repurchase Agreement and the Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement, respectively.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Funds advanced under the Master Repurchase Agreements generally will be calculated as a percentage of the unpaid principal balance or fair value of the residential mortgage loan assets, depending on the credit characteristics of the loans being purchased. Of our mortgage loans held for sale, $128 million and $2 million at September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, serve as collateral for the Master Repurchase Agreements to support the funds advanced.
Revolving Credit Facility
Radian Group has in place a $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. As of September 30, 2023, there were no amounts outstanding under this facility.
Debt Covenants and Other Requirements
As of September 30, 2023, we are in compliance with all of our debt covenants, including for our senior notes.
In addition to the debt covenants under its financing facilities, Radian Mortgage Capital is also subject to certain requirements established by state and other regulators and loan purchasers, including Freddie Mac, such as certain minimum net worth and capital requirements. The most restrictive of these requirements requires Radian Mortgage Capital to maintain a minimum tangible net worth of $3 million. To the extent these requirements are not met, these parties may exercise certain remedies, which may include, as applicable, prohibiting Radian Mortgage Capital from purchasing, selling, or servicing loans. As of September 30, 2023, Radian Mortgage Capital was in compliance with all such requirements.
For more information regarding our borrowings and financing activities, including certain terms, covenants and Parent Guarantees provided by Radian Group in connection with particular borrowings, see Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
13. Commitments and Contingencies
Legal Proceedings
We are routinely involved in a number of legal actions and proceedings, including reviews, audits, inquiries, information-gathering requests and investigations by various regulatory entities, as well as litigation and other disputes arising in the ordinary course of our business. Legal actions and proceedings could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures or have other effects on our business.
Management believes, based on current knowledge and after consultation with counsel, that the outcome of currently pending or threatened actions will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition or results of operations. The outcome of legal actions and proceedings is inherently uncertain, and it is possible that any one or more matters could have an adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition or results of operations for any particular period.
Lease Liability
Our lease liability represents the present value of future lease payments over the lease term. Our operating lease liability was $42 million and $49 million as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, and is classified in in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
See Note 13 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for further information regarding our commitments and contingencies and our accounting policies for contingencies.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
14. Capital Stock
Shares of Common Stock
The following table shows the year-to-date changes in common stock outstanding for each of the periods indicated.
Common stock outstanding | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | 157,056 | 175,421 | ||||||||||||
Shares repurchased under share repurchase programs | (2,817) | (19,506) | ||||||||||||
Issuance of common stock under incentive and benefit plans, net of shares withheld for employee taxes | 1,343 | 1,141 | ||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | 155,582 | 157,056 |
Share Repurchase Activity
From time to time, Radian Group’s board of directors approves share repurchase programs authorizing the Company to repurchase Radian Group common stock in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions, based on market and business conditions, stock price and other factors. Radian generally operates its share repurchase programs pursuant to a trading plan under Rule 10b5-1 of the Exchange Act, which provides for share repurchases at predetermined price targets and permits the Company to purchase shares when it may otherwise be precluded from doing so.
In January 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the Company to spend up to $300 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions, based on market and business conditions, stock price and other factors. Radian has implemented a trading plan under Rule 10b5-1 of the Exchange Act. The authorization will expire in January 2025.
During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, the Company purchased 1.9 million and 2.8 million shares at an average price of $26.71 and $24.86 per share, including commissions, respectively. As of September 30, 2023, purchase authority of up to $230 million remained available under this program.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents
We declared quarterly cash dividends on our common stock equal to $0.20 per share during each quarter of 2022. In February 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to the Company’s quarterly dividend from $0.20 to $0.225 per share, beginning with the dividend declared in the first quarter of 2023.
Share-Based and Other Compensation Programs
During the second quarter of 2023, certain executive and non-executive officers were granted time-vested and performance-based RSUs to be settled in common stock. The maximum payout of performance-based RSUs at the end of the three-year performance period is 200% of a grantee’s target number of RSUs granted. The vesting of the performance-based RSUs granted to certain executive and non-executive officers is based upon the cumulative growth in Radian’s book value per share over a three-year performance period, adjusted for certain defined items including our total shareholder return relative to certain peers, and, with the exception of certain retirement-eligible employees, continued service through the vesting date. Performance-based RSUs granted to executive officers are subject to a one-year post vesting holding period.
The time-vested RSU awards granted to certain executive and non-executive officers in the second quarter of 2023 generally vest in pro rata installments on each of the first three anniversaries of the grant date. In addition, time-vested RSU awards, which are generally subject to one-year cliff vesting, were also granted to non-employee directors. See Note 17 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the Company’s share-based and other compensation programs.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
Information with regard to RSUs to be settled in stock for the periods indicated is as follows.
Rollforward of RSUs | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Performance-Based | Time-Vested | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Number of Shares | Weighted Average Grant Date Fair Value | Number of Shares | Weighted Average Grant Date Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Outstanding, December 31, 2022 (1) | 2,362,401 | $ | 17.59 | 1,891,800 | $ | 16.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Granted (2) | 911,550 | $ | 23.05 | 526,593 | $ | 25.13 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Performance adjustment (3) | 814,529 | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
Vested (4) | (1,083,080) | $ | 15.90 | (602,490) | $ | 18.17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Forfeited | (25,059) | $ | 19.60 | (5,434) | $ | 21.36 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Outstanding, September 30, 2023 (1) | 2,980,341 | $ | 18.30 | 1,810,469 | $ | 18.09 |
(1)Outstanding RSUs represent shares that have not yet been issued because not all conditions necessary to earn the right to benefit from the instruments have been satisfied. For performance-based awards, the final number of RSUs distributed depends on the cumulative growth in Radian’s book value per share, adjusted for certain defined items, over the respective three-year performance period and, with the exception of certain retirement-eligible employees, continued service through the vesting date, which could result in changes to the number of vested RSUs.
(2)For performance-based RSUs, amount represents the number of target shares at grant date.
(3)For performance-based RSUs, amount represents the difference between the number of shares vested at settlement, which can range from 0 to 200% of target depending on results over the applicable performance periods, and the number of target shares at the grant date.
(4)Represents amounts vested during the year, including the impact of performance adjustments for performance-based awards.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
15. Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
The following tables show the rollforward of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) as of the periods indicated.
Rollforward of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2023 | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | (536,312) | $ | (112,626) | $ | (423,686) | $ | (578,228) | $ | (121,429) | $ | (456,799) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected credit losses has not been recognized | (126,080) | (26,477) | (99,603) | (94,777) | (19,903) | (74,874) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | (2,794) | (587) | (2,207) | (13,180) | (2,768) | (10,412) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments | (123,286) | (25,890) | (97,396) | (81,597) | (17,135) | (64,462) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other adjustments to comprehensive income (loss), net | — | — | — | 227 | 48 | 179 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | (123,286) | (25,890) | (97,396) | (81,370) | (17,087) | (64,283) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | (659,598) | $ | (138,516) | $ | (521,082) | $ | (659,598) | $ | (138,516) | $ | (521,082) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | Before Tax | Tax Effect | Net of Tax | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at beginning of period | $ | (416,589) | $ | (87,484) | $ | (329,105) | $ | 152,016 | $ | 31,923 | $ | 120,093 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) on investments arising during the period for which an allowance for expected credit losses has not been recognized | (223,279) | (46,888) | (176,391) | (797,908) | (167,560) | (630,348) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Reclassification adjustment for net gains (losses) on investments included in net income (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) on disposals and non-credit related impairment losses | (4,153) | (872) | (3,281) | (10,071) | (2,115) | (7,956) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) on investments | (219,126) | (46,016) | (173,110) | (787,837) | (165,445) | (622,392) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other adjustments to comprehensive income, net | — | — | — | 106 | 22 | 84 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) | (219,126) | (46,016) | (173,110) | (787,731) | (165,423) | (622,308) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance at end of period | $ | (635,715) | $ | (133,500) | $ | (502,215) | $ | (635,715) | $ | (133,500) | $ | (502,215) |
(1)Included in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments on our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements |
16. Statutory Information
Our insurance subsidiaries’ statutory net income (loss) for the periods indicated, and statutory policyholders’ surplus as of the dates indicated, were as follows.
Statutory net income (loss) | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty (1) | $ | 599,781 | $ | 867,405 | ||||||||||
Other mortgage subsidiaries | (383) | 1,826 | ||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | 1,306 | 2,500 | ||||||||||||
Statutory policyholders’ surplus | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty | $ | 673,592 | $ | 758,467 | ||||||||||
Other mortgage subsidiaries | 17,292 | 17,086 | ||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | 40,563 | 39,285 |
(1)The amount for 2022 has been updated to reflect the merger of Radian Reinsurance into Radian Guaranty in December 2022. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for details regarding this merger.
Under state insurance regulations, Radian Guaranty is required to maintain minimum surplus levels and, in certain states, a maximum ratio of net RIF relative to statutory capital, or Risk-to-capital. The most common Statutory RBC Requirement is that a mortgage insurer’s Risk-to-capital may not exceed 25 to 1. In certain of the RBC States, a mortgage insurer must satisfy an MPP Requirement. Radian Guaranty was in compliance with all applicable Statutory RBC Requirements and MPP Requirements in each of the RBC States as of September 30, 2023. Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital was 10.6:1 and 10.7:1 as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively. For purposes of the Risk-to-capital requirements imposed by certain states, statutory capital is defined as the sum of statutory policyholders’ surplus plus statutory contingency reserves. Our other mortgage insurance and title insurance subsidiaries were also in compliance with all statutory and counterparty capital requirements as of September 30, 2023.
In addition, in order to be eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs, mortgage insurers such as Radian Guaranty must meet the GSEs’ eligibility requirements, or PMIERs. At September 30, 2023, Radian Guaranty, an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs, was in compliance with the current PMIERs financial requirements.
State insurance regulations include various capital requirements and dividend restrictions based on our insurance subsidiaries’ statutory financial position and results of operations. As of September 30, 2023, the amount of restricted net assets held by our consolidated insurance subsidiaries (which represents our equity investment in those insurance subsidiaries) totaled $4.4 billion of our consolidated net assets.
While all proposed dividends and distributions to stockholders must be filed with the Pennsylvania Insurance Department prior to payment, if a Pennsylvania domiciled insurer has positive unassigned surplus, such insurer can pay dividends or other distributions during any 12-month period in an aggregate amount less than or equal to the greater of: (i) 10% of the preceding year-end statutory policyholders’ surplus or (ii) the preceding year’s statutory net income, in each case without the prior approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Aided by the positive impacts of the merger with Radian Reinsurance in December 2022, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $258 million as of December 31, 2022. As a result, beginning with the first quarter of 2023, Radian Guaranty has the ability to pay ordinary dividends, and has paid an ordinary dividend of $100 million in cash and marketable securities in each of the first three quarters of 2023. Subsequent to the payment of these dividends and the impact from the reestablishment of $39 million in contingency reserves related to the termination of certain reinsurance agreements as a result of the tender offers by certain Eagle Re Issuers described in Note 8, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $174 million as of September 30, 2023.
For a full description of our compliance with statutory and other regulations for our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses, including statutory capital requirements and dividend restrictions, see Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K.
39
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The disclosures in this quarterly report are complementary to those made in our 2022 Form 10-K and should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in this report, as well as our audited financial statements, notes thereto and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our 2022 Form 10-K.
The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, provides information that evaluates our financial condition as of September 30, 2023, compared with December 31, 2022, and our results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the same periods last year.
Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report. In addition, investors should review the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” herein, and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K for a discussion of those risks and uncertainties that have the potential to adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows or prospects. Our results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period. See “Overview” below and Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
INDEX TO ITEM 2 | Page | ||||
Overview
We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business with two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius.
Our Mortgage segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also provides contract underwriting and other credit risk management solutions to our customers. Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.
Current Operating Environment
As a seller of mortgage credit protection and other mortgage and credit risk management solutions and real estate products and services, our business results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and related real estate markets, the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio and our future business opportunities, as well as seasonal fluctuations that specifically affect the mortgage origination and real estate environments. The performance of our Mortgage business is particularly influenced by factors that impact the housing and real estate markets and the ability of borrowers to remain current on their mortgages, such as home prices and housing supply, inflationary pressures, interest rate changes, unemployment levels, mortgage originations and the availability of credit, national and regional economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments and other events, including macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties resulting from global conflicts and other geopolitical events.
Annual inflation in the U.S. reached a 40-year high in 2022. While inflation has moderated in 2023, the U.S. economy continues to experience a high rate of inflation, as well as slower economic growth and the risks of a recession and of higher
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
unemployment rates. Actions taken by the U.S. Federal Reserve to increase interest rates in response to the inflationary trends that started in 2021 resulted in a sharp and significant increase in mortgage interest rates starting in 2022. The U.S. Federal Reserve continued to raise rates in 2023, resulting in mortgage rates more than doubling to over 7% as of September 30, 2023, and additional rate increases are possible.
These economic conditions have negatively impacted the U.S. housing market, including broadly reducing refinance activity. In addition, these conditions resulted in decreases in home prices in many markets in 2022 from what had been record highs. More recently, industry data suggest that home prices are again increasing. As further discussed below, we expect that the current economic environment will continue to negatively impact certain aspects of our results for the near future, including lower NIW, lower homegenius revenues and higher mortgage insurance defaults. At the same time, we also expect the higher interest rate environment to continue to benefit us through higher Persistency Rates that will favorably impact our IIF, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income, as further discussed below. Longer-term, however, we continue to believe that the housing market fundamentals and outlook remain favorable, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a constrained supply of homes available for sale.
We wrote NIW of $42.1 billion in the first nine months of 2023, a decrease of 24% compared to our NIW in the first nine months of 2022 due to the reduction in housing market activity resulting from current economic conditions. While the recent increases in mortgage interest rates have significantly reduced refinance demand, they have also resulted in a decrease in policy cancellations, which has increased our Persistency Rate, and in turn contributed to growth in our IIF. Further, in response to the current macroeconomic trends, in our mortgage insurance business we increased pricing in 2022 and 2023. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio” for additional details on our NIW and IIF.
In 2020, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a significant increase in unemployment and negatively impacted the economy. As a result, we experienced a material increase in new defaults beginning in the second quarter of 2020, substantially all of which related to loans subject to mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This increase in new defaults had a negative effect on our results of operations and our reserve for losses for that year. While subsequent trends in Cures have been more favorable than original expectations, resulting in favorable loss reserve development on prior period defaults in 2022 and in the first nine months of 2023, the current macroeconomic environment, as discussed above, and natural seasoning of our growing IIF portfolio, have contributed to a higher level of overall new default activity, including a higher level of new defaults from more recent vintages, and increased the likelihood that we will experience lower levels of Cures in our mortgage insurance portfolio in future periods. The number, timing and duration of new defaults and, in turn, the number of defaults that ultimately result in claims will depend on a variety of factors, including the overall economic environment and on the number and timing of Cures and the net impact on IIF from our Persistency Rate and future NIW. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reserve for losses.
We believe that the range of risk distribution transactions and strategies that we utilize to mitigate credit risk and financial volatility through varying economic cycles has increased our financial strength and flexibility. As of September 30, 2023, 72% of our primary RIF is subject to a form of risk distribution. Including the collateralized reinsurance agreement entered into in connection with the Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. insurance-linked notes transaction and the 2023 XOL Agreement that were both entered into in October 2023, as described below under “Recent Company Developments,” 79% of our primary RIF as of September 30, 2023, is subject to a form of risk distribution. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Our use of risk distribution structures has reduced our required capital and enhanced our projected return on capital, and we expect these structures to provide a level of credit protection in periods of economic stress. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Risk Distribution” for additional information.
The same inflationary pressures and higher interest rate environment discussed above have also negatively impacted our homegenius businesses, due primarily to the rapid decline in industry-wide purchase and refinance volumes. Despite steps taken since the beginning of 2022 to align our workforce to the current and expected needs of the business and reduce our operating expenses, the continued decline in homegenius revenues since the beginning of 2022 has resulted in ongoing losses for that business segment.
The sharp increases in interest rates that began in 2022 also materially affected the fair value of our investment portfolio, resulting in unrealized losses on investments in 2022 and 2023. As of September 30, 2023, the fair value of our portfolio continues to be significantly below its amortized cost. As of September 30, 2023, we did not expect to realize a loss for our investments in an unrealized loss position given our intent and ability to hold these investment securities until recovery of their amortized cost basis. While the decrease in the fair value of our investments due to higher market interest rates has negatively affected our comprehensive income and stockholders’ equity in recent periods, this higher interest rate environment has also resulted in the recognition of higher net investment income, which is expected to continue in future periods. See Note 6 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our investments.
Despite risks and uncertainties, we believe that the steps we have taken in recent years, including by improving our capital and liquidity positions, enhancing our financial flexibility, implementing greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and increasing our use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have helped position the Company to better withstand the negative effects from the macroeconomic stresses discussed above, including those resulting from the high rate of inflation and higher interest rates.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
For a detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties discussed above, as well as other risks and uncertainties impacting our business, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Legislative and Regulatory Developments
We are subject to comprehensive regulation by both federal and state regulatory authorities. For a description of significant state and federal regulations and other requirements of the GSEs that are applicable to our businesses, as well as legislative and regulatory developments affecting the housing finance industry, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation” in our 2022 Form 10-K. Except as discussed below, there were no significant regulatory developments impacting our businesses from those discussed in our 2022 Form 10-K.
In March 2023, the FHFA announced that the GSEs will enhance their payment deferral policies to allow borrowers who have recently resolved a financial hardship to defer up to six months of mortgage payments. Servicers were required to adopt the new policies by October 1, 2023. Under the enhanced payment deferral policies, servicers must defer certain amounts, including past due principal and interest, as a non-interest bearing balance, due and payable at maturity, sale, refinance or payoff of the mortgage loan. This change extends eligibility for the GSEs’ payment deferral workout beyond the payment deferral option for borrowers transitioning out of a COVID-19 related forbearance plan.
On April 10, 2023, President Biden signed legislation terminating the COVID-19 national emergency. As previously disclosed in our 2022 Form 10-K, the termination of the COVID-19 national emergency may be interpreted by the GSEs and others to likewise result in the termination of the requirements under the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act signed into law on March 27, 2020, to provide COVID-19 related forbearance. On August 9, 2023, the GSEs retired servicing policies related to COVID-19, including COVID-19 related forbearance plan flexibilities, and reverted to the policies as specified in their servicing guides. Retiring COVID-19 servicing-related policies means that a financial hardship due to COVID-19 is no longer an eligible hardship, and COVID-19 workouts, including COVID-19 payment deferrals, must have an evaluation date before November 1, 2024. However, borrowers with short-term hardships will continue to have access to the GSEs’ loss mitigation programs, including forbearance and payment deferrals.
As previously disclosed, in October 2022, the FHFA announced that the GSEs will replace their use of Classic FICO credit scores with FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores, which are intended to improve accuracy by capturing additional payment histories for borrowers when available, such as rent, utilities, and telecom payments. The GSEs will require both of the new credit scores, along with credit reports from two, rather than three, of the credit reporting agencies. The implementation timeline for the transition to the new credit scores is expected to be a multi-year effort. The FHFA has released a proposed timeline for implementing the changes that anticipates that most of the transition would be implemented by the end of 2025; however, the ultimate timeline for implementation is still uncertain.
On July 27, 2023, the U.S. federal banking agencies published a notice of proposed rulemaking (“NPR”) to implement the remaining elements of the Basel III recommendations that were developed by the international Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in 2009 following the financial crisis. The proposal applies to all banking organizations with $100 billion or more in total consolidated assets and their subsidiary depositary institutions, and covers risk-weighted asset calculations for credit, market, credit valuation adjustment, and operational risks. As proposed, the NPR would adjust risk weights for low downpayment loans that are held in a bank’s portfolio, generally increasing the risk weights for higher LTV loans without taking into account credit enhancement, such as private mortgage insurance, on those loans in determining the risk weighting. Currently, we expect the NPR to have a limited impact on Radian’s mortgage insurance business, as a minimal amount of mortgage loans with mortgage insurance are held in bank portfolios, and most of the loans that Radian Guaranty insures are sold to the GSEs. If the NPR is adopted as proposed, the rule is expected to have a substantial impact on how banks allocate capital and could impact the pricing and availability of financial services and products, among other things. While the outcome of the rulemaking process is currently undetermined, if adopted as proposed, banks subject to the rule may be disincentivized to hold loans in portfolio, which could provide greater opportunities for growth in Radian Mortgage Capital, the Company’s mortgage conduit business. In our 2022 Form 10-K, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Basel III” for additional information regarding Basel III.
Recent Company Developments
In October 2023, Radian Guaranty entered into a fully collateralized reinsurance agreement with Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd., which provides for up to $353 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage for a portion of the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.8 billion that were issued between April 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on this new agreement.
Also in October 2023, Radian Guaranty executed the 2023 XOL Agreement with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers. This agreement provides for up to $246 million of aggregate excess-of-loss coverage for the mortgage insurance losses on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible mortgage insurance policies on new defaults on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.0 billion that were issued between October 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on this new agreement.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Key Factors Affecting Our Results
The key factors affecting our results are discussed in our 2022 Form 10-K. There have been no material changes to these key factors.
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio
New Insurance Written
We wrote $13.9 billion and $42.1 billion of primary new mortgage insurance in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, respectively, compared to $17.6 billion and $55.1 billion of NIW in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively.
Our NIW decreased by 21% and 24% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2022, due primarily to a broad decline in U.S. housing market activity resulting from higher mortgage interest rates. According to industry estimates, total mortgage origination volume was lower for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the comparable periods in 2022, due to a significant decline in home purchases and mortgage refinance activity.
Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent market projections for 2023 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $1.6 trillion, which would represent a decline in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 32% as compared to 2022, with a private mortgage insurance market of approximately $300 billion. This outlook anticipates a 60% decrease in refinance originations in 2023 as well as a 19% decline in purchase originations, driven by increases in interest rates and declining home sales volume. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K, see “A decrease in the volume of mortgage originations could result in fewer opportunities for us to write new mortgage insurance business and conduct our homegenius businesses” for more information.
The following table provides selected information for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
NIW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NIW | $ | 13,922 | $ | 17,616 | $ | 42,076 | $ | 55,134 | ||||||||||||||||||
Primary risk written | $ | 3,542 | $ | 4,450 | $ | 10,819 | $ | 14,085 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average coverage percentage | 25.4 | % | 25.3 | % | 25.7 | % | 25.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by loan purpose | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Purchases | 98.7 | % | 98.4 | % | 98.4 | % | 95.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Refinances | 1.3 | % | 1.6 | % | 1.6 | % | 4.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by premium type | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums | 96.0 | % | 95.5 | % | 95.9 | % | 95.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Direct single premiums | 4.0 | % | 4.5 | % | 4.1 | % | 4.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by FICO score (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | 67.3 | % | 63.3 | % | 65.1 | % | 59.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
680-739 | 27.4 | % | 28.5 | % | 29.2 | % | 32.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
620-679 | 5.3 | % | 8.2 | % | 5.7 | % | 7.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
<=619 | — | % | — | % | — | % | — | % | ||||||||||||||||||
NIW by LTV | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 16.5 | % | 18.3 | % | 17.4 | % | 16.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 38.6 | % | 37.1 | % | 39.2 | % | 39.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 30.2 | % | 28.0 | % | 29.5 | % | 28.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 14.7 | % | 16.6 | % | 13.9 | % | 15.4 | % |
(1)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.
Insurance and Risk in Force
IIF by origination vintage (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in billions) | IIF as of: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vintage written in: | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | September 30, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | $ | 40.9 | 15.2 | % | $ | — | — | % | $ | — | — | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2022 | 61.5 | 22.8 | 65.2 | 25.0 | 53.5 | 20.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 68.7 | 25.5 | 77.3 | 29.6 | 79.5 | 30.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 | 47.7 | 17.7 | 57.7 | 22.1 | 61.3 | 23.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 15.4 | 5.7 | 17.9 | 6.8 | 18.7 | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 9.5 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009 - 2017 | 19.6 | 7.3 | 24.9 | 9.5 | 27.1 | 10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 & Prior (2) | 8.0 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 9.5 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 269.5 | 100.0 | % | $ | 261.0 | 100.0 | % | $ | 259.1 | 100.0 | % |
(1)Policy years represent the original policy years and have not been adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under the Home Affordable Refinance Program (“HARP”).
(2)Includes loans that were subsequently refinanced under HARP.
Our IIF is the primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time. IIF increased to $269.5 billion at September 30, 2023, from $261.0 billion at December 31, 2022, reflecting the impact of our NIW offset by policy cancellations
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
and amortization for the first nine months of 2023. Our IIF at September 30, 2023, increased 4% as compared to the same period last year, reflecting a 7% increase in Monthly Premium Policies in force partially offset by a 12% decline in Single Premium Policies in force.
Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below, our 12-month Persistency Rate at September 30, 2023, increased significantly as compared to September 30, 2022. The increase in our Persistency Rate at September 30, 2023, was primarily attributable to decreased refinance activity due to increases in mortgage interest rates, as compared to the same period in the prior year. As of September 30, 2023, 84% of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate of 6.0% or less. Given the increase in market mortgage interest rates, which, based on reported industry averages, now exceed that level, we would expect a continued positive impact on our Persistency Rates.
Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF.
IIF and RIF | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | September 30, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
Primary IIF | $ | 269,511 | $ | 260,994 | $ | 259,121 | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF | $ | 69,298 | $ | 66,094 | $ | 65,288 | ||||||||||||||
Average coverage percentage | 25.7 | % | 25.3 | % | 25.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Persistency Rate (12 months ended) | 83.6 | % | 79.6 | % | 75.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1) | 84.2 | % | 84.1 | % | 81.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by premium type | ||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums | 88.6 | % | 87.1 | % | 86.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Direct single premiums | 11.4 | % | 12.9 | % | 13.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by FICO score (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | 58.2 | % | 57.4 | % | 57.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
680-739 | 34.0 | % | 34.6 | % | 34.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
620-679 | 7.4 | % | 7.6 | % | 7.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
<=619 | 0.4 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Primary RIF by LTV | ||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 18.4 | % | 17.1 | % | 16.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 48.2 | % | 48.4 | % | 48.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 27.0 | % | 27.2 | % | 27.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 6.4 | % | 7.3 | % | 7.6 | % |
(1)The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods, and may not be indicative of full-year trends.
(2)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.
Risk Distribution
We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. When we enter into a reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed-upon portion of incurred losses. While these arrangements have the impact of reducing
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
our earned premiums, they also reduce our required capital and are expected to increase our return on required capital for the related policies.
The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—Risk Distribution” in our 2022 Form 10-K and Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements in this report for more information about our reinsurance transactions.
The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.
PMIERs benefit from risk distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | September 30, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets | ||||||||||||||||||||
Excess-of-Loss Program (1) | $ | 465,794 | $ | 665,617 | $ | 732,895 | ||||||||||||||
2022 QSR Agreement | 324,384 | 233,532 | 189,408 | |||||||||||||||||
Single Premium QSR Program | 198,448 | 231,339 | 243,911 | |||||||||||||||||
2023 QSR Agreement | 48,896 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
2012 QSR Agreements | 6,288 | 8,357 | 9,310 | |||||||||||||||||
Total PMIERs impact | $ | 1,043,810 | $ | 1,138,845 | $ | 1,175,524 | ||||||||||||||
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets | 20.3 | % | 22.9 | % | 24.0 | % |
(1)The tender offers in the second quarter of 2023 conducted by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. had no effect on the benefit to Minimum Required Assets. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on these tender offers and related impacts.
See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” for information about the impact on premiums earned from each of Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs.
Results of Operations—Consolidated
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, and September 30, 2022, primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our two business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage” and “Results of Operations—homegenius” for the operating results of these business segments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the same periods in 2022.
In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by those factors described in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The following table summarizes our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.
Summary results of operations - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 240,262 | $ | 240,222 | $ | 40 | $ | 686,929 | $ | 748,304 | $ | (61,375) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | 10,892 | 20,146 | (9,254) | 33,673 | 76,775 | (43,102) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 68,825 | 51,414 | 17,411 | 192,228 | 136,567 | 55,661 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | (8,555) | (16,252) | 7,697 | (3,206) | (87,578) | 84,372 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other income | 2,109 | 659 | 1,450 | 4,942 | 1,934 | 3,008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 313,533 | 296,189 | 17,344 | 914,566 | 876,002 | 38,564 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | (8,135) | (96,964) | (88,829) | (46,696) | (294,640) | (247,944) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 6,920 | 5,442 | (1,478) | 18,431 | 17,987 | (444) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 8,886 | 18,717 | 9,831 | 29,541 | 66,230 | 36,689 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 79,206 | 91,327 | 12,121 | 252,360 | 271,363 | 19,003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 24,302 | 21,183 | (3,119) | 69,148 | 62,860 | (6,288) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | 1,371 | 1,023 | (348) | 4,112 | 2,721 | (1,391) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 112,550 | 40,728 | (71,822) | 326,896 | 126,521 | (200,375) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pretax income | 200,983 | 255,461 | (54,478) | 587,670 | 749,481 | (161,811) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax provision | 44,401 | 57,181 | 12,780 | 127,244 | 168,877 | 41,633 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 156,582 | $ | 198,280 | $ | (41,698) | $ | 460,426 | $ | 580,604 | $ | (120,178) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted net income per share | $ | 0.98 | $ | 1.20 | $ | (0.22) | $ | 2.86 | $ | 3.34 | $ | (0.48) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Return on equity | 15.0 | % | 20.7 | % | (5.7) | % | 15.2 | % | 19.4 | % | (4.2) | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income | $ | 210,455 | $ | 272,720 | $ | (62,265) | $ | 594,693 | $ | 839,701 | $ | (245,008) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share | $ | 1.04 | $ | 1.31 | $ | (0.27) | $ | 2.92 | $ | 3.82 | $ | (0.90) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net operating return on equity | 16.0 | % | 22.5 | % | (6.5) | % | 15.5 | % | 22.1 | % | (6.6) | % |
(1)See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned was flat for the three months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022. The decrease in net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022, reflects a decrease in net premiums earned in both our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses in 2023. The decrease in net premiums earned in our mortgage insurance business for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, was driven primarily by an increase in ceded premiums earned under our reinsurance arrangements. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” for more information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Services Revenue. Services revenue for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily driven by the general market decline in mortgage origination volume as well as other market and macroeconomic conditions, as further described in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Services Revenue” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Services Revenue” for more information.
Net Investment Income. The increase in net investment income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, is primarily attributable to higher market interest rates. See “Overview—Current Operating Environment” and “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Revenues—Net Investment Income” for more information.
Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. The favorable change in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, is primarily due to: (i) the general positive movement in equity markets in 2023, compared to 2022, and (ii) moderate increases in market interest rates in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the sharp rise in market interest rates in the same periods in 2022, as further discussed in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See Note 6 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.
Expenses
Provision for Losses. The reduced benefit of the provision for losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, is primarily driven by a reduction in favorable development on prior period defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Expenses—Provision for Losses” for more information.
Cost of Services. Cost of services for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily driven by the decrease in services revenue, as discussed above. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Expenses—Cost of Services” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Expenses—Cost of Services” for more information.
Other Operating Expenses. The decrease in other operating expenses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, is primarily due to decreases in operating expenses in both our Mortgage and homegenius segments. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” for more information.
Interest Expense. The increase in interest expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily reflects increases in: (i) the average balances outstanding of our mortgage loan financing facilities; (ii) the average interest rates on our FHLB advances; and (iii) the interest rates associated with our securities lending program. See Notes 6 and 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about loaned securities and borrowings, respectively.
Income Tax Provision
Variations in our effective tax rates, combined with differences in pretax income, were the drivers of the changes in our income tax provision between periods. Our effective tax rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, was 22.1% and 21.7%, respectively, as compared to 22.4% and 22.5% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively. Our provision for income taxes for interim periods is established based on our estimated annual effective tax rate for a given year and reflects the impact of discrete tax effects in the period in which they occur. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022, our effective tax rates did not differ materially from the statutory federal corporate tax rate of 21%.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.
Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.
Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments. For detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income (loss) and the reasons for their treatment, see Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Results of Operations—Consolidated—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures,” each in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt.
The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted pretax operating income.
Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to consolidated adjusted pretax operating income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated pretax income | $ | 200,983 | $ | 255,461 | $ | 587,670 | $ | 749,481 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: income (expense) items | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (1) | (8,838) | (16,252) | (3,664) | (87,578) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | (1,371) | (1,023) | (4,112) | (2,721) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | 737 | 16 | 753 | 79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total adjusted pretax operating income (2) | $ | 210,455 | $ | 272,720 | $ | 594,693 | $ | 839,701 |
(1)Excludes certain net gains (losses), if any, on investments and other financial instruments that are attributable to specific operating segments and therefore included in adjusted pretax operating income (loss).
(2)Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage segment, homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted net income per share | $ | 0.98 | $ | 1.20 | $ | 2.86 | $ | 3.34 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | (0.06) | (0.10) | (0.02) | (0.50) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.03) | (0.02) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | 0.01 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1) | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.07) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items | (0.06) | (0.11) | (0.06) | (0.48) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1) | $ | 1.04 | $ | 1.31 | $ | 2.92 | $ | 3.82 |
(1)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.
Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.
Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Return on equity (1) | 15.0 | % | 20.7 | % | 15.2 | % | 19.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | (0.9) | (1.7) | (0.1) | (2.9) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets | (0.2) | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items | 0.1 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3) | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates | (0.2) | (0.4) | (0.1) | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items | (1.0) | (1.8) | (0.3) | (2.7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net operating return on equity (3) | 16.0 | % | 22.5 | % | 15.5 | % | 22.1 | % |
(1)Calculated by dividing annualized net income by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.
(2)Annualized, as a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.
(3)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.
50
Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Results of Operations—Mortgage
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
The following table summarizes our Mortgage segment’s results of operations for the periods indicated.
Summary results of operations - Mortgage | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 235,169 | $ | 235,076 | $ | 93 | $ | 679,128 | $ | 732,081 | $ | (52,953) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums | 1,632 | 121 | 1,511 | (145) | (4,801) | 4,656 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 236,801 | 235,197 | 1,604 | 678,983 | 727,280 | (48,297) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | 266 | 405 | (139) | 886 | 7,062 | (6,176) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 50,345 | 44,842 | 5,503 | 145,397 | 119,056 | 26,341 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other income | 1,237 | 589 | 648 | 4,070 | 1,864 | 2,206 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 288,649 | 281,033 | 7,616 | 829,336 | 855,262 | (25,926) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | (8,257) | (97,493) | (89,236) | (46,744) | (295,865) | (249,121) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 6,920 | 5,442 | (1,478) | 18,431 | 17,987 | (444) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 172 | 373 | 201 | 556 | 5,716 | 5,160 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 48,520 | 55,853 | 7,333 | 159,245 | 174,528 | 15,283 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 22,693 | 21,183 | (1,510) | 67,062 | 62,860 | (4,202) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 70,048 | (14,642) | (84,690) | 198,550 | (34,774) | (233,324) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (1) | $ | 218,601 | $ | 295,675 | $ | (77,074) | $ | 630,786 | $ | 890,036 | $ | (259,250) |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned was flat for the three months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022. Net premiums earned decreased for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022, primarily due to: (i) a decrease in the profit commission retained by the Company as a result of less favorable reserve development in the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022; (ii) an increase in ceded premiums earned under the 2022 QSR Agreement, which began ceding a portion of NIW in the third quarter of 2022; and (iii) a decrease in the benefit, net of reinsurance, from Single Premium Policy cancellations due to lower refinance activity. These impacts were partially offset by an increase in direct premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations, which benefited the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022, due primarily to higher IIF.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.
Net premiums earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except as otherwise indicated) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations | $ | 254,903 | $ | 250,140 | $ | 4,763 | $ | 758,606 | $ | 743,676 | $ | 14,930 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium Policy cancellations | 3,304 | 6,705 | (3,401) | 12,645 | 28,295 | (15,650) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | 258,207 | 256,845 | 1,362 | 771,251 | 771,971 | (720) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assumed (1) | — | 1,211 | (1,211) | — | 4,081 | (4,081) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations (2) | (32,363) | (38,879) | 6,516 | (125,805) | (94,783) | (31,022) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium Policy cancellations (3) | (873) | (1,844) | 971 | (3,459) | (8,001) | 4,542 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Profit commission—other (4) | 11,830 | 17,864 | (6,034) | 36,996 | 54,012 | (17,016) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission | (21,406) | (22,859) | 1,453 | (92,268) | (48,772) | (43,496) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net premiums earned | $ | 236,801 | $ | 235,197 | $ | 1,604 | $ | 678,983 | $ | 727,280 | $ | (48,297) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3.0 | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (5) | 38.0 | 39.2 | (1.2) | 38.1 | 39.5 | (1.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (6) | 38.5 | 40.2 | (1.7) | 38.8 | 41.0 | (2.2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premium yield (in basis points) (7) | 35.3 | 36.7 | (1.4) | 34.1 | 38.4 | (4.3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average primary IIF (in billions) (8) | $ | 268.2 | $ | 256.7 | $ | 11.5 | $ | 265.3 | $ | 252.5 | $ | 12.8 |
(1)Includes premiums earned from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs. In December 2022, we novated this insured risk to an unrelated third-party reinsurer, which assumed all rights, interests, liabilities and obligations related to our participation in these programs on a prospective basis. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information about this novation.
(2)The nine months ended September 30, 2023, include the impact of tender offers by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. to purchase the mortgage insurance-linked notes that supported their reinsurance agreements with Radian Guaranty. As a result of these tender offers, Radian Guaranty incurred additional ceded premiums earned during the second quarter of 2023 of $21 million, consisting of $16 million related to the cost of tender premiums and associated expenses and $5 million related to the acceleration of deferred costs from the original executions of these transactions.
(3)Includes the impact of related profit commissions.
(4)Represents the profit commission from the Single Premium QSR Program, 2022 QSR Agreement and 2023 QSR Agreement, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.
(5)Calculated by dividing annualized direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.
(6)Calculated by dividing annualized direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.
(7)Calculated by dividing annualized net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs.
(8)The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.
The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—IIF and Related Drivers” in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.
Ceded premiums earned | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Excess-of-Loss Program (1) | $ | 9,040 | $ | 22,184 | $ | 61,882 | $ | 59,064 | ||||||||||||||||||
2022 QSR Agreement | 7,987 | 3,694 | 21,959 | 3,694 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Single Premium QSR Program (2) | 3,344 | (3,465) | 6,726 | (15,493) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 QSR Agreement | 768 | — | 768 | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | 267 | 446 | 933 | 1,507 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total ceded premiums earned (3) | $ | 21,406 | $ | 22,859 | $ | 92,268 | $ | 48,772 | ||||||||||||||||||
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned | 8.3 | % | 8.6 | % | 12.0 | % | 6.1 | % |
(1)Ceded premiums earned for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, includes the impact from a decrease in outstanding reinsurance under our Excess-of-Loss Program as compared to the same prior year periods. This decline was partially offset in the nine months ended September 30, 2023, by the impact of tender offers that were completed in the second quarter of 2023, by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. to purchase the mortgage insurance-linked notes that supported their reinsurance agreements with Radian Guaranty. As a result of these tender offers, Radian Guaranty incurred additional ceded premiums earned during the second quarter of 2023 of $21 million, consisting of $16 million related to the cost of tender premiums and associated expenses and $5 million related to the acceleration of deferred costs from the original executions of these transactions.
(2)Includes the increase in the profit commission retained by the Company due to favorable reserve development, including a significant impact in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022. See “Expenses—Provision for Losses” below for additional information on the favorable reserve development.
(3)Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Services Revenue. Services revenue for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, in part due to a decrease in demand for our contract underwriting services as a result of the general market decline in mortgage origination volume. In addition, the termination of a contract with a large fulfillment customer in the second quarter of 2022 contributed to the decline in services revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. For more information on recent macroeconomic stresses see “Overview—Current Operating Environment.”
Net Investment Income. Increasing yields from higher interest rates were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022.
The following table provides information related to our mortgage subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields for the periods indicated.
Investment balances and yields | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment income | $ | 51,578 | $ | 46,406 | $ | 5,172 | $ | 149,258 | $ | 123,627 | $ | 25,631 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses | (1,233) | (1,564) | 331 | (3,861) | (4,571) | 710 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | $ | 50,345 | $ | 44,842 | $ | 5,503 | $ | 145,397 | $ | 119,056 | $ | 26,341 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average investments (1) | $ | 5,333,104 | $ | 5,613,010 | $ | (279,906) | $ | 5,329,118 | $ | 5,729,948 | $ | (400,830) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average investment yield (2) | 3.8 | % | 3.2 | % | 0.6 | % | 3.6 | % | 2.8 | % | 0.8 | % |
(1) The average of the beginning and ending amortized cost, for each period presented, of investments held by our mortgage subsidiaries.
(2) Calculated by dividing annualized net investment income by average investments balance.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Expenses
Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.
Provision for losses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current period defaults (1) | $ | 46,630 | $ | 39,191 | $ | (7,439) | $ | 130,740 | $ | 115,159 | $ | (15,581) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior period defaults (2) | (54,887) | (136,684) | (81,797) | (177,484) | (411,024) | (233,540) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total provision for losses | $ | (8,257) | $ | (97,493) | $ | (89,236) | $ | (46,744) | $ | (295,865) | $ | (249,121) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio (3) | (3.5) | % | (41.5) | % | (38.0) | % | (6.9) | % | (40.7) | % | (33.8) | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve per new default (4) | $ | 4,180 | $ | 4,082 | $ | (98) | $ | 4,143 | $ | 4,265 | $ | 122 |
(1)Related to defaulted loans with the most recent default notice dated in the period indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior period, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current period, the default would be considered a current period default.
(2)Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a period earlier than the period indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.
(3)Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.
(4)Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by new primary defaults for each period.
Current period new primary defaults increased by 16% and 17% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, respectively, as shown below, consistent with the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at both September 30, 2023 and 2022, as we continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.
Our provision for losses during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, and the same periods in 2022, was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices.
The benefit from this favorable development on prior period defaults was lower in the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022, due primarily to the reduction in the beginning primary default inventory between the two periods. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements herein for additional information, as well as Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Our primary default rate as a percentage of total insured loans at September 30, 2023, was 2.0% compared to 2.2% at December 31, 2022. The following table shows a rollforward of our primary loans in default.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Rollforward of primary loans in default | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning default inventory | 19,880 | 21,861 | 21,913 | 29,061 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
New defaults | 11,156 | 9,601 | 31,555 | 27,003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cures | (10,467) | (10,222) | (32,671) | (34,563) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Claims paid | (111) | (141) | (282) | (352) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Rescissions and Claim Denials (1) | (52) | (22) | (109) | (72) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending default inventory | 20,406 | 21,077 | 20,406 | 21,077 |
(1)Net of any previous Rescissions and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.
The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.
Primary loans in default - additional information | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | Foreclosure Stage Defaulted Loans | Cure % During the 3rd Quarter | Reserve for Losses | % of Reserve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | # | % | # | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missed payments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three payments or less | 9,874 | 48.4 | % | 24 | 37.1 | % | $ | 86,896 | 25.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four to eleven payments | 6,438 | 31.5 | 235 | 31.3 | 115,640 | 33.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Twelve payments or more | 3,748 | 18.4 | 761 | 17.9 | 122,657 | 35.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pending claims | 346 | 1.7 | N/A | 27.0 | 18,143 | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 20,406 | 100.0 | % | 1,020 | 343,336 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LAE | 8,632 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IBNR | 1,373 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total primary reserve (1) | $ | 353,341 |
December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | Foreclosure Stage Defaulted Loans | Cure % During the 4th Quarter | Reserve for Losses | % of Reserve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | # | % | # | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missed payments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three payments or less | 9,584 | 43.7 | % | 8 | 35.5 | % | $ | 77,987 | 19.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four to eleven payments | 6,842 | 31.2 | 189 | 27.4 | 114,537 | 28.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Twelve payments or more | 5,158 | 23.6 | 750 | 22.9 | 190,148 | 47.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pending claims | 329 | 1.5 | N/A | 23.5 | 16,202 | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 21,913 | 100.0 | % | 947 | 398,874 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LAE | 10,041 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IBNR | 2,128 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total primary reserve (1) | $ | 411,043 |
N/A – Not applicable
(1) Excludes pool and other reserves. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates based primarily on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. Our aggregate weighted average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Rescissions, was approximately 27% and 30% as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.
Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage—Defaults and Claims” in our 2022 Form 10-K) that make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.
The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.
Claims paid | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net claims paid (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primary | $ | 4,325 | $ | 3,606 | $ | 10,802 | $ | 12,418 | ||||||||||||||||||
Pool and other | 413 | (420) | 114 | (1,231) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal | 4,738 | 3,186 | 10,916 | 11,187 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of commutations and settlements | — | 1,317 | — | 1,317 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total net claims paid | $ | 4,738 | $ | 4,503 | $ | 10,916 | $ | 12,504 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total average net primary claim paid (1) (2) | $ | 37.6 | $ | 45.1 | $ | 36.0 | $ | 42.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
Average direct primary claim paid (2) (3) | $ | 38.7 | $ | 45.2 | $ | 37.2 | $ | 42.9 |
(1)Net of reinsurance recoveries.
(2)Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) commutations and settlements; (ii) claims settled without payment; and (iii) claims that were submitted and subsequently withdrawn by the servicer.
(3)Before reinsurance recoveries.
For additional information about our reserve for losses, see “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Critical Accounting Estimates” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Cost of Services. Cost of services for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue, as discussed above. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Other Operating Expenses. The decrease in other operating expenses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, is primarily related to reductions in headcount and other expense savings actions implemented for the segment during the past year.
The following table shows additional information about Mortgage other operating expenses, for the periods indicated.
Other operating expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other base employee expenses | $ | 9,877 | $ | 13,275 | $ | 3,398 | $ | 31,946 | $ | 37,059 | $ | 5,113 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 4,465 | 3,550 | (915) | 13,018 | 13,220 | 202 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other general operating expenses | 7,587 | 10,843 | 3,256 | 25,232 | 33,411 | 8,179 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commissions | (5,153) | (4,273) | 880 | (14,605) | (11,066) | 3,539 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total direct | 16,776 | 23,395 | 6,619 | 55,591 | 72,624 | 17,033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other base employee expenses | 10,425 | 10,549 | 124 | 33,703 | $ | 33,374 | (329) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 9,184 | 6,636 | (2,548) | 27,405 | 25,187 | (2,218) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other general operating expenses | 12,135 | 15,273 | 3,138 | 42,546 | 43,343 | 797 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total allocated | 31,744 | 32,458 | 714 | 103,654 | 101,904 | (1,750) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 48,520 | $ | 55,853 | $ | 7,333 | $ | 159,245 | $ | 174,528 | $ | 15,283 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expense ratio (2) | 23.4 | % | 26.1 | % | 2.7 | % | 26.2 | % | 26.5 | % | 0.3 | % |
(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.
(2)Operating expenses (which consist of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Results of Operations—homegenius
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
The following table summarizes our homegenius segment’s results of operations for the periods indicated. As discussed in “Overview—Current Operating Environment,” the macroeconomic stresses beginning in the second quarter of 2022 have continued to adversely affect our homegenius business, including in particular a decrease in our title revenues due to the rapid decline in industrywide refinance volumes. We expect this trend to continue to impact the results of our homegenius segment in at least the near-term based on current market conditions and our expectation that overall refinance volumes will remain low.
Summary results of operations - homegenius | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 3,461 | $ | 5,025 | $ | (1,564) | $ | 7,946 | $ | 21,024 | $ | (13,078) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Services revenue | 10,723 | 19,812 | (9,089) | 33,083 | 69,951 | (36,868) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | 523 | 246 | 277 | 1,445 | 363 | 1,082 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 14,707 | 25,083 | (10,376) | 42,474 | 91,338 | (48,864) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 122 | 435 | 313 | 48 | 1,225 | 1,177 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of services | 8,714 | 18,344 | 9,630 | 28,985 | 60,514 | 31,529 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 26,803 | 31,840 | 5,037 | 81,835 | 86,331 | 4,496 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 35,639 | 50,619 | 14,980 | 110,868 | 148,070 | 37,202 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1) | $ | (20,932) | $ | (25,536) | $ | 4,604 | $ | (68,394) | $ | (56,732) | $ | (11,662) |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily due to a decrease in new title policies written in our title insurance business given the decline in industrywide refinance volumes.
Services Revenue. Services revenue for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily due to a decrease in real estate and title services revenue resulting from the recent macroeconomic stresses, as described above. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for the disaggregation of services revenue by revenue type.
Expenses
Cost of Services. Cost of services for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreased as compared to the same periods in 2022, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing those services. As further discussed in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Overview—Current Operating Environment” in our 2022 Form 10-K, the number of employees was reduced for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same periods in 2022, as a result of the steps taken in 2022 to better align our workforce with the current and expected needs of our business.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Other Operating Expenses. The following table shows additional information about homegenius other operating expenses. Included in the results for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, are severance expenses of $1.9 million related to additional reductions in headcount in response to the ongoing challenging macroeconomic environment for the homegenius segment’s products and services, compared to $0.8 million of severance expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. In addition, other general operating expenses were reduced in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, as a result of additional expense saving actions implemented in 2023.
Other operating expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other base employee expenses | $ | 10,214 | $ | 11,572 | $ | 1,358 | $ | 32,080 | $ | 30,461 | $ | (1,619) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 3,582 | 3,312 | (270) | 10,253 | 10,721 | 468 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other general operating expenses | 7,036 | 9,549 | 2,513 | 22,109 | 23,846 | 1,737 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title agent commissions | 1,730 | 1,850 | 120 | 3,540 | 4,748 | 1,208 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total direct | 22,562 | 26,283 | 3,721 | 67,982 | 69,776 | 1,794 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Salaries and other base employee expenses | 1,405 | 1,831 | 426 | 4,535 | 5,504 | 969 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable and share-based incentive compensation | 1,252 | 1,117 | (135) | 3,731 | 4,006 | 275 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other general operating expenses | 1,584 | 2,609 | 1,025 | 5,587 | 7,045 | 1,458 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total allocated | 4,241 | 5,557 | 1,316 | 13,853 | 16,555 | 2,702 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other operating expenses | $ | 26,803 | $ | 31,840 | $ | 5,037 | $ | 81,835 | $ | 86,331 | $ | 4,496 |
(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Results of Operations—All Other
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023, Compared to Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
The following table summarizes our All Other results of operations for the periods indicated.
Summary results of operations - All Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | Nine Months Ended September 30, | Change Favorable (Unfavorable) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income | $ | 17,957 | $ | 6,326 | $ | 11,631 | $ | 45,386 | $ | 17,148 | $ | 28,238 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments | 283 | — | 283 | 458 | — | 458 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other income | 9 | 70 | (61) | 13 | 70 | (57) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 18,249 | 6,396 | 11,853 | 45,857 | 17,218 | 28,639 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 3,854 | 3,815 | (39) | 11,470 | 10,821 | (649) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 1,609 | — | (1,609) | 2,086 | — | (2,086) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 5,463 | 3,815 | (1,648) | 13,556 | 10,821 | (2,735) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted pretax operating income (1) | $ | 12,786 | $ | 2,581 | $ | 10,205 | $ | 32,301 | $ | 6,397 | $ | 25,904 |
(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Our All Other results include income from investments held at Radian Group, which have benefited from rising interest rates over the past year as well as from rising balances resulting from distributions by Radian Guaranty.
All Other also includes the financial results of Radian Mortgage Capital. In light of current market conditions, Radian Mortgage Capital has continued to take a cautious approach. As of September 30, 2023, Radian Mortgage Capital owned $138 million of mortgage loans held for sale. Radian Mortgage Capital has not yet completed any securitizations and is currently focused on distributing the loans it acquires through whole loan sales. See Note 6 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our mortgage loans held for sale.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Consolidated Cash Flows
The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.
Summary cash flows - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in): | ||||||||||||||
Operating activities | $ | 264,476 | $ | 282,148 | ||||||||||
Investing activities | (189,445) | 48,556 | ||||||||||||
Financing activities | (74,797) | (427,516) | ||||||||||||
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash | $ | 234 | $ | (96,812) |
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are typically for our operating expenses and claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies. Cash provided by operating activities decreased for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to the same period in 2022, due primarily to increases in net purchases of mortgage loans held for sale in 2023, partially offset by lower payments for operating expenses and lower purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds.
Investing Activities. Net cash used by investing activities increased for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, as compared to cash provided by investing activities in the same period in 2022, primarily as a result of an increase in purchases, net of sales and redemptions, of short-term investments and a decrease in proceeds from sales and redemptions of fixed-maturity investments available for sale and proceeds from redemptions of trading securities, partially offset by a decrease in purchases of fixed-maturity investments available for sale.
Financing Activities. For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, our primary financing activities impacting cash included: (i) payment of dividends and (ii) repurchases of our common stock. The decreases in these amounts were partially offset by an increase in secured borrowings, primarily to help fund the increase in net purchases of mortgage loans held for sale. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.
See “Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)—Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)” for additional information.
Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At September 30, 2023, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $1.0 billion. Available liquidity at September 30, 2023, excludes certain additional cash and liquid investments that have been advanced to Radian Group from its subsidiaries to pay for corporate expenses and interest payments. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $1.3 billion as of September 30, 2023.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, Radian Group’s available liquidity increased by $101 million, due primarily to a $100 million ordinary dividend received from Radian Guaranty in each of the first three quarters of 2023, partially offset by payments for dividends and share repurchases, as described below.
In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; and (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries.
Radian Group has in place a $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At September 30, 2023, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.
In connection with our mortgage conduit initiative, in 2022, Radian Mortgage Capital entered into the Master Repurchase Agreements. At that time, Radian Group entered into two separate Parent Guarantees to guaranty the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements. Under these Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is subject to negative and affirmative covenants customary for this type of financing transaction, including compliance with financial covenants that are generally consistent with the comparable covenants in the Company’s revolving credit facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. In addition to financing the acquisition of mortgage loan assets under the Master Repurchase Agreements, Radian Mortgage Capital may fund such purchases directly using capital contributed from Radian Group.
We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iii) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which are currently $0.225 per share, and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies; (iv) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; and (v) investments to support our business strategy, including capital contributions to our subsidiaries. Liquidity demands may also include potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.
In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.4 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years. See “Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile. Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations and
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
(ii) additional investments to support our business strategy, including additional capital contributions to its subsidiaries. For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, see “Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K. See also “Overview—Current Operating Environment” herein for further information.
We believe that Radian Group has sufficient current sources of liquidity to fund its obligations. If we otherwise decide to increase our liquidity position, Radian Group may seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.
Share Repurchases. During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the Company repurchased 2.8 million shares of Radian Group common stock under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $70 million, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. In February 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to the Company’s quarterly dividend from $0.20 to $0.225 per share. Based on our current outstanding shares of common stock and restricted stock units, we expect to require approximately $140 million in the aggregate to pay dividends and dividend equivalents for the next 12 months. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ discretion and determination.
Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during the nine months ended September 30, 2023, of $122 million and $63 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.
Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. Radian Group received $23 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its subsidiaries during the nine months ended September 30, 2023.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Capitalization—Holding Company
The following table presents our holding company capital structure.
Capital structure | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||
Debt | ||||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2024 | $ | 450,000 | $ | 450,000 | ||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2025 | 525,000 | 525,000 | ||||||||||||
Senior Notes due 2027 | 450,000 | 450,000 | ||||||||||||
Deferred debt costs on senior notes | (8,313) | (11,496) | ||||||||||||
Revolving credit facility | — | — | ||||||||||||
Total | 1,416,687 | 1,413,504 | ||||||||||||
Stockholders’ equity | 4,152,899 | 3,919,327 | ||||||||||||
Total capitalization | $ | 5,569,586 | $ | 5,332,831 | ||||||||||
Holding company debt-to-capital ratio (1) | 25.4 | % | 26.5 | % | ||||||||||
Shares outstanding | 155,582 | 157,056 | ||||||||||||
Book value per share | $ | 26.69 | $ | 24.95 |
(1)Calculated as carrying value of senior notes, which were issued and are owed by our holding company, divided by carrying value of senior notes and stockholders’ equity. This holding company ratio does not include the effects of amounts owed by our subsidiaries related to secured borrowings.
Stockholders’ equity increased by $234 million from December 31, 2022, to September 30, 2023. The net increase in stockholders’ equity for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, resulted primarily from our net income of $460 million, partially offset by dividends of $111 million, share repurchases of $70 million and a net increase in unrealized losses on investment securities of $64 million as a result of increases in market interest rates during the period. As of September 30, 2023, we did not expect to realize a loss for our investments in an unrealized loss position given our intent and ability to hold these investment securities until recovery of their amortized cost basis.
The increase in book value per share from $24.95 at December 31, 2022, to $26.69 at September 30, 2023, is primarily due to an increase of $2.93 per share attributable to our net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, partially offset by: (i) a decrease of $0.71 per share attributable to dividends and dividend equivalents and (ii) a decrease of $0.41 per share due to a net increase in unrealized losses in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income.
We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities. In the past we have repurchased and exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.
Mortgage
Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans. Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; and (iii) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information related to these non-interest bearing instruments. In addition to the foregoing liquidity demands, other payments have included, and in the future could include, distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital or recurring ordinary dividends, as discussed below.
The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our mortgage subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future.
As of September 30, 2023, our mortgage insurance subsidiaries maintained claims paying resources of $6.0 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of September 30, 2023, was 10.6 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At September 30, 2023, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $674 million. This balance includes a $697 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information.
Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At September 30, 2023, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $5.8 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $1.7 billion, or 41%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets of $5.6 billion and a PMIERs cushion of $1.7 billion, or 45%, at December 31, 2022.
Our PMIERs Cushion as of September 30, 2023, includes the benefit from our reinsurance agreements through that date. In October 2023, Radian Guaranty entered into a fully collateralized reinsurance agreement with Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. that will reduce Radian Guaranty’s net RIF by $353 million, and is expected to reduce capital required to be held at Radian Guaranty by reducing the PMIERs Minimum Required Assets by substantially the same amount. Also in October 2023, Radian Guaranty entered into the 2023 XOL Agreement with a panel of third-party reinsurance providers that will reduce Radian Guaranty’s net RIF by $246 million, and is expected to reduce capital required to be held at Radian Guaranty by reducing the PMIERs Minimum Required Assets by substantially the same amount. After consideration of these transactions, Radian Guaranty’s excess of Available Assets over its Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs, as of September 30, 2023, would have increased from $1.7 billion to $2.2 billion, or from 41% to 63%. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these new agreements.
Our PMIERs Cushion at September 30, 2023, also includes a benefit from the current broad-based application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge that has reduced the total amount of Minimum Required Assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would have been required to hold against pandemic-related defaults by approximately $135 million and $200 million as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively, taking into consideration our risk distribution structures in effect as of those dates. The application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge has reduced Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Minimum Required Assets, but we expect this benefit will continue to diminish over time. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K for more information about the Disaster Related Capital Charge.
Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.
Aided by the positive impacts of its merger with Radian Reinsurance in December 2022, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $258 million as of December 31, 2022, providing Radian Guaranty with the ability to pay ordinary dividends beginning in the first quarter of 2023, subject to the preceding year’s statutory net income and other limitations under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws. As a result, Radian Guaranty paid an ordinary dividend of $100 million to Radian Group in each of the first three quarters of 2023 and maintains the ability to pay additional ordinary dividends during the remainder of 2023. Subsequent to the payment of these dividends, as of September 30, 2023, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $174 million. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional information on our statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.
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Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of September 30, 2023, there were $120 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
homegenius
As of September 30, 2023, our homegenius segment maintained cash and liquid investments totaling $59 million, including $45 million held by Radian Title Insurance.
Title insurance companies, including Radian Title Insurance, are subject to comprehensive state regulations, including minimum net worth requirements. Radian Title Insurance was in compliance with all of its minimum net worth requirements at September 30, 2023. In the event the cash flows from operations of the homegenius segment are not adequate to fund all of its needs, including the regulatory capital needs of Radian Title Insurance, Radian Group may provide additional funds to the homegenius segment in the form of an intercompany note or other capital contribution, and if needed for Radian Title Insurance, subject to the approval of the Ohio Department of Insurance. Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in new business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses. During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, Radian Group contributed $80 million in capital support to its homegenius subsidiaries.
Liquidity levels may fluctuate depending on the levels and contractual timing of our invoicing and the payment practices of our homegenius clients, in combination with the timing of our homegenius segment’s payments for employee compensation and to external vendors. The amount, if any, and timing of the homegenius segment’s dividend paying capacity will depend primarily on the amount of excess cash flow generated by the segment.
Ratings
We believe that ratings independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations often are considered by others in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Title Insurance are currently assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below, which are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See “The current financial strength ratings assigned to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries could weaken our competitive position and potential downgrades by rating agencies to these ratings and the ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Ratings | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Subsidiary | Moody’s (1) | S&P (1) | Fitch (1) | Demotech | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Group | Baa3 | BB+ | BBB- | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Guaranty | A3 | BBB+ | A- | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Radian Title Insurance | N/A | N/A | N/A | A |
(1)Moody’s, S&P and Fitch each currently rate the outlook for both Radian Group and Radian Guaranty as Stable.
Critical Accounting Estimates
As of the filing date of this report, there were no significant changes in our critical accounting estimates from those discussed in our 2022 Form 10-K. See Note 2 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for accounting pronouncements issued but not yet adopted that may impact the Company’s consolidated financial position, earnings, cash flows or disclosures.
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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Market risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the value of financial instruments as a result of changes in market conditions. Examples of market risk include changes in interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency exchange rates and equity prices. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. See “Our success depends, in part, on our ability to manage risks in our investment portfolio” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2022 Form 10-K.
Our market risk exposures at September 30, 2023, have not materially changed from those identified in our 2022
Form 10-K.
Form 10-K.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
We maintain disclosure controls and procedures designed to provide reasonable assurance that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
Our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Exchange Act) as of September 30, 2023, pursuant to Rule 15d-15(b) under the Exchange Act. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that, as of September 30, 2023, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective to provide reasonable assurance that the information required to be disclosed by us in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
During the three-month period ended September 30, 2023, there has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
PART II—OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
We are routinely involved in a number of legal actions and proceedings, including reviews, audits, inquiries, information-gathering requests and investigations by various regulatory entities, as well as litigation and other disputes arising in the ordinary course of our business. See Note 13 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding legal actions and proceedings.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
There have been no material changes to our risk factors from those previously disclosed in our 2022 Form 10-K.
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Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities, Use of Proceeds, and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
During the three months ended September 30, 2023, no equity securities of Radian Group were sold that were not registered under the Securities Act.
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
The following table provides information about purchases of Radian Group common stock by us (and our affiliated purchasers) during the three months ended September 30, 2023.
Share repurchase program | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) | Total Number of Shares Purchased (1) | Average Price Paid per Share | Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (2) | Approximate Dollar Value of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under the Plans or Programs (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Period | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7/1/2023 to 7/31/2023 | 3,630 | $ | 24.88 | — | $ | 280,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
8/1/2023 to 8/31/2023 | 1,882,874 | 26.71 | 1,872,903 | 230,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9/1/2023 to 9/30/2023 | 4,142 | 27.23 | — | 230,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 1,890,646 | 1,872,903 |
(1)Includes 17,743 shares tendered by employees as payment of taxes withheld on the vesting of certain restricted stock awards granted under the Company’s equity compensation plans.
(2)In January 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the Company to spend up to $300 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock. During the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company purchased 1.9 million shares at an average price of $26.71, including commissions, under this share repurchase program, which expires in January 2025. See Note 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase program.
Limitations on Payment of Dividends
Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except as described below. The Company is subject to dividend limitations generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. In addition, pursuant to Radian Group’s revolving credit facility and the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is permitted to pay dividends so long as no event of default exists and the Company is in pro forma compliance with the applicable financial covenants in the agreements on the date a dividend is declared. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2022 Form 10-K for additional details.
Item 5. Other Information
None of the directors or officers (as defined in Rule 16a-1(f) promulgated under the Exchange Act) of the Company adopted or terminated any Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement or any non-Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement (as such terms are defined in Item 408 of Regulation S-K) during the period covered by this Report.
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Item 6. Exhibits
Exhibit Number | Exhibit | |||||||
10.1 | ||||||||
10.2 | ||||||||
10.3 | ||||||||
10.4 | ||||||||
10.5 | ||||||||
10.6+ | ||||||||
10.7+ | ||||||||
31* | ||||||||
32** | ||||||||
101.INS* | Inline XBRL Instance Document - the instance document does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document. | |||||||
101.SCH* | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document | |||||||
101.CAL* | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document | |||||||
101.DEF* | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document | |||||||
101.LAB* | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document | |||||||
101.PRE* | Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document | |||||||
104* | Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL and contained in Exhibit 101.INS) |
* Filed herewith.
** Furnished herewith.
+ Management contract, compensatory plan or arrangement
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Signatures
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||
Date: | November 3, 2023 | /s/ SUMITA PANDIT | ||||||
Sumita Pandit | ||||||||
Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer | ||||||||
Date: | November 3, 2023 | /s/ ROBERT J. QUIGLEY | ||||||
Robert J. Quigley | ||||||||
Executive Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer |
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