SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP INC - Quarter Report: 2005 June (Form 10-Q)
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
ý QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13
OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2005
OR
o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13
OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission File Number: 000-50070
SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware |
13-4181699 |
(State
or other jurisdiction of |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
20 Custom House Street, Boston, Massachusetts 02110
(Address of principal executive offices including zip code)
(617) 951-0600
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ý No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ý No o
As of August 5, 2005, there were 15,734,937 shares of common stock with a par value of $0.01 per share outstanding.
SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Table of Contents
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
(Dollars in thousands, except share data)
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
|||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|||
|
|
(Unaudited) |
|
|
|
|||
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Investment securities available for sale: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: $663,078 and $650,159) |
|
$ |
673,766 |
|
$ |
663,509 |
|
|
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: $2,036 and $1,037) |
|
2,076 |
|
1,087 |
|
|||
Total investment securities |
|
675,842 |
|
664,596 |
|
|||
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
170,002 |
|
155,673 |
|
|||
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts |
|
170,622 |
|
150,451 |
|
|||
Accrued investment income |
|
7,228 |
|
7,008 |
|
|||
Receivable from reinsurers related to paid loss and loss adjustment expenses |
|
20,778 |
|
18,980 |
|
|||
Receivable from reinsurers related to unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses |
|
83,957 |
|
84,167 |
|
|||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
42,202 |
|
43,402 |
|
|||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
49,599 |
|
42,919 |
|
|||
Deferred income taxes |
|
14,943 |
|
12,679 |
|
|||
Equity and deposits in pools |
|
45,890 |
|
23,678 |
|
|||
Other assets |
|
2,136 |
|
2,892 |
|
|||
Total assets |
|
$ |
1,283,199 |
|
$ |
1,206,445 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves |
|
$ |
462,729 |
|
$ |
450,897 |
|
|
Unearned premium reserves |
|
378,034 |
|
337,786 |
|
|||
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities |
|
25,637 |
|
43,684 |
|
|||
Taxes payable |
|
4,021 |
|
3,509 |
|
|||
Outstanding claims drafts |
|
19,913 |
|
16,832 |
|
|||
Payable to reinsurers |
|
30,993 |
|
16,990 |
|
|||
Payable for securities purchased |
|
|
|
10,972 |
|
|||
Capital lease obligations |
|
376 |
|
485 |
|
|||
Debt |
|
19,956 |
|
19,956 |
|
|||
Total liabilities |
|
941,659 |
|
901,111 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Commitments and contingencies (Note 7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Shareholders equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Common stock: $0.01 par value; 30,000,000 shares authorized; 15,729,137 and 15,500,052 shares issued and outstanding , respectively |
|
157 |
|
155 |
|
|||
Additional paid-in capital |
|
118,004 |
|
114,070 |
|
|||
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of taxes |
|
6,973 |
|
8,709 |
|
|||
Retained earnings |
|
216,406 |
|
182,400 |
|
|||
Total shareholders equity |
|
341,540 |
|
305,334 |
|
|||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
1,283,199 |
|
$ |
1,206,445 |
|
|
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.
3
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(Unaudited)
(Dollars in thousands, except per share and share data)
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Net earned premiums |
|
$ |
156,514 |
|
$ |
146,584 |
|
$ |
312,930 |
|
$ |
290,510 |
|
Net investment income |
|
7,653 |
|
6,633 |
|
15,112 |
|
13,456 |
|
||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments |
|
(11 |
) |
87 |
|
396 |
|
604 |
|
||||
Finance and other service income |
|
3,977 |
|
3,855 |
|
7,946 |
|
7,600 |
|
||||
Total revenue |
|
168,133 |
|
157,159 |
|
336,384 |
|
312,170 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
|
93,802 |
|
105,615 |
|
203,972 |
|
216,927 |
|
||||
Underwriting, operating and related expenses |
|
39,975 |
|
36,454 |
|
76,566 |
|
70,440 |
|
||||
Interest expenses |
|
225 |
|
159 |
|
448 |
|
312 |
|
||||
Total expenses |
|
134,002 |
|
142,228 |
|
280,986 |
|
287,679 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Income before income taxes |
|
34,131 |
|
14,931 |
|
55,398 |
|
24,491 |
|
||||
Income tax expense |
|
10,885 |
|
4,651 |
|
17,650 |
|
7,841 |
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
23,246 |
|
$ |
10,280 |
|
$ |
37,748 |
|
$ |
16,650 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Earnings per weighted average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
$ |
1.49 |
|
$ |
0.67 |
|
$ |
2.43 |
|
$ |
1.09 |
|
Diluted |
|
$ |
1.46 |
|
$ |
0.66 |
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Cash dividends paid per common share |
|
$ |
0.12 |
|
$ |
0.10 |
|
$ |
0.24 |
|
$ |
0.20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
15,583,473 |
|
15,269,475 |
|
15,512,120 |
|
15,264,879 |
|
||||
Diluted |
|
15,874,315 |
|
15,467,370 |
|
15,845,024 |
|
15,441,924 |
|
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.
4
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders Equity
(Unaudited)
(Dollars in thousands)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated |
|
Promissory |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
Notes |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
Additional |
|
Comprehensive |
|
Receivable |
|
|
|
Total |
|
|||||||
|
|
Common |
|
Paid-in |
|
Income/(Loss), |
|
From |
|
Retained |
|
Shareholders |
|
|||||||
|
|
Stock |
|
Capital |
|
Net of Taxes |
|
Management |
|
Earnings |
|
Equity |
|
|||||||
Balance at December 31, 2003 |
|
$ |
153 |
|
$ |
111,074 |
|
$ |
12,650 |
|
$ |
(34 |
) |
$ |
144,177 |
|
$ |
268,020 |
|
|
Net income, Janury 1 to June 30, 2004 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,650 |
|
16,650 |
|
|||||||
Payments on promissory notes from management |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of deferred federal income taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
(10,505 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(10,505 |
) |
|||||||
Exercise of options and unearned compensation on restricted stock, net of deferred federal income taxes |
|
1 |
|
390 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
391 |
|
|||||||
Dividends paid |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,053 |
) |
(3,053 |
) |
|||||||
Balance at June 30, 2004 |
|
$ |
154 |
|
$ |
111,464 |
|
$ |
2,145 |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
157,774 |
|
$ |
271,537 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
Additional |
|
Comprehensive |
|
|
|
Total |
|
|||||||||
|
|
Common |
|
Paid-in |
|
Income/(Loss), |
|
Retained |
|
Shareholders |
|
|||||||||
|
|
Stock |
|
Capital |
|
Net of Taxes |
|
Earnings |
|
Equity |
|
|||||||||
Balance at December 31, 2004 |
|
$ |
155 |
|
$ |
114,070 |
|
$ |
8,709 |
|
$ |
182,400 |
|
$ |
305,334 |
|
||||
Net income, January 1 to June 30, 2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37,748 |
|
37,748 |
|
|||||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of deferred federal income taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
(1,736 |
) |
|
|
(1,736 |
) |
|||||||||
Exercise of options and unearned compensation on restricted stock, net of deferred federal income taxes |
|
2 |
|
3,934 |
|
|
|
|
|
3,936 |
|
|||||||||
Dividends paid |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,742 |
) |
(3,742 |
) |
|||||||||
Balance at June 30, 2005 |
|
$ |
157 |
|
$ |
118,004 |
|
$ |
6,973 |
|
$ |
216,406 |
|
$ |
341,540 |
|
||||
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.
5
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss)
(Unaudited)
(Dollars in thousands)
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|||||||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
|||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|||||
Net income |
|
$ |
23,246 |
|
$ |
10,280 |
|
$ |
37,748 |
|
$ |
16,650 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Change in unrealized holding gains, net of tax expense (benefit) of $3,131, $(7,651), $(796) and $(5,445) |
|
5,813 |
|
(14,209 |
) |
(1,479 |
) |
(10,112 |
) |
|||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income, net of tax expense (benefit) of $3, $(30), $(139), and $(211) |
|
8 |
|
(57 |
) |
(257 |
) |
(393 |
) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Unrealized gains (losses) on securities available for sale |
|
5,821 |
|
(14,266 |
) |
(1,736 |
) |
(10,505 |
) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Comprehensive income (loss) |
|
$ |
29,067 |
|
$ |
(3,986 |
) |
$ |
36,012 |
|
$ |
6,145 |
|
|
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.
6
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)
(Dollars in thousands)
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
Cash flows from operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Net income |
|
$ |
37,748 |
|
$ |
16,650 |
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Depreciation and amortization, net |
|
4,177 |
|
4,041 |
|
||
Benefit for deferred income taxes |
|
(1,330 |
) |
(730 |
) |
||
Gains on sale of fixed assets |
|
|
|
(4 |
) |
||
Net realized gains on investments |
|
(396 |
) |
(604 |
) |
||
Changes in assets and liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Accounts receivable |
|
(20,171 |
) |
(24,927 |
) |
||
Accrued investment income |
|
(220 |
) |
297 |
|
||
Receivable from reinsurers |
|
(1,588 |
) |
19,018 |
|
||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
1,200 |
|
(9,382 |
) |
||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
(6,680 |
) |
(5,695 |
) |
||
Other assets |
|
(21,287 |
) |
(9,111 |
) |
||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves |
|
11,832 |
|
38,013 |
|
||
Unearned premium reserves |
|
40,248 |
|
55,896 |
|
||
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities |
|
(18,047 |
) |
(14,324 |
) |
||
Payable to reinsurers |
|
14,003 |
|
(10,272 |
) |
||
Other liabilities |
|
4,747 |
|
(561 |
) |
||
Net cash provided by operating activities |
|
44,236 |
|
58,305 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Cash flows from investing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Fixed maturities purchased |
|
(57,485 |
) |
(43,276 |
) |
||
Equity securities purchased |
|
(1,132 |
) |
|
|
||
Proceeds from sales of fixed maturities |
|
25,673 |
|
43,504 |
|
||
Proceeds from maturities of fixed maturities |
|
4,975 |
|
7,520 |
|
||
Proceeds from sales of equity securities |
|
134 |
|
|
|
||
Fixed assets purchased |
|
(494 |
) |
(154 |
) |
||
Proceeds from sales of fixed assets |
|
|
|
4 |
|
||
Net cash (used for) provided by investing activities |
|
(28,329 |
) |
7,598 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Cash flows from financing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Payments on promissory notes from management |
|
|
|
34 |
|
||
Proceeds from exercises of stock options |
|
2,164 |
|
287 |
|
||
Dividends paid to shareholders |
|
(3,742 |
) |
(3,053 |
) |
||
Net cash used for financing activities |
|
(1,578 |
) |
(2,732 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents |
|
14,329 |
|
63,171 |
|
||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year |
|
155,673 |
|
26,284 |
|
||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
|
$ |
170,002 |
|
$ |
89,455 |
|
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.
7
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Notes to Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements
(Dollars in thousands except per share and share data)
1. Basis of Presentation
The consolidated financial statements have been prepared on the basis of accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. Actual results could differ from these estimates.
The consolidated financial statements include Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries (the Company). The subsidiaries consist of Safety Insurance Company, Safety Indemnity Insurance Company, Thomas Black Insurance Agency, Inc. (TBIA), and RBS, Inc., TBIAs holding company. All intercompany transactions have been eliminated. Prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation.
The financial information as of June 30, 2005 and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004 is unaudited; however, in the opinion of the Company, the information includes all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments, necessary for a fair presentation of the financial condition and results of operations for the periods. These unaudited consolidated financial statements may not be indicative of financial results for the full year and should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements included in the Companys annual report on Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on March 16, 2005.
The Company is a leading provider of personal lines property and casualty insurance focused exclusively on the Massachusetts market. Its principal product line is private passenger automobile insurance, which accounted for 81.0% of its direct written premiums in 2004. The Company operates through its insurance company subsidiaries, Safety Insurance Company and Safety Indemnity Insurance Company.
2. New Accounting Pronouncements
In December 2004, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standard No. (FAS) 123R (revised 2004), Share-Based Payment. This statement requires companies to measure and recognize the cost of employee services received in exchange for an award of equity instruments based on the grant-date fair value. FAS 123R replaces FAS 123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation, and supersedes Accounting Principles Board No. (APB) 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees. In April 2005, the SEC postponed the effective date of FAS 123R until the fiscal year beginning after June 15, 2005. The Company is currently evaluating the effects of FAS 123R.
3. Earnings Per Weighted Average Common Share
Basic earnings per weighted average common share (EPS) are calculated by dividing net income by the weighted average number of basic common shares outstanding during the period. Diluted EPS are calculated by dividing net income by the weighted average number of basic common shares outstanding and the net effect of potentially dilutive common shares. At June 30, 2005 and 2004, the Companys potentially dilutive instruments consisted of common shares under options of 611,295 and 858,857, respectively, and common shares under restriction of 105,960 and 70,271, respectively.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Earnings per weighted average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
$ |
1.49 |
|
$ |
0.67 |
|
$ |
2.43 |
|
$ |
1.09 |
|
Diluted |
|
$ |
1.46 |
|
$ |
0.66 |
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
15,583,473 |
|
15,269,475 |
|
15,512,120 |
|
15,264,879 |
|
||||
Effect of dilutive securities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Stock options |
|
268,642 |
|
192,215 |
|
311,252 |
|
173,986 |
|
||||
Restricted stock |
|
22,200 |
|
5,680 |
|
21,652 |
|
3,059 |
|
||||
Diluted |
|
15,874,315 |
|
15,467,370 |
|
15,845,024 |
|
15,441,924 |
|
8
Diluted EPS excludes stock options with exercise prices greater than the average market price of the Companys common stock during the period because their inclusion would be anti-dilutive. For the three and six month periods ended June 30, 2005, there were 78,000 anti-dilutive stock options. There were no anti-dilutive stock options for the three and six month periods ended June 30, 2004.
4. Stock-Based Compensation
On June 25, 2002, the Board adopted the 2002 Management Omnibus Incentive Plan (the Incentive Plan). The Incentive Plan provides for a variety of awards, including nonqualified stock options (NQSOs), stock appreciation rights and restricted stock (RS) awards. The maximum number of shares of common stock with respect to which awards may be granted under the Incentive Plan is 1,250,000. At June 30, 2005, there were 169,559 shares available for future grant. The Board and the Compensation Committee intend to issue more awards under the Incentive Plan in the future.
There were no grants made under the Incentive Plan during the quarter ended June 30, 2005. A summary of stock-based awards granted under the Incentive Plan during the six months ended June 30, 2005 is as follows:
Type of |
|
|
|
Number of |
|
Per Share |
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|
Awards |
|
Exercise Price(1) |
|
|
|
Expiration |
|
Awarded |
|
Effective Date |
|
Granted |
|
or Fair Value(2) |
|
Vesting Terms |
|
Date |
|
NQSOs |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
78,000 |
|
35.23 |
(1) |
5 years, 20% annually |
|
March 16, 2015 |
|
RS |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
56,770 |
|
35.23 |
(2) |
3 years, 30, 30, 40% |
|
N/A |
|
RS |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
4,000 |
|
35.23 |
(2) |
No vesting period |
(3) |
N/A |
|
(1) The exercise price of the stock option grant is equal to the closing price of the Companys common stock on the grant effective date.
(2) The fair value of the restricted stock grant is equal to the closing price of the Companys common stock on the grant effective date.
(3) The shares cannot be sold, assigned, pledged, or otherwise transferred, encumbered or disposed of until the recipient is no longer a member of our Board of Directors.
The following table summarizes stock option activity under the Incentive Plan:
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||||
|
|
Shares |
|
Weighted |
|
Shares |
|
Weighted |
|
||
|
|
Under |
|
Average |
|
Under |
|
Average |
|
||
|
|
Option |
|
Exercise Price |
|
Option |
|
Exercise Price |
|
||
Outstanding at beginning of year |
|
711,410 |
|
$ |
13.60 |
|
771,000 |
|
$ |
12.59 |
|
Granted during the period |
|
78,000 |
|
35.23 |
|
111,000 |
|
18.50 |
|
||
Exercised during the period |
|
(168,315 |
) |
12.85 |
|
(23,143 |
) |
12.42 |
|
||
Forfeited during the period |
|
(9,800 |
) |
24.37 |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Outstanding at end of current quarter |
|
611,295 |
|
16.39 |
|
858,857 |
|
13.36 |
|
||
The range of exercise prices on stock options outstanding under the Incentive Plan was $12.00 to $35.23 at June 30, 2005 and $12.00 to $18.50 at June 30, 2004.
9
The following table summarizes restricted stock activity under the Incentive Plan:
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||||
|
|
Shares |
|
Weighted |
|
Shares |
|
Weighted |
|
||
|
|
Under |
|
Average |
|
Under |
|
Average |
|
||
|
|
Restriction |
|
Fair Value |
|
Restriction |
|
Fair Value |
|
||
Outstanding at beginning of year |
|
70,271 |
|
$ |
18.50 |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
Granted during the period |
|
60,770 |
|
35.23 |
|
70,271 |
|
18.50 |
|
||
Vested and unrestricted during the period |
|
(21,081 |
) |
18.50 |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Forfeited during the period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Outstanding at end of current quarter |
|
109,960 |
|
27.75 |
|
70,271 |
|
18.50 |
|
||
The Company has adopted the accounting for the Incentive Plan under the recognition and measurement principles of APB 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees, as allowed by FAS 123 and as amended by FAS 148, Accounting for Stock-Based CompensationTransition and Disclosure. No stock-based employee compensation cost related to stock options is reflected in net income, as all stock options granted under this plan had an exercise price equal to the market value of the underlying common stock on the effective date of grant.
The following table illustrates the effect on net income and EPS if the Company had applied the fair value recognition provisions of FAS 123 to these stock options.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|||||||
Net income, as reported |
|
$ |
23,246 |
|
$ |
10,280 |
|
$ |
37,748 |
|
$ |
16,650 |
|
|||
Deduct: Total stock-based compensation expense determined under fair value based method for all awards, net of related tax effects |
|
(143 |
) |
(118 |
) |
(285 |
) |
(218 |
) |
|||||||
Net income, proforma |
|
$ |
23,103 |
|
$ |
10,162 |
|
$ |
37,463 |
|
$ |
16,432 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Earnings per weighted average share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Basic, as reported |
|
$ |
1.49 |
|
$ |
0.67 |
|
$ |
2.43 |
|
$ |
1.09 |
|
|||
Basic, pro forma |
|
$ |
1.48 |
|
$ |
0.67 |
|
$ |
2.42 |
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
|||
Diluted, as reported |
|
$ |
1.46 |
|
$ |
0.66 |
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
|||
Diluted, proforma |
|
$ |
1.45 |
|
$ |
0.66 |
|
$ |
2.37 |
|
$ |
1.07 |
|
|||
The fair value of stock options used to compute pro forma net income and earnings per share disclosures for the three and six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004 is the estimated fair value at grant effective date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model with the following assumptions:
|
|
Three and Six Months |
|
||
|
|
Ended June 30, |
|
||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Dividend yield |
|
1.36 - 2.52% |
|
1.95 - 2.52% |
|
Expected volatility |
|
.20 - .31 |
|
.20 - .28 |
|
Risk-free interest rate |
|
3.23 - 4.35% |
|
3.23 - 4.07% |
|
Expected holding period (in years) |
|
7 |
|
7 |
|
10
5. Investments
The gross unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of investments in fixed maturities securities, including redeemable preferred stocks that have characteristics of fixed maturities, and equity securities, including interests in mutual funds, was as follows:
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
|||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
Gross |
|
Gross |
|
Estimated |
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
Unrealized |
|
Fair |
|
|||||||
|
|
Cost |
|
Gains |
|
Losses |
|
Value |
|
|||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies(1) |
|
$ |
123,078 |
|
$ |
514 |
|
$ |
(1,210 |
) |
$ |
122,382 |
|
|||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions |
|
323,518 |
|
7,914 |
|
(1,467 |
) |
329,965 |
|
|||||||
Asset-backed securities |
|
89,731 |
|
940 |
|
(295 |
) |
90,376 |
|
|||||||
Corporate and other securities |
|
126,751 |
|
4,710 |
|
(418 |
) |
131,043 |
|
|||||||
Subtotal, fixed maturity securities |
|
|
663,078 |
|
|
14,078 |
|
|
(3,390 |
) |
|
673,766 |
|
|||
Equity securities |
|
2,036 |
|
40 |
|
|
|
2,076 |
|
|||||||
Totals |
|
$ |
665,114 |
|
$ |
14,118 |
|
$ |
(3,390 |
) |
$ |
675,842 |
|
|||
(1) Obligations of U.S. Government agencies include collateralized mortgage obligations issued, guaranteed and/or insured by the following issuers: Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC) and Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA). The total of these fixed maturity securities was $114,907 at amortized cost and $114,170 at estimated fair value as of June 30, 2005. As such, the asset-backed securities presented exclude such issuers already presented under U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government Agencies.
The amortized cost and the estimated fair value of fixed maturity securities, by maturity, are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
||||
|
|
Amortized Cost |
|
Fair Value |
|
||
Due in one year or less |
|
$ |
18,580 |
|
$ |
18,551 |
|
Due after one year through five years |
|
143,734 |
|
144,496 |
|
||
Due after five years through ten years |
|
210,004 |
|
216,311 |
|
||
Due after ten years through twenty years |
|
66,795 |
|
68,713 |
|
||
Due after twenty years |
|
19,327 |
|
21,149 |
|
||
Asset-backed securities |
|
204,638 |
|
204,546 |
|
||
Totals |
|
$ |
663,078 |
|
$ |
673,766 |
|
Gross gains of $0 and $184 and gross losses of $11 and $97 were realized on sales of fixed maturities for the three months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively. There were no gross gains or losses realized on sales of equity securities for the three months ended June 30, 2005. Gross gains of $412 and $745 and gross losses of $16 and $141 were realized on sales of fixed maturities for the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively. Gross gains of $1 and gross losses of $0 were realized on sales of equity securities for the six months ended June 30, 2005. There were no realized gains or losses on the sale of equity securities for the six months ended June 30, 2004. Proceeds from fixed maturities maturing were $4,975 and $7,520 for the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively.
11
The following tables illustrate the gross unrealized losses included in the Companys investment portfolio and the fair value of those securities aggregated by investment category. The table also illustrates the length of time that they have been in a continuous unrealized loss position.
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Less than 12 Months |
|
12 Months or More |
|
Total |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
||||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies |
|
$ |
42,485 |
|
$ |
164 |
|
$ |
42,164 |
|
$ |
1,046 |
|
$ |
84,649 |
|
$ |
1,210 |
|
||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions |
|
23,153 |
|
182 |
|
90,163 |
|
1,285 |
|
113,316 |
|
1,467 |
|
||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
|
35,022 |
|
146 |
|
12,052 |
|
149 |
|
47,074 |
|
295 |
|
||||||||||
Corporate and other securities |
|
16,653 |
|
110 |
|
15,358 |
|
308 |
|
32,011 |
|
418 |
|
||||||||||
Total temporarily impaired securities |
|
$ |
117,313 |
|
$ |
602 |
|
$ |
159,737 |
|
$ |
2,788 |
|
$ |
277,050 |
|
$ |
3,390 |
|
||||
The Companys investment portfolio included 117 securities in an unrealized loss position at June 30, 2005. The Companys methodology of assessing other-than-temporary impairment is based upon analysis of each security as of the balance sheet date and considers various factors including the length of time and the extent to which fair value has been less than the cost, the financial condition and the near term prospects of the issuer, whether the debtor is current on its contractually obligated interest and principal payments, and the Companys intent and ability to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery of its costs.
During the three and six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, there was no significant deterioration in the credit quality of any of the Companys holdings and no other-than-temporary impairment charges were recorded related to the Companys portfolio of investment securities.
As of June 30, 2005, the Companys fixed income securities portfolio was comprised entirely of investment grade securities as defined by Moodys Investor Services, Inc., Standard and Poors, and the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners.
Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income were as follows:
|
|
Three Months Ended, |
|
Six Months Ended, |
|
|||||||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
|||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|||||
Interest and dividends on fixed maturities |
|
$ |
6,949 |
|
$ |
6,749 |
|
$ |
13,922 |
|
$ |
13,734 |
|
|
Dividends on equity securities |
|
9 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|||||
Interest on cash and cash equivalents |
|
960 |
|
135 |
|
1,705 |
|
224 |
|
|||||
Total investment income |
|
7,918 |
|
6,884 |
|
15,638 |
|
13,958 |
|
|||||
Investment expenses |
|
265 |
|
251 |
|
526 |
|
502 |
|
|||||
Net investment income |
|
$ |
7,653 |
|
$ |
6,633 |
|
$ |
15,112 |
|
$ |
13,456 |
|
|
12
6. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE) Reserves
The following table sets forth a reconciliation of beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE, as shown in the Companys consolidated financial statements for the periods indicated:
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|
||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
Reserves for losses and LAE, beginning of year |
|
$ |
450,897 |
|
$ |
383,551 |
|
Less reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE |
|
(84,167 |
) |
(73,539 |
) |
||
Net reserves for losses and LAE, beginning of year |
|
366,730 |
|
310,012 |
|
||
Incurred losses and LAE, related to: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Current year |
|
221,205 |
|
216,927 |
|
||
Prior years |
|
(17,233 |
) |
|
|
||
Total incurred losses and LAE |
|
203,972 |
|
216,927 |
|
||
Paid losses and LAE related to: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Current year |
|
116,181 |
|
99,765 |
|
||
Prior years |
|
75,749 |
|
86,071 |
|
||
Total paid losses and LAE |
|
191,930 |
|
185,836 |
|
||
Net reserves for losses and LAE, end of second quarter |
|
378,772 |
|
341,103 |
|
||
Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses and LAE |
|
83,957 |
|
80,461 |
|
||
Reserves for losses and LAE, end of second quarter |
|
$ |
462,729 |
|
$ |
421,564 |
|
At the end of each period, the reserves were re-estimated for all prior accident years. Primarily due to an improvement in Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers (CAR) results, the Companys prior year reserves decreased by $17,233 for the six months ended June 30, 2005. There was no change in the Companys prior year reserves for the six months ended June 30, 2004. The decrease in prior year reserves during the 2005 period resulted from re-estimations of prior year ultimate loss and LAE liabilities and is composed of a reduction of $12,583 in CAR assumed reserves and a reduction of $4,650 in the Companys automobile reserves. It is not appropriate to extrapolate future favorable or unfavorable development of reserves from this past experience.
Due to the nature of the risks that the Company underwrites and has historically underwritten, management does not believe that it has an exposure to asbestos or environmental pollution liabilities.
7. Commitments and Contingencies
Various claims, generally incidental to the conduct of normal business, are pending or alleged against the Company from time to time. In the opinion of management, based in part on the advice of legal counsel, the ultimate resolution of such claims
will not have a material adverse effect on the Companys consolidated financial statements. However, liabilities related to those proceedings could be established in the near term if estimates of the ultimate resolutions of those proceedings are revised.
Massachusetts law requires that insurers licensed to do business in Massachusetts participate in the Massachusetts Insurers Insolvency Fund (Insolvency Fund). Members of the Insolvency Fund are assessed a proportionate share of the obligations and expenses of the Insolvency Fund in connection with an insolvent insurer. It is anticipated that there will be additional assessments from time to time relating to various insolvencies. Although the timing and amounts of any future assessments are not known, based upon existing knowledge, managements opinion is that such future assessments will not have a material effect upon the financial position of the Company.
8. Debt
Concurrent with the closing of the Companys November 27, 2002 initial public offering, the Company obtained a new $30,000 revolving credit facility. Bank of America was the lender under this credit facility. Under an agreement effective on June 17, 2005, Bank of America assigned the $30,000 credit facility to Citizens Bank of Massachusetts. Under a June 17, 2005 amendment to the credit facility, the maturity date was extended to June 17, 2008. Other terms of the revolving credit facility remain unchanged.
13
9. Income Taxes
Federal income tax expense for the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004 has been computed using estimated effective tax rates. These rates are revised, if necessary, at the end of each successive interim period to reflect the current estimates of the annual effective tax rates.
The Companys federal income tax returns for the tax periods ended December 31, 2003, 2002, and 2001 are currently under examination by the Internal Revenue Service. The examination is nearing completion. The Company continues to believe that adequate tax liabilities have been established for all years although the amount of these tax liabilities could be revised in the near term if estimates of the Companys ultimate liability are revised. However, the Company believes that the settlement of the examination should not have a material impact on the annual results of operations of the Company. Tax years prior to 2001 are closed.
14
MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with our accompanying consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, which appear elsewhere in this document. In this discussion, all dollar amounts are presented in thousands, except share and per share data.
The following discussion contains forward-looking statements. We intend statements which are not historical in nature to be, and are hereby identified as forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In addition, the Companys senior management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, the media and others. This safe harbor requires that we specify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of us. We cannot promise that our expectations in such forward-looking statements will turn out to be correct. Our actual results could be materially different from and worse than our expectations. See Forward-Looking Statements on page 31 for specific important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements.
Executive Summary and Overview
In this discussion, Safety refers to Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and our Company, we, us and our refer to Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries. Our subsidiaries consist of Safety Insurance Company (Safety Insurance), Safety Indemnity Insurance Company, Thomas Black Insurance Agency, Inc. (TBIA) and RBS, Inc., TBIAs holding company.
We are a leading provider of private passenger automobile insurance in Massachusetts. In addition to private passenger automobile insurance (which represented 81.0% of our direct written premiums in 2004), we offer a portfolio of other insurance products, including commercial automobile (10.4% of 2004 direct written premiums), homeowners (7.2% of 2004 direct written premiums), dwelling fire, umbrella and business owner policies. Operating exclusively in Massachusetts through our insurance company subsidiaries, Safety Insurance and Safety Indemnity Insurance Company (together referred to as the Insurance Subsidiaries), we have established strong relationships with 556 independent insurance agents in 659 locations throughout Massachusetts. We have used these relationships and our extensive knowledge of the Massachusetts market to become the second largest private passenger automobile insurance carrier in Massachusetts, capturing an approximate 11.0% share of the Massachusetts private passenger automobile market in 2004, according to the CAR Cession Volume Analysis Report of March 1, 2005, based on automobile exposures. These statistics total, for each vehicle insured, the number of months during the year insurance for that vehicle is in effect, to arrive at an aggregate number of car-months for each insurer; this aggregate number, divided by 12, equals the insurers number of car-years, a measure we refer to in this discussion as automobile exposures.
Massachusetts Automobile Insurance Market
We are subject to the extensive regulation of the private passenger automobile insurance industry in Massachusetts, which represented 81.0% of our direct written premiums in 2004. Owners of registered automobiles in Massachusetts are required to maintain minimum automobile insurance coverages. We are required to participate in a state-mandated reinsurance program run by Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers (CAR) to which we cede certain unprofitable risks and from which we are allocated a portion of the overall losses. As a servicing carrier of CAR, we are required to issue a policy to all qualified applicants. This program operates at an underwriting deficit. This deficit is allocated among every Massachusetts automobile insurance company, including us, based on a complex formula that takes into consideration a companys voluntary market share, the rate at which it cedes business to CAR, and the companys utilization of a credit system CAR has designed to encourage carriers to reduce their use of CAR. In addition, based on our market share, we are assigned certain licensed producers by CAR that have been unable to obtain a voluntary contract with another insurer. We call these agents Exclusive Representative Producers, or ERPs.
On April 29, 2004, the Governor of Massachusetts (the Governor) announced the formation of a bipartisan task force charged with reviewing potential changes to the Massachusetts personal automobile insurance system that, according to the Governors announcement, will open the door to more competition, move to a rate-setting system that is more in line with the rest of the country, examine the costs and benefits of our current no fault claims process, crack down on fraud and eliminate the subsidy that good drivers pay for bad drivers. The Governor also announced that the Division of Insurance has taken the first steps toward reform by pushing for changes in the distribution of losses generated by high-risk drivers. As a result, in a letter to CAR dated April 29, 2004, the Massachusetts Insurance Commissioner (the Commissioner) directed CAR to materially change
15
the operation of the residual market in Massachusetts, including the formula by which CARs deficit is allocated and the manner in which policies produced by ERPs are assigned to insurers.
On December 31, 2004, the Commissioner approved new rules for CAR, which became effective on January 1, 2005 (the Approved Rules). On January 14, 2005, we filed, on Form 8-K, an estimate of the financial impact the Approved Rules may have on us and we stated that a lawsuit had been filed in Suffolk Superior Court by Commerce Insurance Company against the Commissioner that seeks an order permanently enjoining implementation and/or enforcement of the Approved Rules. Certain ERPs, Arbella Mutual Insurance Company and the Center for Insurance Research intervened as plaintiffs and CAR intervened as a defendant in this lawsuit. On June 20, 2005, the Massachusetts Superior Court ruled that the Commissioner lacked the statutory authority to implement the Approved Rules and ordered them vacated. As a result, the Approved Rules will not go into effect.
CAR annually approves the rules that set the value of credits and the cost to cede business. On March 9, 2005, CAR approved rules for the operation of the residual market for 2005 (the 2005 Rules). CAR filed the 2005 Rules with the Commissioner on March 29, 2005, and a hearing to consider the 2005 Rules was held on May 31, 2005. The hearing record was held open until July 29, 2005. The 2005 Rules revise the value of credits based on the actual rate subsidies contained in the Commissioners rate decision, and reduce the cost for ceding high loss ratio ERP business to CAR. The 2005 Rules would reduce the penalty in the current rules for ceding high loss ratio ERP business to CAR, and would therefore result in a reduction of the expense we incur because of our disproportionate share of high loss ratio ERP business. At the present time, we are unable to predict whether the Commissioner will approve the 2005 Rules.
On June 1, 2005, the Governor filed legislation that would introduce more competition into the Massachusetts automobile insurance marketplace, reduce rates for good drivers, target fraud and excessive personal injury costs, and allow insurers rate flexibility. At this time we are unable to predict whether the Governors legislation will be approved.
Each year, the Commissioner sets maximum premium rates that may be charged and minimum commissions that must be paid to agents for private passenger automobile insurance. The Commissioner announced on December 15, 2004, a 1.7% statewide average private passenger automobile insurance rate decrease for 2005, compared to a 2.5% increase for 2004. Coinciding with the 2005 rate decision, the Commissioner also approved a 10.9% commission rate agents receive for selling private passenger automobile insurance, as a percentage of premiums, compared to a commission rate of 10.5% in 2004.
While state-mandated average maximum private passenger automobile insurance rates decreased 1.7% for 2005, our average premium per automobile exposure in the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased from the six months ended June 30, 2004 by approximately 0.5%. This increase was primarily the result of purchases of new automobiles by our insureds. We believe that the continued benefits of our rate pursuit initiative, which validates insured rating classifications and discount eligibility, contributed to the increase in our average premiums received per automobile exposure. The table below shows average Massachusetts-mandated private passenger automobile premium rate changes and changes in our average premium per automobile exposure from 1996-2005.
Massachusetts Private Passenger Rate Decisions
|
|
State Mandated |
|
Safety Change in |
|
|
|
Average Rate |
|
Average Premium per |
|
Year |
|
Change(1) |
|
Automobile Exposure(2) |
|
2005 |
|
-1.7% |
|
0.5% |
|
2004 |
|
2.5% |
|
6.1% |
|
2003 |
|
2.7% |
|
6.9% |
|
2002 |
|
0.0% |
|
5.2% |
|
2001 |
|
-8.3% |
|
0.0% |
|
2000 |
|
0.7% |
|
7.4% |
|
1999 |
|
0.7% |
|
10.9% |
|
1998 |
|
-4.0% |
|
2.8% |
|
1997 |
|
-6.2% |
|
-5.1% |
|
1996 |
|
-4.5% |
|
-7.7% |
|
(1) Source: Commissioner rate decisions for 1996 - 2005.
(2) Source: Safety Insurance.
16
Statutory Accounting Principles
Our results are reported in accordance with GAAP, which differ from amounts reported in accordance with statutory accounting principles (SAP) as prescribed by insurance regulatory authorities. Specifically, under GAAP:
Policy acquisition costs such as commissions, premium taxes and other variable costs incurred in connection with writing new and renewal business are capitalized and amortized on a pro rata basis over the period in which the related premiums are earned, rather than expensed as incurred, as required by SAP.
Certain assets are included in the consolidated balance sheets whereas, under SAP, such assets are designated as nonadmitted assets and charged directly against statutory surplus. These assets consist primarily of premium receivables that are outstanding over 90 days, federal deferred tax assets in excess of statutory limitations, furniture, equipment, leasehold improvements and prepaid expenses.
Amounts related to ceded reinsurance are shown gross as prepaid reinsurance premiums and reinsurance recoverables, rather than netted against unearned premium reserves and loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, respectively, as required by SAP.
Fixed maturities securities, which are classified as available-for-sale, are reported at current market values, rather than at amortized cost, or the lower of amortized cost or market, depending on the specific type of security, as required by SAP.
Equity securities are reported at quoted market values, which may differ from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners market values as required by SAP.
The differing treatment of income and expense items results in a corresponding difference in federal income tax expense. Changes in deferred income taxes are reflected as an item of income tax benefit or expense, rather than recorded directly to surplus as regards policyholders, as required by SAP. Admittance testing may result in a charge to unassigned surplus for non-admitted portions of deferred tax assets. Under GAAP reporting, a valuation allowance may be recorded against the deferred tax asset and reflected as an expense.
Insurance Ratios
The property and casualty insurance industry uses the combined ratio as a measure of underwriting profitability. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio (losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred as a percent of net earned premiums) plus the expense ratio (underwriting expenses as a percent of net written premiums, if calculated on a SAP basis, or net earned premiums, if calculated on a GAAP basis). The combined ratio reflects only underwriting results, and does not include income from investments or finance and other service income. Underwriting profitability is subject to significant fluctuations due to competition, catastrophic events, weather, economic and social conditions and other factors.
Our SAP insurance ratios are outlined in the following table.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Statutory Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio |
|
59.9 |
% |
72.0 |
% |
65.2 |
% |
74.6 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
24.7 |
% |
23.6 |
% |
23.3 |
% |
22.4 |
% |
Combined ratio |
|
84.6 |
% |
95.6 |
% |
88.5 |
% |
97.0 |
% |
Under GAAP, the loss ratio is computed in the same manner as under SAP, but the expense ratio is determined by matching underwriting expenses to the period over which net premiums were earned, rather than to the period that net premiums were written.
17
Our GAAP insurance ratios are outlined in the following table.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
GAAP ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio |
|
59.9 |
% |
72.1 |
% |
65.2 |
% |
74.7 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
25.5 |
% |
24.9 |
% |
24.5 |
% |
24.2 |
% |
Combined ratio |
|
85.4 |
% |
97.0 |
% |
89.7 |
% |
98.9 |
% |
Stock-Based Compensation
On June 25, 2002, the Board adopted the 2002 Management Omnibus Incentive Plan (the Incentive Plan). The Incentive Plan provides for a variety of awards, including nonqualified stock options (NQSOs), stock appreciation rights and restricted stock (RS) awards. The maximum number of shares of common stock with respect to which awards may be granted under the Incentive Plan is 1,250,000. At June 30, 2005 there were 169,559 shares available for future grant. The Board and the Compensation Committee intend to issue more awards under the Incentive Plan in the future. Grants made under the Incentive Plan during the six months ended June 30, 2005 are as follows:
Type of |
|
|
|
Number of |
|
Per Share |
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|
Awards |
|
Exercise Price(1) |
|
|
|
|
|
Awarded |
|
Effective Date |
|
Granted |
|
or Fair Value(2) |
|
Vesting Terms |
|
Expiration Date |
|
NQSOs |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
78,000 |
|
35.23 |
(1) |
5 years, 20% annually |
|
March 16, 2015 |
|
RS |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
56,770 |
|
35.23 |
(2) |
3 years, 30, 30, 40% |
|
N/A |
|
RS |
|
March 16, 2005 |
|
4,000 |
|
35.23 |
(2) |
No vesting period (3) |
|
N/A |
|
(1) The exercise price of the stock option grant is equal to the closing price of the Companys common stock on the grant effective date.
(2) The fair value of the restricted stock grant is equal to the closing price of the Companys common stock on the grant effective date.
(3) The shares cannot be sold, assigned, pledged, or otherwise transferred, encumbered or disposed of until the recipient is no longer a member of our Board of Directors.
Reinsurance
We reinsure with other insurance companies a portion of our potential liability under the policies we have underwritten, thereby protecting us against an unexpectedly large loss or a catastrophic occurrence that could produce large losses, primarily in our homeowners line of business. As of January 1, 2005 our catastrophe reinsurance provides gross per occurrence reinsurance coverage up to $250,000. This catastrophe reinsurance protects us in the event of a 426-year storm (that is, a storm of a severity expected to occur once in a 426-year period). Swiss Re, our primary reinsurer, maintains an A.M. Best rating of A+ (Superior). All of our other reinsurers have an A.M. Best rating of A (Excellent) or better. We are a participant in CAR, a state-established body that runs the residual market reinsurance programs for both private passenger and commercial automobile insurance in Massachusetts under which premiums, expenses, losses and loss adjustment expenses on ceded business are shared by all insurers writing automobile insurance in Massachusetts. We also participate in the Massachusetts Property Insurance Underwriting Association in which premiums, expenses, losses and loss adjustment expenses on homeowners business that cannot be placed in the voluntary market are shared by all insurers writing homeowners insurance in Massachusetts. As of June 30, 2005, we had no material amounts recoverable from any reinsurer, excluding the residual markets described above.
On March 10, 2005, our Board of Directors adopted a resolution that prohibits Safety from purchasing finite reinsurance without approval by the Board. To date, the Company has never purchased a finite reinsurance contract.
Effects of Inflation
We do not believe that inflation has had a material effect on our consolidated results of operations, except insofar as inflation may affect interest rates.
18
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
Significant periods of time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting to us of that loss and our final payment of that loss. To recognize liabilities for unpaid losses, we establish reserves as balance sheet liabilities. Our reserves represent estimates of amounts needed to pay reported and unreported losses and the expenses of investigating and paying those losses, or loss adjustment expenses. Every quarter, we review our previously established reserves and adjust them, if necessary.
When a claim is reported, claims personnel establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment. The amount of the reserve is primarily based upon an evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding each claim and the policy provisions relating to the loss. The estimate reflects the informed judgment of such personnel based on general insurance reserving practices and on the experience and knowledge of the claims person. During the loss adjustment period, these estimates are revised as deemed necessary by our claims department based on subsequent developments and periodic reviews of the cases.
In accordance with industry practice, we also maintain reserves for estimated losses incurred but not yet reported (IBNR). IBNR reserves are determined in accordance with commonly accepted actuarial reserving techniques on the basis of our historical information and experience. We review and make adjustments to incurred but not yet reported reserves quarterly.
When reviewing reserves, we analyze historical data and estimate the impact of various loss development factors, such as our historical loss experience and that of the industry, trends in claims frequency and severity, our mix of business, our claims processing procedures, legislative enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in imposition of damages, and changes and trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. A change in any of these factors from the assumption implicit in our estimate can cause our actual loss experience to be better or worse than our reserves, and the difference can be material. There is no precise method, however, for evaluating the impact of any specific factor on the adequacy of reserves, because the eventual development of reserves is affected by many factors.
Management determines the companys loss and LAE reserves estimate based upon the work of the companys actuaries and managements own assessment of reasonable reserves. A reasonable estimate is derived primarily by considering a range of indications calculated by the companys actuaries using generally accepted actuarial techniques. Our key assumptions are the ultimate frequency and severity of claims, based upon the most recent ten years of claims reported to the company and the data CAR reports to us to calculate our share of the residual market, as of the date of the applicable balance sheet. For each accident year and each coverage within a line of business our actuaries calculate reserve ranges using actuarial techniques such as:
Paid Loss Indications: This method projects ultimate loss estimates based upon extrapolations of historic paid loss trends. This method tends to be used on short tail lines such as automobile physical damage.
Incurred Loss Indications: This method projects ultimate loss estimates based upon extrapolations of historic incurred loss trends. This method tends to be used on long tail lines of business such as automobile liability and homeowners liability.
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Indications: This method projects ultimate loss estimates based upon extrapolations of an expected amount of IBNR, which is added to current incurred losses or paid losses. This method tends to be used on small, immature, or volatile lines of business, such as our BOP and umbrella lines of business.
Bodily Injury Code Indications: This method projects ultimate loss estimates for our private passenger and commercial automobile bodily injury coverage based upon extrapolations of the historic number of accidents and the historic number of bodily injury claims per accident. Projected ultimate bodily injury claims are then segregated into expected claims by type of injury (e.g. soft tissue injury vs. hard tissue injury) based on past experience. An ultimate severity, or average paid loss amounts, is estimated based upon extrapolating historic trends. Projected ultimate loss estimates using this method are the aggregate of estimated losses by injury type.
Such techniques assume that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, are an appropriate basis for predicting future events. It is possible that the final outcome may fall above or below these amounts as a result of a number of factors, including immature data, sparse data, or significant growth in a line of business. Using these methodologies our actuaries established a range of reasonable possible estimations for net reserves of approximately $345,618 to $390,189 as of June 30, 2005. In general, the low and high values of the ranges represent reasonable minimum and maximum values of
19
the indications based on the techniques described above. The following table presents the recorded reserves and the range of estimations by line of business for net loss and LAE reserves as of June 30, 2005.
Range of Net Reserves for Losses and LAE as of June 30, 2005
Line of Business |
|
Low |
|
Recorded |
|
High |
|
|||||
Private Passenger Auto |
|
$ |
268,273 |
|
$ |
291,933 |
|
$ |
300,499 |
|
||
Commercial Auto |
|
46,159 |
|
50,191 |
|
52,208 |
|
|||||
Homeowners |
|
25,414 |
|
29,689 |
|
30,245 |
|
|||||
All Other |
|
5,772 |
|
6,959 |
|
7,237 |
|
|||||
Total |
|
$ |
345,618 |
|
$ |
378,772 |
|
$ |
390,189 |
|
||
The Companys net loss and LAE reserves, based on managements best estimate, were set at $378,772 as of June 30, 2005, slightly higher than the midpoint of the aggregate range. For our private passenger and commercial lines of business we recorded reserves slightly higher than the mid-point of the range due to our stable long-term trends in frequency and severity. For our Homeowners and All Other lines of business, due to the relatively short time we have been writing these lines of business, and the resulting immature data available for our analysis, we recorded reserves closer to the high of the range of projections.
The following table presents information by line of business for our net reserves for losses and LAE as of June 30, 2005.
Net Reserves for Losses and LAE
Line of Business |
|
Direct less |
|
Assumed |
|
Net |
|
|||||
Private Passenger Auto |
|
$ |
204,350 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
CAR assumed Private Passenger |
|
|
|
$ |
87,583 |
|
|
|
||||
Net Private Passenger Auto |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
291,933 |
|
||||
Commercial Auto |
|
35,262 |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
CAR assumed Commercial Auto |
|
|
|
14,929 |
|
|
|
|||||
Net Commercial Auto |
|
|
|
|
|
50,191 |
|
|||||
Homeowners |
|
21,491 |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
FAIR Plan assumed Homeowners |
|
|
|
8,198 |
|
|
|
|||||
Net Homeowners |
|
|
|
|
|
29,689 |
|
|||||
All Other |
|
6,959 |
|
|
|
6,959 |
|
|||||
Total Net Reserves for Losses and LAE |
|
$ |
268,062 |
|
$ |
110,710 |
|
$ |
378,772 |
|
||
CAR Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
We are a participant in CAR and assume a significant portion of losses and LAE on business ceded by the industry participants to CAR. We estimate reserves for assumed losses and LAE that have not yet been reported to us by CAR. Our estimations are based upon the same factors we use for our own reserves, plus additional factors due to the nature of and the information we receive from CAR.
The CAR deficit, which consists of premium ceded to CAR less CAR losses and LAE, are allocated amongst every automobile insurance company writing business in Massachusetts based on a complex formula (the Participation Ratio) that takes into consideration a companys voluntary market share, the amount of business it cedes to CAR and credits the company earns under a system CAR has designed to encourage carriers to voluntarily write business in selected under-priced classes and territories.
We receive a Settlement of Balances report from CAR that reports our share of CAR premium, losses and LAE, on a lagged basis, 75 days after the end of every quarter. CAR-published financial data is always at least one quarter behind the financial data we report. For example, when we reported our financial results for the year ended December 31, 2004, we had nine
20
months of reported 2004 CAR financial data, and we had to estimate what CAR would report to us for the last three months of the year.
We receive our final calendar year Participation Ratio report from CAR eight months after the end of that year, and thus we have to estimate for six quarters our share of the CAR deficit. For example, for the year ended December 31, 2004 we have to estimate our 2004 policy year CAR Participation Ratio beginning with the first quarter of 2004 through the second quarter of 2005.
Because of the lag in CAR estimates, and in order to try to validate to the extent possible the information CAR does provide, we must try to estimate the effects of the actions of our competitors in order to establish our Participation Ratio. Before final Participation Ratios are available, we estimate the size of CAR, and the resulting deficit based on historical analysis of CAR results, and estimations of our competitors current cession strategies. Even after our final Participation Ratio is available from CAR, we must continue to estimate the size of CAR, and the resulting deficit based upon data published by CAR and our own continuing analysis. As a result, changes in our reserves for CAR may continue to occur until all claims are finally settled. The Loss Reserving Committee at CAR meets 70 days after the end of each quarter to estimate the CAR deficit for all active policy years and publishes estimations, which we use to estimate our share of the deficit. The estimation that CAR calculates is based on data it collects from 19 servicing carriers which settle, reserve and report claims using a variety of methods. Any delays or errors in the collection of this data could have a significant impact on the accuracy of CARs estimations.
Although we rely to a significant extent in setting our reserves on the information CAR provides, we are cautious in our use of that information, both because of the delays described above and because the CAR estimates incorporate data CAR receives from all the other CAR servicing carriers in Massachusetts. We do not have direct access to that data or firsthand knowledge of how those carriers are currently conducting their operations. As a result, we are cautious in recording CAR reserves for the calendar years that we have to estimate our Participation Ratio and these reserves are subject to significant judgments and estimates.
Sensitivity Analysis
Establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain process. There can be no certainty that currently established reserves based on our key assumptions regarding frequency and severity in our lines of business, or our assumptions regarding our share of the CAR loss will prove adequate in light of subsequent actual experience. To the extent that reserves are inadequate and are strengthened, the amount of such increase is treated as a charge to earnings in the period that the deficiency is recognized. To the extent that reserves are redundant and are released, the amount of the release is a credit to earnings in the period the redundancy is recognized. For the six months ended June 30, 2005 a 1 percentage-point change in the loss and LAE ratio would result in a change in reserves of $3,129. Each 1 percentage point change in the loss and loss expense ratio would have a $2,034 effect on net income, or $0.13 per diluted share.
Our assumptions assume that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, are an appropriate basis for establishing our reserves. Our key assumptions could have a reasonable possible range of plus or minus 5 percentage-points for each estimation. The following sensitivity tables present information for each of our primary lines of business on the effect each 1 percentage-point change in each of our key assumptions on unpaid frequency and severity could have on our Direct minus Ceded loss and LAE reserves and net income for the six months ended June 30, 2005. In evaluating the information in the table, it should be noted that a 1 percentage-point change in a single assumption would change estimated reserves by 1 percentage-point. A 1 percentage-point change in both our key assumptions would change estimated reserves within a range of plus or minus 2 percentage-points.
21
|
|
-1 Percent |
|
|
|
+1 Percent |
|
|||
|
|
Change in |
|
No Change in |
|
Change in |
|
|||
|
|
Frequency |
|
Frequency |
|
Frequency |
|
|||
Private Passenger Automobile Direct minus Ceded Loss and LAE Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
-1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
$ |
(4,087 |
) |
$ |
(2,044 |
) |
$ |
|
|
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
2,657 |
|
1,328 |
|
|
|
|||
No Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(2,044 |
) |
|
|
2,044 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
1,328 |
|
|
|
(1,328 |
) |
|||
+1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
|
|
2,044 |
|
4,087 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
|
|
(1,328 |
) |
(2,657 |
) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Commercial Automobile Direct minus Ceded Loss and LAE Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
-1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(705 |
) |
(353 |
) |
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
458 |
|
229 |
|
|
|
|||
No Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(353 |
) |
|
|
353 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in Net Income |
|
229 |
|
|
|
(229 |
) |
|||
+1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
|
|
353 |
|
705 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
|
|
(229 |
) |
(458 |
) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Homeowners Direct minus Ceded Loss and LAE Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
-1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(430 |
) |
(215 |
) |
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
279 |
|
140 |
|
|
|
|||
No Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(215 |
) |
|
|
215 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
140 |
|
|
|
(140 |
) |
|||
+1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
|
|
215 |
|
430 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
|
|
(140 |
) |
(279 |
) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
All Other Direct minus Ceded Loss and LAE Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
-1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(139 |
) |
(70 |
) |
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
90 |
|
45 |
|
|
|
|||
No Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(70 |
) |
|
|
70 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
45 |
|
|
|
(45 |
) |
|||
+1 Percent Change in Severity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
|
|
70 |
|
139 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
|
|
(45 |
) |
(90 |
) |
|||
22
Our estimated share of CAR loss and LAE reserves is based on assumptions about our Participation Ratio, the size of CAR, and the resulting deficit (similar assumptions apply with respect to the FAIR Plan). Our assumptions assume that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, are an appropriate basis for establishing our CAR reserves. Our assumptions could have a reasonable possible range of plus or minus 5 percentage-points for each estimation. The following sensitivity table presents information of the effect each 1 percentage-point change in our assumptions on our share of reserves for CAR and other residual markets could have on our assumed loss and LAE reserves and net income for the six months ended June 30, 2005. In evaluating the information in the table, it should be noted that a 1 percentage-point change in our assumptions would change estimated reserves by 1 percentage-point.
|
|
-1 Percent |
|
No |
|
+1 Percent |
|
|||
|
|
Change in |
|
Change in |
|
Change in |
|
|||
|
|
Estimation |
|
Estimation |
|
Estimation |
|
|||
CAR Assumed Private Passenger Automobile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
$ |
(876 |
) |
$ |
|
|
$ |
876 |
|
Estimated increase (decrease) in net income |
|
569 |
|
|
|
(569 |
) |
|||
CAR Assumed Commercial Automobile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(149 |
) |
|
|
149 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in Net Income |
|
97 |
|
|
|
(97 |
) |
|||
FAIR Plan Assumed Homeowners |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in reserves |
|
(82 |
) |
|
|
82 |
|
|||
Estimated increase (decrease) in Net Income |
|
53 |
|
|
|
(53 |
) |
|||
Reserve Development Summary
The changes we have recorded in our reserves in the past illustrate the uncertainty of estimating reserves. Primarily due to an improvement in CAR results, our prior year reserves decreased by $17,233 for the six months ended June 30, 2005 as compared to no change for the six months ended June 30, 2004. This decrease in our prior year reserves resulted from re-estimations of prior year ultimate loss and LAE liabilities and is composed of a reduction of $12,583 in CAR assumed reserves and a reduction of $4,650 in our automobile reserves. It is not appropriate to extrapolate future favorable or unfavorable development of reserves from this past experience.
The following table presents information by line of business for prior year development of our net reserves for losses and LAE for the six months ended June 30, 2005. Each accident year represents all claims for an annual calendar accounting period in which loss events occurred, regardless of when the losses are actually reported, booked or paid. Our financial statements reflect the aggregate results of the current and all prior accident years.
Prior Year Net Loss and LAE Reserve Development Summary
Accident |
|
Private Passenger |
|
Commercial |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Year |
|
Automobile |
|
Automobile |
|
Homeowners |
|
All Other |
|
Total |
|
|||||||||
1995 & Prior |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
||||
1996 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
1997 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
1998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
1999 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
2000 |
|
(20 |
) |
(2 |
) |
(41 |
) |
(3 |
) |
(66 |
) |
|||||||||
2001 |
|
16 |
|
4 |
|
(25 |
) |
(6 |
) |
(11 |
) |
|||||||||
2002 |
|
(1,844 |
) |
(107 |
) |
(747 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(2,708 |
) |
|||||||||
2003 |
|
(2,555 |
) |
(2 |
) |
(502 |
) |
(3 |
) |
(3,062 |
) |
|||||||||
2004 |
|
(11,608 |
) |
(1,115 |
) |
1,145 |
|
192 |
|
(11,386 |
) |
|||||||||
All Prior Years |
|
$ |
(16,011 |
) |
$ |
(1,222 |
) |
$ |
(170 |
) |
$ |
170 |
|
$ |
(17,233 |
) |
||||
23
The table above reflects all of our business. To further clarify the effects of changes in our reserve estimates for CAR and other residual markets, the next two tables break out the information in the table above by source of the business (i.e., non-residual market vs. residual market). The following table presents information by line of business for prior year development of direct minus ceded reserves for losses and LAE for the six months ended June 30, 2005; that is, all our reserves except for business ceded or assumed from CAR and other residual markets.
Prior Year Direct minus Ceded Loss and LAE Reserve Development Summary
|
|
Retained |
|
Retained |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Accident |
|
Private Passenger |
|
Commercial |
|
Retained |
|
Retained |
|
|
|
|||||
Year |
|
Automobile |
|
Automobile |
|
Homeowners |
|
All Other |
|
Total |
|
|||||
1995 & Prior |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
1996 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1997 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1999 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
2000 |
|
(20 |
) |
(2 |
) |
(41 |
) |
(3 |
) |
(66 |
) |
|||||
2001 |
|
16 |
|
4 |
|
(25 |
) |
(6 |
) |
(11 |
) |
|||||
2002 |
|
(1,567 |
) |
(86 |
) |
(747 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(2,410 |
) |
|||||
2003 |
|
(66 |
) |
69 |
|
(502 |
) |
(3 |
) |
(502 |
) |
|||||
2004 |
|
(2,208 |
) |
(790 |
) |
1,145 |
|
192 |
|
(1,661 |
) |
|||||
All Prior Years |
|
$ |
(3,845 |
) |
$ |
(805 |
) |
$ |
(170 |
) |
$ |
170 |
|
$ |
(4,650 |
) |
The following table presents information by line of business for prior year development of reserves assumed from CAR and other residual markets for losses and LAE for the six months ended June 30, 2005.
Prior Year Assumed Loss and LAE Reserve Development Summary
|
|
CAR Assumed |
|
CAR Assumed |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Accident |
|
Private Passenger |
|
Commercial |
|
FAIR Plan |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Year |
|
Automobile |
|
Automobile |
|
Homeowners |
|
All Other |
|
Total |
|
|||||
1995 & Prior |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
1996 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1997 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
1999 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
2000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
2001 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
2002 |
|
(277 |
) |
(21 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(298 |
) |
|||||
2003 |
|
(2,489 |
) |
(71 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(2,560 |
) |
|||||
2004 |
|
(9,400 |
) |
(325 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(9,725 |
) |
|||||
All Prior Years |
|
$ |
(12,166 |
) |
$ |
(417 |
) |
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
(12,583 |
) |
Our private passenger automobile line of business prior year reserves decreased by $16,011 for the six months ended June 30, 2005. The decrease was primarily due to improved assumed CAR results for the private passenger automobile pool for the 2004 accident year of $9,400 and for the 2003 accident year of $2,489. The improved CAR results were due primarily to improved CAR private passenger loss ratios for 2004 and 2003 as published and reported by the CAR Loss Reserving Committee at the June 1, 2005 meeting, as compared to the published results at the December 1, 2004 meeting. In addition we reduced our private passenger automobile bodily injury reserves for the 2002 and 2004 accident years by $1,567 and $2,208, respectively, due to better than previously estimated severity on our established case reserves during 2005.
24
Our commercial automobile line of business prior year reserves decreased by $1,222 for the six months ended June 30, 2005. The decrease was primarily due to more favorable commercial automobile bodily injury severity than previously estimated on our established case reserves during 2005.
Our Homeowners line of business prior year reserves decreased by $170 for the six months ended June 30, 2005. The decrease was primarily due to better than previously estimated severity on property reserves on our established case reserves for 2002 and 2003 of $747 and $502, respectively, offset by increased severity on our established case reserves for 2004 of $1,145.
In estimating all our loss reserves, including CAR, we follow the guidance prescribed by Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (FAS) No. 60, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises and FAS No. 113, Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short-Duration and Long-Duration Contracts.
For further information, see Results of Operations - Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments.
We use a systematic methodology to evaluate declines in market values below cost or amortized cost of our investments. This methodology ensures that we evaluate available evidence concerning any declines in a disciplined manner.
In our determination of whether a decline in market value below amortized cost is an other-than-temporary impairment, we consider and evaluate several factors and circumstances including the issuers overall financial condition, the issuers credit and financial strength ratings, a weakening of the general market conditions in the industry or geographic region in which the issuer operates, a prolonged period (typically six months or longer) in which the fair value of an issuers securities remains below our amortized cost, our ability and intent to hold these investments for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery of our costs, and any other factors that may raise doubt about the issuers ability to continue as a going concern.
We record other-than-temporary impairments as realized losses, which serve to reduce net income and earnings per share. We record temporary losses as unrealized losses, which do not impact net income and earnings per share but reduce other comprehensive net income. The risks inherent in our assessment of other-than-temporary impairments include the risk that market factors may differ from our expectations, or that the credit assessment could change in the near term, resulting in a charge to earnings.
For further information, see Results of Operations - Net Realized Investment Losses.
25
The following table shows certain of our selected financial results.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
||||||||||||
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
||||||||||||
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||||||
Direct premiums written |
|
$ |
167,455 |
|
$ |
161,551 |
|
$ |
353,230 |
|
$ |
342,134 |
|
||||
Net premiums written |
|
170,180 |
|
160,531 |
|
354,378 |
|
337,025 |
|
||||||||
Net earned premiums |
|
156,514 |
|
$ |
146,584 |
|
312,930 |
|
$ |
290,510 |
|
||||||
Net investment income |
|
7,653 |
|
6,633 |
|
15,112 |
|
13,456 |
|
||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments |
|
(11 |
) |
87 |
|
396 |
|
604 |
|
||||||||
Finance and other service income |
|
3,977 |
|
3,855 |
|
7,946 |
|
7,600 |
|
||||||||
Total revenue |
|
168,133 |
|
157,159 |
|
336,384 |
|
312,170 |
|
||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
|
93,802 |
|
105,615 |
|
203,972 |
|
216,927 |
|
||||||||
Underwriting, operating and related expenses |
|
39,975 |
|
36,454 |
|
76,566 |
|
70,440 |
|
||||||||
Interest expenses |
|
225 |
|
159 |
|
448 |
|
312 |
|
||||||||
Total expenses |
|
134,002 |
|
142,228 |
|
280,986 |
|
287,679 |
|
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
|
34,131 |
|
14,931 |
|
55,398 |
|
24,491 |
|
||||||||
Income tax expense |
|
10,885 |
|
4,651 |
|
17,650 |
|
7,841 |
|
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
23,246 |
|
$ |
10,280 |
|
$ |
37,748 |
|
$ |
16,650 |
|
||||
THREE AND SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2005 COMPARED TO THREE AND SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2004
Direct Written Premiums. Direct written premiums for the second quarter of 2005 increased by $5,904, or 3.7%, to $167,455 from $161,551 for the comparable 2004 period. Direct written premiums for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased by $11,096, or 3.2%, to $353,230 from $342,134 for the comparable 2004 period. The 2005 increase occurred primarily in our personal automobile line, which experienced a 0.5% increase in average written premium and a 2.4% increase in written exposures. In addition, our commercial automobile lines average written premium decreased by 1.6%, which was more than offset by a 7.7% increase in written exposures, and our homeowners lines average written premium increased by 6.9%, which was partly offset by a 4.1% decrease in written exposure.
Net Written Premiums. Net written premiums for the second quarter of 2005 increased by $9,649, or 6.0%, to $170,180 from $160,531 for the comparable 2004. Net written premiums for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased by $17,353, or 5.1%, to $354,378 from $337,025 for the comparable 2004 period. These increases were primarily due to the factors that increased direct written premiums combined with a decrease in premiums ceded to CAR.
Net Earned Premiums. Net earned premiums for the second quarter of 2005 increased by $9,930, or 6.8%, to $156,514 from $146,584 for the comparable 2004 period. Net earned premiums for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased by $22,420, or 7.7%, to $312,930 from $290,510 for the comparable 2004 period. These increases were primarily due the factors that increased direct written premiums combined with a decrease in premiums ceded to CAR.
Net Investment Income. Net investment income for the second quarter of 2005 was $7,653 compared to $6,633 for the comparable 2004 period. Net investment income for the six months ended June 30, 2005 was $15,112 compared to $13,456 for the comparable 2004 period. Average cash and investment securities (at amortized cost) increased by $108,476, or 15.4%, to $813,189 for the six months ended June 30, 2005 from $704,713 for the comparable 2004 period. This increase was due primarily to a $98,489 increase in average cash and cash equivalents. Net effective annualized yield on the investment portfolio decreased to 3.7% during the first six months of 2005 from 4.0% during 2004 due to managements investment strategy to shorten the portfolio duration, shift to higher rated securities and increase tax-exempt holdings. Our duration decreased to 3.2 years at June 30, 2005 from 3.4 years at December 31, 2004.
26
Net Realized Gains on Investments. Net realized loss on investments was $11 for the second quarter of 2005 compared to a net realized gain of $87 for the second quarter of 2004. Net realized gains on investments decreased to $396 for the six months ended June 30, 2005 from $604 for the comparable 2004 period.
The gross unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of investments in fixed maturity securities, including redeemable preferred stocks that have characteristics of fixed maturities, and equity securities, was as follows:
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
Gross |
|
Gross |
|
Estimated |
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
Unrealized |
|
Fair |
|
||||||||
|
|
Cost |
|
Gains |
|
Losses |
|
Value |
|
||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies(1) |
|
$ |
123,078 |
|
$ |
514 |
|
$ |
(1,210 |
) |
$ |
122,382 |
|
||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions |
|
323,518 |
|
7,914 |
|
(1,467 |
) |
329,965 |
|
||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
|
89,731 |
|
940 |
|
(295 |
) |
90,376 |
|
||||||||
Corporate and other securities |
|
126,751 |
|
4,710 |
|
(418 |
) |
131,043 |
|
||||||||
Subtotal, fixed maturity securities |
|
|
663,078 |
|
|
14,078 |
|
|
(3,390 |
) |
|
673,766 |
|
||||
Equity securities |
|
2,036 |
|
40 |
|
|
|
2,076 |
|
||||||||
Totals |
|
$ |
665,114 |
|
$ |
14,118 |
|
$ |
(3,390 |
) |
$ |
675,842 |
|
||||
(1) Obligations of U.S. Government agencies include collateralized mortgage obligations issued, guaranteed and/or insured by the following issuers: Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC) and Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA). The total of these fixed maturity securities was $114,907 at amortized cost and $114,170 at estimated fair value as of June 30, 2005. As such, the asset-backed securities presented exclude such issuers already presented under U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government Agencies.
As of June 30, 2005, our portfolio of fixed maturity investments was comprised entirely of investment grade corporate fixed maturity securities, U.S. government and agency securities and asset-backed securities (i.e., all our securities received a rating assigned by Moodys Investors Service, Inc. of Baa or higher, except the few securities not rated by Moodys which received S&P ratings of AA/A or higher, as well as a rating assigned by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners of 1 or 2).
The composition of our fixed income security portfolio by Moodys rating was as follows:
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
|||
|
|
Fair Value |
|
Percent |
|
|
U.S. Government and Government Agency Fixed Income Securities |
|
$ |
122,356 |
|
18.2 |
% |
Aaa/Aa |
|
418,484 |
|
62.1 |
% |
|
A |
|
83,999 |
|
12.4 |
% |
|
Baa |
|
48,927 |
|
7.3 |
% |
|
Total |
|
$ |
673,766 |
|
100.0 |
% |
Ratings are assigned by Moodys, or the equivalent, as discussed above. Such ratings are generally assigned upon the issuance of the securities and are subject to revision on the basis of ongoing evaluations. Ratings in the table are as of the date indicated.
In our determination of other-than-temporary impairments, we consider several factors and circumstances including the issuers overall financial condition, the issuers credit and financial strength ratings, a weakening of the general market conditions in the industry or geographic region in which the issuer operates, a prolonged period (typically six months or longer) in which the fair value of an issuers securities remains below our amortized cost, our ability and intent to hold these investments for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery of our costs, and any other factors that may raise doubt about the issuers ability to continue as a going concern.
27
Other-than-temporary impairments are recorded as realized losses, which serve to reduce net income and earnings per share. Temporary losses are recorded as unrealized losses, which do not impact net income and earnings per share but reduce other comprehensive net income. The risks inherent in the assessment of other-than-temporary impairments include the risk that market factors may differ from our expectations; we may decide to subsequently sell a security for unforeseen business needs; or the credit assessment could change in the near term, resulting in a charge to earnings.
The following table illustrates the gross unrealized losses included in the Companys investment portfolio and the fair value of those securities, aggregated by investment category. The table also illustrates the length of time that they have been in a continuous unrealized loss position as of June 30, 2005.
|
|
June 30, 2005 |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Less than 12 Months |
|
12 Months or More |
|
Total |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
|
Unrealized |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
Fair Value |
|
Losses |
|
||||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies |
|
$ |
42,485 |
|
$ |
164 |
|
$ |
42,164 |
|
$ |
1,046 |
|
$ |
84,649 |
|
$ |
1,210 |
|
||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions |
|
23,153 |
|
182 |
|
90,163 |
|
1,285 |
|
113,316 |
|
1,467 |
|
||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
|
35,022 |
|
146 |
|
12,052 |
|
149 |
|
47,074 |
|
295 |
|
||||||||||
Corporate and other securities |
|
16,653 |
|
110 |
|
15,358 |
|
308 |
|
32,011 |
|
418 |
|
||||||||||
Total temporarily impaired securities |
|
$ |
117,313 |
|
$ |
602 |
|
$ |
159,737 |
|
$ |
2,788 |
|
$ |
277,050 |
|
$ |
3,390 |
|
||||
The unrealized losses recorded on the fixed maturity investment portfolio at June 30, 2005 resulted from fluctuations in market interest rates as opposed to fundamental changes in the credit quality of the issuers of such securities. Therefore, these decreases in values are viewed as being temporary as we have the intent and ability to retain such investments for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery in market value.
Of the $3,390 gross unrealized losses as of June 30, 2005, $2,677 relates to fixed maturity obligations of states and political subdivisions and U.S. government agencies. The remaining $713 of gross unrealized losses relates primarily to holdings of investment grade asset-backed, corporate and other fixed maturity securities.
During the three and six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, there was no significant deterioration in the credit quality of any of the Companys holdings and no other-than-temporary impairment charges were recorded related to the Companys portfolio of investment securities.
Finance and Other Service Income. Finance and other service income includes revenues from premium installment charges, which we recognize when earned. Finance and other service income increased by $122, or 3.2%, to $3,977 for the second quarter of 2005 from $3,855 for the comparable 2004 period. Finance and other service income increased by $346, or 4.6%, to $7,946 for the six months ended June 30, 2005 from $7,600 for the comparable 2004 period. This resulted from increases in premium installment billing fees primarily due to growth in the number of policies.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred during the second quarter of 2005 decreased by $11,813, or 11.2%, to $93,802 from $105,615 for the comparable 2004 period. Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred during the six months ended June 30, 2005 decreased $12,955, or 6.0%, to $203,972 from $216,927 for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP loss ratio for the second quarter of 2005 decreased to 59.9% from 72.1% for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP loss ratio for the six months ended June 30, 2005 decreased to 65.2% from 74.7% for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP loss ratio excluding loss adjustment expenses for the second quarter of 2005 decreased to 53.5% from 65.6% for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP loss ratio excluding loss adjustment expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2005 decreased to 58.3% from 67.7% for the comparable 2004 period. The loss ratio improved as a result of a decrease in personal and commercial automobile bodily injury claim frequency, $12,583 of favorable loss development in CAR prior year results, and $4,650 of favorable loss development in our personal automobile line of business for the six months ended June 30, 2005.
28
Underwriting, Operating and Related Expenses. Underwriting, operating and related expense for the second quarter of 2005 increased by $3,521, or 9.7%, to $39,975 from $36,454 for the comparable 2004 period. Underwriting, operating and related expense for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased by $6,126, or 8.7%, to $76,566 from $70,440 for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP expense ratios for the second quarter of 2005 increased to 25.5% from 24.9% for the comparable 2004 period. Our GAAP expense ratios for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased to 24.5% from 24.2% for the comparable 2004 period.
Interest Expenses. Interest expense for the second quarter of 2005 was $225 compared to $159 for the comparable 2004 period. Interest expense for the six months ended June 30, 2005 was $448 compared to $312 for the comparable 2004 period.
Income Tax Expense. Our effective tax rates were 31.9% and 31.1% for the second quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively. Our effective tax rate was 31.9% and 32.0% for the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively. These effective rates were lower than the statutory rate of 35% primarily due to adjustments for tax-exempt investment income.
Net Income. Net income for the second quarter of 2005 increased by $12,966, or 126.1%, to $23,246 from $10,280 for the comparable 2004 period. Net income for the six months ended June 30, 2005 increased by $21,098, or 126.7%, to $37,748 from $16,650 for the comparable 2004 period. This increase was primarily due to the increase in premiums and decrease in the loss ratio, as discussed above.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
As a holding company, Safetys assets consist primarily of the stock of our direct and indirect subsidiaries. Our principal source of funds to meet our obligations and pay dividends to shareholders, therefore, is dividends and other permitted payments from our subsidiaries, principally Safety Insurance. Safety is the borrower under our credit facilities.
Safety Insurances sources of funds primarily include premiums received, investment income and proceeds from sales and redemptions of investments. Safety Insurances principal uses of cash are the payment of claims, operating expenses and taxes, the purchase of investments and payment of dividends to Safety.
Net cash provided by operating activities was $44,236 and $58,305 during the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively. Our operations typically generate substantial positive cash flows from operations as most premiums are received in advance of the time when claim and benefit payments are required. These positive operating cash flows are expected to continue to meet our liquidity requirements.
Net cash used for investing activities was $28,329 during the six months ended June 30, 2005 compared to $7,598 of cash provided by investing activities during the six months ended June 30, 2004. This was a result of greater sales of fixed maturities in 2004.
Net cash used for financing activities was $1,578 and $2,732 during the six months ended June 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, primarily from dividends paid to shareholders in excess of proceeds from stock option exercises.
Credit Facility
Concurrent with the closing of our IPO and repayment of the old credit facility, Safety obtained a new $30,000 revolving credit facility. Safety borrowed the entire $30,000 under this credit facility at the closing of the IPO and paid down the balance to $19,956 on December 5, 2002 with the approximately $10,000 net proceeds from the exercise of the underwriters over-allotment option for 900,000 shares of our common stock. Loans under the credit facility bear interest at our option at either (i) the LIBOR rate plus 1.50% per annum or (ii) the higher of Citizens Bank of Massachusetts prime rate or 0.50% above the federal funds rate plus 1.50% per annum. Interest only is payable prior to maturity. The obligations of Safety under the credit facility are secured by pledges of the assets of Safety and the capital stock of Safetys operating subsidiaries. The credit facility is guaranteed by the non-insurance company subsidiaries of Safety. The credit facility contains covenants including requirements to maintain minimum risk based capital ratios and statutory surplus of Safety Insurance as well as limitations or restrictions on indebtedness, liens, dividends, and other matters. As of June 30, 2005, we were in compliance with all such covenants.
Bank of America was the lender under this credit facility. Under an agreement effective on June 17, 2005, Bank of America assigned the $30,000 credit facility to Citizens Bank of Massachusetts. The credit facility was due and payable at
29
maturity on November 27, 2005, which was three years from the closing of the IPO. Under a June 17, 2005 amendment to the credit facility, the maturity date was extended to June 17, 2008. Other terms of the revolving credit facility remain unchanged.
Regulatory Matters
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to various regulatory restrictions that limit the maximum amount of dividends available to be paid to their parent without prior approval of the Commissioner. The Massachusetts statute limits the dividends an insurer may pay in any twelve-month period, without the prior permission of the Commissioner, to the greater of (i) 10% of the insurers surplus as of the preceding December 31 or (ii) the insurers net income for the twelve-month period ending the preceding December 31, in each case determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices. Our insurance company subsidiaries may not declare an extraordinary dividend (defined as any dividend or distribution that, together with other distributions made within the preceding twelve months, exceeds the limits established by Massachusetts statute) until thirty days after the Commissioner has received notice of the intended dividend and has not objected. As historically administered by the Commissioner, this provision requires the Commissioners prior approval of an extraordinary dividend. Under Massachusetts law, an insurer may pay cash dividends only from its unassigned funds, also known as earned surplus, without the approval of the Commissioner and the insurers remaining surplus must be both reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities and adequate to its financial needs. At year-end 2004, the statutory surplus of Safety Insurance was $278,161, and its net income for 2004 was $42,251. As a result, a maximum of $42,251 is available in 2005 for such dividends without prior approval of the Commissioner. During the six months ended June 30, 2005, Safety Insurance recorded dividends to Safety of $4,752.
The maximum dividend permitted by law is not indicative of an insurers actual ability to pay dividends, which may be constrained by business and regulatory considerations, such as the impact of dividends on surplus, which could affect an insurers ratings or competitive position, the amount of premiums that can be written and the ability to pay future dividends.
On May 19, 2005, our Board approved a quarterly cash dividend on our common stock of $0.12 per share, or $1,881, which was paid on June 15, 2005. On February 17, 2005, our Board approved a quarterly cash dividend on our common stock of $0.12 per share, or $1,861, which was paid on March 15, 2005. We plan to continue to declare and pay quarterly cash dividends in 2005, depending on our financial position and the regularity of our cash flows.
Management believes that the current level of cash flow from operations provides us with sufficient liquidity to meet our operating needs over the next 12 months. We expect to be able to continue to meet our operating needs after the next 12 months from internally generated funds. Since our ability to meet our obligations in the long term (beyond such twelve-month period) is dependent upon such factors as market changes, insurance regulatory changes and economic conditions, no assurance can be given that the available net cash flow will be sufficient to meet our operating needs. We expect that we would need to borrow or issue capital stock if we needed additional funds, for example, to pay for an acquisition or a significant expansion of our operations. There can be no assurance that sufficient funds for any of the foregoing purposes would be available to us at such time.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We have no material obligations under a guarantee contract meeting the characteristics identified in paragraph 3 of Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Interpretation No. (FIN) 45, Guarantors Accounting and Disclosure Requirements, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others. We have no material retained or contingent interests in assets transferred to an unconsolidated entity. We have no material obligations, including contingent obligations, under contracts that would be accounted for as derivative instruments. We have no obligations, including contingent obligations, arising out of a variable interest in an unconsolidated entity held by, and material to, us, where such entity provides financing, liquidity, market risk or credit risk support to, or engages in leasing, hedging or research and development services with us. We have no direct investments in real estate and no holdings of mortgages secured by commercial real estate. Accordingly, we have no material off-balance sheet arrangements.
Contractual Obligations
We have obligations to make future payments under contracts and credit-related financial instruments and commitments. At June 30, 2005, certain long-term aggregate contractual obligations and credit-related commitments are as follows:
30
|
|
Within |
|
Two to |
|
Three to |
|
More Than |
|
|
|
||||||||||
|
|
One Year |
|
Three Years |
|
Five Years |
|
Five Years |
|
Total |
|
||||||||||
Loss and LAE Reserves |
|
$ |
226,737 |
|
$ |
203,601 |
|
$ |
27,764 |
|
$ |
4,627 |
|
$ |
462,729 |
|
|||||
Debt |
|
|
|
19,956 |
|
|
|
|
|
19,956 |
|
||||||||||
Capital lease obligations |
|
223 |
|
153 |
|
|
|
|
|
376 |
|
||||||||||
Operating leases |
|
2,886 |
|
5,882 |
|
1,560 |
|
|
|
10,328 |
|
||||||||||
Total contractual obligations |
|
$ |
229,846 |
|
$ |
229,592 |
|
$ |
29,324 |
|
$ |
4,627 |
|
$ |
493,389 |
|
|||||
As of June 30, 2005, the company had loss and LAE reserves of $462,729, reinsurance recoverables of $83,957 and net loss and LAE reserves of $378,772. Our loss and LAE reserves are estimates as described in more detail under Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates. The specific amounts and timing of obligations related to case reserves, IBNR reserves and related LAE reserves are not set contractually, and the amounts and timing of these obligations are unknown. Nonetheless, based upon our cumulative claims paid over the last ten years, the company anticipates that approximately 49 percent of reserves will be paid within one year, an additional 44 percent between one and three years, 6 percent between three and five years, and 1 percent in more than five years. While management believes that historical performance of loss payment patterns is a reasonable source for projecting future claims payments, there is inherent uncertainty in this estimated projected settlement of loss and LAE reserves, and as a result these estimates will differ, perhaps significantly, from actual future payments. Our operations typically generate substantial positive cash flows from operations as most premiums are received in advance of the time when claim and benefit payments are required. These positive operating cash flows are expected to continue to meet our liquidity requirements, including any unexpected variations in the timing of claim settlements.
There was no material change in any of our contractual obligations outside the ordinary course of our business during the six months ended June 30, 2005. Our loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, debt and capital lease obligations are currently reflected in our June 30, 2005 and 2004 balance sheets under GAAP.
Forward-looking statements might include one or more of the following, among others:
Projections of revenues, income, earnings per share, capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure or other financial items;
Descriptions of plans or objectives of management for future operations, products or services;
Forecasts of future economic performance, liquidity, need for funding and income; and
Descriptions of assumptions underlying or relating to any of the foregoing.
Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words such as believe, expect, anticipate, intend, plan, estimate, aim, projects, or words of similar meaning and expressions that indicate future events and trends, or future or conditional verbs such as will, would, should, could, or may. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including statements about the Companys strategy for growth, product development, market position, expenditures and financial results, are forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. There are a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause actual future conditions, events, results or trends to differ significantly and/or materially from historical results or those projected in the forward-looking statements. These factors include but are not limited to the competitive nature of our industry and the possible adverse effects of such competition. Although a number of national insurers that are much larger than we are do not currently compete in a material way in the Massachusetts private passenger automobile market, if one or more of these companies decided to aggressively enter the market it could have a material adverse effect on us. Other significant factors include conditions for business operations and restrictive regulations in Massachusetts, the possibility of losses due to claims resulting from severe weather, the possibility that the Commissioner may approve future Rule changes that change the operation of the residual market, our possible need for and availability of additional financing, and our dependence on strategic relationships, among others, and other risks and factors identified from time to time in our reports filed with the SEC, such as those set forth under the caption Risk Factors in our prospectus in the registration statement on Form S-1 filed with the SEC on November 22, 2002.
31
Some other factors, such as market, operational, liquidity, interest rate, equity and other risks, are described elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Factors relating to the regulation and supervision of our Company are also described or incorporated in this report. There are other factors besides those described or incorporated in this report that could cause actual conditions, events or results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. We do not undertake any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Information about Market Risk (Dollars in thousands)
Market Risk. Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in market rates and prices. We have exposure to market risk through our investment activities and our financing activities. Our primary market risk exposure is to changes in interest rates. We may use both fixed and variable rate debt as sources of financing; at present all our debt is at variable rates. We have not entered, and do not plan to enter, into any derivative financial instruments for trading or speculative purposes.
Interest Rate Risk. Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in interest rates. Our exposure to interest rate changes primarily results from our significant holdings of fixed rate investments and from our financing activities. Our fixed maturity investments include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, obligations of state and local governments and governmental authorities, corporate bonds and asset-backed securities, most of which are exposed to changes in prevailing interest rates.
We manage our exposure to risks associated with interest rate fluctuations through active review of our investment portfolio by our management and Board and consultation with third-party financial advisors. As a general matter, we do not attempt to match the durations of our assets with the durations of our liabilities, and the majority of our liabilities are short tail. Our goal is to maximize the total after-tax return on all of our investments. An important strategy that we employ to achieve this goal is to try to hold enough in cash and short-term investments in order to avoid liquidating longer-term investments to pay claims.
Based upon the results of interest rate sensitivity analysis, the following tables show the interest rate risk of our investments in fixed maturities, including preferred stocks with characteristics of fixed maturities, measured in terms of fair value (which is equal to the carrying value for all our fixed maturity securities).
|
|
As of June 30, 2005 |
|
|||||||
|
|
-100 Basis |
|
|
|
+100 Basis |
|
|||
|
|
Point Change |
|
No Change |
|
Point Change |
|
|||
Estimated fair value |
|
$ |
700,323 |
|
$ |
673,766 |
|
$ |
646,961 |
|
Estimated increase (decrease) in fair value |
|
26,557 |
|
|
|
(26,805 |
) |
|||
An important market risk for all of our outstanding long-term debt is interest rate risk. We continue to monitor the interest rate environment and to evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. With respect to floating rate debt, we are also exposed to the effects of changes in prevailing interest rates. At June 30, 2005 we had $19,956 of debt outstanding under our credit facility at a variable rate of 4.3%. A 2.0% change in the prevailing interest rate on our variable rate debt would result in interest expense fluctuating approximately $400 for 2005, assuming that all of such debt is outstanding for the entire year.
Equity Risk. Equity risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in equity prices. In the past, our exposure to changes in equity prices primarily resulted from our holdings of common stocks, mutual funds and other equities. While we have in the past held common equity securities in our investment portfolio, presently we hold none, except for interests in mutual funds to fund the executive deferred compensation plan. We continuously evaluate market conditions and we expect in the future to purchase equity securities. We principally managed equity price risk through industry and issuer diversification and asset allocation techniques.
32
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Conclusion Regarding the Effectiveness of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
Under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, we evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act)) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that evaluation, our CEO and CFO have concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are adequate and effective and ensure that all information required to be disclosed is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SECs rules and that information required to be disclosed in such reports is accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosures.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
There have been no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during our last fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
Item 1. Legal Proceedings - Please see Item 1 Financial Statements - Note 7, Commitments and Contingencies.
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds - None.
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities - None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders - None.
Item 5. Other Information - None.
Item 6. Exhibits - The exhibits are contained herein as listed in the Exhibit Index on page 35.
33
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
|
SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (Registrant) |
|
|
|
|
Date: August 9, 2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
By: |
/s/ WILLIAM J. BEGLEY, JR. |
|
|
William J. Begley, Jr. |
|
|
Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary |
34
SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Exhibit |
|
Description |
|
|
|
11 |
|
Statement re: Computation of Per Share Earnings.(1) |
|
|
|
31.1 |
|
CEO Certification Pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a), as Adopted Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.(2) |
|
|
|
31.2 |
|
CFO Certification Pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a), as Adopted Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.(2) |
|
|
|
32.1 |
|
CEO Certification Pursuant to U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.(2) |
|
|
|
32.2 |
|
CFO Certification Pursuant to U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.(2) |
(1) Not included herein as the information can be calculated from the face of the Consolidated Statements of Operations (see page 4).
(2) Included herein.
35