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VERACYTE, INC. - Quarter Report: 2013 September (Form 10-Q)

Table of Contents

 

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

 


 

FORM 10-Q

 


 

(Mark One)

 

x

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2013

 

OR

 

o

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from             to           

 

Commission file number 001-36156

 


 

VERACYTE, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 


 

Delaware

 

20-5455398

(State or other jurisdiction of

 

(I.R.S. Employer

incorporation or organization)

 

Identification No.)

 

7000 Shoreline Court, Suite 250

South San Francisco, California 94080

(Address of principal executive offices, zip code)

 

(650) 243-6300

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 


 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes o     No x

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes x     No o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

 

Large accelerated filer o

 

Accelerated filer o

 

Non-accelerated filer x

 

Smaller reporting company o

 

 

 

 

(Do not check if a
smaller reporting company)

 

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes £     No x

 

As of November 15, 2013, there were 21,035,046 shares of common stock, par value $0.001 per share, outstanding.

 

 

 



Table of Contents

 

 

Page
No.

PART I. — FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Condensed Unaudited Financial Statements

 

Condensed Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (Unaudited)

1

Condensed Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss for the Three and Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (Unaudited)

2

Condensed Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (Unaudited)

3

Notes to the Condensed Financial Statements (Unaudited)

4

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

19

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

38

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

38

PART II. — OTHER INFORMATION

39

Item 1A. Risk Factors

39

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

65

Item 6. Exhibits

66

SIGNATURE

67

EXHBIT INDEX

68

 



Table of Contents

 

PART I. — FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Condensed Financial Statements

 

VERACYTE, INC.

 

CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS

 

(Unaudited)

 

(In thousands, except share and per share amounts)

 

 

 

September 30,
2013

 

December 31,
2012

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Current assets:

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents

 

$

15,426

 

$

14,002

 

Accounts receivable, net of allowance of $364 and $222 as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012

 

714

 

569

 

Supplies inventory

 

1,392

 

1,050

 

Prepaid expenses and other current assets

 

2,938

 

710

 

Restricted cash

 

 

50

 

Total current assets

 

20,470

 

16,381

 

Property and equipment, net

 

2,826

 

2,446

 

Restricted cash

 

118

 

118

 

Other assets

 

157

 

122

 

Total assets

 

$

23,571

 

$

19,067

 

Liabilities, Convertible Preferred Stock, and Stockholders’ (Deficit) Equity

 

 

 

 

 

Current liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts payable

 

$

5,604

 

$

1,888

 

Accrued liabilities

 

4,416

 

4,020

 

Deferred Genzyme co-promotion fee

 

2,500

 

2,500

 

Preferred stock liability

 

 

583

 

Total current liabilities

 

12,520

 

8,991

 

Long-term debt, net of discount

 

4,863

 

 

Deferred rent, net of current portion

 

250

 

61

 

Preferred stock warrant liability

 

252

 

 

Deferred Genzyme co-promotion fee, net of current portion

 

3,239

 

5,114

 

Total liabilities

 

21,124

 

14,166

 

Commitments and contingencies

 

 

 

 

 

Convertible preferred stock; $0.001 par value, 60,187,700 and 59,147,999 shares authorized at September 30, 2013 (unaudited) and December 31, 2012, respectively; 59,989,268 and 53,084,507 shares issued and outstanding at September 30, 2013 (unaudited) and December 31, 2012, respectively

 

79,022

 

63,372

 

Stockholders’ (deficit) equity:

 

 

 

 

 

Common stock, $0.001 par value; 77,000,000 shares authorized; 992,578 and 667,684 shares issued and outstanding at September 30, 2013 (unaudited) and December 31, 2012, respectively

 

1

 

1

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

3,181

 

1,597

 

Accumulated deficit

 

(79,757

)

(60,069

)

Total stockholders’ (deficit) equity

 

(76,575

)

(58,471

)

Total liabilities, convertible preferred stock, and stockholders’ (deficit) equity

 

$

23,571

 

$

19,067

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

 

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Table of Contents

 

VERACYTE, INC.

 

CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE LOSS

 

(Unaudited)

 

(In thousands, except share and per share amounts)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,
2013

 

September 30,
2012

 

September 30,
2013

 

September 30,
2012

 

Revenue

 

$

5,594

 

$

3,224

 

$

15,046

 

$

7,171

 

Operating expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cost of revenue

 

3,132

 

1,984

 

9,136

 

4,984

 

Research and development

 

2,028

 

1,729

 

5,940

 

4,887

 

Selling and marketing

 

3,291

 

2,347

 

8,609

 

5,392

 

General and administrative

 

3,244

 

2,103

 

8,772

 

5,721

 

Total operating expenses

 

11,695

 

8,163

 

32,457

 

20,984

 

Loss from operations

 

(6,101

)

(4,939

)

(17,411

)

(13,813

)

Interest expense

 

(126

)

 

(131

)

 

Other income (expense), net

 

(76

)

1

 

(2,146

)

1

 

Net loss and comprehensive loss

 

$

(6,303

)

$

(4,938

)

$

(19,688

)

$

(13,812

)

Net loss per common share, basic and diluted

 

$

(6.59

)

$

(7.49

)

$

(22.87

)

$

(21.40

)

Shares used to compute net loss per common share, basic and diluted

 

955,890

 

659,129

 

860,957

 

645,306

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

 

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VERACYTE, INC.

 

CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

 

(Unaudited)

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,
2013

 

September 30,
2012

 

Operating activities

 

 

 

 

 

Net loss

 

$

(19,688

)

$

(13,812

)

Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation and amortization

 

717

 

526

 

Bad debt expense

 

184

 

144

 

Genzyme co-promotion fee amortization

 

(1,875

)

(1,761

)

Stock-based compensation

 

851

 

458

 

Equity-based compensation

 

 

203

 

Amortization of debt discount and issuance costs

 

28

 

 

Interest on debt balloon payment

 

21

 

 

Change in value of preferred stock liability

 

2,070

 

 

Change in value of preferred stock warrant liability

 

77

 

 

Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts receivables

 

(329

)

(482

)

Supplies inventory

 

(342

)

(488

)

Prepaid expenses and current other assets

 

(2,183

)

(287

)

Other assets

 

32

 

(58

)

Accounts payable

 

3,813

 

747

 

Accrued liabilities and deferred rent

 

763

 

1,531

 

Deferred Genzyme co-promotion fee

 

 

10,000

 

Net cash used in operating activities

 

(15,861

)

(3,279

)

Investing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Purchases of property and equipment

 

(1,061

)

(912

)

Change in restricted cash

 

50

 

 

Net cash used in investing activities

 

(1,011

)

(912

)

Financing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt, net of debt issuance costs

 

4,877

 

 

Proceeds from issuance of redeemable convertible preferred stock, net of issuance costs

 

12,945

 

 

Proceeds from the exercise of common stock options

 

474

 

66

 

Net cash provided by financing activities

 

18,296

 

66

 

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

 

1,424

 

(4,125

)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

 

14,002

 

7,566

 

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

 

$

15,426

 

$

3,441

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

 

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VERACYTE, INC

 

Notes to Condensed Financial Statements

 

1. Organization and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

 

Veracyte, Inc. (the “Company”) was incorporated in the state of Delaware on August 15, 2006 as Calderome, Inc. Calderome operated as an incubator until early 2008. On March 4, 2008, the Company changed its name to Veracyte, Inc. Veracyte is a diagnostics company pioneering the field of molecular cytology to improve patient outcomes and lower healthcare costs. The Company specifically targets diseases that often require invasive procedures for an accurate diagnosis — diseases where many healthy patients undergo costly interventions that ultimately prove unnecessary. The Company improves the accuracy of diagnosis at an earlier stage of patient care by deriving clinically actionable genomic information from cytology samples collected in an outpatient setting. The Company’s first commercial solution, the Afirma Thyroid FNA Analysis, includes as its centerpiece the Gene Expression Classifier (“GEC”). The GEC helps physicians reduce the number of unnecessary surgeries by employing a proprietary 142-gene signature to preoperatively determine whether thyroid nodules previously classified by cytopathology as indeterminate can be reclassified as benign. The Company’s operations are based in South San Francisco, California and Austin, Texas, and it operates in one segment.

 

Initial Public Offering

 

On November 4, 2013, the Company completed an initial public offering (“IPO”) of its common stock. In connection with its IPO, the Company issued and sold 5,000,000 shares of its common stock at a price to the public of $13.00 per share.  As a result of the IPO, the Company received approximately $57.9 million in net proceeds, after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions of $4.6 million and estimated offering expenses of $2.5 million payable by the Company.  The condensed financial statements, including share and per share amounts, do not give effect to the IPO.

 

Reverse Stock Split

 

On October 9, 2013, the Company filed a Certificate of Amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to effect a four-for-one reverse stock split of its outstanding common stock. The par value per share and the authorized number of shares of common stock and preferred stock were not adjusted as a result of the reverse stock split. All issued and outstanding shares of common stock, options to purchase common stock and related per share amounts contained in the unaudited interim condensed financial statements have been retroactively adjusted to reflect the reverse stock split for all periods presented. A proportional adjustment to the conversion ratio for each series of convertible preferred stock was also effected in connection with the reverse stock split. The unaudited interim condensed financial statements have not been retroactively adjusted to give effect to the conversion of the preferred stock into 0.25 of a share of common stock upon the closing of the IPO.

 

Basis of Presentation

 

The accompanying unaudited interim condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) for interim financial information in accordance with Securities and Exchange Commissions (“SEC”) instructions for interim financial reporting and assume the Company will continue as a going concern.

 

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Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. The financial information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 is unaudited but includes all adjustments (consisting of only normal recurring adjustments), which the Company considers necessary for a fair presentation of the results of operations for those periods. Interim results are not necessarily indicative of results for the full fiscal year.

 

The unaudited interim condensed financial statements and related financial information should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements and the related notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2012 included in the Registration Statement on Form S-1 (No. 333-191282) filed by the Company with the SEC on September 20, 2013, as amended.

 

Use of Estimates

 

The preparation of unaudited interim condensed financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the reporting period. Significant items subject to such estimates include: revenue recognition; allowance for doubtful accounts; the useful lives of property and equipment; the recoverability of long-lived assets; the determination of fair value of the Company’s common stock, stock options, and preferred stock liability; income tax uncertainties, including a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets; and contingencies. The Company bases these estimates on historical and anticipated results, trends, and various other assumptions that the Company believes are reasonable under the circumstances, including assumptions as to future events. These estimates form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities and recorded revenue and expenses that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could differ from those estimates and assumptions.

 

Concentrations of Credit Risk and Other Risks and Uncertainties

 

The Company’s cash and cash equivalents are deposited with two major financial institutions in the United States of America. Deposits in these institutions may exceed the amount of insurance provided on such deposits. The Company has not experienced any losses on its deposits of cash and cash equivalents.

 

Several of the components of the Company’s sample collection kit and test reagents are obtained from single source suppliers. If these single source suppliers fail to satisfy the Company’s requirements on a timely basis, it could suffer delays in being able to deliver Afirma, a possible loss of revenue, or incur higher costs, any of which could adversely affect its operating results.

 

The Company is also subject to credit risk from its accounts receivable related to its sales of Afirma. The Company generally does not perform evaluations of customers’ financial condition and generally does not require collateral. All of the Company’s accounts receivables are derived from sales of Afirma in the United States.

 

As of September 30, 2013 and 2012, all of the Company’s revenue is derived from the sale of Afirma. To date, Afirma has been available only to physicians in the United States. The Company’s significant third-party payers and their related revenue as a percentage of revenue were as follows:

 

 

 

Nine Months
Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

Medicare

 

33%

 

35%

 

Aetna

 

8%

 

13%

 

United Healthcare

 

17%

 

12%

 

 

 

58%

 

60%

 

 

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Accounts receivable from Medicare amounted to 79% and 87% of gross receivables as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. No other third-party payer represented more than 10% of the Company’s revenues or accounts receivable balances for these periods.

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

Cash and cash equivalents consist of all highly liquid investments with original maturities of three months or less from the date of purchase. Cash equivalents consist primarily of amounts invested in money market accounts.

 

Restricted Cash

 

At September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, deposits of $118,000 and $168,000 were restricted from withdrawal and held by a bank in the form of certificates of deposit and collateral for letters of credit. The balances at September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 consisted of a $118,000 letter of credit related to security for the lease of office space.  In addition, the balances at December 31, 2012 also included a certificate of deposit of $50,000 held as collateral for payment of the Company’s credit cards.

 

Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

 

The Company accrues an allowance for doubtful accounts against its accounts receivable based on estimates consistent with historical collection experience in relation to amounts billed. Bad debt expense is included in general and administrative expense on the Company’s statements of operations and comprehensive loss. Accounts receivable are written off against the allowance when the claims appeals process is exhausted or when there is other substantive evidence that the account will not be paid. The Company’s allowance for doubtful accounts as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 was $364,000 and $222,000, respectively. The provision for bad debt expense was $66,000 and $58,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $184,000 and $144,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. There were $34,000 in write-offs for doubtful accounts against the allowance during the nine months ended September 30, 2013.

 

Supplies Inventory

 

Supplies inventory consists of test reagents and other consumables used in the sample collection kits and in the performance of testing services for cytopathology and for the GEC.  Supplies inventory is valued at the lower of cost or market value. Cost is determined using actual costs on a first-in, first-out basis.

 

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Table of Contents

 

Internal-use Software

 

Capitalized software costs consist of third-party costs incurred in the application development stage to design and implement the software that is used in the GEC. Costs incurred in the development of software are capitalized and amortized over an estimated useful life of three years on a straight line basis. During the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, the Company capitalized $211,000 and $173,000 of software development costs, respectively. Capitalized software is classified as part of property and equipment, and had a net book value of $321,000 and $184,000 as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.

 

Bonus Accruals

 

The Company accrues for liabilities under discretionary employee and executive bonus plans. These estimated compensation liabilities are based on progress against corporate objectives approved by the Board of Directors, compensation levels of eligible individuals, and target bonus percentage levels. The Board of Directors and the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors review and evaluate the performance against these objectives and ultimately determine what discretionary payments are made. At September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, the Company accrued $639,000 and $671,000, respectively, for liabilities associated with these employee and executive bonus plans.

 

Revenue Recognition

 

The Company’s revenue is generated from the provision of diagnostic services using its Afirma solution. Service is completed upon the delivery of test results to the prescribing physician which triggers the billing for the service. The Company recognizes revenue related to billings for commercial carriers or governmental programs subject to contractual arrangements and when there is a predictable pattern of collectability on an accrual basis, net of contractual adjustments. These contractual adjustments represent the difference between the list price (the billing rate) and the reimbursement rate set by commercial or governmental payers. Until a contract has been negotiated with a commercial carrier or governmental program, the Afirma solution may or may not be covered by these entities’ existing reimbursement policies. In addition, patients do not enter into direct agreements with us that commit them to pay any portion of the cost of the tests in the event that their insurance declines to reimburse the Company. In the absence of an agreement or other clearly enforceable legal right to demand payment, when test services are provided to patients with non-contracted insurance carriers or no insurance, the related revenue is only recognized upon the earlier of payment notification, if applicable, or cash receipt.

 

For all services performed, the Company considers whether or not the following revenue recognition criteria are met: persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists; delivery has occurred or services have been rendered; the fee is fixed or determinable; and collectability is reasonably assured.

 

Persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists and delivery is deemed to have occurred upon delivery of a patient report to the prescribing physician. The assessment of the fixed or determinable nature of the fees charged for testing performed and the collectability of those fees require significant judgment by management. Management believes that these two criteria have been met when there is contracted reimbursement coverage and/or a predictable pattern of collectability with individual third-party payers and accordingly, recognizes revenue upon delivery of the patient report. Some patients have out-of-pocket costs for amounts not covered by their insurance carrier, and the Company may bill the patient directly for these amounts in the form of co-payments and co-insurance in

 

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accordance with their insurance carrier and health plans. Some payers may not cover the GEC as ordered by the prescribing physician under their reimbursement policies. The Company pursues reimbursement from such patients on a case-by-case basis. In the absence of contracted reimbursement coverage or a predictable pattern and history of collectability, the Company believes that the fee is fixed or determinable and collectability is reasonably assured only upon receipt of third-party payer notification of payment or when cash is received and accordingly, recognizes revenue at that time.

 

Net Loss per Common Share

 

Basic net loss per common share is calculated by dividing net loss for the period by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding during the period, without consideration of common stock equivalents. Diluted net loss per common share is computed by dividing the loss for the period by the weighted-average number of common share equivalents outstanding for the period determined using the treasury stock method. Potentially dilutive securities consisting of convertible preferred stock and options to purchase common stock are considered to be common stock equivalents and were excluded from the calculation of diluted net loss per common share because their effect would be antidilutive for all periods presented.

 

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

 

In February 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Accounting Standards Update (“ASU”) No. 2013-02, Reporting of Amounts Reclassified Out of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income. This ASU requires reporting and disclosure about changes in accumulated other comprehensive income balances and reclassifications out of accumulated other comprehensive income. The Company adopted this guidance as of January 1, 2013 on a prospective basis and the adoption did not have a material effect on the Company’s financial statements as the Company does not have comprehensive income (loss).

 

In June 2011, the FASB issued authoritative guidance requiring companies to present items of net income, items of other comprehensive income and total comprehensive income in one continuous statement or two consecutive statements. This guidance eliminates the option for companies to present other comprehensive income in the statement of stockholders’ equity. The Company adopted this guidance as of January 1, 2012. As this guidance provides only presentation requirements, the adoption of this guidance did not impact the Company’s financial condition or results of operations.

 

In May 2011, the FASB issued authoritative guidance to achieve common fair value measurement and disclosure requirements between U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards. This new literature amends current fair value measurement and disclosure guidance to include increased transparency around valuation inputs and investment categorization. The guidance is effective for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after December 15, 2011. The Company adopted this standard as of January 1, 2012, as reflected in Note 3 to the unaudited interim condensed financial statements.

 

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2. Accrued Liabilities

 

Accrued liabilities consist of the following (in thousands):

 

 

 

September 30, 2013

 

December 31, 2012

 

Accrued compensation expenses

 

$

1,248

 

$

1,360

 

Accrued consulting fees

 

42

 

28

 

Accrued legal and professional fees

 

294

 

84

 

Accrued Genzyme co-promotion fees

 

2,322

 

2,175

 

Accrued other

 

510

 

373

 

Accrued liabilities

 

$

4,416

 

$

4,020

 

 

3. Fair Value Measurements

 

The Company records its financial assets and liabilities at fair value. The carrying amounts of certain financial instruments of the Company, including cash and cash equivalents, prepaid expenses and other current assets, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, approximate fair value due to their relatively short maturities. The carrying value of long-term debt approximates its fair value because the interest rate approximates market rates that the Company could obtain for debt with similar terms. The accounting guidance for fair value provides a framework for measuring fair value, clarifies the definition of fair value, and expands disclosures regarding fair value measurements. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in an orderly transaction between market participants at the reporting date. The accounting guidance establishes a three-tiered hierarchy, which prioritizes the inputs used in the valuation methodologies in measuring fair value as follows:

 

·                  Level I: Inputs which include quoted prices in active markets for identical assets and liabilities.

 

·                  Level II: Inputs other than Level I that are observable, either directly or indirectly, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities.

 

·                  Level III: Unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the fair value of the assets or liabilities.

 

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The Company’s financial assets and liabilities subject to fair value measurements on a recurring basis and the level of inputs used in such measurements were as follows (in thousands):

 

 

 

September 30, 2013

 

 

 

Level I

 

Level II

 

Level III

 

Total

 

Financial Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Money market funds

 

$

15,078

 

$

 

$

 

$

15,078

 

Total financial assets

 

$

15,078

 

$

 

$

 

$

15,078

 

Financial Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock warrant liability

 

$

 

$

 

$

252

 

$

252

 

Total financial liabilities

 

$

 

$

 

$

252

 

$

252

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2012

 

 

 

Level I

 

Level II

 

Level III

 

Total

 

Financial Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Money market funds

 

$

12,830

 

$

 

$

 

$

12,830

 

Total financial assets

 

$

12,830

 

$

 

$

 

$

12,830

 

Financial Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock liability

 

$

 

$

 

$

583

 

$

583

 

Total financial liabilities

 

$

 

$

 

$

583

 

$

583

 

 

The Company’s Level III liabilities consist of a preferred stock liability and a preferred stock warrant liability (see Note 5). The following table sets forth a summary of the changes in the fair value of the Company’s Level III financial liabilities, which are measured on a recurring basis (in thousands):

 

Balance as of December 31, 2012

 

$

583

 

Change in fair value of preferred stock liability recorded in other income (expense), net

 

2,070

 

Settlement of preferred stock liability

 

(2,653

)

Fair value of preferred stock warrant liability

 

175

 

Change in fair value of preferred stock warrant liability recorded in other income (expense), net

 

77

 

Balance as of September 30, 2013

 

$

252

 

 

In November 2012, the Company recorded a preferred stock liability as investors received the right to purchase from the Company, on the same terms, additional shares of Series C convertible preferred stock, in a second tranche. As the investors hold a majority of the board seats, the decision to complete the second tranche was deemed to be outside the control of the Company. The preferred stock liability was valued using the option-pricing method, which resulted in an initial fair value of $0.9 million for the Company’s obligation to sell the convertible preferred stock. In June 2013, the Company settled the preferred stock liability upon completion of the sale of the second tranche of Series C convertible preferred stock. Immediately prior to settlement, the Company revalued the preferred stock liability to $2.7 million and recorded other expense of $2.1 million related to the change in value of the liability through that date. The preferred stock liability was valued using the option-pricing method with the following assumptions: 100% probability of success of the second tranche, fair value of Series C preferred stock of $2.39, a term of 0.003 years and expected volatility of 36.4%.

 

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4. Debt

 

In June 2013, the Company entered into a loan and security agreement with a financial institution to fund its working capital and other general corporate needs. The agreement provided for term loans of up to $10.0 million in aggregate. The Company drew down $5.0 million in funds under the agreement in June 2013. The Company is required to repay the outstanding principal in 30 equal installments beginning 18 months after the date of the borrowing. The loan bears interest at a rate of 6.06% per annum. The loan carries prepayment penalties of 2.25% and 1.5% for prepayment within one and two years, respectively, of the loan origination and 0.75% thereafter.

 

Upon execution of the loan and security agreement, the Company issued the financial institution a warrant to purchase shares of Series C convertible preferred stock at $1.89 per share (See Note 5). At the time of issuance, the aggregate fair value of the warrant for the 99,206 shares exercisable under the warrant was $175,000. The fair value of the warrant was carved out from total proceeds, resulting in a debt discount to be amortized to interest expense over 48 months, through the maturity date of the initial loan, using the effective interest rate method, and was recorded as a preferred stock warrant liability. The end of term payment of $223,000 representing 4.45% of the total outstanding principal balance will be accreted over the life of the loan as interest expense. As a result of the debt discount and the end of term payment, the effective interest rate for the loan differs from the contractual rate. Interest expense related to the amortization of the debt discount and accretion of the end of term payment was $36,000 and $38,000 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013, respectively.

 

The Company may request a second term loan of up to $5.0 million on or prior to March 31, 2014. The Company’s obligations under the loan and security agreement are secured by a security interest on substantially all of its assets, excluding its intellectual property and certain other assets. The loan and security agreement contains customary conditions related to borrowing, events of default, and covenants, including covenants limiting the Company’s ability to dispose of assets, undergo a change in control, merge with or acquire other entities, incur debt, incur liens, pay dividends or other distributions to holders of its capital stock, repurchase stock and make investments, in each case subject to certain exceptions. The agreement also allows the lender to call the debt in the event there is a material adverse change in the Company’s business or financial condition. The loan and security agreement does not require that the Company comply with any financial covenants.

 

5. Convertible Preferred Stock Warrants

 

In June 2013, in conjunction with the execution of the loan and security agreement (Note 4), the Company issued to the lender a warrant to purchase up to 198,412 shares of Series C convertible preferred stock with an exercise price of $1.89 per share. Upon the draw down of the $5.0 million term loan, the warrant became exercisable for 99,206 shares. If the Company draws the second term loan, the remaining 99,206 shares will become exercisable under the warrant. The warrant expires at the earlier of (i) June 26, 2023 or (ii) the seventh anniversary of the Company’s initial public offering. The warrant is exercisable in cash or through a cashless exercise provision. Under the cashless exercise provision, the holder may, in lieu of payment of the exercise price in cash, surrender the warrant and receive a net amount of shares based on the fair market value of the Company’s Series C convertible preferred stock at the time of exercise of the warrant after deducting the aggregate exercise price. In the event that all outstanding shares of the Series C convertible preferred stock are converted into common stock, the warrant will be exercisable for 24,801 shares of common stock (or 49,602 shares in the aggregate if the Company draws down the second term loan), at an exercise price of $7.56 per share. The fair value of

 

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the currently exercisable portion of the warrant in the amount of $175,000 was recorded as a preferred stock warrant liability upon issuance and is subject to remeasurement at each reporting period up to the closing date of the IPO when the Series C preferred is converted into common stock. The fair value of the warrant upon issuance was calculated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing valuation model with the following assumptions: Series C preferred stock value of $2.40 per share, contractual term of 7.3 years, risk-free interest rate of 2.1%, expected volatility of 73.7%, and expected dividend yield of 0%. At September 30, 2013, the fair value of the warrant was approximately $252,000, and was calculated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing valuation model with the following assumptions: Series C preferred stock value of $3.25 per share, contractual term of 7.083 years, risk-free interest rate of 2.02%, expected volatility of 75.63%, and expected dividend yield of 0%.  The change in the fair value of approximately $77,000 was reported as an expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and is included in other income (expense), net in the unaudited interim condensed statements of operations.

 

6. Convertible Preferred Stock

 

In June 2013, the Company amended its Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to increase the number of authorized shares of Series C convertible preferred stock from 14,000,000 to 14,852,001 and amended the Series C stock purchase agreement to increase the number of shares that may be sold in additional closings from 26,455 to a total of 1,640,212. The Company completed the second closing and two additional closings under the agreement, and received gross proceeds of $13.0 million for the issuance of an aggregate of 6,904,761 shares of Series C convertible preferred stock.

 

7. Stock Incentive Plan

 

The following table summarizes activity under the Company’s 2008 Stock Plan, including grants to non-employees and restricted stock issued (in thousands, except per share amounts):

 

 

 

Shares Available
for Grant

 

Options
Outstanding

 

Weighted Average
Exercise Price per
Share

 

Aggregate
Intrinsic Value

 

Balances at December 31, 2012

 

347,386

 

2,227,669

 

$

2.06

 

$

4,311

 

Additional options authorized

 

250,000

 

 

 

 

 

Options granted

 

(636,654

)

636,654

 

4.70

 

 

 

Options exercised

 

 

(324,892

)

1.46

 

 

 

Options forfeited

 

183,852

 

(183,852

)

2.69

 

 

 

Balances at September 30, 2013

 

144,584

 

2,355,579

 

$

2.81

 

$

21,928

 

Vested—September 30, 2013

 

 

 

1,217,163

 

$

2.02

 

$

12,290

 

Expected to vest—September 30, 2013

 

 

 

2,234,726

 

$

2.77

 

$

20,904

 

 

The aggregate intrinsic value was calculated as the difference between the exercise price of the options to purchase common stock and the estimated fair value of the Company’s common stock of $12.12 per share as of September 30, 2013.

 

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Outstanding and exercisable stock options at September 30, 2013 are summarized as follows:

 

 

 

Options Outstanding

 

Options Vested and Exercisable

 

Exercise
Price

 

Number

 

Weighted-Average
Remaining
Contractual
Life (in Years)

 

Number

 

Weighted-Average
Remaining
Contractual
Life (in Years)

 

$0.08

 

177,750

 

4.89

 

177,750

 

4.89

 

$0.80

 

196,194

 

6.40

 

178,718

 

6.39

 

$2.36

 

430,134

 

7.06

 

328,880

 

7.06

 

$2.40

 

216,875

 

7.94

 

141,416

 

7.95

 

$2.68

 

653,952

 

8.53

 

282,438

 

8.51

 

$4.00

 

473,299

 

9.33

 

107,961

 

9.32

 

$6.04

 

198,375

 

9.72

 

 

 

$7.92

 

9,000

 

9.94

 

 

 

$0.08-7.92

 

2,355,579

 

8.02

 

1,217,163

 

7.28

 

 

The weighted average fair value of stock options granted was $3.73 and $1.88 per share in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.

 

The weighted average fair value of stock options vested was $2.24 and $1.38 per share in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.

 

The weighted average fair value of stock options exercised was $0.98 and $0.92 per share in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The intrinsic value of stock options exercised was $3,463,000 and $112,000 in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.

 

On October 2, 2013, the Board of Directors adopted the 2013 Stock Incentive Plan which became effective immediately prior to the closing of the IPO.  To the extent that any awards outstanding under the 2008 Stock Plan are subsequently forfeited or terminated for any reason before being exercised or settled, or which are subject to vesting restrictions under the 2008 Stock Plan and are subsequently forfeited, the shares of common stock reserved for issuance pursuant to such awards as of the closing of the IPO will become available for issuance under the 2013 Stock Incentive Plan.  No options will be granted in the future under the 2008 Stock Plan.

 

Stock-based Compensation

 

Stock-based compensation expense recognized was as follows (in thousands):

 

 

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months
Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

2013

 

2012

 

Cost of revenue

 

$

10

 

$

5

 

$

23

 

$

21

 

Research and development

 

67

 

38

 

170

 

86

 

Selling and marketing

 

46

 

29

 

123

 

81

 

General and administrative

 

238

 

96

 

535

 

270

 

Total

 

$

361

 

$

168

 

$

851

 

$

458

 

 

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As of September 30, 2013, the Company had $2.5 million of unrecognized compensation expense related to unvested stock options, which is expected to be recognized over an estimated weighted-average period of 2.94 years.

 

The estimated grant date fair value of employee stock options was calculated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing valuation model, based on the following assumptions:

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

2013

 

2012

 

Weighted-average volatility

 

80.57%

 

84.33%

 

80.42 - 81.41%

 

83.06 - 84.33%

 

Weighted-average expected term (years)

 

6.08

 

6.08

 

5.0 - 6.08

 

5.0 - 6.08

 

Risk-free interest rate

 

2.11%

 

0.75%

 

0.88 – 2.11%

 

0.75 - 1.19%

 

Expected dividend yield

 

0%

 

0%

 

0%

 

0%

 

 

Stock-based compensation related to stock options granted to non-employees is recognized as the stock options are earned. The fair value of the stock options granted is calculated at each reporting date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model with the following assumptions: expected life is the equal to the remaining contractual term of the award as of the measurement date ranging from 7.97 years to 9.18 years as of September 30, 2013 and 8.48 years to 9.44 years as of September 30, 2012; risk free rate is based on the U.S. Treasury Constant Maturity rate with a term similar to the expected life of the option at the measurement date ranging from 2.22% to 2.47% as of September 30, 2013 and 1.34% to 1.53% as of September 30, 2012; expected dividend yield of 0%; and volatilities ranging from 78.81% to 79.54% as of September 30, 2013 and 83.06% to 83.53% as of September 30, 2012.

 

Equity-based Compensation

 

The Company paid 50% of 2012 executive bonuses through the grant of stock options. The equity transaction associated with these bonuses is classified as equity-based compensation expense. The accrual for the anticipated grants was $259,000 and $0 at December 31, 2012 and September 30, 2013, respectively, and is included in accrued liabilities in the balance sheet.

 

In February 2013, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the grant of 100,498 fully vested stock options at a fair value of $2.59 resulting in $259,000 in expense in the year ended December 31, 2012. The fair value of the stock options was determined using the Black-Scholes option-pricing valuation model. The grant date fair market value was $4.00 as determined by the Company’s Board of Directors, the risk free rate was 0.88%, the expected life was 5.0 years, the volatility was determined to be 81.41% and there was no dividend yield.

 

In February 2013, the Company granted its Chief Executive Officer an incentive stock option to purchase 12,500 shares of common stock with an exercise price of $4.00 per share and a contractual term of 10 years. The option will only vest if an initial public offering or merger occurs in 2013. The Company has not recorded any compensation expense related to this option grant as the vesting event was not deemed probable of occurring as of September 30, 2013.  The option vested in full upon the closing of the Company’s IPO on November 4, 2013.

 

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The following table summarizes equity-based compensation expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, which were included in the unaudited interim condensed statements of operations and comprehensive loss as follows:

 

 

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months
Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

2013

 

2012

 

Cost of revenue

 

$

 

$

1

 

$

 

$

2

 

Research and development

 

 

27

 

 

71

 

Selling and marketing

 

 

10

 

 

31

 

General and administrative

 

 

39

 

 

99

 

Total

 

$

 

$

77

 

$

 

$

203

 

 

8. Genzyme Co—promotion Agreement

 

In January 2012, the Company and Genzyme Corporation (“Genzyme”) executed a co-promotion agreement for the co-exclusive rights and license to promote and market the Company’s Afirma thyroid cancer solution in the United States and in 40 named countries. In exchange, the Company received a $10.0 million co-promotion fee from Genzyme. The Company may receive an additional $3.0 million in payments, $600,000 for each country outside of the United States in which the Company obtains marketing authorization and achieves a specified level of reimbursement, for up to five countries. Under the terms of the agreement, Genzyme will receive a percentage of cash receipts that the Company has received related to Afirma as co-promotion fees. The percentage was 50% in 2012 and decreased to 40% in January 2013 and will further decrease to 32% in March 2014 and thereafter. Genzyme will also spend up to $500,000 for qualifying clinical development activities in countries that require additional testing for approval. This obligation expires in July 2014.  The Company’s agreement with Genzyme expires in January 2027 and either party may terminate the agreement at any time without cause and with six months prior notice. If the Company were to terminate the agreement without cause prior to January 2014, it would be required to repay 50% of the $10.0 million fee the Company received from Genzyme. Such percentage would be reduced to 40% of such fee if the Company were to terminate the agreement between January 2014 and January 2015, and 30% of such fee if the Company were to terminate the agreement between January 2015 and January 2016. The Company is amortizing the co-promotion fee over a four-year period, which is management’s best estimate of the life of the arrangement, in part because after that period either party may terminate the agreement without penalty. The Company amortized $625,000 in each of the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $1.9 million and $1.8 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, which are reflected as a reduction to selling and marketing expenses in the unaudited interim condensed statements of operations and comprehensive loss. The unamortized balance of the co-promotion fee is $5.7 million as of September 30, 2013.  The Company incurred co-promotion expenses of $2.3 million and $1.6 million in the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $6.0 million and $3.3 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, which are reflected in selling and marketing expenses in the unaudited interim condensed statements of operations and comprehensive loss.  The Company’s outstanding obligation to Genzyme totaled $6.0 million and $2.2 million at September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.  Of the $6.0 million obligation at September 30, 2013, $3.7 million is included in accounts payable and $2.3 million is included in accrued liabilities in the Company’s condensed balance sheets.  All of the $2.2 million obligation at December 31, 2012 is included in accrued liabilities in the Company’s condensed balance sheets.

 

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9. Thyroid Cytology Partners

 

In 2010, the Company entered into an arrangement with Pathology Resource Consultants, P.A. (“PRC”) to establish and manage a specialized pathology practice to provide cytopathology testing services to the Company. There is no direct monetary compensation from the Company to PRC as a result of this arrangement. The Company’s services agreement with the specialized pathology practice, Thyroid Cytology Partners (“TCP”), is effective through December 31, 2015, unless terminated earlier, and renews annually thereafter. Under the services agreement, the Company pays TCP based on a fixed price per test schedule, which is reviewed periodically for changes in market pricing. Subsequent to December 2012, an amendment to the services agreement allows TCP to use a portion of the Company’s facility in Austin, Texas. TCP will reimburse the Company for a proportionate share of the Company’s rent and related operating expense costs for the leased facility. The Company does not have an ownership interest in or provide any form of financial or other support to TCP.

 

The Company has concluded that TCP represents a variable interest entity and that the Company is not the primary beneficiary as it does not have the ability to direct the activities that most significantly impact TCP’s economic performance. Therefore, the Company does not consolidate TCP. All amounts paid to TCP under the services agreement are expensed as incurred. All amounts to be received from TCP will be recorded in the same period as the corresponding lease costs.

 

TCP provided $816,000 and $491,000 in cytopathology testing and evaluation services in the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $2,333,000 and $1,135,000 in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The Company also reimbursed TCP for licensure fees of $0 and $37,000 in three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $0 and $103,000 in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. Expenses for testing and evaluation services and reimbursed professional licensure fees are included in cost of revenue in the statements of operations and comprehensive loss. The Company’s outstanding obligations to TCP were $546,000 and $458,000 as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively, which were included in accounts payable in the Company’s balance sheets.

 

10. Net Loss per Common Share

 

The following table presents the calculation of basic and diluted net loss per common share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands, except share and per share amounts):

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

2013

 

2012

 

Net loss

 

$

(6,303

)

$

(4,938

)

$

(19,688

)

$

(13,812

)

Shares used to compute net loss per common share, basic and diluted

 

955,890

 

659,129

 

860,957

 

645,306

 

Net loss per common share, basic and diluted

 

$

(6.59

)

$

(7.49

)

$

(22.87

)

$

(21.40

)

 

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The following outstanding common stock equivalents were excluded from the computation of diluted net loss per common share for the periods presented because including them would have been antidilutive:

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

Convertible preferred stock (as converted)

 

14,997,312

 

11,286,998

 

Options to purchase common stock

 

2,355,579

 

2,179,805

 

Warrants to purchase convertible preferred stock (as converted)

 

24,801

 

 

Total

 

17,377,692

 

13,466,803

 

 

11. Income Taxes

 

The Company did not record a provision or benefit for income taxes during the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.  The Company continues to maintain a valuation allowance for its U.S. federal and state deferred tax assets.

 

On January 2, 2013, The American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012, or ATRA, was signed into law. Under prior law, a taxpayer was entitled to a research tax credit for qualifying amounts incurred through December 31, 2011. The ATRA extends the research credit for two years for qualified research expenditures incurred through the end of 2013. The extension of the research credit is retroactive and includes amounts incurred after 2011.

 

At September 30, 2013, the Company had $0.7 million of unrecognized tax benefit, none of which, if recognized, would affect the effective tax rate as most of the unrecognized tax benefit is deferred tax assets currently offset by a valuation allowance.

 

The Company has not recognized any interest and penalties related to uncertain tax positions as part of the income tax provision.

 

The Company files annual income tax returns in the United States only.  A number of years may elapse before an uncertain tax position is audited and finally resolved.  While it is often difficult to predict the final outcome or the timing of resolution of any particular uncertain tax position, the Company believes that its reserves for income taxes reflect the most likely outcome.  The Company adjusts these reserves, as well as the related interest, in light of changing facts and circumstances.  Settlement of any particular position could require the use of cash.  As of September 30, 2013, changes to the Company’s uncertain tax positions in the next twelve months that are reasonably possible are not expected to have a significant impact on the Company’s financial position or results of operations.

 

12. Subsequent Events

 

Initial Public Offering

 

On November 4, 2013, the Company completed an initial public offering of its common stock. In connection with the IPO, the Company issued and sold 5,000,000 shares of its common stock at a price to the public of $13.00 per share.  As a result of the IPO, the Company received approximately $57.9 million in net proceeds, after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions of $4.6 million and estimated offering expenses of $2.5 million payable by the Company.  The condensed financial

 

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statements, including share and per share amounts, do not give effect to the IPO.  At the closing of the IPO, 59,989,268 shares of outstanding convertible preferred stock were automatically converted into 14,997,312 shares of common stock.  In addition, upon the closing of the IPO, outstanding warrants to purchase 99,206 shares of convertible preferred stock warrants were converted into warrants to purchase 24,801 shares of common stock.

 

Reverse Stock Split

 

On October 9, 2013, the Company filed a Certificate of Amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to effect a four-for-one reverse stock split of its outstanding common stock. The par value per share and the authorized number of shares of common stock and preferred stock were not adjusted as a result of the reverse stock split. All issued and outstanding shares of common stock, options to purchase common stock and related per share amounts contained in the condensed financial statements have been retroactively adjusted to reflect the reverse stock split for all periods presented. A proportional adjustment to the conversion ratio for each series of convertible preferred stock was also effected in connection with the reverse stock split. These financial statements have not been retroactively adjusted to give effect to the conversion of the preferred stock into 0.25 of a share of our common stock upon the closing of the IPO.

 

Restated Certificate of Incorporation

 

Following the conversion of each share of convertible preferred stock into shares of common stock, in connection with the IPO, the Company amended and restated its Certificate of Incorporation to delete all references to the prior series of convertible preferred stock and to give the Board of Directors the authority, without further action by the stockholders, to issue from time to time up to 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock, par value $0.001 per share, in one or more series. The Board of Directors will have the authority to establish the number of shares to be included in each series and fix the powers, preferences and rights of the shares of each wholly unissued series and any of its qualifications, limitations or restrictions. The Board of Directors will also be able to increase or decrease the number of shares of any series, but not below the number of shares of that series then outstanding, without any further vote or action by the stockholders.

 

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Table of Contents

 

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

The following discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of operations should be read together with the condensed financial statements and the related notes included in Item 1 of Part I of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and with the audited financial statements and the related notes included in our final prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 29, 2013, which we refer to as the Prospectus.

 

This report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  When used in this report, the words “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “estimates,” “plans,” “believes,” “continuing,” “ongoing,” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These are statements that relate to future events and include, but are not limited to, statements about or relating to: the factors that may impact our financial results; our expectations regarding revenue; our expectation that our research and development, general and administrative and selling and marketing expenses will increase and our anticipated uses of those funds; our expectations regarding capital expenditures; our anticipated cash needs and our estimates regarding our capital requirements; our need for additional financing; our expected future sources of cash; our business strategy and our ability to execute our strategy; our ability to achieve reimbursement from third-party payers; the potential benefits of the Afirma solution to patients, physicians and payers; the factors we believe drive demand for our test and our ability to sustain or increase such demand; our ability to develop new tests, including the Afirma Malignant GEC and a test for interstitial lung disease, and the timeframes for development or commercial launch; our dependence on our agreements with Genzyme and TCP, and on other strategic relationships and the success of those relationships; the applicability of clinical results to actual outcomes; our estimates and assumptions with respect to potential market opportunities; our expectations regarding our international expansion and opportunities; the occurrence, timing, outcome or success of clinical trials or studies; the ability of our tests to impact treatment decisions; our beliefs regarding our competitive position;  our compliance with federal and state regulations; the potential impact of regulation of our test by the FDA; the impact of new or changing policies, regulation or legislation, or of judicial decisions, on our business; our ability to comply with the requirements of being a public company; the impact of seasonal fluctuations and economic conditions on our business; our belief that we have taken reasonable steps to protect our intellectual property; the impact of accounting pronouncements and our critical accounting policies, judgments, estimates, models and assumptions on our financial results; and anticipated trends and challenges in our business and the markets in which we operate.

 

Forward-looking statements are based on our current plans and expectations and involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those risks discussed in Item 1A of this report, as well as risks and uncertainties related to: our limited operating history and history of losses since inception; our ability to increase usage of and reimbursement for Afirma; our dependence on a limited number of payers for a significant portion of our revenue; the complexity, time and expense associated with billing and collecting for our test; current and future laws, regulations and judicial decisions applicable to our business, including potential regulation by the FDA and changes in legislation reforming the U.S. healthcare system; our dependence on strategic relationships, collaborations and co-promotion arrangements;  unanticipated delays in research and development efforts; our ability to develop and commercialize new products and the timing of commercialization; our ability to

 

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successfully enter new product or geographic markets; the outcome of clinical studies; the applicability of clinical results to actual outcomes; trends and challenges in our business; our ability to compete against third parties; our ability to protect our intellectual property; and our ability to obtain capital when needed. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof. We expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in our expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

 

When used in this report, all references to “Veracyte,” the “Company,” “we,” “our” and “us” refer to Veracyte, Inc.

 

Overview

 

We are a diagnostics company pioneering the field of molecular cytology to improve patient outcomes and lower healthcare costs. We specifically target diseases that often require invasive procedures for an accurate diagnosis — diseases where many healthy patients undergo costly interventions that ultimately prove unnecessary. We improve the accuracy of diagnosis at an earlier stage of patient care by deriving clinically actionable genomic information from cytology samples collected in an outpatient setting. Our first commercial solution, the Afirma Thyroid FNA Analysis, addresses a $500 million market opportunity in the United States where over 525,000 fine needle aspiration, or FNA, biopsies are performed on thyroid nodules suspicious for cancer. In approximately 15% to 30% of patients, FNAs analyzed using cytopathology testing alone yield inconclusive, or indeterminate, results.  The Afirma solution includes as its centerpiece our Gene Expression Classifier, which we refer to as the GEC. The GEC helps physicians reduce the number of unnecessary surgeries by approximately 50% by employing a proprietary 142-gene signature to preoperatively determine whether thyroid nodules previously classified by cytopathology as indeterminate can be reclassified as benign. We have demonstrated the clinical utility and cost effectiveness of the GEC in studies published in peer-reviewed journals and established the clinical validity of the GEC in a study published in The New England Journal of Medicine in 2012. Since we commercially launched Afirma in January 2011, we have received over 60,000 FNA samples for evaluation using Afirma and performed approximately 12,000 GECs to resolve indeterminate cytopathology results. We estimate the global market opportunity for Afirma to be $800 million.

 

We market and sell our solution with a sales force consisting of our own sales professionals and members of the Genzyme endocrinology sales team. In January 2012, we entered into a co-promotion agreement with Genzyme for the co-exclusive right to promote and market Afirma in the United States and in 40 countries pursuant to which we received a $10.0 million fee from Genzyme. Under the agreement, we are required to pay Genzyme a co-promotion fee that is equal to a percentage of our cash receipts from Afirma.

 

As of September 2013, the list price for the GEC is $4,275. We invoice for routine cytopathology at a standard price of $490. We obtained Medicare coverage for the GEC effective in January 2012 which provides reimbursement at an agreed upon rate. In addition, we received positive coverage decisions for the GEC from UnitedHealthcare in March 2013, Aetna in June 2013 and Humana in July 2013, and have also received positive

 

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coverage decisions from a number of other smaller payers. Collectively, these payers represent more than 100 million covered lives. Reimbursement rates vary by payer.

 

Our revenue increased from $7.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 to $15.0 million for nine months ended September 30, 2013. We incurred a net loss of $19.7 million and $13.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $6.3 million and $4.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. As of September 30, 2013, we had an accumulated deficit of $76.6 million.

 

Initial Public Offering

 

On November 4, 2013, we completed an initial public offering, or IPO, of our common stock. In connection with the IPO, we issued and sold 5,000,000 shares of common stock at a price to the public of $13.00 per share, resulting in net proceeds to us of approximately $57.9 million, after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions of $4.6 million and estimated offering expenses of $2.5 million payable by us.

 

Factors Affecting Our Performance

 

The Number of FNAs We Receive and Test

 

The growth in our business is tied to the number of FNAs we receive. Approximately 95% of FNAs we receive are for the Afirma solution, which consists of cytopathology, and if the cytopathology finding is indeterminate, the GEC.  The remaining approximate 5% of FNAs are received from centers performing cytopathology in their institution where the cytopathology result is indeterminate and we perform the GEC only.  Generally 5%-10% of the FNA samples we receive for cytopathology have insufficient cellular material from which to render a cytopathology diagnosis. We only bill the technical component, including slide preparation, for these tests. For results that are benign or suspicious/malignant, we bill for the cytopathology test. If the sample is indeterminate, defined as atypia/follicular lesions of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS) or suspicious for FN/HCN, we perform the GEC. Historically, approximately 14%-17% of samples we have received for the Afirma solution have yielded indeterminate results by cytopathology. Of the FNA samples sent for GEC testing, approximately 5%-10% have insufficient RNA from which to render a finding. We issue a patient report classifying the sample as GEC Benign, GEC Suspicious or GEC No Result. We bill for the GEC Benign and GEC Suspicious results only.  After the GEC is completed, we issue the cytopathology report for the indeterminate samples, and bill for the cytopathology portion of the test at this time. We incur costs of collecting and shipping the FNAs and a portion of the costs of performing tests where we cannot ultimately issue a patient report. Because we cannot bill for all samples received, the number of FNAs received does not directly correlate to the total number of patient reports issued and the amount billed.

 

Continued Adoption of and Reimbursement for Afirma

 

As of September 30, 2013, the list price for the GEC is $4,275. To date only a portion of payers have reimbursed us at full list price. Revenue growth depends on our ability to achieve broader reimbursement at increased levels from third-party payers and to expand our base of prescribing physicians. To drive increased adoption of Afirma, we plan to increase our marketing efforts and to selectively increase our internal sales force

 

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in high-volume geographies domestically and to leverage our relationship with Genzyme to accelerate Afirma growth both in the United States and internationally. Because many payers consider the GEC experimental and investigational, we may not receive payment on many tests and payments may not be at acceptable levels compared to what we have billed. We expect our revenue growth will increase as more payers make a positive coverage decision, which should enhance our collections. If we are unable to expand the base of prescribing physicians at an acceptable rate, or if we are not able to execute our strategy for increasing reimbursement, we may not be able to effectively increase our revenue.

 

How We Recognize Revenue

 

A significant portion of our revenue is recognized when cash is received. Medicare is the only payer with agreed upon reimbursement rates and a predictable history of collections, which allows us to recognize the related revenue on an accrual basis. Until we achieve a predictable pattern of collections and a consistent payment amount from a larger number of payers, we will recognize a large portion of our revenue upon the earlier of notification of payment or when cash is received. Additionally, as we commercialize new products, we will need to achieve a predictable pattern of collections and a consistent payment amount for each payer for each new product offering prior to being able to recognize the related revenue on an accrual basis. Because the timing and amount of cash payments received from payers is difficult to predict, we expect that our revenue will fluctuate significantly in any given quarter. In addition, even if we begin to accrue larger amounts of revenue related to Afirma, when we introduce new products we do not expect we will be able to recognize revenue from new products on an accrual basis for some period of time. This may result in continued fluctuations in our revenue.

 

As of December 31, 2012, amounts billed for tests processed which were not recognized as revenue upon delivery of a patient report because our accrual revenue recognition criteria were not met and for which we have not recognized either notification of payment or collected cash, totaled $17.0 million. Of this amount, we recognized revenue of $2.6 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2013.

 

As of September 30, 2013, amounts billed for tests processed which were not recognized as revenue upon delivery of a patient report because our accrual revenue recognition criteria were not met and for which we have not received either notification of payment or collected cash totaled $38.0 million.

 

These amounts are cumulative as of the date referenced and include all amounts billed in prior periods that have not yet been paid or written off as uncollectible. It is difficult to predict future revenue from tests performed but where we have not been paid. Accordingly, we cannot provide any assurance as to when, if ever, or to what extent any of these amounts will be collected. Because we are in the early stages of commercialization of Afirma, we have had limited payment and collection history. Notwithstanding our efforts to obtain payment for these tests, payers may deny our claims, in whole or in part, and we may never receive revenue from any previously performed but unpaid tests. Revenue from these tests, if any, may not be equal to the billed amount due to a number of factors, including differences in reimbursement rates, the amounts of patient co-payments, the existence of secondary payers and claims denials.

 

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We incur expense for tests in the period in which the test is conducted and recognize revenue for tests in the period in which our revenue recognition criteria are met. Accordingly, any revenue that we receive in respect of previously performed but unpaid Afirma tests will favorably impact our liquidity and results of operations in future periods.

 

Impact of Genzyme Co-promotion Agreement

 

The $10.0 million fee we received from Genzyme under our co-promotion agreement is being amortized over a four-year period beginning in 2012, and is recorded as a reduction of selling and marketing expenses. Under the agreement, we pay a portion of our cash receipts to Genzyme for co-promoting Afirma, and such amounts are recorded in selling and marketing expense. We incurred $5.5 million in co-promotion fees in the year ended December 31, 2012, and $1.7 million and $3.7 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2013, respectively. The co-promotion agreement requires that we pay a certain percentage of our cash receipts to Genzyme, which percentage decreases over time. As of January 2013, the percentage is 40%, and it decreases to 32% in March 2014 and thereafter. As our cash collections grow, both from volume growth as well as from increased reimbursement rates and collections for Afirma, the total amount we pay to Genzyme will increase in absolute dollars although the percentage of revenue we are required to pay Genzyme decreases over time. We believe our relationship with Genzyme will accelerate sales of Afirma. As a result, our selling and marketing expense may be higher than what we would have incurred if we alone were marketing and promoting Afirma.

 

We also may receive up to an additional $3.0 million from Genzyme, consisting of $0.6 million for each of up to five countries outside of the United States in which we obtain regulatory authorization to market Afirma and achieve a specified level of reimbursement. Genzyme has also agreed to spend $0.5 million to support clinical development expenses required for entry into the international markets covered by our agreement. This obligation expires in July 2014.

 

Our agreement with Genzyme expires in 2027 and either party may terminate the agreement at any time without cause and with six months’ prior notice. If we terminate the agreement without cause prior to January 2014, we will be required to repay 50% of the $10.0 million fee we received. The percentage decreases to 40% of such fee if we were to terminate the agreement between January 2014 and January 2015, and 30% of such fee if we were to terminate the agreement between January 2015 and January 2016. Subsequent to January 2016, we are not required to repay any portion of the fee in the event we terminate the agreement without cause.

 

Development of Additional Products

 

We rely on sales of Afirma to generate all of our revenue. Our product development pipeline includes the Afirma Malignant GEC, a test that we believe will serve our current base of prescribing physicians. We also plan to pursue development of products for additional diseases to increase and diversify our revenue. For example, we are pursuing a solution for interstitial lung disease, or ILD, that will offer an alternative to surgery by developing a genomic signature to classify samples collected through less invasive bronchoscopy techniques. Accordingly, we expect to continue to invest heavily in research and development in order to expand the capabilities of our solution and to develop additional products. Our success in developing new products will be

 

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important in our efforts to grow our business by expanding the potential market for our products and diversifying our sources of revenue.

 

Timing of Our Research and Development Expenses

 

We deploy state-of-the-art and costly genomic technologies in our biomarker discovery experiments, and our spending on these technologies may vary substantially from quarter to quarter. We also spend a significant amount to secure clinical samples that can be used in discovery and product development as well as clinical validation studies. The timing of these research and development activities is difficult to predict, as is the timing of sample acquisitions. If a substantial number of clinical samples are acquired in a given quarter or if a high-cost experiment is conducted in one quarter versus the next, the timing of these expenses can affect our financial results. We conduct clinical studies to validate our new products as well as on-going clinical studies to further the published evidence to support our commercialized test, Afirma. As these studies are initiated, start-up costs for each site can be significant and concentrated in a specific quarter. Spending on research and development, for both experiments and studies, may vary significantly by quarter depending on the timing of these various expenses.

 

Historical Seasonal Fluctuations in FNA Volume and Collections

 

Our business is subject to fluctuations in FNA volume throughout the year as a result of physician practices being closed for holidays or endocrinology and thyroid-related industry meetings which are widely attended by our prescribing physicians. Like other companies in our field, vacations by physicians and patients tend to negatively affect our volumes more during the summer months and during the end of year holidays compared to other times of the year. Our reimbursed rates and cash collections are also subject to seasonality. Medicare normally makes downward adjustments in its fee schedules at the beginning of the year which may negatively affect our reimbursement. Additionally, patient deductibles generally reset at the beginning of each year which means that patients early in the year are responsible for a greater portion of the cost of our tests, and we have lower collection rates from individuals than from third-party payers. Later in the year, particularly in the fourth quarter, we experience better payment results as third-party payers tend to clear pending claims toward year end. This trend historically has increased our cash collections in the fourth quarter and decreased cash collections for the subsequent first quarter of the succeeding year. The effects of these seasonal fluctuations in prior periods may have been obscured by the growth of our business.

 

Financial Overview

 

Revenue

 

We generate revenue from the sale of our Afirma solution. We generally invoice third-party payers upon delivery of a patient report to the prescribing physician. As such, we take the assignment of benefits and the risk of collection from the third-party payer and individual patients.

 

For tests performed where an agreed upon reimbursement rate and a predictable history of collections exists, such as in the case of Medicare, we recognize revenue upon delivery of a patient report to the prescribing physician based on the established billing rate less contractual and other adjustments, such as allowance for

 

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doubtful accounts, to arrive at the amount that we expect to collect. We determine the amount we expect to collect based on a per payer, per contract or agreement basis, after analyzing payment history. The expected amount is typically lower than the agreed upon reimbursement amount due to several factors, such as the amount of patient co-payments, the existence of secondary payers and claim denials. In all other situations, as we do not have sufficient history of collection and are not able to determine a predictable pattern of payment, we recognize revenue upon the earlier of receipt of third-party payer notification of payment or when cash is received. Our ability to increase our revenue will depend on our ability to penetrate the market, obtain contracted reimbursement from additional third-party payers and increase our collection rate for tests performed.

 

Cost of Revenue

 

The components of our cost of revenue are materials and service costs, including cytopathology testing services, stock-based compensation expense, direct labor costs, equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with testing samples, shipping charges to transport samples, and allocated overhead including rent, information technology, equipment depreciation and utilities. Costs associated with performing tests are recorded as the test is processed regardless of whether and when revenue is recognized with respect to that test. As a result, our cost of revenue as a percentage of revenue may vary significantly from period to period because we do not recognize all revenue in the period in which the associated costs are incurred. We expect cost of revenue in absolute dollars to increase as the number of tests we perform increases. However, we expect that the cost per test will decrease over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases and from automation, process efficiencies and other cost reductions.

 

Research and Development

 

Research and development expenses include costs incurred to develop our technology, collect clinical samples and conduct clinical studies to develop and support our products. These costs consist of personnel costs, including stock-based compensation expense, prototype materials, laboratory supplies, consulting costs, costs associated with setting up and conducting clinical studies at domestic and international sites, and allocated overhead including rent, information technology, equipment depreciation and utilities. We expense all research and development costs in the periods in which they are incurred. We expect our research and development expenses will increase in absolute dollars in future periods as we continue to invest in research and development activities related to developing additional products. We expect that in the next 12 months the increase in research and development expenses will be for the continued development and support of Afirma and other new products and programs under development, including the Afirma Malignant GEC and our lung program.

 

Selling and Marketing

 

Selling and marketing expenses consist of personnel costs, including stock-based compensation expense, direct marketing expenses, consulting costs, and allocated overhead including rent, information technology, equipment depreciation and utilities. In addition, up-front co-promotion fees paid to Genzyme, net of amortization, are included in selling and marketing expenses. We expect our selling and marketing expenses to increase over the next 12 months primarily driven by the co-promotion fees to Genzyme, the costs of hiring

 

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additional internal sales and marketing personnel associated with further penetrating the domestic market, and marketing and education expenses to drive market penetration and reimbursement.

 

General and Administrative

 

General and administrative expenses include executive, finance and accounting, human resources, billing and client services, and quality and regulatory functions. These expenses include personnel costs, including stock-based compensation expense, audit and legal expenses, consulting costs, and allocated overhead including rent, information technology, equipment depreciation and utilities. We expect to incur additional expenses over the next 12 months as a result of operating as a public company, including expenses related to compliance with the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and The NASDAQ Stock Market, additional insurance expenses, investor relations activities and other administrative and professional services. We also expect our general and administration expenses will increase in absolute dollars over the next 12 months as we expand our billing and client services functions.

 

Interest Income

 

Interest income is from interest on our cash equivalents.

 

Interest Expense

 

Interest expense is attributable to our borrowings under the loan agreement entered into in June 2013.

 

Other Income (Expense), Net

 

Other income (expense), net is related primarily to the change in value of the preferred stock liability associated with our obligation to issue additional shares of Series C convertible preferred stock. In November 2012, we entered into a tranched Series C convertible preferred stock purchase agreement. In connection with the initial closing, we agreed to issue to the purchasers, and the purchasers agreed to purchase, additional shares of the Series C convertible preferred stock within a specified timeframe. We determined that the liability to issue additional Series C convertible preferred stock at a future date was a freestanding instrument that should be accounted for as a liability. Accordingly, we recorded a liability related to this instrument at the time of the initial close in November 2012, and we remeasure the liability at each reporting period with the corresponding gain or loss from the adjustment recorded as other income (expense), net. The Series C liability expired in June 2013.

 

In addition, other income (expense), net includes changes in value of the preferred stock warrant liability.  In June 2013, in conjunction with the execution of the loan and security agreement, we issued to the lender a warrant to purchase up to 198,412 shares of Series C convertible preferred stock with an exercise price of $1.89 per share. Upon the draw-down of the $5.0 million term loan, the warrant became exercisable for 99,206 shares.  Accordingly, we recorded a liability related to this warrant at the time of the initial close in June 2013 and re-measure the liability at each reporting period with the corresponding gain or loss from the adjustment recorded as other income (expense), net.

 

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Critical Accounting Polices and Estimates

 

Our management’s discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations is based on our unaudited interim condensed financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles, or U.S. GAAP. The preparation of these unaudited interim condensed financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the unaudited interim condensed financial statements, as well as the reported revenue generated and expenses incurred during the reporting periods. Our estimates are based on our historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions and any such differences may be material. We believe that the accounting policies discussed below are critical to understanding our historical and future performance, as these policies relate to the more significant areas involving management’s judgments and estimates.

 

Revenue Recognition

 

Our revenue is generated from the provision of diagnostic services using the Afirma solution. Our service is completed upon the delivery of test results to the prescribing physician which triggers the billing for the service. We recognize revenue related to billings for commercial carriers or governmental programs subject to contractual arrangements and when there is a predictable pattern of collectability on an accrual basis, net of contractual adjustments. These contractual adjustments represent the difference between the list price (the billing rate) and the reimbursement rate set by commercial or governmental payers. Until a contract has been negotiated with a commercial carrier or governmental program, the Afirma solution may or may not be covered by these entities’ existing reimbursement policies. In addition, patients do not enter into direct agreements with us that commit them to pay any portion of the cost of the tests in the event that their insurance declines to reimburse us. In the absence of an agreement or other clearly enforceable legal right to demand payment, when test services are provided to patients with non-contracted insurance carriers or no insurance, the related revenue is only recognized upon the earlier of payment notification, if applicable, or cash receipt.

 

For all services performed, we consider whether or not the following revenue recognition criteria are met: persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists; delivery has occurred or services have been rendered; the fee is fixed or determinable; and collectability is reasonably assured.

 

Persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists and delivery is deemed to have occurred upon delivery of a patient report to the prescribing physician. The assessment of the fixed or determinable nature of the fees charged for testing performed and the collectability of those fees require significant judgment by management. Management believes that these two criteria have been met when there is contracted reimbursement coverage and/or a predictable pattern of collectability with individual third-party payers and accordingly, we recognize revenue upon delivery of the patient report. Some patients have out-of-pocket costs for amounts not covered by their insurance carrier, and we may bill the patient directly for these amounts in the form of co-payments and co-insurance in accordance with their insurance carrier and health plans. Some payers may not cover the GEC

 

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as ordered by the prescribing physician under their reimbursement policies. We pursue reimbursement from such patients on a case-by-case basis. In the absence of contracted reimbursement coverage or a predictable pattern and history of collectability, we believe that the fee is fixed or determinable and collectability is reasonably assured only upon receipt of third-party payer notification of payment or when cash is received and accordingly, recognize revenue at that time.

 

We use judgment in our assessment of whether the fee is fixed or determinable and whether collectability is reasonably assured in determining when to recognize revenue in the future as we continue to gain payment experience with third-party payers and patients.

 

Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

 

We accrue an allowance for doubtful accounts against our accounts receivable based on estimates consistent with historical payment experience. Our allowance for doubtful accounts is evaluated on a regular basis and adjusted when trends or significant events indicate that a change in estimate is appropriate. Historically, the amounts of uncollectible accounts receivable that have been written off have been consistent with management’s expectations. Accounts receivable are written off against the allowance when the appeals process is exhausted or when there is other substantive evidence that the account will not be paid.

 

If the financial conditions of our customers were to deteriorate, resulting in an impairment of their ability to make payments, additional allowances may be required.

 

Derivative Liability

 

We account for derivative financial instruments as either equity or liabilities based upon the characteristics and provisions of each instrument. We recorded the preferred stock liability incurred in connection with our Series C convertible preferred stock and the preferred stock warrant liability related to the issuance of a warrant for Series C convertible preferred stock, each as a derivative financial instrument liability at their fair value on the date of issuance, and we remeasure them on each subsequent balance sheet date. The changes in fair value are recognized as a gain or loss from the adjustment to other income (expense), net in the statements of operations and comprehensive loss. We estimate the fair value of this liability using option-pricing models that include assumptions for future financings, expected volatility, expected life, yield and risk-free interest rate.

 

Deferred Tax Assets

 

We file U.S. federal income tax returns and tax returns in California, Texas and other states. To date, we have not been audited by the Internal Revenue Service or any state income tax authority.

 

As of December 31, 2012, our gross deferred tax assets were $24.9 million. The deferred tax assets were primarily comprised of federal and state tax net operating loss and tax credit carryforwards. Utilization of the net operating loss and tax credit carryforwards may be subject to annual limitation due to historical or future ownership percentage change rules provided by the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, and similar state

 

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provisions. The annual limitation may result in the expiration of certain net operating loss and tax credit carryforwards before their utilization.

 

We are required to reduce our deferred tax assets by a valuation allowance if it is more likely than not that some or all of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. We must use judgment in assessing the potential need for a valuation allowance, which requires an evaluation of both negative and positive evidence. The weight given to the potential effect of negative and positive evidence should be commensurate with the extent to which it can be objectively verified. In determining the need for and amount of our valuation allowance, if any, we assess the likelihood that we will be able to recover our deferred tax assets using historical levels of income, estimates of future income and tax planning strategies. As a result of historical cumulative losses and, based on all available evidence, we believe it is more likely than not that our recorded net deferred tax assets will not be realized. Accordingly, we recorded a valuation allowance against all of our net deferred tax assets at December 31, 2012. We will continue to maintain a full valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets until there is sufficient evidence to support the reversal of all or some portion of this allowance.

 

Stock-based Compensation

 

We recognize stock-based compensation cost for only those shares underlying stock options that we expect to vest on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period of the award. We estimate the fair value of stock options using a Black-Scholes valuation model, which requires the input of highly subjective assumptions, including the option’s expected term and stock price volatility. In addition, judgment is also required in estimating the number of stock-based awards that are expected to be forfeited. Forfeitures are estimated based on historical experience at the time of grant and revised, if necessary, in subsequent periods if actual forfeitures differ from those estimates. The assumptions used in calculating the fair value of share-based payment awards represent management’s best estimates, but these estimates involve inherent uncertainties and the application of management’s judgment. As a result, if factors change and we use different assumptions, our stock-based compensation expense could be materially different in the future.

 

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Results of Operations

 

Comparison of the Three Months Ended September 30, 2013 and 2012

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Dollar

 

%

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

Change

 

Change

 

 

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

Revenue

 

$

5,594

 

$

3,224

 

$

2,370

 

74%

 

Operating expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cost of revenue

 

3,132

 

1,984

 

1,148

 

58%

 

Research and development

 

2,028

 

1,729

 

299

 

17%

 

Selling and marketing

 

3,291

 

2,347

 

944

 

40%

 

General and administrative

 

3,244

 

2,103

 

1,141

 

54%

 

Total operating expenses

 

11,695

 

8,163

 

3,532

 

43%

 

Loss from operations

 

(6,101

)

(4,939

)

(1,162

)

24%

 

Interest expense

 

(126

)

 

(126

)

N/M

 

Other income (expense), net

 

(76

)

1

 

(77

)

N/M

 

Net loss

 

$

(6,303

)

$

(4,938

)

$

(1,365

)

28%

 

 

Revenue

 

Revenue increased $2.4 million, or 74%, in the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012 primarily as a result of a $1.6 million increase in commercial revenue from increased reimbursement and collections and a $0.8 million increase in Medicare revenue as a result of increased Afirma adoption.

 

Cost of revenue

 

Cost of revenue increased $1.1 million, or 58%, in the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012.  This increase was primarily due to an increase in variable costs which are directly related to the increase in the number of FNAs received for analysis from 7,052 in the three months ended September 30, 2012 to 12,417 in the three months ended September 30, 2013, offset by continuing refinements in our testing process and economies of scale related to the increase in FNAs.

 

Research and development

 

Research and development expense increased $0.3 million, or 17%, in the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012.  This increase was primarily due to a $0.5 million increase in licensing expenses to secure intellectual property to augment our existing thyroid patent portfolio, and a $0.1 million increase in personnel expenses related to headcount increase, offset in part by a $0.2 million decrease in costs to support our product pipeline and ongoing support for Afirma and a decrease of $0.1 million in consulting fees.

 

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Selling and marketing

 

Selling and marketing expense increased $0.9 million, or 40%, in the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012. This increase was primarily due to $0.7 million in net expense recognized under our co-promotion agreement with Genzyme, partially offset by amortization of the deferred fee. The remaining $0.2 million increase was due to increased personnel expenses and marketing and promotional materials, offset in part by a decrease in consulting expenses.

 

General and administrative

 

General and administrative expense increased $1.1 million, or 54%, for the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012.  This increase was primarily due to a $0.5 million increase in personnel expenses primarily from an increase in headcount, a $0.5 million increase in professional fees primarily due to non-capitalizable IPO related audit and legal services, and a $0.1 million increase in facilities expenses.

 

Interest expense

 

Interest expense increased $0.1 million in the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012.  In June 2013, we entered into a loan and security agreement with a financial institution. Interest expense of $0.1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 is interest incurred on the initial drawdown of $5.0 million under the agreement.  We did not have any debt in the same period in 2012.

 

Other income (expense), net

 

Other income (expense), net, was ($0.1) million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and is primarily related to the increase in the fair value of the preferred stock warrant liability.

 

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Comparison of the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013 and 2012

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

Dollar

 

%

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

Change

 

Change

 

 

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue

 

$

15,046

 

$

7,171

 

$

7,875

 

110%

 

Operating expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cost of revenue

 

9,136

 

4,984

 

4,152

 

83%

 

Research and development

 

5,940

 

4,887

 

1,053

 

22%

 

Selling and marketing

 

8,609

 

5,392

 

3,217

 

60%

 

General and administrative

 

8,772

 

5,721

 

3,051

 

53%

 

Total operating expenses

 

32,457

 

20,984

 

11,473

 

55%

 

Loss from operations

 

(17,411

)

(13,813

)

(3,598

)

26%

 

Interest expense

 

(131

)

 

(131

)

N/M

 

Other income (expense), net

 

(2,146

)

1

 

(2,147

)

N/M

 

Net loss

 

$

(19,688

)

$

(13,812

)

$

(5,876

)

43%

 

 

Revenue

 

Revenue increased $7.9 million, or 110%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012 primarily as a result of a $5.4 million increase in commercial revenue from increased reimbursement and collections and a $2.5 million increase in Medicare revenue as a result of increased adoption of Afirma.

 

Cost of revenue

 

Cost of revenue increased $4.2 million, or 83%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012. This increase is primarily due to a $3.9 million increase in variable costs which are directly related to the increase in the number of FNAs received for analysis from 16,587 for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 to 35,611 in the same period in 2013. This increase in variable costs reflects savings from efficiencies related to our continuing refinements in our testing process, including automation, and economies of scale related to increased FNA volumes. The remaining increase of $0.3 million relates to increases in indirect labor costs, supplies, and depreciation and facility allocations.

 

Research and development

 

Research and development expense increased $1.1 million, or 22%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012. The increase was primarily due to a $0.5 million increase in personnel expenses related to headcount increase, a $0.5 million increase in licensing expenses to secure intellectual property to augment our existing thyroid patent portfolio, and a $0.2 million increase in costs to support our product pipeline and Afirma, offset in part by a decrease of $0.1 million in consulting fees.

 

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Selling and marketing

 

Selling and marketing expense increased $3.2 million, or 60%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012. The increase was primarily due to a $2.6 million increase in net expense recognized under our co-promotion agreement with Genzyme, which was entered into in January 2012. The net expense is comprised of the co-promotion fee to Genzyme offset in part by amortization of the deferred upfront fee paid to us by Genzyme. The remaining $0.6 million increase was due to increased personnel expenses and marketing and promotional materials.

 

General and administrative

 

General and administrative expense increased $3.1 million, or 53%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012. The increase is primarily related to a $1.5 million increase in personnel expenses resulting from an increase in headcount and employee severance, a $1.0 million increase in professional fees primarily due to non-capitalizable IPO-related audit and legal services, a $0.3 million increase in facility expenses, and a $0.3 million increase in billing and customer care expense.

 

Interest expense

 

Interest expense increased $0.1 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the same period in 2012.  In June 2013, we entered into a loan and security agreement with a financial institution. Interest expense of $0.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 is interest incurred on the initial drawdown of $5.0 million under the agreement.  We did not have any debt in the same period in 2012.

 

Other income (expense), net

 

Other income (expense), net, was ($2.1) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and is primarily related to the increase in the fair value of the preferred stock liability associated with our obligation to issue additional shares of Series C convertible preferred stock, and the increase in the fair value of the preferred stock warrant liability.  We will not incur any additional expense associated with the preferred stock liability as the related second tranche of Series C preferred stock was issued in June 2013.

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

We have incurred net losses since our inception. For the nine months ended September 30, 2013, and the year ended December 31, 2012, we had a net loss of $19.7 million and $18.6 million, respectively, and we expect to incur additional losses in 2013 and in future years. As of September 30, 2013, we had an accumulated deficit of $76.6 million. To date, we have generated only limited revenue, and we may never achieve revenue sufficient to offset our expenses.

 

Since inception, our operations have been financed primarily by net proceeds of $78.6 million from sales of our preferred stock, a $10.0 million payment from our co-promotion agreement with Genzyme, and borrowings of $5.0 million under our loan and security agreement. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we had $15.4 million and $14.0 million of cash and cash equivalents, respectively.

 

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In June 2013, we entered into a loan and security agreement with a financial institution. This agreement provides for term loans of up to an aggregate of $10.0 million. On entering into the agreement, we drew down an initial $5.0 million term loan. We may request a second term loan of up to $5.0 million on or prior to March 31, 2014. Loans drawn under the loan and security agreement will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes.

 

The initial term loan bears interest at a fixed rate equal to 6.06%. The second term loan, if drawn, will bear interest at a fixed rate equal to the greater of (a) 5.88% or (b) the three-year U.S. Treasury note rate, plus 5.40%. We are required to repay any outstanding principal amounts of each loan in 30 equal monthly installments beginning 18 months after the date of each borrowing. In each case, on the date of our final principal payment, we must also pay an end-of-term payment equal to 4.45% of the amount borrowed. We may, at our option, prepay the term loan borrowings by paying the lender a prepayment premium.

 

Our obligations under the loan and security agreement are secured by a security interest on substantially all of our assets, excluding our intellectual property and certain other assets. The loan and security agreement contains customary conditions to borrowing, events of default, and covenants, including covenants limiting our ability to dispose of assets, undergo a change in control, merge with or acquire other entities, incur debt, incur liens, pay dividends or other distributions to holders of our capital stock, repurchase stock and make investments, in each case subject to certain exceptions. The loan and security agreement does not require that we comply with any financial covenants.

 

In connection with the draw-down of the initial $5.0 million term loan under the loan and security agreement, we issued the lender a warrant to purchase 99,206 shares of our Series C preferred stock, which became exercisable for 24,801 shares of our common stock following completion of the IPO. The warrant will expire on the seventh anniversary of the IPO. If we draw-down the second term loan under the loan and security agreement, we will issue the lender a second warrant with identical terms.

 

On November 4, 2013, we completed an initial public offering of our common stock. In connection with the IPO, we issued and sold 5,000,000 shares of common stock at a price to the public of $13.00 per share resulting in net proceeds of approximately $57.9 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions of $4.6 million and estimated offering expenses of $2.5 million payable by us.

 

Our primary uses of cash are to fund our operations as we continue to grow our business. We expect to continue to incur operating losses in the near term as our operating expenses will be increased to support the growth of our business. We expect that our selling and marketing, research and development, and general and administrative expenses will continue to increase as we expand our marketing efforts and increase our internal sales force to drive increased adoption of and reimbursement for Afirma, prepare to commercialize our Afirma Malignant GEC for rare forms of thyroid cancer or metastases to the thyroid, continue our research and development efforts with respect to our lung program and further develop our product pipeline. Cash used to fund operating expenses is impacted by the timing of when we pay expenses, as reflected in the change in our outstanding accounts payable and accrued expenses.

 

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We expect that our near-and longer-term liquidity requirements will continue to consist of selling and marketing expenses, research and development expenses, working capital, and general corporate expenses associated with the growth of our business. Based on our current business plan, we believe that the net proceeds from the initial public offering, together with our existing cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2013 and our revenue from the sale of Afirma, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for at least the next 24 months. Management may elect, however, to finance operations by utilizing available borrowings under our loan and security agreement or selling equity securities. If additional funding is required or desired, there can be no assurance that additional funds will be available to us on acceptable terms on a timely basis, if at all, or that we will generate sufficient cash from operations to adequately fund our operating needs or achieve or sustain profitability. If we are unable to raise additional capital or generate sufficient cash from operations to adequately fund our operations, we will need to curtail planned activities to reduce costs. Doing so will likely have an unfavorable effect on our ability to execute on our business plan. If we cannot expand our operations or otherwise capitalize on our business opportunities because we lack sufficient capital, our business, financial condition, and results of operations could be adversely affected.

 

The following table summarizes our cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012:

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

 

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

(Unaudited)

 

Cash used in operating activities

 

$

(15,861

)

$

(3,279

)

Cash used in investing activities

 

(1,011

)

(912

)

Cash provided by financing activities

 

18,296

 

66

 

 

Cash Flows from Operating Activities

 

Cash used in operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 was $15.9 million. The net loss of $19.7 million reflects non-cash charges of $2.1 million for the change in the value of the preferred stock liability, $1.9 million in amortization of the deferred fee received from Genzyme, $0.8 million of stock-based and equity-based compensation, $0.7 million of depreciation and amortization, $0.2 million of bad debt expense, and a $0.1 charge for the change in value of the preferred stock warrant liability and the non-cash interest on the outstanding debt. The increase in net operating assets of $1.8 million was primarily due to a $4.6 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities due to timing of payments offset by a $2.8 million increase in assets, including a $2.2 million increase in prepaid expenses due to expenses to be capitalized upon the October closing of the initial public offering, a $0.4 million increase in supply inventory due to the increase in volume of testing performed, and a $0.2 million increase in accounts receivable due to increased revenues from Medicare.

 

Cash used in operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 was $3.3 million. The net loss of $13.8 million reflects non-cash charges of $1.8 million in amortization of the deferred fee from Genzyme, $0.7 million of stock-based and equity-based compensation, $0.5 million of depreciation and

 

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$0.1 million of bad debt expense. The increase in net operating assets of $11.0 million was primarily due to the $10.0 million we received from Genzyme under the co-promotion agreement. Accounts payable and accrued liabilities decreased $2.3 million due to the timing of our payments. Accounts receivable increased by $0.5 million due to the increase in accrued revenue in 2012. In addition, there was a $0.5 million increase in supplies inventory related to increased test volume and an increase of $0.3 million in prepaid expenses due to the growth of the business.

 

Cash Flows from Investing Activities

 

Cash used in investing activities is primarily related to the acquisition of property and equipment totaling $1.0 million and $0.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. Purchases of property and equipment were primarily related to leasehold improvements and laboratory equipment.

 

Cash Flows from Financing Activities

 

Cash provided by financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 of $18.3 million primarily is from net proceeds of $12.9 million from the sale of our convertible preferred stock, net proceeds of $4.9 million from the loan and security agreement we entered into in June 2013, and $0.5 million in cash received from the exercise of options to purchase our common stock.  Cash provided by financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 of $0.1 million primarily is from cash received from the exercise of options to purchase our common stock.

 

Contractual Obligations

 

During the three months ended September 30, 2013, there were no material changes to our contractual obligations and commitments described under Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the Prospectus.

 

Off-balance Sheet Arrangements

 

We have not entered into any off-balance sheet arrangements.

 

JOBS Act Accounting Election

 

We are an emerging growth company, as defined in the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act of 2012, or the JOBS Act. Under the JOBS Act, emerging growth companies can delay adopting new or revised accounting standards issued subsequent to the enactment of the JOBS Act until such time as those standards apply to private companies. We have irrevocably elected not to avail ourselves of this exemption from new or revised accounting standards and, therefore, will be subject to the same new or revised accounting standards as other public companies that are not emerging growth companies.

 

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Recent Accounting Pronouncements

 

In February 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, or FASB, issued Accounting Standards Update (ASU) No. 2013-02, Reporting of Amounts Reclassified Out of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income. This ASU requires reporting and disclosure about changes in accumulated other comprehensive income balances and reclassifications out of accumulated other comprehensive income. We adopted this guidance as of January 1, 2013 on a prospective basis and the adoption did not have a material effect on our unaudited interim condensed financial statements as we do not have comprehensive income (loss).

 

In June 2011, the FASB issued authoritative guidance requiring companies to present items of net income, items of other comprehensive income and total comprehensive income in one continuous statement or two consecutive statements. This guidance eliminates the option for companies to present other comprehensive income in the statement of stockholders’ equity. We adopted this guidance as of January 1, 2012. As this guidance provides only presentation requirements, its adoption did not impact our financial condition or results of operations.

 

In May 2011, the FASB issued authoritative guidance to achieve common fair value measurement and disclosure requirements between U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards. This new literature amends current fair value measurement and disclosure guidance to include increased transparency around valuation inputs and investment categorization. The guidance is effective for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after December 15, 2011. We adopted this standard in January 2012, as reflected in Note 3 to the unaudited interim condensed financial statements.

 

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Item 3.                                 Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

We are exposed to market risks in the ordinary course of our business. These risks primarily relate to interest rates. We had cash and cash equivalents of $15.4 million and $14.0 million as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively, which consist of bank deposits and money market funds. Such interest-bearing instruments carry a degree of risk; however, we have not been exposed to, nor do we anticipate being exposed to, material risks due to changes in interest rates. A hypothetical 10% change in interest rates during any of the periods presented would not have had a material impact on our unaudited interim condensed financial statements.

 

Item 4.                                 Controls and Procedures

 

Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures.

 

We maintain “disclosure controls and procedures,” as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or Exchange Act, that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in Securities and Exchange Commission rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, management recognized that disclosure controls and procedures, no matter how well conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the disclosure controls and procedures are met. Our disclosure controls and procedures have been designed to meet reasonable assurance standards. Additionally, in designing disclosure controls and procedures, our management necessarily was required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost-benefit relationship of possible disclosure controls and procedures. The design of any disclosure controls and procedures also is based in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions.

 

Based on their evaluation as of the end of the period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of such date, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective at the reasonable assurance level.

 

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PART II. — OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1A. Risk Factors

 

ITEM 1A.  RISK FACTORS

 

Risks Related to Our Business

 

We are an early-stage company with a history of losses, and we expect to incur net losses for the foreseeable future and may never achieve or sustain profitability.

 

We have incurred net losses since our inception. For the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and for the year ended December 31, 2012, we had a net loss of $19.7 million and $18.6, respectively, and we expect to incur additional losses this year and in future years. As of September 30, 2013, we had an accumulated deficit of $76.6 million. To date, we have generated only limited revenue, and we may never achieve revenue sufficient to offset our expenses. Over the next several years, we expect to continue to devote substantially all of our resources to increase adoption of, and reimbursement for, Afirma and to develop future diagnostic solutions. We may never achieve or sustain profitability, and our failure to achieve and sustain profitability in the future could cause the market price of our common stock to decline.

 

Our financial results depend solely on sales of Afirma, and we will need to generate sufficient revenue from this and other diagnostic solutions to grow our business.

 

All of our historical revenue has been derived from the sale of Afirma, which we commercially launched in January 2011. For the foreseeable future, we expect to derive substantially all of our revenue from sales of Afirma. We are in various stages of research and development for other diagnostic solutions that we may offer, but there can be no assurance that we will be able to identify other diseases that can be effectively addressed with our molecular cytology platform or, if we are able to identify such diseases, whether or when we will be able to successfully commercialize these solutions. If we are unable to increase sales of Afirma, expand reimbursement for Afirma, or successfully develop and commercialize other solutions, our revenue and our ability to achieve and sustain profitability would be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline.

 

We depend on Medicare, Aetna and UnitedHealthcare for a significant portion of our revenue and if one or more significant payers stop providing reimbursement or decrease the amount of reimbursement for our tests, our revenue could decline.

 

Reimbursement on behalf of patients covered by Medicare accounted for 33% and 34% of our revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and the year ended December 31, 2012, respectively. UnitedHealthcare accounted for 17% and 12% of our revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and the year ended December 31, 2012, respectively. Aetna accounted for 8% and 13% of our revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and the year ended December 31, 2012, respectively. Effective January 2012, Palmetto GBA, the regional Medicare administrative contractor, or MAC, that handled claims processing for Medicare services with jurisdiction at that time, issued coverage and payment determinations on

 

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the GEC. On a five-year rotational basis, Medicare requests bids for its regional MAC services. In mid-September 2013, Noridian Administrative Services succeeded Palmetto as the MAC for our region. We believe the transition is complete with claims being processed by Noridian using the Z code established by Palmetto at the prior negotiated pricing level.  The change in the MAC processing Medicare claims for the GEC could result in a change in the coverage or reimbursement rates for the GEC, or the loss of coverage. In addition, the transition to Noridian has resulted in some delays in payments made to us on behalf of Medicare patients, and future changes in the MAC could also result in delays in payment.

 

We do not have a contracted rate of reimbursement with Aetna, Humana or UnitedHealthcare. Payers may suspend or discontinue reimbursement at any time, may require or increase co-payments from patients, or may reduce the reimbursement rates paid to us. Any such actions could have a negative effect on our revenue.

 

If payers do not provide reimbursement, rescind or modify their reimbursement policies or delay payments for our tests, or if we are unable to successfully negotiate reimbursement contracts, our commercial success could be compromised.

 

Physicians may not order our tests unless payers reimburse a substantial portion of the test price. There is significant uncertainty concerning third-party reimbursement of any test incorporating new technology, including the GEC. Reimbursement by a payer may depend on a number of factors, including a payer’s determination that tests such as the GEC are:

 

·                  not experimental or investigational;

 

·                  appropriate for the specific patient;

 

·                  cost-effective;

 

·                  supported by peer-reviewed publications; and

 

·                  included in clinical practice guidelines.

 

Since each payer makes its own decision as to whether to establish a policy or enter into a contract to reimburse our test, seeking these approvals is a time-consuming and costly process.

 

We do not have a contracted rate of reimbursement with most payers. Without a contracted rate for reimbursement, our claims are often denied upon submission, and we must appeal the claims. The appeals process is time consuming and expensive, and may not result in payment. In cases where there is not a contracted rate for reimbursement, there is typically a greater co-insurance or co-payment requirement which may result in further delay or decreased likelihood of collection.

 

We expect to continue to focus substantial resources on increasing adoption of and coverage and reimbursement for Afirma. We believe it may take several years to achieve coverage and contracted reimbursement with a majority of third-party payers. However, we cannot predict whether, under what circumstances, or at what payment levels payers will reimburse for our test. If we fail to establish broad

 

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adoption of and reimbursement for our products, or if we are unable to maintain existing reimbursement from payers, our ability to generate revenue could be harmed and our future prospects and our business could suffer.

 

We may experience limits on our revenue if physicians decide not to order Afirma.

 

If we are unable to create or maintain demand for Afirma in sufficient volume, we may not become profitable. To generate demand, we will need to continue to educate physicians about the benefits and cost-effectiveness of Afirma through published papers, presentations at scientific conferences and one-on-one education by our sales force. In addition, our ability to obtain and maintain adequate reimbursement from third-party payers will be critical to generating revenue.

 

Several existing guidelines and historical practices in the United States regarding indeterminate thyroid nodule FNA results recommend a full or partial surgical thyroidectomy in most cases. Accordingly, physicians may be reluctant to order a diagnostic solution that may suggest surgery is unnecessary where several current guidelines and historical practice have typically led to such procedures. Moreover, our diagnostic services are performed at our clinical reference laboratory rather than by a pathologist in a local laboratory, so pathologists may be reluctant to support our services. In addition, guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of thyroid nodules may subsequently be revised to recommend another type of treatment protocol, and these changes may result in medical practitioners deciding not to use Afirma. These facts may make physicians reluctant to convert to using Afirma, which could limit our ability to generate revenue and our ability to achieve profitability. To the extent international markets have existing practices and standards of care that are different than those in the United States, we may face challenges with the adoption of Afirma outside the United States.

 

The success of our relationship with Genzyme to co-promote Afirma may have a significant effect on our business.

 

We sell Afirma in the United States through our internal sales team and through our co-promotion agreement with Genzyme Corporation. We are also working with Genzyme to begin selling Afirma in certain countries outside of the United States. Under the agreement, we are required to pay Genzyme a co-promotion fee that is equal to a percentage of our cash receipts from Afirma. The percentage is currently 40% and will decrease to 32% in March 2014 and thereafter. Our agreement with Genzyme expires in 2027 and either party may terminate the agreement at any time without cause and with six months prior notice. If we were to terminate the agreement without cause prior to January 2014, we would be required to repay 50% of the $10.0 million fee we received from Genzyme. Such percentage would be reduced to 40% of such fee if we were to terminate the agreement between January 2014 and January 2015, and 30% of such fee if we were to terminate the agreement between January 2015 and January 2016. We have also granted Genzyme a right of first offer to co-promote any future thyroid cancer product that we commercialize. If Genzyme does not commit the necessary resources to market and sell Afirma to the level of our expectations, or if they terminate the agreement, we may not realize the benefits of this relationship, and our ability to generate revenue in the future may be harmed. If our agreement with Genzyme were terminated, we would have to hire additional sales personnel to support the growth of Afirma and any other thyroid product we agree to co-promote with Genzyme. Any such termination may also delay our entry into international markets.

 

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Because we do not recognize a significant portion of our revenue on an accrual basis, our quarterly operating results are likely to fluctuate.

 

We currently recognize the majority of our revenue upon the earlier of receipt of third-party payer notification of payment or when cash is received. We have little visibility as to when we will receive payment for our diagnostic test, and we must appeal negative payment decisions, which delays collections. These factors will likely result in fluctuations in our quarterly revenue. As a result, comparing our operating results on a period-to-period basis may not be meaningful. You should not rely on our past results as an indication of our future performance. In addition, these fluctuations in revenue may make it difficult for us, research analysts and investors to accurately forecast our revenue and operating results. If our revenue or operating results fall below expectations, the price of our common stock would likely decline.

 

We rely on sole suppliers for some of the reagents, equipment, chips and other materials used in Afirma, and we may not be able to find replacements or transition to alternative suppliers.

 

We rely on sole suppliers, such as NuGEN Technologies, Inc. and Affymetrix, Inc., for critical supply of reagents, equipment, chips and other materials that we use to perform the GEC. We also purchase components used in our Afirma collection kits from sole-source suppliers. Some of these items are unique to these suppliers and vendors. In addition, we utilize a sole source to assemble and distribute our sample collection kits. While we have developed alternate sourcing strategies for these materials and vendors, we cannot be certain whether these strategies will be effective or the alternative sources will be available when we need them. If these suppliers can no longer provide us with the materials we need to perform the GEC and for our collection kits, if the materials do not meet our quality specifications, or if we cannot obtain acceptable substitute materials, an interruption in test processing could occur. Any such interruption may significantly affect our future revenue and harm our customer relations and reputation. In addition, in order to mitigate these risks, we may need to maintain inventories of these supplies at higher levels than would be the case if multiple sources of supply were available.

 

We depend on a specialized cytopathology practice to perform the cytopathology component of Afirma, and our ability to perform our diagnostic solution would be harmed if we were required to secure a replacement.

 

We rely on Thyroid Cytology Partners, P.A., or TCP, to provide cytopathology professional diagnoses on thyroid FNA samples pursuant to a pathology services agreement.  Pursuant to this agreement, TCP has the exclusive right to provide the cytopathology diagnoses on FNA samples at a fixed price per test. We have also agreed to allow TCP to co-locate in a portion of our facilities in Austin, Texas.  Our agreement with TCP is effective until December 2015 and thereafter automatically renews every year unless either party provides notice of intent not to renew at least twelve months prior to the end of the then-current term.

 

If TCP were not able to support our current test volume or future increases in test volume or to provide the quality of services we require, or if we are unable to agree on commercial terms and our relationship with TCP were to terminate, our business would be harmed until we are able to secure the services of another cytopathology provider. There can be no assurance that we would be successful in finding a replacement that would be able to conduct cytopathology diagnoses at the same volume or with the same high-quality results as

 

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TCP. Locating another suitable cytopathology provider could be time consuming and would result in delays in processing tests until a replacement was fully integrated with our test processing operations.

 

If we are unable to support demand for Afirma or any of our future products or solutions, our business could suffer.

 

As demand for Afirma or any of our future products or solutions grows, we will need to continue to scale our testing capacity and processing technology, expand customer service, billing and systems processes and enhance our internal quality assurance program. We will also need additional certified laboratory scientists and other scientific and technical personnel to process higher volumes of our tests. We cannot assure you that any increases in scale, related improvements and quality assurance will be successfully implemented or that appropriate personnel will be available. Failure to implement necessary procedures, transition to new processes or hire the necessary personnel could result in higher costs of processing tests or inability to meet demand. There can be no assurance that we will be able to perform our testing on a timely basis at a level consistent with demand, or that our efforts to scale our operations will not negatively affect the quality of test results. If we encounter difficulty meeting market demand or quality standards, our reputation could be harmed and our future prospects and our business could suffer.

 

If the FDA were to begin regulating our tests, we could incur substantial costs and delays associated with trying to obtain premarket clearance or approval.

 

Clinical laboratory tests like Afirma are regulated under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, as well as by applicable state laws. Most laboratory developed tests, or LDTs, are not currently subject to FDA regulation, although reagents, instruments, software or components provided by third parties and used to perform LDTs may be subject to regulation. Although the FDA has never defined what qualifies as an LDT, we believe that Afirma is an LDT. As a result, we believe Afirma should not be subject to regulation in accordance with the FDA’s current policy of exercising enforcement discretion regarding LDTs.

 

From time to time, the FDA has indicated that it was revisiting its current policy of enforcement discretion and planned to issue guidance that, when finalized, would adopt a risk-based framework that would increase FDA oversight of LDTs. In July 2010, the FDA convened a public meeting to discuss such a risk-based framework. Legislative proposals addressing oversight of LDTs were introduced in the previous two Congresses and we expect that new legislative proposals will be introduced from time to time. We cannot provide any assurance that FDA regulation, including premarket review, will not be required in the future for our tests, whether through additional guidance or regulations issued by the FDA, new enforcement policies adopted by the FDA or new legislation enacted by Congress. It is possible that legislation will be enacted into law, regulations could be promulgated or guidance could be issued by the FDA which may result in increased regulatory burdens for us to continue to offer our tests or to develop and introduce new tests. We cannot predict the timing or content of future legislation enacted, regulations promulgated or guidance issued regarding LDTs, or how it will affect our business.

 

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If FDA premarket review, including approval, is required for Afirma or any of our future tests we may develop, or we decide to voluntarily pursue FDA approval, we may be forced to stop selling our tests or we may be allowed to keep selling our tests while we work to obtain FDA approval. Our business would be negatively affected until such review is completed and clearance to market or approval is obtained. The regulatory process may involve, among other things, successfully completing additional clinical studies and submitting premarket notification or filing a premarket approval application with the FDA. If premarket review is required by the FDA or if we decide to voluntarily pursue FDA premarket review of our tests, there can be no assurance that Afirma or any tests we may develop in the future will be cleared or approved on a timely basis, if at all, nor can there be assurance that labeling claims will be consistent with our current claims or adequate to support continued adoption of and reimbursement for our tests. If our tests are allowed to remain on the market but there is uncertainty in the marketplace about our tests, if we are required by the FDA to label them investigational, or if labeling claims the FDA allows us to make are limited, orders may decline and reimbursement may be adversely affected. Ongoing compliance with FDA regulations would increase the cost of conducting our business, and subject us to heightened regulation by the FDA and penalties for failure to comply with these requirements.

 

Some of the materials we use for Afirma are labeled for research use only. In June 2011, the FDA issued draft guidance regarding “Commercially Distributed In Vitro Diagnostic Products Labeled for Research Use Only or Investigational Use Only”. To date, the FDA has not issued final research-use only guidance. We cannot predict the ultimate timing or form of any such guidance or regulation and or the potential effect on Afirma, our tests in development or the materials used to perform our tests. While we qualify all materials used in our tests according to CLIA regulations, we cannot be certain that the FDA would not promulgate rules or issue guidance documents that could affect our ability to purchase materials necessary for the performance of our tests. Should any of the reagents, instruments, software or components obtained by us from suppliers and used in conducting our tests be affected by future regulatory actions, our business could be adversely affected by those actions, including increasing the cost of testing or delaying, limiting or prohibiting the purchase of reagents, instruments, software or components necessary to perform testing.

 

In addition, our sample collection container is classified as a Class I medical device and is listed with the FDA. If the FDA was to determine that it is a Class II medical device, we would be required to file a 510(k) application and obtain FDA clearance to use the container, which could be time consuming and expensive.

 

We may be unable to manage our future growth effectively, which could make it difficult to execute our business strategy.

 

In addition to the need to scale our testing capacity, future growth will impose significant added responsibilities on management, including the need to identify, recruit, train and integrate additional employees. In addition, rapid and significant growth may place strain on our administrative and operational infrastructure. Our ability to manage our business and growth will require us to continue to improve our operational, financial and management controls, reporting systems and procedures. We have only recently installed a new, internally developed data warehouse, which is critical to our ability to track our diagnostic services and patient reports delivered to physicians, as well as to support our financial reporting systems. The time and resources required to

 

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optimize these systems is uncertain, and failure to complete optimization in a timely and efficient manner could adversely affect our operations. If we are unable to manage our growth effectively, it may be difficult for us to execute our business strategy and our business could be harmed.

 

Billing for our diagnostic solution is complex, and we must dedicate substantial time and resources to the billing process to be paid for our tests.

 

Billing for clinical laboratory testing services is complex, time consuming and expensive. Depending on the billing arrangement and applicable law, we bill various payers, including Medicare, insurance companies and patients, all of which have different billing requirements. We generally bill third-party payers for our diagnostic solution and pursue reimbursement on a case-by-case basis where pricing contracts are not in place. To the extent laws or contracts require us to bill patient co-payments or co-insurance, we must also comply with these requirements. We may also face increased risk in our collection efforts, including potential write-offs of doubtful accounts and long collection cycles, which could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

 

Several factors make the billing process complex, including:

 

·                  differences between the list price for Afirma and the reimbursement rates of payers;

 

·                  compliance with complex federal and state regulations related to billing Medicare;

 

·                  disputes among payers as to which party is responsible for payment;

 

·                  differences in coverage among payers and the effect of patient co-payments or co-insurance;

 

·                  differences in information and billing requirements among payers;

 

·                  incorrect or missing billing information; and

 

·                  the resources required to manage the billing and claims appeals process.

 

Additionally, our billing activities require us to implement compliance procedures and oversight, train and monitor our employees, challenge coverage and payment denials, assist patients in appealing claims, and undertake internal audits to evaluate compliance with applicable laws and regulations as well as internal compliance policies and procedures. Payers also conduct external audits to evaluate payments, which add further complexity to the billing process. These billing complexities, and the related uncertainty in obtaining payment for our diagnostic solution, could negatively affect our revenue and cash flow, our ability to achieve profitability, and the consistency and comparability of our results of operations.

 

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We rely on a third-party to transmit claims to payers, and any delay in transmitting claims could have an adverse effect on our revenue.

 

While we manage the overall processing of claims, we rely on a third-party provider to transmit the actual claims to payers based on the specific payer billing format. We have previously experienced delays in claims processing when our third-party provider made changes to its invoicing system, and again when it did not submit claims to payers within the timeframe we require. If claims for Afirma are not submitted to payers on a timely basis, or if we are required to switch to a different provider to handle claim submissions, we may experience delays in our ability to process these claims and receipt of payments from payers, which would have an adverse effect on our revenue and our business.

 

International expansion of our business exposes us to business, regulatory, political, operational, financial and economic risks associated with doing business outside of the United States.

 

Our business strategy includes international expansion, primarily through our co-promotion agreement with Genzyme, and may include establishing and maintaining physician outreach and education capabilities outside of the United States and expanding our relationships with international payers. Doing business internationally involves a number of risks, including:

 

·                  multiple, conflicting and changing laws and regulations such as tax laws, privacy laws, export and import restrictions, employment laws, regulatory requirements and other governmental approvals, permits and licenses;

 

·                  failure by us to obtain regulatory approvals where required for the use of our solution in various countries;

 

·                  complexities associated with managing multiple payer reimbursement regimes, government payers or patient self-pay systems;

 

·                  logistics and regulations associated with shipping tissue samples, including infrastructure conditions and transportation delays;

 

·                  limits on our ability to penetrate international markets if we are not able to process tests locally;

 

·                  financial risks, such as longer payment cycles, difficulty collecting accounts receivable, the effect of local and regional financial crises on demand and payment for our solution and exposure to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations;

 

·                  natural disasters, political and economic instability, including wars, terrorism, and political unrest, outbreak of disease, boycotts, curtailment of trade and other business restrictions; and

 

·                  regulatory and compliance risks that relate to maintaining accurate information and control over activities that may fall within the purview of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977, its books and records provisions or its anti-bribery provisions.

 

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Any of these factors could significantly harm our future international expansion and operations and, consequently, our revenue and results of operations.

 

If we are unable to compete successfully, we may be unable to increase or sustain our revenue or achieve profitability.

 

Our principal competition for Afirma comes from traditional methods used by physicians to diagnose thyroid cancer. Practice guidelines in the United States have historically recommended that patients with indeterminate diagnoses from cytopathology results be considered for surgery to remove all or part of the thyroid to rule out cancer. This practice has been the standard of care in the United States for many years, and we need to educate physicians about the benefits of Afirma to change clinical practice.

 

We also face competition from commercial laboratories, such as Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings and Quest Diagnostics Incorporated, with strong infrastructure to support the commercialization of diagnostic services. We face potential competition from companies such as Life Technologies Corporation, which is currently expected to be acquired by Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., and Illumina, Inc., both of which have recently announced their intention to enter the clinical diagnostics market. Other potential competitors include companies that develop diagnostic products, such as Roche Diagnostics, a division of Roche Holding Ltd, Siemens AG and Qiagen N.V. We also face competition from Asuragen Inc. and other companies that measure mutational markers such as BRAF and KRAS to identify nodules that are malignant instead of benign. In the future, we may also face competition from companies developing new products or technologies.

 

In addition, competitors may develop their own versions of our solution in countries where we do not have patents or where our intellectual property rights are not recognized and compete with us in those countries, including encouraging the use of their solution by physicians in other countries.

 

To compete successfully we must be able to demonstrate, among other things, that our diagnostic test results are accurate and cost effective, and we must secure a meaningful level of reimbursement for our products.

 

Many of our potential competitors have widespread brand recognition and substantially greater financial, technical and research and development resources and selling and marketing capabilities than we do. Others may develop products with prices lower than ours that could be viewed by physicians and payers as functionally equivalent to our solution, or offer solutions at prices designed to promote market penetration, which could force us to lower the list price of our solution and affect our ability to achieve profitability. If we are unable to change clinical practice in a meaningful way or compete successfully against current and future competitors, we may be unable to increase market acceptance and sales of our products, which could prevent us from increasing our revenue or achieving profitability and could cause the market price of our common stock to decline.

 

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Developing new products involves a lengthy and complex process, and we may not be able to commercialize on a timely basis, or at all, other products we are developing.

 

We have enhancements to our current Afirma offering and other diagnostic solutions under development that will require us to devote considerable resources to research and development. There can be no assurance that we will be able to identify other diseases that can be effectively addressed with our molecular cytology platform. In addition, if we identify such diseases, we may not be able to develop products with the diagnostic accuracy necessary to be clinically useful and commercially successful. We are in the process of developing the Afirma Malignant GEC and a product for interstitial lung disease. These products may not be fully developed and introduced as planned in 2014 and 2016, respectively. In the longer term, we may face challenges obtaining sufficient numbers of samples to validate a genomic signature for a molecular diagnostic product. In order to develop and commercialize diagnostic products, we need to:

 

·                  expend significant funds to conduct substantial research and development;

 

·                  conduct successful analytical and clinical studies;

 

·                  scale our laboratory processes to accommodate new tests; and

 

·                  build the commercial infrastructure to market and sell new products.

 

Our product development process involves a high degree of risk and may take several years. Our product development efforts may fail for many reasons, including:

 

·                  failure to identify a genomic signature in biomarker discovery;

 

·                  inability to secure sufficient numbers of samples to conduct analytical and clinical studies; or

 

·                  failure of clinical validation studies to support the effectiveness of the test.

 

Typically, few research and development projects result in commercial products, and success in early clinical studies often is not replicated in later studies. At any point, we may abandon development of a product candidate or we may be required to expend considerable resources repeating clinical studies, which would adversely affect the timing for generating potential revenue from a new product and our ability to invest in other products in our pipeline. If a clinical validation study fails to demonstrate the prospectively defined endpoints of the study or if we fail to sufficiently demonstrate analytical validity, we might choose to abandon the development of the product, which could harm our business. In addition, competitors may develop and commercialize competing products or technologies faster than us or at a lower cost.

 

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We may acquire businesses or assets, form joint ventures or make investments in other companies or technologies that could harm our operating results, dilute our stockholders’ ownership, increase our debt or cause us to incur significant expense.

 

As part of our business strategy, we may pursue acquisitions of complementary businesses or assets, as well as technology licensing arrangements. We also may pursue strategic alliances that leverage our core technology and industry experience to expand our offerings or distribution, or make investments in other companies. To date, we have not acquired other companies and have limited experience with respect to the formation of strategic alliances and joint ventures. If we make any acquisitions, we may not be able to integrate these acquisitions successfully into our existing business, and we could assume unknown or contingent liabilities. Any future acquisitions by us also could result in significant write-offs or the incurrence of debt and contingent liabilities, any of which could harm our operating results. Integration of an acquired company or business also may require management resources that otherwise would be available for ongoing development of our existing business. We may not identify or complete these transactions in a timely manner, on a cost-effective basis, or at all, and we may not realize the anticipated benefits of any acquisition, technology license, strategic alliance, joint venture or investment.

 

To finance any acquisitions or investments, we may choose to issue shares of our stock as consideration, which would dilute the ownership of our stockholders. Once we become a public company, if the price of our common stock is low or volatile, we may not be able to acquire other companies for stock. Alternatively, it may be necessary for us to raise additional funds for these activities through public or private financings. Additional funds may not be available on terms that are favorable to us, or at all.

 

If we are unable to develop products to keep pace with rapid technological, medical and scientific change, our operating results and competitive position could be harmed.

 

In recent years, there have been numerous advances in technologies relating to diagnostics, particularly diagnostics that are based on genomic information. These advances require us to continuously develop our technology and work to develop new solutions to keep pace with evolving standards of care. Our solutions could become obsolete unless we continually innovate and expand our product offerings to include new clinical applications. If we are unable to develop new products or to demonstrate the applicability of our products for other diseases, our sales could decline and our competitive position could be harmed.

 

If we fail to comply with federal, state and foreign laboratory licensing requirements, we could lose the ability to perform our tests or experience disruptions to our business.

 

We are subject to CLIA, a federal law that regulates clinical laboratories that perform testing on specimens derived from humans for the purpose of providing information for the diagnosis, prevention or treatment of disease. CLIA regulations mandate specific standards in the areas of personnel qualifications, administration, and participation in proficiency testing, patient test management and quality assurance. CLIA certification is also required in order for us to be eligible to bill state and federal healthcare programs, as well as many private third-party payers, for Afirma. To renew these certifications, we are subject to survey and

 

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inspection every two years. Moreover, CLIA inspectors may make random inspections of our clinical reference laboratories.

 

We are also required to maintain state licenses to conduct testing in our laboratories. California law requires that we maintain a license and establishes standards for the day-to-day operation of our clinical reference laboratory in South San Francisco, including the training and skills required of personnel and quality control matters. In addition, both of our clinical reference laboratories are required to be licensed on a test-specific basis by New York State. New York law also mandates proficiency testing for laboratories licensed under New York state law, regardless of whether such laboratories are located in New York. Several other states require that we hold licenses to test samples from patients in those states. Other states may have similar requirements or may adopt similar requirements in the future.  If we were to lose our CLIA certificate or California license for our South San Francisco laboratory, whether as a result of revocation, suspension or limitation, we would no longer be able to perform the GEC, which would eliminate our primary source of revenue and harm our business. If we were to lose our CLIA certificate for our Austin laboratory, we would need to move the receipt and storage of FNAs, as well as the slide preparation for cytopathology, to South San Francisco, which could result in a delay in processing tests during that transition and increased costs. If we were to lose our licenses issued by New York or by other states where we are required to hold licenses, we would not be able to test specimens from those states.

 

Finally, we may be subject to regulation in foreign jurisdictions as we pursue offering Afirma internationally. Other limitations, such as prohibitions on the import of tissue necessary for us to perform our tests or restrictions on the export of tissue imposed by countries outside of the United States or the import of tissue into the United States, may limit our ability to offer Afirma internationally in the future.

 

Changes in healthcare policy, including legislation reforming the U.S. healthcare system, may have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and operations.

 

The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act, collectively, the PPACA, enacted in March 2010, makes changes that are expected to significantly affect the pharmaceutical and medical device industries and clinical laboratories. Beginning in 2013, each medical device manufacturer must pay a sales tax in an amount equal to 2.3% of the price for which such manufacturer sells its medical devices that are listed with the FDA. The FDA has asserted that clinical laboratory tests such as Afirma are medical devices. However, consistent with the FDA’s policy of exercising enforcement discretion for LDTs, Afirma is not currently listed as a medical device with the FDA. We cannot assure you that the tax will not be extended to services such as ours in the future if Afirma were to be regulated as a device. The PPACA also mandates a reduction in payments for clinical laboratory services paid under the Medicare Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule, or CLFS, of 1.75% for the years 2011 through 2015 and a productivity adjustment to the CLFS which would affect our cytopathology billings.

 

Other significant measures contained in the PPACA include, for example, coordination and promotion of research on comparative clinical effectiveness of different technologies and procedures, initiatives to revise Medicare payment methodologies, such as bundling of payments across the continuum of care by providers and physicians, and initiatives to promote quality indicators in payment methodologies. The PPACA also includes

 

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significant new fraud and abuse measures, including required disclosures of financial arrangements with physician customers, lower thresholds for violations and increasing potential penalties for such violations. In addition, the PPACA establishes an Independent Payment Advisory Board, or IPAB, to reduce the per capita rate of growth in Medicare spending. The IPAB has broad discretion to propose policies to reduce expenditures, which may have a negative effect on payment rates for services. The IPAB proposals may affect payments for clinical laboratory services beginning in 2016 and for hospital services beginning in 2020. We are monitoring the effect of the PPACA to determine the trends and changes that may be necessitated by the legislation, any of which may potentially affect our business.

 

In addition to the PPACA, the effect of which on our business cannot presently be fully quantified, various healthcare reform proposals have also emerged from federal and state governments. For example, in February 2012, Congress passed the Middle Class Tax Relief and Job Creation Act of 2012, which in part reduced the potential future cost-based increases to the Medicare CLFS by 2%. Overall the expected total fee cut to the CLFS for 2013 is 2.95% not considering a further reduction of 2% anticipated from implementation of the automatic expense reductions (sequester) under the Budget Control Act of 2011, which went into effect for dates of service on or after April 1, 2013. Reductions resulting from the Congressional sequester are applied to total claims payment made; however, they do not currently result in a rebasing of the negotiated or established Medicare or Medicaid reimbursement rates.

 

State legislation on reimbursement applies to Medicaid reimbursement and Managed Medicaid reimbursement rates within that state. Some states have passed or proposed legislation that would revise reimbursement methodology for clinical laboratory payment rates under those Medicaid programs. Recent changes to reimbursement methodologies have not changed the payment rate for Afirma; however, we cannot predict whether future healthcare initiatives will be implemented at the federal or state level or in countries outside of the United States in which we may do business, or the effect any future legislation or regulation will have on us. The taxes imposed by the new federal legislation, cost reduction measures and the expansion in the role of the U.S. government in the healthcare industry may result in decreased revenue, lower reimbursement by payers for our tests or reduced medical procedure volumes, all of which may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, sales of our tests outside the United States will subject our business to foreign regulatory requirements and cost-reduction measures, which may also change over time.

 

Ongoing calls for deficit reduction at the Federal government level and reforms to programs such as the Medicare program to pay for such reductions may affect the pharmaceutical, medical device and clinical laboratory industries. In particular, recommendations by the Simpson-Bowles Commission called for the combination of Medicare Part A (hospital insurance) and Part B (physician and ancillary service insurance) into a single co-insurance and co-payment structure. Currently, clinical laboratory services are excluded from the Medicare Part B co-insurance and co-payment as preventative services. Combining Parts A and B may require clinical laboratories to collect co-payments from patients which may increase our costs and reduce the amount ultimately collected.

 

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Complying with numerous statutes and regulations pertaining to our business is an expensive and time-consuming process, and any failure to comply could result in substantial penalties.

 

We are subject to other regulation by both the federal government and the states in which we conduct our business, including:

 

·                  Medicare billing and payment regulations applicable to clinical laboratories;

 

·                  the Federal anti-kickback law and state anti-kickback prohibitions;

 

·                  the Federal physician self-referral prohibition, commonly known as the Stark Law, and state equivalents;

 

·                  the Federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996;

 

·                  the Medicare civil money penalty and exclusion requirements;

 

·                  the Federal False Claims Act civil and criminal penalties and state equivalents; and

 

·                  the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977, which applies to our international activities.

 

We have adopted policies and procedures designed to comply with these laws and regulations. In the ordinary course of our business, we conduct internal reviews of our compliance with these laws. Our compliance is also subject to governmental review. The growth of our business and sales organization and our expansion outside of the United States may increase the potential of violating these laws or our internal policies and procedures. The risk of our being found in violation of these or other laws and regulations is further increased by the fact that many have not been fully interpreted by the regulatory authorities or the courts, and their provisions are open to a variety of interpretations. Any action brought against us for violation of these or other laws or regulations, even if we successfully defend against it, could cause us to incur significant legal expenses and divert our management’s attention from the operation of our business. If our operations are found to be in violation of any of these laws and regulations, we may be subject to any applicable penalty associated with the violation, including civil and criminal penalties, damages and fines, we could be required to refund payments received by us, and we could be required to curtail or cease our operations. Any of the foregoing consequences could seriously harm our business and our financial results.

 

If we are sued for product liability or errors and omissions liability, we could face substantial liabilities that exceed our resources.

 

The marketing, sale and use of Afirma could lead to product liability claims if someone were to allege that the GEC failed to perform as it was designed. We may also be subject to liability for errors in the results we provide to physicians or for a misunderstanding of, or inappropriate reliance upon, the information we provide. Our GEC is performed on FNA samples that are diagnosed as indeterminate by standard cytopathology review. We report results as benign or suspicious to the prescribing physician. Under certain circumstances, we might report a result as benign that later proves to have been malignant. This could be the result of the physician

 

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having poor nodule sampling in collecting the FNA, performing the FNA on a different nodule than the one that is malignant or failure of the GEC to perform as intended. We may also be subject to similar types of claims related to products we may develop in the future. A product liability or errors and omissions liability claim could result in substantial damages and be costly and time consuming for us to defend. Although we maintain product liability and errors and omissions insurance, we cannot assure you that our insurance would fully protect us from the financial impact of defending against these types of claims or any judgments, fines or settlement costs arising out of any such claims. Any product liability or errors and omissions liability claim brought against us, with or without merit, could increase our insurance rates or prevent us from securing insurance coverage in the future. Additionally, any product liability lawsuit could cause injury to our reputation or cause us to suspend sales of our products and solutions. The occurrence of any of these events could have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations.

 

The loss of members of our senior management team or our inability to attract and retain key personnel could adversely affect our business.

 

Our success depends largely on the skills, experience and performance of key members of our executive management team and others in key management positions. The efforts of each of these persons together will be critical to us as we continue to develop our technologies and test processes and focus on our growth. If we were to lose one or more of these key employees, we may experience difficulties in competing effectively, developing our technologies and implementing our business strategy.

 

In addition, our research and development programs and commercial laboratory operations depend on our ability to attract and retain highly skilled scientists, including licensed clinical laboratory scientists and biostatisticians. We may not be able to attract or retain qualified scientists and technicians in the future due to the intense competition for qualified personnel among life science businesses, particularly in the San Francisco Bay Area. Because it is expected that there will be a shortage of clinical laboratory scientists in coming years, it may become more difficult to hire sufficient numbers of qualified personnel. We also face competition from universities and public and private research institutions in recruiting and retaining highly qualified scientific personnel. Additionally, our success depends on our ability to attract and retain qualified salespeople. We may have difficulties locating, recruiting or retaining qualified salespeople, which could cause a delay or decline in the rate of adoption of our solution. If we are not able to attract and retain the necessary personnel to accomplish our business objectives, we may experience constraints that could adversely affect our ability to support our research and development, clinical laboratory and sales efforts. All of our employees are at-will, which means that either we or the employee may terminate their employment at any time. We do not carry key man insurance for any of our employees.

 

If our laboratory in South San Francisco becomes inoperable due to an earthquake or either of our laboratories becomes inoperable for any other reason, we will be unable to perform our testing services and our business will be harmed.

 

We perform all of the GEC testing at our laboratory in South San Francisco, California. Our laboratory in Austin, Texas accepts and stores substantially all FNA samples pending transfer to our California laboratory for GEC processing. The equipment we use to perform the GEC would be costly to replace and could require

 

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substantial lead time to replace and qualify for use. Either of our facilities may be harmed or rendered inoperable by natural or man-made disasters, including earthquakes, flooding and power outages, which may render it difficult or impossible for us to perform our testing services for some period of time or to receive and store samples. The inability to perform GEC testing or the backlog of GEC tests that could develop if our California facility is inoperable for even a short period of time may result in the loss of customers or harm our reputation, and we may be unable to regain those customers in the future. Although we maintain insurance for damage to our property and the disruption of our business, this insurance may not be sufficient to cover all of our potential losses and may not continue to be available to us on acceptable terms, if at all.

 

If we cannot enter into new clinical study collaborations, our product development and subsequent commercialization could be delayed.

 

In the past, we have entered into clinical study collaborations, and our success in the future depends in part on our ability to enter into additional collaborations with highly regarded institutions. This can be difficult due to internal and external constraints placed on these organizations. Some organizations may limit the number of collaborations they have with any one company so as to not be perceived as biased or conflicted. Organizations may also have insufficient administrative and related infrastructure to enable collaborations with many companies at once, which can extend the time it takes to develop, negotiate and implement a  collaboration. Additionally, organizations often insist on retaining the rights to publish the clinical data resulting from the collaboration. The publication of clinical data in peer-reviewed journals is a crucial step in commercializing and obtaining reimbursement for a diagnostic solution such as Afirma, and our inability to control when and if results are published may delay or limit our ability to derive sufficient revenue from any solution.

 

If we use hazardous materials in a manner that causes contamination or injury, we could be liable for resulting damages.

 

We are subject to federal, state and local laws, rules and regulations governing the use, discharge, storage, handling and disposal of biological material, chemicals and waste. We cannot eliminate the risk of accidental contamination or injury to employees or third parties from the use, storage, handling or disposal of these materials. In the event of contamination or injury, we could be held liable for any resulting damages, remediation costs and any related penalties or fines, and any liability could exceed our resources or any applicable insurance coverage we may have. The cost of compliance with these laws and regulations may become significant, and our failure to comply may result in substantial fines or other consequences, and either could negatively affect our operating results.

 

Security breaches, loss of data and other disruptions to us or our third-party service providers could compromise sensitive information related to our business or prevent us from accessing critical information and expose us to liability, which could adversely affect our business and our reputation.

 

In the ordinary course of our business, we and our third-party service providers collect and store sensitive data, including legally protected health information, personally identifiable information about our patients, credit card information, intellectual property, and our proprietary business and financial information.

 

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We manage and maintain our applications and data utilizing a combination of on-site systems, managed data center systems and cloud-based data center systems. We face a number of risks relative to our protection of, and our service providers’ protection of, this critical information, including loss of access, inappropriate disclosure and inappropriate access, as well as risks associated with our ability to identify and audit such events.

 

The secure processing, storage, maintenance and transmission of this critical information is vital to our operations and business strategy, and we devote significant resources to protecting such information. Although we take measures to protect sensitive information from unauthorized access or disclosure, our information technology and infrastructure may be vulnerable to attacks by hackers or viruses or otherwise breached due to employee error, malfeasance or other activities. While we have not experienced any such attack or breach, if such event would occur and cause interruptions in our operations, our networks would be compromised and the information we store on those networks could be accessed by unauthorized parties, publicly disclosed, lost or stolen. Any such access, disclosure or other loss of information could result in legal claims or proceedings, liability under laws that protect the privacy of personal information, such as the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, and regulatory penalties. Unauthorized access, loss or dissemination could also disrupt our operations, including our ability to process tests, provide test results, bill payers or patients, process claims and appeals, provide customer assistance services, conduct research and development activities, collect, process and prepare company financial information, provide information about our solution and other patient and physician education and outreach efforts through our website, manage the administrative aspects of our business and damage our reputation, any of which could adversely affect our business.

 

In addition, the interpretation and application of consumer, health-related and data protection laws in the United States, Europe and elsewhere are often uncertain, contradictory and in flux. It is possible that these laws may be interpreted and applied in a manner that is inconsistent with our practices. If so, this could result in government-imposed fines or orders requiring that we change our practices, which could adversely affect our business. Complying with these various laws could cause us to incur substantial costs or require us to change our business practices, systems and compliance procedures in a manner adverse to our business.

 

If we cannot license rights to use technologies on reasonable terms, we may not be able to commercialize new products in the future.

 

In the future, we may license third-party technology to develop or commercialize new products. In return for the use of a third-party’s technology, we may agree to pay the licensor royalties based on sales of our solutions. Royalties are a component of cost of revenue and affect the margins on our solutions. We may also need to negotiate licenses to patents and patent applications after introducing a commercial product. Our business may suffer if we are unable to enter into the necessary licenses on acceptable terms, or at all, if any necessary licenses are subsequently terminated, if the licensors fail to abide by the terms of the license or fail to prevent infringement by third parties, or if the licensed patents or other rights are found to be invalid or unenforceable.

 

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If we are unable to protect our intellectual property effectively, our business would be harmed.

 

We rely on patent protection as well as trademark, copyright, trade secret and other intellectual property rights protection and contractual restrictions to protect our proprietary technologies, all of which provide limited protection and may not adequately protect our rights or permit us to gain or keep any competitive advantage. If we fail to protect our intellectual property, third parties may be able to compete more effectively against us and we may incur substantial litigation costs in our attempts to recover or restrict use of our intellectual property.

 

We apply for patents covering our products and technologies and uses thereof, as we deem appropriate, however we may fail to apply for patents on important products and technologies in a timely fashion or at all, or we may fail to apply for patents in potentially relevant jurisdictions. As of October 1, 2013, we had six pending United States non-provisional patent applications, one issued United States patent and one pending United States provisional patent. It is possible that none of our pending patent applications will result in issued patents in a timely fashion or at all, and even if patents are granted, they may not provide a basis for intellectual property protection of commercially viable products, may not provide us with any competitive advantages, or may be challenged and invalidated by third parties. It is possible that others will design around our current or future patented technologies. We may not be successful in defending any challenges made against our patents or patent applications. Any successful third-party challenge to our patents could result in the unenforceability or invalidity of such patents and increased competition to our business. The outcome of patent litigation can be uncertain and any attempt by us to enforce our patent rights against others may not be successful, or, if successful, may take substantial time and result in substantial cost, and may divert our efforts and attention from other aspects of our business.

 

The patent positions of life sciences companies can be highly uncertain and involve complex legal and factual questions for which important legal principles remain unresolved. No consistent policy regarding the breadth of claims allowed in such companies’ patents has emerged to date in the United States or elsewhere. Courts frequently render opinions in the biotechnology field that may affect the patentability of certain inventions or discoveries, including opinions that may affect the patentability of methods for analyzing or comparing DNA.

 

In particular, the patent positions of companies engaged in the development and commercialization of genomic diagnostic tests, like Afirma, are particularly uncertain. Various courts, including the U.S. Supreme Court, have recently rendered decisions that affect the scope of patentability of certain inventions or discoveries relating to certain diagnostic tests and related methods. These decisions state, among other things, that patent claims that recite laws of nature (for example, the relationship between blood levels of certain metabolites and the likelihood that a dosage of a specific drug will be ineffective or cause harm) are not themselves patentable. What constitutes a law of nature is uncertain, and it is possible that certain aspects of genetic diagnostics tests would be considered natural laws. Accordingly, the evolving case law in the United States may adversely affect our ability to obtain patents and may facilitate third-party challenges to any owned and licensed patents. The laws of some foreign countries do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the laws of the United States, and we may encounter difficulties protecting and defending such rights in foreign jurisdictions. The legal systems of many other countries do not favor the enforcement of patents and other intellectual property protection, particularly those relating to biotechnology, which could make it difficult for us to stop the

 

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infringement of our patents in such countries. Proceedings to enforce our patent rights in foreign jurisdictions could result in substantial cost and divert our efforts and attention from other aspects of our business.

 

Changes in either the patent laws or in interpretations of patent laws in the United States or other countries may diminish the value of our intellectual property. We cannot predict the breadth of claims that may be allowed or enforced in our patents or in third-party patents. We may not develop additional proprietary products, methods and technologies that are patentable.

 

In addition to pursuing patents on our technology, we take steps to protect our intellectual property and proprietary technology by entering into agreements, including confidentiality agreements, non-disclosure agreements and intellectual property assignment agreements, with our employees, consultants, academic institutions, corporate partners and, when needed, our advisors. Such agreements may not be enforceable or may not provide meaningful protection for our trade secrets or other proprietary information in the event of unauthorized use or disclosure or other breaches of the agreements, and we may not be able to prevent such unauthorized disclosure. If we are required to assert our rights against such party, it could result in significant cost and distraction.

 

Monitoring unauthorized disclosure is difficult, and we do not know whether the steps we have taken to prevent such disclosure are, or will be, adequate. If we were to enforce a claim that a third-party had illegally obtained and was using our trade secrets, it would be expensive and time consuming, and the outcome would be unpredictable. In addition, courts outside the United States may be less willing to protect trade secrets.

 

We may also be subject to claims that our employees have inadvertently or otherwise used or disclosed trade secrets or other proprietary information of their former employers, or to claims that we have improperly used or obtained such trade secrets. Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. If we fail in defending such claims, in addition to paying monetary damages, we may lose valuable intellectual property rights and face increased competition to our business. A loss of key research personnel work product could hamper or prevent our ability to commercialize potential products, which could harm our business. Even if we are successful in defending against these claims, litigation could result in substantial costs and be a distraction to management.

 

Further, competitors could attempt to replicate some or all of the competitive advantages we derive from our development efforts, willfully infringe our intellectual property rights, design around our protected technology or develop their own competitive technologies that fall outside of our intellectual property rights. Others may independently develop similar or alternative products and technologies or replicate any of our products and technologies. If our intellectual property does not adequately protect us against competitors’ products and methods, our competitive position could be adversely affected, as could our business.

 

We have not yet registered certain of our trademarks, including Afirma, in all of our potential markets. If we apply to register these trademarks, our applications may not be allowed for registration in a timely fashion or at all, and our registered trademarks may not be maintained or enforced. In addition, opposition or cancellation proceedings may be filed against our trademark applications and registrations, and our trademarks may not

 

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survive such proceedings. If we do not secure registrations for our trademarks, we may encounter more difficulty in enforcing them against third parties than we otherwise would.

 

To the extent our intellectual property offers inadequate protection, or is found to be invalid or unenforceable, we would be exposed to a greater risk of direct competition. If our intellectual property does not provide adequate coverage of our competitors’ products, our competitive position could be adversely affected, as could our business. Both the patent application process and the process of managing patent disputes can be time consuming and expensive.

 

We may be involved in litigation related to intellectual property, which could be time-intensive and costly and may adversely affect our business, operating results or financial condition.

 

We may receive notices of claims of direct or indirect infringement or misappropriation or misuse of other parties’ proprietary rights from time to time. Some of these claims may lead to litigation. We cannot assure you that we will prevail in such actions, or that other actions alleging misappropriation or misuse by us of third-party trade secrets, infringement by us of third-party patents and trademarks or other rights, or the validity of our patents, trademarks or other rights, will not be asserted or prosecuted against us.

 

We might not have been the first to make the inventions covered by each of our pending patent applications and we might not have been the first to file patent applications for these inventions. To determine the priority of these inventions, we may have to participate in interference proceedings, derivation proceedings, or other post-grant proceedings declared by the United States Patent and Trademark Office that could result in substantial cost to us. No assurance can be given that other patent applications will not have priority over our patent applications. In addition, recent changes to the patent laws of the United States allow for various post-grant opposition proceedings that have not been extensively tested, and their outcome is therefore uncertain. Furthermore, if third parties bring these proceedings against our patents, we could experience significant costs and management distraction.

 

Litigation may be necessary for us to enforce our patent and proprietary rights or to determine the scope, coverage and validity of the proprietary rights of others. The outcome of any litigation or other proceeding is inherently uncertain and might not be favorable to us, and we might not be able to obtain licenses to technology that we require on acceptable terms or at all. Further, we could encounter delays in product introductions, or interruptions in product sales, as we develop alternative methods or products. In addition, if we resort to legal proceedings to enforce our intellectual property rights or to determine the validity, scope and coverage of the intellectual property or other proprietary rights of others, the proceedings could be burdensome and expensive, even if we were to prevail. Any litigation that may be necessary in the future could result in substantial costs and diversion of resources and could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results or financial condition.

 

As we move into new markets and applications for our products, incumbent participants in such markets may assert their patents and other proprietary rights against us as a means of slowing our entry into such markets or as a means to extract substantial license and royalty payments from us. Our competitors and others may now and, in the future, have significantly larger and more mature patent portfolios than we currently have.

 

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In addition, future litigation may involve patent holding companies or other adverse patent owners who have no relevant product revenue and against whom our own patents may provide little or no deterrence or protection. Therefore, our commercial success may depend in part on our non-infringement of the patents or proprietary rights of third parties. Numerous significant intellectual property issues have been litigated, and will likely continue to be litigated, between existing and new participants in our existing and targeted markets and competitors may assert that our products infringe their intellectual property rights as part of a business strategy to impede our successful entry into or growth in those markets. Third parties may assert that we are employing their proprietary technology without authorization. In addition, our competitors and others may have patents or may in the future obtain patents and claim that making, having made, using, selling, offering to sell or importing our products infringes these patents. We could incur substantial costs and divert the attention of our management and technical personnel in defending against any of these claims. Parties making claims against us may be able to obtain injunctive or other relief, which could block our ability to develop, commercialize and sell products, and could result in the award of substantial damages against us. In the event of a successful claim of infringement against us, we may be required to pay damages and ongoing royalties, and obtain one or more licenses from third parties, or be prohibited from selling certain products. We may not be able to obtain these licenses on acceptable terms, if at all. We could incur substantial costs related to royalty payments for licenses obtained from third parties, which could negatively affect our financial results. In addition, we could encounter delays in product introductions while we attempt to develop alternative methods or products to avoid infringing third-party patents or proprietary rights. Defense of any lawsuit or failure to obtain any of these licenses could prevent us from commercializing products, and the prohibition of sale of any of our products could materially affect our business and our ability to gain market acceptance for our products.

 

Furthermore, because of the substantial amount of discovery required in connection with intellectual property litigation, there is a risk that some of our confidential information could be compromised by disclosure during this type of litigation. In addition, during the course of this kind of litigation, there could be public announcements of the results of hearings, motions or other interim proceedings or developments. If securities analysts or investors perceive these results to be negative, it could have a substantial adverse effect on the price of our common stock.

 

In addition, our agreements with some of our customers, suppliers or other entities with whom we do business require us to defend or indemnify these parties to the extent they become involved in infringement claims, including the types of claims described above. We could also voluntarily agree to defend or indemnify third parties in instances where we are not obligated to do so if we determine it would be important to our business relationships. If we are required or agree to defend or indemnify third parties in connection with any infringement claims, we could incur significant costs and expenses that could adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition.

 

Our inability to raise additional capital on acceptable terms in the future may limit our ability to develop and commercialize new solutions and technologies and expand our operations.

 

We expect capital expenditures and operating expenses to increase over the next several years as we expand our infrastructure, commercial operations and research and development activities. We may seek to raise additional capital through equity offerings, debt financings, collaborations or licensing arrangements.

 

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Additional funding may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. If we raise funds by issuing equity securities, dilution to our stockholders could result. Any equity securities issued also may provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of holders of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings could impose significant restrictions on our operations. The incurrence of additional indebtedness or the issuance of certain equity securities could result in increased fixed payment obligations and could also result in restrictive covenants, such as limitations on our ability to incur additional debt or issue additional equity, limitations on our ability to acquire or license intellectual property rights, and other operating restrictions that could adversely affect our ability to conduct our business. In addition, the issuance of additional equity securities by us, or the possibility of such issuance, may cause the market price of our common stock to decline. In the event that we enter into collaborations or licensing arrangements to raise capital, we may be required to accept unfavorable terms. These agreements may require that we relinquish or license to a third-party on unfavorable terms our rights to technologies or product candidates that we otherwise would seek to develop or commercialize ourselves, or reserve certain opportunities for future potential arrangements when we might be able to achieve more favorable terms. If we are not able to secure additional funding when needed, we may have to delay, reduce the scope of or eliminate one or more research and development programs or selling and marketing initiatives. In addition, we may have to work with a partner on one or more of our products or market development programs, which could lower the economic value of those programs to our company.

 

We may experience limits on our revenue if patients decide not to use our test.

 

Some patients may decide not to use Afirma due to its price, all or part of which may be payable directly by the patient if the patient’s insurer denies reimbursement in full or in part.  There is a growing trend among insurers to shift more of the cost of healthcare to patients in the form of higher co-payments or premiums. In addition, the current economic environment in the United States has and may continue to result in the loss of healthcare coverage.  These events may result in patients delaying or forgoing medical checkups or treatment due to their inability to pay for our test, which could have an adverse effect on our revenue.

 

Risks Related to Being a Public Company

 

We will incur increased costs and demands on management as a result of compliance with laws and regulations applicable to public companies, which could harm our operating results.

 

As a public company, we will incur significant legal, accounting and other expenses that we did not incur as a private company, including costs associated with public company reporting requirements. In addition, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010, as well as rules implemented by the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC, and The NASDAQ Stock Market, impose a number of requirements on public companies, including with respect to corporate governance practices. Our management and other personnel will need to devote a substantial amount of time to these compliance and disclosure obligations. Moreover, these rules and regulations will increase our legal, accounting and financial compliance costs and will make some activities more time-consuming and costly. We also expect that it will be more expensive for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance.

 

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If we are unable to implement and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting, investors may lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our reported financial information and the market price of our common stock may be negatively affected.

 

As a public company, we will be required to maintain internal control over financial reporting and to report any material weaknesses in such internal control. Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 requires that we evaluate and determine the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting and, beginning with our annual report for the year ending December 31, 2014, provide a management report on the internal control over financial reporting. If we have a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting, we may not detect errors on a timely basis and our financial statements may be materially misstated. We are in the process of compiling the system and processing documentation necessary to perform the evaluation needed to comply with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. We may not be able to complete our evaluation, testing and any required remediation in a timely fashion. During the evaluation and testing process, if we identify one or more material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, our management will be unable to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective. Moreover, when we are no longer an emerging growth company, our independent registered public accounting firm will be required to issue an attestation report on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. Even if our management concludes that our internal control over financial reporting is effective, our independent registered public accounting firm may conclude that there are material weaknesses with respect to our internal controls or the level at which our internal controls are documented, designed, implemented or reviewed.

 

If we are unable to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective, or when we are no longer an emerging growth company, if our auditors were to express an adverse opinion on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting because we had one or more material weaknesses, investors could lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial disclosures, which could cause the price of our common stock to decline. Internal control deficiencies could also result in a restatement of our financial results in the future.

 

We are an emerging growth company and may elect to comply with reduced public company reporting requirements applicable to emerging growth companies, which could make our common stock less attractive to investors.

 

We are an emerging growth company, as defined under the Securities Act of 1933, or the Securities Act. We will remain an emerging growth company for up to five years, although if our revenue exceeds $1 billion in any fiscal year before that time, we would cease to be an emerging growth company as of the end of that fiscal year. In addition, if the market value of our common stock that is held by non-affiliates exceeds $700 million as of the last business day of our second fiscal quarter of any fiscal year before the end of that five-year period, we would cease to be an emerging growth company as of December 31 of that year. As an emerging growth company, we may choose to take advantage of exemptions from various reporting requirements applicable to certain other public companies, including not being required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, reduced financial statement and financial-related disclosures, reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements, and exemptions from the requirement of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and

 

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obtaining stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved by our stockholders. We cannot predict whether investors will find our common stock less attractive if we choose to rely on any of these exemptions. If some investors find our common stock less attractive as a result of any choices to reduce future disclosure we may make, there may be a less active trading market for our common stock and our stock price may be more volatile.

 

Risks Related to Our Common Stock

 

Our stock price may be volatile, and you may not be able to sell shares of our common stock at or above the price you paid.

 

Prior to our initial public offering in October 2013, there has been no public market for our common stock, and an active and liquid public market for our stock may not develop or be sustained.  In addition, the trading price of our common stock is likely to be highly volatile and could be subject to wide fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond our control. These factors include:

 

·                  actual or anticipated variations in our and our competitors’ results of operations;

 

·                  announcements by us or our competitors of new products, commercial relationships or capital commitments;

 

·                  changes in reimbursement by current or potential payers;

 

·                  issuance of new securities analysts’ reports or changed recommendations for our stock;

 

·                  periodic fluctuations in our revenue, due in part to the way in which we recognize revenue;

 

·                  actual or anticipated changes in regulatory oversight of our products;

 

·                  developments or disputes concerning our intellectual property or other proprietary rights;

 

·                  commencement of, or our involvement in, litigation;

 

·                  announced or completed acquisitions of businesses or technologies by us or our competitors;

 

·                  any major change in our management; and

 

·                  general economic conditions and slow or negative growth of our markets.

 

In addition, the stock market in general, and the market for stock of life sciences companies in particular, has experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of those companies. Broad market and industry factors may seriously affect the market price of our common stock, regardless of our actual operating performance. These fluctuations may be even more pronounced in the trading market for our stock shortly following our initial public offering. In addition, in the past, following periods of volatility in the overall market and the market price

 

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of a particular company’s securities, securities class action litigation has often been instituted against these companies. This litigation, if instituted against us, could result in substantial costs and a diversion of our management’s attention and resources.

 

If securities or industry analysts issue an adverse opinion regarding our stock or do not publish research or reports about our company, our stock price and trading volume could decline.

 

The trading market for our common stock will depend in part on the research and reports that equity research analysts publish about us and our business. We do not control these analysts or the content and opinions included in their reports. Securities analysts may elect not to provide research coverage of our company, and such lack of research coverage may adversely affect the market price of our common stock. The price of our common stock could also decline if one or more equity research analysts downgrade our common stock or if those analysts issue other unfavorable commentary or cease publishing reports about us or our business. If one or more equity research analysts cease coverage of our company, we could lose visibility in the market, which in turn could cause our stock price to decline.

 

Future sales of shares by existing stockholders could cause our stock price to decline.

 

If our existing stockholders sell, or indicate an intention to sell, substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market after the lock-up and other legal restrictions on resale resulting from our recent initial public offering, the trading price of our common stock could decline. On November 15, 2013, 21,035,046 shares of common stock were outstanding. Of these shares, 5,000,000 are freely tradable, without restriction, in the public market. Each of our directors and officers and substantially all of our other stockholders has entered into a lock-up agreement with the underwriters of our initial public offering that restricts their ability to sell or transfer their shares. The lock-up agreements will expire in April 2014. The underwriters, however, may, in their sole discretion, waive the contractual lock-up prior to the expiration of the lock-up agreements. After the lock-up agreements expire, based on shares outstanding as of November 15, 2013, up to an additional 16,035,046 shares of common stock will be eligible for sale in the public market, of which 14,825,544 shares are held by directors, executive officers and other affiliates and will be subject to volume limitations under Rule 144 under the Securities Act, and various vesting agreements. In addition, 2,368,797 shares of common stock that are subject to outstanding options as of November 15, 2013 will become eligible for sale in the public market to the extent permitted by the provisions of various vesting agreements, the lock-up agreements and Rules 144 and 701 under the Securities Act. We have filed a registration statement on Form S-8 under the Securities Act covering all of the shares of common stock subject to options outstanding and reserved for issuance under our stock plans. This registration statement became effective immediately upon filing, and shares covered by this registration statement are eligible for sale in the public markets, subject to Rule 144 limitations applicable to affiliates and any lock-up agreements described above. If these additional shares are sold, or if it is perceived that they will be sold, in the public market, the trading price of our common stock could decline.

 

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Insiders have substantial control over us and will be able to influence corporate matters.

 

As of November 15, 2013, directors and executive officers and their affiliates beneficially owned, in the aggregate, 70.5% of our outstanding capital stock. As a result, these stockholders will be able to exercise significant influence over all matters requiring stockholder approval, including the election of directors and approval of significant corporate transactions, such as a merger or other sale of our company or its assets. This concentration of ownership could limit stockholders’ ability to influence corporate matters and may have the effect of delaying or preventing a third-party from acquiring control over us.

 

Anti-takeover provisions in our charter documents and under Delaware law could discourage, delay or prevent a change in control and may affect the trading price of our common stock.

 

Provisions in our restated certificate of incorporation and our amended and restated bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control or changes in our management. Our restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws include provisions that:

 

·                  authorize our board of directors to issue, without further action by the stockholders, up to shares of undesignated preferred stock;

 

·                  require that any action to be taken by our stockholders be effected at a duly called annual or special meeting and not by written consent;

 

·                  specify that special meetings of our stockholders can be called only by our board of directors, our chairman of the board, or our chief executive officer;

 

·                  establish an advance notice procedure for stockholder approvals to be brought before an annual meeting of our stockholders, including proposed nominations of persons for election to our board of directors;

 

·                  establish that our board of directors is divided into three classes, Class I, Class II and Class III, with each class serving staggered terms;

 

·                  provide that our directors may be removed only for cause;

 

·                  provide that vacancies on our board of directors may, except as otherwise required by law, be filled only by a majority of directors then in office, even if less than a quorum;

 

·                  specify that no stockholder is permitted to cumulate votes at any election of directors; and

 

·                  require a super-majority of votes to amend certain of the above-mentioned provisions.

 

In addition, we are subject to the provisions of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law regulating corporate takeovers. Section 203 generally prohibits us from engaging in a business combination with an interested stockholder subject to certain exceptions.

 

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We have never paid dividends on our capital stock, and we do not anticipate paying dividends in the foreseeable future.

 

We have never paid dividends on any of our capital stock and currently intend to retain any future earnings to fund the growth of our business. In addition, our loan and security agreement restricts our ability to pay cash dividends on our common stock and we may also enter into credit agreements or other borrowing arrangements in the future that will restrict our ability to declare or pay cash dividends on our common stock. Any determination to pay dividends in the future will be at the discretion of our board of directors and will depend on our financial condition, operating results, capital requirements, general business conditions and other factors that our board of directors may deem relevant. As a result, capital appreciation, if any, of our common stock will be the sole source of gain for the foreseeable future.

 

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.

 

Subsequent to September 30, 2013, we sold 5,000,000 shares of our common stock at a price to the public of $13.00 per share in our IPO.  We received net proceeds of $57.9 million, after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions of $4.6 million and estimated expenses of $2.5 million payable by us.  None of the expenses associated with the IPO were paid to directors, officers, persons owning 10% or more of any class of our equity securities, or to their associates, or to our affiliates. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and Leerink Swann LLC acted as joint book-running managers and William Blair & Company, L.L.C. and Cowen and Company, LLC acted as co-managers for the offering.

 

The shares were registered under the Securities Act on a Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-191282), which was filed on September 20, 2013 and declared effective on October 29, 2013, and on a Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-1919782), which was filed on October 30, 2013 and was immediately effective.

 

Shares of our common stock began trading on The NASDAQ Global Market on October 30, 2013.

 

The IPO closed on November 4, 2013.  From the date of the closing through November 15, 2013, we have used a portion of the net proceeds from the sale of these securities to fund our operations, to make capital expenditures, for working capital and for other general corporate purposes.

 

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Item 6. Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number

 

Description

31.1

 

Principal Executive Officer’s Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes- Oxley Act of 2002

31.2

 

Principal Financial Officer’s Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

32.1*

 

Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 1350 (Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002)

32.2*

 

Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 1350 (Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002)

#101.INS

 

XBRL Instance Document

#101.SCH

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document

#101.CAL

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Document

#101.DEF

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document

#101.LAB

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document

#101.PRE

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document

 


*In accordance with Item 601(b)(32)(ii) of Regulation S-K and SEC Release No. 34-47986, the certifications furnished in Exhibits 32.1 and 32.2 hereto are deemed to accompany this Form 10-Q and will not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933 (the “Securities Act”) except to the extent that the registrant specifically incorporates it by reference.

 

# In accordance with Rule 406T of Regulation S-T, the information furnished in these exhibits will not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act.  Such exhibits will not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act except to the extent that the registrant specifically incorporates it by reference.

 

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SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

Date: November 25, 2013

 

 

 

 

VERACYTE

 

 

 

By:

/s/ Shelly D. Guyer

 

 

Shelly D. Guyer

 

 

Chief Financial Officer

 

 

Principal Financial and Accounting Officer

 

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Exhibit
Number

 

 Description

31.1

 

Principal Executive Officer’s Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes- Oxley Act of 2002

31.2

 

Principal Financial Officer’s Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

32.1*

 

Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 1350 (Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002)

32.2*

 

Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 1350 (Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002)

#101.INS

 

XBRL Instance Document

#101.SCH

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document

#101.CAL

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Document

#101.DEF

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document

#101.LAB

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document

#101.PRE

 

XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document

 


*In accordance with Item 601(b)(32)(ii) of Regulation S-K and SEC Release No. 34-47986, the certifications furnished in Exhibits 32.1 and 32.2 hereto are deemed to accompany this Form 10-Q and will not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933 (the “Securities Act”) except to the extent that the registrant specifically incorporates it by reference.

 

# In accordance with Rule 406T of Regulation S-T, the information furnished in these exhibits will not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act.  Such exhibits will not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act except to the extent that the registrant specifically incorporates it by reference.

 

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