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MGIC INVESTMENT CORP - Quarter Report: 2014 March (Form 10-Q)


FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

x
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2014
o
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                to ______              
Commission file number 1-10816
 
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

WISCONSIN
39-1486475
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
 
 
250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE
53202
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN
(Zip Code)
(Address of principal executive offices)
 

(414) 347-6480
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
 
 
YES   x                                NO  o
 
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
 
 
YES   x                                NO  o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer”, “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

Large accelerated filer  x
Accelerated filer  o
Non-accelerated filer  o
Smaller reporting company  o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
 
 
YES   o                                NO  x
 
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

CLASS OF STOCK
PAR VALUE
DATE
NUMBER OF SHARES
Common stock
$1.00
04/30/14
338,515,868



PART I.  FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1.  Financial Statements

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013
(Unaudited)

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
ASSETS
 
(In thousands)
 
Investment portfolio (notes 7 and 8):
 
   
 
Securities, available-for-sale, at fair value:
 
   
 
Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2014 - $4,803,526; 2013 - $4,948,543)
 
$
4,758,526
   
$
4,863,925
 
Equity securities
   
2,955
     
2,894
 
Total investment portfolio
   
4,761,481
     
4,866,819
 
Cash and cash equivalents
   
296,887
     
332,692
 
Restricted cash and cash equivalents (note 1)
   
17,444
     
17,440
 
Accrued investment income
   
31,811
     
31,660
 
Prepaid reinsurance premiums (note 4)
   
38,071
     
36,243
 
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves (note 4)
   
57,618
     
64,085
 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses (note 4)
   
9,031
     
10,425
 
Premium receivable
   
54,339
     
62,301
 
Home office and equipment, net
   
28,650
     
26,185
 
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
   
10,154
     
9,721
 
Other assets
   
159,509
     
143,819
 
Total assets
 
$
5,464,995
   
$
5,601,390
 
     
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Loss reserves (note 12)
 
$
2,834,559
   
$
3,061,401
 
Premium deficiency reserve (note 13)
   
43,288
     
48,461
 
Unearned premiums
   
160,097
     
154,479
 
Senior notes (note 3)
   
61,883
     
82,773
 
Convertible senior notes (note 3)
   
845,000
     
845,000
 
Convertible junior debentures (note 3)
   
389,522
     
389,522
 
Other liabilities
   
289,931
     
275,216
 
Total liabilities
   
4,624,280
     
4,856,852
 
 
               
Contingencies (note 5)
               
 
               
Shareholders' equity (note 14):
               
Common stock (one dollar par value, shares authorized 1,000,000; shares issued 2014 and 2013 - 340,047; shares outstanding 2014 - 338,516; 2013 - 337,758)
   
340,047
     
340,047
 
Paid-in capital
   
1,657,360
     
1,661,269
 
Treasury stock (shares at cost 2014 - 1,531; 2013 - 2,289)
   
(33,905
)
   
(64,435
)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of tax (note 9)
   
(78,361
)
   
(117,726
)
Retained deficit
   
(1,044,426
)
   
(1,074,617
)
Total shareholders' equity
   
840,715
     
744,538
 
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
 
$
5,464,995
   
$
5,601,390
 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
2

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months Ended March 31, 2014 and 2013
(Unaudited)

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
Revenues:
 
(In thousands, except per share data)
 
Premiums written:
 
   
 
Direct
 
$
244,189
   
$
254,547
 
Assumed
   
451
     
551
 
Ceded (note 4)
   
(26,620
)
   
(6,598
)
Net premiums written
   
218,020
     
248,500
 
Increase in unearned premiums, net
   
(3,759
)
   
(1,441
)
Net premiums earned
   
214,261
     
247,059
 
Investment income, net of expenses
   
20,156
     
18,328
 
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
   
(231
)
   
1,259
 
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses
   
-
     
-
 
Portion of losses recognized in other comprehensive income, before taxes
   
-
     
-
 
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings
   
-
     
-
 
Other revenue
   
896
     
2,539
 
Total revenues
   
235,082
     
269,185
 
 
               
Losses and expenses:
               
Losses incurred, net (note 12)
   
122,608
     
266,208
 
Change in premium deficiency reserve (note 13)
   
(5,173
)
   
(1,650
)
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
   
1,419
     
1,697
 
Other underwriting and operating expenses, net
   
37,981
     
48,315
 
Interest expense (note 3)
   
17,539
     
26,406
 
Total losses and expenses
   
174,374
     
340,976
 
Income (loss) before tax
   
60,708
     
(71,791
)
Provision for income taxes (note 11)
   
726
     
1,139
 
 
               
Net income (loss)
 
$
59,982
   
$
(72,930
)
 
               
Income (loss) per share (note 6):
               
Basic
 
$
0.18
   
$
(0.31
)
Diluted
 
$
0.15
   
$
(0.31
)
 
               
Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic (note 6)
   
338,213
     
232,348
 
 
               
Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted (note 6)
   
413,180
     
232,348
 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

3

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Three Months Ended March 31, 2014 and 2013
(Unaudited)

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
 
Net income (loss)
 
$
59,982
   
$
(72,930
)
 
               
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax (note 9):
               
 
               
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses (note 7)
   
39,598
     
(9,954
)
 
               
Benefit plan adjustments
   
(1,486
)
   
-
 
 
               
Foreign currency translation adjustment
   
1,253
     
316
 
 
               
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
   
39,365
     
(9,638
)
 
               
Comprehensive income (loss)
 
$
99,347
   
$
(82,568
)

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
4

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED  STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Year Ended December 31, 2013 and Three Months Ended March 31, 2014
(Unaudited)

 
 
   
   
   
Accumulated
   
 
 
 
   
   
   
other
   
 
 
 
Common
   
Paid-in
   
Treasury
   
comprehensive
   
Accumulated
 
 
 
stock
   
capital
   
stock
   
income (loss)
   
deficit
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
   
 
Balance, December 31, 2012
 
$
205,047
   
$
1,135,296
   
$
(104,959
)
 
$
(48,163
)
 
$
(990,281
)
 
                                       
Net loss
                                   
(49,848
)
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
(123,591
)
   
-
 
Common stock issuance (note 14)
   
135,000
     
528,335
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Reissuance of treasury stock, net
   
-
     
(7,892
)
   
40,524
     
-
     
(34,488
)
Equity compensation
   
-
     
5,530
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Benefit plan adjustments
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
68,038
     
-
 
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
(14,010
)
   
-
 
 
                                       
Balance, December 31, 2013
 
$
340,047
   
$
1,661,269
   
$
(64,435
)
 
$
(117,726
)
 
$
(1,074,617
)
 
                                       
Net income
                                   
59,982
 
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net (note 7)
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
39,598
     
-
 
Reissuance of treasury stock, net
   
-
     
(5,712
)
   
30,530
     
-
     
(29,791
)
Equity compensation
   
-
     
1,803
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Benefit plan adjustments
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
(1,486
)
   
-
 
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
1,253
     
-
 
 
                                       
Balance, March 31, 2014
 
$
340,047
   
$
1,657,360
   
$
(33,905
)
 
$
(78,361
)
 
$
(1,044,426
)

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
5

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Three Months Ended March 31, 2014 and 2013
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
March 31,
 
 
   
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Cash flows from operating activities:
 
   
 
Net income (loss)
 
$
59,982
   
$
(72,930
)
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities:
               
Depreciation and other amortization
   
14,765
     
22,858
 
Deferred tax benefit
   
(86
)
   
(8
)
Realized investment losses (gains), excluding impairment losses
   
231
     
(1,259
)
Loss on repurchases of senior notes
   
837
     
-
 
Other
   
(22,218
)
   
6,256
 
Change in certain assets and liabilities:
               
Accrued investment income
   
(151
)
   
(4,047
)
Prepaid reinsurance premium
   
(1,828
)
   
79
 
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves
   
6,467
     
8,669
 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses
   
1,394
     
2,322
 
Premium receivable
   
7,962
     
(4,813
)
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
   
(433
)
   
(963
)
Loss reserves
   
(226,842
)
   
(208,495
)
Premium deficiency reserve
   
(5,173
)
   
(1,650
)
Unearned premiums
   
5,618
     
1,373
 
Income taxes payable (current)
   
548
     
899
 
Net cash used in operating activities
   
(158,927
)
   
(251,709
)
 
               
Cash flows from investing activities:
               
Purchase of fixed maturities
   
(582,261
)
   
(975,555
)
Purchase of equity securities
   
(19
)
   
(18
)
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities
   
419,293
     
361,119
 
Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities
   
295,188
     
282,701
 
Net increase in payable for securities
   
12,692
     
43,435
 
Net change in restricted cash
   
(4
)
   
-
 
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities
   
144,889
     
(288,318
)
 
               
Cash flows from financing activities:
               
Net proceeds from convertible senior notes
   
-
     
484,670
 
Common stock shares issued
   
-
     
663,542
 
Repurchases of long-term debt
   
(21,767
)
   
-
 
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
   
(21,767
)
   
1,148,212
 
 
               
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
   
(35,805
)
   
608,185
 
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
   
332,692
     
1,027,625
 
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
 
$
296,887
   
$
1,635,810
 
 
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
6

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
March 31, 2014
(Unaudited)

Note 1 – Nature of Business and Basis of Presentation

MGIC Investment Corporation is a holding company which, through Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation ("MGIC"), MGIC Indemnity Corporation (“MIC”) and several other subsidiaries, is principally engaged in the mortgage insurance business.  We provide mortgage insurance to lenders throughout the United States and to government sponsored entities (“GSEs”) to protect against loss from defaults on low down payment residential mortgage loans.

The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q as prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) for interim reporting and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). These statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2013 included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K. As used below, “we,” “our” and “us” refer to MGIC Investment Corporation’s consolidated operations or to MGIC Investment Corporation, as the context requires.

In the opinion of management the accompanying financial statements include all adjustments, consisting primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to fairly state our financial position and results of operations for the periods indicated. The results of operations for the interim period may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2014.

Capital - GSEs

Since 2008, substantially all of our insurance written has been for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the “GSEs”), each of which has mortgage insurer eligibility requirements to maintain the highest level of eligibility. The existing eligibility requirements include a minimum financial strength rating of Aa3/AA-. Because MGIC does not meet such financial strength rating requirements (its financial strength rating from Moody’s is Ba3 (with a stable outlook) and from Standard & Poor’s is BB (with a positive outlook)), MGIC is currently operating with each GSE as an eligible insurer under a remediation plan. We believe that the GSEs view remediation plans as a continuing process of interaction with a mortgage insurer and MGIC will continue to operate under a remediation plan for the foreseeable future. The GSEs may include new eligibility requirements as part of our current remediation plan. There can be no assurance that MGIC will be able to continue to operate as an eligible mortgage insurer under a remediation plan.

The GSEs previously advised us that, at the direction of their conservator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”), they will be revising the eligibility requirements for all mortgage insurers. We expect the revised eligibility standards to include new counterparty financial requirements (the “GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements”). Prior to publicly releasing the draft of the revised eligibility requirements, the FHFA is allowing state insurance regulators a period of time in which to review them on a confidential basis. After considering any changes suggested by the state insurance regulators, the FHFA is expected to release the draft eligibility requirements for public input, which could occur as early as the second quarter of 2014. We have not been informed of the content of the new eligibility requirements, their timeframes for effectiveness, or the length of the public input period.
7

We have various alternatives available to improve our existing risk-to-capital position, including contributing additional funds that are on hand today from our holding company to MGIC, entering into additional external reinsurance transactions, seeking approval to write business in MIC and raising additional capital, which could be contributed to MGIC. While there can be no assurance that MGIC would meet the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements by their effective date, we believe we could implement one or more of these alternatives so that we would continue to be an eligible mortgage insurer after the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements are fully effective. If MGIC (or MIC, under certain circumstances) ceases to be eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would significantly reduce the volume of our new business writings.

See additional disclosure regarding statutory capital in Note 15 – “Statutory Capital.”

Reclassifications

Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to 2013 amounts to conform to 2014 presentation.

Restricted cash and cash equivalents

During the second quarter of 2013, approximately $60.3 million was placed in escrow in connection with the two agreements we entered into to resolve our dispute with Countrywide Home Loans (“CHL”) and its affiliate, Bank of America, N.A., as successor to Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP (“BANA” and collectively with CHL, “Countrywide”) regarding rescissions. In the fourth quarter of 2013, approximately $42.9 million was released from escrow in connection with the BANA agreement. At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, approximately $17.4 million remains in escrow in connection with the CHL agreement. See additional discussion of these settlement agreements in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies.”

Subsequent events

We have considered subsequent events through the date of this filing.

Note 2 - New Accounting Guidance

In July 2013, the FASB issued an update to the accounting standard regarding income taxes. This update provides guidance concerning the balance sheet presentation of an unrecognized tax benefit when a net operating loss carryforward or a tax credit carryforward (the “Carryforwards”) is available. This accounting standard requires an entity to net its liability related to unrecognized tax benefits against the related deferred tax assets for the Carryforwards. A gross presentation will be required when the Carryforwards are not available under the tax law of the applicable jurisdiction or when the Carryforwards would not be used by the entity to settle any additional income taxes resulting from disallowance of the uncertain tax position. This update is effective for fiscal years and interim periods within such years beginning after December 15, 2013. We are currently in compliance with this new guidance. It did not have a significant impact on our consolidated financial statements and disclosures.

8

Note 3 – Debt

5.375% Senior Notes – due November 2015

At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 we had outstanding $62.0 million and $82.9 million, respectively, of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015. In February 2014, we repurchased $20.9 million in par value of these notes at a cost slightly above par. Interest on these notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on May 1 and November 1 of each year. The description of these Senior Notes, included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, is not intended to be complete in all respects. Moreover, the description is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the notes, which are contained in the Indenture, dated as of October 15, 2000, between us and U.S. Bank, National Association, as trustee, and in an Officer's Certificate dated as of October 4, 2005, which specifies the interest rate, maturity date and other terms of the Senior Notes.

There were no scheduled interest payments on the Senior Notes for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, respectively. In the first quarter of 2014, we paid $0.3 million in interest related to our repurchase discussed above.

5% Convertible Senior Notes – due May 2017

At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 we had outstanding $345 million principal amount of 5% Convertible Senior Notes due in May 2017. Interest on the 5% Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on May 1 and November 1 of each year.
 
The 5% Notes are convertible, at the holder's option, at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.4186 shares per $1,000 principal amount at any time prior to the maturity date. This represents an initial conversion price of approximately $13.44 per share. These 5% Notes will be equal in right of payment to our other senior debt, discussed above, and will be senior in right of payment to our existing Convertible Junior Debentures, discussed below. Debt issuance costs are being amortized to interest expense over the contractual life of the 5% Notes. The provisions of the 5% Notes are complex. The description of these 5% Notes, included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, is not intended to be complete in all respects. Moreover, that description is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the notes, which are contained in the Supplemental Indenture, dated as of April 26, 2010, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, and the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000, between us and the trustee.

There were no scheduled interest payments on the 5% Notes for the three months ended March 31, 2014 or 2013.
9

2% Convertible Senior Notes – due April 2020

At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, we had outstanding $500 million principal amount of 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020 which we issued in March 2013. We received net proceeds of approximately $484.6 million after deducting underwriting discount and offering expenses. Interest on the 2% Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year. The 2% Notes will mature on April 1, 2020, unless earlier repurchased by us or converted. Prior to January 1, 2020, the 2% Convertible Senior Notes are convertible only upon satisfaction of one or more conditions. One such condition is that during any calendar quarter commencing after March 31, 2014, the last reported sale price of our common stock for each of at least 20 trading days during the 30 consecutive trading days ending on, and including, the last trading day of the immediately preceding calendar quarter be greater than or equal to 130% of the applicable conversion price on each applicable trading day. The notes are convertible at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 143.8332 shares per $1,000 principal amount. This represents an initial conversion price of approximately $6.95 per share. 130% of such conversion price is $9.03. On or after January 1, 2020, holders may convert their notes irrespective of satisfaction of the conditions. These 2% Notes will be equal in right of payment to our other senior debt and will be senior in right of payment to our existing Convertible Junior Debentures. Debt issuance costs are being amortized to interest expense over the contractual life of the 2% Notes. Prior to April 10, 2017, the notes will not be redeemable. On any business day on or after April 10, 2017 we may redeem for cash all or part of the notes, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes being redeemed, plus any accrued and unpaid interest, if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds 130% of the then prevailing conversion price of the notes for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption.

The provisions of the 2% Notes are complex. The description of these 2% Notes, included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, is not intended to be complete in all respects. Moreover, that description is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the notes, which are contained in the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated March 12, 2013, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, and the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000, between us and the trustee.

There were no scheduled interest payments on the 2% Notes for the three months ended March 31, 2014 or 2013.

9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures – due April 2063

At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 we had outstanding $389.5 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063 (the “debentures”). The debentures rank junior to all of our existing and future senior indebtedness.

Interest on the debentures is payable semi-annually in arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year. As long as no event of default with respect to the debentures has occurred and is continuing, we may defer interest, under an optional deferral provision, for one or more consecutive interest periods up to ten years without giving rise to an event of default. Deferred interest will accrue additional interest at the rate then applicable to the debentures. During an optional deferral period we may not pay or declare dividends on our common stock.

Interest on the debentures that would have been payable on the scheduled interest payment date of October 1, 2012 had been deferred. During the deferral period the deferred interest continued to accrue and compound semi-annually at an annual rate of 9%.

On April 1, 2013 we paid the deferred interest payment, including the compound interest. The interest payment, totaling approximately $18.3 million, was made from the net proceeds of our March 2013 common stock offering. We also paid the regular April 1, 2013 interest payment due on the debentures of approximately $17.5 million, and we remain current on all interest payments due. We continue to have the right to defer interest that is payable on subsequent scheduled interest payment dates. Any deferral of such interest would be on terms equivalent to those described above.
10

The provisions of the debentures are complex. The description of these debentures, included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, is not intended to be complete in all respects. Moreover, that description is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the debentures, which are contained in the Indenture, dated as of March 28, 2008, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee.

We may redeem the debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the debentures being redeemed, plus any accrued and unpaid interest, if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds 130% of the then prevailing conversion price of the debentures for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption.

The debentures are currently convertible, at the holder's option, at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures at any time prior to the maturity date. This represents an initial conversion price of approximately $13.50 per share. If a holder elects to convert their debentures, deferred interest owed on the debentures being converted is also converted into shares of our common stock. The conversion rate for any deferred interest is based on the average price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period immediately prior to the election to convert. In lieu of issuing shares of common stock upon conversion of the debentures, we may, at our option, make a cash payment to converting holders for all or some of the shares of our common stock otherwise issuable upon conversion.

There were no scheduled interest payments on the debentures for the three months ended March 31, 2014 or 2013.
11

All debt

The par value and fair value of our debt at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 appears in the table below.

 
 
 
 
 
Par Value
   
 
 
Total Fair
Value
   
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets (Level 1)
   
Significant
Other Observable
 Inputs
(Level 2)
   
Significant
 Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
March 31, 2014
 
   
   
   
   
 
Liabilities:
 
   
   
   
   
 
Senior Notes
 
$
61,953
   
$
64,121
   
$
64,121
   
$
-
   
$
-
 
Convertible Senior Notes due 2017
   
345,000
     
397,599
     
397,599
     
-
     
-
 
Convertible Senior Notes due 2020
   
500,000
     
703,815
     
703,815
     
-
     
-
 
Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures
   
389,522
      464,018      
-
     
464,018
     
-
 
Total Debt
 
$
1,296,475
   
$
1,629,553
   
$
1,165,535
   
$
464,018
   
$
-
 
 
                                       
December 31, 2013
                                       
Liabilities:
                                       
Senior Notes
 
$
82,883
   
$
85,991
   
$
85,991
   
$
-
   
$
-
 
Convertible Senior Notes due 2017
   
345,000
     
388,988
     
388,988
     
-
     
-
 
Convertible Senior Notes due 2020
   
500,000
     
685,625
     
685,625
     
-
     
-
 
Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures
   
389,522
     
439,186
     
-
     
439,186
     
-
 
Total Debt
 
$
1,317,405
   
$
1,599,790
   
$
1,160,604
   
$
439,186
   
$
-
 

The fair value of our Senior Notes and Convertible Senior Notes was determined using publicly available trade information and are considered Level 1 securities as described in Note 8 – “Fair Value Measurements.” The fair value of our debentures was determined using available pricing for these debentures or similar instruments and are considered Level 2 securities as described in Note 8 – “Fair Value Measurements.”

The Senior Notes, Convertible Senior Notes and Convertible Junior Debentures are obligations of our holding company, MGIC Investment Corporation, and not of its subsidiaries. At March 31, 2014, we had approximately $542 million in cash and investments at our holding company. The net unrealized losses on our holding company investment portfolio were approximately $7.1 million at March 31, 2014. The modified duration of the holding company investment portfolio, excluding cash and cash equivalents, was 3.4 years at March 31, 2014.
12

Note 4 – Reinsurance

In April 2013, we entered into a quota share reinsurance agreement with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers that are not captive reinsurers. These reinsurers primarily have a rating of A or better by Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s Rating Services or both. This reinsurance agreement applies to new insurance written between April 1, 2013 and December 31, 2015 (with certain exclusions) and covers incurred losses, with renewal premium through December 31, 2018, at which time the agreement terminates. Early termination of the agreement prior to December 31, 2018 is possible under specified scenarios. The structure of the reinsurance agreement is a 30% quota share, with a 20% ceding commission as well as a profit commission. In December 2013, we entered into an Addendum to the quota share reinsurance agreement that applies to certain insurance written before April 1, 2013 that has never been delinquent. The structure of the quota share reinsurance agreement remained the same, with the exception that the business written before April 1, 2013 is a 40% quota share. Under the Addendum, policies for which premium was received but unearned as of December 31, 2013 were ceded.
 
As of March 31, 2014, we have accrued a profit commission receivable of $24.6 million, which is included in "Other assets" on our consolidated balance sheet. This receivable could increase materially through the term of the agreement, but the ultimate amount of the commission will depend on the ultimate level of premiums earned and losses incurred under the agreement. Any profit commission would be paid to us upon termination of the reinsurance agreement.

The reinsurers are required to maintain trust funds or letters of credit to support recoverable balances for reinsurance, such as loss reserves, paid losses, prepaid reinsurance premiums and profit commissions.  As such forms of collateral are in place, we have not established an allowance against these balances.

In the past, MGIC had also obtained captive reinsurance. In a captive reinsurance arrangement, the reinsurer is affiliated with the lender for whom MGIC provides mortgage insurance. As part of our settlement with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) discussed in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies”, MGIC and the three other mortgage insurers agreed that they would not enter into any new captive reinsurance agreement or reinsure any new loans under any existing captive reinsurance agreement for a period of ten years. In accordance with this settlement, all of our active captive arrangements have been placed into run-off.

Captive agreements were written on an annual book of business and the captives are required to maintain a separate trust account to support the combined reinsured risk on all annual books. MGIC is the sole beneficiary of the trust, and the trust account is made up of capital deposits by the lender captive, premium deposits by MGIC, and investment income earned.  These amounts are held in the trust account and are available to pay reinsured losses. The reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves related to captive agreements was $55 million at March 31, 2014 which was supported by $217 million of trust assets, while at December 31, 2013, the reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves related to captives was $64 million which was supported by $226 million of trust assets. At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 there was an additional $23 million of trust assets in captive agreements where there was no related reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves. See Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies” for a discussion of requests or subpoenas for information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements.

A summary of the effect of our reinsurance agreements on our results for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 appears below.

13

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
 
Ceded premiums written, net of profit commission
 
$
26,620
   
$
6,598
 
 
               
Ceded premiums earned, net of profit commission
   
24,562
     
6,407
 
 
               
Ceded losses incurred
   
6,384
     
10,913
 
 
               
Ceding commissions
   
9,133
     
537
 
 
Note 5 – Litigation and Contingencies

Before paying a claim, we review the loan and servicing files to determine the appropriateness of the claim amount. All of our insurance policies provide that we can reduce or deny a claim if the servicer did not comply with its obligations under our insurance policy, including the requirement to mitigate our loss by performing reasonable loss mitigation efforts or, for example, diligently pursuing a foreclosure or bankruptcy relief in a timely manner. We call such reduction of claims submitted to us “curtailments.” In 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, curtailments reduced our average claim paid by approximately 5.8% and 5.9%, respectively. In addition, the claims submitted to us sometimes include costs and expenses not covered by our insurance policies, such as hazard insurance premiums for periods after the claim date and losses resulting from property damage that has not been repaired. These other adjustments reduced claim amounts by less than the amount of curtailments. After we pay a claim, servicers and insureds sometimes object to our curtailments and other adjustments. We review these objections if they are sent to us within 90 days after the claim was paid.

When reviewing the loan file associated with a claim, we may determine that we have the right to rescind coverage on the loan. Prior to 2008, rescissions of coverage on loans were not a material portion of our claims resolved during a year. However, beginning in 2008, our rescissions of coverage on loans have materially mitigated our paid losses. In 2009 through 2011, rescissions mitigated our paid losses in the aggregate by approximately $3.0 billion; and in 2012, 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, rescissions mitigated our paid losses by approximately $0.3 billion, $135 million and $26 million, respectively (in each case, the figure includes amounts that would have either resulted in a claim payment or been charged to a deductible under a bulk or pool policy, and may have been charged to a captive reinsurer). In recent quarters, approximately 5% of claims received in a quarter have been resolved by rescissions, down from the peak of approximately 28% in the first half of 2009.

14

We estimate rescissions mitigated our incurred losses by approximately $2.5 billion in 2009 and $0.2 billion in 2010. These figures include the benefit of claims not paid in the period as well as the impact of changes in our estimated expected rescission activity on our loss reserves in the period. In 2012, we estimate that our rescission benefit in loss reserves was reduced by $0.2 billion due to probable rescission settlement agreements. We estimate that other rescissions had no significant impact on our losses incurred in 2011 through the first quarter of 2014. At March 31, 2014, we estimate that our total loss reserves were benefited from anticipated rescissions by approximately $70 million. Our loss reserving methodology incorporates our estimates of future rescissions and reversals of rescissions. Historically, reversals of rescissions have been immaterial. A variance between ultimate actual rescission and reversal rates and our estimates, as a result of the outcome of litigation, settlements or other factors, could materially affect our losses.

If the insured disputes our right to rescind coverage, we generally engage in discussions in an attempt to settle the dispute. As part of those discussions, we may voluntarily suspend rescissions we believe may be part of a settlement. In 2011, Freddie Mac advised its servicers that they must obtain its prior approval for rescission settlements, Fannie Mae advised its servicers that they are prohibited from entering into such settlements and Fannie Mae notified us that we must obtain its prior approval to enter into certain settlements. Since those announcements, the GSEs have consented to our settlement agreements with two customers, one of which is Countrywide, as discussed below, and have rejected other settlement agreements. We have reached and implemented settlement agreements that do not require GSE approval, but they have not been material in the aggregate.

If we are unable to reach a settlement, the outcome of the dispute ultimately would be determined by legal proceedings. Under our policies, legal proceedings disputing our right to rescind coverage may be brought up to three years after the lender has obtained title to the property (typically through a foreclosure) or the property was sold in a sale that we approved, whichever is applicable, although in a few jurisdictions there is a longer time to bring such an action. As of March 31, 2014, the period in which a dispute may be brought has not ended for approximately 26% of our post-2008 rescissions that are not subject to a settlement agreement.

Until a liability associated with a settlement agreement or litigation becomes probable and can be reasonably estimated, we consider our claim payment or rescission resolved for financial reporting purposes even though discussions and legal proceedings have been initiated and are ongoing. Under ASC 450-20, an estimated loss from such discussions and proceedings is accrued for only if we determine that the loss is probable and can be reasonably estimated.

Since December 2009, we have been involved in legal proceedings with Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. (“CHL”) and its affiliate, Bank of America, N.A., as successor to Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP (“BANA” and collectively with CHL, “Countrywide”) in which Countrywide alleged that MGIC denied valid mortgage insurance claims. (In our SEC reports, we refer to insurance rescissions and denials of claims collectively as “rescissions” and variations of that term.) In addition to the claim amounts it alleged MGIC had improperly denied, Countrywide contended it was entitled to other damages of almost $700 million as well as exemplary damages. We sought a determination in those proceedings that we were entitled to rescind coverage on the applicable loans.

15

In April 2013, MGIC entered into separate settlement agreements with CHL and BANA, pursuant to which the parties will settle the Countrywide litigation as it relates to MGIC’s rescission practices (as amended, the “Agreements”). The Agreement with BANA covers loans purchased by the GSEs. That Agreement was implemented beginning in November 2013 and we resolved all related suspended rescissions in November and December 2013 by paying the associated claim or processing the rescission. The pending arbitration proceedings concerning the loans covered by that agreement have been dismissed, the mutual releases between the parties regarding such loans have become effective and the litigation between the parties regarding such loans is to be dismissed.

The Agreement with CHL covers loans that were purchased by non-GSE investors, including securitization trusts (the “other investors”). That Agreement will be implemented only as and to the extent that it is consented to by or on behalf of the other investors, and any such implementation is expected to occur later in 2014. While there can be no assurance that the Agreement with CHL will be implemented, we have determined that its implementation is probable.

We recorded the estimated impact of the Agreements and another probable settlement in our financial statements for the quarter ending December 31, 2012. We have also recorded the estimated impact of other probable settlements, which in the aggregate have not been material. The estimated impact that we recorded is our best estimate of our loss from these matters. We estimate that the maximum exposure above the best estimate provision we recorded is $484 million, of which about 50% is from rescission practices subject to the Agreement with CHL. If we are not able to implement the Agreement with CHL or the other settlements we consider probable, we intend to defend MGIC vigorously against any related legal proceedings.

The flow policies at issue with Countrywide are in the same form as the flow policies that we used with all of our customers during the period covered by the Agreements, and the bulk policies at issue vary from one another, but are generally similar to those used in the majority of our Wall Street bulk transactions.

We are involved in discussions and legal and consensual proceedings with customers with respect to our claims paying practices that are collectively material in amount. These include a previously disclosed curtailment dispute with Countrywide that is in a mediation process. Although it is reasonably possible that, when these discussions or proceedings are completed, we will not prevail in all cases, we are unable to make a reasonable estimate or range of estimates of the potential liability. We estimate the maximum exposure associated with these discussions and proceedings to be approximately $266 million, although we believe we will ultimately resolve these matters for significantly less than this amount.

The estimates of our maximum exposure referred to above do not include interest or consequential or exemplary damages.

Consumers continue to bring lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. Mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGIC’s settlement of class action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs’ claims in litigation against it under FCRA in December 2004, following denial of class certification in June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation has been brought against a number of large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. Beginning in December 2011, MGIC, together with various mortgage lenders and other mortgage insurers, has been named as a defendant in twelve lawsuits, alleged to be class actions, filed in various U.S. District Courts. Seven of those cases have previously been dismissed without any further opportunity to appeal. The complaints in all of the cases allege various causes of action related to the captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements of the mortgage lenders, including that the lenders’ captive reinsurers received excessive premiums in relation to the risk assumed by those captives thereby violating RESPA. MGIC denies any wrongdoing and intends to vigorously defend itself against the allegations in the lawsuits. There can be no assurance that we will not be subject to further litigation under RESPA (or FCRA) or that the outcome of any such litigation, including the lawsuits mentioned above, would not have a material adverse effect on us.

16

In 2013, the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida approved a settlement with the CFPB that resolved a federal investigation of MGIC’s participation in captive reinsurance arrangements in the mortgage insurance industry. The settlement concluded the investigation with respect to MGIC without the CFPB or the court making any findings of wrongdoing. As part of the settlement, MGIC agreed that it would not enter into any new captive reinsurance agreement or reinsure any new loans under any existing captive reinsurance agreement for a period of ten years. MGIC had voluntarily suspended most of its captive arrangements in 2008 in response to market conditions and GSE requests. In connection with the settlement, MGIC paid a civil penalty of $2.65 million and the court issued an injunction prohibiting MGIC from violating any provisions of RESPA.

We received requests from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the “MN Department”) beginning in February 2006 regarding captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters in response to which MGIC has provided information on several occasions, including as recently as May 2011. In August 2013, MGIC and several competitors received a draft Consent Order from the MN Department containing proposed conditions to resolve its investigation, including unspecified penalties. We are engaged in discussions with the MN Department regarding the draft Consent Order.  We also received a request in June 2005 from the New York Department of Financial Services for information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about, investigate, or seek remedies regarding captive mortgage reinsurance.

Various regulators, including the CFPB, state insurance commissioners and state attorneys general may bring actions seeking various forms of relief in connection with violations of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our practices are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the eventual scope, duration or outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry.

We are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by state insurance departments. These regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders, rather than for the benefit of investors. Although their scope varies, state insurance laws generally grant broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business. Given the recent significant losses incurred by many insurers in the mortgage and financial guaranty industries, our insurance subsidiaries have been subject to heightened scrutiny by insurance regulators. State insurance regulatory authorities could take actions, including changes in capital requirements or termination of waivers of capital requirements, that could have a material adverse effect on us. In early 2013, the CFPB issued rules to implement laws requiring mortgage lenders to make ability-to-repay determinations prior to extending credit. We are uncertain whether the CFPB will issue any other rules or regulations that affect our business. Such rules and regulations could have a material adverse effect on us.

17

In December 2013, the U.S. Treasury Department’s Federal Insurance Office released a report that calls for federal standards and oversight for mortgage insurers to be developed and implemented. It is uncertain what form the standards and oversight will take and when they will become effective.

We understand several law firms have, among other things, issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating us, including whether the fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plan’s investment in or holding of our common stock or whether we breached other legal or fiduciary obligations to our shareholders. We intend to defend vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers and 401(k) plan fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them.

A non-insurance subsidiary of our holding company is a shareholder of the corporation that operates the Mortgage Electronic Registration System (“MERS”).  Our subsidiary, as a shareholder of MERS, has been named as a defendant (along with MERS and its other shareholders) in eight lawsuits asserting various causes of action arising from allegedly improper recording and foreclosure activities by MERS. Seven of these lawsuits have been dismissed without any further opportunity to appeal.  The remaining lawsuit had also been dismissed by the U.S. District Court, however, the plaintiff in that lawsuit filed a motion for reconsideration by the U.S. District Court and to certify a related question of law to the Supreme Court of the State in which the U.S. District Court is located. In April 2014, that motion for reconsideration was denied, however, the plaintiff may appeal. The damages sought in this remaining case are substantial. We deny any wrongdoing and intend to defend ourselves vigorously against the allegations in the lawsuits.

In addition to the matters described above, we are involved in other legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business. In our opinion, based on the facts known at this time, the ultimate resolution of these ordinary course legal proceedings will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations.

Through a non-insurance subsidiary, we utilize our underwriting skills to provide an outsourced underwriting service to our customers known as contract underwriting. As part of the contract underwriting activities, that subsidiary is responsible for the quality of the underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. That subsidiary may be required to provide certain remedies to its customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are not met, and we have an established reserve for such future obligations. Claims for remedies may be made a number of years after the underwriting work was performed. Beginning in the second half of 2009, our subsidiary experienced an increase in claims for contract underwriting remedies, which continued throughout 2012. The underwriting remedy expense for 2013 and the first quarter of 2014 was approximately $5 million and $2 million, respectively, but may increase in the future.

See Note 11 – “Income Taxes” for a description of federal income tax contingencies.

18

Note 6 – Earnings (Loss) per Share

Our basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding, which excludes participating securities of 1.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2013 because they were anti-dilutive due to our reported net loss. Participating securities of 0.1 million were included in our weighted average number of common shares outstanding for the three months ended March 31, 2014. Typically, diluted EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding plus common stock equivalents which include certain stock awards and the dilutive effect of our convertible debt. In accordance with accounting guidance, if we report a net loss from continuing operations then our diluted EPS is computed in the same manner as the basic EPS. In addition if any common stock equivalents are anti-dilutive they are excluded from the calculation. The following includes a reconciliation of the weighted average number of shares; however for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 common stock equivalents of 54.5 million and 77.3 million, respectively, were not included because they were anti-dilutive.

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands, except per share data)
 
 
 
   
 
Basic earnings per share:
 
   
 
 
 
   
 
Net income (loss)
 
$
59,982
   
$
(72,930
)
 
               
Weighted average common shares outstanding
   
338,213
     
232,348
 
Basic income (loss) per share
 
$
0.18
   
$
(0.31
)
 
               
Diluted earnings per share:
               
 
               
Net income (loss)
 
$
59,982
   
$
(72,930
)
 
               
Effect of dilutive securities:
               
2% Convertible Senior Notes
   
3,049
     
-
 
 
               
Net income (loss) plus assumed conversions
 
$
63,031
   
$
(72,930
)
 
               
Weighted-average shares - Basic
   
338,213
     
232,348
 
Common stock equivalents
   
74,967
     
-
 
 
               
Weighted-average shares - Diluted
   
413,180
     
232,348
 
Diluted income (loss) per share
 
$
0.15
   
$
(0.31
)

19

Note 7 – Investments

The amortized cost, gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value of the investment portfolio at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 are shown below.

 
 
   
Gross
   
Gross
   
 
 
 
Amortized
   
Unrealized
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
 
March 31, 2014
 
Cost
   
Gains
   
Losses (1)
   
Value
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S.government corporations and agencies
 
$
550,477
   
$
1,649
   
$
(17,078
)
 
$
535,048
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
906,385
     
8,232
     
(8,490
)
   
906,127
 
Corporate debt securities
   
2,192,333
     
9,038
     
(16,621
)
   
2,184,750
 
Asset-backed securities
   
392,435
     
1,317
     
(241
)
   
393,511
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
373,314
     
141
     
(19,930
)
   
353,525
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
286,323
     
569
     
(4,331
)
   
282,561
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
61,337
     
-
     
(903
)
   
60,434
 
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
40,922
     
1,885
     
(237
)
   
42,570
 
Total debt securities
   
4,803,526
     
22,831
     
(67,831
)
   
4,758,526
 
Equity securities
   
2,928
     
38
     
(11
)
   
2,955
 
 
                               
Total investment portfolio
 
$
4,806,454
   
$
22,869
   
$
(67,842
)
 
$
4,761,481
 

 
 
   
Gross
   
Gross
   
 
 
 
Amortized
   
Unrealized
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
 
December 31, 2013
 
Cost
   
Gains
   
Losses (1)
   
Value
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
 
$
663,642
   
$
1,469
   
$
(25,521
)
 
$
639,590
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
932,922
     
5,865
     
(17,420
)
   
921,367
 
Corporate debt securities
   
2,190,095
     
6,313
     
(24,993
)
   
2,171,415
 
Asset-backed securities
   
399,839
     
1,100
     
(453
)
   
400,486
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
383,368
     
146
     
(24,977
)
   
358,537
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
277,920
     
131
     
(6,668
)
   
271,383
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
61,337
     
-
     
(1,042
)
   
60,295
 
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
39,420
     
1,722
     
(290
)
   
40,852
 
Total debt securities
   
4,948,543
     
16,746
     
(101,364
)
   
4,863,925
 
Equity securities
   
2,908
     
9
     
(23
)
   
2,894
 
 
                               
Total investment portfolio
 
$
4,951,451
   
$
16,755
   
$
(101,387
)
 
$
4,866,819
 
 
(1) At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, there were no other-than-temporary impairment losses recorded in other comprehensive income.
20

Our foreign investments primarily consist of the investment portfolio supporting our Australian domiciled subsidiary. This portfolio is comprised of Australian government and semi government securities, representing 85% of the market value of our foreign investments with the remaining 11% invested in corporate securities and 4% in cash equivalents. Seventy-eight percent of the Australian portfolio is rated AAA, by one or more of Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings, and the remaining 22% is rated AA.

The amortized cost and fair values of debt securities at March 31, 2014, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.  Because most asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities and collateralized loan obligations provide for periodic payments throughout their lives, they are listed below in separate categories.

 
 
Amortized
   
Fair
 
March 31, 2014
 
Cost
   
Value
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
 
Due in one year or less
 
$
609,374
   
$
610,697
 
Due after one year through five years
   
1,842,541
     
1,847,304
 
Due after five years through ten years
   
779,379
     
765,534
 
Due after ten years
   
458,823
     
444,960
 
 
               
 
 
$
3,690,117
   
$
3,668,495
 
 
               
Asset-backed securities
   
392,435
     
393,511
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
373,314
     
353,525
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
286,323
     
282,561
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
61,337
     
60,434
 
 
               
Total at March 31, 2014
 
$
4,803,526
   
$
4,758,526
 

At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, the investment portfolio had gross unrealized losses of $67.8 million and $101.4 million, respectively.  For those securities in an unrealized loss position, the length of time the securities were in such a position, as measured by their month-end fair values, is as follows:
21

 
 
Less Than 12 Months
   
12 Months or Greater
   
Total
 
 
 
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
 
March 31, 2014
 
Value
   
Losses
   
Value
   
Losses
   
Value
   
Losses
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
 
$
424,490
   
$
15,477
   
$
18,043
   
$
1,601
   
$
442,533
   
$
17,078
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
377,446
     
8,445
     
2,692
     
45
     
380,138
     
8,490
 
Corporate debt securities
   
1,072,046
     
13,570
     
67,839
     
3,051
     
1,139,885
     
16,621
 
Asset-backed securities
   
88,241
     
185
     
7,087
     
56
     
95,328
     
241
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
90,098
     
2,765
     
262,298
     
17,165
     
352,396
     
19,930
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
177,235
     
4,191
     
15,256
     
140
     
192,491
     
4,331
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
60,434
     
903
     
-
     
-
     
60,434
     
903
 
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
9,357
     
237
     
-
     
-
     
9,357
     
237
 
Equity securities
   
299
     
6
     
88
     
5
     
387
     
11
 
Total investment portfolio
 
$
 2,299,646
   
$
45,779
   
$
373,303
   
$
22,063
   
$
2,672,949
   
$
67,842
 

 
 
Less Than 12 Months
   
12 Months or Greater
   
Total
 
 
 
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
 
December 31, 2013
 
Value
   
Losses
   
Value
   
Losses
   
Value
   
Losses
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
 
$
465,975
   
$
24,980
   
$
4,103
   
$
541
   
$
470,078
   
$
25,521
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
 
503,967
     
 
17,370
     
 
4,226
     
 
50
     
 
508,193
     
 
17,420
 
Corporate debt securities
   
1,238,211
     
20,371
     
81,593
     
4,622
     
1,319,804
     
24,993
 
Asset-backed securities
   
126,991
     
387
     
7,114
     
66
     
134,105
     
453
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
91,534
     
3,886
     
265,827
     
21,091
     
357,361
     
24,977
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
192,440
     
6,239
     
43,095
     
429
     
235,535
     
6,668
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
60,295
     
1,042
     
-
     
-
     
60,295
     
1,042
 
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
 
7,203
     
 
290
     
 
-
     
 
-
     
 
7,203
     
 
290
 
Equity securities
   
1,012
     
18
     
75
     
5
     
1,087
     
23
 
Total investment portfolio
 
$
2,687,628
   
$
74,583
   
$
406,033
   
$
26,804
   
$
3,093,661
   
$
101,387
 

The unrealized losses in all categories of our investments at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 were primarily caused by the difference in interest rates at each respective period, compared to interest rates at the time of purchase.

Under the current guidance a debt security impairment is deemed other than temporary if we either intend to sell the security, or it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell the security before recovery or we do not expect to collect cash flows sufficient to recover the amortized cost basis of the security. During each of the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 there were no other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”) recognized.
22

The net realized investment gains (losses) and OTTI on the investment portfolio are as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and OTTI on investments:
 
   
 
Fixed maturities
 
$
(234
)
 
$
1,257
 
Equity securities
   
3
     
2
 
 
               
 
 
$
(231
)
 
$
1,259
 

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and OTTI on investments:
 
   
 
Gains on sales
 
$
805
   
$
1,934
 
Losses on sales
   
(1,036
)
   
(675
)
 
               
 
 
$
(231
)
 
$
1,259
 

Note 8 – Fair Value Measurements

In accordance with fair value guidance, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in order to measure fair value for assets and liabilities:

Level 1 – Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we can access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs primarily include certain U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies and Australian government and semi government securities.

Level 2 – Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs primarily include certain municipal and corporate bonds.

Level 3 – Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability. Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state tax credit investments. Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include real estate acquired through claim settlement.
23

To determine the fair value of securities available-for-sale in Level 1 and Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy, independent pricing sources have been utilized. One price is provided per security based on observable market data. To ensure securities are appropriately classified in the fair value hierarchy, we review the pricing techniques and methodologies of the independent pricing sources and believe that their policies adequately consider market activity, either based on specific transactions for the issue valued or based on modeling of securities with similar credit quality, duration, yield and structure that were recently traded. A variety of inputs are utilized by the independent pricing sources including benchmark yields, reported trades, non-binding broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data including data published in market research publications. Inputs may be weighted differently for any security, and not all inputs are used for each security evaluation. Market indicators, industry and economic events are also considered. This information is evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model.  Quality controls are performed by the independent pricing sources throughout this process, which include reviewing tolerance reports, trading information and data changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. This model combines all inputs to arrive at a value assigned to each security.  In addition, on a quarterly basis, we perform quality controls over values received from the pricing sources which include reviewing tolerance reports, trading information and data changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. We have not made any adjustments to the prices obtained from the independent pricing sources.

Our financial assets that are classified as Level 3 securities are primarily state premium tax credit investments.  The state premium tax credit investments have an average maturity of under 5 years, credit ratings of AA+, and their balance reflects their remaining scheduled payments discounted at an average annual rate of 7.3%.

Our non-financial assets that are classified as Level 3 securities consist of real estate acquired through claim settlement that is fair valued at the lower of our acquisition cost or a percentage of appraised value. The percentage applied to appraised value is based upon our historical sales experience adjusted for current trends.

24

Fair value measurements for assets measured at fair value included the following as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013:

 
 
Fair Value
   
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1)
   
Significant Other Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
   
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
March 31, 2014
 
   
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
 
$
535,048
   
$
535,048
   
$
-
   
$
-
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
906,127
     
-
     
903,749
     
2,378
 
Corporate debt securities
   
2,184,750
     
-
     
2,184,750
     
-
 
Asset-backed securities
   
393,511
     
-
     
393,511
     
-
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
353,525
     
-
     
353,525
     
-
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
282,561
     
-
     
282,561
     
-
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
60,434
     
-
     
60,434
     
-
 
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
42,570
     
42,570
     
-
     
-
 
Total debt securities
   
4,758,526
     
577,618
     
4,178,530
     
2,378
 
Equity securities
   
2,955
     
2,634
     
-
     
321
 
Total investments
 
$
4,761,481
   
$
580,252
   
$
4,178,530
   
$
2,699
 
Real estate acquired (1)
 
$
11,137
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
11,137
 

25

 
 
Fair Value
   
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1)
   
Significant Other Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
   
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
December 31, 2013
 
   
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
 
$
639,590
   
$
639,590
   
$
-
   
$
-
 
Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions
   
921,367
     
-
     
918,944
     
2,423
 
Corporate debt securities
   
2,171,415
     
-
     
2,171,415
     
-
 
Asset-backed securities
   
400,486
     
-
     
400,486
     
-
 
Residential mortgage-backed securities
   
358,537
     
-
     
358,537
     
-
 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
   
271,383
     
-
     
271,383
     
-
 
Collateralized loan obligations
   
60,295
             
60,295
         
Debt securities issued by foreign sovereign governments
   
40,852
     
40,852
     
-
     
-
 
Total debt securities
   
4,863,925
     
680,442
     
4,181,060
     
2,423
 
Equity securities
   
2,894
     
2,573
     
-
     
321
 
Total investments
 
$
4,866,819
   
$
683,015
   
$
4,181,060
   
$
2,744
 
Real estate acquired (1)
 
$
13,280
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
13,280
 

(1) Real estate acquired through claim settlement, which is held for sale, is reported in Other Assets on the consolidated balance sheet.

There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2 during the first three months of 2014 or 2013.

For assets measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3), a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 is as follows:
26

 
 
Obligations of U.S. States and Political Subdivisions
   
Corporate Debt Securities
   
Equity Securities
   
Total Investments
   
Real Estate Acquired
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Balance at December 31, 2013
 
$
2,423
   
$
-
   
$
321
   
$
2,744
   
$
13,280
 
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses):
                                       
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
(1,160
)
Purchases
   
30
     
-
     
-
     
30
     
8,010
 
Sales
   
(75
)
   
-
     
-
     
(75
)
   
(8,993
)
Transfers into Level 3
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Transfers out of Level 3
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Balance at March 31, 2014
 
$
2,378
   
$
-
   
$
321
   
$
2,699
   
$
11,137
 
 
                                       
Amount of total losses included in earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2014 attributable to the change in unrealized losses on assets still held at March 31, 2014
 
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
 

 
 
Obligations of U.S. States and Political Subdivisions
   
Corporate Debt Securities
   
Equity Securities
   
Total Investments
   
Real Estate Acquired
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Balance at December 31, 2012
 
$
3,130
   
$
17,114
   
$
321
   
$
20,565
   
$
3,463
 
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses):
                                       
Included in earnings and reported as realized investment gains (losses), net
   
-
     
(225
)
   
-
     
(225
)
   
-
 
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
(1,302
)
Purchases
   
30
     
-
     
-
     
30
     
8,014
 
Sales
   
(203
)
   
(16,889
)
   
-
     
(17,092
)
   
(2,651
)
Transfers into Level 3
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Transfers out of Level 3
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Balance at March 31, 2013
 
$
2,957
   
$
-
   
$
321
   
$
3,278
   
$
7,524
 
 
                                       
Amount of total losses included in earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2013 attributable to the change in unrealized losses on assets still held at March 31, 2013
 
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
   
$
-
 

27

Additional fair value disclosures related to our investment portfolio are included in Note 7 – “Investments.” Fair value disclosures related to our debt are included in Note 3 – “Debt.”
 
Note 9 – Other Comprehensive Income

Our other comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 was as follows:

 
Three Months Ended
 
 
March 31, 2014
 
 
 
   
   
Valuation
   
 
 
 
Before tax
   
Tax effect
   
allowance
   
Net of tax
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Other comprehensive income (loss):
 
   
   
   
 
Change in unrealized gains and losses on investments
 
$
39,661
   
$
(13,871
)
 
$
13,808
   
$
39,598
 
Benefit plan adjustments
   
(1,486
)
   
520
     
(520
)
   
(1,486
)
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
   
1,931
     
(678
)
   
-
     
1,253
 
 
                               
Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
$
40,106
   
$
(14,029
)
 
$
13,288
   
$
39,365
 
                          
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
March 31, 2013
 
 
 
   
   
Valuation
   
 
 
 
Before tax
   
Tax effect
   
allowance
   
Net of tax
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Other comprehensive income (loss):
 
   
   
   
 
Change in unrealized gains and losses on investments
 
$
(10,539
)
 
$
3,592
   
$
(3,007
)
 
$
(9,954
)
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
   
486
     
(170
)
   
-
     
316
 
 
                               
Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
$
(10,053
)
 
$
3,422
   
$
(3,007
)
 
$
(9,638
)

See Note 11 – “Income Taxes” for a discussion of the valuation allowance.

Total accumulated other comprehensive income and changes in accumulated other comprehensive income, including amounts reclassified from other comprehensive income, are included in the table below.
28

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31, 2014
 
 
 
Unrealized gains and
   
   
   
 
 
 
losses on available-
   
Defined benefit
   
Foreign currency
   
 
 
 
for-sale securities
   
plans
   
translation
   
Total
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Balance at December 31, 2013, before tax
 
$
(84,634
)
 
$
(3,766
)
 
$
11,184
   
$
(77,216
)
 
                               
Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
   
36,672
     
-
     
1,931
     
38,603
 
Amounts reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
   
(2,989
)(1)
   
1,486
(2)     -      
(1,503
)
Net current period other comprehensive income (loss)
   
39,661
     
(1,486
)
   
1,931
     
40,106
 
 
                               
Balance at March 31, 2014, before tax
 
$
(44,973
)
 
$
(5,252
)
 
$
13,115
   
$
(37,110
)
 
                               
Tax effect (3)
   
(64,119
)
   
26,940
     
(4,072
)
   
(41,251
)
 
                               
Balance at March 31, 2014, net of tax
 
$
(109,092
)
 
$
21,688
   
$
9,043
   
$
(78,361
)

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31, 2013
 
 
 
Unrealized gains and
   
   
   
 
 
 
losses on available-
   
Defined benefit
   
Foreign currency
   
 
 
 
for-sale securities
   
plans
   
translation
   
Total
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Balance at December 31, 2012, before tax
 
$
41,541
   
$
(71,804
)
 
$
32,747
   
$
2,484
 
 
                               
Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
   
(8,467
)
   
-
     
486
     
(7,981
)
Amounts reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
   
2,072
(1) 
   
-
      -      
2,072
 
Net current period other comprehensive income (loss)
   
(10,539
)
   
-
     
486
     
(10,053
)
 
                               
Balance at March 31, 2013, before tax
   
31,002
     
(71,804
)
   
33,233
     
(7,569
)
 
                               
Tax effect (3)
   
(66,054
)
   
26,940
     
(11,118
)
   
(50,232
)
 
                               
Balance at March 31, 2013, net of tax
 
$
(35,052
)
 
$
(44,864
)
 
$
22,115
   
$
(57,801
)

(1) During the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, net unrealized (losses) gains of ($3.0) million and $2.1 million, respectively, were reclassified to the Consolidated Statement of Operations and included in Realized investment gains (losses)
(2) During the three months ended March 31, 2014, other comprehensive income related to benefit plans of $1.5 million was reclassified to the Consolidated Statement of Operations and included in Underwriting and other expenses, net.
(3) Tax effect does not approximate 35% due to amounts of tax benefits not provided in various periods due to our tax valuation allowance.
29

Total accumulated other comprehensive income at December 31, 2013 is included in the table below.

 
 
Unrealized gains and
   
   
   
 
 
 
losses on available-
   
Defined benefit
   
Foreign currency
   
 
 
 
for-sale securities
   
plans
   
translation
   
Total
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Balance at December 31, 2013, before tax
   
(84,634
)
   
(3,766
)
   
11,184
     
(77,216
)
 
                               
Tax effect (1)
   
(64,056
)
   
26,940
     
(3,394
)
   
(40,510
)
 
                               
Balance at December 31, 2013, net of tax
 
$
(148,690
)
 
$
23,174
   
$
7,790
   
$
(117,726
)

(1) Tax effect does not approximate 35% due to amounts of tax benefits not provided in various periods due to our tax valuation allowance.

Note 10 - Benefit Plans

The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension, supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans:
 
  Three Months Ended March 31,
 
Pension and Supplemental
Other Postretirement
 
Executive Retirement Plans
Benefits
 
2014
2013
2014
2013
 
(In thousands)
 
Service cost
 
$
2,080
   
$
2,717
   
$
177
   
$
194
 
Interest cost
   
4,009
     
3,799
     
183
     
154
 
Expected return on plan assets
   
(5,258
)
   
(5,038
)
   
(1,161
)
   
(920
)
Recognized net actuarial loss
   
291
     
1,516
     
(73
)
   
-
 
Amortization of prior service cost
   
(42
)
   
125
     
(1,662
)
   
(1,663
)
 
                               
Net periodic benefit cost
 
$
1,080
   
$
3,119
   
$
(2,536
)
 
$
(2,235
)

We currently do not intend to make any contributions to the plans during 2014.

Note 11 – Income Taxes

We review the need to establish a deferred tax asset valuation allowance on a quarterly basis. We analyze several factors, among which are the severity and frequency of operating losses, our capacity for the carryback or carryforward of any losses, the existence and current level of taxable operating income, the expected occurrence of future income or loss and available tax planning alternatives. Based on our analysis and the level of cumulative operating losses, we continue to reduce our benefit from income tax through the recognition of a valuation allowance.
30

The effect of the change in valuation allowance on the provision for (benefit from) income taxes was as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
 
Provision for (benefit from) income tax
 
$
23,120
   
$
(21,590
)
Change in valuation allowance
   
(22,394
)
   
22,729
 
 
               
Provision for income taxes
 
$
726
   
$
1,139
 

The change in the valuation allowance that was included in other comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 was a decrease of $13.3 million and an increase of $3.0 million, respectively. The total valuation allowance as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 was $968.6 million and $1,004.2 million, respectively.

We have approximately $2.6 billion of net operating loss carryforwards on a regular tax basis and $1.7 billion of net operating loss carryforwards for computing the alternative minimum tax as of March 31, 2014. Any unutilized carryforwards are scheduled to expire at the end of tax years 2029 through 2033.

Tax Contingencies

The Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) completed examinations of our federal income tax returns for the years 2000 through 2007 and issued proposed assessments for unpaid taxes, interest and penalties related to our treatment of the flow-through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (“REMICs”). The IRS indicated that it did not believe that, for various reasons, we had established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. The proposed assessments for taxes and penalties related to these matters are $197.5 million and at March 31, 2014 there would also be interest of approximately $157.9 million. In addition, depending on the outcome of this matter, additional state income taxes and state interest may become due when a final resolution is reached. As of March 31, 2014, those state taxes and interest would approximate $46.3 million. In addition, there could also be state tax penalties.

Our total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of March 31, 2014 is $105.6 million, which represents the tax benefits generated by the REMIC portfolio included in our tax returns that we have not taken benefit for in our financial statements, including any related interest. We continue to believe that our previously recorded tax provisions and liabilities are appropriate. However, we would need to make appropriate adjustments, which could be material, to our tax provision and liabilities if our view of the probability of success in this matter changes, and the ultimate resolution of this matter could have a material negative impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations, cash flows and statutory capital. In this regard, see Note 1 – “Nature of Business - Capital.”

We appealed these assessments within the IRS and, in 2007, we made a payment of $65.2 million to the United States Department of the Treasury related to this assessment. In August 2010, we reached a tentative settlement agreement with the IRS which was not finalized. The IRS is pursuing this matter in full and we currently expect to be in litigation on this matter in 2014. Any such litigation could be lengthy and costly in terms of legal fees and related expenses.
31

The IRS is currently conducting an examination of our federal income tax returns for the years 2011 and 2012, which is scheduled to be completed in 2014.

The total amount of the unrecognized tax benefits, related to our aforementioned REMIC issue, that would affect our effective tax rate is $93.0 million, after taking into account the effect of NOL carrybacks. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income taxes. As of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, we had accrued $26.3 million and $26.1 million, respectively, for the payment of interest.

Note 12 – Loss Reserves

We establish reserves to recognize the estimated liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. Loss reserves are established by estimating the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity.

Estimation of losses is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy, including unemployment, and the current and future strength of local housing markets. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make these assumptions more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could result in, among other things, greater losses on loans that have pool insurance, and may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Changes to our estimates could result in a material impact to our results of operations and capital position, even in a stable economic environment.

The following table provides a reconciliation of beginning and ending loss reserves for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013:
32

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
   
 
Reserve at beginning of period
 
$
3,061,401
   
$
4,056,843
 
Less reinsurance recoverable
   
64,085
     
104,848
 
Net reserve at beginning of period
   
2,997,316
     
3,951,995
 
 
               
Losses incurred:
               
Losses and LAE incurred in respect of default notices related to:
               
Current year
   
155,982
     
268,793
 
Prior years (1)
   
(33,374
)
   
(2,585
)
Subtotal
   
122,608
     
266,208
 
 
               
Losses paid:
               
Losses and LAE paid in respect of default notices related to:
               
Current year
   
314
     
246
 
Prior years
   
342,669
     
468,933
 
Reinsurance terminations (2)
   
-
     
(3,145
)
Subtotal
   
342,983
     
466,034
 
 
               
Net reserve at end of period (3)
   
2,776,941
     
3,752,169
 
Plus reinsurance recoverables
   
57,618
     
96,179
 
 
               
Reserve at end of period
 
$
2,834,559
   
$
3,848,348
 

(1) A negative number for prior year losses incurred indicates a redundancy of prior year loss reserves and a positive number for prior year losses incurred indicates a deficiency of prior year loss reserves.
(2) In a termination, the reinsurance agreement is cancelled, with no future premium ceded and funds for any incurred but unpaid losses transferred to us. The transferred funds result in an increase in our investment portfolio (including cash and cash equivalents) and a decrease in net losses paid (reduction to losses incurred). In addition, there is an offsetting decrease in the reinsurance recoverable (increase in losses incurred), and thus there is no net impact to losses incurred.
(3) At March 31, 2014 and 2013, the estimated reduction in loss reserves related to rescissions approximated $70 million and $0.2 billion, respectively.

The “Losses incurred” section of the table above shows losses incurred on default notices received in the current year and in prior years.  The amount of losses incurred relating to default notices received in the current year represents the estimated amount to be ultimately paid on such default notices.  The amount of losses incurred relating to default notices received in prior years represents the actual claim rate and severity associated with those defaults notices resolved in the current year differing from the estimated liability at the prior year-end, as well as a re-estimation of amounts to be ultimately paid on defaults remaining in inventory from the end of the prior year.  This re-estimation of the estimated claim rate and estimated severity is the result of our review of current trends in the default inventory, such as percentages of defaults that have resulted in a claim, the amount of the claims, changes in the relative level of defaults by geography and changes in average loan exposure.
33

Losses incurred on default notices received in the current year decreased in the first three months of 2014 compared to the same period in 2013, primarily due to a decrease in the number of new default notices received, net of cures, as well as a decrease in the estimated claim rate on new and previously received delinquencies.

The prior year development of the reserves in the first three months of 2014 and 2013 is reflected in the table below.

 
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In millions)
 
Prior year loss development (1):
 
   
 
 
 
   
 
Decrease in estimated claim rate on primary defaults
 
$
(30
)
 
$
(15
)
Increase in estimated severity on primary defaults
   
5
     
20
 
Change in estimates related to pool reserves, LAE reserves and reinsurance
   
(8
)
   
(8
)
Total prior year loss development
 
$
(33
)
 
$
(3
)

(1) A negative number for prior year loss development indicates a redundancy of prior year loss reserves, and a positive number indicates a deficiency of prior year loss reserves.

The prior year loss development was based on the resolution of approximately 25% and 23% for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, respectively of the prior year default inventory, as well as a re-estimation of amounts to be ultimately paid on defaults remaining in inventory from the end of the prior year and estimated incurred but not reported items from the end of the prior year. In the first three months of 2014 and 2013, we recognized favorable development on our estimated claim rate as we experienced a better cure rate on previously received delinquencies.

The “Losses paid” section of the table above shows the breakdown between claims paid on default notices received in the current year, claims paid on default notices received in prior years and the decrease in losses paid related to terminated reinsurance agreements as noted in footnote (2) of that table. Until a few years ago, it took, on average, approximately twelve months for a default that is not cured to develop into a paid claim. Over the past several years, the average time it takes to receive a claim associated with a default has increased. This is, in part, due to new loss mitigation protocols established by servicers and to changes in some state foreclosure laws that may include, for example, a requirement for additional review and/or mediation processes. It is difficult to estimate how long it may take for current and future defaults that do not cure to develop into paid claims.

The liability associated with our estimate of premiums to be refunded on expected claim payments is accrued for separately at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 and approximated $126 million and $131 million, respectively. Separate components of this liability are included in “Other liabilities” and “Premium deficiency reserve” on our consolidated balance sheet. Changes in the liability affect premiums written and earned and change in premium deficiency reserve.

A rollforward of our primary default inventory for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 appears in the table below. The information concerning new notices and cures is compiled from monthly reports received from loan servicers. The level of new notice and cure activity reported in a particular month can be influenced by, among other things, the date on which a servicer generates its report, the number of business days in a month and by transfers of servicing between loan servicers.
34

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
   
 
Default inventory at beginning of period
   
103,328
     
139,845
 
New Notices
   
23,346
     
27,864
 
Cures
   
(27,318
)
   
(31,122
)
Paids (including those charged to a  deductible or captive)
   
(7,064
)
   
(9,445
)
Rescissions and denials
   
(450
)
   
(532
)
Default inventory at end of period
   
91,842
     
126,610
 

Pool insurance notice inventory decreased from 6,563 at December 31, 2013 to 5,646 at March 31, 2014. The pool insurance notice inventory was 7,890 at March 31, 2013.

The decrease in the primary default inventory experienced during 2014 and 2013 was generally across all markets and all book years. However, the percentage of loans in the inventory that have been in default for 12 or more consecutive months has increased in the first quarter of 2014, as shown in the table below. Historically as a default ages it becomes more likely to result in a claim. The percentage of loans that have been in default for 12 or more consecutive months and the number of loans in our primary claims received inventory have been affected by our suspended rescissions and the resolution of certain of those rescissions discussed below and in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies.”

Aging of the Primary Default Inventory
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
Consecutive months in default
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
3 months or less
   
14,313
     
16
%
   
18,941
     
18
%
   
17,973
     
14
%
4 - 11 months
   
23,305
     
25
%
   
24,514
     
24
%
   
32,662
     
26
%
12 months or more
   
54,224
     
59
%
   
59,873
     
58
%
   
75,975
     
60
%
 
                                               
Total primary default inventory
   
91,842
     
100
%
   
103,328
     
100
%
   
126,610
     
100
%
 
                                               
Primary claims received inventory included in ending default inventory (1)
   
 
5,990
     
 
7
 
%
   
 
6,948
     
 
7
 
%
   
 
10,924
     
 
9
 
%

 (1) Our claims received inventory includes suspended rescissions, as we have voluntarily suspended rescissions of coverage related to certain loans that we believed would be included in a potential resolution. As of March 31, 2014, rescissions of coverage on approximately 1,525 loans had been voluntarily suspended.

35

The number of months a loan is in the default inventory can differ from the number of payments that the borrower has not made or is considered delinquent. These differences typically result from a borrower making monthly payments that do not result in the loan becoming fully current. The number of payments that a borrower is delinquent is shown in the table below.

Number of Payments Delinquent

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
3 payments or less
   
23,035
     
25
%
   
28,095
     
27
%
   
28,376
     
23
%
4 - 11 payments
   
22,766
     
25
%
   
24,605
     
24
%
   
32,253
     
25
%
12 payments or more
   
46,041
     
50
%
   
50,628
     
49
%
   
65,981
     
52
%
 
                                               
Total primary default inventory
   
91,842
     
100
%
   
103,328
     
100
%
   
126,610
     
100
%

Claims paying practices

We estimate rescissions mitigated our incurred losses by approximately $2.5 billion in 2009 and $0.2 billion in 2010. All of these figures include the benefit of claims not paid in the period as well as the impact of changes in our estimated expected rescission activity on our loss reserves in the period. In 2012, we estimate that our rescission benefit in loss reserves was reduced by $0.2 billion due to probable rescission settlement agreements. We estimate that other rescissions had no significant impact on our losses incurred in 2011 through the first quarter of 2014. At March 31, 2014, we estimate that our total loss reserves were benefited from anticipated rescissions by approximately $70 million. Our loss reserving methodology incorporates our estimates of future rescissions and reversals of rescissions. Historically, reversals of rescissions have been immaterial. A variance between ultimate actual rescission and reversal rates and our estimates, as a result of the outcome of litigation, settlements or other factors, could materially affect our losses.

We do not utilize an explicit rescission rate in our reserving methodology, but rather our reserving methodology incorporates the effects rescission activity has had on our historical claim rate and claim severities. Our estimation process does not include a direct correlation between claim rates and severities to projected rescission activity or other economic conditions such as changes in unemployment rates, interest rates or housing values. Our experience is that analysis of that nature would not produce reliable results, as the change in one condition cannot be isolated to determine its sole effect on our ultimate paid losses as our ultimate paid losses are also influenced at the same time by other economic conditions. The estimation of the impact of rescissions on incurred losses must be considered together with the various other factors impacting incurred losses and not in isolation.

The liability associated with our estimate of premiums to be refunded on expected future rescissions is accrued for separately. At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 the estimate of this liability totaled $14 million and $15 million, respectively. Separate components of this liability are included in “Other liabilities” and “Premium deficiency reserve” on our consolidated balance sheet. Changes in the liability affect premiums written and earned and change in premium deficiency reserve.

For information about discussions and legal proceedings with customers with respect to our claims paying practices, including settlements that we believe are probable, as defined in ASC 450-20, see Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies.”
36

Note 13 – Premium Deficiency Reserve

The components of the premium deficiency reserve at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appear in the table below.

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
(In millions)
 
Present value of expected future paid losses and expenses, net of expected future premium
 
$
(622
)
 
$
(669
)
 
$
(808
)
 
                       
Established loss reserves
   
579
     
621
     
736
 
 
                       
Net deficiency
 
$
(43
)
 
$
(48
)
 
$
(72
)

The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 was $5 million and $2 million, respectively, as shown in the table below, which represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses as well as a net change in assumptions for these periods. The net change in assumptions for the three months ended March 31, 2014 is primarily related to higher estimated ultimate premiums. The net change in assumptions for the three months ended March 31, 2013 is primarily related to higher estimated losses.
37

 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
 
   
   
   
 
Premium Deficiency Reserve at beginning of period
 
   
$
(48
)
 
   
$
(74
)
 
 
           
         
Paid claims and loss adjustment expenses
 
$
48
           
$
58
         
Decrease in loss reserves
   
(42
)
           
(30
)
       
Premium earned
   
(21
)
           
(23
)
       
Effects of present valuing on future premiums,losses and expenses
   
(2
)
           
(2
)
       
 
                               
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect actual premium, losses and expenses recognized
           
(17
)
           
3
 
 
                               
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect change in assumptions relating to future premiums, losses, expenses and discount rate (1)
           
22
             
(1
)
 
                               
Premium Deficiency Reserve at end of period
         
$
(43
)
         
$
(72
)

(1)  A positive (negative) number for changes in assumptions relating to premiums, losses, expenses and discount rate indicates a redundancy (deficiency) of the prior premium deficiency reserve.

Note 14 – Shareholders’ Equity

In June 2013, we amended our Articles of Incorporation to increase our authorized common stock from 680 million shares to 1.0 billion shares.

In March 2013 we completed the public offering and sale of 135 million shares of our common stock at a price of $5.15 per share. We received net proceeds of approximately $663.3 million, after deducting underwriting discount and offering expenses. The shares of common stock sold were newly issued shares.

In March 2013 we also concurrently completed the sale of $500 million principal amount of 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020.  For more information, see Note 3 – “Debt.”

We have a Shareholders Rights Agreement which was approved by shareholders (the “Agreement”) dated July 25, 2012, as amended through March 11, 2013, that seeks to diminish the risk that our ability to use our net operating losses (“NOLs”) to reduce potential future federal income tax obligations may become substantially limited and to deter certain abusive takeover practices. The benefit of the NOLs would be substantially limited, and the timing of the usage of the NOLs could be substantially delayed, if we were to experience an “ownership change” as defined by Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Under the Agreement each outstanding share of our Common Stock is accompanied by one Right. The Distribution Date occurs on the earlier of ten days after a public announcement that a person has become an Acquiring Person, or ten business days after a person announces or begins a tender offer in which consummation of such offer would result in a person becoming an Acquiring Person. An Acquiring Person is any person that becomes, by itself or together with its affiliates and associates, a beneficial owner of 5% or more of the shares of our Common Stock then outstanding, but excludes, among others, certain exempt and grandfathered persons as defined in the Agreement. The Rights are not exercisable until the Distribution Date. Each Right will initially entitle shareholders to buy one-tenth of one share of our Common Stock at a Purchase Price of $14 per full share (equivalent to $1.40 for each one-tenth share), subject to adjustment. Each exercisable Right (subject to certain limitations) will entitle its holder to purchase, at the Rights’ then-current Purchase Price, a number of our shares of Common Stock (or if after the Shares Acquisition Date, we are acquired in a business combination, common shares of the acquiror) having a market value at the time equal to twice the Purchase Price. The Rights will expire on August 1, 2015, or earlier as described in the Agreement. The Rights are redeemable at a price of $0.001 per Right at any time prior to the time a person becomes an Acquiring Person. Other than certain amendments, the Board of Directors may amend the Rights in any respect without the consent of the holders of the Rights.
38

Note 15 – Statutory Capital

Statutory Capital Requirements

The insurance laws of 16 jurisdictions, including Wisconsin, our domiciliary state, require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to the risk in force (or a similar measure) in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. We refer to these requirements as the “State Capital Requirements” and, together with the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements, the “Capital Requirements.” While they vary among jurisdictions, the most common State Capital Requirements allow for a maximum risk-to-capital ratio of 25 to 1. This ratio is computed on a statutory basis for our insurance entities and is our net risk in force divided by our policyholders’ position. Policyholders’ position consists primarily of statutory policyholders’ surplus, plus the statutory contingency reserve. A risk-to-capital ratio will increase if (i) the percentage decrease in capital exceeds the percentage decrease in insured risk, or (ii) the percentage increase in capital is less than the percentage increase in the insured risk.  Wisconsin does not regulate capital by using a risk-to-capital measure but instead requires a minimum policyholder position (“MPP”). The “policyholder position” of a mortgage insurer is its net worth or surplus, contingency reserve and a portion of the reserves for unearned premiums.

In 2013, we entered into a quota share reinsurance transaction with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers that reduced our risk-to-capital ratio. At March 31, 2014, MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio was 15.3 to 1, below the maximum allowed by the jurisdictions with State Capital Requirements, and its preliminary policyholder position was $519 million above the required MPP of $1.0 billion. Although the reinsurance transaction was approved by the GSEs, it is possible that under the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements, discussed in Note 1 – “Basis of Presentation – Capital – GSEs”, and/or the revised State Capital Requirements discussed below, MGIC will not be allowed full credit for the risk ceded to the reinsurers under the transaction. If MGIC is disallowed full credit, MGIC may terminate the transaction, without penalty, when such disallowance becomes effective. At this time, we expect MGIC to continue to comply with the current State Capital Requirements, although we cannot assure you of such compliance. Matters that could negatively affect such compliance are discussed throughout the financial statement footnotes.

At March 31, 2014, the risk-to-capital ratio of our combined insurance operations (which includes reinsurance affiliates) was 17.6 to 1. Reinsurance transactions with affiliates permit MGIC to write insurance with a higher coverage percentage than it could on its own under certain state-specific requirements.  A higher risk-to-capital ratio on a combined basis may indicate that, in order for MGIC to continue to utilize reinsurance arrangements with its affiliates, unless a waiver of the State Capital Requirements from regulators continues to be effective, additional capital contributions to the reinsurance affiliates could be needed.

39

In November 2013, the NAIC presented for discussion proposed changes to its Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act. In connection with that, the NAIC announced that it plans to revise the minimum capital and surplus requirements for mortgage insurers, although it has not established a date by which it must make proposals to revise such requirements. Depending on the scope of the revisions made by the NAIC, MGIC may be prevented from writing new business in the jurisdictions adopting such proposals.

If MGIC fails to meet the State Capital Requirements of Wisconsin and is unable to obtain a waiver of them from the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin (“OCI”), MGIC could be prevented from writing new business in all jurisdictions. If MGIC fails to meet the State Capital Requirements of a jurisdiction other than Wisconsin and is unable to obtain a waiver of them, MGIC could be prevented from writing new business in that particular jurisdiction. It is possible that regulatory action by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have specific State Capital Requirements, may prevent MGIC from continuing to write new insurance in such jurisdictions.

A possible future failure by MGIC to meet the Capital Requirements will not necessarily mean that MGIC lacks sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance liabilities. While we believe MGIC has sufficient claims paying resources to meet its claim obligations on its insurance in force on a timely basis, matters that could negatively affect MGIC’s claims paying resources are discussed throughout the financial statement footnotes.

We have in place a longstanding plan to write new business in MIC, a direct subsidiary of MGIC, in the event MGIC cannot meet the State Capital Requirements of a jurisdiction or obtain a waiver of them. MIC is licensed to write business in all jurisdictions. During 2012, MIC began writing new business in the jurisdictions where MGIC did not have a waiver of the State Capital Requirements. Because MGIC again meets the State Capital Requirements, MGIC is again writing new business in all jurisdictions and MIC has suspended writing new business. As of March 31, 2014, MIC had statutory capital of $460 million and risk in force, net of reinsurance, of approximately $590 million. Before MIC may again write new business, it must obtain the necessary approvals from the OCI and the GSEs.

We cannot assure you that the OCI or GSEs will approve MIC to write new business in all jurisdictions in which MGIC may become unable to do so. If one GSE does not approve MIC in all jurisdictions in which MGIC becomes unable to write new business, MIC may be able to write insurance on loans that will be sold to the other GSE or retained by private investors. However, because lenders may not know which GSE will purchase their loans until mortgage insurance has been procured, lenders may be unwilling to procure mortgage insurance from MIC. Furthermore, if we are unable to write business in all jurisdictions utilizing a combination of MGIC and MIC, lenders may be unwilling to procure insurance from us anywhere. In addition, a lender’s assessment of the financial strength of our insurance operations may affect its willingness to procure insurance from us.

Statement of Statutory Accounting Principles No. 101 (“SSAP No. 101”) became effective January 1, 2012 and prescribed new standards for determining the amount of deferred tax assets that can be recognized as admitted assets for determining statutory capital. Under a permitted practice effective September 30, 2012 and until further notice, the OCI has approved MGIC to report its net deferred tax asset as an admitted asset in an amount not to exceed 10% of surplus as regards policyholders, notwithstanding any contrary provisions of SSAP No. 101. Deferred tax assets of $137 million and $138 million were included in MGIC’s statutory capital at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively.

See Note 1 – “Nature of Business and Basis of Presentation – Capital” for additional information regarding the capital standards of the GSEs.

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Overview

Through our subsidiaries MGIC and MIC, we are a leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States, as measured by insurance in force, to the home mortgage lending industry.

As used below, “we” and “our” refer to MGIC Investment Corporation’s consolidated operations. The discussion below should be read in conjunction with "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013. We refer to this Discussion as the “10-K MD&A.” In the discussion below, we classify, in accordance with industry practice, as “full documentation” loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income. For additional information about such loans, see footnote (3) to the composition of primary default inventory table under “Results of Consolidated Operations-Losses-Losses incurred” below. The discussion of our business in this document generally does not apply to our Australian operations which have historically been immaterial. The results of our operations in Australia are included in the consolidated results disclosed. For additional information about our Australian operations, see our risk factor titled “Our Australian operations may suffer significant losses” and “Overview—Australia” in our 10-K MD&A.
 
Forward Looking and Other Statements

As discussed under “Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors” below, actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements being current as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Outlook

Since 2008, substantially all of the loans we insured have been sold to the GSEs, which have been in conservatorship since late 2008.  When the conservatorship will end and what role, if any, the GSEs will play in the secondary mortgage market post-conservatorship will be determined by Congress.  The scope of the FHA’s large market presence may also change in connection with the determination of the future of the GSEs. There are also pending regulatory changes that could affect demand for private mortgage insurance; see our risk factor titled “The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if the definition of Qualified Residential Mortgage results in a reduced number of low down payment loans available to be insured or if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.”  Furthermore, capital standards for private mortgage insurers are being revised; see “Capital” below. While we strongly believe private mortgage insurance should be an integral part of credit enhancement in a future mortgage market, its role in that market cannot be predicted.
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Capital

GSEs

As mentioned above, since 2008 substantially all of our insurance written is for loans sold to the GSEs, each of which has mortgage insurer eligibility requirements to maintain the highest level of eligibility. The existing eligibility requirements include a minimum financial strength rating of Aa3/AA-. Because MGIC does not meet such financial strength rating requirements (its financial strength rating from Moody’s is Ba3 (with a stable outlook) and from Standard & Poor’s is BB (with a positive outlook)), MGIC is currently operating with each GSE as an eligible insurer under a remediation plan. We believe that the GSEs view remediation plans as a continuing process of interaction with a mortgage insurer and MGIC will continue to operate under a remediation plan for the foreseeable future. The GSEs may include new eligibility requirements as part of our current remediation plan. There can be no assurance that MGIC will be able to continue to operate as an eligible mortgage insurer under a remediation plan.

The GSEs previously advised us that, at the direction of their conservator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”), they will be revising the eligibility requirements for all mortgage insurers.  We expect the revised eligibility standards to include new counterparty financial requirements (the “GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements”). Prior to publicly releasing the draft of the revised eligibility requirements, the FHFA is allowing state insurance regulators a period of time in which to review them on a confidential basis. After considering any changes suggested by the state insurance regulators, the FHFA is expected to release the draft eligibility requirements for public input, which could occur as early as the second quarter of 2014. We have not been informed of the content of the new eligibility requirements, their timeframes for effectiveness, or the length of the public input period.

We have various alternatives available to improve our existing risk-to-capital position, including contributing additional funds that are on hand today from our holding company to MGIC, entering into additional external reinsurance transactions, seeking approval to write business in MIC and raising additional capital, which could be contributed to MGIC. While there can be no assurance that MGIC would meet the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements by their effective date, we believe we could implement one or more of these alternatives so that we would continue to be an eligible mortgage insurer after the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements are fully effective. If MGIC (or MIC, under certain circumstances) ceases to be eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would significantly reduce the volume of our new business writings.

State Regulations

The insurance laws of 16 jurisdictions, including Wisconsin, our domiciliary state, require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to the risk in force (or a similar measure) in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. We refer to these requirements as the “State Capital Requirements” and, together with the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements, the “Capital Requirements.” While they vary among jurisdictions, the most common State Capital Requirements allow for a maximum risk-to-capital ratio of 25 to 1. A risk-to-capital ratio will increase if (i) the percentage decrease in capital exceeds the percentage decrease in insured risk, or (ii) the percentage increase in capital is less than the percentage increase in insured risk.  Wisconsin does not regulate capital by using a risk-to-capital measure but instead requires a minimum policyholder position (“MPP”). The “policyholder position” of a mortgage insurer is its net worth or surplus, contingency reserve and a portion of the reserves for unearned premiums.

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In 2013, we entered into a quota share reinsurance transaction with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers that reduced our risk-to-capital ratio. At March 31, 2014, MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio was 15.3 to 1, below the maximum allowed by the jurisdictions with State Capital Requirements, and its policyholder position was $519 million above the required MPP of $1.0 billion. Although the reinsurance transaction was approved by the GSEs, it is possible that under the GSE Counterparty Financial Requirements, discussed above, and/or the revised State Capital Requirements discussed below, MGIC will not be allowed full credit for the risk ceded to the reinsurers under the transaction. If MGIC is disallowed full credit, MGIC may terminate the transaction, without penalty, when such disallowance becomes effective. At this time, we expect MGIC to continue to comply with the current State Capital Requirements, although we cannot assure you of such compliance.

In November 2013, the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) presented for discussion proposed changes to its Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act. In connection with that, the NAIC announced that it plans to revise the minimum capital and surplus requirements for mortgage insurers, although it has not established a date by which it must make proposals to revise such requirements. Depending on the scope of the revisions made by the NAIC, MGIC may be prevented from writing new business in the jurisdictions adopting such proposals.
 
Qualified Residential Mortgages

The financial reform legislation that was passed in July 2010 (the “Dodd-Frank Act” or “Dodd-Frank”) requires lenders to consider a borrower’s ability to repay a home loan before extending credit. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) rule defining “Qualified Mortgage” (“QM”) for purposes of implementing the “ability to repay” law became effective in January 2014. There is a temporary category of QMs for mortgages that satisfy the general product feature requirements of QMs and meet the GSEs’ underwriting requirements (the “temporary category”). The temporary category will phase out when the GSEs’ conservatorship ends, or if sooner, after seven years. In May 2013, the FHFA directed the GSEs to limit their mortgage acquisitions to loans that meet the requirements of a QM under the ability to repay rule, including those that meet the temporary category, and loans that are exempt from the “ability to repay” requirements. We may insure loans that do not qualify as QMs, however, we are unsure the extent to which lenders will make non-QM loans because they will not be entitled to the presumptions about compliance with the “ability to repay” requirements that the law allows lenders with respect to QM loans. We are also unsure the extent to which lenders will purchase private mortgage insurance for loans that cannot be sold to the GSEs.

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (“HUD”) definition of QM that applies to loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration (“FHA”), became effective in January 2014. HUD’s QM definition is less restrictive than the CFPB’s definition in certain respects, including that (i) it has no limit on the debt-to-income ratio of a borrower, and (ii) it allows the lender certain presumptions about compliance with the “ability to repay” requirements on higher priced loans. It is possible that lenders will prefer FHA-insured loans to loans insured by private mortgage insurance as a result of the FHA’s less restrictive QM definition.
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Given the credit characteristics presented to us, we estimate that approximately 87% of our new risk written in 2013 and 84% of our new risk written in the first quarter of 2014 was for loans that would have met the CFPB’s general QM definition. We estimate that approximately 99% of our new risk written in 2013 and in the first quarter of 2014 was for loans that would have met the CFPB’s QM definition, when giving effect to the temporary category. In making these estimates, we have not considered the limitation on points and fees because the information is not available to us. We do not believe such limitation would materially affect the percentage of our new risk written meeting the QM definitions.

The Dodd-Frank Act requires a securitizer to retain at least 5% of the risk associated with mortgage loans that are securitized, and in some cases the retained risk may be allocated between the securitizer and the lender that originated the loan. This risk retention requirement does not apply to mortgage loans that are Qualified Residential Mortgages (“QRMs”) or that are insured by the FHA or another federal agency. In 2011, federal regulators released a proposed risk retention rule that included a definition of QRM. In response to public comments regarding the proposed rule, federal regulators issued a revised proposed rule in August 2013. The revised proposed rule generally defines QRM as a mortgage meeting the requirements of a QM. The regulators also proposed an alternative QRM definition (“QM-plus”) which utilizes certain QM criteria but also includes a maximum loan-to-value ratio (“LTV”) of 70%. Neither of the revised definitions of QRM considers the use of mortgage insurance for purposed of calculating LTV. While substantially all of our new risk written in 2013 and the first quarter of 2014 was on loans that met the QM definition (and, therefore, the proposed general QRM definition), none of our new insurance written met the QM-plus definition. The public comment period for the revised proposed rule expired in October 2013. The final timing of the adoption of any risk retention regulation and the definition of QRM remains uncertain. Because of the capital support provided by the U.S. Government, the GSEs satisfy the Dodd-Frank risk-retention requirements while they are in conservatorship. Therefore, lenders that originate loans that are sold to the GSEs while they are in conservatorship would not be required to retain risk associated with those loans.

The amount of new insurance that we write may be materially adversely affected depending on, among other things, (a) the final definition of QRM and its LTV requirements and (b) whether lenders choose mortgage insurance for non-QRM loans. In addition, changes in the final regulations regarding treatment of GSE-guaranteed mortgage loans, or changes in the conservatorship or capital support provided to the GSEs by the U.S. Government, could impact the manner in which the risk-retention rules apply to GSE securitizations, originators who sell loans to GSEs and our business. For other factors that could decrease the demand for mortgage insurance, see our risk factor titled “If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline, which would reduce our revenues.”

GSE Reform

The FHFA is the conservator of the GSEs and has the authority to control and direct their operations. The increased role that the federal government has assumed in the residential mortgage market through the GSE conservatorship may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change in ways that have a material adverse effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase the likelihood that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. The Dodd-Frank Act required the U.S. Department of the Treasury to report its recommendations regarding options for ending the conservatorship of the GSEs. This report was released in February 2011 and while it does not provide any definitive timeline for GSE reform, it does recommend using a combination of federal housing policy changes to wind down the GSEs, shrink the government’s footprint in housing finance (including FHA insurance), and help bring private capital back to the mortgage market. Since then, Members of Congress introduced several bills intended to change the business practices of the GSEs and the FHA, however, no legislation has been enacted. As a result of the matters referred to above, it is uncertain what role the GSEs, FHA and private capital, including private mortgage insurance, will play in the domestic residential housing finance system in the future or the impact of any such changes on our business. In addition, the timing of the impact of any resulting changes on our business is uncertain. Most meaningful changes would require Congressional action to implement and it is difficult to estimate when Congressional action would be final and how long any associated phase-in period may last.

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For additional information about the business practices of the GSEs, see our risk factor titled “Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal legislation that changes their charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.”
 
Loan Modification and Other Similar Programs

Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, the federal government, including through the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the GSEs, and several lenders implemented programs to modify loans to make them more affordable to borrowers with the goal of reducing the number of foreclosures. During 2012, 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, we were notified of modifications that cured delinquencies that had they become paid claims would have resulted in approximately $1.2 billion, $1.0 billion and $210 million, respectively, of estimated claim payments. As noted below, we cannot predict with a high degree of confidence what the ultimate re-default rate on these modifications will be. Although the recent re-default rate has been lower, for internal reporting and planning purposes, we assume approximately 50% of these modifications will ultimately re-default, and those re-defaults may result in future claim payments. Because modifications cure the defaults with respect to the previously defaulted loans, our loss reserves do not account for potential re-defaults unless at the time the reserve is established, the re-default has already occurred. Based on information that is provided to us, most of the modifications resulted in reduced payments from interest rate and/or amortization period adjustments; from 2012 through the first quarter of 2014, approximately 10% resulted in principal forgiveness.

One loan modification program is the Home Affordable Modification Program (“HAMP”) which began in 2009. Some of HAMP’s eligibility criteria relate to the borrower’s current income and non-mortgage debt payments. Because the GSEs and servicers do not share such information with us, we cannot determine with certainty the number of loans in our delinquent inventory that are eligible to participate in HAMP. We believe that it could take several months from the time a borrower has made all of the payments during HAMP’s three month “trial modification” period for the loan to be reported to us as a cured delinquency. We rely on information provided to us by the GSEs and servicers. We do not receive all of the information from such sources that is required to determine with certainty the number of loans that are participating in, or have successfully completed, HAMP. We are aware of approximately 6,970 loans in our primary delinquent inventory at March 31, 2014 for which the HAMP trial period has begun and which trial periods have not been reported to us as completed or cancelled. Through March 31, 2014 approximately 52,700 delinquent primary loans have cured their delinquency after entering HAMP and are not in default. In 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, approximately 17% and 14%, respectively, of our primary cures were the result of a modification, with HAMP accounting for approximately 68% of those modifications in each of 2013 and the first quarter of 2014. Although the HAMP program has been extended through December 2015, we believe that we have realized the majority of the benefits from HAMP because the number of loans insured by us that we are aware are entering HAMP trial modification periods has decreased significantly since 2010. The interest rates on certain loans modified under HAMP are subject to adjustment five years after the modification was entered into. Such adjustments are limited to an increase of one percentage point per year.

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In 2009, the GSEs began offering the Home Affordable Refinance Program (“HARP”). HARP, which has been extended through December 2015, allows borrowers who are not delinquent but who may not otherwise be able to refinance their loans under the current GSE underwriting standards, to refinance their loans. We allow the HARP refinances on loans that we insure, regardless of whether the loan meets our current underwriting standards, and we account for the refinance as a loan modification (even where there is a new lender) rather than new insurance written.

The effect on us of loan modifications depends on how many modified loans subsequently re-default, which in turn can be affected by changes in housing values. Re-defaults can result in losses for us that could be greater than we would have paid had the loan not been modified. At this point, we cannot predict with a high degree of confidence what the ultimate re-default rate will be. In addition, because we do not have information in our database for all of the parameters used to determine which loans are eligible for modification programs, our estimates of the number of loans qualifying for modification programs are inherently uncertain. If legislation is enacted to permit a portion of a borrower’s mortgage loan balance to be reduced in bankruptcy and if the borrower re-defaults after such reduction, then the amount we would be responsible to cover would be calculated after adding back the reduction. Unless a lender has obtained our prior approval, if a borrower’s mortgage loan balance is reduced outside the bankruptcy context, including in association with a loan modification, and if the borrower re-defaults after such reduction, then under the terms of our policy the amount we would be responsible to cover would be calculated net of the reduction.

As shown in the following table, as of March 31, 2014 approximately 27% of our primary risk in force has been modified.

Policy Year
   
HARP (1) Modifications
   
HAMP Modifications
   
Other Modifications
 
2003 and Prior
     
8.7
%
   
10.2
%
   
10.5
%
2004
     
13.5
%
   
10.5
%
   
9.2
%
2005
     
18.1
%
   
12.4
%
   
10.0
%
2006
     
21.5
%
   
14.8
%
   
10.8
%
2007
     
30.4
%
   
15.8
%
   
6.8
%
2008
     
44.1
%
   
9.3
%
   
3.2
%
2009
     
17.1
%
   
0.6
%
   
0.4
%
 
2010 – Q1 2014
     
0.0
%
   
0.0
%
   
0.0
%
Total
     
15.7
%
   
7.4
%
   
4.3
%
 
(1) Includes proprietary programs that are substantially the same as HARP
 
As of March 31, 2014 based on loan count, the loans associated with 98.5% of all HARP (or similar) modifications, 77.8% of HAMP modifications and 69.2% of other modifications were current.
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Eligibility under certain loan modification programs can adversely affect us by creating an incentive for borrowers who are able to make their mortgage payments to become delinquent in an attempt to obtain the benefits of a modification. New notices of delinquency increase our incurred losses.

Over the past several years, the average time it takes to receive a claim associated with a defaulted loan has increased. This is, in part, due to new loss mitigation protocols established by servicers and to changes in some state foreclosure laws that may include, for example, a requirement for additional review and/or mediation processes. Unless a loan is cured during a foreclosure delay, at the completion of the foreclosure, additional interest and expenses may be due to the lender from the borrower. In some circumstances, our paid claim amount may include some additional interest and expenses.

Factors Affecting Our Results

Our results of operations are affected by:

· Premiums written and earned

Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by:

· New insurance written, which increases insurance in force, and is the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period. Many factors affect new insurance written, including the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those mortgages, including competition from the FHA, other mortgage insurers, GSE programs that may reduce or eliminate the demand for mortgage insurance and other alternatives to mortgage insurance. New insurance written does not include loans previously insured by us which are modified, such as loans modified under HARP.

· Cancellations, which reduce insurance in force. Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force book. Refinancings are also affected by current home values compared to values when the loans in the in force book became insured and the terms on which mortgage credit is available. Cancellations also include rescissions, which require us to return any premiums received related to the rescinded policy, and policies cancelled due to claim payment, which require us to return any premium received from the date of default. Finally, cancellations are affected by home price appreciation, which can give homeowners the right to cancel the mortgage insurance on their loans.

· Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans insured and the percentage of coverage on the loans.

· Premiums ceded under reinsurance agreements. See Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our 2013 quota share agreement, under which premiums are ceded net of a profit commission.

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Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the period. A change in the average insurance in force in the current period compared to an earlier period is a factor that will increase (when the average in force is higher) or reduce (when it is lower) premiums written and earned in the current period, although this effect may be enhanced (or mitigated) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by premiums that are returned or expected to be returned in connection with claim payments and rescissions, and premiums ceded under reinsurance agreements. Also, new insurance written and cancellations during a period will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in the period in which these events occur.

· Investment income

Our investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of investment grade fixed income securities. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair market value, such as from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of cash generated from (or used in) operations, such as net premiums received, investment earnings, net claim payments and expenses, less cash provided by (or used for) non-operating activities, such as debt or stock issuances or repurchases or dividend payments. Realized gains and losses are a function of the difference between the amount received on the sale of a security and the security’s amortized cost, as well as any “other than temporary” impairments recognized in earnings.  The amount received on the sale of fixed income securities is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable securities at the time of sale.

· Losses incurred

Losses incurred are the current expense that reflects estimated payments that will ultimately be made as a result of delinquencies on insured loans. As explained under “Critical Accounting Policies” in our 10-K MD&A, except in the case of a premium deficiency reserve, we recognize an estimate of this expense only for delinquent loans. Losses incurred are generally affected by:

· The state of the economy, including unemployment and housing values, each of which affects the likelihood that loans will become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their delinquency. The level of new delinquencies has historically followed a seasonal pattern, with new delinquencies in the first part of the year lower than new delinquencies in the latter part of the year, though this pattern can be affected by the state of the economy and local housing markets.

· The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims.

· The size of loans insured, with higher average loan amounts tending to increase losses incurred.

· The percentage of coverage on insured loans, with deeper average coverage tending to increase incurred losses.
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· Changes in housing values, which affect our ability to mitigate our losses through sales of properties with delinquent mortgages as well as borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance.

· The rate at which we rescind policies. Our estimated loss reserves reflect mitigation from rescissions of policies and denials of claims. We collectively refer to such rescissions and denials as “rescissions” and variations of this term.

· The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first few years after loans are originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining, although persistency (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior), the condition of the economy, including unemployment and housing prices, and other factors can affect this pattern. For example, a weak economy or housing price declines can lead to claims from older books increasing, continuing at stable levels or experiencing a lower rate of decline. See further information under “Mortgage Insurance Earnings and Cash Flow Cycle” below.

· Losses ceded under reinsurance agreements. See Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our reinsurance agreements.

· Changes in premium deficiency reserve

Each quarter, we re-estimate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from quarter to quarter as a result of two factors.  First, it changes as the actual premiums, losses and expenses that were previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items are reflected in our financial statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses. The difference between the amount and timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to establish the premium deficiency reserve has an effect (either positive or negative) on that period’s results. Second, the premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to the present value of expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that period’s results.

· Underwriting and other expenses

The majority of our operating expenses are fixed, with some variability due to contract underwriting volume. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in “Other revenue.” Underwriting and other expenses are net of any ceding commission associated with our reinsurance agreements. See Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our reinsurance agreements.

· Interest expense

Interest expense reflects the interest associated with our outstanding debt obligations. The principal amount of our long-term debt obligations at March 31, 2014 is comprised of $62.0 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, $345 million of 5% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2017, $500 million of 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020 and $389.5 million of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063 (interest on these debentures accrues and compounds even if we defer the payment of interest), as discussed in Note 3 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements and under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below.
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Mortgage Insurance Earnings and Cash Flow Cycle

In our industry, a “book” is the group of loans insured in a particular calendar year. In general, the majority of any underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of any underwriting profit realized in the first year following the year the book was written. Subsequent years of a book generally result in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results typically occurs because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience typically occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium revenues, as the number of insured loans decreases (primarily due to loan prepayments), and increasing losses.

Summary of 2014 First Quarter Results

Our results of operations for the first quarter of 2014 were principally affected by the factors referred to below.

· Net premiums written and earned

Net premiums written and earned during the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period in 2013. The decrease was due to our lower average insurance in force, as well as an increase in premiums ceded under reinsurance agreements.

· Investment income

Investment income in the first quarter of 2014 was higher when compared to the same period in 2013 due to an increase in our average investment yield, as well as an increase in our average invested portfolio.

· Realized gains (losses) and other-than-temporary impairments

Net realized gains (losses) for the first quarter of 2014 were ($0.2) million compared to $1.3 million for the first quarter of 2013. There were no OTTI losses in the first quarter of 2014 or 2013. At March 31, 2014, the net unrealized losses in our investment portfolio were $45.0 million, which included $67.8 million of gross unrealized losses, partially offset by $22.8 million of gross unrealized gains.

· Losses incurred

Losses incurred for the first quarter of 2014 decreased compared to the same period in 2013, primarily due to fewer new notices of default being received and a lower claim rate on new and previously received delinquencies. There were 23,346 new notices received in the first quarter of 2014 compared to 27,864 new notices received in the first quarter of 2013. There was an increase in the average estimated claim rate and average estimated severity in both the first quarter of 2014 and 2013.
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· Change in premium deficiency reserve

The premium deficiency reserve as of March 31, 2014 reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeds the present value of expected future premiums and already established loss reserves. During the first quarter of 2014 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk transactions declined by $5 million to $43 million. The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses as well as a change in net assumptions for the period. The change in net assumptions for the first quarter of 2014 is primarily related to higher estimated ultimate premiums.

· Underwriting and other expenses

Underwriting and other expenses for the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period last year primarily due to an increase in the ceding commission on our reinsurance agreements.

· Interest expense

Interest expense for the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period in 2013. The decrease is primarily related to a $10.5 million decrease in amortization of the discount on our junior debentures. The discount on the debentures was fully amortized as of March 31, 2013. This decrease to interest expense was somewhat offset by our issuance of Convertible Senior Notes in March 2013.

· Provision for income taxes

We had a net provision for income taxes of $0.7 million and $1.1 million in the first quarter of 2014 and 2013, respectively. The provision for (benefit from) income taxes was offset by a decrease (increase) in the valuation allowance of $22.4 million and ($22.7) million for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, respectively.

Results of Consolidated Operations

New insurance written

The amount of our primary new insurance written during the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 was as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
   
 
Total Primary NIW (In billions)
 
$
5.2
   
$
6.5
 
 
               
Refinance volume as a % of primary
               
NIW
   
15
%
   
46
%

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The decrease in new insurance written in the first quarter of 2014 compared to the same period last year was due to a significant decrease in refinance volume, somewhat offset by an increase in purchase volume. We continue to believe that new insurance written volumes in 2014 will be similar to our 2013 levels. Our industry continues to regain market share from the FHA but the pace of that recovery is slower than we expected given the continued differences in underwriting guidelines, loan level price adjustments by the GSEs and the secondary market benefits associated with government insured loans versus loans insured by the private sector.

The FHA substantially increased its market share beginning in 2008, and beginning in 2011, that market share began to gradually decline. We believe that the FHA’s market share increased, in part, because private mortgage insurers tightened their underwriting guidelines (which led to increased utilization of the FHA’s programs) and because of increases in the amount of loan level delivery fees that the GSEs assess on loans (which result in higher costs to borrowers). In addition, federal legislation and programs provided the FHA with greater flexibility in establishing new products and increased the FHA’s competitive position against private mortgage insurers. We believe that the FHA’s current premium pricing, when compared to our current credit-tiered premium pricing (and considering the effects of GSE pricing changes), has allowed us to be more competitive with the FHA than in the recent past for loans with high FICO credit scores. We cannot predict, however, the FHA’s share of new insurance written in the future due to, among other factors, different loan eligibility terms between the FHA and the GSEs; future increases in guaranty fees charged by the GSEs; changes to the FHA’s annual premiums; and the total profitability that may be realized by mortgage lenders from securitizing loans through Ginnie Mae when compared to securitizing loans through Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Our level of new insurance written could also be affected by other items, including those noted in our risk factors.

Historically, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has been intense and is not expected to diminish given the presence of new entrants. Effective in December 2013, we reduced all of our borrower-paid monthly premium rates and most of our single premium rates to match competition, although in certain states these reductions are not yet effective due to the need for regulatory approval. During most of 2013, when  almost all of our single premium rates were above those most commonly used in the market, single premium policies were approximately 10% of our total NIW and were 13% in the first quarter of 2014. In addition, during periods of declining loan originations, lenders may seek to expand their mortgage lending businesses by requesting discounts from mortgage insurers in order to offer products that are less expensive to borrowers or by requesting more liberal underwriting requirements.

From time to time, in response to market conditions, we change the types of loans that we insure and the requirements under which we insure them. In 2013, we liberalized our underwriting guidelines somewhat, in part through aligning most of our underwriting requirements with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for loans that receive and are processed in accordance with certain approval recommendations from a GSE automated underwriting system. As a result of the liberalization of our underwriting requirements, the migration of lower FICO business from the FHA to us and other private mortgage insurers and other factors, our business written in the last several quarters is expected to have a somewhat higher claim incidence than business written in recent years. However, we believe this business presents an acceptable level of risk. Our underwriting requirements are available on our website at http://www.mgic.com/underwriting/index.html. We monitor the competitive landscape and will make adjustments to our pricing and underwriting guidelines as warranted. We also make exceptions to our underwriting requirements on a loan-by-loan basis and for certain customer programs. Together, the number of loans for which exceptions were made accounted for fewer than 2% of the loans we insured in 2013 and the first quarter of 2014.

52

During the second quarter of 2012, we began writing a portion of our new insurance under an endorsement to our master policy (the “Gold Cert Endorsement”). Our Gold Cert Endorsement limits our right to rescind coverage under certain circumstances. As of March 31, 2014, approximately 17% of our flow, primary insurance in force was written under our Gold Cert Endorsement. However, approximately 65% and 73% of our flow, primary new insurance written in 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, respectively, was written under this endorsement. The Gold Cert Endorsement is filed as Exhibit 99.7 to our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 (filed with the SEC on May 10, 2012).

We are in the process of revising our master policy. The new master policy will comply with various requirements the GSEs have communicated to the industry. These requirements contain limitations on rescission rights that, while generally similar, differ from the limitations in our Gold Cert Endorsement. Our new master policy has been approved by the GSEs, however, it remains subject to review and approval by state insurance regulators. The GSEs have not announced an effective date for the new master policies of all mortgage insurers.
 
Cancellations, insurance in force and risk in force

New insurance written and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 were as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In billions)
 
 
 
   
 
NIW
 
$
5.2
   
$
6.5
 
Cancellations
   
(6.0
)
   
(9.1
)
 
               
Change in primary insurance in force
 
$
(0.8
)
 
$
(2.6
)
 
               
Direct primary insurance in force as of March 31,
 
$
157.9
   
$
159.5
 
 
               
Direct primary risk in force as of March 31,
 
$
40.9
   
$
41.1
 

Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. Cancellations also include rescissions and policies cancelled due to claim payment.
53

Our persistency rate was 81.1% at March 31, 2014 compared to 79.5% at December 31, 2013 and 78.7% at March 31, 2013. Our persistency rate is affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage interest rates on our insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancing. In the first quarter of 2013, due to refinancing, we experienced lower persistency on our 2009 through 2011 books of business. We are currently experiencing better persistency on these books. During the 1990s, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. Since 2000, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 84.7% at December 31, 2009 to a low of 47.1% at December 31, 2003.
 
Bulk transactions

We ceased writing Wall Street bulk business in the fourth quarter of 2007. In addition, we wrote no new business through the bulk channel since the second quarter of 2008. We expect the volume of any future business written through the bulk channel will be insignificant. Wall Street bulk transactions, as of March 31, 2014, included approximately 61,900 loans with insurance in force of approximately $9.2 billion and risk in force of approximately $2.8 billion, which is approximately 77% of our bulk risk in force.

Pool insurance

We are currently not issuing new commitments for pool insurance and expect that the volume of any future pool business will be insignificant.

Our direct pool risk in force was $0.9 billion ($0.3 billion on pool policies with aggregate loss limits and $0.6 billion on pool policies without aggregate loss limits) at March 31, 2014 compared to $1.0 billion ($0.4 billion on pool policies with aggregate loss limits and $0.6 billion on pool policies without aggregate loss limits) at December 31, 2013. If claim payments associated with a specific pool reach the aggregate loss limit the remaining insurance in force within the pool would be cancelled and any remaining defaults under the pool are removed from our default inventory.

Net premiums written and earned

Net premiums written and earned during the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period in 2013. The decrease was due to our lower average insurance in force as well as an increase in premiums ceded under reinsurance agreements.
54

We expect our average insurance in force to increase slightly throughout the remainder of 2014. We expect our premium yields (net premiums earned, expressed on an annual basis, divided by the average insurance in force) for the remainder of 2014 to decline from the level experienced during the first quarter of 2014 due to the 2013 quota share reinsurance agreement under which premiums are ceded net of a profit commission as discussed in Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements as well as, reductions in our premium rates that took effect in December 2013.  Under the quota share agreement we will also recognize benefits to our income statement through reductions to losses incurred and other underwriting expenses. Additional external reinsurance transactions are an option to improve our risk-to-capital ratio in light of the Counterparty Financial Requirements the GSEs are developing; see our Risk Factor titled “We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.” Future external reinsurance or reductions in our premium rates will reduce our future premium yields.
 
Reinsurance agreements

As discussed in Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements, in 2013, MGIC and several of our competitors reached a settlement with the CFPB to resolve its investigation. As part of the settlement, without admitting or denying any liability, we have agreed that we will not enter into any new captive reinsurance agreement or reinsure any new loans under any existing captive reinsurance agreement for a period of ten years. In accordance with this settlement, all of our active captive agreements were placed into run-off. See Note 4 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a description of these reinsurance agreements and the related reinsurance recoverables, as well as a description of our 2013 quota share reinsurance agreement.

At March 31, 2014, approximately 56% of our insurance in force is subject to reinsurance agreements, compared to 10% at March 31, 2013 and 55% at December 31, 2013. For the first quarter of 2014 approximately 93% of our new insurance written was subject to reinsurance agreements, compared to 3% in the first quarter of 2013.

See our risk factor titled “We are involved in legal proceedings and are subject to the risk of additional legal proceedings in the future” for a discussion of requests or subpoenas for information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance agreements.

Investment income

Investment income in the first quarter of 2014 increased compared to the same period in 2013 due to an increase in our investment yield, as well an increase in our average invested portfolio. In March 2013 we received $1.1 billion in proceeds from our concurrent debt and equity offerings. We expect our average invested assets to decrease as we continue to meet our claim obligations. The portfolio’s average pre-tax investment yield was 1.9% at March 31, 2014 and 1.7% at March 31, 2013. The portfolio’s average pre-tax investment yield was 1.7% at December 31, 2013.

Realized gains (losses) and other-than-temporary impairments

Net realized gains (losses) for the first quarter of 2014 were ($0.2) million, compared to $1.3 million for the first quarter of 2013. At March 31, 2014, the net unrealized losses in our investment portfolio were $45.0 million, which included $67.8 million of gross unrealized losses, partially offset by $22.8 million of gross unrealized gains.
55

Losses

As discussed in “Critical Accounting Policies” in our 10-K MD&A and consistent with industry practices, we establish loss reserves for future claims only for loans that are currently delinquent. The terms “delinquent” and “default” are used interchangeably by us. For reporting purposes, we consider a loan in default when it is two or more payments past due. Loss reserves are established based on estimating the number of loans in our default inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity.

Estimation of losses is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy, including unemployment and the current and future strength of local housing markets. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make these assumptions more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could result in, among other things, greater losses on loans that have pool insurance, and may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Our estimates are also affected by any agreements we enter into regarding our claims paying practices, such as the settlement agreements discussed in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies” to our consolidated financial statements. Changes to our estimates could result in a material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment.

Losses incurred

Losses incurred for the first quarter of 2014 decreased compared to the same period in 2013, primarily due to fewer new notices of default being received and a lower claim rate on new and previously received delinquencies. There were 23,346 new notices received in the first quarter of 2014 compared to 27,864 new notices received in the first quarter of 2013. There was an increase in the average estimated claim rate and average estimated severity in both the first quarter of 2014 and 2013.

In the first three months of 2014, net losses incurred were $123 million, comprised of $156 million of current year loss development partially offset by $33 million of favorable prior years’ loss development. In the first three months of 2013, net losses incurred were $266 million, comprised of $269 million of current year loss development partially offset by $3 million of favorable prior years’ loss development.

Historically, losses incurred have followed a seasonal trend in which the second half of the year has weaker credit performance than the first half, with higher new notice activity and a lower cure rate.

See Note 12 – “Loss Reserves” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our losses incurred and claims paying practices.

Information about the composition of the primary default inventory at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appears in the table below.
56

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
 
Total loans delinquent (1)
   
91,842
     
103,328
     
126,610
 
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate)
   
9.67
%
   
10.76
%
   
12.83
%
 
                       
Prime loans delinquent (2)
   
57,965
     
65,724
     
81,783
 
Percentage of prime loans delinquent(default rate)
   
6.95
%
   
7.82
%
   
9.59
%
 
                       
A-minus loans delinquent (2)
   
14,518
     
16,496
     
18,946
 
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent(default rate)
   
27.78
%
   
30.41
%
   
31.01
%
 
                       
Subprime credit loans delinquent (2)
   
5,814
     
6,391
     
6,993
 
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent (default rate)
   
36.14
%
   
38.70
%
   
38.46
%
 
                       
Reduced documentation loans delinquent (3)
   
13,545
     
14,717
     
18,888
 
Percentage of reduced documentation loans delinquent (default rate)
   
29.02
%
   
30.41
%
   
34.15
%

General Notes: (a) For the information presented, the FICO credit score for a loan with multiple borrowers is the lowest of the borrowers’ “decision FICO scores.” A borrower’s “decision FICO score” is determined as follows: if there are three FICO scores available, the middle FICO score is used; if two FICO scores are available, the lower of the two is used; if only one FICO score is available, it is used.
(b) Servicers continue to pay our premiums for nearly all of the loans in our default inventory, but in some cases, servicers stop paying our premiums.   In those cases, even though the loans continue to be included in our default inventory, the applicable loans are removed from our insurance in force and risk in force. Loans where servicers have stopped paying premiums include 5,286 defaults with a risk of $259.3 million as of March 31, 2014.

(1) At March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013, 19,306, 20,955 and 23,705 loans in the default inventory, respectively, related to Wall Street bulk transactions.
(2) We define prime loans as those having FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, A-minus loans as those having FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime credit loans as those having FICO credit scores of less than 575, all as reported to us at the time a commitment to insure is issued. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans were written through the bulk channel. However, we classify all loans without complete documentation as “reduced documentation” loans regardless of FICO score rather than as a prime, “A-minus” or “subprime” loan; in the table above, such loans appear only in the reduced documentation category and they do not appear in any of the other categories.
(3) In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting (AU) systems under "doc waiver" programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by MGIC as "full documentation."   Based in part on information provided by the GSEs, we estimate full documentation loans of this type were approximately 4% of 2007 NIW. Information for other periods is not available. We understand these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to have higher credit quality.  We also understand that the GSEs terminated their “doc waiver” programs, with respect to new commitments, in the second half of 2008.

57

The primary and pool loss reserves at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appear in the table below.
 
Gross Reserves
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
   
   
 
Primary:
 
   
   
 
Direct loss reserves (in millions)
 
$
2,629
   
$
2,834
   
$
3,558
 
Ending default inventory
   
91,842
     
103,328
     
126,610
 
Average direct reserve per default
 
$
28,630
   
$
27,425
   
$
28,100
 
 
                       
Primary claims received inventory included in ending default inventory
   
5,990
     
6,948
     
10,924
 
 
                       
 
                       
Pool (1):
                       
Direct loss reserves (in millions):
                       
With aggregate loss limits (2)
 
$
72
   
$
82
   
$
108
 
Without aggregate loss limits
   
15
     
17
     
19
 
Reserves related to Freddie Mac Settlement (2)
   
115
     
126
     
157
 
Total pool direct loss reserves
 
$
202
   
$
225
   
$
284
 
 
                       
Ending default inventory:
                       
With aggregate loss limits (2)
   
4,714
     
5,496
     
6,648
 
Without aggregate loss limits
   
932
     
1,067
     
1,242
 
Total pool ending default inventory
   
5,646
     
6,563
     
7,890
 
 
                       
Pool claims received inventory included in ending default inventory
   
144
     
173
     
325
 
 
                       
Other gross reserves (in millions)
 
$
4
   
$
2
   
$
6
 

(1) Since a number of our pool policies include aggregate loss limits and/or deductibles, we do not disclose an average direct reserve per default for our pool business.
(2) See our Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 30, 2012 for a discussion of our settlement with Freddie Mac regarding a pool policy.

58

The primary default inventory and primary loss reserves by region at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appears in the table below.
 
Primary Default Inventory
 
   
   
 
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
Region
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Great Lakes
   
10,380
     
12,049
     
14,707
 
Mid-Atlantic
   
4,947
     
5,469
     
6,408
 
New England
   
4,613
     
5,056
     
5,795
 
North Central
   
9,783
     
11,225
     
14,620
 
Northeast
   
14,165
     
15,223
     
16,601
 
Pacific
   
7,511
     
8,313
     
11,642
 
Plains
   
2,675
     
3,156
     
3,645
 
South Central
   
10,137
     
11,606
     
13,715
 
Southeast
   
27,631
     
31,231
     
39,477
 
Total
   
91,842
     
103,328
     
126,610
 
 
                       
Primary Loss Reserves
                       
(In millions)
                       
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
Region
   
2014
     
2013
     
2013
 
Great Lakes
 
$
172
   
$
206
   
$
289
 
Mid-Atlantic
   
128
     
123
     
158
 
New England
   
126
     
139
     
153
 
North Central
   
263
     
313
     
451
 
Northeast
   
458
     
417
     
367
 
Pacific
   
319
     
360
     
529
 
Plains
   
43
     
53
     
63
 
South Central
   
163
     
192
     
283
 
Southeast
   
788
     
849
     
1,026
 
Total before IBNR and LAE
 
$
2,460
   
$
2,652
   
$
3,319
 
IBNR and LAE
   
169
     
182
     
239
 
Total
 
$
2,629
   
$
2,834
   
$
3,558
 

Regions contain the states as follows:
 
Great Lakes:  IN, KY, MI, OH
 
Pacific:  CA, HI, NV, OR, WA
Mid-Atlantic:  DC, DE, MD, VA, WV
 
Plains:  IA, ID, KS, MT, ND, NE, SD, WY
New England:  CT, MA, ME, NH, RI, VT
 
South Central:  AK, AZ, CO, LA, NM, OK,
North Central:  IL, MN, MO, WI
 
TX, UT
Northeast:  NJ, NY, PA
 
Southeast:  AL, AR, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN
59

The primary loss reserves (before IBNR and LAE) at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 separated between our flow and bulk business appears in the table below.

Primary loss reserves
 
   
   
 
(In millions)
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Flow
 
$
1,747
   
$
1,911
   
$
2,460
 
Bulk
   
713
     
741
     
859
 
Total primary reserves
 
$
2,460
   
$
2,652
   
$
3,319
 

The average claim paid, as shown in the table below, can vary materially from period to period based upon a variety of factors, on both a national and state basis, including the geographic mix, average loan amount and average coverage percentage of loans for which claims are paid.

The primary average claim paid for the top 5 states (based on 2014 paid claims) for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 appears in the table below.

Primary average claim paid
 
   
 
 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
Florida
 
$
53,991
   
$
54,750
 
Illinois
   
48,038
     
48,920
 
California
   
80,238
     
86,943
 
Maryland
   
67,851
     
72,032
 
Ohio
   
31,408
     
31,513
 
All other states
   
41,185
     
42,402
 
 
               
All states
 
$
45,897
   
$
47,421
 

The primary average loan size of our insurance in force at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appears in the table below.

Primary average loan size
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Total insurance in force
 
$
166,330
   
$
165,310
   
$
161,590
 
Prime (FICO 620 & >)
   
168,790
     
167,660
     
163,340
 
A-Minus (FICO 575-619)
   
127,140
     
127,280
     
128,390
 
Subprime (FICO < 575)
   
118,410
     
118,510
     
119,540
 
Reduced doc (All FICOs)(1)
   
182,750
     
183,050
     
185,210
 

(1) In this report we classify loans without complete documentation as "reduced documentation" loans regardless of FICO credit score rather than as prime, "A-" or "subprime" loans; in the table above, such loans appear only in the reduced documentation category and they do not appear in any of the other categories.
60

The primary average loan size of our insurance in force at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 for the top 5 states (based on 2014 paid claims) appears in the table below.

Primary average loan size
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Florida
 
$
174,125
   
$
172,869
   
$
171,016
 
Illinois
   
154,788
     
154,694
     
153,997
 
California
   
282,835
     
282,660
     
282,197
 
Maryland
   
237,287
     
236,840
     
234,943
 
Ohio
   
125,183
     
124,709
     
122,042
 
All other states
   
161,109
     
160,049
     
155,966
 

Information about net paid claims during the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 appears in the table below.

Net paid claims (In millions)
 
   
 
 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
Prime (FICO 620 & >)
 
$
228
   
$
329
 
A-Minus (FICO 575-619)
   
39
     
49
 
Subprime (FICO < 575)
   
11
     
14
 
Reduced doc (All FICOs)(1)
   
46
     
56
 
Pool (2)
   
24
     
27
 
Other
   
-
     
-
 
Direct losses paid
   
348
     
475
 
Reinsurance
   
(12
)
   
(15
)
Net losses paid
   
336
     
460
 
Net LAE paid
   
7
     
9
 
Net losses and LAE paid before terminations
   
343
     
469
 
Reinsurance terminations
   
-
     
(3
)
Net losses and LAE paid
 
$
343
   
$
466
 

(1) In this report we classify loans without complete documentation as "reduced documentation" ,loans regardless of FICO credit score rather than as prime, "A-" or "subprime" loans; in the table above, such loans appear only in the reduced documentation category and they do not appear in any of the other categories.
(2) The three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, both include $10 million paid under the terms of the settlement with Freddie Mac.

61

Primary claims paid for the top 15 states (based on 2014 paid claims) and all other states for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013 appears in the table below.

Paid Claims by state (In millions)
   
 
 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
   
 
Florida
 
$
75
   
$
72
 
Illinois
   
28
     
37
 
California
   
20
     
54
 
Maryland
   
15
     
11
 
Ohio
   
12
     
17
 
Washington
   
11
     
20
 
Michigan
   
11
     
18
 
New Jersey
   
10
     
6
 
Pennsylvania
   
10
     
10
 
Georgia
   
9
     
18
 
North Carolina
   
8
     
9
 
Arizona
   
7
     
18
 
New York
   
7
     
4
 
Wisconsin
   
7
     
12
 
Nevada
   
6
     
14
 
All other states
   
88
     
128
 
 
 
$
324
   
$
448
 
Other (Pool, LAE, Reinsurance)
   
19
     
18
 
Net losses and LAE paid
 
$
343
   
$
466
 

We believe paid claims will continue to decline in the remainder of 2014, excluding the expected impact of the remaining Countrywide settlement as discussed in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies” to our consolidated financial statements and in our risk factor titled “We are involved in legal proceedings and are subject to the risk of additional legal proceedings in the future.”

The primary default inventory for the top 15 states (based on 2014 paid claims) at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appears in the table below.
62

Primary default inventory by state
 
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
 
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Florida
   
12,852
     
14,685
     
19,906
 
Illinois
   
5,435
     
6,167
     
8,388
 
California
   
3,266
     
3,656
     
5,362
 
Maryland
   
2,486
     
2,791
     
3,243
 
Ohio
   
4,395
     
5,055
     
6,031
 
Washington
   
1,794
     
1,986
     
2,777
 
Michigan
   
2,771
     
3,284
     
4,210
 
New Jersey
   
4,409
     
4,646
     
5,115
 
Pennsylvania
   
4,906
     
5,449
     
6,031
 
Georgia
   
3,080
     
3,515
     
4,474
 
North Carolina
   
2,515
     
2,886
     
3,528
 
Arizona
   
1,023
     
1,195
     
1,778
 
New York
   
4,850
     
5,128
     
5,455
 
Wisconsin
   
1,862
     
2,176
     
2,702
 
Nevada
   
1,080
     
1,189
     
1,736
 
All other states
   
35,118
     
39,520
     
45,874
 
 
   
91,842
     
103,328
     
126,610
 

The primary default inventory at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 separated between our flow and bulk business appears in the table below.

Primary default inventory
 
   
   
 
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
Flow
   
68,473
     
77,851
     
97,317
 
Bulk
   
23,369
     
25,477
     
29,293
 
 
   
91,842
     
103,328
     
126,610
 

The flow default inventory by policy year at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 appears in the table below.
63

Flow default inventory by policy year
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
 
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
Policy year:
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
2003 and prior
   
9,204
     
10,584
     
13,333
 
2004
   
5,385
     
6,085
     
7,419
 
2005
   
8,194
     
9,217
     
11,376
 
2006
   
11,680
     
13,385
     
16,537
 
2007
   
24,805
     
28,350
     
36,352
 
2008
   
7,676
     
8,674
     
10,933
 
2009
   
682
     
749
     
842
 
2010
   
296
     
327
     
303
 
2011
   
232
     
243
     
164
 
2012
   
232
     
189
     
58
 
2013
   
87
     
48
     
-
 
2014
   
-
     
-
     
-
 
 
   
68,473
     
77,851
     
97,317
 

Our results of operations continue to be negatively impacted by the mortgage insurance we wrote during 2005 through 2008. Although uncertainty remains with respect to the ultimate losses we may experience on these books of business, as we continue to write new insurance on high-quality mortgages, those books have become a smaller percentage of our total portfolio, and we expect this trend to continue. Our 2005 through 2008 books of business represented approximately 47% of our total primary risk in force at March 31, 2014 compared to approximately 49% at December 31, 2013 and 56% at March 31, 2013.

As of March 31, 2014, 41% of our primary risk in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2009, 44% of our primary risk in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2008, and 55% of our primary risk in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2007. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third and fourth year after the year of loan origination. On our bulk business, the period of highest claims frequency has generally occurred earlier than in the historical pattern on our flow business. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be affected by many factors, including persistency and deteriorating economic conditions. Low persistency can accelerate the period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs. Deteriorating economic conditions can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims.

Premium deficiency

Beginning in 2007, when we stopped writing Wall Street bulk business, we began to separately measure the performance of these transactions and established a premium deficiency reserve related to this business. The premium deficiency reserve reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premiums and already established loss reserves. This premium deficiency reserve as of March 31, 2014 was $43 million. The discount rate used in the calculation of the premium deficiency reserve at March 31, 2014 was 1.8%.

See Note 13 – “Premium Deficiency Reserve” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our premium deficiency reserve.

64

Underwriting and other expenses

 Underwriting and other expenses for the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period last year primarily due to an increase in the ceding commission on our reinsurance agreements.
 
Ratios

The table below presents our GAAP loss, expense and combined ratios for our combined insurance operations for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013.

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
 
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
   
 
Loss ratio
   
57.2
%
   
107.8
%
Underwriting expense ratio
   
15.7
%
   
18.0
%
Combined ratio
   
72.9
%
   
125.8
%

The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The loss ratio does not reflect any effects due to premium deficiency. The decrease in the loss ratio in the first quarter of 2014, compared to the first quarter of 2013, was due to a decrease in losses incurred, partially offset by a decrease in premiums earned. The underwriting expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the underwriting expenses of our combined insurance operations (which excludes the cost of non-insurance operations) to net premiums written. The decrease in the expense ratio in the first quarter of 2014, compared to the first quarter of 2013, was due to a decrease in underwriting expenses for our combined insurance operations, partially offset by a decrease in net premiums written. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. See further discussion under "Results of Consolidated Operations - Losses incurred, - Net premiums written and earned and - Underwriting and other expenses".
 
Interest expense

Interest expense for the first quarter of 2014 decreased when compared to the same period in 2013. The decrease is primarily related to a $10.5 million decrease in amortization of the discount on our junior debentures. The discount on the debentures was fully amortized as of March 31, 2013. This decrease to interest expense was somewhat offset by our issuance of 2% Convertible Senior Notes in March 2013.

Income taxes

The effective tax rate on our pre-tax income (loss) was 1.2% and (1.6%) in the first three months of 2014 and 2013, respectively. During those periods, the provision (benefit) from income taxes was reduced by the change in the valuation allowance.

See Note 11 – “Income Taxes” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our tax position.
65

Financial Condition
 
At March 31, 2014 the total fair value of our investment portfolio was $4.8 billion. In addition, at March 31, 2014 our total assets included approximately $314 million of cash and cash equivalents as shown on our consolidated balance sheet. At March 31, 2014, based on fair value, virtually all of our fixed income securities were investment grade securities. The percentage of investments rated BBB may increase as we reinvest to achieve higher yields and, in part, due to the reduced availability of highly rated corporate securities. Lower rated investments have greater risk. More than 99% of our fixed income securities are readily marketable. The composition of ratings at March 31, 2014, December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2013 are shown in the table below.

Investment Portfolio Ratings
   
   
 
 
 
   
   
 
 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
   
2013
 
 
 
   
   
 
AAA
   
39
%
   
42
%
   
50
%
AA
   
17
%
   
17
%
   
14
%
A
   
30
%
   
27
%
   
25
%
BBB
   
14
%
   
14
%
   
11
%
 
                       
Investment grade
   
100
%
   
100
%
   
100
%
 
                       
Below investment grade
   
-
     
-
     
-
 
 
                       
Total
   
100
%
   
100
%
   
100
%

The ratings above are provided by one or more of: Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings. If three ratings are available the middle rating is utilized, otherwise the lowest rating is utilized.

Approximately 2% of our investment portfolio, excluding cash and cash equivalents, is guaranteed by financial guarantors.  We evaluate the credit risk of securities through analysis of the underlying fundamentals. The extent of our analysis depends on a variety of factors, including the issuer’s sector, scale, profitability, debt cover, ratings and the tenor of the investment. At March 31, 2014, less than 1% of our fixed income securities were relying on financial guaranty insurance to elevate their rating.

We primarily place our investments in investment grade securities pursuant to our investment policy guidelines. The policy guidelines also limit the amount of our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At March 31, 2014, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 3.6 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 3.6% in the fair value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the fair value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the fair value would increase. See Note 7 – “Investments” to our consolidated financial statements for additional disclosure surrounding our investment portfolio.
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At March 31, 2014, we had outstanding $62.0 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, with an approximate fair value of $64 million, $345 million principal amount of 5% Convertible Senior Notes outstanding due in 2017, with an approximate fair value of $398 million, $500 million principal amount of 2% Convertible Senior Notes outstanding due in 2020, with an approximate fair value of $704 million and $389.5 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063 outstanding, with an approximate fair value of $471 million. See Note 3 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements for additional disclosure on our debt.

See Note 11 – “Income Taxes” to our consolidated financial statements for a description of our federal income tax contingencies.

Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGIC’s mortgage guaranty insurance policies. At March 31, 2014, MGIC’s direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk in force, which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in our records multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit, was approximately $41.8 billion. In addition, as part of our contract underwriting activities provided through a non-insurance subsidiary, that subsidiary is responsible for the quality of the underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. That subsidiary may be required to provide certain remedies to our customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are not met, and we have an established reserve for such future obligations. Claims for remedies may be made a number of years after the underwriting work was performed. Beginning in the second half of 2009, our subsidiary experienced an increase in claims for contract underwriting remedies, which continued throughout 2012. The related contract underwriting remedy expense was approximately $27 million, $23 million and $19 million for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010. The underwriting remedy expense for 2013 and the first quarter of 2014 was approximately $5 million and $2 million, respectively, but may increase in the future.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Overview

Our sources of funds consist primarily of:

· our investment portfolio (which is discussed in “Financial Condition” above), and interest income on the portfolio,

· premiums, net of reinsurance, that we will receive from our existing insurance in force as well as policies that we write in the future and

· amounts that we expect to recover from reinsurance agreements (which is discussed in “Results of Consolidated Operations – Reinsurance agreements” above).
 
Our obligations consist primarily of:
 
· claim payments under MGIC’s mortgage guaranty insurance policies,
67

· $62 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015,

· $345 million of 5% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2017,

· $500 million of 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020,

· $390 million of 9% Convertible Junior Debentures due in 2063,

· interest on the foregoing debt instruments,  and

· the other costs and operating expenses of our business.
 
Subject to certain limitations and restrictions, holders of each of the convertible debt issues may convert their notes into shares of our common stock at their option prior to certain dates prescribed under the terms of their issuance, in which case our corresponding obligation will be eliminated.

Since 2009, our claim payments have exceeded our premiums received. We expect that this trend will continue. Due to the uncertainty regarding how factors such as new loss mitigation protocols established by servicers and changes in some state foreclosure laws that may include, for example, a requirement for additional review and/or mediation process, will affect our future paid claims it has become even more difficult to estimate the amount and timing of future claim payments. When we experience cash shortfalls, we can fund them through sales of short-term investments and other investment portfolio securities, subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were required by an entity other than the seller. In addition, we align the maturities of our investment portfolio with our estimate of future obligations. A significant portion of our investment portfolio securities are held by our insurance subsidiaries. As long as the trends discussed above continue, we expect to experience significant declines in our investment portfolio.

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities:

 
 
For the Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In thousands)
 
Total cash (used in) provided by:
 
   
 
Operating activities
 
$
(158,927
)
 
$
(251,709
)
Investing activities
   
144,889
     
(288,318
)
Financing activities
   
(21,767
)
   
1,148,212
 
 
               
(Decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
 
$
(35,805
)
 
$
608,185
 

68

Cash used in operating activities for the first three months of 2014 was lower compared to the same period in 2013 primarily due to a decrease in losses paid, partially offset by a decrease in premiums collected.

Cash used in investing activities decreased in the first three months of 2014 compared to the same period in 2013 due to investment activity related to the proceeds from our concurrent common stock and convertible senior notes offerings in March 2013 discussed in Note 3 – “Debt” and Note 14 – “Shareholders’ Equity” to our consolidated financial statements. The decrease in cash provided from financing activities in the first three months of 2014, compared to the same period in 2013, was also related to these offerings.
 
Debt at Our Holding Company and Holding Company Capital Resources

The senior notes, convertible senior notes and convertible debentures are obligations of MGIC Investment Corporation and not of its subsidiaries. The payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries, which other than raising capital in the public markets is the principal source of our holding company cash inflow, is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the principal source of dividend-paying capacity.  Since 2008, MGIC has not paid any dividends to our holding company. Through 2014, MGIC cannot pay any dividends to our holding company without approval from the OCI.

At March 31, 2014, we had approximately $542 million in cash and investments at our holding company.

As of March 31, 2014, our holding company’s debt obligations were $1,297 million in par value consisting of:

· $62 million in par value of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, with an annual interest cost of $3 million;

· $345 million in par value of 5% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2017, with an annual interest cost of $17 million;

· $500 million in par value of 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020, with an annual interest cost of $10 million; and

· $390 million in par value of 9% Convertible Junior Debentures due in 2063, with an annual interest cost of $35 million.

See Note 8 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 for additional information about this indebtedness, including restrictive covenants in our Senior Notes and our option to defer interest on our Convertible Junior Debentures. Any deferred interest compounds at the stated rate of 9%. The description in Note 8 - “Debt" to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the notes and debentures. The terms of our Senior Notes are contained in the Officer's Certficate, dated as of October 4, 2005, which specifies the interest rate, maturity date and other terms, and in the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000, between us and the trustee, included as an exhibit to our Form 8-K filed with the SEC on October 19, 2000 (the "2000 Indenture"). The terms of our 5% Convertible Senior Notes are contained in a Supplemental Indenture, dated as of April 26, 2010, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, which is included as an exhibit to our 8-K filed with the SEC on April 30, 2010, and in the 2000 Indenture. The terms of our 2% Convertible Senior Notes are contained in a Second Supplemental Indenture, dated as of March 12, 2013, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, and the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000, between us and the trustee. The terms of our Convertible Junior Debentures are contained in the Indenture dated as of March 28, 2008, between us and U.S. Bank National Association filed as an exhibit to our Form 10-Q filed with the SEC on May 12, 2008.
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Our holding company has no other material sources of cash inflows other than investment income. Furthermore, our holding company contributed $800 million in the first quarter of 2013, $100 million in December 2012 and $200 million in December 2011 to support its insurance operations. Any further contributions to our insurance operations or other non-insurance affiliates would further decrease our holding company cash and investments. See discussion of our non-insurance contract underwriting services under “Financial Condition” above and in Note 5 – “Litigation and Contingencies” to our consolidated financial statements. We may also contribute funds to our insurance operations in connection with the implementation of revised mortgage insurer eligibility or capital standards by the GSEs or NAIC. See “Overview – Capital” above for a discussion of these capital standards.

During the first quarter of 2014 we repurchased $20.9 million of our 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 at a cost slightly above par value. During 2013 we repurchased $17.2 million of our 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 at par value. We may from time to time continue to seek to acquire our debt obligations through cash purchases and/or exchanges for other securities. We may do this in open market purchases, privately negotiated acquisitions or other transactions. The amounts involved may be material.

Risk-to-Capital

We compute our risk-to-capital ratio on a separate company statutory basis, as well as for our combined insurance operations. The risk-to-capital ratio is our net risk in force divided by our policyholders’ position. Our net risk in force includes both primary and pool risk in force, and excludes risk on policies that are currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established. The risk amount includes pools of loans or bulk deals with contractual aggregate loss limits and in some cases without these limits. Policyholders’ position consists primarily of statutory policyholders’ surplus (which increases as a result of statutory net income and decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends paid), plus the statutory contingency reserve. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a liability on the statutory balance sheet. A mortgage insurance company is required to make annual contributions to the contingency reserve of approximately 50% of net earned premiums. These contributions must generally be maintained for a period of ten years.  However, with regulatory approval a mortgage insurance company may make early withdrawals from the contingency reserve when incurred losses exceed 35% of net earned premium in a calendar year.

The premium deficiency reserve discussed in Note 13 – “Premium Deficiency Reserve” to our consolidated financial statements is not recorded as a liability on the statutory balance sheet and is not a component of statutory net income. The present value of expected future premiums and already established loss reserves and statutory contingency reserves, exceeds the present value of expected future losses and expenses on our total in force book, so no deficiency is recorded on a statutory basis. On a GAAP basis, contingency loss reserves are not established and thus not considered when calculating premium deficiency reserve and policies are grouped based on how they are acquired, serviced and measured.

70

MGIC’s separate company preliminary risk-to-capital calculation appears in the table below.

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In millions, except ratio)
 
 
 
   
 
Risk in force - net (1)
 
$
24,212
   
$
24,054
 
 
               
Statutory policyholders' surplus
 
$
1,511
   
$
1,521
 
Statutory contingency reserve
   
69
     
-
 
 
               
Statutory policyholders' position
 
$
1,580
   
$
1,521
 
 
               
Risk-to-capital
 
15.3:1
   
15.8:1
 
 
(1) Risk in force – net, as shown in the table above, is net of reinsurance and exposure on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established.
 
Our combined insurance companies’ preliminary risk-to-capital calculation appears in the table below.

 
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
 
 
 
2014
   
2013
 
 
 
(In millions, except ratio)
 
 
 
   
 
Risk in force - net (1)
 
$
29,623
   
$
29,468
 
 
               
Statutory policyholders' surplus
 
$
1,575
   
$
1,584
 
Statutory contingency reserve
   
105
     
19
 
 
               
Statutory policyholders' position
 
$
1,680
   
$
1,603
 
 
               
Risk-to-capital
 
17.6:1
   
18.4:1
 

(1) Risk in force – net, as shown in the table above, is net of reinsurance and exposure on policies currently in default ($4.2 billion at March 31, 2014 and $4.7 billion at December 31, 2013) and for which loss reserves have been established.
 
Our risk-to-capital ratio will increase if (i) the percentage decrease in capital exceeds the percentage decrease in insured risk, or (ii) the percentage increase in capital is less than the percentage increase in insured risk.

For additional information regarding regulatory capital see Note 1 – “Nature of Business – Capital - GSEs” and Note 15 – “Statutory Capital” to our consolidated financial statements as well as our risk factor titled “Capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis.”

71

Financial Strength Ratings

The financial strength of MGIC, our principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, is rated Ba3 by Moody’s Investors Service with a stable outlook. Standard & Poor’s Rating Services’ insurer financial strength rating of MGIC is BB with a positive outlook. For further information about the importance of MGIC’s ratings, see our risk factors titled “We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ mortgage insurer eligibility requirements” and “Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.”

Contractual Obligations

At March 31, 2014, the approximate future payments under our contractual obligations of the type described in the table below are as follows:
 
 
 
Payments due by period
 
Contractual Obligations (In millions):
 
   
Less than
   
   
   
More than
 
 
 
Total
   
1 year
   
1-3 years
   
3-5 years
   
5 years
 
Long-term debt obligations
 
$
3,164
   
$
66
   
$
190
   
$
444
   
$
2,464
 
Operating lease obligations
   
3
     
1
     
1
     
1
     
-
 
Tax obligations
   
19
     
-
     
-
     
19
     
-
 
Purchase obligations
   
3
     
2
     
1
     
-
     
-
 
Pension, SERP and other post-retirement
                                       
benefit plans
   
182
     
13
     
29
     
33
     
107
 
Other long-term liabilities
   
2,835
     
1,418
     
1,219
     
198
     
-
 
 
                                       
Total
 
$
6,206
   
$
1,500
   
$
1,440
   
$
695
   
$
2,571
 
 
Our long-term debt obligations at March 31, 2014 include, $62.0 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, $345.0 million of 5% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2017, $500 million 2% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2020 and $389.5 million in convertible debentures due in 2063, including related interest, as discussed in Note 3 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements and under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” above. Our operating lease obligations include operating leases on certain office space, data processing equipment and autos, as discussed in Note 19 – “Leases” to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013. Tax obligations consist primarily of amounts related to our current dispute with the IRS, as discussed in Note 11 – “Income Taxes.” Purchase obligations consist primarily of agreements to purchase data processing hardware or services made in the normal course of business. See Note 13 – “Benefit Plans” to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 for discussion of expected benefit payments under our benefit plans.
72

Our other long-term liabilities represent the loss reserves established to recognize the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. The timing of the future claim payments associated with the established loss reserves was determined primarily based on two key assumptions: the length of time it takes for a notice of default to develop into a received claim and the length of time it takes for a received claim to be ultimately paid. The future claim payment periods are estimated based on historical experience, and could emerge significantly different than this estimate. Due to the uncertainty regarding how certain factors, such as new loss mitigation protocols established by servicers and changes in some state foreclosure laws that may include, for example, a requirement for additional review and/or mediation process, will affect our future paid claims it has become even more difficult to estimate the amount and timing of future claim payments. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make all of the assumptions discussed in this paragraph more volatile than they would otherwise be. See Note 12 – “Loss Reserves” to our consolidated financial statements and “-Critical Accounting Policies” in our 10-K MD&A. In accordance with GAAP for the mortgage insurance industry, we establish loss reserves only for loans in default. Because our reserving method does not take account of the impact of future losses that could occur from loans that are not delinquent, our obligation for ultimate losses that we expect to occur under our policies in force at any period end is not reflected in our financial statements or in the table above.

Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors

GeneralOur revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to under “Location of Risk Factors” below. These risk factors are an integral part of Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words such as we “believe,” “anticipate” or “expect,” or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements being current as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Location of Risk Factors:  The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by this 10-Q and through updating of various statistical and other information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Item 3.
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

At March 31, 2014, the derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were immaterial. We place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At March 31, 2014, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 3.6 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 3.6% in the market value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the market value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the market value would increase.

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Item 4.
Controls and Procedures

Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the first quarter of 2014 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

PART II.  OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1A.
Risk Factors

With the exception of the changes described and set forth below, there have been no material changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 as supplemented by Part II, Item I A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by this 10-Q, and through updating of various statistical and other information, are reproduced in their entirety in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

We are involved in legal proceedings and are subject to the risk of additional legal proceedings in the future.

Before paying a claim, we review the loan and servicing files to determine the appropriateness of the claim amount. All of our insurance policies provide that we can reduce or deny a claim if the servicer did not comply with its obligations under our insurance policy, including the requirement to mitigate our loss by performing reasonable loss mitigation efforts or, for example, diligently pursuing a foreclosure or bankruptcy relief in a timely manner. We call such reduction of claims submitted to us “curtailments.” In 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, curtailments reduced our average claim paid by approximately 5.8% and 5.9%, respectively. In addition, the claims submitted to us sometimes include costs and expenses not covered by our insurance policies, such as hazard insurance premiums for periods after the claim date and losses resulting from property damage that has not been repaired. These other adjustments reduced claim amounts by less than the amount of curtailments. After we pay a claim, servicers and insureds sometimes object to our curtailments and other adjustments. We review these objections if they are sent to us within 90 days after the claim was paid.

When reviewing the loan file associated with a claim, we may determine that we have the right to rescind coverage on the loan. Prior to 2008, rescissions of coverage on loans were not a material portion of our claims resolved during a year. However, beginning in 2008, our rescissions of coverage on loans have materially mitigated our paid losses. In 2009 through 2011, rescissions mitigated our paid losses in the aggregate by approximately $3.0 billion; and in 2012, 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, rescissions mitigated our paid losses by approximately $0.3 billion, $135 million and $26 million, respectively (in each case, the figure includes amounts that would have either resulted in a claim payment or been charged to a deductible under a bulk or pool policy, and may have been charged to a captive reinsurer). In recent quarters, approximately 5% of claims received in a quarter have been resolved by rescissions, down from the peak of approximately 28% in the first half of 2009.

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We estimate rescissions mitigated our incurred losses by approximately $2.5 billion in 2009 and $0.2 billion in 2010. These figures include the benefit of claims not paid in the period as well as the impact of changes in our estimated expected rescission activity on our loss reserves in the period. In 2012, we estimate that our rescission benefit in loss reserves was reduced by $0.2 billion due to probable rescission settlement agreements. We estimate that other rescissions had no significant impact on our losses incurred in 2011 through the first quarter of 2014. At March 31, 2014, we estimate that our total loss reserves were benefited from anticipated rescissions by approximately $70 million. Our loss reserving methodology incorporates our estimates of future rescissions and reversals of rescissions. Historically, reversals of rescissions have been immaterial. A variance between ultimate actual rescission and reversal rates and our estimates, as a result of the outcome of litigation, settlements or other factors, could materially affect our losses.

If the insured disputes our right to rescind coverage, we generally engage in discussions in an attempt to settle the dispute. As part of those discussions, we may voluntarily suspend rescissions we believe may be part of a settlement. In 2011, Freddie Mac advised its servicers that they must obtain its prior approval for rescission settlements, Fannie Mae advised its servicers that they are prohibited from entering into such settlements and Fannie Mae notified us that we must obtain its prior approval to enter into certain settlements. Since those announcements, the GSEs have consented to our settlement agreements with two customers, one of which is Countrywide, as discussed below, and have rejected other settlement agreements. We have reached and implemented settlement agreements that do not require GSE approval, but they have not been material in the aggregate.

If we are unable to reach a settlement, the outcome of a dispute ultimately would be determined by legal proceedings. Under our policies, legal proceedings disputing our right to rescind coverage may be brought up to three years after the lender has obtained title to the property (typically through a foreclosure) or the property was sold in a sale that we approved, whichever is applicable, although in a few jurisdictions there is a longer time to bring such an action. As of March 31, 2014, the period in which a dispute may be brought has not ended for approximately 26% of our post-2008 rescissions that are not subject to a settlement agreement.

Until a liability associated with a settlement agreement or litigation becomes probable and can be reasonably estimated, we consider our claim payment or rescission resolved for financial reporting purposes even though discussions and legal proceedings have been initiated and are ongoing. Under ASC 450-20, an estimated loss from such discussions and proceedings is accrued for only if we determine that the loss is probable and can be reasonably estimated.

Since December 2009, we have been involved in legal proceedings with Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. (“CHL”) and its affiliate, Bank of America, N.A., as successor to Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP (“BANA” and collectively with CHL, “Countrywide”) in which Countrywide alleged that MGIC denied valid mortgage insurance claims. (In our SEC reports, we refer to insurance rescissions and denials of claims collectively as “rescissions” and variations of that term.) In addition to the claim amounts it alleged MGIC had improperly denied, Countrywide contended it was entitled to other damages of almost $700 million as well as exemplary damages. We sought a determination in those proceedings that we were entitled to rescind coverage on the applicable loans.
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In April 2013, MGIC entered into separate settlement agreements with CHL and BANA, pursuant to which the parties will settle the Countrywide litigation as it relates to MGIC’s rescission practices (as amended, the “Agreements”). The original Agreements are described in our Form 8-K filed with the SEC on April 25, 2013. The original Agreements are filed as exhibits to that Form 8-K and amendments were filed with our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2013 and our Form 10-K for 2013, and an amendment extending a time period in the Agreement with CHL will be filed with our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014. Certain portions of the Agreements are redacted and covered by a confidential treatment request that has been granted (or is pending).

The Agreement with BANA covers loans purchased by the GSEs. That Agreement was implemented beginning in November 2013 and we resolved all related suspended rescissions in November and December 2013 by paying the associated claim or processing the rescission. The pending arbitration proceedings concerning the loans covered by that agreement have been dismissed, the mutual releases between the parties regarding such loans have become effective and the litigation between the parties regarding such loans is to be dismissed.

The Agreement with CHL covers loans that were purchased by non-GSE investors, including securitization trusts (the “other investors”). That Agreement will be implemented only as and to the extent that it is consented to by or on behalf of the other investors, and any such implementation is expected to occur later in 2014. While there can be no assurance that the Agreement with CHL will be implemented, we have determined that its implementation is probable.

We recorded the estimated impact of the Agreements and another probable settlement in our financial statements for the quarter ending December 31, 2012. We have also recorded the estimated impact of other probable settlements, which in the aggregate have not been material. The estimated impact that we recorded is our best estimate of our loss from these matters. We estimate that the maximum exposure above the best estimate provision we recorded is $484 million, of which about 50% is from rescission practices subject to the Agreement with CHL. If we are not able to implement the Agreement with CHL or the other settlements we consider probable, we intend to defend MGIC vigorously against any related legal proceedings.

The flow policies at issue with Countrywide are in the same form as the flow policies that we used with all of our customers during the period covered by the Agreements, and the bulk policies at issue vary from one another, but are generally similar to those used in the majority of our Wall Street bulk transactions.

We are involved in discussions and legal and consensual proceedings with customers with respect to our claims paying practices that are collectively material in amount. These include a previously disclosed curtailment dispute with Countrywide that is in a mediation process. Although it is reasonably possible that, when these discussions or proceedings are completed, we will not prevail in all cases, we are unable to make a reasonable estimate or range of estimates of the potential liability. We estimate the maximum exposure associated with these discussions and proceedings to be approximately $266 million, although we believe we will ultimately resolve these matters for significantly less than this amount.

The estimates of our maximum exposure referred to above do not include interest or consequential or exemplary damages.
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Consumers continue to bring lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. Mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGIC’s settlement of class action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs’ claims in litigation against it under FCRA in December 2004, following denial of class certification in June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation has been brought against a number of large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. Beginning in December 2011, MGIC, together with various mortgage lenders and other mortgage insurers, has been named as a defendant in twelve lawsuits, alleged to be class actions, filed in various U.S. District Courts. Seven of those cases have previously been dismissed without any further opportunity to appeal.  The complaints in all of the cases allege various causes of action related to the captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements of the mortgage lenders, including that the lenders’ captive reinsurers received excessive premiums in relation to the risk assumed by those captives, thereby violating RESPA. MGIC denies any wrongdoing and intends to vigorously defend itself against the allegations in the lawsuits. There can be no assurance that we will not be subject to further litigation under RESPA (or FCRA) or that the outcome of any such litigation, including the lawsuits mentioned above, would not have a material adverse effect on us.

In 2013, the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida approved a settlement with the CFPB that resolved a federal investigation of MGIC’s participation in captive reinsurance arrangements in the mortgage insurance industry. The settlement concluded the investigation with respect to MGIC without the CFPB or the court making any findings of wrongdoing. As part of the settlement, MGIC agreed that it would not enter into any new captive reinsurance agreement or reinsure any new loans under any existing captive reinsurance agreement for a period of ten years. MGIC had voluntarily suspended most of its captive arrangements in 2008 in response to market conditions and GSE requests. In connection with the settlement, MGIC paid a civil penalty of $2.65 million and the court issued an injunction prohibiting MGIC from violating any provisions of RESPA.

We received requests from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the “MN Department”) beginning in February 2006 regarding captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters in response to which MGIC has provided information on several occasions, including as recently as May 2011. In August 2013, MGIC and several competitors received a draft Consent Order from the MN Department containing proposed conditions to resolve its investigation, including unspecified penalties. We are engaged in discussions with the MN Department regarding the draft Consent Order. We also received a request in June 2005 from the New York Department of Financial Services for information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about, investigate, or seek remedies regarding captive mortgage reinsurance.

Various regulators, including the CFPB, state insurance commissioners and state attorneys general may bring actions seeking various forms of relief in connection with violations of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our practices are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the eventual scope, duration or outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry.

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We are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by state insurance departments. These regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders, rather than for the benefit of investors. Although their scope varies, state insurance laws generally grant broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business. Given the recent significant losses incurred by many insurers in the mortgage and financial guaranty industries, our insurance subsidiaries have been subject to heightened scrutiny by insurance regulators. State insurance regulatory authorities could take actions, including changes in capital requirements or termination of waivers of capital requirements, that could have a material adverse effect on us. As noted above, in early 2013, the CFPB issued rules to implement laws requiring mortgage lenders to make ability-to-repay determinations prior to extending credit. We are uncertain whether the CFPB will issue any other rules or regulations that affect our business. Such rules and regulations could have a material adverse effect on us.

In December 2013, the U.S. Treasury Department’s Federal Insurance Office released a report that calls for federal standards and oversight for mortgage insurers to be developed and implemented. It is uncertain what form the standards and oversight will take and when they will become effective.

We understand several law firms have, among other things, issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating us, including whether the fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plan’s investment in or holding of our common stock or whether we breached other legal or fiduciary obligations to our shareholders. We intend to defend vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers and 401(k) plan fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them.

A non-insurance subsidiary of our holding company is a shareholder of the corporation that operates the Mortgage Electronic Registration System (“MERS”). Our subsidiary, as a shareholder of MERS, has been named as a defendant (along with MERS and its other shareholders) in eight lawsuits asserting various causes of action arising from allegedly improper recording and foreclosure activities by MERS. Seven of these lawsuits have been dismissed without any further opportunity to appeal. The remaining lawsuit had also been dismissed by the U.S. District Court, however, the plaintiff in that lawsuit filed a motion for reconsideration by the U.S. District Court and to certify a related question of law to the Supreme Court of the State in which the U.S. District Court is located. In April 2014, that motion for reconsideration was denied, however, the plaintiff may appeal. The damages sought in this remaining case are substantial. We deny any wrongdoing and intend to defend ourselves vigorously against the allegations in the lawsuits.

In addition to the matters described above, we are involved in other legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business. In our opinion, based on the facts known at this time, the ultimate resolution of these ordinary course legal proceedings will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations.

Because loss reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and are based on assumptions that are currently very volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.

We establish reserves using estimated claim rates and claim amounts in estimating the ultimate loss on delinquent loans. The estimated claim rates and claim amounts represent our best estimates of what we will actually pay on the loans in default as of the reserve date and incorporate anticipated mitigation from rescissions. We rescind coverage on loans and deny claims in cases where we believe our policy allows us to do so. Therefore, when establishing our loss reserves, we do not include additional loss reserves that would reflect a possible adverse development from ongoing dispute resolution proceedings regarding rescissions and denials unless we have determined that a loss is probable and can be reasonably estimated. For more information regarding our legal proceedings, see our risk factor titled “We are involved in legal proceedings and are subject to the risk of additional legal proceedings in the future.”

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The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by management. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make the assumptions that we use to establish loss reserves more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments and a drop in housing values that could result in, among other things, greater losses on loans that have pool insurance, and may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Changes to our estimates could result in material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment For example, better or worse loss development than we had assumed at the end of the prior period could have a material impact on our results. In addition, historically, losses incurred have followed a seasonal trend in which the second half of the year has weaker credit performance than the first half, with higher new notice activity and a lower cure rate.

We rely on our management team and our business could be harmed if we are unable to retain qualified personnel.

Our industry is undergoing a fundamental shift following the mortgage crisis: long-standing competitors have gone out of business and two newly capitalized start-ups that are not encumbered with a portfolio of pre-crisis mortgages have been formed. Former executives from other mortgage insurers have joined these two new competitors. In addition, in January 2014, a worldwide insurer and reinsurer with mortgage insurance operations in Europe announced that it had completed the purchase of a competitor, CMG Mortgage Insurance Company, and that it had received approval as an eligible insurer from both GSEs. Our success depends, in part, on the skills, working relationships and continued services of our management team and other key personnel. The departure of key personnel could adversely affect the conduct of our business. In such event, we would be required to obtain other personnel to manage and operate our business, and there can be no assurance that we would be able to employ a suitable replacement for the departing individuals, or that a replacement could be hired on terms that are favorable to us. We currently have not entered into any employment agreements with our officers or key personnel. Volatility or lack of performance in our stock price may affect our ability to retain our key personnel or attract replacements should key personnel depart.

Our reinsurance transactions with unaffiliated reinsurers allow each reinsurer, under certain circumstances, to terminate such reinsurer’s portion of the transactions on a run-off basis if during any six month period two or more of our top five executives leave and such reinsurer objects to the replacements of such executives. We view such a termination as unlikely. No objection was made by the reinsurers within the timeframe allowed under the reinsurance agreement for our Chief Financial Officer replacement in the first quarter of 2014. Therefore, that replacement may no longer be considered for purposes of the termination provision.
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The mix of business we write affects the likelihood of losses occurring and our premium yields.

Even when housing values are stable or rising, mortgages with certain characteristics have higher probabilities of claims. These characteristics include loans with loan-to-value ratios over 95% (or in certain markets that have experienced declining housing values, over 90%), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or higher total debt-to-income ratios, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors. As of March 31, 2014, approximately 21.6% of our primary risk in force consisted of loans with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95%, 6.5% had FICO credit scores below 620, and 6.7% had limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, each attribute as determined at the time of loan origination. A material portion of these loans were written in 2005 — 2007 or the first quarter of 2008. In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSEs and other automated underwriting systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by us as “full documentation.” For additional information about such loans, see footnote (3) to the composition of primary default inventory table under “Results of Consolidated Operations-Losses-Losses incurred in Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

Historically, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has been intense and is not expected to diminish given the presence of new entrants. Effective in December 2013, we reduced all of our borrower-paid monthly premium rates and most of our single premium rates to match competition, although in certain states these reductions are not yet effective due to the need for regulatory approval. During most of 2013, when  almost all of our single premium rates were above those most commonly used in the market, single premium policies were approximately 10% of our total NIW and were 13% in the first quarter of 2014. In addition, during periods of declining loan originations, lenders may seek to expand their mortgage lending businesses by requesting discounts from mortgage insurers in order to offer products that are less expensive to borrowers or by requesting more liberal underwriting requirements.

From time to time, in response to market conditions, we change the types of loans that we insure and the requirements under which we insure them. In 2013, we liberalized our underwriting guidelines somewhat, in part through aligning most of our underwriting requirements with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for loans that receive and are processed in accordance with certain approval recommendations from a GSE automated underwriting system. As a result of the liberalization of our underwriting requirements, the migration of lower FICO business from the FHA to us and other private mortgage insurers and other factors, our business written in the last several quarters is expected to have a somewhat higher claim incidence than business written in recent years. However, we believe this business presents an acceptable level of risk. Our underwriting requirements are available on our website at http://www.mgic.com/underwriting/index.html. We monitor the competitive landscape and will make adjustments to our pricing and underwriting guidelines as warranted. We also make exceptions to our underwriting requirements on a loan-by-loan basis and for certain customer programs. Together, the number of loans for which exceptions were made accounted for fewer than 2% of the loans we insured in 2013 and the first quarter of 2014.
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As noted above in our risk factor titled “State capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis,” in 2013, we entered into a quota share reinsurance transaction with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers. Although that transaction reduces our premium yields, the transaction will have a lesser impact on our overall results, as losses ceded under this transaction reduce our losses incurred and the ceding commission we receive reduces our underwriting expenses. As of March 31, 2014, we have accrued a profit commission receivable of $24.6 million, which is included in other assets on our consolidated balance sheet. This receivable is expected to grow materially through the term of the agreement, but the ultimate amount of the commission will depend on the ultimate level of premiums earned and losses incurred under the agreement. Any profit commission would be paid to us upon termination of the reinsurance agreement. The reinsurers are required to maintain trust funds or letters of credit to support recoverable balances for reinsurance, such as loss reserves, paid losses, prepaid reinsurance premiums and profit commissions. As such forms of collateral are in place, we have not established an allowance against these balances.

During the second quarter of 2012, we began writing a portion of our new insurance under an endorsement to our master policy (the “Gold Cert Endorsement”). Our Gold Cert Endorsement limits our ability to rescind coverage under certain circumstances. As of March 31, 2014, approximately 17% of our flow, primary insurance in force was written under our Gold Cert Endorsement. However, approximately 65% and 73% of our flow, primary new insurance written in 2013 and the first quarter of 2014, respectively, was written under this endorsement. The Gold Cert Endorsement is filed as Exhibit 99.7 to our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 (filed with the SEC on May 10, 2012).

We are in the process of revising our master policy. The new master policy will comply with various requirements the GSEs have communicated to the industry. These requirements contain limitations on rescission rights that, while generally similar, differ in some respects from the limitations in our Gold Cert Endorsement. Our new master policy has been approved by the GSEs, however, it remains subject to review and approval by state insurance regulators. The GSEs have not announced an effective date for the new master policies of all mortgage insurers.

As of March 31, 2014, approximately 1.7% of our primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 21.4% of our primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consisted of adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years after the mortgage closing (“ARMs”). We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing. If interest rates should rise between the time of origination of such loans and when their interest rates may be reset, claims on ARMs and adjustable rate mortgages whose interest rates may only be adjusted after five years would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans. In addition, we have insured “interest-only” loans, which may also be ARMs, and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs. We believe claim rates on these loans will be substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers of comparable credit quality.

Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment income will be adequate to compensate for actual losses even under our current underwriting requirements. We do, however, believe that given the various changes in our underwriting requirements that were effective beginning in the first quarter of 2008, our insurance written beginning in the second quarter of 2008 will generate underwriting profits.
 
Item 6.
Exhibits

The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but accompanies this Form 10-Q.
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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on May 9, 2014.

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
 
/s/ Timothy J. Mattke
Timothy J. Mattke
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer
 
/s/ Julie K. Sperber
Julie K. Sperber
Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer

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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)

Exhibit
Number
 
Description of Exhibit
 
 
 
 
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
 
 
 
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
 
 
 
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being "filed")
 
 
 
 
Risk Factors included in Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, and through updating of various statistical and other information
 
 
 
 
Third Amendment to Confidential Settlement Agreement and Release made as of March 13, 2014 by and among Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. and Bank of America, N.A., in its capacity as master servicer or servicer of Subject Loans (as defined in the settlement agreement).
 
 
 
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The following financial information from MGIC Investment Corporation’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, formatted in XBRL (eXtensible Business Reporting Language): (i) Consolidated Balance Sheets as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, (ii) Consolidated Statements of Operations for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, (iii) Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, (iv) Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity for the year ended December 31, 2013 and the three months ended March 31, 2014, (v) Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three months ended March 31, 2014 and 2013, and (vi) the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
 
 
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