OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP - Quarter Report: 2008 June (Form 10-Q)
UNITED
STATES
SECURITIES
AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington,
D.C. 20549
|
FORM
10-Q
|
[x] Quarterly
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
for the quarterly period
ended: June 30,
2008
or
|
[ ] Transition
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
|
Commission
File Number: 001-10607
|
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
(Exact
name of registrant as specified in its
charter)
|
Delaware
|
No.
36-2678171
|
|
(State
or other jurisdiction of
incorporation
or organization)
|
(IRS
Employer Identification No.)
|
307
North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, Illinois
|
60601
|
|
(Address
of principal executive office)
|
(Zip
Code)
|
Registrant's
telephone number, including area code: 312-346-8100
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be
filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the
preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required
to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for
the past 90 days. Yes:x No:¨
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an
accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See
definitions of “accelerated filer”, “large accelerated filer”, and “smaller
reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one).
Large
accelerated filer x
|
Accelerated
filer ¨
|
Non-accelerated
filer ¨
|
Smaller
reporting company ¨
|
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Exchange
Act Rule 12b-2). Yes:¨ No:x
Class
|
Shares
Outstanding
June
30, 2008
|
|
Common
Stock / $1 par value
|
230,717,693
|
There are
35 pages in this report
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
Report on
Form 10-Q / June 30, 2008
INDEX
PAGE
NO.
|
|
PART
I FINANCIAL INFORMATION:
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
BALANCE SHEETS
|
3
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF INCOME
|
4
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
|
5
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
|
6
|
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
|
7 -
10
|
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
|
11
- 31
|
QUANTITATIVE
AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURE ABOUT MARKET RISK
|
32
|
CONTROLS
AND PROCEDURES
|
32
|
PART
II OTHER INFORMATION:
|
|
ITEM
1 – LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
|
33
|
ITEM
1A – RISK FACTORS
|
33
|
ITEM
4 – SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
|
33
|
ITEM
6 – EXHIBITS
|
33
|
SIGNATURE
|
34
|
EXHIBIT
INDEX
|
35
|
2
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Balance Sheets
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
(Unaudited)
June
30,
2008
|
December
31,
2007
|
Assets
|
||||||
Investments:
|
||||||
Available
for sale:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity securities (at fair value) (cost: $7,372.3 and
$7,312.2)
|
$
|
7,378.6
|
$
|
7,383.6
|
||
Equity
securities (at fair value) (adjusted cost: $457.7 and
$807.3)
|
521.0
|
842.1
|
||||
Short-term
investments (at fair value which approximates
cost)
|
555.8
|
462.6
|
||||
Miscellaneous
investments
|
34.4
|
64.7
|
||||
Total
|
8,489.9
|
8,753.1
|
||||
Other
investments
|
8.1
|
8.1
|
||||
Total
investments
|
8,498.1
|
8,761.2
|
||||
Other
Assets:
|
||||||
Cash
|
85.1
|
54.0
|
||||
Securities
and indebtedness of related
parties
|
18.8
|
15.3
|
||||
Accrued
investment
income
|
107.6
|
108.7
|
||||
Accounts
and notes
receivable
|
857.3
|
880.3
|
||||
Federal
income tax recoverable:
Current
|
4.8
|
6.2
|
||||
Prepaid
federal income
taxes
|
501.3
|
536.5
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and funds
held
|
68.3
|
69.9
|
||||
Reinsurance
recoverable: Paid losses
|
59.6
|
65.8
|
||||
Policy and claim
reserves
|
2,309.2
|
2,193.4
|
||||
Deferred
policy acquisition
costs
|
239.7
|
246.5
|
||||
Sundry
assets
|
354.2
|
352.3
|
||||
4,606.4
|
4,529.3
|
|||||
Total
Assets
|
$
|
13,104.5
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
||
Liabilities,
Preferred Stock, and Common Shareholders’ Equity
|
||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||
Losses,
claims, and settlement
expenses
|
$
|
6,762.7
|
$
|
6,231.1
|
||
Unearned
premiums
|
1,178.4
|
1,182.2
|
||||
Other
policyholders' benefits and
funds
|
180.3
|
190.2
|
||||
Total
policy liabilities and
accruals
|
8,121.6
|
7,603.5
|
||||
Commissions,
expenses, fees, and
taxes
|
213.8
|
225.9
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and
funds
|
289.6
|
288.7
|
||||
Federal
income tax
payable:Deferred
|
188.2
|
417.7
|
||||
Debt
|
66.3
|
64.1
|
||||
Sundry
liabilities
|
165.7
|
148.8
|
||||
Commitments
and contingent
liabilities
|
||||||
Total
Liabilities
|
9,045.5
|
8,749.0
|
||||
Preferred
Stock:
|
||||||
Convertible
preferred stock
(1)
|
-
|
-
|
||||
Common
Shareholders’ Equity:
|
||||||
Common
stock
(1)
|
232.2
|
232.0
|
||||
Additional
paid-in
capital
|
354.3
|
344.4
|
||||
Retained
earnings
|
3,440.2
|
3,900.1
|
||||
Accumulated
other comprehensive
income
|
60.4
|
93.3
|
||||
Treasury
stock (at
cost)(1)
|
(28.3)
|
(28.3)
|
||||
Total
Common Shareholders'
Equity
|
4,058.9
|
4,541.6
|
||||
Total
Liabilities, Preferred Stock and Common Shareholders’
Equity
|
$
|
13,104.5
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
|
(1)
|
At
June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, there were 75,000,000 shares of $0.01
par value preferred stock authorized, of which no shares were outstanding.
As of the same dates, there were 500,000,000 shares of common stock, $1.00
par value, authorized, of which 232,283,793 at June 30, 2008 and 232,038,331
at December 31, 2007 were issued. At June 30, 2008 and December 31,
2007, there were 100,000,000 shares of Class B Common Stock, $1.00 par
value, authorized, of which no shares were issued. Common shares
classified as treasury stock were 1,566,100 as of June 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007.
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
3
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Income (Unaudited)
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
Quarters
Ended
June
30,
|
Six
Months Ended
June
30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
2008
|
2007
|
Revenues:
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
783.6
|
$
|
853.0
|
$
|
1,587.7
|
$
|
1,667.2
|
||||
Title,
escrow, and other
fees
|
51.9
|
60.1
|
94.4
|
115.7
|
||||||||
Total
premiums and
fees
|
835.5
|
913.2
|
1,682.2
|
1,783.0
|
||||||||
Net
investment
income
|
93.1
|
93.7
|
188.4
|
185.2
|
||||||||
Other
income
|
8.6
|
12.0
|
17.4
|
21.5
|
||||||||
Total
operating
revenues
|
937.4
|
1,018.9
|
1,888.1
|
1,989.8
|
||||||||
Realized
investment gains (losses):
|
||||||||||||
From
sales
|
6.8
|
13.3
|
7.7
|
16.3
|
||||||||
From
impairments
|
(437.3)
|
-
|
(437.3)
|
-
|
||||||||
Total
realized investment gains (losses)
|
(430.5)
|
13.3
|
(429.6)
|
16.3
|
||||||||
Total
revenues
|
506.9
|
1,032.2
|
1,458.5
|
2,006.2
|
||||||||
Benefits,
Claims and Expenses:
|
||||||||||||
Benefits,
claims, and settlement expenses
|
680.0
|
466.8
|
1,326.0
|
886.4
|
||||||||
Dividends
to
policyholders
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
7.8
|
4.9
|
||||||||
Underwriting,
acquisition, and other expenses
|
338.6
|
393.3
|
680.9
|
786.9
|
||||||||
Interest
and other
charges
|
.7
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
4.9
|
||||||||
Total
expenses
|
1,024.9
|
865.0
|
2,016.2
|
1,683.3
|
||||||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes (credits)
|
(518.1)
|
167.2
|
(557.7)
|
322.9
|
||||||||
Income
Taxes (Credits):
|
||||||||||||
Current
|
18.9
|
38.9
|
38.3
|
88.1
|
||||||||
Deferred
|
(172.1)
|
13.1
|
(212.2)
|
11.8
|
||||||||
Total
|
(153.3)
|
52.0
|
(173.9)
|
99.9
|
||||||||
Net
Income
(Loss)
|
$
|
(364.7)
|
$
|
115.1
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
||||
Net
Income (Loss) Per Share:
|
||||||||||||
Basic:
|
$
|
(1.58)
|
$
|
.50
|
$
|
(1.66)
|
$
|
.96
|
||||
Diluted:
|
$
|
(1.58)
|
$
|
.49
|
$
|
(1.66)
|
$
|
.95
|
Average
shares outstanding:
Basic
|
230,702,352
|
231,558,161
|
230,692,358
|
231,551,981
|
||||
Diluted
|
230,702,352
|
233,556,032
|
230,692,358
|
233,668,853
|
Dividends
Per Common Share:
|
||||||||||||
Cash
|
$
|
.17
|
$
|
.16
|
$
|
.33
|
$
|
.31
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
4
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Comprehensive Income (Unaudited)
($ in Millions)
Quarters
Ended
June
30,
|
Six
Months Ended
June
30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
2008
|
2007
|
Net
income (loss) as
reported
|
$
|
(364.7)
|
$
|
115.1
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
||||
Other
comprehensive income (loss):
|
||||||||||||
Unrealized
gains (losses) on securities:
|
||||||||||||
Unrealized
gains (losses) arising during period
|
(305.7)
|
(60.2)
|
(473.3)
|
(30.5)
|
||||||||
Less:
elimination of pretax realized gains (losses)
included
in income as
reported
|
(430.5)
|
13.3
|
(429.6)
|
16.3
|
||||||||
Pretax
unrealized gains (losses) on securities
carried
at market
value
|
124.7
|
(73.5)
|
(43.7)
|
(46.8)
|
||||||||
Deferred
income taxes
(credits)
|
43.7
|
(25.7)
|
(15.3)
|
(16.4)
|
||||||||
Net
unrealized gains (losses) on securities
|
81.0
|
(47.8)
|
(28.3)
|
(30.4)
|
||||||||
Other
adjustments
|
.7
|
11.2
|
(4.5)
|
12.2
|
||||||||
Net
adjustments
|
81.8
|
(36.5)
|
(32.8)
|
(18.0)
|
||||||||
Comprehensive
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(282.9)
|
$
|
78.5
|
$
|
(416.6)
|
$
|
204.8
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
5
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
($ in Millions)
Six
Months Ended
June
30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Cash
flows from operating activities:
|
||||||
Net
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
||
Adjustments
to reconcile net income to
|
||||||
net
cash provided by operating activities:
|
||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition
costs
|
6.2
|
12.5
|
||||
Premiums
and other
receivables
|
23.2
|
114.9
|
||||
Unpaid
claims and related
items
|
405.9
|
179.1
|
||||
Other
policyholders’ benefits and
funds
|
(3.4)
|
2.0
|
||||
Income
taxes
|
(213.7)
|
12.1
|
||||
Prepaid
federal income
taxes
|
35.2
|
(68.1)
|
||||
Reinsurance
balances and
funds
|
8.8
|
(62.4)
|
||||
Realized
investment (gains)
losses
|
429.6
|
(16.3)
|
||||
Accounts
payable, accrued expenses and
other
|
20.7
|
7.8
|
||||
Total
|
328.8
|
404.8
|
||||
Cash
flows from investing activities:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity securities:
|
||||||
Maturities
and early
calls
|
477.8
|
353.5
|
||||
Sales
|
35.2
|
24.5
|
||||
Sales
of:
|
||||||
Equity
securities
|
6.1
|
70.2
|
||||
Other
-
net
|
37.2
|
9.9
|
||||
Purchases
of:
|
||||||
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
(592.9)
|
(564.1)
|
||||
Equity
securities
|
(93.8)
|
(83.8)
|
||||
Other
-
net
|
(21.3)
|
(14.4)
|
||||
Purchase
of a
business
|
(4.3)
|
(4.3)
|
||||
Net
decrease (increase) in short-term
investments
|
(93.5)
|
29.8
|
||||
Other-net
|
21.4
|
(2.4)
|
||||
Total
|
(227.9)
|
(181.0)
|
||||
Cash
flows from financing activities:
|
||||||
Issuance
of debentures and
notes
|
3.0
|
10.3
|
||||
Issuance
of common
shares
|
2.6
|
8.1
|
||||
Redemption
of debentures and
notes
|
(1.0)
|
(130.9)
|
||||
Dividends
on common
shares
|
(76.0)
|
(71.7)
|
||||
Other-net
|
1.7
|
3.2
|
||||
Total
|
(69.6)
|
(180.9)
|
||||
Increase
(decrease) in cash:
|
31.1
|
42.8
|
||||
Cash,
beginning of
period
|
54.0
|
71.6
|
||||
Cash,
end of
period
|
$
|
85.1
|
$
|
114.5
|
||
Supplemental
cash flow information:
|
||||||
Cash
paid during the period for:
Interest
|
$
|
1.2
|
$
|
4.7
|
||
Income taxes |
$
|
36.7 | $ | 87.2 |
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
6
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)
($ in
Millions, Except Share Data)
1.
|
Accounting Policies and Basis
of Presentation:
|
The
accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity
with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) as described in the
Company’s latest annual report to shareholders or otherwise disclosed herein.
The financial accounting and reporting process relies on estimates and on the
exercise of judgment, but in the opinion of management all adjustments,
consisting only of normal recurring accruals, necessary for a fair presentation
of the results were recorded for the interim periods. Amounts shown in the
consolidated financial statements and applicable notes are stated (except as
otherwise indicated and as to share data) in millions, which amounts may not add
to totals shown due to truncation. Necessary reclassifications are made in prior
periods’ financial statements whenever appropriate to conform to the most
current presentation.
The
Financial Accounting Standards Board’s (“FASB”) Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income
Taxes (“FIN 48”) became effective for the Company in the first quarter of
2007. FIN 48 provides recognition criteria and a related measurement model for
uncertain tax positions taken or expected to be taken in income tax returns. FIN
48 requires that a position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return be
recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not that the
position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. The Company’s
unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not
considered material to the consolidated financial statements and have not
changed significantly upon the adoption of FIN 48. There are no tax
uncertainties that are expected to result in significant increases or decreases
to unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve month period. The Company
views its income tax exposures as consisting of timing differences whereby the
ultimate deductibility of a taxable amount is highly certain but the timing of
its deductibility is uncertain. Such differences relate principally to the
timing of deductions for loss and premium reserves. As in prior examinations,
the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) could assert that claim reserve deductions
were overstated thereby reducing the Company’s statutory taxable income in any
particular year. The Company believes that it establishes its reserves fairly
and consistently at each balance sheet date, and that it would succeed in
defending its tax position in these regards. Because of the impact of deferred
tax accounting under GAAP, other than possible interest and penalties which are
classified as income tax expense, the possible accelerated payment of tax to the
IRS would not affect the annual effective tax rate. The IRS has audited the
Company’s consolidated Federal income tax returns through year end 2003 and no
significant adjustments have resulted.
The
Company’s adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, Fair Value Measurements (“FAS
157”), is discussed in Note 3 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
The
adoption of FIN 48 and FAS 157 result in additional financial statement
disclosures for GAAP reporting purposes and have no effect on the conduct of the
Company’s business, its financial condition and results of
operations.
2.
|
Common Share
Data:
|
Earnings
Per Share - The following table provides a reconciliation of the income and
number of shares used in basic and diluted earnings per share
calculations.
Quarters
Ended
June
30,
|
Six
Months Ended
June
30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
2008
|
2007
|
Numerator:
|
||||||||||||
Net
Income (loss)
|
$
|
(364.7)
|
$
|
115.1
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
||||
Numerator
for basic earnings per share -
|
||||||||||||
income
(loss) available to common stockholders
|
(364.7)
|
115.1
|
(383.8)
|
222.9
|
||||||||
Numerator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
||||||||||||
income
(loss) available to common stockholders
|
||||||||||||
after
assumed conversions
|
$
|
(364.7)
|
$
|
115.1
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
Denominator:
|
||||||||||||
Denominator
for basic earnings per share -
|
||||||||||||
Weighted-average
shares (a)
|
230,702,352
|
231,558,161
|
230,692,358
|
231,551,981
|
||||||||
Effect
of dilutive securities – stock options
|
-
|
1,997,871
|
-
|
2,116,872
|
||||||||
Denominator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
||||||||||||
adjusted
weighted-average shares
|
||||||||||||
and
assumed conversions (a)
|
230,702,352
|
233,556,032
|
230,692,358
|
233,668,853
|
Earnings
per share: Basic
|
$
|
(1.58)
|
$
|
.50
|
$
|
(1.66)
|
$
|
.96
|
||||||
Diluted |
$
|
(1.58)
|
$
|
.49
|
$
|
(1.66)
|
$
|
.95
|
||||||
Anti-dilutive
outstanding stock option awards
excluded
from earning per share computations
|
15,299,396
|
3,831,625
|
15,299,396
|
3,819,125
|
|
(a)
|
All
per share statistics have been restated to reflect all stock dividends and
splits declared through June 30,
2008.
|
7
3.
|
Investments:
|
Effective
January 1, 2008, the Company adopted FAS 157, Fair Value Measurements,
which establishes a framework for measuring fair value, and applies to existing
accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value
measurements. A fair value hierarchy is established within FAS 157
that prioritizes the sources (“inputs”) used to measure fair value into three
broad levels: inputs based on quoted market prices in active markets (Level 1
inputs); observable inputs based on corroboration with available market data
(Level 2 inputs); and unobservable inputs based on uncorroborated market data or
a reporting entity’s own assumptions (Level 3 inputs). The adoption
of FAS 157 has had no impact on the Company’s consolidated financial statements
nor has it resulted in any changes in the asset valuation methods followed by
the Company. The Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K contains disclosures
regarding fair value techniques used for its invested asset
portfolio.
The
following table shows a summary of assets measured at fair value segregated
among the various input levels required by FAS 157:
Fair
value measurements as of June 30,
2008:
|
Level
1
|
Level
2
|
Level
3
|
Total
|
||||
Available
for sale:
|
|||||||
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
$
277.1
|
$
7,091.0
|
$
10.5
|
$
7,378.6
|
|||
Equity
securities
|
479.6
|
.4
|
41.0
|
521.0
|
|||
Short-term
investments
|
548.7
|
-
|
7.1
|
555.8
|
The
Company’s Level 3 fair value measurements are generally based upon external
quotes provided from third party sources which utilize inputs that are not
corroborated with observable market data, or in very few instances, upon the
Company’s own internal assumptions. There were no significant changes
in the fair value of assets measured with the use of significant unobservable
inputs during the six months ended June 30, 2008. Net unrealized gains (losses)
on investments amounted to $50.6 million at June 30, 2008. Unrealized
appreciation (depreciation) of investments, before applicable deferred income
taxes (credits) of $27.0 million at June 30, 2008 included gross unrealized
gains (losses) of $159.0 million and $(81.3) million, respectively. For the six
months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007, changes in net unrealized appreciation
(depreciation) of investments, net of deferred income taxes (credits), amounted
to $(28.3) million and $(30.4) million, respectively. The amount of unrealized
gains and losses is affected by the Company’s estimates of securities that have
been classified as other-than-temporarily impaired (“OTTI”).
The
Company completes a detailed analysis each quarter to assess whether the decline
in the value of any investment below its cost basis is deemed
other-than-temporary. All securities in an unrealized loss position are
reviewed. Absent issuer-specific circumstances that would require earlier
other-than-temporary impairment recognition, all unrealized investment losses
pertaining to any equity security amounting to a 20% or greater decline for a
six month period will be included automatically on a non-judgmental, market
value-driven basis in the determination of net income.
Realized
investment gains (losses) included $437.3 million of write downs for
other-than-temporary declines in the estimated fair value of investments for the
quarter and six months ended June 30, 2008. There were no write downs for
other-than-temporary declines in the estimated fair value of investments for the
quarter and six months ended June 30, 2007.
A
valuation allowance of $35.0 million (equivalent to a charge of $0.15 per
outstanding share) was established against a deferred tax asset related to the
Company’s realized losses on investments at June 30, 2008. In valuing the
deferred tax asset, the Company considered certain factors including primarily
the scheduled reversals of certain deferred tax liabilities and the impact of
available carryback and carryforward periods. Based on these considerations, the
Company believes that it is more likely than not that it will realize the
benefits of the deferred tax assets related to realized losses, net of the
existing valuation allowance at June 30, 2008.
4.
|
Pension
Plans:
|
The
Company has three defined benefit pension plans covering a portion of its work
force. All three plans have been closed to new participants since December 31,
2004. It is the Company’s policy to fund the plans’ costs as they accrue. Plan
assets are comprised principally of bonds, common stocks and short-term
investments. The Companies made cash contributions of approximately $2.2 million
to their pension plans in the second quarter of 2008 and expect to make cash
contributions of approximately $1.5 million to their pension plans in the
remaining portion of calendar year 2008.
8
5.
|
Information About Segments of
Business:
|
The
Company is engaged in the single business of insurance underwriting. It conducts
its operations through a number of regulated insurance company subsidiaries
organized into three major segments, namely its General Insurance (property and
liability insurance), Mortgage Guaranty and Title Insurance Groups. The results
of a small life & health insurance business are included with those of its
corporate and minor service operations. Each of the Company’s segments
underwrites and services only those insurance coverages which may be written by
it pursuant to state insurance regulations and corporate charter provisions.
Segment results exclude net realized investment gains or losses as these are
aggregated in the consolidated totals. The contributions of Old Republic’s
insurance industry segments to consolidated totals are shown in the following
table.
Quarters
Ended
June
30,
|
Six
Months Ended
June
30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
2008
|
2007
|
General
Insurance Group:
|
|||||||||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
494.2
|
$
|
540.1
|
$
|
1,007.0
|
$
|
1,061.9
|
|||
Net
investment income and other
income
|
67.0
|
72.0
|
135.9
|
140.0
|
|||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
561.3
|
$
|
612.2
|
$
|
1,142.9
|
$
|
1,202.0
|
|||
Income
before taxes and
realized
investment gains or losses
(a)
|
$
|
56.3
|
$
|
108.7
|
$
|
146.1
|
$
|
211.7
|
|||
Income
tax expense on
above
|
$
|
14.7
|
$
|
33.2
|
$
|
41.3
|
$
|
64.3
|
|||
Mortgage
Guaranty Group:
|
|||||||||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
149.1
|
$
|
125.0
|
$
|
296.7
|
$
|
243.0
|
|||
Net
investment income and other
income
|
24.5
|
21.9
|
49.3
|
43.3
|
|||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
173.6
|
$
|
147.0
|
$
|
346.1
|
$
|
286.4
|
|||
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) and
realized
investment gains or
losses
|
$
|
(140.7)
|
$
|
36.8
|
$
|
(263.1)
|
$
|
85.1
|
|||
Income
tax expense (credits) on
above
|
$
|
(50.6)
|
$
|
11.6
|
$
|
(94.8)
|
$
|
27.3
|
|||
Title
Insurance Group:
|
|||||||||||
Net
premiums
earned
|
$
|
121.0
|
$
|
169.3
|
$
|
239.2
|
$
|
323.8
|
|||
Title,
escrow and other
fees
|
51.9
|
60.1
|
94.4
|
115.7
|
|||||||
Sub-total
|
172.9
|
229.5
|
333.7
|
439.6
|
|||||||
Net
investment income and other
income
|
6.4
|
7.0
|
12.7
|
14.1
|
|||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
179.3
|
$
|
236.5
|
$
|
346.4
|
$
|
453.7
|
|||
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) and
realized investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
(4.5)
|
$
|
3.6
|
$
|
(17.2)
|
$
|
4.3
|
|||
Income
tax expense (credits) on
above
|
$
|
(1.8)
|
$
|
.8
|
$
|
(6.8)
|
$
|
.6
|
|||
Consolidated
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||
Total
revenues of above Company segments
|
$
|
914.4
|
$
|
995.8
|
$
|
1,835.5
|
$
|
1,942.2
|
|||
Other
sources
(b)
|
30.6
|
31.7
|
69.1
|
65.1
|
|||||||
Consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(430.5)
|
13.3
|
(429.6)
|
16.3
|
|||||||
Consolidation
elimination
adjustments
|
(7.7)
|
(8.6)
|
(16.5)
|
(17.4)
|
|||||||
Consolidated
revenues
|
$
|
506.9
|
$
|
1,032.2
|
$
|
1,458.5
|
$
|
2,006.2
|
|||
Consolidated
Income (Loss) Before Taxes (Credits):
|
|||||||||||
Total
income (loss) before taxes (credits)
and
realized investment gains or losses of
above
Company
segments
|
$
|
(88.9)
|
$
|
149.3
|
$
|
(134.2)
|
$
|
301.3
|
|||
Other
sources – net
(b)
|
1.4
|
4.5
|
6.0
|
5.2
|
|||||||
Consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(430.5)
|
13.3
|
(429.6)
|
16.3
|
|||||||
Consolidated
income (loss)
before
income taxes
(credits)
|
$
|
(518.1)
|
$
|
167.2
|
$
|
(557.7)
|
$
|
322.9
|
|||
Consolidated
Income Tax Expense (Credits):
|
|||||||||||
Total
income tax expense (credits)
for
above Company
segments
|
$
|
(37.7)
|
$
|
45.8
|
$
|
(60.3)
|
$
|
92.3
|
|||
Other
sources – net
(b)
|
.1
|
1.5
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
|||||||
Income
tax expense (credits) on
consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(115.7)
|
4.6
|
(115.4)
|
5.7
|
|||||||
Consolidated
income tax expense (credits)
|
$
|
(153.3)
|
$
|
52.0
|
$
|
(173.9)
|
$
|
99.9
|
9
June
30,
|
December
31,
|
||
2008
|
2007
|
Consolidated
Assets:
|
|||||
General
|
$
|
9,514.6
|
$
|
9,769.9
|
|
Mortgage
|
2,716.1
|
2,523.8
|
|||
Title
|
752.3
|
770.4
|
|||
Other
assets
(b)
|
481.3
|
437.9
|
|||
Consolidation
elimination
adjustments
|
(359.9)
|
(211.5)
|
|||
Consolidated
|
$
|
13,104.5
|
$
|
13,290.6
|
In the
above tables, net premiums earned on a GAAP basis differ slightly from statutory
amounts due to certain differences in calculations of unearned premium reserves
under each accounting method.
(a)
|
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) is reported net of interest charges on
intercompany financing arrangements with Old Republic’s holding company
parent for the following segments: General - $3.2 million and $6.8 million
compared to $4.1 million and $8.3 million for the quarter and six months
ending June 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively; Title - $.5 million and $1.2
million compared to $.5 million and $.9 million for the quarter and six
months ending June 30, 2008 and 2007,
respectively.
|
(b)
|
Represents
amounts for Old Republic’s holding company parent, minor corporate
services subsidiaries, and a small life and health insurance
operation.
|
|
6.
|
Commitments and Contingent
Liabilities:
|
Legal
proceedings against the Company arise in the normal course of business and
usually pertain to claim matters related to insurance policies and contracts
issued by its insurance subsidiaries. Other legal proceedings are
discussed below.
Purported
class action lawsuits are pending against the Company’s principal title
insurance subsidiary, Old Republic National Title Insurance Company (“ORNTIC”)
in state and federal courts in Connecticut, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania and
Texas. The plaintiffs allege that ORNTIC failed to give consumers
reissue and/or refinance credits on the premiums charged for title insurance
covering mortgage refinancing transactions, as required by rate schedules filed
by ORNTIC or by state rating bureaus with the state insurance regulatory
authorities. In none of the actions against ORNTIC has a class yet been
certified. Substantially similar lawsuits are also pending against
other unaffiliated title insurance companies in these and other states as well,
and additional lawsuits based upon similar allegations could be filed against
ORNTIC in the future.
Since
early February 2008, more than 60 purported consumer class action lawsuits have
been filed against the title industry’s principal title insurance companies,
their subsidiaries and affiliates, and title insurance rating bureaus or
associations in at least 10 states. The suits are substantially
identical in alleging that the defendant title insurers engaged in illegal
price-fixing agreements to set artificially high premium rates and conspired to
create premium rates which the state insurance regulatory authorities could not
evaluate and therefore, could not adequately regulate. A number of
the suits also allege violations of the federal Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act (“RESPA”). The Company and its principal title
insurance subsidiary, Old Republic National Title Insurance Company, are
currently among the named defendants in 35 of these actions, and are likely to
be included in others. A second subsidiary, American Guaranty Title
Insurance Company, is also named in most but not all of the same
suits. No class has yet been certified.
Two other
lawsuits seeking certification as class actions are pending against ORNTIC and
two title agency affiliates, Old Republic Title, Ltd. and Old Republic Title
Company, one in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington
and the other in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of
California. Filed in May, 2008, the suit in Washington alleges that
ORNTIC and its affiliate deceptively charged fees for reconveyancing services
they did not perform and split the fees with settlement service providers in
violation of RESPA. The action in California is brought by and on
behalf of Hispanic home buyers in Monterey County against various real estate
developers, brokers, mortgage brokers, mortgage lenders, mortgage loan
servicers, as well as the Company’s title agency subsidiary, and alleges that
the title agency failed to provide adequate disclosures to protect the buyers
from the abusive sales and predatory lending practices of the other
defendants. Both actions seek damages, declaratory and injunctive
relief. No class has yet been certified in either
action.
At their
present stage, the impact of these lawsuits, all of which seek unquantified
damages, attorneys’ fees and expenses, is uncertain and not reasonably
estimable. The Company and its subsidiaries intend to defend
vigorously against each of the aforementioned actions. Although the
Company does not believe that these lawsuits will have a material adverse effect
on its consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows,
there can be no assurance in those regards.
ORNTIC
and Old Republic Title Company succeeded in having the Superior Court of
Washington, King County, dismiss a previously disclosed lawsuit alleging that
they had overcharged customers for escrow related fees and failed to disclose
the interest or earnings credits realized on moneys deposited into
escrow. The plaintiffs in that suit may choose to appeal the
decision.
10
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Six
Months Ended June 30, 2008 and 2007
($ in
Millions, Except Share Data)
OVERVIEW
|
This
management analysis of financial position and results of operations pertains to
the consolidated accounts of Old Republic International Corporation (“Old
Republic” or “the Company”). The Company conducts its operations through three
major regulatory segments, namely, its General (property and liability),
Mortgage Guaranty, and Title insurance segments. A small life and health
insurance business, accounting for 2.6% of consolidated operating revenues for
the six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2.1% of consolidated assets as of June
30, 2008, is included within the corporate and other caption of this financial
report. The consolidated accounts are presented on the basis of generally
accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). This management analysis should be read
in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the footnotes
appended to them.
The
insurance business is distinguished from most others in that the prices
(premiums) charged for various insurance coverages are set without certainty of
the ultimate benefit and claim costs that will emerge or be incurred, often many
years after issuance and expiration of a policy. This basic fact casts Old
Republic as a risk-taking enterprise managed for the long run. Management
therefore conducts the business with a primary focus on achieving favorable
underwriting results over cycles, and on the maintenance of financial soundness
in support of the insurance subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance
beneficiaries. To achieve these objectives, adherence to insurance risk
management principles is stressed, and asset diversification and quality are
emphasized. In addition to income arising from Old Republic’s basic underwriting
and related services functions, significant investment income is earned from
invested funds generated by those functions and from shareholders’ capital.
Investment management aims for stability of income from interest and dividends,
protection of capital, and sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting
and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Securities trading
and the realization of capital gains are not objectives. The investment
philosophy is therefore best characterized as emphasizing value, credit quality,
and relatively long-term holding periods. The Company’s ability to hold both
fixed maturity and equity securities for long periods of time is in turn enabled
by the scheduling of maturities in contemplation of an appropriate matching of
assets and liabilities.
In light
of the above factors, the Company’s affairs are managed without regard to the
arbitrary strictures of quarterly or even annual reporting periods that American
industry must observe. In Old Republic’s view, such short reporting time frames
do not comport well with the long-term nature of much of its business.
Management believes that the Company’s operating results and financial condition
can best be evaluated by observing underwriting and overall operating
performance trends over succeeding five to ten year intervals. Such extended
periods can encompass one or two economic and/or underwriting cycles, and
thereby provide appropriate time frames for such cycles to run their course and
for reserved claim costs to be quantified with greater finality and
effect.
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
|
Old
Republic’s consolidated operating results, which exclude net realized investment
gains or losses, declined significantly in this year’s second quarter and first
half. The reduced performance stemmed from continued weakness in the Company’s
housing-related mortgage guaranty and title insurance lines. Management believes
that the substantial dislocations that have enveloped all businesses with
housing and mortgage-lending exposures are likely to exert negative pressures on
earnings well into 2009. These lowered expectations aside, the Company’s strong
financial underpinnings and the overall earnings sustainability of its general
insurance business should provide necessary earnings support and capital
management flexibility for the anticipated resumption of positive operating
earnings trends in 2010 and beyond.
The
year-over-year decline in book value per share stemmed from the reduction in net
income, cash outlays for dividends to shareholders, and from currently lower
securities market valuations for fixed maturity and equity
investments.
11
Consolidated Results – The
major components of Old Republic’s consolidated results were as follows for the
periods shown:
Quarters
Ended June 30,
|
Six
Months Ended June 30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
Operating
revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
561.3
|
$
|
612.2
|
-8.3
|
%
|
$
|
1,142.9
|
$
|
1,202.0
|
-4.9
|
%
|
|||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
173.6
|
147.0
|
18.1
|
346.1
|
286.4
|
20.8
|
|||||||||||
Title
insurance
|
179.3
|
236.5
|
-24.2
|
346.4
|
453.7
|
-23.6
|
|||||||||||
Corporate
and
other
|
22.9
|
23.1
|
52.5
|
47.6
|
|||||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
937.4
|
$
|
1,018.9
|
-8.0
|
%
|
$
|
1,888.1
|
$
|
1,989.8
|
-5.1
|
%
|
|||||
Pretax
operating income (loss):
|
|||||||||||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
56.3
|
$
|
108.7
|
-48.2
|
%
|
$
|
146.1
|
$
|
211.7
|
-31.0
|
%
|
|||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
(140.7)
|
36.8
|
-481.6
|
(263.1)
|
85.1
|
-408.8
|
|||||||||||
Title
insurance
|
(4.5)
|
3.6
|
-223.7
|
(17.2)
|
4.3
|
-493.2
|
|||||||||||
Corporate
and
other
|
1.4
|
4.5
|
6.0
|
5.2
|
|||||||||||||
Sub-total
|
(87.5)
|
153.8
|
-156.9
|
(128.1)
|
306.5
|
-141.8
|
|||||||||||
Realized
investment gains (losses):
|
|||||||||||||||||
From
sales
|
6.8
|
13.3
|
7.7
|
16.3
|
|||||||||||||
From
impairments
|
(437.3)
|
-
|
(437.3)
|
-
|
|||||||||||||
Net
realized
investment gains (losses)
|
(430.5)
|
13.3
|
(429.6)
|
16.3
|
|||||||||||||
Consolidated
pretax
income (loss)
|
(518.1)
|
167.2
|
-409.9
|
(557.7)
|
322.9
|
-272.7
|
|||||||||||
Income
taxes
(credits)
|
(153.3)
|
52.0
|
-394.8
|
(173.9)
|
99.9
|
-274.0
|
|||||||||||
Net income
(loss)
|
$
|
(364.7)
|
$
|
115.1
|
-416.8
|
%
|
$
|
(383.8)
|
$
|
222.9
|
-272.2
|
%
|
Consolidated underwriting
ratio:
|
|||||||||||||||||
Benefits
and claims
ratio
|
82.0
|
%
|
51.4
|
%
|
79.3
|
%
|
50.0
|
%
|
|||||||||
Expense
ratio
|
39.1
|
41.5
|
39.1
|
42.5
|
|||||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
121.1
|
%
|
92.9
|
%
|
118.4
|
%
|
92.5
|
%
|
Components
of diluted
earnings
per share:
|
|||||||||||||||||
Net
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
(0.22)
|
$
|
0.45
|
-148.9
|
%
|
$
|
(0.30)
|
$
|
0.91
|
-133.0
|
%
|
|||||
Net
realized
investment
gains
(losses)
|
(1.36)
|
0.04
|
(1.36)
|
0.04
|
|||||||||||||
Net
income
(loss)
|
$
|
(1.58)
|
$
|
0.49
|
-422.4
|
%
|
$
|
(1.66)
|
$
|
0.95
|
-274.7
|
%
|
The above
table shows both operating and net income to highlight the effects of realized
investment gain or loss recognition and any non-recurring items on
period-to-period comparisons. Operating income, however, does not replace net
income computed in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
(“GAAP”) as a measure of total profitability.
The
recognition of realized investment gains or losses can be highly discretionary
and arbitrary due to such factors as the timing of individual securities sales,
recognition of estimated losses from write-downs for impaired securities,
tax-planning considerations, and changes in investment management judgments
relative to the direction of securities markets or the future prospects of
individual investees or industry sectors. Likewise, non-recurring items which
may emerge from time to time, can distort the comparability of the Company’s
results from period to period. Accordingly, management uses net operating
income, a non-GAAP financial measure, to evaluate and better explain operating
performance, and believes its use enhances an understanding of Old Republic’s
basic business results.
General Insurance Results –
First half 2008 general insurance earnings were mainly affected by
moderately lower earned premiums and the higher claim ratios shown in the
following table:
General
Insurance Group
|
Quarters
Ended June 30,
|
Six
Months Ended June 30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
494.2
|
$
|
540.1
|
-8.5
|
%
|
$
|
1,007.0
|
$
|
1,061.9
|
-5.2
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
62.6
|
64.7
|
-3.1
|
127.1
|
127.5
|
-0.3
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income
|
$
|
56.3
|
$
|
108.7
|
-48.2
|
%
|
$
|
146.1
|
$
|
211.7
|
-31.0
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
76.0
|
%
|
67.3
|
%
|
72.9
|
%
|
66.0
|
%
|
|||||||
Expense
ratio
|
24.5
|
23.6
|
24.5
|
25.2
|
|||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
100.5
|
%
|
90.9
|
%
|
97.4
|
%
|
91.2
|
%
|
12
Earned
premiums trended lower in this year’s first six months. A moderately declining
rate environment for most commercial insurance prices in the past 30 months or
so has hindered meaningful additions to Old Republic’s premium base. For the
first six months of 2008, the slightly lower top line was accompanied by
increases in the claims ratios shown in the above table. These ratios compare to
an average of 66.8% for the five most recent calendar years. This year’s higher
claims ratio is attributable to the combination of greater loss costs for most
insurance coverages and the effect of the above noted moderate premium rate
decline. The increased loss ratios, however, were most accentuated for Old
Republic’s consumer credit indemnity and general aviation
coverages.
Expense-wise,
the lower ratio for this year’s first half compared favorably with the 25.2%
registered in the same period last year, and the average of 24.8% for the five
years through 2007. The slight decline in 2008 reflects temporary or
cycle-related differences in volume contributions from insurance coverages
experiencing varying year-over-year production volumes and expense content. In
the near term, however, these differences should attenuate and trend toward
longer term averages.
General
Insurance Group net investment income reflects lower investment yields on a
greater invested asset base.
Mortgage Guaranty Results – A
continued rise in claim costs, driven mainly by higher mortgage loan
delinquencies and claim severity, more than offset strong double digit increases
in net premiums earned for this year’s first half. As a consequence, pretax
operating results were unprofitable for the fourth consecutive quarter. Key
indicators of this cyclical reversal in profitability for Old Republic’s second
largest business segment are shown below and in the accompanying statistical
exhibit.
Mortgage
Guaranty Group
|
Quarters
Ended June 30,
|
Six
Months Ended June 30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
149.1
|
$
|
125.0
|
19.3
|
%
|
$
|
296.7
|
$
|
243.0
|
22.1
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
21.4
|
19.0
|
12.6
|
42.9
|
37.9
|
13.2
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
(140.7)
|
$
|
36.8
|
-481.6
|
%
|
$
|
(263.1)
|
$
|
85.1
|
-408.8
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
192.5
|
%
|
65.9
|
%
|
186.9
|
%
|
60.3
|
%
|
|||||||
Expense
ratio
|
16.2
|
19.8
|
16.3
|
20.3
|
|||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
208.7
|
%
|
85.7
|
%
|
203.2
|
%
|
80.6
|
%
|
Mortgage
guaranty premium growth in this year’s second quarter and first half was mostly
due to a 31.6% increase in traditional primary risk in force at June 30, 2008
vis-à-vis the same period of 2007. This increase stems from rising new insurance
writings during the most recent four quarters as a result of greater market
demand for traditional primary coverage and from higher business persistency
(79.9% on an annualized basis as of June 2008 versus 74.7% as of June
2007.)
The
unprecedented cyclical downturn in housing and related mortgage finance
industries affecting this Old Republic segment since 2007, however, contributed
to the above noted offsetting impact of higher claim costs. Such costs reflect
the combination of unfavorable loan default trends, greater claim severity
caused by the larger insured loan values of recent years, and lessened
opportunities to mitigate reported claims. Inflated inventories of unsold homes,
weakening home values, and a more restrictive credit environment are main causes
for the reduced mitigation opportunities.
The
disparity between paid and incurred loss ratios shown in the above table stems
from much greater claim reserve provisions which accounted for 132.5 loss ratio
points in this year’s second quarter, compared to just 28.9 loss ratio points in
the same quarter of 2007. For the first half, claim reserve provisions produced
increases of 129.4 and 24.1 loss ratio points in 2008 and 2007, respectively.
For all of 2007 reserve increases accounted for 76.3 points of that year’s loss
ratio of 118.8%. As of June 30, 2008, net claim reserves of $1.02 billion were
approximately 234% higher than they were twelve months earlier, and 60% greater
than the amount posted at year end 2007.
The lower
production and operating expense ratios for this year’s second quarter and first
half continued to be a bright spot in operating trends as greater premium volume
has not been accompanied by a corresponding increase in fixed operating costs.
The beneficial effect of these relatively lower costs and the above-noted
increase in earned premiums on bottom line results, however, was fully offset by
the more severe impact of greater claim costs.
In
combination, the above-cited factors have led to the higher composite ratios
shown in the preceding table. Underlining the extreme severity of the current
cyclical downturn in the housing and mortgage lending fields, these ratios
compare with an average of 74.0% registered during the five years ended December
31, 2007.
Underwriting
results notwithstanding, Old Republic’s Mortgage Guaranty segment continued to
post strong operating cash flows. These have been additive to a very liquid
invested asset base which reached $1.95 billion as of June 30, 2008, up 19.9%
from the level registered one year earlier. The greater invested asset base was
mainly responsible for the investment income growth posted for the periods
reported upon.
13
Title Insurance Results – Old
Republic’s title insurance business registered an operating loss for this year’s
first half. Key operating performance indicators are shown in the following
table:
Title
Insurance Group
|
Quarters
Ended June 30,
|
Six
Months Ended June 30,
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums and fees earned
|
$
|
172.9
|
$
|
229.5
|
-24.6
|
%
|
$
|
333.7
|
$
|
439.6
|
-24.1
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
6.3
|
6.8
|
-6.3
|
12.8
|
13.5
|
-5.3
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
(4.5)
|
$
|
3.6
|
-223.7
|
%
|
$
|
(17.2)
|
$
|
4.3
|
-493.2
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
6.8
|
%
|
6.4
|
%
|
6.9
|
%
|
6.2
|
%
|
|||||||
Expense
ratio
|
99.4
|
94.7
|
101.9
|
95.7
|
|||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
106.2
|
%
|
101.1
|
%
|
108.8
|
%
|
101.9
|
%
|
The
ongoing cyclical downturn in the housing and related mortgage lending sectors of
the U.S. economy led to further year-over-year reductions of premium and fee
revenues for the Company’s title segment. Direct production facilities in the
Western United States continued to sustain the greatest adverse effects of this
downturn. Claims ratios in 2008 have trended slightly higher as they did for all
of 2007. While overall 2008 production and operating expenses have dropped
significantly, the decline continues to be insufficient to counter the larger
reduction in title premium and fees revenues.
Corporate and Other Operations –
The Company’s small life and health insurance business and the net costs
associated with the parent holding company and internal services subsidiaries
produced a greater gain in this year’s first half. Period-to-period variations
in the results of these relatively minor elements of Old Republic’s operations
usually stem from the volatility inherent to the small scale of its life and
health business, fluctuations in the costs of external debt, and net interest on
intra-system financing arrangements.
Cash, Invested Assets, and
Shareholders’ Equity – The following table reflects Old Republic’s
consolidated cash and invested assets as well as shareholders’ equity at the
dates shown:
%
Change
|
June
2008
|
December
2007
|
June
2007
|
June
‘08/
Dec
‘07
|
June
‘08/
June
‘07
|
Cash
and invested assets at fair value
|
$
|
8,691.0
|
$
|
8,924.0
|
$
|
8,407.4
|
-2.6
|
%
|
3.4
|
%
|
|||||
Shareholders’
equity:
|
|||||||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
4,058.9
|
$
|
4,541.6
|
$
|
4,517.6
|
-10.6
|
%
|
-10.2
|
%
|
|||||
Per
common share
|
$
|
17.59
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.51
|
-10.8
|
%
|
-9.8
|
%
|
|||||
Composition
of shareholders’ equity per share:
|
|||||||||||||||
Equity
before items below
|
$
|
17.33
|
$
|
19.31
|
$
|
19.39
|
-3.1
|
%
|
-3.5
|
%
|
|||||
Unrealized
investment gains or losses and other accumulated comprehensive
income
|
0.26
|
0.40
|
0.12
|
||||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
17.59
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.51
|
-10.8
|
%
|
-9.8
|
%
|
Consolidated
cash flow from operating activities amounted to $328.8 million for the first
half of 2008 versus $404.8 million for the same period in 2007. Measured on the
basis of original cost, the cash and invested asset base grew by 2.8% to $9.05
billion between year-end 2007 and June 30th of this year, and by 8.4% for the
fiscal twelve months ended on the latter date.
The
investment portfolio reflects a current allocation of approximately 87% to
fixed-maturity securities and 6% to equities. As has been the case for many
years, Old Republic’s invested assets are managed in consideration of
enterprise-wide risk management objectives intended to assure solid funding of
its subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance policyholders and other
beneficiaries. Consequently, it contains little or no insurance risk-correlated
asset exposures to real estate, mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt
obligations (“CDO’s”), derivatives, junk bonds, or illiquid private equity
investments. In a similar vein, the Company does not engage in hedging
transactions nor does it invest in securities whose values are predicated on
non-regulated financial instruments exhibiting amorphous counter-party risk
attributes.
Substantially
all changes in the shareholders’ equity account reflect the Company’s net income
or loss, dividend payments to shareholders, and changes in market valuations of
invested assets for the periods reported upon.
14
A summary
of all changes in book value per share for the periods reported upon
follows:
Shareholders’
Equity Per Share
|
Quarter
Ended
June
30,
2008
|
Six
Months
Ended
June
30,
2008
|
Fiscal
Twelve
Months
Ended
June
30,
2008
|
Beginning
book value per share
|
$
|
18.99
|
$
|
19.71
|
$
|
19.51
|
||
Changes
in shareholders’ equity for the periods:
|
||||||||
Net
operating loss
|
(0.22)
|
(0.30)
|
(0.23)
|
|||||
Net
realized investment gains (losses):
|
||||||||
From
sales
|
0.02
|
0.02
|
0.17
|
|||||
From
impairments
|
(1.38)
|
(1.38)
|
(1.38)
|
|||||
Subtotal
|
(1.36)
|
(1.36)
|
(1.21)
|
|||||
Net
unrealized investment gains (losses)
|
0.35
|
(0.13)
|
0.06
|
|||||
Total
realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)
|
(1.01)
|
(1.49)
|
(1.15)
|
|||||
Cash
dividends
|
(0.17)
|
(0.33)
|
(0.65)
|
|||||
Treasury
stock acquired
|
-
|
-
|
0.01
|
|||||
Stock
issuance, foreign exchange, and other transactions
|
-
|
-
|
0.10
|
|||||
Net
change
|
(1.40)
|
(2.12)
|
(1.92)
|
|||||
Ending
book value per share
|
$
|
17.59
|
$
|
17.59
|
$
|
17.59
|
As
indicated in the following table, Old Republic’s significant investments in the
stocks of two leading publicly held mortgage guaranty businesses (MGIC
Investment Corp. and The PMI Group) and that of a national title insurer
(LandAmerica Financial Group) account for a substantial portion of the
investment losses reflected in the above summary. Unrealized losses, including
such losses that are categorized as other-than-temporarily impaired represent
the net difference between the most recently established cost and the
quarter-end market values of the investments. These three significant
investments accounted for approximately 87% of the total net realized
investment losses from impairments sustained by the Company. The aggregate cost,
market value, latest underlying equity values reported by the three investees,
are shown below:
Values
of Three Significant Investments
|
As
of
|
June
30,
2008
|
March
31,
2008
|
December
31,
2007
|
Total
value of the three investments:
|
Original
cost
|
$
|
509.8
|
$
|
496.8
|
$
|
435.7
|
||
Market
value
|
128.9
|
231.0
|
383.6
|
||||||
Underlying
equity(*)
|
$
|
715.6
|
$
|
689.2
|
$
|
699.6
|
|
(*)
Underlying equity based on latest reports (usually lagging by one quarter)
issued by investees.
|
When
making evaluations of equity and other securities that are currently trading
below cost, management considers the Company’s ability and intent to retain its
investment for a period sufficient to recover their cost and to obtain a
competitive long-term total return on such holdings. It also considers the
effects of economic cycles, of specific market conditions relative to the
industry or operations of the investees, the latter’s book values and trends
therein, both of which are considered to be more indicative of the long-term
intrinsic values of financial sector investees than current market quotations.
With particular reference to the above noted mortgage guaranty investees, it
also considers their continued acceptability as going concern insurance
providers by the U.S. government supported enterprises they serve (Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac). The three holdings were acquired as passive long-term
investment additions to two core segments of Old Republic’s business. Their
acquisitions between the second half of 2007 and early 2008 were also made in
the general context of the Company’s overall investment strategy and in
anticipation of a 2010 turn-around in the mortgage lending and housing markets.
In management’s judgment, the currently negative market valuations of companies
operating in the housing and mortgage-related sectors of the American economy
have been impacted significantly by the cyclical macroeconomic conditions
affecting these sectors. The combination of Old Republic’s necessary long term
orientation in the management of its business, its ability to hold these and
other securities for the long haul by virtue of the highly liquid quality and
asset/liability-matched character of its overall investment portfolio, its
commitment to the mortgage guaranty and title insurance segments through
cyclical highs and lows, and the strategic importance of these segments to the
Company’s insurance lines of business diversification is determinative of the
long-term value of these securities.
However,
based on the Company’s current understanding of accounting guidance, a
company must take a shorter view by which it evaluates
individual securities for their potential other-than-temporary impairements
(“OTTI”). Consequently, for external reporting purposes only, and effective with
its 2008 financial statements, Old Republic has elected to at once simplify the
process and shorten the evaluation time frames it will consider in these
regards. In this light, absent issuer-specific circumstances that would require
earlier OTTI recognition, all unrealized investment losses
pertaining to any equity security amounting to a 20% or
greater decline for a six month period will be included
15
automatically,
on a non-judgmental, market value-driven basis in the determination of net
income. Unrealized losses exhibiting lesser percentages and shorter periods of
declines, and all unrealized gains will continue to be recorded directly in a
separate component of the shareholders’ equity account and in the consolidated
statement of comprehensive income. As a result of accounting idiosyncrasies,
OTTI losses recorded in the income statement of one period can not be offset by
market value gains on the previously impaired securities unless they are
actually sold. Such unrealized market value gains would only be recognized
through direct credits in the shareholders’ equity account and in the
consolidated statement of comprehensive income.
TECHNICAL
MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS
|
CRITICAL
ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
|
The
Company’s annual and interim financial statements incorporate a large number and
types of estimates relative to matters which are highly uncertain at the time
the estimates are made. The estimation process required of an insurance
enterprise is by its very nature highly dynamic inasmuch as it necessitates a
continuous evaluation, analysis, and quantification of factual data as it
becomes known to the Company. As a result, actual experienced outcomes can
differ from the estimates made at any point in time, and thus affect future
periods’ reported revenues, expenses, net income, and financial
condition.
Old
Republic believes that its most critical accounting estimates relate to: a) the
determination of other-than-temporary impairments in the value of fixed maturity
and equity investments; b) the establishment of deferred acquisition costs which
vary directly with the production of insurance premiums; c) the recoverability
of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses; and d) the establishment of
reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The major assumptions and
methods used in setting these estimates are discussed in the Company’s 2007
Annual Report on Form 10K.
CHANGES
IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES
|
In July 2006, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (“FASB”) issued its Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income
Taxes (“FIN 48”), which became effective for the Company in the first
quarter of 2007. FIN 48 provides recognition criteria and a related measurement
model for uncertain tax positions taken or expected to be taken in income tax
returns. FIN 48 requires that a position taken or expected to be taken in a tax
return be recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not
that the position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. The
Company’s unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals,
are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements and did not
change significantly upon the adoption of FIN 48. There are no tax uncertainties
that are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to
unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve month period. As indicated in
Note 1 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, the Company believes
that the major uncertainties relating to its tax position pertain to timing
differences in the recognition of taxable income. Accordingly, the annual
effective tax rate, other than possible interest and penalties, would be largely
unaffected as an increase in currently due income taxes would likely be offset
by a corresponding deferred income tax adjustment.
In
September 2006, the FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No.
157 Fair Value
Measurements (“FAS 157”), which establishes a framework for measuring
fair value. FAS 157 applies to existing accounting pronouncements that require
or permit fair value measurements, and became effective for the Company in the
first quarter of 2008. Disclosure requirements associated with the standard have
been incorporated in Note 3 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
The
adoption of FIN 48 and FAS 157 result in additional financial statement
disclosures for GAAP reporting purposes and have no effect on the conduct of the
Company’s business, its financial condition and results of
operations.
FINANCIAL
POSITION
|
The
Company’s financial position at June 30, 2008 reflected decreases in assets and
common shareholders’ equity of 1.4%, and 10.6%, respectively, and increased
liabilities of 3.4% when compared to the immediately preceding year-end. Cash
and invested assets represented 66.3% and 67.1% of consolidated assets as of
June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. Consolidated operating cash
flow was positive at $328.8 million in the first six months of 2008 compared to
$404.8 million in the same period of 2007. As of June 30, 2008, invested assets
decreased 3.0% to $8,498.1 million principally as a result of a net decline in
the market valuation of such assets.
Investments - During the
first six months of 2008 and 2007, the Company committed most investable funds
to short to intermediate-term fixed maturity securities. At both June 30, 2008
and 2007, approximately 99% of the Company’s investments consisted of marketable
securities. Old Republic continues to adhere to its long-term policy of
investing primarily in investment grade, marketable securities. Investable funds
have not been directed to so-called "junk bonds", illiquid private equity
investments, real estate, mortgage loans, mortgage-backed securities,
collateralized debt obligations (“CDO’s”), or derivatives. In a similar vein,
the Company does not invest in securities whose values are predicated on
non-regulated financial instruments exhibiting amorphous counter-party risk
attributes. At June 30, 2008, the Company had no fixed maturity investments in
default as to principal and/or interest.
16
Relatively
high short-term maturity investment positions continued to be maintained as of
June 30, 2008. Such positions reflect a large variety of seasonal and
intermediate-term factors including current operating needs, expected operating
cash flows, quarter-end cash flow seasonality, and investment strategy
considerations. Accordingly, the future level of short-term investments will
vary and respond to the interplay of these factors and may, as a result,
increase or decrease from current levels.
The
Company does not own or utilize derivative financial instruments for the purpose
of hedging, enhancing the overall return of its investment portfolio, or
reducing the cost of its debt obligations. With regard to its equity portfolio,
the Company does not own any options nor does it engage in any type of option
writing. Traditional investment management tools and techniques are employed to
address the yield and valuation exposures of the invested assets base. The
long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is managed so as to limit various
risks inherent in the bond market. Credit risk is addressed through asset
diversification and the purchase of investment grade securities. Reinvestment
rate risk is reduced by concentrating on non-callable issues, and by taking
asset-liability matching considerations into account. Purchases of mortgage and
asset backed securities, which have variable principal prepayment options, are
generally avoided. Market value risk is limited through the purchase of bonds of
intermediate maturity. The combination of these investment management practices
is expected to produce a more stable long-term fixed maturity investment
portfolio that is not subject to extreme interest rate sensitivity and principal
deterioration.
The
market value of the Company’s long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is
sensitive, however, to fluctuations in the level of interest rates, but not
materially affected by changes in anticipated cash flows caused by any
prepayments. The impact of interest rate movements on the long-term fixed
maturity investment portfolio generally affects net unrealized gains or losses.
As a general rule, rising interest rates enhance currently available yields but
typically lead to a reduction in the fair value of existing fixed maturity
investments. By contrast, a decline in such rates reduces currently available
yields but usually serves to increase the fair value of the existing fixed
maturity investment portfolio. All such changes in fair value are reflected, net
of deferred income taxes, directly in the shareholders’ equity account, and as a
separate component of the statement of comprehensive income. Given the Company’s
inability to forecast or control the movement of interest rates, Old Republic
sets the maturity spectrum of its fixed maturity securities portfolio within
parameters of estimated liability payouts, and focuses the overall portfolio on
high quality investments. By so doing, Old Republic believes it is reasonably
assured of its ability to hold securities to maturity as it may deem necessary
in changing environments, and of ultimately recovering their aggregate
cost.
Possible
future declines in fair values for Old Republic’s bond and stock portfolios
would negatively affect the common shareholders’ equity account at any point in
time, but would not necessarily result in the recognition of realized investment
losses. The Company reviews the status and market value changes of each of its
investments on at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of
other-than-temporary impairments in the portfolio’s value are evaluated and
established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In reviewing investments for
other-than-temporary impairment, the Company, in addition to a security’s market
price history, considers the totality of such factors as the issuer’s operating
results, financial condition and liquidity, its ability to access capital
markets, credit rating trends, most current audit opinion, industry and
securities markets conditions, and analyst expectations to reach its
conclusions. Sudden market value declines caused by such adverse developments as
newly emerged or imminent bankruptcy filings, issuer default on significant
obligations, or reports of financial accounting developments that bring into
question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition,
are recognized as realized losses as soon as credible publicly available
information emerges to confirm such developments. In the event the Company’s
estimate of other-than-temporary impairments is insufficient at any point in
time, future periods’ net income would be affected adversely by the recognition
of additional realized or impairment losses, but its financial condition would
not necessarily be affected adversely inasmuch as such losses, or a portion of
them, could have been recognized previously as unrealized losses.
The
following tables show certain information relating to the Company’s fixed
maturity and equity portfolios as of the dates shown:
Credit
Quality Ratings of Fixed Maturity Securities
(a)
|
June
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||
2008
|
2007
|
Aaa
|
21.1
|
%
|
32.9
|
%
|
||
Aa
|
25.7
|
17.0
|
||||
A
|
31.3
|
27.9
|
||||
Baa
|
19.8
|
20.2
|
||||
Total investment
grade
|
97.9
|
98.0
|
||||
All
other
(b)
|
2.1
|
2.0
|
||||
Total
|
100.0
|
%
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
(a)
|
Credit
quality ratings used are those assigned primarily by Moody’s; other
ratings are assigned by Standard & Poor’s and converted to equivalent
Moody’s ratings classifications.
|
|
(b)
|
“All
other” includes non-investment grade or non-rated small issues of
tax-exempt bonds.
|
17
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Non-Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
June
30, 2008
|
Amortized
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
||||||
Service
|
$
|
39.3
|
$
|
5.7
|
||
Consumer
Durables
|
40.0
|
4.0
|
||||
Financial
|
13.8
|
2.1
|
||||
Retail
|
15.0
|
.6
|
||||
Other
(includes 6 industry
groups)
|
29.9
|
1.6
|
||||
Total
|
$
|
138.3
|
(c)
|
$
|
14.3
|
|
(c)
|
Represents
1.9% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
June
30, 2008
|
Amortized
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
||||||
Banking
|
$
|
239.6
|
$
|
10.5
|
||
Utilities
|
440.3
|
8.0
|
||||
Municipals
|
872.1
|
7.7
|
||||
Financial
|
183.5
|
5.6
|
||||
Other
(includes 17 industry
groups)
|
1,236.7
|
28.6
|
||||
Total
|
$
|
2,972.4
|
(d)
|
$
|
60.6
|
|
(d)
|
Represents
40.3% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Equity
Securities
|
June
30, 2008
|
Cost
|
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
|
Equity
Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
|||||||
Banking
|
$
|
7.4
|
$
|
1.5
|
|||
Insurance
|
9.2
|
1.1
|
|||||
Utilities
|
6.8
|
.6
|
|||||
Total
|
$
|
23.4
|
(e)
|
$
|
3.3
|
(f)
|
|
(e)
|
Represents
5.1% of the total equity securities
portfolio.
|
|
(f)
|
Represents
0.7% of the cost of the total equity securities portfolio, while gross
unrealized gains represent 14.6% of the
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Maturity Ranges For All Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
June
30, 2008
|
Amortized
Costs of
Fixed
Maturity Securities
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses
|
All
|
Non-
Investment
Grade
Only
|
All
|
Non-
Investment
Grade
Only
|
Maturity
Ranges:
|
|||||||||||
Due in one year or
less
|
$
|
192.3
|
$
|
36.9
|
$
|
1.5
|
$
|
.4
|
|||
Due after one year through five
years
|
1,478.6
|
86.1
|
35.4
|
10.7
|
|||||||
Due after five years through
ten years
|
1,419.0
|
15.2
|
37.5
|
3.0
|
|||||||
Due after ten
years
|
20.7
|
-
|
.5
|
-
|
|||||||
Total
|
$
|
3,110.8
|
$
|
138.3
|
$
|
75.0
|
$
|
14.3
|
18
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Duration and Amount of Unrealized
Losses
|
June
30, 2008
|
||
Amount
of Gross Unrealized Losses
|
Less
than
20%
of Cost
|
20%
to 50%
of Cost
|
More
than
50%
of Cost
|
Total
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
|
Number
of Months in Loss Position:
|
|||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
|||||||||||||
One to six
months
|
$
|
32.8
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
32.8
|
|||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
-
|
5.4
|
|||||||||
More than twelve
months
|
30.7
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
36.7
|
|||||||||
Total
|
$
|
67.7
|
$
|
5.9
|
$
|
1.3
|
$
|
75.0
|
|||||
Equity
Securities:
|
|||||||||||||
One to six
months
|
$
|
.6
|
$
|
1.5
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
2.2
|
|||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
1.0
|
-
|
-
|
1.0
|
|||||||||
More than twelve
months
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||
Total
|
$
|
1.6
|
$
|
1.5
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
3.3
|
|||||
Number
of Issues in Loss Position:
|
||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||||
One to six
months
|
672
|
-
|
-
|
672
|
||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
21
|
1
|
-
|
22
|
||||
More than twelve
months
|
133
|
3
|
1
|
137
|
||||
Total
|
826
|
4
|
1
|
831
|
(g)
|
|||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||||||
One to six
months
|
1
|
1
|
-
|
2
|
||||
Seven to twelve
months
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
||||
More than twelve
months
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
1
|
||||
Total
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
4
|
(g)
|
|
(g)
|
At
June 30, 2008 the number of issues in an unrealized loss position
represent 41.8% as to fixed maturities, and 14.8% as to equity
securities of the total number of such issues held by the
Company.
|
The aging
of issues with unrealized losses employs closing market price comparisons with
an issue’s original cost. The percentage reduction from original cost reflects
the decline as of a specific point in time (June 30, 2008 in the previous table)
and, accordingly, is not indicative of a security’s value having been
consistently below its cost at the percentages and throughout the periods
shown.
Age
Distribution of Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
June
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||
2008
|
2007
|
|||
Maturity
Ranges:
|
||||
Due in one year or
less
|
11.4%
|
11.7%
|
||
Due after one year through
five
years
|
50.8
|
46.8
|
||
Due after five years through
ten
years
|
37.4
|
41.1
|
||
Due after ten years through
fifteen
years
|
.4
|
.4
|
||
Due after fifteen
years
|
-
|
-
|
||
Total
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
||
Average
Maturity in
Years
|
4.3
|
4.4
|
||
Duration
(h)
|
3.7
|
3.8
|
|
(h)
|
Duration
is used as a measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rate changes. A
duration of 3.7 as of June 30, 2008 implies that a 100 basis point
parallel increase in interest rates from current levels would result in a
possible decline in the market value of the long-term fixed maturity
investment portfolio of approximately
3.7%.
|
19
Composition
of Unrealized Gains (Losses)
|
June
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||
2008
|
2007
|
|||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||
Amortized
cost
|
$
|
7,372.3
|
$
|
7,312.2
|
||
Estimated fair
value
|
7,378.6
|
7,383.6
|
||||
Gross unrealized
gains
|
81.3
|
106.9
|
||||
Gross unrealized
losses
|
(75.0)
|
(35.6)
|
||||
Net unrealized
gains
|
$
|
6.3
|
$
|
71.3
|
||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||||
Cost
|
$
|
457.7
|
$
|
807.3
|
||
Estimated fair
value
|
521.0
|
842.1
|
||||
Gross unrealized
gains
|
66.6
|
115.1
|
||||
Gross unrealized
losses
|
(3.3)
|
(80.4)
|
||||
Net unrealized gains
(losses)
|
$
|
63.3
|
$
|
34.7
|
Other Assets - Among other
major assets, substantially all of the Company’s receivables are not past due.
Reinsurance recoverable balances on paid or estimated unpaid losses are deemed
recoverable from solvent reinsurers or have otherwise been reduced by allowances
for estimated amounts unrecoverable. Deferred policy acquisition costs are
estimated by taking into account the variable costs of producing specific types
of insurance policies, and evaluating their recoverability on the basis of
recent trends in claims costs. The Company’s deferred policy acquisition cost
balances have not fluctuated substantially from period-to-period and do not
represent significant percentages of assets or shareholders’
equity.
Liquidity - The parent
holding company meets its liquidity and capital needs principally through
dividends paid by its subsidiaries. The insurance subsidiaries' ability to pay
cash dividends to the parent company is generally restricted by law or subject
to approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of the states in which they
are domiciled. The Company can receive up to $414.7 million in dividends from
its subsidiaries in 2008 without the prior approval of regulatory authorities.
The liquidity achievable through such permitted dividend payments is more than
adequate to cover the parent holding company’s currently expected cash outflows
represented mostly by interest on outstanding debt and quarterly cash dividend
payments to shareholders. In addition, Old Republic can currently access the
commercial paper market for up to $265.0 million to meet unanticipated liquidity
needs of which $60.0 million was outstanding at June 30, 2008.
Capitalization - Old
Republic’s total capitalization of $4,125.3 million at June 30, 2008
consisted of debt of $66.3 million and common shareholders' equity of $4,058.9
million. Changes in the common shareholders’ equity account reflect primarily
operating results for the period then ended, dividend payments, and changes in
market valuations of invested assets. Old Republic has paid cash dividends to
its shareholders without interruption since 1942, and has increased the regular
annual rate in each of the past 27 years. The annual dividend rate is typically
reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors in the first quarter of each
year. In establishing each year’s cash dividend rate the Company does not follow
a strict formulaic approach. Rather, it favors a gradual rise in the annual
dividend rate that is largely reflective of long-term consolidated operating
earnings trends. Accordingly, each year’s dividend rate is set judgmentally in
consideration of such key factors as the dividend paying capacity of the
Company’s insurance subsidiaries, the trends in average annual statutory and
GAAP earnings for the six most recent calendar years, and management’s long-term
expectations for the Company’s consolidated business. At its February, 2008
meeting, the Board of Directors approved a new quarterly cash dividend rate of
17 cents per share effective in the second quarter of 2008, up from 16 cents per
share, subject to the usual quarterly authorizations.
At its May, 2006 meeting, the Company’s
Board of Directors authorized the reacquisition of up to $500.0 million of
common shares as market conditions warrant during the two year period from that
date. During 2007, the Company reacquired 1,566,100 shares of its common stock
for $28.3 million or $18.13 per share. No additional shares were purchased under
this authorization during 2008.
RESULTS
OF OPERATIONS
|
Revenues: Premiums
& Fees
|
Pursuant to GAAP applicable to the
insurance industry, revenues are associated with the related benefits, claims,
and expenses.
Substantially all general insurance
premiums are reflected in income on a pro-rata basis. Earned but unbilled
premiums are generally taken into income on the billing date, while adjustments
for retrospective premiums, commissions and similar charges or credits are
accrued on the basis of periodic evaluations of current underwriting experience
and contractual obligations.
20
The
Company’s mortgage guaranty premiums primarily stem from monthly installment
policies. Accordingly, substantially all such premiums are generally written and
earned in the month coverage is effective. With respect to annual or single
premium policies, earned premiums are largely recognized on a pro-rata basis
over the terms of the policies.
Title
premium and fee revenues stemming from the Company’s direct operations (which
include branch offices of its title insurers and wholly owned agency
subsidiaries) represent approximately 36% of 2008 consolidated title business
revenues. Such premiums are generally recognized as income at the escrow closing
date which approximates the policy effective date. Fee income related to escrow
and other closing services is recognized when the related services have been
performed and completed. The remaining 64% of consolidated title premium and fee
revenues is produced by independent title agents and underwritten title
companies. Rather than making estimates that could be subject to significant
variance from actual premium and fee production, the Company recognizes revenues
from those sources upon receipt. Such receipts can reflect a three to four month
lag relative to the effective date of the underlying title policy, and are
offset concurrently by production expenses and claim reserve
provisions.
The major sources of Old Republic’s
earned premiums and fees for the periods shown were as follows:
Earned
Premiums and Fees
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Other
|
Total
|
%
Change
from
prior
period
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
1,805.2
|
$
|
429.5
|
$
|
1,081.8
|
$
|
70.3
|
$
|
3,386.9
|
8.7
|
%
|
|||||
2006
|
1,902.1
|
444.3
|
980.0
|
74.1
|
3,400.5
|
.4
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
2,155.1
|
518.2
|
850.7
|
77.0
|
3,601.2
|
5.9
|
|||||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2007
|
1,061.9
|
243.0
|
439.6
|
38.4
|
1,783.0
|
5.4
|
|||||||||||
2008
|
1,007.0
|
296.7
|
333.7
|
44.7
|
1,682.2
|
-5.7
|
|||||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2007
|
540.1
|
125.0
|
229.5
|
18.4
|
913.2
|
7.6
|
|||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
494.2
|
$
|
149.1
|
$
|
172.9
|
$
|
19.1
|
$
|
835.5
|
-8.5
|
%
|
The percentage allocation of net
premiums earned for major insurance coverages in the General Insurance Group was
as follows:
General
Insurance Earned Premiums by Type of
Coverage
|
Commercial
Automobile
(mostly
trucking)
|
Workers’
Compensation
|
Financial
Indemnity
|
Inland
Marine
and
Property
|
General
Liability
|
Other
|
||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
39.1%
|
21.9%
|
10.3%
|
11.0%
|
5.4%
|
12.3%
|
|||||
2006
|
39.6
|
21.7
|
11.0
|
10.7
|
5.1
|
11.9
|
|||||
2007
|
35.0
|
23.5
|
13.8
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
10.6
|
|||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
35.4
|
24.4
|
12.3
|
9.2
|
7.9
|
10.8
|
|||||
2008
|
34.4
|
21.3
|
16.1
|
9.7
|
7.8
|
10.7
|
|||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
34.8
|
23.6
|
12.8
|
9.0
|
8.0
|
11.8
|
|||||
2008
|
34.9%
|
20.5%
|
15.3%
|
9.8%
|
7.7%
|
11.8%
|
The following tables provide
information on production and related risk exposure trends for Old Republic’s
Mortgage Guaranty Group.
Mortgage
Guaranty Production by Type
|
New Insurance
Written:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
20,554.5
|
$
|
9,944.3
|
$
|
498.2
|
$
|
30,997.1
|
||||
2006
|
17,187.0
|
13,716.7
|
583.7
|
31,487.5
|
||||||||
2007
|
31,841.7
|
10,800.3
|
901.6
|
43,543.7
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
11,775.5
|
8,486.9
|
246.7
|
20,509.2
|
||||||||
2008
|
13,852.9
|
3.5
|
712.6
|
14,569.1
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
7,156.7
|
4,551.1
|
69.6
|
11,777.6
|
||||||||
2008
|
$
|
5,986.0
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
231.5
|
$
|
6,217.5
|
21
New Risk Written by
Type:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
5,112.4
|
$
|
1,053.1
|
$
|
11.7
|
$
|
6,177.4
|
||||
2006
|
4,246.8
|
1,146.6
|
12.2
|
5,405.7
|
||||||||
2007
|
7,844.5
|
724.5
|
15.2
|
8,584.4
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
2,847.1
|
534.5
|
7.2
|
3,388.9
|
||||||||
2008
|
3,213.5
|
.6
|
7.2
|
3,221.4
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
1,731.5
|
231.8
|
1.2
|
1,964.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
$
|
1,375.5
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
2.3
|
$
|
1,377.9
|
Premium
and Persistency Trends by
Type:
|
Earned
Premiums
|
Persistency
|
Direct
|
Net
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
508.0
|
$
|
429.5
|
65.5
|
%
|
59.5
|
%
|
||||
2006
|
524.7
|
444.3
|
73.1
|
70.5
|
||||||||
2007
|
612.7
|
518.2
|
77.6
|
73.7
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
286.7
|
243.0
|
74.7
|
66.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
350.7
|
296.7
|
79.9
|
%
|
81.4
|
%
|
||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
147.5
|
125.0
|
||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
176.4
|
$
|
149.1
|
While there is no consensus in the
marketplace as to the precise definition of “sub-prime”, Old Republic generally
views loans with Fair, Issac & Company (“FICO”) credit scores below 620,
loans underwritten with reduced levels of documentation and loans with loan to
value ratios in excess of 95% as having a higher risk of default. Risk in force
concentrations by these attributes are disclosed in the following tables for
both traditional primary and bulk production. Premium rates for loans exhibiting
greater risk attributes are typically higher in anticipation of potentially
greater defaults and claim costs. Additionally, bulk insurance policies, which
represent 9.6% of total net risk in force, are frequently subject to deductibles
and aggregate stop losses which serve to limit the overall risk on a pool of
insured loans. As the decline in the housing markets has accelerated and
mortgage lending standards have tightened, rising defaults and the attendant
increases in reserves and paid claims on higher risk loans have become more
significant drivers of increased claim costs.
Net
Risk in Force
|
Net Risk in Force by
Type:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
14,711.2
|
$
|
1,758.8
|
$
|
586.1
|
$
|
17,056.2
|
||||
2006
|
14,582.1
|
2,471.1
|
578.9
|
17,632.2
|
||||||||
2007
|
18,808.5
|
2,539.9
|
511.1
|
21,859.5
|
||||||||
As
of June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
15,392.1
|
2,607.6
|
543.5
|
18,543.3
|
||||||||
2008
|
$
|
20,254.2
|
$
|
2,204.1
|
$
|
478.1
|
$
|
22,936.6
|
22
Analysis
of Risk in Force
|
Risk in Force
Distribution By FICO Scores:
|
FICO
less
than
620
|
FICO
620
to
680
|
FICO
Greater
than
680
|
Unscored/
Unavailable
|
||||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
8.3%
|
31.8%
|
53.1%
|
6.8%
|
||||
2006
|
8.5
|
32.6
|
54.6
|
4.3
|
||||
2007
|
8.5
|
33.6
|
55.1
|
2.8
|
||||
As
of June
30:
|
||||||||
2007
|
8.7
|
33.3
|
54.3
|
3.7
|
||||
2008
|
7.5%
|
32.1%
|
58.0%
|
2.4%
|
||||
Bulk(a):
|
||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||
2005
|
21.2%
|
38.7%
|
38.7%
|
1.4%
|
||||
2006
|
24.1
|
35.7
|
39.8
|
.4
|
||||
2007
|
19.4
|
34.9
|
45.4
|
.3
|
||||
As
of June
30:
|
||||||||
2007
|
21.4
|
35.5
|
42.8
|
.3
|
||||
2008
|
18.9%
|
34.1%
|
46.8%
|
.2%
|
Risk in Force
Distribution By Loan to Value (“LTV”) Ratio:
|
LTV
less
than
85
|
LTV
85
to 90
|
LTV
90
to 95
|
LTV
Greater
than
95
|
|||||||
Traditional
Primary:
|
|||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
5.4%
|
37.7%
|
39.1%
|
17.8%
|
|||||||
2006
|
5.0
|
37.4
|
36.0
|
21.6
|
|||||||
2007
|
4.7
|
34.4
|
32.0
|
28.9
|
|||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
4.8
|
36.2
|
33.8
|
25.2
|
|||||||
2008
|
5.2%
|
34.5%
|
31.4%
|
28.9%
|
|||||||
Bulk(a):
|
|||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
57.3%
|
27.4%
|
11.6%
|
3.7%
|
|||||||
2006
|
63.4
|
23.1
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
|||||||
2007
|
62.0
|
20.9
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
|||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
63.2
|
21.3
|
9.0
|
6.5
|
|||||||
2008
|
62.7%
|
20.5%
|
9.0%
|
7.8%
|
|||||||
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 43.8% of total bulk risk in-force at
June 30, 2008, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
23
Risk in Force Distribution
By Top Ten States:
Traditional
Primary
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
9.0%
|
7.1%
|
6.3%
|
5.4%
|
3.7%
|
3.6%
|
3.1%
|
2.8%
|
4.7%
|
3.8%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
9.0
|
7.5
|
5.8
|
5.4
|
3.7
|
3.1
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
4.8
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
2007
|
8.9
|
7.7
|
5.3
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
4.5
|
3.8
|
|||||||||
As
of June 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
8.9
|
7.7
|
5.6
|
5.2
|
3.6
|
3.0
|
3.1
|
2.7
|
4.7
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
2008
|
8.6%
|
7.9%
|
5.2%
|
5.2%
|
3.3%
|
5.3%
|
3.1%
|
2.9%
|
4.4%
|
3.7%
|
Bulk(a)
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
CO
|
NY
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
8.3%
|
4.5%
|
3.3%
|
4.9%
|
3.6%
|
19.0%
|
3.8%
|
4.0%
|
2.7%
|
6.3%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
3.6
|
4.5
|
3.4
|
17.7
|
3.2
|
4.4
|
2.8
|
4.6
|
|||||||||
2007
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
4.2
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
17.5
|
3.4
|
4.2
|
3.0
|
5.5
|
|||||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
9.0
|
4.9
|
4.1
|
4.0
|
3.1
|
17.8
|
3.5
|
4.2
|
2.9
|
5.9
|
|||||||||
2008
|
9.7%
|
4.6%
|
4.0%
|
4.0%
|
3.1%
|
18.1%
|
3.4%
|
4.3%
|
3.0%
|
5.4%
|
Risk in Force
Distribution By Level of Documentation:
|
Full
Docu-
mentation
|
Reduced
Docu-
mentation
|
||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
90.6%
|
9.4%
|
||
2006
|
89.4
|
10.6
|
||
2007
|
88.0
|
12.0
|
||
As
of June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
88.8
|
11.2
|
||
2008
|
89.0%
|
11.0%
|
||
Bulk
(a):
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
51.9%
|
48.1%
|
||
2006
|
51.9
|
48.1
|
||
2007
|
49.6
|
50.4
|
||
As
of June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
49.1
|
50.9
|
||
2008
|
49.4%
|
50.6%
|
Risk in Force By Loan
Type:
|
Fixed
Rate
|
Adjustable
Rate
|
||
Traditional
Primary:
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
90.9%
|
9.1%
|
||
2006
|
92.3
|
7.7
|
||
2007
|
94.4
|
5.6
|
||
As
of June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
93.3
|
6.7
|
||
2008
|
95.2%
|
4.8%
|
||
Bulk
(a):
|
||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
64.6%
|
35.4%
|
||
2006
|
65.7
|
34.3
|
||
2007
|
70.9
|
29.1
|
||
As
of June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
69.0
|
31.0
|
||
2008
|
73.0%
|
27.0%
|
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 43.8% of total bulk risk in-force at
June 30, 2008, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
24
The following table shows the
percentage distribution of Title Group premium and fee revenues by production
sources:
Title
Premium and Fee Production by
Source
|
Direct
Operations
|
Independent
Title
Agents
&
Other
|
|||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||
2005
|
37.1%
|
62.9%
|
||
2006
|
32.3
|
67.7
|
||
2007
|
32.1
|
67.9
|
||
Six
Months Ended June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
33.6
|
66.4
|
||
2008
|
36.1
|
63.9
|
||
Quarters
Ended June
30:
|
||||
2007
|
33.3
|
66.7
|
||
2008
|
37.9%
|
62.1%
|
Revenues:
Net Investment Income
|
Net
investment income is affected by trends in interest and dividend yields for the
types of securities in which the Company’s funds are invested during individual
reporting periods. The following tables reflect the segmented and consolidated
invested asset bases as of the indicated dates, and the investment income earned
and resulting yields on such assets. Since the Company can exercise little
control over market values, yields are evaluated on the basis of investment
income earned in relation to the amortized cost of the underlying invested
assets, though yields based on the market values of such assets are also shown
in the statistics below.
Market
|
Invested
|
||||
Invested
Assets at Cost
|
Value
|
Assets
at
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Corporate
and
Other
|
Total
|
Adjust-
ment
|
Market
Value
|
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
5,524.8
|
$
|
1,571.6
|
$
|
611.1
|
$
|
246.6
|
$
|
7,954.3
|
$
|
101.8
|
$
|
8,056.1
|
||||||
2007
|
5,984.9
|
1,795.8
|
606.0
|
252.9
|
8,639.7
|
121.4
|
8,761.2
|
|||||||||||||
As
of June 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
5,717.2
|
1,632.6
|
602.4
|
181.2
|
8,133.6
|
54.7
|
8,188.3
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
5,612.2
|
$
|
1,954.2
|
$
|
581.5
|
$
|
272.4
|
$
|
8,420.5
|
$
|
77.7
|
$
|
8,498.1
|
Net
Investment Income
|
Yield
at
|
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Corporate
and
Other
|
Total
|
Cost
|
Market
|
Years
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
December
31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
197.0
|
$
|
70.1
|
$
|
26.0
|
$
|
16.9
|
$
|
310.1
|
4.51
|
%
|
4.40
|
%
|
||||||
2006
|
221.5
|
74.3
|
26.9
|
18.7
|
341.6
|
4.52
|
4.47
|
|||||||||||||
2007
|
260.8
|
79.0
|
27.3
|
12.7
|
379.9
|
4.58
|
4.52
|
|||||||||||||
Six
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
June
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
127.5
|
37.9
|
13.5
|
6.2
|
185.2
|
4.60
|
4.56
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
127.1
|
42.9
|
12.8
|
5.4
|
188.4
|
4.42
|
4.37
|
|||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
June
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
64.7
|
19.0
|
6.8
|
3.1
|
93.7
|
4.62
|
4.57
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
62.6
|
$
|
21.4
|
$
|
6.3
|
$
|
2.6
|
$
|
93.1
|
4.34
|
%
|
4.33
|
%
|
Revenues:
Net Realized Gains
|
The Company's investment policies
have not been designed to maximize or emphasize the securing of investment
gains. Rather, these policies aim to assure a stable source of income from
interest and dividends, protection of capital, and the providing of
sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting and other obligations as
they become payable in the future. Sales of fixed maturity securities arise
mostly from scheduled maturities and early calls; for the first six months of
2008 and 2007, 93.1% and 93.5%, respectively, of all such dispositions resulted
from these occurrences. Dispositions of equity securities at a realized gain or
loss reflect such factors as ongoing assessments of issuers’ business prospects,
rotation among industry sectors, and tax planning considerations. Additionally,
the amount of net realized investment gains and losses registered in any one
accounting period are affected by the aforementioned assessments of securities’
values for other-than-temporary impairment. As a result of the interaction of
all these factors and considerations, net realized investment gains or losses
can vary significantly from period-to-period, and in the Company’s view are not
indicative of any particular trend or result in the basics of its insurance
business.
25
The following table reflects the
composition of net realized investment gains or losses for the periods shown. A
significant portion of Old Republic’s indexed stock portfolio was sold at a gain
during 2007, with proceeds redirected to a more concentrated, select list of
common stocks expected to provide greater long-term total returns. Relatively
greater realized investment gains in equity securities in 2005 resulted largely
from sales of substantial portions of actively managed equity holdings and
reinvestment of proceeds in index-style investment portfolios.
Realized
Gains (Losses) on
Disposition
of Securities
|
Impairment
Losses on Securities
|
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
Equity
securities
and
miscell-
aneous
investments
|
Total
|
Fixed
maturity
securities
|
Equity
securities
and
miscell-
aneous
investments
|
Total
|
Net
realized
gains
(losses)
|
Years
Ended
December
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
4.5
|
$
|
69.6
|
$
|
74.1
|
$
|
(2.7)
|
$
|
(6.5)
|
$
|
(9.2)
|
$
|
64.9
|
|||||||
2006
|
2.0
|
16.9
|
19.0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
19.0
|
||||||||||||||
2007
|
2.2
|
68.1
|
70.3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
70.3
|
||||||||||||||
Six
Months Ended
June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
1.2
|
15.1
|
16.3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
16.3
|
||||||||||||||
2008
|
2.6
|
5.0
|
7.7
|
-
|
(437.3)
|
(437.3)
|
(429.6)
|
||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
.4
|
12.8
|
13.3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
13.3
|
||||||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
1.5
|
$
|
5.2
|
$
|
6.8
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
(437.3)
|
$
|
(437.3)
|
$
|
(430.5)
|
Expenses:
Benefits and Claims
|
In order
to achieve a necessary matching of premium and fee revenues and expenses, the
Company records the benefits, claims and related settlement costs that have been
incurred during each accounting period. Total claim costs are affected by the
amount of paid claims and the adequacy of reserve estimates established for
current and prior years’ claim occurrences at each balance sheet
date.
The
following table shows a breakdown of gross and net of reinsurance claim and loss
adjustment expense reserve estimates for major types of insurance coverages as
of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007:
June
30, 2008
|
December
31, 2007
|
Gross
|
Net
|
Gross
|
Net
|
Claim
and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves:
|
||||||||||||
Commercial
automobile (mostly trucking)
|
$
|
1,033.8
|
$
|
843.1
|
$
|
1,041.6
|
$
|
845.6
|
||||
Workers'
compensation
|
2,232.7
|
1,270.8
|
2,195.5
|
1,265.8
|
||||||||
General
liability
|
1,180.7
|
595.9
|
1,173.2
|
587.1
|
||||||||
Other
coverages
|
712.0
|
490.1
|
691.2
|
476.9
|
||||||||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves
|
154.2
|
103.4
|
154.8
|
104.0
|
||||||||
Total general insurance
reserves
|
5,313.5
|
3,303.5
|
5,256.5
|
3,279.7
|
||||||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
1,120.1
|
1,026.7
|
645.2
|
642.9
|
||||||||
Title
|
269.6
|
269.6
|
273.5
|
273.5
|
||||||||
Life
and health
|
33.5
|
26.3
|
30.3
|
24.7
|
||||||||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves –
other
coverages
|
25.8
|
25.8
|
25.4
|
25.4
|
||||||||
Total claim and loss adjustment
expense reserves
|
$
|
6,762.7
|
$
|
4,652.1
|
$
|
6,231.1
|
$
|
4,246.3
|
||||
Asbestosis
and environmental claim reserves included
in
the above general insurance reserves:
|
||||||||||||
Amount
|
$
|
179.4
|
$
|
149.8
|
$
|
190.5
|
$
|
158.1
|
%
of total general insurance reserves
|
3.4
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
3.6
|
%
|
4.8
|
%
|
The
Company’s reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses represents the
accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including incurred but not
reported losses and loss adjustment expenses. The establishment of claim
reserves by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries is a
reasonably complex and dynamic process influenced
by a large variety of factors as further discussed below.
Consequently, reserves
26
established
are a reflection of the opinions of a large number of persons, of the
application and interpretation of historical precedent and trends, of
expectations as to future developments, and of management’s judgment in
interpreting all such factors. At any point in time the Company is exposed to
possibly higher or lower than anticipated claim costs and the resulting changes
in estimates are recorded in operations of the periods during which they are
made. Increases to prior reserve estimates are often referred to as unfavorable
development whereas any changes that decrease previous estimates of the
Company’s ultimate liability are referred to as favorable
development.
Overview
of Loss Reserving Process
Most of Old Republic’s consolidated
claim and related expense reserves stem from its general
insurance business. At June 30, 2008, such reserves accounted for 78.6%
and 71.0% of consolidated gross and net of reinsurance reserves, respectively,
while similar reserves at December 31, 2007 represented 84.4% and 77.2% of the
respective consolidated amounts.
The
Company’s reserve setting process reflects the nature of its insurance business
and the decentralized basis upon which it is conducted. Old Republic’s general insurance operations
encompass a large variety of lines or classes of commercial insurance; it has
negligible exposure to personal lines such as homeowners or private passenger
automobile insurance that exhibit wide diversification of risks, significant
frequency of claim occurrences, and high degrees of statistical credibility.
Additionally, the Company’s insurance subsidiaries do not provide significant
amounts of insurance protection for premises; most of its property insurance
exposures relate to cargo, incidental property, and insureds’ inland marine
assets. Consequently, the wide variety of policies issued and commercial
insurance customers served require that loss reserves be analyzed and
established in the context of the unique or different attributes of each block
or class of business produced by the Company. For example, accident liability
claims emanating from insured trucking companies or from general aviation
customers become known relatively quickly, whereas claims of a general liability
nature arising from the building activities of a construction company may emerge
over extended periods of time. Similarly, claims filed pursuant to errors and
omissions or directors and officers’ (“E&O/D&O”) liability coverages are
usually not prone to immediate evaluation or quantification inasmuch as many
such claims may be litigated over several years and their ultimate costs may be
affected by the vagaries of judged or jury verdicts. Approximately 86% of the
general insurance
group’s claim reserves stem from liability insurance coverages for commercial
customers which typically require more extended periods of investigation and at
times protracted litigation before they are finally settled. As a consequence of
these and other factors, Old Republic does not utilize a single, overarching
loss reserving approach.
The
Company prepares periodic analyses of its loss reserve estimates for its
significant insurance coverages. It establishes point estimates for most losses
on an insurance coverage line-by-line basis for individual subsidiaries,
sub-classes, individual accounts, blocks of business or other unique
concentrations of insurance risks such as directors and officers’ liability,
that have similar attributes. Actuarially or otherwise derived ranges of reserve
levels are not utilized as such in setting these reserves. Instead the reported
reserves encompass the Company’s best point estimates at each reporting date and
the overall reserve level at any point in time therefore represents the
compilation of a very large number of reported reserve estimates and the results
of a variety of formula calculations largely driven by statistical analysis of
historical data. Reserve releases or additions are implicitly covered by the
point estimates incorporated in total reserves at each balance sheet date. The
Company does not project future variability or make an explicit provision for
uncertainty when determining its best estimate of loss reserves, although over
the most recent ten-year period management’s estimates have developed slightly
favorably on an overall basis.
Aggregate loss reserves consist of
liability estimates for claims that have been reported (“case”) to the Company’s
insurance subsidiaries and reserves for claims that have been incurred but not
yet reported (“IBNR”) or whose ultimate costs may not become fully apparent
until a future time. Additionally, the Company establishes unallocated loss
adjustment expense reserves for loss settlement costs that are not directly
related to individual claims. Such reserves are based on prior years’ cost
experience and trends, and are intended to cover the unallocated costs of claim
departments’ administration of case and IBNR claims over time. Long-term,
disability-type workers’ compensation reserves are discounted to present value
based on interest rates that range from 3.5% to 4.0%.
A large
variety of statistical analyses and formula calculations are utilized to provide
for IBNR claim costs as well as additional costs that can arise from such
factors as monetary and social inflation, changes in claims administration
processes, changes in reinsurance ceded and recoverability levels, and expected
trends in claim costs and related ratios. Typically, such formulas take into
account so-called link ratios that represent prior years’ patterns of incurred
or paid loss trends between succeeding years, or past experience relative to
progressions of the number of claims reported over time and ultimate average
costs per claim.
Overall, reserves pertaining to several
hundred large individual commercial insurance accounts that exhibit sufficient
statistical credibility, and at times may be subject to retrospective premium
rating plans or the utilization of varying levels or types of self-insured
retentions through captive insurers and similar risk management mechanisms are
established on an account by account basis using case reserves and applicable
formula-driven methods. Large account reserves are usually set and analyzed for
groups of coverages such as workers compensation, commercial auto and general
liability that are typically underwritten jointly for many customers. For
certain so-called long-tail categories of insurance such as retained or assumed
excess liability or excess workers’ compensation, officers and directors’
liability, and commercial umbrella liability relative to which claim development
patterns are particularly long, more volatile, and immature in their early
stages of development, the Company judgmentally establishes the most current
accident years’ loss reserves on the basis of expected loss ratios. Such
expected loss ratios typically reflect currently estimated loss ratios from
prior accident years, adjusted for the effect of actual and anticipated rate
changes, actual and anticipated changes in coverage, reinsurance, mix of
business, and other anticipated changes in external factors such as
trends in loss costs or the legal and claims
environment. Expected loss ratios are generally used for
the two to three most
27
recent
accident years depending on the individual class or category of business. As
actual claims data emerges in succeeding interim and annual periods, the
original accident year loss ratio assumptions are validated or otherwise
adjusted sequentially through the application of statistical projection
techniques such as the Bornhuetter/Ferguson method which utilizes data from the
more mature experience of prior years to arrive at a likely indication of more
recent years’ loss trends and costs.
Mortgage
guaranty insurance loss reserves are based
on statistical calculations that take into account the number of reported
insured mortgage loan defaults as of each balance sheet date, as well as
experience-based estimates of IBNR. Further, such loss reserve estimates also
take into account a large number of variables including trends in claim
severity, potential salvage recoveries, expected cure rates for reported loan
delinquencies at various stages of default, and judgments relative to future
employment levels, housing market activity, and mortgage loan interest costs,
demand, and extensions.
Title
insurance and related escrow
services loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established as point
estimates to cover the projected settlement costs of known as well as IBNR
losses related to premium and escrow service revenues of each reporting period.
Reserves for known claims are based on an assessment of the facts available to
the Company during the settlement process. The point estimates covering all
claim reserves take into account IBNR claims based on past experience and
evaluations of such variables as changing trends in the types of policies
issued, changes in real estate markets and interest rate environments, and
changing levels of loan refinancing, all of which can have a bearing on the
emergence, number, and ultimate costs of claims.
Incurred
Loss Experience
Management
is of the opinion that the Company’s overall reserving practices have been
consistently applied over many years. For at least the past ten years,
previously established aggregate reserves have produced reasonable estimates of
the cumulative ultimate net costs of claims incurred. However, there are no
guarantees that such outcomes will continue, and accordingly, no representation
is made that ultimate net claim and related costs will not develop in future
years to be greater or lower than currently established reserve estimates. In
management’s opinion, however, such potential development is not likely to have
a material effect on the Company’s consolidated financial position, although it
could materially affect its consolidated results of operations for any one
annual or interim reporting period. See further discussion in the Company’s 2007
Annual Report on Form 10-K, under Item 1A - Risk Factors.
The
percentage of net claims, benefits and related settlement expenses incurred as a
percentage of premiums and related fee revenues of the Company’s three major
operating segments and for its consolidated results were as
follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
66.9
|
%
|
37.2
|
%
|
6.0
|
%
|
43.3
|
%
|
||||
2006
|
65.9
|
42.8
|
5.9
|
45.3
|
||||||||
2007
|
67.8
|
118.8
|
6.6
|
60.2
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
66.0
|
60.3
|
6.2
|
50.0
|
||||||||
2008
|
72.9
|
186.9
|
6.9
|
79.3
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
67.3
|
65.9
|
6.4
|
51.4
|
||||||||
2008
|
76.0
|
%
|
192.5
|
%
|
6.8
|
%
|
82.0
|
%
|
The percentage of net claims,
benefits and related settlement expenses measured against premiums earned by
major general insurance
types of coverage were as follows:
General
Insurance Claims Ratios by Type of
Coverage
|
Commercial
Automobile
(mostly
trucking)
|
Workers’
Compensation
|
Financial
Indemnity
|
Inland
Marine
and
Property
|
General
Liability
|
Other
|
||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||
2005
|
66.9%
|
78.9%
|
48.9%
|
52.1%
|
97.4%
|
59.5%
|
|||||
2006
|
75.4
|
74.5
|
40.6
|
55.0
|
57.5
|
55.6
|
|||||
2007
|
74.0
|
70.9
|
69.6
|
54.9
|
59.9
|
55.9
|
|||||
Six
Months Ended June
30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
74.9
|
70.4
|
56.8
|
53.5
|
55.9
|
55.4
|
|||||
2008
|
73.5
|
69.2
|
102.1
|
57.1
|
64.8
|
54.3
|
|||||
Quarters
Ended June
30:
|
|||||||||||
2007
|
73.5
|
72.0
|
61.0
|
56.1
|
63.0
|
51.5
|
|||||
2008
|
73.3%
|
68.2%
|
117.3%
|
65.5%
|
64.2%
|
53.9%
|
28
The general insurance portion of
the claims ratio reflects reasonably consistent overall trends through December
31, 2007. To a large extent this major cost factor reflects pricing and risk
selection improvements that have been applied since 2001, together with elements
of reduced loss severity and frequency. The higher claims ratio for financial
indemnity coverages in 2007 and both 2008 periods was driven principally by
greater claim frequencies experienced in Old Republic’s consumer credit
indemnity coverage. During the three most recent calendar years, the general insurance group
experienced favorable development of prior year loss reserves primarily due to
the commercial automobile and the E&O/D&O (financial indemnity) lines of
business; these were partially offset by unfavorable development in excess
workers compensation coverages, and for ongoing development of asbestos and
environmental (“A&E”) exposures (general liability). Unfavorable
developments attributable to A&E claim reserves are due to periodic
re-evaluations of such reserves as well as reclassifications of other coverages’
reserves, typically workers compensation, deemed assignable to A&E types of
losses.
Except for a small portion that
emanates from ongoing primary insurance operations, a large majority of the
A&E claim reserves posted by Old Republic stem mainly from its
participations in assumed reinsurance treaties and insurance pools which were
discontinued fifteen or more years ago and have since been in run-off status.
With respect to the primary portion of gross A&E reserves, Old Republic
administers the related claims through its claims personnel as well as outside
attorneys, and posted reserves reflect its best estimates of ultimate claim
costs. Claims administration for the assumed portion of the Company’s A&E
exposures is handled by the claims departments of unrelated primary or ceding
reinsurance companies. While the Company performs periodic reviews of certain
claim files managed by third parties, the overall A&E reserves it
establishes respond to the paid claim and case reserve activity reported to the
Company as well as available industry statistical data such as so-called
survival ratios. Such ratios represent the number of years’ average paid losses
for the three or five most recent calendar years that are encompassed by an
insurer’s A&E reserve level at any point in time. According to this
simplistic appraisal of an insurer’s A&E loss reserve level, Old Republic’s
average five year survival ratios stood at 7.4 years (gross) and 9.7 years (net
of reinsurance) as of June 30, 2008 and 7.7 years (gross) and 10.7 years (net of
reinsurance) as of December 31, 2007. Fluctuations in this ratio between years
can be caused by the inconsistent pay out patterns associated with these types
of claims. Incurred net losses for A&E claims have averaged 2.8% of general insurance group net
incurred losses for the five years ended December 31, 2007.
The mortgage guaranty claims
ratios have continued to rise in recent periods, principally reflecting higher
paid losses, as well as expectations of greater claim frequency and severity.
The most recent quarterly and full year 2007 claim ratios comparisons reflect a
significant increase due primarily to increasing loss severity on reported
delinquencies as well as to higher expected claim frequencies and the resulting
impact on claims reserves. Claim severity has trended upward primarily due to
loans with larger unpaid principal balances and corresponding risk moving into
default along with a lower level of mitigation potential due to housing
depreciation trends. Expectations of greater claim frequency are impacted by
several factors, including the number of loans entering into default, the
outlook for the housing market, tightening lending standards which effect
borrowers’ ability to refinance troubled loans, the aging of the bulk business,
and the state of the economy overall, especially employment levels.
Average
mortgage guaranty paid
claims, and certain delinquency ratio data as of the end of the periods shown
are listed below:
Average
Paid Claim Amount (a)
|
Delinquency
Ratio
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Traditional
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
$
|
24,255
|
$
|
20,639
|
4.67
|
%
|
3.67
|
%
|
||||
2006
|
25,989
|
21,846
|
4.41
|
3.29
|
||||||||
2007
|
32,214
|
34,951
|
5.47
|
6.85
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June
30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
28,989
|
27,301
|
4.36
|
3.71
|
||||||||
2008
|
39,358
|
52,458
|
6.92
|
%
|
11.29
|
%
|
||||||
Quarters
Ended June
30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
29,860
|
26,682
|
||||||||||
2008
|
$
|
39,403
|
$
|
55,550
|
|
(a)
Amounts are in whole dollars.
|
29
Traditional
Primary Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
3.1%
|
5.7%
|
5.9%
|
4.2%
|
8.3%
|
1.8%
|
4.1%
|
2.2%
|
4.9%
|
4.7%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
2.7
|
4.5
|
6.1
|
4.5
|
7.8
|
2.9
|
4.1
|
2.6
|
4.6
|
4.8
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.7
|
4.5
|
7.2
|
5.4
|
8.1
|
6.7
|
5.4
|
4.1
|
4.8
|
5.2
|
|||||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
4.0
|
3.9
|
6.0
|
4.6
|
7.2
|
3.9
|
4.2
|
3.0
|
3.8
|
4.3
|
|||||||||
2008
|
13.3%
|
4.8%
|
7.9%
|
7.0%
|
8.4%
|
12.5%
|
7.4%
|
5.3%
|
4.9%
|
6.0%
|
Bulk
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
CO
|
NY
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
1.9%
|
5.5%
|
5.8%
|
3.0%
|
8.4%
|
.9%
|
3.7%
|
.9%
|
3.0%
|
4.3%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
1.6
|
4.0
|
4.4
|
4.2
|
9.3
|
1.6
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
3.3
|
4.4
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.8
|
5.4
|
7.3
|
8.6
|
10.6
|
7.0
|
6.6
|
5.1
|
5.8
|
6.6
|
|||||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
2.8
|
3.6
|
4.4
|
4.6
|
8.2
|
2.8
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
3.9
|
4.2
|
|||||||||
2008
|
16.5%
|
7.0%
|
11.4%
|
12.8%
|
13.6%
|
13.8%
|
10.7%
|
10.4%
|
7.3%
|
9.4%
|
Total
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States (includes “other” business)
(b):
|
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2005
|
2.4%
|
5.3%
|
5.3%
|
2.8%
|
7.5%
|
.9%
|
3.7%
|
1.6%
|
3.8%
|
4.3%
|
|||||||||
2006
|
2.0
|
4.1
|
5.2
|
3.1
|
7.3
|
1.4
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
3.3
|
4.3
|
|||||||||
2007
|
6.9
|
4.5
|
6.7
|
5.0
|
8.0
|
5.5
|
5.5
|
3.3
|
4.1
|
5.1
|
|||||||||
As
of June
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
3.2
|
3.7
|
5.2
|
3.3
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
3.8
|
2.2
|
3.1
|
4.2
|
|||||||||
2008
|
13.0%
|
4.9%
|
7.9%
|
6.7%
|
8.7%
|
10.7%
|
8.0%
|
4.9%
|
4.5%
|
6.1%
|
|
(b)
|
As
determined by risk in force as of June 30, 2008, these 10 states represent
49.5%, 59.7%, and 50.0%, of traditional primary, bulk, and total risk in
force, respectively.
|
The title insurance loss ratios
remain in the low single digits due to a continuation of favorable trends in
claims frequency and severity for business underwritten since 1992 in
particular. Though still reasonably contained, the increases in claim costs in
2007 and for the first six months of 2008 are reflective of the continuing
downturn in the housing and related mortgage lending industries.
Reinsurance
Programs
To maintain premium production within
its capacity and limit maximum losses and risks for which it might become liable
under its policies, Old Republic may cede a portion or all of its premiums and
liabilities on certain classes of insurance, individual policies, or blocks of
business to other insurers and reinsurers. Further discussion of the Company’s
reinsurance programs can be found in Part 1 of the Company’s 2007 Annual Report
on Form 10-K.
Expenses:
Underwriting, Acquisition and Other
Expenses
|
The following table sets forth the
expense ratios registered by each major business segment and in consolidation
for the periods shown:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
24.6
|
%
|
22.4
|
%
|
88.2
|
%
|
45.2
|
%
|
||||
2006
|
24.4
|
22.5
|
93.6
|
44.7
|
||||||||
2007
|
24.1
|
17.7
|
98.1
|
41.3
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
25.2
|
20.3
|
95.7
|
42.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
24.5
|
16.3
|
101.9
|
39.1
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
23.6
|
19.8
|
94.7
|
41.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
24.5
|
%
|
16.2
|
%
|
99.4
|
%
|
39.1
|
%
|
Variations in the Company’s
consolidated ratios reflect a continually changing mix of coverages sold
and attendant costs of producing business in the Company’s three largest
business segments. To a significant degree, expense ratios for both the general
and title insurance segments are mostly reflective of variable costs, such as
commissions or similar charges, that rise or decline along with corresponding
changes in premium and fee income, as well as changes in general
operating expenses which can contract or expand in differing proportions due to
varying levels of operating efficiencies and expense management opportunities in
the face of changing market conditions.
30
Expenses:
Total
|
The composite ratios of the above net
claims, benefits and underwriting expenses that reflect the sum total of all the
factors discussed herein were as follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2005
|
91.5
|
%
|
59.6
|
%
|
94.2
|
%
|
88.5
|
%
|
||||
2006
|
90.3
|
65.3
|
99.5
|
90.0
|
||||||||
2007
|
91.9
|
136.5
|
104.7
|
101.5
|
||||||||
Six
Months Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
91.2
|
80.6
|
101.9
|
92.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
97.4
|
203.2
|
108.8
|
118.4
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended June 30:
|
||||||||||||
2007
|
90.9
|
85.7
|
101.1
|
92.9
|
||||||||
2008
|
100.5
|
%
|
208.7
|
%
|
106.2
|
%
|
121.1
|
%
|
Expenses:
Income Taxes
|
The effective consolidated income tax
rates on pretax losses were 29.6% and 31.2% in the second quarter and first six
months of 2008, compared to effective tax rates on pretax income of 31.1% and
31.0% in the second quarter and first six months of 2007. The rates reflect
primarily the varying proportions of pretax operating income derived from
partially tax-sheltered investment income (principally state and municipal
tax-exempt interest) on the one hand, and the combination of fully taxable
investment income, realized investment gains or losses, and underwriting and
service income, on the other hand.
OTHER
INFORMATION
|
Reference
is here made to “Information About Segments of Business” appearing elsewhere
herein.
Historical
data pertaining to the operating results, liquidity, and other performance
indicators applicable to an insurance enterprise such as Old Republic are not
necessarily indicative of results to be achieved in succeeding years. In
addition to the factors cited below, the long-term nature of the insurance
business, seasonal and annual patterns in premium production and incidence of
claims, changes in yields obtained on invested assets, changes in government
policies and free markets affecting inflation rates and general economic
conditions, and changes in legal precedents or the application of law affecting
the settlement of disputed and other claims can have a bearing on
period-to-period comparisons and future operating results.
Some of
the oral or written statements made in the Company’s reports, press releases,
and conference calls following earnings releases, can constitute
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Of necessity, any such forward-looking statements
involve assumptions, uncertainties, and risks that may affect the Company’s
future performance. With regard to Old Republic’s General Insurance segment, its
results can be affected, in particular, by the level of market competition,
which is typically a function of available capital and expected returns on such
capital among competitors, the levels of interest and inflation rates, and
periodic changes in claim frequency and severity patterns caused by natural
disasters, weather conditions, accidents, illnesses, work-related injuries, and
unanticipated external events. Mortgage Guaranty and Title Insurance results can
be affected by similar factors, and by changes in national and regional housing
demand and values, the availability and cost of mortgage loans, employment
trends, and default rates on mortgage loans. Mortgage Guaranty results, in
particular, may also be affected by various risk-sharing arrangements with
business producers, as well as the risk management and pricing policies of
government-sponsored enterprises. Life and health insurance earnings can be
affected by the levels of employment and consumer spending, variations in
mortality and health trends, and changes in policy lapsation rates. At the
parent holding company level, operating earnings or losses are generally
reflective of the amount of debt outstanding and its cost, interest income on
temporary holdings of short-term investments, and period-to-period variations in
the costs of administering the Company’s widespread operations.
A more
detailed listing and discussion of the risks and other factors which affect the
Company’s risk-taking insurance business are included in Part I, Item 1A - Risk
Factors, of the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K annual report to the Securities and
Exchange Commission, which Item is specifically incorporated herein by
reference.
Any
forward-looking statements or commentaries speak only as of their dates. Old
Republic undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any and all such
comments, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
and accordingly they may not be unduly relied upon.
31
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
Item
3 - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk
Market
risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the fair value
of financial instruments as a result of changes in interest rates, equity
prices, foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. Old Republic’s primary
market risks consist of interest rate risk associated with investments in fixed
maturities and equity price risk associated with investments in equity
securities. The Company has no material foreign exchange or commodity
risk.
Old
Republic’s market risk exposures at June 30, 2008, have not materially changed
from those identified in the Company’s 2007 Annual Report on Form
10-K.
Item
4 - Controls and Procedures
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and
Procedures
The Company’s principal executive officer and its principal financial officer have evaluated the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report. Based upon their evaluation, the principal executive officer and principal financial officer have concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) are effective for the above referenced evaluation period.
Changes
in Internal Control
During
the three month period ended June 30, 2008, there were no changes in internal
control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over
financial reporting.
Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
The
Company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting
and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance
with generally accepted accounting principles. The Company’s internal control
over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain
to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly
reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the Company; (ii)
provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to
permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the Company are
being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of
the Company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or
timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of the
Company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial
statements.
Because
of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not
prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of
effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance
with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
32
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
FORM
10-Q
PART
II – OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1 – Legal
Proceedings
The
information contained in Note 6 “Commitments and Contingent Liabilities” of the
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements filed as Part 1 of this Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 1A – Risk
Factors
There
have been no material changes with respect to the risk factors disclosed in the
Company’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 4 – Submission of
Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
(a)
|
The
annual meeting of registrant’s shareholders was held on May 23,
2008.
|
(b)
|
Proxies
for the meeting were solicited by management pursuant to Regulation 14A
under the Security Exchange Act of 1934. There was no solicitation in
opposition to management’s nominees for directors as listed in the proxy
statement and all such nominees were
elected.
|
(c)
|
At
the meeting, the shareholders voted on the following
matters:
|
|
1.
|
The
election of five Class 3 directors. There were at least 111,219,991
affirmative votes for each director and no more than 104,157,173 votes
withheld for any single director.
|
|
2.
|
The
approval of the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP as the Company’s
auditors for 2008. There were 214,083,338 shares voted for, 1,165,778
shares voted against, and 128,049 shares that abstained. There
were no Broker non-votes.
|
Item 6 –
Exhibits
(a)
Exhibits
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
|
32.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
32.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
33
|
SIGNATURE
|
Pursuant
to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has
duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto
duly authorized.
Old
Republic International Corporation
|
||||
(Registrant)
|
||||
Date:
|
August
6, 2008
|
|||
/s/ Karl W.
Mueller
|
||||
Karl
W. Mueller
Senior
Vice President,
Chief
Financial Officer, and
Principal
Accounting Officer
|
34
EXHIBIT
INDEX
Exhibit
|
||
No.
|
Description
|
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
|
32.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
|
|
32.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 1350,
Chapter 63 of Title 18, United States Code, as adopted pursuant to Section
906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
35