OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP - Quarter Report: 2009 September (Form 10-Q)
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UNITED
STATES
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SECURITIES
AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
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Washington,
D. C. 20549
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FORM
10-Q
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[x]
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Quarterly
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
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for
the quarterly period ended: September 30,
2009 or
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|
[ ]
|
Transition
report pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Security Exchange Act of
1934
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Commission
File Number:
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001-10607
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OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
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||
(Exact
name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Delaware
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No.
36-2678171
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(State
or other jurisdiction of
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(IRS
Employer Identification No.)
|
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incorporation
or organization)
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307
North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, Illinois
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60601
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(Address
of principal executive office)
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(Zip
Code)
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Registrant's
telephone number, including area code: 312-346-8100
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be
filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the
preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required
to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for
the past 90 days. Yes:x No:¨
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an
accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See
definitions of “accelerated filer”, “large accelerated filer”, and “smaller
reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one).
Large
accelerated filer x
|
Accelerated
filer ¨
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Non-accelerated
filer ¨
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Smaller
reporting company ¨
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Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Exchange
Act Rule 12b-2). Yes:¨ No:x
Class
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Shares
Outstanding
September
30, 2009
|
|
Common
Stock / $1 par value
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240,654,615
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There are
39 pages in this report
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
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||
Report
on Form 10-Q / September 30, 2009
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INDEX
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PAGE
NO.
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||
PART
I
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FINANCIAL
INFORMATION:
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
BALANCE SHEETS
|
3
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF INCOME
|
4
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
|
4
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
|
5
|
|
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
|
6 –
13
|
|
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
|
14
– 35
|
|
QUANTITATIVE
AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURE ABOUT MARKET RISK
|
36
|
|
CONTROLS
AND PROCEDURES
|
36
|
|
PART
II
|
OTHER
INFORMATION:
|
|
ITEM
1 – LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
|
37
|
|
ITEM
1A – RISK FACTORS
|
37
|
|
ITEM
6 – EXHIBITS
|
37
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SIGNATURE
|
38
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EXHIBIT
INDEX
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39
|
2
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Balance Sheets
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
|
||||||||
(Unaudited)
|
||||||||
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||||
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||
Assets
|
||||||||
Investments:
|
||||||||
Available
for sale:
|
||||||||
Fixed
maturity securities (at fair value) (amortized cost: $7,706.2 and
$7,385.2)
|
$
|
8,177.5
|
$
|
7,406.9
|
||||
Equity
securities (at fair value) (adjusted cost: $373.3 and
$373.3)
|
473.5
|
350.3
|
||||||
Short-term
investments (at fair value which approximates cost)
|
994.1
|
888.0
|
||||||
Miscellaneous
investments
|
23.8
|
29.7
|
||||||
Total
|
9,669.0
|
8,675.0
|
||||||
Other
investments
|
7.5
|
7.8
|
||||||
Total
investments
|
9,676.5
|
8,682.9
|
||||||
Other
Assets:
|
||||||||
Cash
|
54.5
|
63.9
|
||||||
Securities
and indebtedness of related parties
|
23.8
|
17.4
|
||||||
Accrued
investment income
|
113.2
|
108.2
|
||||||
Accounts
and notes receivable
|
962.9
|
806.7
|
||||||
Federal
income tax recoverable: Current
|
9.7
|
41.0
|
||||||
Prepaid
federal income taxes
|
221.4
|
463.4
|
||||||
Reinsurance
balances and funds held
|
99.5
|
67.6
|
||||||
Reinsurance
recoverable:
|
Paid
losses
|
62.1
|
52.2
|
|||||
Policy
and claim reserves
|
2,518.9
|
2,395.7
|
||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs
|
214.0
|
222.8
|
||||||
Sundry
assets
|
351.9
|
343.8
|
||||||
4,632.5
|
4,583.1
|
|||||||
Total
Assets
|
$
|
14,309.1
|
$
|
13,266.0
|
||||
Liabilities,
Preferred Stock, and Common Shareholders’ Equity
|
||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||
Losses,
claims, and settlement expenses
|
$
|
7,806.5
|
$
|
7,241.3
|
||||
Unearned
premiums
|
1,191.3
|
1,112.3
|
||||||
Other
policyholders' benefits and funds
|
180.3
|
180.7
|
||||||
Total
policy liabilities and accruals
|
9,178.2
|
8,534.3
|
||||||
Commissions,
expenses, fees, and taxes
|
261.2
|
264.5
|
||||||
Reinsurance
balances and funds
|
363.7
|
264.8
|
||||||
Federal
income tax payable: Deferred
|
54.9
|
77.3
|
||||||
Debt
|
372.2
|
233.0
|
||||||
Sundry
liabilities
|
177.3
|
151.5
|
||||||
Commitments
and contingent liabilities
|
||||||||
Total
Liabilities
|
10,407.7
|
9,525.7
|
||||||
Preferred Stock
(1)
|
-
|
-
|
||||||
Common
Shareholders’ Equity:
|
||||||||
Common
stock (1)
|
240.6
|
240.5
|
||||||
Additional
paid-in capital
|
410.7
|
405.0
|
||||||
Retained
earnings
|
2,950.5
|
3,186.5
|
||||||
Accumulated
other comprehensive income (loss)
|
343.3
|
(41.7)
|
||||||
Unallocated
ESSOP shares (at cost)
|
(43.8)
|
(50.0)
|
||||||
Treasury
stock (at cost)(1)
|
-
|
-
|
||||||
Total
Common Shareholders' Equity
|
3,901.3
|
3,740.3
|
||||||
Total
Liabilities, Preferred Stock and Common Shareholders’
Equity
|
$
|
14,309.1
|
$
|
13,266.0
|
||||
(1)
|
At
September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, there were 75,000,000 shares of
$0.01 par value preferred stock authorized, of which no shares were
outstanding. As of the same dates, there were 500,000,000 shares of common
stock, $1.00 par value, authorized, of which 240,654,615 at September 30,
2009 and 240,520,251
at December 31, 2008 were issued. At September 30, 2009 and
December 31, 2008, there were 100,000,000 shares of Class B Common Stock,
$1.00 par value, authorized, of which no shares were issued. There were no
common shares classified as treasury stock as of September 30, 2009 and
December 31, 2008.
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
3
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Income (Unaudited)
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
|
|||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
||||||||||
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
784.2
|
$
|
784.7
|
$
|
2,243.7
|
$
|
2,372.5
|
|||||
Title,
escrow, and other fees
|
71.8
|
50.4
|
201.6
|
144.9
|
|||||||||
Total
premiums and fees
|
856.1
|
835.2
|
2,445.4
|
2,517.5
|
|||||||||
Net
investment income
|
96.7
|
93.8
|
283.9
|
282.3
|
|||||||||
Other
income
|
5.7
|
7.2
|
20.0
|
24.6
|
|||||||||
Total
operating revenues
|
958.6
|
936.3
|
2,749.4
|
2,824.5
|
|||||||||
Realized
investment gains (losses):
|
|||||||||||||
From
sales
|
.6
|
18.3
|
1.0
|
26.0
|
|||||||||
From
impairments
|
(1.5)
|
(11.5)
|
(1.5)
|
(448.9)
|
|||||||||
Total
realized investment gains (losses)
|
(.9)
|
6.7
|
(.5)
|
(422.8)
|
|||||||||
Total
revenues
|
957.6
|
943.1
|
2,748.8
|
2,401.6
|
|||||||||
Benefits,
Claims and Expenses:
|
|||||||||||||
Benefits,
claims, and settlement expenses
|
669.9
|
679.1
|
1,956.7
|
2,005.2
|
|||||||||
Dividends
to policyholders
|
1.2
|
4.0
|
6.0
|
11.9
|
|||||||||
Underwriting,
acquisition, and other expenses
|
388.3
|
333.2
|
1,060.3
|
1,014.1
|
|||||||||
Interest
and other charges
|
9.8
|
-
|
15.8
|
1.4
|
|||||||||
Total
expenses
|
1,069.4
|
1,016.5
|
3,039.0
|
3,032.8
|
|||||||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes (credits)
|
(111.7)
|
(73.4)
|
(290.2)
|
(631.1)
|
|||||||||
Income
Taxes (Credits):
|
|||||||||||||
Current
|
10.9
|
13.5
|
47.5
|
51.8
|
|||||||||
Deferred
|
(76.4)
|
(38.9)
|
(221.6)
|
(251.2)
|
|||||||||
Total
|
(65.4)
|
(25.3)
|
(174.1)
|
(199.3)
|
|||||||||
Net
Income (Loss)
|
$
|
(46.2)
|
$
|
(48.0)
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
|||||
Net
Income (Loss) Per Share:
|
|||||||||||||
Basic:
|
$
|
(.20)
|
$
|
(.21)
|
$
|
(.49)
|
$
|
(1.87)
|
|||||
Diluted:
|
$
|
(.20)
|
$
|
(.21)
|
$
|
(.49)
|
$
|
(1.87)
|
|||||
Average
shares outstanding:
|
Basic
|
235,761,056
|
230,735,600
|
235,563,448
|
230,716,219
|
||||||||
Diluted
|
235,761,056
|
230,735,600
|
235,563,448
|
230,716,219
|
|||||||||
Dividends
Per Common Share:
|
|||||||||||||
Cash
|
$
|
.17
|
$
|
.17
|
$
|
.51
|
$
|
.50
|
|||||
Consolidated Statements of
Comprehensive Income (Unaudited)
|
|||||||||||||
Net
income (loss) as reported
|
$
|
(46.2)
|
$
|
(48.0)
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
|||||
Other
comprehensive income (loss):
|
|||||||||||||
Post-tax
net unrealized gains (losses) on securities
|
222.9
|
(56.8)
|
367.8
|
(85.2)
|
|||||||||
Other
adjustments
|
8.3
|
(2.7)
|
17.2
|
(7.2)
|
|||||||||
Net
adjustments
|
231.3
|
(59.6)
|
385.1
|
(92.5)
|
|||||||||
Comprehensive
income (loss)
|
$
|
185.0
|
$
|
(107.6)
|
$
|
269.0
|
$
|
(524.3)
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
4
Old
Republic International Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated
Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)
($
in Millions)
|
|||||||
Nine
Months Ended
|
|||||||
September
30,
|
|||||||
2009
|
2008
|
||||||
Cash
flows from operating activities:
|
|||||||
Net
income (loss)
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
|||
Adjustments
to reconcile net income (loss) to
|
|||||||
net
cash provided by operating activities:
|
|||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs
|
10.5
|
11.3
|
|||||
Premiums
and other receivables
|
(155.0)
|
41.5
|
|||||
Unpaid
claims and related items
|
478.7
|
612.1
|
|||||
Other
policyholders’ benefits and funds
|
39.7
|
(8.3)
|
|||||
Income
taxes
|
(190.2)
|
(254.6)
|
|||||
Prepaid
federal income taxes
|
241.9
|
35.2
|
|||||
Reinsurance
balances and funds
|
56.7
|
7.9
|
|||||
Realized
investment (gains) losses
|
.5
|
422.8
|
|||||
Accounts
payable, accrued expenses and other
|
71.1
|
31.3
|
|||||
Total
|
438.0
|
467.6
|
|||||
Cash
flows from investing activities:
|
|||||||
Fixed
maturity securities:
|
|||||||
Maturities
and early calls
|
825.1
|
631.0
|
|||||
Sales
|
81.5
|
72.4
|
|||||
Sales
of:
|
|||||||
Equity
securities
|
-
|
79.2
|
|||||
Other
– net
|
3.5
|
42.7
|
|||||
Purchases
of:
|
|||||||
Fixed
maturity securities
|
(1,239.2)
|
(814.7)
|
|||||
Equity
securities
|
-
|
(96.9)
|
|||||
Other
– net
|
(12.9)
|
(26.4)
|
|||||
Purchase
of a business
|
(5.0)
|
(4.3)
|
|||||
Net
decrease (increase) in short-term investments
|
(105.1)
|
(267.0)
|
|||||
Other-net
|
(5.4)
|
(.4)
|
|||||
Total
|
(457.5)
|
(384.5)
|
|||||
Cash
flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||
Issuance
of debentures and notes
|
576.2
|
93.0
|
|||||
Issuance
of common shares
|
1.1
|
3.0
|
|||||
Redemption
of debentures and notes
|
(447.2)
|
(33.1)
|
|||||
Dividends
on common shares
|
(119.9)
|
(115.2)
|
|||||
Other-net
|
-
|
1.9
|
|||||
Total
|
10.0
|
(50.5)
|
|||||
Increase
(decrease) in cash:
|
(9.4)
|
32.5
|
|||||
Cash,
beginning of period
|
63.9
|
54.0
|
|||||
Cash,
end of period
|
$
|
54.5
|
$
|
86.5
|
|||
Supplemental
cash flow information:
|
|||||||
Cash
paid during the period for:
|
Interest
|
$
|
4.0
|
$
|
2.0
|
||
Income
taxes
|
$
|
16.0
|
$
|
54.9
|
See
accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
|
5
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
|
NOTES
TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)
|
($
in Millions, Except Share Data)
|
1.
|
Accounting Policies and Basis
of Presentation:
|
The
accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity
with the Accounting Standards Codification (“ASC”) promulgated by the Financial
Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) effective July 1, 2009. The ASC does not
change accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America
(US GAAP), and basically reorganizes such principles into a compendium of rules
grouped by topic.
Rule
10-01(d) of Regulation S-X requires that interim financial statements included
in quarterly reports on Form 10-Q be reviewed by an independent registered
public accountant using professional standards and procedures for conducting
such reviews, as established by the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board
(United States), as may be modified or supplemented by the SEC. As previously
announced by the Company, its registered public accounting firm,
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (“PwC”) was unable to complete its review of the
Company’s interim consolidated financial statements for the three and nine month
periods ended September 30, 2009, in accordance with Statement of Auditing
Standards No. 100, Interim Financial Information (“SAS 100”), as required by
Rule 10-01(d) of Regulation S-X, due to the status of a disagreement with the
Company’s accounting treatment of certain third quarter 2009 reinsurance
transactions consummated by the Company’s Mortgage Guaranty Group. The nature of
the disagreement and the potential impact to the Company’s consolidated
financial statements is disclosed in its Form 8-K filing of November 5, 2009.
The Company intends to petition the SEC for a resolution of the accounting
matter. There is a risk that the Company may not prevail in its position. If
unsuccessful in this regard, the Company will be required to restate its interim
consolidated financial statements for the periods ended September 30, 2009 once
the matter is resolved, the Company will file an amended Form 10-Q.
Because
the required review has not been completed, the Company’s Form 10-Q for the
quarterly periods ended September 30, 2009 is considered deficient. As a result,
the Company is considered not to be timely or current in its filings under the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Filing an amendment to the Company’s Form 10-Q
for the periods ended September 30, 2009 when PwC’s review has been completed
will eliminate certain consequences of a deficient filing, but the Company would
remain ineligible to use Form S-3 to register securities unless the SEC waives
the noncompliance issue or until all required reports under the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934 have been timely filed for the 12 months prior to the
filing of the registration statements for those securities. The Company believes
that the delay in obtaining a completed SAS 100 review of its financial
statements and the fact that this Form 10-Q is considered deficient and untimely
is not likely to have a material adverse effect on its bank credit agreements or
the indentures governing its debt obligations.
Additionally,
Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 requires the Company’s chief
executive officer and chief financial officer to certify that this Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q fully complies with the requirements of Sections 13(a) or
15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and that the information contained
in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the Company’s financial
condition and results of operations. Before the Company’s officers can make such
certifications, PwC is required to complete its review of the Company’s
consolidated financial statements under SAS 100. Once the accounting issue has
been resolved and PwC has completed its review under SAS 100, the Company
expects to file an amendment to this Report pursuant to which the Company’s
chief executive officer and chief financial officer will make the certifications
required under Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.
Pertinent
accounting and disclosure pronouncements issued from time to time by the FASB
are adopted by the Company as they become effective. The accompanying financial
statements incorporate new pronouncements which establish a framework for
measuring the fair value of financial assets and provide guidance covering fair
value measurements in the current economic environment, recognition of
other-than-temporary impairments of debt securities, required disclosure of fair
values of financial instruments in interim periods, and evaluation of subsequent
events. The Company’s adoption of these pronouncements, which is reflected in
the notes to financial statements, results primarily in additional disclosures
and has no effect on the conduct of the business and its reported financial
condition or net income (loss). As of the date of this report, the Company is
not aware of any new accounting or disclosure requirements that would have a
material effect on its consolidated financial statements or the conduct of its
business.
The
financial accounting and reporting process relies on estimates and on the
exercise of judgment. In the opinion of management all adjustments, consisting
only of normal recurring accruals necessary for a fair presentation of the
results have been recorded for the interim periods. Amounts shown in
the consolidated financial statements and applicable notes are stated (except as
otherwise indicated and as to share data) in millions, which amounts may not add
to totals shown due to truncation. Necessary reclassifications are made in prior
periods’ financial statements whenever appropriate to conform to the most
current presentation. Subsequent events have been evaluated through the issuance
date (November 6, 2009) of the accompanying financial
statements.
6
2.
|
Common Share
Data:
|
Earnings
Per Share - Consolidated basic earnings per share excludes the dilutive effect
of common stock equivalents and is computed by dividing net income (loss)
available to common stockholders by the weighted-average number of common shares
actually outstanding for the period. Diluted earnings per share are similarly
calculated with the inclusion of dilutive common stock equivalents. The
following table provides a reconciliation of the net income (loss) and number of
shares used in basic and diluted earnings per share calculations.
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
||||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
||||||||||||
Numerator:
|
|||||||||||||||
Net
Income (loss)
|
$
|
(46.2)
|
$
|
(48.0)
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
|||||||
Numerator
for basic earnings per share -
|
|||||||||||||||
income
(loss) available to common stockholders
|
(46.2)
|
(48.0)
|
(116.0)
|
(431.8)
|
|||||||||||
Numerator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
|||||||||||||||
income
(loss) available to common stockholders
|
|||||||||||||||
after
assumed conversions
|
$
|
(46.2)
|
$
|
(48.0)
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
|||||||
Denominator:
|
|||||||||||||||
Denominator
for basic earnings per share -
|
|||||||||||||||
weighted-average
shares (a)(b)
|
235,761,056
|
230,735,600
|
235,563,448
|
230,716,219
|
|||||||||||
Effect
of dilutive securities - stock options
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||
Effect
of dilutive securities - convertible senior notes
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||
Denominator
for diluted earnings per share -
|
|||||||||||||||
adjusted
weighted-average shares
|
|||||||||||||||
and
assumed conversions (a)(b)
|
235,761,056
|
230,735,600
|
235,563,448
|
230,716,219
|
|||||||||||
Earnings
per share:
|
Basic
|
$
|
(.20)
|
$
|
(.21)
|
$
|
(.49)
|
$
|
(1.87)
|
||||||
Diluted
|
$
|
(.20)
|
$
|
(.21)
|
$
|
(.49)
|
$
|
(1.87)
|
|||||||
Anti-dilutive
common share equivalents
|
|||||||||||||||
excluded
from earning per share computations:
|
|||||||||||||||
Stock
options
|
15,843,895
|
15,284,846
|
15,843,895
|
15,284,846
|
|||||||||||
Convertible
senior notes
|
27,452,271
|
-
|
27,452,271
|
-
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
43,296,166
|
15,284,846
|
43,296,166
|
15,284,846
|
|||||||||||
|
(a)
|
All
per share statistics have been restated to reflect all stock dividends and
splits declared through September 30,
2009.
|
|
(b)
|
In
calculating earnings per share, pertinent accounting rules require that
common shares owned by the Company’s Employee Savings and Stock Ownership
Plan that are as yet unallocated to participants in the plan be excluded
from the calculation. Such shares are issued and outstanding, have the
same voting and other rights applicable to all other common shares, and
may be sold at any time by the
plan.
|
3.
|
Investments:
|
The
Company may classify its invested assets in terms of those assets relative to
which it either (1) has the positive intent and ability to hold until maturity,
(2) has available for sale or (3) has the intention of trading. As of September
30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, substantially all the Company's invested assets
were classified as “available for sale.”
Fixed
maturity securities classified as “available for sale” and other preferred and
common stocks (equity securities) are included at fair value with changes in
such values, net of deferred income taxes, reflected directly in shareholders’
equity. Fair values for fixed maturity securities and equity securities are
based on quoted market prices or estimates using values obtained from
independent pricing services as applicable.
The
Company reviews the status and fair value changes of each of its investments on
at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of
other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”) in the portfolio’s value are evaluated
and established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In reviewing investments
for OTTI, the Company, in addition to a security’s market price
history, considers the totality of such factors as the issuer’s operating
results, financial condition and liquidity, its ability to access capital
markets, credit rating trends, most current audit opinion, industry and
securities markets conditions, and analyst expectations to reach its
conclusions. Sudden fair value declines caused by such adverse developments as
newly emerged or imminent bankruptcy filings, issuer default on significant
obligations, or reports of financial accounting developments that bring into
question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition,
are recognized as realized losses as soon as credible publicly available
information emerges to confirm such developments. Absent issuer-specific
circumstances that would result in a contrary conclusion, any equity security
with an unrealized investment loss amounting to a 20% or greater decline for a
six month period is considered OTTI. In the event the Company’s estimate of OTTI
is insufficient at any point in time, future periods’ net income (loss) would be
adversely affected by the recognition of additional realized or impairment
losses, but its financial position would not necessarily be affected adversely
inasmuch as such losses, or a portion of them, could have been recognized
previously as unrealized losses in shareholders’ equity. The
7
Company
recognized OTTI adjustments of $1.5 for the quarter and nine months ended
September 30, 2009 while recognizing $11.5 and $448.9 of such adjustments for
the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008.
During
the second quarter of 2009, the Company adopted new accounting pronouncements
that provide additional technical guidance to the application of fair value
measurements in the current economic environment, modifies the requirements for
recognizing OTTI adjustments relating to debt securities, changes the existing
impairment model for such securities, modifies the presentation of OTTI
adjustments, increases the frequency of and expands already required disclosures
relating to OTTI matters, and increases the frequency of fair value disclosures
from annual to quarterly reports.
The
amortized cost and estimated fair values of fixed maturity securities are as
follows:
Gross
|
Gross
|
Estimated
|
||||||||||
Amortized
|
Unrealized
|
Unrealized
|
Fair
|
|||||||||
Cost
|
Gains
|
Losses
|
Value
|
|||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||||||||
September
30, 2009:
|
||||||||||||
U.S.
& Canadian Governments
|
$
|
691.5
|
$
|
48.3
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
739.8
|
||||
Tax-exempt
|
2,225.8
|
150.6
|
-
|
2,376.4
|
||||||||
Corporates
|
4,788.8
|
284.8
|
12.4
|
5,061.2
|
||||||||
$
|
7,706.2
|
$
|
483.8
|
$
|
12.5
|
$
|
8,177.5
|
|||||
December
31, 2008:
|
||||||||||||
U.S.
& Canadian Governments
|
$
|
631.6
|
$
|
62.8
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
694.4
|
||||
Tax-exempt
|
2,290.0
|
77.2
|
1.5
|
2,365.7
|
||||||||
Corporates
|
4,463.5
|
56.6
|
173.3
|
4,346.7
|
||||||||
$
|
7,385.2
|
$
|
196.8
|
$
|
175.0
|
$
|
7,406.9
|
The
amortized cost and estimated fair value of fixed maturity securities at
September 30, 2009, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Expected
maturities will differ from contractual maturities since borrowers may have the
right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment
penalties.
Estimated
|
||||||
Amortized
|
Fair
|
|||||
Cost
|
Value
|
|||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||
Due
in one year or less
|
$
|
737.3
|
$
|
747.8
|
||
Due
after one year through five years
|
4,194.7
|
4,419.8
|
||||
Due
after five years through ten years
|
2,741.4
|
2,975.9
|
||||
Due
after ten years
|
32.7
|
33.8
|
||||
$
|
7,706.2
|
$
|
8,177.5
|
A summary
of the Company's equity securities reflecting reported adjusted cost, net of
OTTI adjustments totaling $355.8 at September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008
follows:
Gross
|
Gross
|
Estimated
|
||||||||||
Adjusted
|
Unrealized
|
Unrealized
|
Fair
|
|||||||||
Cost
|
Gains
|
Losses
|
Value
|
|||||||||
September
30, 2009
|
$
|
373.3
|
$
|
120.3
|
$
|
20.2
|
$
|
473.5
|
||||
December
31, 2008
|
$
|
373.3
|
$
|
49.6
|
$
|
72.7
|
$
|
350.3
|
8
The
following table reflects the Company’s gross unrealized losses and fair value,
aggregated by category and length of time that individual securities have been
in an unrealized loss position employing closing market price comparisons with
an issuer’s adjusted cost at September 30, 2009 and December 31,
2008:
12
Months or Less
|
Greater
than 12 Months
|
Total
|
|||||||||||||||
Fair
Value
|
Unrealized
Losses
|
Fair
Value
|
Unrealized
Losses
|
Fair
Value
|
Unrealized
Losses
|
||||||||||||
September
30, 2009:
|
|||||||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
U.S.
& Canadian Governments
|
$
|
26.3
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
26.3
|
$
|
-
|
|||||
Tax-exempt
|
6.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6.8
|
-
|
|||||||||||
Corporates
|
102.7
|
.8
|
230.4
|
11.6
|
333.1
|
12.4
|
|||||||||||
Subtotal
|
135.8
|
.8
|
230.4
|
11.6
|
366.3
|
12.5
|
|||||||||||
Equity
Securities
|
87.0
|
3.1
|
96.0
|
17.0
|
183.0
|
20.2
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
222.9
|
$
|
4.0
|
$
|
326.5
|
$
|
28.6
|
$
|
549.4
|
$
|
32.7
|
|||||
December
31, 2008:
|
|||||||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
U.S.
& Canadian Governments
|
$
|
1.0
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
1.0
|
$
|
-
|
|||||
Tax-exempt
|
60.8
|
1.4
|
7.7
|
-
|
68.5
|
1.5
|
|||||||||||
Corporates
|
1,981.4
|
112.4
|
504.3
|
61.0
|
2,485.8
|
173.4
|
|||||||||||
Subtotal
|
2,043.2
|
113.9
|
512.1
|
61.1
|
2,555.4
|
175.0
|
|||||||||||
Equity
Securities
|
247.8
|
72.7
|
-
|
-
|
247.9
|
72.7
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
2,291.1
|
$
|
186.5
|
$
|
512.1
|
$
|
61.2
|
$
|
2,803.3
|
$
|
247.7
|
At
September 30, 2009, the Company held 81 fixed maturity and 7 equity securities
in an unrealized loss position, representing 4.0% as to fixed maturities and
43.8% as to equity securities of the total number of such issues held by the
Company. Of the 81 fixed maturity securities, 52 had been in a continuous
unrealized loss position for more than 12 months. The unrealized losses on these
securities are primarily attributable to a post-purchase rising interest rate
environment and a decline in the credit quality of some issuers. As part of its
assessment of other-than-temporary impairment, the Company considers its intent
to continue to hold and the likelihood that it will not be required to sell
investment securities in an unrealized loss position until cost recovery,
principally on the basis of its asset and liability maturity matching
procedures. The Company has not sold nor does it expect to sell investments for
purposes of generating cash to pay claim or expense obligations.
Beginning
in 2008, the Company adopted an accounting pronouncement which establishes a
framework for measuring fair value. The pronouncement defines fair value as the
price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in
an orderly transaction between market participants (an exit price) at the
measurement date. A fair value hierarchy is established that prioritizes the
sources (“inputs”) used to measure fair value into three broad levels: inputs
based on quoted market prices in active markets (Level 1); observable inputs
based on corroboration with available market data (Level 2); and unobservable
inputs based on uncorroborated market data or a reporting entity’s own
assumptions (Level 3). In 2009, the Company also adopted a related accounting
pronouncement which provides guidance on fair value measurements in the current
economic environment and results in more detailed disclosures relative to the
Company’s fair value measurements. Following is a description of the valuation
methodologies and general classification used for securities measured at fair
value.
The
Company uses quoted values and other data provided by a nationally recognized
independent pricing source as inputs into its quarterly process for determining
fair values of its fixed maturity and equity securities. To validate the
techniques or models used by pricing sources, the Company’s review process
includes, but is not limited to: (i) initial and ongoing evaluation of
methodologies used by outside parties to calculate fair value; and (ii)
comparing the fair value estimates to its knowledge of the current market and to
independent fair value estimates provided by the investment custodian. The
independent pricing source obtains market quotations and actual transaction
prices for securities that have quoted prices in active markets using its own
proprietary method for determining the fair value of securities that are not
actively traded. In general, these methods involve the use of “matrix pricing”
in which the independent pricing source uses observable market inputs including,
but not limited to, investment yields, credit risks and spreads, benchmarking of
like securities, broker-dealer quotes, reported trades and sector groupings to
determine a reasonable fair value.
Level 1
securities include U.S. and Canadian Treasury notes, publicly traded common
stocks, the quoted net asset value (“NAV”) mutual funds, and most short-term
investments in highly liquid money market instruments. Level 2 securities
generally include corporate bonds, municipal bonds and certain U.S. and Canadian
government agency securities. Securities classified within Level 3 include
non-publicly traded bonds, short-term investments and common stocks. There were
no significant changes in the fair value of assets measured with the use of
significant unobservable inputs during the quarter ended September 30,
2009.
9
The
following table shows a summary of assets measured at fair value segregated
among the various input levels described above:
Fair
value measurements as of September 30, 2009:
|
|||||||||||
Level
1
|
Level
2
|
Level
3
|
Total
|
||||||||
Available
for sale:
|
|||||||||||
Fixed
maturity securities:
|
|||||||||||
U.S.
& Canadian Governments
|
$
|
294.9
|
$
|
444.8
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
739.8
|
|||
Tax-exempt
|
-
|
2,376.4
|
-
|
2,376.4
|
|||||||
Corporates
|
-
|
5,040.7
|
20.5
|
5,061.2
|
|||||||
Equity
securities
|
430.4
|
-
|
43.0
|
473.5
|
|||||||
Short-term
investments
|
987.7
|
-
|
6.3
|
994.1
|
Investment
income is reported net of allocated expenses and includes appropriate
adjustments for amortization of premium and accretion of discount on fixed
maturity securities acquired at other than par value. Dividends on equity
securities are credited to income on the ex-dividend date. Realized investment
gains and losses, which result from sales or write-downs of securities, are
reflected as revenues in the income statement and are determined on the
basis of amortized value at date of sale for fixed maturity securities, and cost
in regard to equity securities; such bases apply to the specific securities
sold. Unrealized investment gains and losses, net of any deferred income
taxes, are recorded directly as a component of accumulated other comprehensive
income in shareholders’ equity. At September 30, 2009, the Company and its
subsidiaries had no significant amount of non-income producing fixed maturity
securities.
The
following table reflects the composition of net investment income, net realized
gains or losses, and the net change in unrealized investment gains or
losses for each of the years shown.
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
||||||||||
Investment
income from:
|
|||||||||||||
Fixed
maturity securities
|
$
|
94.8
|
$
|
86.6
|
$
|
273.9
|
$
|
257.7
|
|||||
Equity
securities
|
1.2
|
2.9
|
4.0
|
10.1
|
|||||||||
Short-term
investments
|
.8
|
4.0
|
4.9
|
13.1
|
|||||||||
Other
sources
|
.6
|
1.1
|
3.2
|
3.9
|
|||||||||
Gross
investment income
|
97.5
|
94.7
|
286.2
|
284.9
|
|||||||||
Investment expenses (a) | .7 | .8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | |||||||||
Net
investment income
|
$
|
96.7
|
$
|
93.8
|
$
|
283.9
|
$
|
282.3
|
|||||
Realized
gains (losses) on:
|
|||||||||||||
Fixed
maturity securities:
|
|||||||||||||
Gains
|
$
|
.7
|
$
|
1.3
|
$
|
1.7
|
$
|
4.0
|
|||||
Losses
|
(1.7)
|
-
|
(1.7)
|
-
|
|||||||||
Net
|
(1.0)
|
1.3
|
-
|
4.0
|
|||||||||
Equity
securities & other long-term investments
|
-
|
5.4
|
(.5)
|
(426.8)
|
|||||||||
Total
|
(.9)
|
6.7
|
(.5)
|
(422.8)
|
|||||||||
Income
taxes (credits)(b)
|
(20.8)
|
9.4
|
(54.1)
|
(105.9)
|
|||||||||
Net
realized gains (losses)
|
$
|
19.8
|
$
|
(2.6)
|
$
|
53.6
|
$
|
(316.8)
|
|||||
Changes
in unrealized investment gains (losses) on:
|
|||||||||||||
Fixed
maturity securities
|
$
|
235.2
|
$
|
(101.6)
|
$
|
448.5
|
$
|
(166.6)
|
|||||
Less:
Deferred income taxes (credits)
|
82.3
|
(35.5)
|
156.9
|
(58.3)
|
|||||||||
Net
change
|
$
|
152.9
|
$
|
(66.0)
|
$
|
291.6
|
$
|
(108.2)
|
|||||
Equity
securities & other long-term investments
|
$
|
107.6
|
$
|
14.1
|
$
|
117.2
|
$
|
35.3
|
|||||
Less:
Deferred income taxes (credits)
|
37.6
|
4.9
|
41.0
|
12.3
|
|||||||||
Net
change
|
$
|
69.9
|
$
|
9.2
|
$
|
76.2
|
$
|
22.9
|
|||||
|
(a)
|
Investment
expenses consist of personnel costs and investment management and custody
service fees, as well as interest incurred on funds held of $ - and $.1
compared to $.3 and $.7 for the quarter and nine months ended September
30, 2009 and 2008, respectively.
|
|
(b)
|
Reflects
primarily the varying proportions of pretax income derived from partially
tax sheltered investment income (principally state and municipal
tax-exempt interest), the combination of fully taxable investment income,
realized investment gains or losses, and judgments about the
recoverability of deferred tax
assets.
|
10
4.
|
Pension
Plans:
|
The
Company has three pension plans covering a portion of its work force. All three
plans have been closed to new participants since December 31, 2004. It is the
Company’s policy to fund the plans’ costs as they accrue. Plan assets are
comprised principally of bonds, common stocks and short-term investments. The
Companies made cash contributions of approximately $1.5 to their pension plans
in the third quarter of 2009, and do not expect to make any additional cash
contributions to their pension plans in the remaining portion of calendar year
2009.
5.
|
Information About Segments of
Business:
|
The
Company is engaged in the single business of insurance underwriting. It conducts
its operations through a number of regulated insurance company subsidiaries
organized into three major segments, namely its General Insurance (property and
liability insurance), Mortgage Guaranty and Title Insurance Groups. The results
of a small life & health insurance business are included with those of its
corporate and minor service operations. Each of the Company’s segments
underwrites and services only those insurance coverages which may be written by
it pursuant to state insurance regulations and corporate charter provisions.
Segment results exclude net realized investment gains or losses and
other-than-temporary impairments as these are aggregated in the consolidated
totals. The contributions of Old Republic’s insurance industry segments to
consolidated totals are shown in the following table.
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
|||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||||
General
Insurance Group:
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
446.7
|
$
|
500.3
|
$
|
1,344.9
|
$
|
1,507.4
|
||||
Net
investment income and other income
|
67.6
|
65.3
|
200.3
|
201.2
|
||||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
514.4
|
$
|
565.7
|
$
|
1,545.2
|
$
|
1,708.7
|
||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes (credits) and
|
||||||||||||
realized
investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
43.7
|
$
|
77.0
|
$
|
148.4
|
$
|
223.2
|
||||
Income
tax expense (credits) on above
|
$
|
10.9
|
$
|
22.0
|
$
|
38.3
|
$
|
63.3
|
||||
Mortgage
Guaranty Group:
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
138.9
|
$
|
148.4
|
$
|
425.8
|
$
|
445.2
|
||||
Net
investment income and other income
|
25.6
|
24.4
|
76.6
|
73.7
|
||||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
164.6
|
$
|
172.8
|
$
|
502.4
|
$
|
518.9
|
||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes (credits) and
|
||||||||||||
realized
investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
(160.4)
|
$
|
(152.8)
|
$
|
(443.0)
|
$
|
(415.9)
|
||||
Income
tax expense (credits) on above
|
$
|
(57.4)
|
$
|
(54.8)
|
$
|
(159.1)
|
$
|
(149.7)
|
||||
Title
Insurance Group:
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
181.4
|
$
|
117.9
|
$
|
418.9
|
$
|
357.1
|
||||
Title,
escrow and other fees
|
71.8
|
50.4
|
201.6
|
144.9
|
||||||||
Sub-total
|
253.3
|
168.4
|
620.6
|
502.1
|
||||||||
Net
investment income and other income
|
6.4
|
6.3
|
18.4
|
19.1
|
||||||||
Total
revenues before realized gains or losses
|
$
|
259.7
|
$
|
174.7
|
$
|
639.0
|
$
|
521.2
|
||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes (credits) and
|
||||||||||||
realized investment gains or losses (a)
|
$
|
4.0
|
$
|
(9.7)
|
$
|
.6
|
$
|
(27.0)
|
||||
Income
tax expense (credits) on above
|
$
|
1.0
|
$
|
(3.8)
|
$
|
(.9)
|
$
|
(10.6)
|
||||
Consolidated
Revenues:
|
||||||||||||
Total
revenues of above Company segments
|
$
|
938.7
|
$
|
913.3
|
$
|
2,686.8
|
$
|
2,748.8
|
||||
Other
sources (b)
|
34.0
|
30.6
|
102.1
|
99.7
|
||||||||
Consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(.9)
|
6.7
|
(.5)
|
(422.8)
|
||||||||
Consolidation
elimination adjustments
|
(14.1)
|
(7.6)
|
(39.5)
|
(24.1)
|
||||||||
Consolidated
revenues
|
$
|
957.6
|
$
|
943.1
|
$
|
2,748.8
|
$
|
2,401.6
|
||||
Consolidated
Income (Loss) Before Taxes (Credits):
|
||||||||||||
Total
income (loss) before income taxes (credits)
|
||||||||||||
and
realized investment gains or losses of
|
||||||||||||
above
Company segments
|
$
|
(112.6)
|
$
|
(85.5)
|
$
|
(293.9)
|
$
|
(219.7)
|
||||
Other
sources – net (b)
|
1.8
|
5.3
|
4.3
|
11.4
|
||||||||
Consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(.9)
|
6.7
|
(.5)
|
(422.8)
|
||||||||
Consolidated
income (loss)
|
||||||||||||
before
income taxes (credits)
|
$
|
(111.7)
|
$
|
(73.4)
|
$
|
(290.2)
|
$
|
(631.1)
|
11
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
|||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||||
Consolidated
Income Tax Expense (Credits):
|
||||||||||||
Total
income tax expense (credits)
|
||||||||||||
for
above Company segments
|
$
|
(45.4)
|
$
|
(36.6)
|
$
|
(121.7)
|
$
|
(97.0)
|
||||
Other
sources – net (b)
|
.8
|
1.8
|
1.7
|
3.6
|
||||||||
Income
tax expense (credits) on
|
||||||||||||
consolidated
net realized investment gains (losses)
|
(20.8)
|
9.4
|
(54.1)
|
(105.9)
|
||||||||
Consolidated
income tax expense (credits)
|
$
|
(65.4)
|
$
|
(25.3)
|
$
|
(174.1)
|
$
|
(199.3)
|
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||
2009
|
2008
|
|||||
Consolidated
Assets:
|
||||||
General
|
$
|
10,042.0
|
$
|
9,482.9
|
||
Mortgage
|
3,235.5
|
2,973.1
|
||||
Title
|
851.1
|
762.4
|
||||
Other
assets (b)
|
589.5
|
509.5
|
||||
Consolidation
elimination adjustments
|
(409.1)
|
(462.0)
|
||||
Consolidated
|
$
|
14,309.1
|
$
|
13,266.0
|
||
|
(a)
|
Income
(loss) before taxes (credits) is reported net of interest charges on
intercompany financing arrangements with Old Republic’s holding company
parent for the following segments: General - $5.4 and $12.5 compared to
$3.5 and $10.3 for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2009
and 2008, respectively; Mortgage - $1.7 and $5.5 for the quarter and nine
months ended September 30, 2009, respectively; and Title - $1.6 and $3.9
compared to $.5 and $1.8 for the quarter and nine months ended September
30, 2009 and 2008, respectively.
|
|
(b)
|
Represents
amounts for Old Republic’s holding company parent, minor corporate
services subsidiaries, and a small life and health insurance
operation.
|
6.
|
Commitments and Contingent
Liabilities:
|
Legal
proceedings against the Company and its subsidiaries routinely arise in the
normal course of business and usually pertain to claim matters related to
insurance policies and contracts issued by its insurance subsidiaries. Other,
non-routine legal proceedings which may prove to be material to the Company or a
subsidiary are discussed below.
Purported
class action lawsuits are pending against the Company’s principal title
insurance subsidiary, Old Republic National Title Insurance Company (“ORNTIC”)
in state and federal courts in Connecticut, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania and
Texas. The plaintiffs allege that ORNTIC failed to give consumers reissue and/or
refinance credits on the premiums charged for title insurance covering mortgage
refinancing transactions, as required by rate schedules filed by ORNTIC or by
state rating bureaus with the state insurance regulatory authorities. The suit
in Texas also alleges violation of the federal Real Estate Settlement Procedures
Act (“RESPA”). Substantially similar lawsuits are also pending against other
unaffiliated title insurance companies in these and other states as well, and
additional lawsuits based upon similar allegations could be filed against ORNTIC
in the future. Classes have been certified in the New Jersey and Pennsylvania
actions, and a settlement agreement, which is not expected to cost ORNTIC more
than $2.2, has been approved in the New Jersey action.
Since
early February 2008, some 80 purported consumer class action lawsuits have been
filed against the title industry’s principal title insurance companies, their
subsidiaries and affiliates, and title insurance rating bureaus or associations
in at least 10 states. The suits are substantially identical in alleging that
the defendant title insurers engaged in illegal price-fixing agreements to set
artificially high premium rates and conspired to create premium rates which the
state insurance regulatory authorities could not evaluate and therefore, could
not adequately regulate. A number of them have been dismissed and others
consolidated. Approximately 57 remain nationwide. ORNTIC is currently among the
named defendants in 25 of these actions in 4 states and the Company is a named
defendant in 9 of the actions in 2 states. No class has yet been certified in
any of these suits against the Company and ORNTIC, and none of the actions
against them allege RESPA violations.
National
class action suits have been filed against the Company’s subsidiary, Old
Republic Home Protection Company (“ORHP”) in the California Superior Court, San
Diego, and the U.S. District Court in Birmingham, Alabama. The California suit
has been filed on behalf of all persons who made a claim under an ORHP home
warranty contract from March 6, 2003 to the present. The suit alleges breach of
contract, breach of the implicit covenant of good faith and fair dealing,
violations of certain California consumer protection laws and misrepresentation
arising out of ORHP’s alleged failure to adopt and implement reasonable
standards for the prompt
12
investigation
and processing of claims under its home warranty contracts. The suit seeks
unspecified damages consisting of the rescission of the class members’
contracts, restitution of all sums paid by the class members, punitive damages,
declaratory and injunctive relief. No class has been certified in either action.
ORHP has removed the action to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District
of California. The Alabama suit alleges that ORHP pays fees to the real estate
brokers who market its home warranty contracts and that the payment of such fees
is in violation of Section 8(a) of RESPA. The suit seeks unspecified damages,
including treble damages under RESPA.
Except in
New Jersey where a settlement agreement has been approved, the ultimate impact
of these lawsuits, all of which seek unquantified damages, attorneys’ fees and
expenses, is uncertain and not reasonably estimable. The Company and its
subsidiaries intend to defend vigorously against each of the aforementioned
actions. Although the Company does not believe that these lawsuits will have a
material adverse effect on its consolidated financial condition, results of
operations or cash flows, there can be no assurance in those
regards.
7.
|
Debt:
|
On April
29, 2009, the Company completed a public offering of $316.25 aggregate principal
amount of Convertible Senior Notes. The notes bear interest at a rate of 8.0%
per year, mature on May 15, 2012, and are convertible at any time prior to
maturity by the holder into 86.8056 shares of common stock per one thousand
dollar note.
Consolidated
debt of Old Republic and its subsidiaries is summarized below:
September
30, 2009
|
December
31, 2008
|
|||||||||||
Carrying
|
Fair
|
Carrying
|
Fair
|
|||||||||
Amount
|
Value
|
Amount
|
Value
|
|||||||||
8%
Convertible Senior Notes due 2012
|
$
|
316.2
|
$
|
392.4
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
||||
Commercial
paper due within 180 days with an
|
||||||||||||
average
yield of 1.96% and 2.65%, respectively
|
25.1
|
25.1
|
199.5
|
199.5
|
||||||||
ESSOP
debt with an average yield of 3.88%
|
||||||||||||
and
5.41%, respectively
|
27.9
|
27.9
|
29.5
|
29.5
|
||||||||
Other
miscellaneous debt
|
2.8
|
2.8
|
3.8
|
3.8
|
||||||||
Total
debt
|
$
|
372.2
|
$
|
448.5
|
$
|
233.0
|
$
|
233.0
|
The
Company currently has access to the commercial paper market for up to
$150.0.
8.
|
Income
Taxes:
|
Tax
positions taken or expected to be taken in a tax return by the Company are
recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not that the
position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. There are no
tax uncertainties that are expected to result in significant increases or
decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve month period. The
Company views its income tax exposures as primarily consisting of timing
differences whereby the ultimate deductibility of a taxable amount is highly
certain but the timing of its deductibility is uncertain. Such differences
relate principally to the timing of deductions for loss and premium reserves. As
in prior examinations, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) could assert that
claim reserve deductions were overstated thereby reducing the Company’s
statutory taxable income in any particular year. The Company believes that it
establishes its reserves fairly and consistently at each balance sheet date, and
that it would succeed in defending its tax position in these regards. Because of
the impact of deferred tax accounting, the possible accelerated payment of tax
to the IRS would not necessarily affect the annual effective tax rate.
Examinations of the Company’s consolidated Federal income tax returns through
year-end 2006 have been completed and no significant adjustments have
resulted.
13
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL POSITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Nine
Months Ended September 30, 2009 and 2008
($ in
Millions, Except Share Data)
OVERVIEW
|
This
management analysis of financial position and results of operations pertains to
the consolidated accounts of Old Republic International Corporation (“Old
Republic” or “the Company”). The Company conducts its operations through three
major regulatory segments, namely, its General (property and liability),
Mortgage Guaranty, and Title insurance segments. A small life and health
insurance business, accounting for 2.1% of consolidated operating revenues for
the nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 1.8% of consolidated assets as of
September 30, 2009, is included within the corporate and other caption of this
report. The consolidated accounts are presented in conformity with the
Accounting Standards Codification (“ASC”). This management analysis should be
read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the footnotes
appended to them.
The
insurance business is distinguished from most others in that the prices
(premiums) charged for various insurance products are set without certainty of
the ultimate benefit and claim costs that will emerge or be incurred, often many
years after issuance and expiration of a policy. This basic fact casts Old
Republic as a risk-taking enterprise managed for the long run. Management
therefore conducts the business with a primary focus on achieving favorable
underwriting results over cycles, and on the maintenance of financial soundness
in support of the insurance subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance
beneficiaries. To achieve these objectives, adherence to insurance risk
management principles is stressed, and asset diversification and quality are
emphasized. In addition to income arising from Old Republic’s basic underwriting
and related services functions, significant investment income is earned from
invested funds generated by those functions and from shareholders’ capital.
Investment management aims for stability of income from interest and dividends,
protection of capital, and sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting
and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Securities trading
and the realization of capital gains are not objectives. The investment
philosophy is therefore best characterized as emphasizing value, credit quality,
and relatively long-term holding periods. The Company’s ability to hold both
fixed maturity and equity securities for long periods of time is in turn enabled
by the scheduling of maturities in contemplation of an appropriate matching of
assets and liabilities.
In light
of the above factors, the Company’s affairs are managed without regard to the
arbitrary strictures of quarterly or even annual reporting periods that American
industry must observe. In Old Republic’s view, such short reporting time frames
do not comport well with the long-term nature of much of its business.
Management believes that the Company’s operating results and financial condition
can best be evaluated by observing underwriting and overall operating
performance trends over succeeding five to ten year intervals. Such extended
periods can encompass one or two economic and/or underwriting cycles, and
thereby provide appropriate time frames for such cycles to run their course and
for reserved claim costs to be quantified with greater finality and
effect.
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
|
Old
Republic’s year-over-year operating results, which exclude net realized
investment gains or losses, worsened in this year’s third quarter and first nine
months. Results for 2009 reflected slightly higher loss costs in Old Republic’s
mortgage guaranty line but benefited from much greater market share-driven
revenues and a lower expense ratio in the title insurance segment. General
insurance operating results throughout 2009 were dampened by the combination of
lower earned premiums and higher loss costs for certain insurance
coverages.
The net
loss for the latest quarter and this year’s first nine months was reduced by
deferred income tax credits of $20.5 ($0.08 per share) and $54.0 ($0.23 per
share), respectively. The tax credits, which could not be recognized previously
due to the requirements of accounting rules, stem from estimates of losses from
other-than-temporary impairments of investments, most of which were originally
recorded in the second quarter of 2008.
14
Consolidated Results – The
major components of Old Republic’s consolidated results and other data for the
periods reported upon are shown below:
Quarters
Ended September 30,
|
Nine
Months Ended September 30,
|
||||||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Operating
revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
514.4
|
$
|
565.7
|
-9.1
|
%
|
$
|
1,545.2
|
$
|
1,708.7
|
-9.6
|
%
|
|||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
164.6
|
172.8
|
-4.7
|
502.4
|
518.9
|
-3.2
|
|||||||||||
Title
insurance
|
259.7
|
174.7
|
48.7
|
639.0
|
521.2
|
22.6
|
|||||||||||
Corporate
and other
|
19.8
|
23.0
|
-13.9
|
62.6
|
75.6
|
-17.2
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
958.6
|
$
|
936.3
|
2.4
|
%
|
$
|
2,749.4
|
$
|
2,824.5
|
-2.7
|
%
|
|||||
Pretax
operating income (loss):
|
|||||||||||||||||
General
insurance
|
$
|
43.7
|
$
|
77.0
|
-43.3
|
%
|
$
|
148.4
|
$
|
223.2
|
-33.5
|
%
|
|||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
(160.4)
|
(152.8)
|
-4.9
|
(443.0)
|
(415.9)
|
-6.5
|
|||||||||||
Title
insurance
|
4.0
|
(9.7)
|
142.0
|
0.6
|
(27.0)
|
102.4
|
|||||||||||
Corporate
and other
|
1.8
|
5.3
|
-65.7
|
4.3
|
11.4
|
-62.2
|
|||||||||||
Sub-total
|
(110.7)
|
(80.1)
|
-38.2
|
(289.6)
|
(208.3)
|
-39.0
|
|||||||||||
Realized
investment gains (losses):
|
|||||||||||||||||
From
sales
|
0.6
|
18.3
|
1.0
|
26.0
|
|||||||||||||
From
impairments
|
(1.5)
|
(11.5)
|
(1.5)
|
(448.9)
|
|||||||||||||
Net
realized investment
|
|||||||||||||||||
gains
(losses)
|
(0.9)
|
6.7
|
N/M
|
(0.5)
|
(422.8)
|
N/M
|
|||||||||||
Consolidated pretax
income (loss)
|
(111.7)
|
(73.4)
|
-52.2
|
(290.2)
|
(631.1)
|
54.0
|
|||||||||||
Income
taxes (credits)
|
(65.4)
|
(25.3)
|
-158.0
|
(174.1)
|
(199.3)
|
12.6
|
|||||||||||
Net income
(loss)
|
$
|
(46.2)
|
$
|
(48.0)
|
3.7
|
%
|
$
|
(116.0)
|
$
|
(431.8)
|
73.1
|
%
|
Consolidated underwriting
ratio:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Benefits
and claims ratio
|
78.4
|
%
|
81.8
|
%
|
80.3
|
%
|
80.1
|
%
|
|||||||||||||
Expense
ratio
|
44.4
|
38.8
|
42.2
|
39.0
|
|||||||||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
122.8
|
%
|
120.6
|
%
|
122.5
|
%
|
119.1
|
%
|
Components
of diluted
|
||||||||||||||||||
earnings
per share:
|
||||||||||||||||||
Net
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
(0.28)
|
$
|
(0.20)
|
-40.0
|
%
|
$
|
(0.72)
|
$
|
(0.50)
|
-44.0
|
%
|
||||||
Net
realized investment
|
||||||||||||||||||
gains
(losses)
|
0.08
|
(0.01)
|
N/M
|
0.23
|
(1.37)
|
N/M
|
||||||||||||
Net
income (loss)
|
$
|
(0.20)
|
$
|
(0.21)
|
4.8
|
%
|
$
|
(0.49)
|
$
|
(1.87)
|
73.8
|
%
|
||||||
Cash
dividends paid per share
|
$
|
0.17
|
$
|
0.17
|
-
|
%
|
$
|
0.51
|
$
|
0.50
|
2.0
|
%
|
||||||
N/M:
Not meaningful
The above
table shows both operating and net income (loss) to highlight the effects of
realized investment gain or loss recognition and any non-recurring items on
period-to-period comparisons. Operating income, however, does not replace net
income computed in accordance with the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s
(“FASB”) Accounting Standards Codification (“ASC”) as a measure of total
profitability.
The
recognition of realized investment gains or losses can be highly discretionary
and arbitrary due to such factors as the timing of individual securities sales,
recognition of estimated losses from write-downs for impaired securities,
tax-planning considerations, and changes in investment management judgments
relative to the direction of securities markets or the future prospects of
individual investees or industry sectors. Likewise, non-recurring items which
may emerge from time to time can distort the comparability of the Company’s
results from period to period. Accordingly, management uses net operating
income, a non-ASC financial measure, to evaluate and better explain operating
performance, and believes its use enhances an understanding of Old Republic’s
basic business results.
15
General Insurance Results –
Pretax operating earnings for this year’s quarterly and year-to-date periods
were affected mostly by reduced premium volume and moderately higher claim and
expense ratios. The following table shows these effects:
General
Insurance Group
|
|||||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30,
|
Nine
Months Ended September 30,
|
||||||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
446.7
|
$
|
500.3
|
-10.7
|
%
|
$
|
1,344.9
|
$
|
1,507.4
|
-10.8
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
64.7
|
61.9
|
4.5
|
191.8
|
189.1
|
1.4
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
43.7
|
$
|
77.0
|
-43.3
|
%
|
$
|
148.4
|
$
|
223.2
|
-33.5
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
77.5
|
%
|
72.5
|
%
|
76.1
|
%
|
72.8
|
%
|
|||||||||||
Expense
ratio
|
25.8
|
23.8
|
26.0
|
24.2
|
|||||||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
103.3
|
%
|
96.3
|
%
|
102.1
|
%
|
97.0
|
%
|
Earned
premiums for the large majority of insurance coverages continued to trend lower
throughout 2009. As in the recent past, premium growth has been constrained by
the combination of a moderately declining rate environment during the past three
years or so, and by recessionary economic conditions. These conditions affect
such factors as sales and employment levels, both of which are important bases
upon which premium rates are applied.
General
insurance investment income trends benefited from a greater invested asset
base.
Overall
claim ratios continued to trend moderately higher in this year’s third quarter
and first nine months. 2009 claim experience for the consumer credit indemnity
(“CCI”) coverage, however, remained at high levels, adding approximately 7.2
percentage points to the above claim ratios. By contrast CCI claim experience in
the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 was additive to general
insurance claim ratios by 5.1 and 6.8 percentage points, respectively. Aggregate
claim experience for other coverages did not show significantly adverse trends.
Production and general operating expenses edged down slightly in 2009 but
nonetheless resulted in a higher ratio as the expense reduction lagged a larger
drop in earned premiums.
Mortgage Guaranty Results –
Year-to-date mortgage guaranty operating results benefited from lower production
and operating expenses, but were hindered by moderately higher claim costs
during 2009. Key indicators of this segment’s evolving performance are shown in
the following table:
Mortgage
Guaranty Group
|
|||||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30,
|
Nine
Months Ended September 30,
|
||||||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums earned
|
$
|
138.9
|
$
|
148.4
|
-6.4
|
%
|
$
|
425.8
|
$
|
445.2
|
-4.3
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
23.8
|
22.0
|
8.4
|
68.4
|
65.0
|
5.4
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
(160.4)
|
$
|
(152.8)
|
-4.9
|
%
|
$
|
(443.0)
|
$
|
(415.9)
|
-6.5
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
214.0
|
%
|
203.1
|
%
|
203.8
|
%
|
192.3
|
%
|
|||||||||||
Expense
ratio
|
17.3
|
14.8
|
15.1
|
15.8
|
|||||||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
231.3
|
%
|
217.9
|
%
|
218.9
|
%
|
208.1
|
%
|
Mortgage
guaranty earned premiums declined in each of this year’s quarterly periods. The
lower premium levels resulted mostly from the more selective underwriting
criteria applied since late 2007, from an overall decline in the industry’s
business penetration, and from higher premium refunds related to claim
rescissions. These factors were attenuated somewhat by rising persistency of
business produced in prior years, and by a continuing decline in premiums ceded
to lender-owned (captive) reinsurance companies. During this year’s third
quarter, the Mortgage Guaranty Group recaptured business previously ceded to
several captives. In substance, the transactions are cut-off reinsurance
arrangements whereby the captives have remitted to the Company the reserves on
existing claim obligations and a risk premium for claims that will occur after
the recapture date. Accordingly, the Company recorded proceeds of
$148.9 and established a combination of claims reserves ($68.4) and premium
reserves ($82.5) all of which resulted in little consequential effect on the
pretax loss for the quarter or first nine months of 2009.
Mortgage
guaranty investment income trends benefited from a greater invested asset
base.
Claim
ratios were up slightly year-over-year in both the third quarter and first nine
months of 2009. Greater claim rescissions and a moderate decline in claim
severity offset to some degree the impact on claim reserve provisions of a
continuing uptrend in delinquent loans. The components of incurred mortgage
guaranty claim ratios are shown in the following table. The recording of the
above noted reinsurance recaptures had the effect of decreasing the paid claims
ratios by 49.3 and 16.1 percentage points in this year’s third quarter and first
nine months, respectively, and increasing the claim reserve provisions ratios by
identical amounts.
16
Mortgage
Guaranty Group
|
||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
Nine
Months Ended
|
|||||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||||
Incurred
loss ratio from:
|
||||||||||||
Paid
losses
|
57.8
|
%
|
84.7
|
%
|
92.5
|
%
|
66.6
|
%
|
||||
Reserve
provisions
|
156.2
|
118.4
|
111.3
|
125.7
|
||||||||
Total
|
214.0
|
%
|
203.1
|
%
|
203.8
|
%
|
192.3
|
%
|
Title Insurance Results – Old
Republic’s title insurance business registered slightly better than break even
results for the first nine months of 2009. Key operating performance indicators
are shown in the following table:
Title
Insurance Group
|
|||||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30,
|
Nine
Months Ended September 30,
|
||||||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
2009
|
2008
|
Change
|
||||||||||||
Net
premiums and fees earned
|
$
|
253.3
|
$
|
168.4
|
50.4
|
%
|
$
|
620.6
|
$
|
502.1
|
23.6
|
%
|
|||||
Net
investment income
|
6.3
|
6.2
|
1.4
|
18.2
|
19.1
|
-4.3
|
|||||||||||
Pretax
operating income (loss)
|
$
|
4.0
|
$
|
(9.7)
|
142.0
|
%
|
$
|
.6
|
$
|
(27.0)
|
102.4
|
%
|
Claims
ratio
|
8.3
|
%
|
7.0
|
%
|
7.6
|
%
|
7.0
|
%
|
|||||||||||
Expense
ratio
|
91.1
|
102.2
|
94.4
|
102.0
|
|||||||||||||||
Composite
ratio
|
99.4
|
%
|
109.2
|
%
|
102.0
|
%
|
109.0
|
%
|
Growth in
title premiums and fees for 2009 periods resulted from greater refinance
transactions earlier this year and from the benefit of market share gains
emerging from title industry dislocations and consolidations. Claim costs rose
at a quicker pace, however, as the Company added moderately to reserve
provisions to address recent claim emergence trends. Production and general
operating expenses, while relatively lower as a percentage of premium and fees
revenues, rose dollar-wise in reflection of greater personnel and other
production costs related to the higher revenues attained and
anticipated.
Corporate and Other Operations
– The Company’s small life and health insurance business and the net costs
associated with the parent holding company and internal services subsidiaries
produced a much lower gain in this year’s first nine months. Period-to-period
variations in the results of these relatively minor elements of Old Republic’s
operations usually stem from the volatility inherent to the small scale of its
life and health business, fluctuations in the costs of external debt, and net
interest on intra-system financing arrangements. A portion of the year-over-year
decline in earnings was also due to foreign exchange adjustments for U.S. dollar
conversions from the Canadian currency held by a life and health insurance
subsidiary.
Cash, Invested Assets, and
Shareholders’ Equity – The following table reflects Old Republic’s
consolidated cash and invested assets as well as shareholders’ equity at the
dates shown:
%
Change
|
|||||||||||||||||
September
|
December
|
September
|
Sept
'09/
|
Sept
'09/
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2008
|
Dec
'08
|
Sept
'08
|
|||||||||||||
Cash
and invested assets:
|
fair
value basis
|
$
|
9,844.3
|
$
|
8,855.1
|
$
|
8,733.7
|
11.2
|
%
|
12.7
|
%
|
||||||
original
cost basis
|
$
|
9,635.0
|
$
|
9,210.0
|
$
|
9,143.3
|
4.6
|
%
|
5.4
|
%
|
|||||||
Shareholders’
equity:
|
Total
|
$
|
3,901.3
|
$
|
3,740.3
|
$
|
3,914.3
|
4.3
|
%
|
-0.3
|
%
|
||||||
Per
common share
|
$
|
16.54
|
$
|
15.91
|
$
|
16.96
|
4.0
|
%
|
-2.5
|
%
|
|||||||
Composition
of shareholders’ equity per share:
|
|||||||||||||||||
Equity
before items below
|
$
|
15.09
|
$
|
16.10
|
$
|
16.96
|
-6.3
|
%
|
-11.0
|
%
|
|||||||
Unrealized
investment gains (losses) and other
|
|||||||||||||||||
accumulated
comprehensive income (loss)
|
1.45
|
(0.19)
|
-
|
||||||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
16.54
|
$
|
15.91
|
$
|
16.96
|
4.0
|
%
|
-2.5
|
%
|
Consolidated
cash flow from operating activities amounted to $438.0 for the first nine months
of 2009 versus $467.6 for the same period in 2008.
The
investment portfolio reflects a current allocation of approximately 85% to
fixed-maturity securities and 5% to equities. As has been the case for many
years, Old Republic’s invested assets are managed in consideration of
enterprise-wide risk management objectives intended to assure solid funding of
its subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance policyholders and other
beneficiaries, and evaluations of their long-term effect on the stability of
capital accounts. The portfolio contains little or no direct insurance
risk-correlated asset exposures to real estate, mortgage-backed securities,
collateralized debt obligations (“CDO’s”), derivatives, junk bonds, hybrid
securities, or illiquid private equity investments. In a similar vein, the
Company does not engage in hedging or securities lending transactions,
nor
17
does it
invest in securities whose values are predicated on non-regulated financial
instruments exhibiting amorphous or unfunded counter-party risk
attributes.
Substantially
all changes in the shareholders’ equity account reflect the Company’s net income
or loss, dividend payments to shareholders, and impairments or changes in market
valuations of invested assets during the periods shown below:
Shareholders’
Equity Per Share
|
|||||||||
Quarter
|
Nine
Months
|
||||||||
Ended
|
Ended
|
||||||||
September
30,
|
September
30,
|
||||||||
2009
|
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||
Beginning
balance
|
$
|
15.93
|
$
|
15.91
|
$
|
19.71
|
|||
Changes
in shareholders’ equity for the periods:
|
|||||||||
Net
operating income (loss)
|
(0.28)
|
(0.72)
|
(0.50)
|
||||||
Net
realized investment gains (losses):
|
|||||||||
From
sales
|
-
|
-
|
0.07
|
||||||
From
impairments
|
0.08
|
0.23
|
(1.44)
|
||||||
Subtotal
|
0.08
|
0.23
|
(1.37)
|
||||||
Net
unrealized investment gains (losses)
|
0.95
|
1.56
|
(0.37)
|
||||||
Total
realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)
|
1.03
|
1.79
|
(1.74)
|
||||||
Cash
dividends
|
(0.17)
|
(0.51)
|
(0.50)
|
||||||
Stock
issuance, foreign exchange, and other transactions
|
0.03
|
0.07
|
(0.01)
|
||||||
Net
change
|
0.61
|
0.63
|
(2.75)
|
||||||
Ending
balance
|
$
|
16.54
|
$
|
16.54
|
$
|
16.96
|
Old
Republic’s significant investments in the stocks of two leading publicly held
mortgage guaranty (“MI”) businesses (MGIC Investment Corp. and The PMI Group)
account for a substantial portion of the 2008 realized and unrealized investment
losses shown in the above and following tables. Unrealized losses, including
losses on securities categorized as other-than-temporarily impaired (“OTTI”),
represent the net difference between the most recently established cost and the
fair values of the investments at each point in time. The aggregate original and
impaired costs, fair value, and latest reported underlying equity values of the
aforementioned two mortgage guaranty investments are shown below.
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||||||
2009
|
2008
|
2007
|
||||||||
Total
value of the two MI investments:
|
Original
cost
|
$
|
416.4
|
$
|
416.4
|
$
|
429.7
|
|||
Impaired
cost
|
106.8
|
106.8
|
N/A
|
|||||||
Fair
value
|
177.0
|
82.7
|
375.1
|
|||||||
Underlying
equity(*)
|
$
|
354.7
|
$
|
515.9
|
$
|
679.7
|
||||
(*)
Underlying equity based on latest reports (which may lag by one quarter)
issued by investees.
|
When
making investment decisions, management considers the Company’s ability to
retain its holdings for a period sufficient to recover their cost and to obtain
a competitive long-term total return. It also considers such factors as balance
sheet effects of potential changes in market valuations, asset-liability
matching objectives, long term ability to hold securities, tax planning
considerations, and the investees’ reported book values and ability to continue
as going concerns. The above-noted mortgage guaranty holdings were acquired as
passive long-term investment additions for a core segment of Old Republic’s
business in anticipation of a recovery for the MI industry in 2010. In
management’s judgment, the currently depressed market valuations of companies
operating in the housing and mortgage-lending sectors of the American economy
have been impacted significantly by the cyclical and macroeconomic conditions
affecting these sectors, and by the recent dysfunctionality of the banking and
mortgage lending industries.
For
external financial reporting purposes, however, Old Republic uses relatively
short time frames in recognizing OTTI adjustments in its income statement. In
this context, absent issuer-specific circumstances that would result in a
contrary conclusion, all unrealized investment losses pertaining to any equity
security reflecting a 20 percent or greater decline for a six month period is
considered OTTI. Unrealized losses that are deemed temporary and all unrealized
gains are recorded directly as a separate component of the shareholders’ equity
account and in the consolidated statement of comprehensive income. As a result
of accounting idiosyncrasies, however, OTTI losses recorded in the income
statement of one period can not be offset in the income statement of a
subsequent period by fair value gains on the previously impaired securities
unless the gains are realized through actual sales. Such unrealized fair value
gains can only be recognized through direct credits in the shareholders’ equity
account and in the consolidated statement of comprehensive income.
Recent Capital Raise – Early
in this year’s second quarter the Company obtained gross proceeds of $316.25
through a public offering of 8% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2012. The funds
were used mostly to enhance the capital base of the general and title insurance
segments, and to repay a portion of commercial paper debt previously incurred to
strengthen the capital of the mortgage guaranty segment as of year end 2008.
Along with the growth oriented capital additions to businesses with good
prospects for the long term, the new funds enhance the stability and resiliency
of Old Republic’s consolidated capitalization.
18
DETAILED
MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS
|
FINANCIAL
ACCOUNTING AND REPORTING POLICIES
|
The Company’s annual and interim
financial statements incorporate a large number and types of estimates relative
to matters which are highly uncertain at the time the estimates are made. The
estimation process required of an insurance enterprise is by its very nature
highly dynamic inasmuch as it necessitates a continuous evaluation, analysis,
and quantification of factual data as it becomes known to the Company. As a
result, actual experienced outcomes can differ from the estimates made at any
point in time, and thus affect future periods’ reported revenues, expenses, net
income (loss), and financial condition.
Old
Republic believes that its most critical accounting estimates relate to: a) the
determination of other-than-temporary impairments in the value of fixed maturity
and equity investments; b) the establishment of deferred acquisition costs which
vary directly with the production of insurance premiums; c) the recoverability
of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses; and d) the establishment of
reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The major assumptions and
methods used in setting these estimates are discussed in the Company’s 2008
Annual Report on Form 10K.
In recent
years, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) has issued various
releases requiring additional financial statement disclosures, and to provide
guidance relative to the application of such releases. Of particular pertinence
to the Company’s financial statements are certain disclosures relating to
uncertainties affecting income tax provisions, and methodologies for
establishing the fair value and recording of other-than-temporary impairments of
securities. The requisite disclosures and explanations of those matters have
been included in the footnotes to the Company’s financial
statements.
FINANCIAL
POSITION
|
The
Company’s financial position at September 30, 2009 reflected increases in
assets, liabilities, and common shareholders’ equity of 7.9%, 9.3% and 4.3%,
respectively, when compared to the immediately preceding year-end. Cash and
invested assets represented 68.8% and 66.8% of consolidated assets as of
September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. As of September 30,
2009, cash and invested assets increased 11.2% to $9,844.3 as a result of
positive operating cash flows, new funds from an April 2009 securities offering,
and an increase in the fair value of fixed maturity
investments.
Investments
- During the first nine months of 2009 and 2008, the Company committed
substantially all investable funds to short to intermediate-term fixed maturity
securities. At both September 30, 2009 and 2008, approximately 99% of the
Company’s investments consisted of marketable securities. Old Republic continues
to adhere to its long-term policy of investing primarily in investment grade,
marketable securities. The portfolio contains little or no insurance
risk-correlated asset exposures to real estate, mortgage-backed securities,
collateralized debt obligations (“CDO’s”), derivatives, junk bonds, hybrid
securities, or illiquid private equity investments. In a similar vein, the
Company does not engage in hedging or securities lending transactions, nor does
it invest in securities whose values are predicated on non-regulated financial
instruments exhibiting amorphous or unfunded counter-party risk attributes. At
September 30, 2009, the Company had no fixed maturity investments in default as
to principal and/or interest.
Relatively
high short-term maturity investment positions continued to be maintained as of
September 30, 2009. Such positions reflect a large variety of seasonal and
intermediate-term factors including current operating needs, expected operating
cash flows, quarter-end cash flow seasonality, and investment strategy
considerations. Accordingly, the future level of short-term investments will
vary and respond to the interplay of these factors and may, as a result,
increase or decrease from current levels.
The
Company does not own or utilize derivative financial instruments for the purpose
of hedging, enhancing the overall return of its investment portfolio, or
reducing the cost of its debt obligations. With regard to its equity portfolio,
the Company does not own any options nor does it engage in any type of option
writing. Traditional investment management tools and techniques are employed to
address the yield and valuation exposures of the invested assets base. The
long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is managed so as to limit various
risks inherent in the bond market. Credit risk is addressed through asset
diversification and the purchase of investment grade securities. Reinvestment
rate risk is reduced by concentrating on non-callable issues, and by taking
asset-liability matching considerations into account. Purchases of mortgage and
asset backed securities, which have variable principal prepayment options, are
generally avoided. Market value risk is limited through the purchase of bonds of
intermediate maturity. The combination of these investment management practices
is expected to produce a more stable long-term fixed maturity investment
portfolio that is not subject to extreme interest rate sensitivity and principal
deterioration.
The fair
value of the Company’s long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is
sensitive, however, to fluctuations in the level of interest rates, but not
materially affected by changes in anticipated cash flows caused by any
prepayments. The impact of interest rate movements on the long-term fixed
maturity investment portfolio generally affects net unrealized gains or losses.
As a general rule, rising interest rates enhance currently available yields but
typically lead to a reduction in the fair value of existing fixed maturity
investments. By contrast, a decline in such rates reduces
currently
19
available
yields but usually serves to increase the fair value of the existing fixed
maturity investment portfolio. All such changes in fair value are reflected, net
of deferred income taxes, directly in the shareholders’ equity account, and as a
separate component of the statement of comprehensive income. Given the Company’s
inability to forecast or control the movement of interest rates, Old Republic
sets the maturity spectrum of its fixed maturity securities portfolio within
parameters of estimated liability payouts, and focuses the overall portfolio on
high quality investments. By so doing, Old Republic believes it is reasonably
assured of its ability to hold securities to maturity as it may deem necessary
in changing environments, and of ultimately recovering their aggregate
cost.
Possible
future declines in fair values for Old Republic’s bond and stock portfolios
would negatively affect the common shareholders’ equity account at any point in
time, but would not necessarily result in the recognition of realized investment
losses. The Company reviews the status and fair value changes of each of its
investments on at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of
other-than-temporary impairments in the portfolio’s value are evaluated and
established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In reviewing investments for
other-than-temporary impairment, the Company, in addition to a security’s market
price history, considers the totality of such factors as the issuer’s operating
results, financial condition and liquidity, its ability to access capital
markets, credit rating trends, most current audit opinion, industry and
securities markets conditions, and analyst expectations to reach its
conclusions. Sudden fair value declines caused by such adverse developments as
newly emerged or imminent bankruptcy filings, issuer default on significant
obligations, or reports of financial accounting developments that bring into
question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition,
are recognized as realized losses as soon as credible publicly available
information emerges to confirm such developments. Absent issuer-specific
circumstances that would result in a contrary conclusion, any equity security
with an unrealized investment loss amounting to a 20% or greater decline for a
six month period is considered other-than-temporarily-impaired. In the event the
Company’s estimate of other-than-temporary impairments is insufficient at any
point in time, future periods’ net income (loss) would be affected adversely by
the recognition of additional realized or impairment losses, but its financial
condition would not necessarily be affected adversely inasmuch as such losses,
or a portion of them, could have been recognized previously as unrealized
losses.
The
following tables show certain information relating to the Company’s fixed
maturity and equity portfolios as of the dates shown:
Credit
Quality Ratings of Fixed Maturity Securities
(a)
|
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
||||||
2009
|
2008
|
||||||
Aaa
|
19.3
|
%
|
20.4
|
%
|
|||
Aa
|
21.3
|
24.5
|
|||||
A
|
31.4
|
31.4
|
|||||
Baa
|
26.1
|
22.0
|
|||||
Total
investment grade
|
98.1
|
98.3
|
|||||
All
other (b)
|
1.9
|
1.7
|
|||||
Total
|
100.0
|
%
|
100.0
|
%
|
|||
|
(a)
|
Credit
quality ratings used are those assigned primarily by Moody’s for U.S.
Governments, Agencies and Corporate issuers and by Standard & Poor’s
(“S&P”) for U.S. and Canadian Municipal issuers, which are converted
to equivalent Moody’s ratings classifications. In the second quarter of
2009, the Company changed its source of credit quality ratings from
Moody’s to S&P for U.S. Municipal issuers due to their wider credit
coverage. The December 31, 2008 disclosures have been restated to be
comparable to the current period classifications. The effect of such
change moderately improved the previously reported credit quality
ratings.
|
|
(b)
|
“All
other” includes non-investment grade or non-rated
issuers.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Non-Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
September
30, 2009
|
|||||||
Gross
|
|||||||
Amortized
|
Unrealized
|
||||||
Cost
|
Losses
|
||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
|||||||
Banking
|
$
|
23.0
|
$
|
3.8
|
|||
Retail
|
21.4
|
1.1
|
|||||
Industrial
|
25.8
|
1.0
|
|||||
Consumer Non-durables
|
10.6
|
.3
|
|||||
Other (includes 4 industry groups)
|
31.6
|
.7
|
|||||
Total
|
$
|
112.6
|
(c)
|
$
|
7.2
|
||
(c)
|
Represents
1.5% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
20
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Investment
Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
|
September
30, 2009
|
|||||||
Gross
|
|||||||
Amortized
|
Unrealized
|
||||||
Cost
|
Losses
|
||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
|||||||
Banking
|
$
|
48.3
|
$
|
1.9
|
|||
REIT
|
34.9
|
1.6
|
|||||
Basic Industry
|
31.6
|
.3
|
|||||
Service
|
6.0
|
.2
|
|||||
Other (includes 13 industry groups)
|
145.2
|
1.1
|
|||||
Total
|
$
|
266.2
|
(d)
|
$
|
5.3
|
||
|
(d)
|
Represents
3.5% of the total fixed maturity securities
portfolio.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Equity
Securities
|
September
30, 2009
|
||||||||
Gross
|
||||||||
Adjusted
|
Unrealized
|
|||||||
Cost
(g)
|
Losses
|
|||||||
Equity
Securities by Industry Concentration:
|
||||||||
Index Funds
|
$
|
173.9
|
$
|
18.6
|
||||
Health Care
|
15.1
|
.7
|
||||||
Utilities
|
13.9
|
.6
|
||||||
Insurance
|
.2
|
-
|
||||||
Total
|
$
|
203.2
|
(e)
|
$
|
20.2
|
(f)
|
||
|
(e)
|
Represents
54.4% of the total equity securities
portfolio.
|
|
(f)
|
Represents
5.4% of the adjusted cost of the total equity securities portfolio, while
gross unrealized gains represent 32.2% of the
portfolio.
|
|
(g)
|
Reported
net of other-than-temporary impairment
adjustments.
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Maturity Ranges for All Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
September
30, 2009
|
|||||||||||||
Amortized
Cost
|
|||||||||||||
of
Fixed Maturity Securities
|
Gross
Unrealized Losses
|
||||||||||||
Non-
|
Non-
|
||||||||||||
Investment
|
Investment
|
||||||||||||
All
|
Grade
Only
|
All
|
Grade
Only
|
||||||||||
Maturity
Ranges:
|
|||||||||||||
Due
in one year or less
|
$
|
40.3
|
$
|
15.6
|
$
|
.3
|
$
|
.3
|
|||||
Due
after one year through five years
|
200.6
|
60.4
|
5.8
|
3.7
|
|||||||||
Due
after five years through ten years
|
133.9
|
36.4
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
|||||||||
Due
after ten years
|
3.9
|
-
|
.2
|
-
|
|||||||||
Total
|
$
|
378.8
|
$
|
112.6
|
$
|
12.5
|
$
|
7.2
|
|||||
21
Gross
Unrealized Losses Stratified by Duration and Amount of Unrealized
Losses
|
September
30, 2009
|
||||||||||||||
Amount
of Gross Unrealized Losses
|
||||||||||||||
Less
than
|
Total
Gross
|
|||||||||||||
20%
of
|
20%
to 50%
|
More
than
|
Unrealized
|
|||||||||||
Cost
|
of
Cost
|
50%
of Cost
|
Loss
|
|||||||||||
Number
of Months in Loss Position:
|
||||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||||||||||
One
to six months
|
$
|
.5
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
.5
|
||||||
Seven
to twelve months
|
.2
|
-
|
-
|
.2
|
||||||||||
More
than twelve months
|
7.5
|
4.0
|
-
|
11.6
|
||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
8.4
|
$
|
4.0
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
12.5
|
||||||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||||||||||||
One
to six months
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
||||||
Seven
to twelve months
|
3.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.1
|
||||||||||
More
than twelve months
|
16.9
|
-
|
-
|
17.0
|
||||||||||
Total
|
$
|
20.1
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
20.2
|
||||||
Number
of Issues in Loss Position:
|
||||||||||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
||||||||||||||
One
to six months
|
21
|
-
|
-
|
21
|
||||||||||
Seven
to twelve months
|
8
|
-
|
-
|
8
|
||||||||||
More
than twelve months
|
49
|
3
|
-
|
52
|
||||||||||
Total
|
78
|
3
|
-
|
81
|
(h)
|
|||||||||
Equity
Securities:
|
||||||||||||||
One
to six months
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||||||||||
Seven
to twelve months
|
4
|
-
|
-
|
4
|
||||||||||
More
than twelve months
|
2
|
1
|
-
|
3
|
||||||||||
Total
|
6
|
1
|
-
|
7
|
(h)
|
|||||||||
|
(h)
|
At
September 30, 2009 the number of issues in an unrealized loss position
represent 4.0% as to fixed maturities, and 43.8% as to equity securities
of the total number of such issues held by the
Company.
|
The aging
of issues with unrealized losses employs closing market price comparisons with
an issue’s original cost net of other-than-temporary impairment adjustments. The
percentage reduction from such adjusted cost reflects the decline as of a
specific point in time (September 30, 2009 in the above table) and, accordingly,
is not indicative of a security’s value having been consistently below its cost
at the percentages and throughout the periods shown.
Age
Distribution of Fixed Maturity
Securities
|
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||||
2009
|
2008
|
|||||||
Maturity
Ranges:
|
||||||||
Due
in one year or less
|
9.6
|
%
|
14.0
|
%
|
||||
Due
after one year through five years
|
54.4
|
51.0
|
||||||
Due
after five years through ten years
|
35.6
|
34.7
|
||||||
Due
after ten years through fifteen years
|
.4
|
.3
|
||||||
Due
after fifteen years
|
-
|
-
|
||||||
Total
|
100.0
|
%
|
100.0
|
%
|
||||
Average
Maturity in Years
|
4.4
|
4.4
|
||||||
Duration
(i)
|
3.7
|
3.7
|
||||||
|
(i)
|
Duration
is used as a measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rate changes. A
duration of 3.7 as of September 30, 2009 implies that a 100 basis point
parallel increase in interest rates from current levels would result in a
possible decline in the fair value of the long-term fixed maturity
investment portfolio of approximately
3.7%.
|
22
Composition
of Unrealized Gains (Losses)
|
September
30,
|
December
31,
|
||||||
2009
|
2008
|
||||||
Fixed
Maturity Securities:
|
|||||||
Amortized
cost
|
$
|
7,706.2
|
$
|
7,385.2
|
|||
Estimated
fair value
|
8,177.5
|
7,406.9
|
|||||
Gross
unrealized gains
|
483.8
|
196.8
|
|||||
Gross
unrealized losses
|
(12.5)
|
(175.0)
|
|||||
Net
unrealized gains (losses)
|
$
|
471.2
|
$
|
21.7
|
|||
Equity
Securities:
|
|||||||
Original
cost
|
$
|
729.2
|
$
|
729.2
|
|||
Adjusted
cost
|
373.3
|
373.3
|
|||||
Estimated
fair value
|
473.5
|
350.3
|
|||||
Gross
unrealized gains
|
120.3
|
49.6
|
|||||
Gross
unrealized losses
|
(20.2)
|
(72.7)
|
|||||
Net
unrealized gains (losses)
|
$
|
100.1
|
$
|
(23.0)
|
Other
Assets - Among other major assets, substantially all of the Company’s
receivables are not past due. Reinsurance recoverable balances on paid or
estimated unpaid losses are deemed recoverable from solvent reinsurers or have
otherwise been reduced by allowances for estimated amounts unrecoverable.
Deferred policy acquisition costs are estimated by taking into account the
variable costs of producing specific types of insurance policies, and evaluating
their recoverability on the basis of recent trends in claims costs. The
Company’s deferred policy acquisition cost balances have not fluctuated
substantially from period-to-period and do not represent significant percentages
of assets or shareholders’ equity.
Liquidity - The parent holding company
meets its liquidity and capital needs principally through dividends paid by its
subsidiaries. From time to time additional cash needs are also met by accessing
Old Republic’s commercial paper program and/or the debt and equity capital
markets. The insurance subsidiaries' ability to pay cash dividends to the parent
company is generally restricted by law or subject to approval of the insurance
regulatory authorities of the states in which they are domiciled. The Company
can receive up to $245.7 in dividends from its subsidiaries in 2009 without the
prior approval of regulatory authorities. The liquidity achievable through such
permitted dividend payments is considered adequate to cover the parent holding
company’s currently expected cash outflows represented mostly by interest and
scheduled repayments on outstanding debt, quarterly cash dividend payments to
shareholders, modest operating expenses, and the near-term capital needs of its
operating company subsidiaries. Old Republic can currently access the commercial
paper market for up to $150.0, of which $25.2 was outstanding at September 30,
2009, to meet unanticipated liquidity needs.
Capitalization - Old Republic’s total
capitalization of $4,273.6 at September 30, 2009 consisted of debt of $372.2 and
common shareholders' equity of $3,901.3. Changes in the common shareholders’
equity account reflect primarily operating results for the period then ended,
dividend payments, and changes in market valuations of invested assets. Old
Republic has paid cash dividends to its shareholders without interruption since
1942, and has increased the annual rate in each of the past 27 calendar years.
The dividend rate is reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors on a
quarterly basis during each year. In establishing each year’s cash dividend rate
the Company does not follow a strict formulaic approach. Rather, it favors a
gradual rise in the annual dividend rate that is largely reflective of long-term
consolidated operating earnings trends. Accordingly, each year’s dividend rate
is set judgmentally in consideration of such key factors as the dividend paying
capacity of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, the trends in average annual
statutory and GAAP earnings for the five most recent calendar years, and
management’s long-term expectations for the Company’s consolidated
business.
Under
certain state insurance regulations, the Company’s three mortgage guaranty
insurance subsidiaries are required to operate at a maximum risk to capital
ratio of 25:1. If a company’s risk to capital ratio exceeds the limit, absent
expressed regulatory approval, it may be prohibited from writing new business
until its risk to capital ratio falls below the limit. At September 30, 2009,
the statutory risk to capital ratio was 20.9:1 for the combined subsidiaries.
All of the segment’s mortgage guaranty insurance companies were within the 25:1
requirement. A continuation of operating losses could further reduce statutory
surplus thus increasing the risk to capital ratio which the Company evaluates on
a quarterly basis. Old Republic invested $150.0 of capital in its mortgage
guaranty segment during the fourth quarter of 2008.
During
the second quarter of 2009, additional capital funds of $30.0 and $132.0 were
directed to the title and general insurance segments, respectively, to support
the expected growth of the business.
The
Company has access to various capital resources including dividends from its
subsidiaries, holding company investments, undrawn capacity under its commercial
paper program, and access to debt and equity capital markets. At September 30,
2009, the Company’s consolidated debt to equity ratio was 9.5%. This relatively
low level of financial leverage should provide the Company with additional
borrowing capacity to meet its capital commitments.
23
RESULTS
OF OPERATIONS
|
Revenues: Premiums
& Fees
|
Pursuant
to ASC applicable to the insurance industry, revenues are associated with the
related benefits, claims, and expenses.
Substantially
all general insurance premiums are reflected in income on a pro-rata basis.
Earned but unbilled premiums are generally taken into income on the billing
date, while adjustments for retrospective premiums, commissions and similar
charges or credits are accrued on the basis of periodic evaluations of current
underwriting experience and contractual obligations.
The
Company’s mortgage guaranty premiums primarily stem from monthly installment
policies. Accordingly, substantially all such premiums are generally written and
earned in the month coverage is effective. With respect to annual or single
premium policies, earned premiums are largely recognized on a pro-rata basis
over the terms of the policies.
Title
premium and fee revenues stemming from the Company’s direct operations (which
include branch offices of its title insurers and wholly owned agency
subsidiaries) represent 40.0% of 2009 consolidated title business revenues. Such
premiums are generally recognized as income at the escrow closing date which
approximates the policy effective date. Fee income related to escrow and other
closing services is recognized when the related services have been performed and
completed. The remaining 60.0% of consolidated title premium and fee revenues is
produced by independent title agents and underwritten title companies. Rather
than making estimates that could be subject to significant variance from actual
premium and fee production, the Company recognizes revenues from those sources
upon receipt. Such receipts can reflect a three to four month lag relative to
the effective date of the underlying title policy, and are offset concurrently
by production expenses and claim reserve provisions.
The major
sources of Old Republic’s earned premiums and fees for the periods shown were as
follows:
Earned
Premiums and Fees
|
||||||||||||||||||||
%
Change
|
||||||||||||||||||||
from
prior
|
||||||||||||||||||||
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Other
|
Total
|
period
|
|||||||||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
1,902.1
|
$
|
444.3
|
$
|
980.0
|
$
|
74.1
|
$
|
3,400.5
|
.4
|
%
|
||||||||
2007
|
2,155.1
|
518.2
|
850.7
|
77.0
|
3,601.2
|
5.9
|
||||||||||||||
2008
|
1,989.3
|
592.5
|
656.1
|
80.1
|
3,318.1
|
-7.9
|
||||||||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
1,507.4
|
445.2
|
502.1
|
62.7
|
2,517.5
|
-6.9
|
||||||||||||||
2009
|
1,344.9
|
425.8
|
620.6
|
54.0
|
2,445.4
|
-2.9
|
||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
500.3
|
148.4
|
168.4
|
18.0
|
835.2
|
-9.3
|
||||||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
446.7
|
$
|
138.9
|
$
|
253.3
|
$
|
17.0
|
$
|
856.1
|
2.5
|
%
|
The
percentage allocation of net premiums earned for major insurance coverages in
the General Insurance Group was as follows:
General
Insurance Earned Premiums by Type of Coverage
|
|||||||||||||||||
Commercial
|
Inland
|
||||||||||||||||
Automobile
|
Marine
|
||||||||||||||||
(mostly
|
Workers’
|
Financial
|
and
|
General
|
|||||||||||||
trucking)
|
Compensation
|
Indemnity
|
Property
|
Liability
|
Other
|
||||||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2006
|
39.6
|
%
|
21.7
|
%
|
11.0
|
%
|
10.7
|
%
|
5.1
|
%
|
11.9
|
%
|
|||||
2007
|
35.0
|
23.5
|
13.8
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
10.6
|
|||||||||||
2008
|
34.9
|
21.0
|
16.1
|
9.7
|
7.5
|
10.8
|
|||||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2008
|
34.5
|
21.1
|
16.0
|
9.6
|
7.7
|
11.1
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
35.9
|
22.0
|
13.4
|
9.5
|
8.2
|
11.0
|
|||||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||
2008
|
34.8
|
20.8
|
15.7
|
9.3
|
7.4
|
12.0
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
36.3
|
%
|
22.0
|
%
|
12.6
|
%
|
9.3
|
%
|
8.1
|
%
|
11.7
|
%
|
24
The
following tables provide information on production and related risk exposure
trends for Old Republic’s Mortgage Guaranty Group:
Mortgage
Guaranty Production by Type
|
||||||||||||
Traditional
|
||||||||||||
New Insurance Written:
|
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
17,187.0
|
$
|
13,716.7
|
$
|
583.7
|
$
|
31,487.5
|
||||
2007
|
31,841.7
|
10,800.3
|
901.6
|
43,543.7
|
||||||||
2008
|
20,861.9
|
3.5
|
1,123.5
|
21,989.0
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
18,171.6
|
3.5
|
1,096.2
|
19,271.4
|
||||||||
2009
|
6,778.9
|
-
|
.5
|
6,779.4
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
4,318.6
|
-
|
383.6
|
4,702.2
|
||||||||
2009
|
$
|
1,993.6
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
1,993.6
|
Traditional
|
||||||||||||
New Risk Written by Type:
|
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
4,246.8
|
$
|
1,146.6
|
$
|
12.2
|
$
|
5,405.7
|
||||
2007
|
7,844.5
|
724.5
|
15.2
|
8,584.4
|
||||||||
2008
|
4,815.0
|
.6
|
11.8
|
4,827.5
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
4,213.2
|
.6
|
11.2
|
4,225.2
|
||||||||
2009
|
1,439.4
|
-
|
-
|
1,439.4
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
999.7
|
-
|
4.0
|
1,003.8
|
||||||||
2009
|
$
|
428.1
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
428.1
|
Earned
Premiums
|
Persistency
|
|||||||||||
Premium and Persistency Trends by
Type:
|
Traditional
|
|||||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
Direct
|
Net
|
Primary
|
Bulk
|
||||||||
2006
|
$
|
524.7
|
$
|
444.3
|
73.1
|
%
|
70.5
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
612.7
|
518.2
|
77.6
|
73.7
|
||||||||
2008
|
698.4
|
592.5
|
83.9
|
88.4
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
526.0
|
445.2
|
81.4
|
86.3
|
||||||||
2009
|
413.5
|
425.8
|
83.4
|
%
|
89.3
|
%
|
||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
175.3
|
148.4
|
||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
77.7
|
$
|
138.9
|
While
there is no consensus in the marketplace as to the precise definition of
“sub-prime”, Old Republic generally views loans with credit (FICO) scores less
than 620, loans underwritten with reduced levels of documentation and loans with
loan to value ratios in excess of 95% as having a higher risk of default. Risk
in force concentrations by these attributes are disclosed in the following
tables for both traditional primary and bulk production. Premium rates for loans
exhibiting greater risk attributes are typically higher in anticipation of
potentially greater defaults and claim costs. Additionally, bulk insurance
policies, which represent 8.6% of total net risk in force, are frequently
subject to deductibles and aggregate stop losses which serve to limit the
overall risk on a pool of insured loans. As the decline in the housing markets
has accelerated and mortgage lending standards have tightened, rising defaults
and the attendant increases in reserves and paid claims on higher risk loans
have become more significant drivers of increased claim
costs.
Net
Risk in Force
|
||||||||||||
Traditional
|
||||||||||||
Net Risk in Force By Type:
|
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Other
|
Total
|
||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
14,582.1
|
$
|
2,471.1
|
$
|
578.9
|
$
|
17,632.2
|
||||
2007
|
18,808.5
|
2,539.9
|
511.1
|
21,859.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
20,463.0
|
2,055.0
|
457.0
|
22,975.1
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
20,489.5
|
2,116.8
|
458.8
|
23,065.2
|
||||||||
2009
|
$
|
19,279.6
|
$
|
1,849.1
|
$
|
297.5
|
$
|
21,426.4
|
25
Analysis
of Risk in Force
|
||||||||||||
FICO
|
||||||||||||
FICO
less
|
FICO
620
|
Greater
|
Unscored/
|
|||||||||
Risk in Force Distribution By FICO
Scores:
|
than
620
|
to
680
|
than
680
|
Unavailable
|
||||||||
Traditional Primary:
|
||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
8.5
|
%
|
32.6
|
%
|
54.6
|
%
|
4.3
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
8.5
|
33.6
|
55.1
|
2.8
|
||||||||
2008
|
7.0
|
30.5
|
60.5
|
2.0
|
||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
7.2
|
31.2
|
59.5
|
2.1
|
||||||||
2009
|
6.6
|
%
|
29.1
|
%
|
62.7
|
%
|
1.6
|
%
|
||||
Bulk(a):
|
||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
24.1
|
%
|
35.7
|
%
|
39.8
|
%
|
.4
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
19.4
|
34.9
|
45.4
|
.3
|
||||||||
2008
|
18.2
|
33.7
|
47.9
|
.2
|
||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
18.6
|
33.8
|
47.4
|
.2
|
||||||||
2009
|
17.7
|
%
|
33.2
|
%
|
48.9
|
%
|
.2
|
%
|
LTV
|
||||||||||||
LTV
less
|
LTV
|
LTV
|
Greater
|
|||||||||
Risk in Force Distribution By Loan to Value
(“LTV”) Ratio:
|
than
85
|
85
to 90
|
90
to 95
|
than
95
|
||||||||
Traditional Primary:
|
||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
5.0
|
%
|
37.4
|
%
|
36.0
|
%
|
21.6
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
4.7
|
34.4
|
32.0
|
28.9
|
||||||||
2008
|
5.1
|
35.5
|
31.6
|
27.8
|
||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
5.2
|
35.1
|
31.5
|
28.2
|
||||||||
2009
|
5.3
|
%
|
36.4
|
%
|
31.5
|
%
|
26.8
|
%
|
||||
Bulk(a):
|
||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
63.4
|
%
|
23.1
|
%
|
9.0
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
62.0
|
20.9
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
||||||||
2008
|
63.5
|
20.1
|
8.6
|
7.8
|
||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
63.2
|
20.3
|
8.7
|
7.8
|
||||||||
2009
|
65.5
|
%
|
18.6
|
%
|
7.9
|
%
|
8.0
|
%
|
Risk in Force Distribution By Top Ten States:
|
Traditional
Primary
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
9.0
|
%
|
7.5
|
%
|
5.8
|
%
|
5.4
|
%
|
3.7
|
%
|
3.1
|
%
|
3.1
|
%
|
2.8
|
%
|
4.8
|
%
|
4.0
|
%
|
||||||||||
2007
|
8.9
|
7.7
|
5.3
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
4.5
|
3.8
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
8.3
|
8.1
|
5.2
|
5.2
|
3.2
|
5.5
|
3.1
|
2.9
|
4.4
|
3.8
|
||||||||||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
8.4
|
8.0
|
5.2
|
5.2
|
3.2
|
5.4
|
3.1
|
2.9
|
4.4
|
3.8
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
8.1
|
%
|
8.4
|
%
|
5.2
|
%
|
5.1
|
%
|
3.1
|
%
|
5.6
|
%
|
3.1
|
%
|
2.9
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
3.9
|
%
|
||||||||||
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 46.5% of total bulk risk in-force at
September 30, 2009, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
26
Bulk
(a)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
AZ
|
CO
|
NY
|
||||||||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
9.4
|
%
|
4.8
|
%
|
3.6
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
3.4
|
%
|
17.7
|
%
|
3.2
|
%
|
4.4
|
%
|
2.8
|
%
|
4.6
|
%
|
|||||||||
2007
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
4.2
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
17.5
|
3.4
|
4.2
|
3.0
|
5.5
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
10.0
|
4.6
|
4.0
|
3.9
|
3.1
|
18.2
|
3.4
|
4.3
|
2.9
|
5.4
|
|||||||||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
9.9
|
4.6
|
4.0
|
4.0
|
3.1
|
18.2
|
3.4
|
4.3
|
3.0
|
5.3
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
10.3
|
%
|
4.7
|
%
|
4.0
|
%
|
4.0
|
%
|
3.2
|
%
|
17.8
|
%
|
3.4
|
%
|
4.2
|
%
|
3.0
|
%
|
5.3
|
%
|
Full
|
Reduced
|
|||||
Risk in Force Distribution By Level of
Documentation:
|
Docu-
|
Docu-
|
||||
mentation
|
Mentation
|
|||||
Traditional Primary:
|
||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||
2006
|
89.4
|
%
|
10.6
|
%
|
||
2007
|
88.0
|
12.0
|
||||
2008
|
90.0
|
10.0
|
||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||
2008
|
89.6
|
10.4
|
||||
2009
|
90.8
|
%
|
9.2
|
%
|
||
Bulk (a):
|
||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||
2006
|
51.9
|
%
|
48.1
|
%
|
||
2007
|
49.6
|
50.4
|
||||
2008
|
49.1
|
50.9
|
||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||
2008
|
49.3
|
50.7
|
||||
2009
|
49.5
|
%
|
50.5
|
%
|
Risk in Force Distribution By Loan
Type:
|
Fixed
|
Adjustable
|
|||||
Rate
|
Rate
|
||||||
Traditional Primary:
|
|||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||
2006
|
92.3
|
%
|
7.7
|
%
|
|||
2007
|
94.4
|
5.6
|
|||||
2008
|
95.8
|
4.2
|
|||||
As
of September 30:
|
|||||||
2008
|
95.6
|
4.4
|
|||||
2009
|
96.1
|
%
|
3.9
|
%
|
|||
Bulk (a):
|
|||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||
2006
|
65.7
|
%
|
34.3
|
%
|
|||
2007
|
70.9
|
29.1
|
|||||
2008
|
74.4
|
25.6
|
|||||
As
of September 30:
|
|||||||
2008
|
73.6
|
26.4
|
|||||
2009
|
75.4
|
%
|
24.6
|
%
|
|||
|
(a)
|
Bulk
pool risk in-force, which represented 46.5% of total bulk risk in-force at
September 30, 2009, has been allocated pro-rata based on insurance
in-force.
|
27
The
following table shows the percentage distribution of Title Group premium and fee
revenues by production sources:
Title
Premium and Fee Production by Source
|
||||||
Independent
|
||||||
Title
|
||||||
Direct
|
Agents
&
|
|||||
Operations
|
Other
|
|||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||
2006
|
32.3
|
%
|
67.7
|
%
|
||
2007
|
32.1
|
67.9
|
||||
2008
|
36.8
|
63.2
|
||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||
2008
|
36.4
|
63.6
|
||||
2009
|
40.0
|
60.0
|
||||
Quarters
Ended September
30:
|
||||||
2008
|
37.1
|
62.9
|
||||
2009
|
35.7
|
%
|
64.3
|
%
|
Revenues:
Net Investment Income
|
Net
investment income is affected by trends in interest and dividend yields for the
types of securities in which the Company’s funds are invested during each
reporting period. The following tables reflect the segmented and consolidated
invested asset bases as of the indicated dates, and the investment income earned
and resulting yields on such assets. Since the Company can exercise little
control over fair values, yields are evaluated on the basis of investment income
earned in relation to the cost of the underlying invested assets, though yields
based on the fair values of such assets are also shown in the statistics
below.
Fair
|
Invested
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Invested
Assets at Adjusted Cost
|
Value
|
Assets
at
|
||||||||||||||||||
Corporate
|
Adjust-
|
Fair
|
||||||||||||||||||
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
and
Other
|
Total
|
ment
|
Value
|
||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2007
|
$
|
5,984.9
|
$
|
1,795.8
|
$
|
606.0
|
$
|
252.9
|
$
|
8,639.7
|
$
|
121.4
|
$
|
8,761.2
|
||||||
2008
|
5,618.7
|
2,099.7
|
545.8
|
417.5
|
8,681.8
|
1.0
|
8,682.9
|
|||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
5,645.5
|
1,983.7
|
576.9
|
343.5
|
8,549.4
|
(9.7)
|
8,539.6
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
5,706.0
|
$
|
2,378.0
|
$
|
596.7
|
$
|
427.7
|
$
|
9,108.6
|
$
|
567.9
|
$
|
9,676.5
|
Net
Investment Income
|
Yield
at
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Corporate
|
Original
|
Fair
|
||||||||||||||||||
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
and
Other
|
Total
|
Cost
|
Value
|
||||||||||||||
Years
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
December
31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
221.5
|
$
|
74.3
|
$
|
26.9
|
$
|
18.7
|
$
|
341.6
|
4.52
|
%
|
4.47
|
%
|
||||||
2007
|
260.8
|
79.0
|
27.3
|
12.7
|
379.9
|
4.58
|
4.52
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
253.6
|
86.8
|
25.1
|
11.6
|
377.3
|
4.27
|
4.33
|
|||||||||||||
Nine
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
189.1
|
65.0
|
19.1
|
9.0
|
282.3
|
4.28
|
4.35
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
191.8
|
68.4
|
18.2
|
5.3
|
283.9
|
4.09
|
4.12
|
|||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
61.9
|
22.0
|
6.2
|
3.6
|
93.8
|
4.21
|
4.40
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
64.7
|
$
|
23.8
|
$
|
6.3
|
$
|
1.7
|
$
|
96.7
|
4.11
|
%
|
4.10
|
%
|
Revenues:
Net Realized Gains (Losses)
|
The
Company's investment policies have not been designed to maximize or emphasize
the realization of investment gains. Rather, these policies aim for a stable
source of income from interest and dividends, protection of capital, and the
providing of sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting and other
obligations as they become payable in the future. Dispositions of fixed maturity
securities arise mostly from scheduled maturities and early calls; for the first
nine months of 2009 and 2008, 91.0% and 89.7%, respectively, of all such
dispositions resulted from these occurrences. Dispositions of securities at a
realized gain or loss reflect such factors as ongoing assessments of issuers’
business prospects, rotation among industry sectors, changes in credit quality,
and tax planning considerations. Additionally, the amount of net realized gains
and losses registered in any one accounting period are affected by the
aforementioned
28
assessments
of securities’ values for other-than-temporary impairment. As a result of the
interaction of all these factors and considerations, net realized investment
gains or losses can vary significantly from period-to-period, and in the
Company’s view are not indicative of any particular trend or result in the
basics of its insurance business.
The
following table reflects the composition of net realized gains or losses for the
periods shown. A significant portion of Old Republic’s indexed stock portfolio
was sold at a gain during 2007, with proceeds redirected to a more concentrated,
select list of common stocks expected to provide greater long-term total
returns.
Realized
Gains (Losses) on
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Disposition
of Securities
|
Impairment
Losses on Securities
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Equity
|
Equity
|
|||||||||||||||||||
securities
|
securities
|
Net
|
||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
|
and
miscell-
|
Fixed
|
and
miscell-
|
realized
|
||||||||||||||||
maturity
|
aneous
|
maturity
|
aneous
|
gains
|
||||||||||||||||
securities
|
investments
|
Total
|
securities
|
investments
|
Total
|
(losses)
|
||||||||||||||
Years
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
December
31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
2.0
|
$
|
16.9
|
$
|
19.0
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
19.0
|
||||||
2007
|
2.2
|
68.1
|
70.3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
70.3
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
(25.0)
|
20.9
|
(4.1)
|
(11.5)
|
(470.7)
|
(482.3)
|
(486.4)
|
|||||||||||||
Nine
Months Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
4.0
|
22.0
|
26.0
|
(11.5)
|
(437.3)
|
(448.9)
|
(422.8)
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
1.5
|
(.5)
|
1.0
|
(1.5)
|
-
|
(1.5)
|
(.5)
|
|||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
1.3
|
17.0
|
18.3
|
(11.5)
|
-
|
(11.5)
|
6.7
|
|||||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
.5
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
.6
|
$
|
(1.5)
|
$
|
-
|
$
|
(1.5)
|
$
|
(.9)
|
Expenses:
Benefits and Claims
|
In order
to achieve a necessary matching of premium and fee revenues and expenses, the
Company records the benefits, claims and related settlement costs that have been
incurred during each accounting period. Total claim costs are affected by the
amount of paid claims and the adequacy of reserve estimates established for
current and prior years’ claim occurrences at each balance sheet
date.
The
following table shows a breakdown of gross and net of reinsurance claim reserve
estimates for major types of insurance coverages as of September 30, 2009 and
December 31, 2008:
Claim
and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
|
||||||||||||
September
30, 2009
|
December
31, 2008
|
|||||||||||
Gross
|
Net
|
Gross
|
Net
|
|||||||||
Commercial
automobile (mostly trucking)
|
$
|
1,058.0
|
$
|
863.6
|
$
|
1,035.7
|
$
|
849.8
|
||||
Workers’
compensation
|
2,238.8
|
1,275.1
|
2,241.6
|
1,271.8
|
||||||||
General
liability
|
1,276.5
|
640.9
|
1,209.2
|
612.3
|
||||||||
Other
coverages
|
668.9
|
450.0
|
709.7
|
487.9
|
||||||||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves
|
141.9
|
105.6
|
150.6
|
104.9
|
||||||||
Total
general insurance reserves
|
5,384.3
|
3,335.4
|
5,346.9
|
3,326.9
|
||||||||
Mortgage
guaranty
|
2,111.4
|
1,854.0
|
1,581.7
|
1,380.6
|
||||||||
Title
|
259.7
|
259.7
|
261.2
|
261.2
|
||||||||
Life
and health
|
27.0
|
20.9
|
28.1
|
22.2
|
||||||||
Unallocated
loss adjustment expense reserves -
|
||||||||||||
other
coverages
|
23.9
|
23.9
|
23.2
|
23.2
|
||||||||
Total
claim and loss adjustment expense reserves
|
$
|
7,806.5
|
$
|
5,494.0
|
$
|
7,241.3
|
$
|
5,014.2
|
||||
Asbestosis
and environmental claim reserves included
|
||||||||||||
in
the above general insurance reserves:
|
||||||||||||
Amount
|
$
|
176.4
|
$
|
138.7
|
$
|
172.4
|
$
|
145.0
|
||||
%
of total general insurance reserves
|
3.3%
|
4.2%
|
3.2%
|
4.4%
|
The
Company’s reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses represents the
accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including incurred but not
reported losses and loss adjustment expenses. The establishment of claim
reserves by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries is a reasonably complex and
dynamic process influenced by a large variety of factors as further discussed
below. Consequently, reserves established are a reflection of the opinions of a
large number of persons, of the application and interpretation of historical
precedent and trends, of expectations as to future
29
developments,
and of management’s judgment in interpreting all such factors. At any point in
time the Company is exposed to possibly higher or lower than anticipated claim
costs and the resulting changes in estimates are recorded in operations of the
periods during which they are made. Increases to prior reserve estimates are
often referred to as unfavorable development whereas any changes that decrease
previous estimates of the Company’s ultimate liability are referred to as
favorable development.
Overview
of Loss Reserving Process
The
Company’s reserve setting process reflects the nature of its insurance business
and the decentralized basis upon which it is conducted. Old Republic’s general
insurance operations encompass a
large variety of lines or classes of commercial insurance; it has negligible
exposure to personal lines such as homeowners or private passenger automobile
insurance that exhibit wide diversification of risks, significant frequency of
claim occurrences, and high degrees of statistical credibility. Additionally,
the Company’s insurance subsidiaries do not provide significant amounts of
insurance protection for premises; most of its property insurance exposures
relate to cargo, incidental property, and insureds’ inland marine assets.
Consequently, the wide variety of policies issued and commercial insurance
customers served require that loss reserves be analyzed and established in the
context of the unique or different attributes of each block or class of business
produced by the Company. For example, accident liability claims emanating from
insured trucking companies or from general aviation customers become known
relatively quickly, whereas claims of a general liability nature arising from
the building activities of a construction company may emerge over extended
periods of time. Similarly, claims filed pursuant to errors and omissions or
directors and officers’ (“E&O/D&O”) liability coverages are usually not
prone to immediate evaluation or quantification inasmuch as many such claims may
be litigated over several years and their ultimate costs may be affected by the
vagaries of judged or jury verdicts. Approximately 84% of the general insurance group’s
claim reserves stem from liability insurance coverages for commercial customers
which typically require more extended periods of investigation and at times
protracted litigation before they are finally settled. As a consequence of these
and other factors, Old Republic does not utilize a single, overarching loss
reserving approach.
The
Company prepares periodic analyses of its loss reserve estimates for its
significant insurance coverages. It establishes point estimates for most losses
on an insurance coverage line-by-line basis for individual subsidiaries,
sub-classes, individual accounts, blocks of business or other unique
concentrations of insurance risks such as directors and officers’ liability,
that have similar attributes. Actuarially or otherwise derived ranges of reserve
levels are not utilized as such in setting these reserves. Instead the reported
reserves encompass the Company’s best point estimates at each reporting date and
the overall reserve level at any point in time therefore represents the
compilation of a very large number of reported reserve estimates and the results
of a variety of formula calculations largely driven by statistical analysis of
historical data. Reserve releases or additions are implicitly covered by the
point estimates incorporated in total reserves at each balance sheet date. The
Company does not project future variability or make an explicit provision for
uncertainty when determining its best estimate of loss reserves, although, as
discussed below, over the most recent ten-year period management’s estimates
have developed slightly favorably on an overall basis.
Aggregate
loss reserves consist of liability estimates for claims that have been reported
(“case”) to the Company’s insurance subsidiaries and reserves for claims that
have been incurred but not yet reported (“IBNR”) or whose ultimate costs may not
become fully apparent until a future time. Additionally, the Company establishes
unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves for loss settlement costs that are
not directly related to individual claims. Such reserves are based on prior
years’ cost experience and trends, and are intended to cover the unallocated
costs of claim departments’ administration of case and IBNR claims over time.
Long-term, disability-type workers’ compensation reserves are discounted to
present value based on interest rates that range from 3.5% to 4.0%.
A large
variety of statistical analyses and formula calculations are utilized to provide
for IBNR claim costs as well as additional costs that can arise from such
factors as monetary and social inflation, changes in claims administration
processes, changes in reinsurance ceded and recoverability levels, and expected
trends in claim costs and related ratios. Typically, such formulas take into
account so-called link ratios that represent prior years’ patterns of incurred
or paid loss trends between succeeding years, or past experience relative to
progressions of the number of claims reported over time and ultimate average
costs per claim.
Overall,
reserves pertaining to several hundred large individual commercial insurance
accounts that exhibit sufficient statistical credibility, and at times may be
subject to retrospective premium rating plans or the utilization of varying
levels or types of self-insured retentions through captive insurers and similar
risk management mechanisms are established on an account by account basis using
case reserves and applicable formula-driven methods. Large account reserves are
usually set and analyzed for groups of coverages such as workers’ compensation,
commercial auto and general liability that are typically underwritten jointly
for many customers. For certain so-called long-tail categories of insurance such
as retained or assumed excess liability or excess workers’ compensation,
officers and directors’ liability, and commercial umbrella liability relative to
which claim development patterns are particularly long, more volatile, and
immature in their early stages of development, the Company judgmentally
establishes the most current accident years’ loss reserves on the basis of
expected loss ratios. Such expected loss ratios typically reflect currently
estimated loss ratios from prior accident years, adjusted for the effect of
actual and anticipated rate changes, actual and anticipated changes in coverage,
reinsurance, mix of business, and other anticipated changes in external factors
such as trends in loss costs or the legal and claims environment. Expected loss
ratios are generally used for the two to three most recent accident years
depending on the individual class or category of business. As actual claims data
emerges in succeeding interim
30
and
annual periods, the original accident year loss ratio assumptions are validated
or otherwise adjusted sequentially through the application of statistical
projection techniques such as the Bornhuetter/Ferguson method which utilizes
data from the more mature experience of prior years to arrive at a likely
indication of more recent years’ loss trends and costs.
Mortgage
guaranty insurance reserves for unpaid
claims and claim adjustment expenses are established only upon an instance of
default, defined as an insured mortgage loan that has missed 2 or more
consecutive monthly payments. Loss reserves are based on statistical
calculations that take into account the number of reported insured mortgage loan
defaults as of each balance sheet date, as well as experience-based estimates of
loan defaults that have occurred but have not as yet been reported (“IBNR”).
Further, the loss reserve estimating process takes into account a large number
of variables including trends in claim severity, potential salvage recoveries,
expected cure rates for reported loan delinquencies at various stages of
default, the level of policy rescissions for non-compliance with terms of the
master policy, and management judgments relative to future employment levels,
housing market activity, and mortgage loan interest costs, demand, and
extensions. Mortgage guaranty net claim and loss adjustment expense reserves
reported as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 included $106.1 and
$67.3 attributable to net IBNR claim estimates at each corresponding balance
sheet date.
Title
insurance and related escrow
services loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established as point
estimates to cover the projected settlement costs of known as well as IBNR
losses related to premium and escrow service revenues of each reporting period.
Reserves for known claims are based on an assessment of the facts available to
the Company during the settlement process. The point estimates covering all
claim reserves take into account IBNR claims based on past experience and
evaluations of such variables as changing trends in the types of policies
issued, changes in real estate markets and interest rate environments, and
changing levels of loan refinancing, all of which can have a bearing on the
emergence, number, and ultimate costs of claims.
Incurred
Loss Experience
Management
is of the opinion that the Company’s overall reserving practices have been
consistently applied over many years. For at least the past ten years,
previously established aggregate reserves have produced reasonable estimates of
the cumulative ultimate net costs of claims incurred. However, there are no
guarantees that such outcomes will continue, and accordingly, no representation
is made that ultimate net claim and related costs will not develop in future
years to be greater or lower than currently established reserve estimates. In
management’s opinion, however, such potential development is not likely to have
a material effect on the Company’s consolidated financial position, although it
could affect materially its consolidated results of operations for any one
annual or interim reporting period. See further discussion in the Company’s 2008
Annual Report on Form 10-K under Item 1A - Risk Factors.
The percentage of net claims,
benefits and related settlement expenses incurred as a percentage of premiums
and related fee revenues of the Company’s three major operating segments and for
its consolidated results were as follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
65.9
|
%
|
42.8
|
%
|
5.9
|
%
|
45.3
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
67.8
|
118.8
|
6.6
|
60.2
|
||||||||
2008
|
73.0
|
199.3
|
7.0
|
81.8
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
72.8
|
192.3
|
7.0
|
80.1
|
||||||||
2009
|
76.1
|
203.8
|
7.6
|
80.3
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
72.5
|
203.1
|
7.0
|
81.8
|
||||||||
2009
|
77.5
|
%
|
214.0
|
%
|
8.3
|
%
|
78.4
|
%
|
31
The
percentage of net claims, benefits and related settlement expenses measured
against premiums earned by major types of general
insurance coverage were as follows:
General
Insurance Claims Ratios by Type of Coverage
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial
|
Inland
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Automobile
|
Marine
|
||||||||||||||||||||
All
|
(mostly
|
Workers’
|
Financial
|
and
|
General
|
||||||||||||||||
Coverages
|
trucking)
|
Compensation
|
Indemnity
|
Property
|
Liability
|
Other
|
|||||||||||||||
Years
Ended
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
December
31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
65.9
|
%
|
75.4
|
%
|
74.5
|
%
|
40.6
|
%
|
55.0
|
%
|
57.5
|
%
|
55.6
|
%
|
|||||||
2007
|
67.8
|
74.0
|
70.9
|
69.6
|
54.9
|
59.9
|
55.9
|
||||||||||||||
2008
|
73.0
|
76.1
|
69.4
|
95.0
|
60.5
|
64.4
|
53.9
|
||||||||||||||
Nine
Months Ended
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
72.8
|
74.8
|
67.4
|
98.9
|
62.3
|
61.1
|
53.7
|
||||||||||||||
2009
|
76.1
|
72.1
|
71.5
|
119.0
|
64.0
|
65.7
|
60.0
|
||||||||||||||
Quarters
Ended
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
September
30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
72.5
|
77.3
|
63.8
|
92.5
|
72.8
|
53.4
|
52.6
|
||||||||||||||
2009
|
77.5
|
%
|
72.2
|
%
|
68.5
|
%
|
116.7
|
%
|
70.0
|
%
|
76.5
|
%
|
63.6
|
%
|
The
overall general insurance claims ratio reflects reasonably consistent trends for
the past three years. To a large extent this major cost factor reflects pricing
and risk selection improvements that have been applied since 2001, together with
elements of reduced loss severity and frequency. The higher claim ratio for
financial indemnity coverages in 2008, 2007, and in the first nine months 2009
was driven principally by greater claim frequencies experienced in Old
Republic’s consumer credit indemnity coverage. During the three most recent
calendar years, the general
insurance group experienced favorable development of prior year loss
reserves primarily due to the commercial automobile and the E&O/D&O
(financial indemnity) lines of business; these were partially offset by
unfavorable development in excess workers’ compensation coverages and for
ongoing development of asbestos and environmental (“A&E”) exposures (general
liability). Unfavorable developments attributable to A&E claim reserves are
due to periodic re-evaluations of such reserves as well as subsequent
reclassifications of other coverages’ reserves, typically workers’ compensation,
deemed assignable to A&E types of losses.
Except
for a small portion that emanates from ongoing primary insurance operations, a
large majority of the A&E claim reserves posted by Old Republic stem mainly
from its participations in assumed reinsurance treaties and insurance pools
which were discontinued fifteen or more years ago and have since been in run-off
status. With respect to the primary portion of gross A&E reserves, Old
Republic administers the related claims through its claims personnel as well as
outside attorneys, and posted reserves reflect its best estimates of ultimate
claim costs. Claims administration for the assumed portion of the Company’s
A&E exposures is handled by the claims departments of unrelated primary or
ceding reinsurance companies. While the Company performs periodic reviews of
certain claim files managed by third parties, the overall A&E reserves it
establishes respond to the paid claim and case reserve activity reported to the
Company as well as available industry statistical data such as so-called
survival ratios. Such ratios represent the number of years’ average paid losses
for the three or five most recent calendar years that are encompassed by an
insurer’s A&E reserve level at any point in time. According to this
simplistic appraisal of an insurer’s A&E loss reserve level, Old Republic’s
average five year survival ratios stood at 8.4 years (gross) and 11.5 years (net
of reinsurance) as of September 30, 2009 and 7.3 years (gross) and 9.9 years
(net of reinsurance) as of December 31, 2008. Fluctuations in this ratio between
years can be caused by the inconsistent pay out patterns associated with these
types of claims. Incurred net losses for A&E claims have averaged 2.4% of
general
insurance group net incurred losses for the five years ended December 31,
2008.
The mortgage
guaranty claims ratios have continued to rise in recent periods,
principally as a result of higher reserve provisions and paid losses. Reserve
additions have been increasing as a result of higher levels of reported
delinquencies as well as increased expectations as to claim frequencies and
severities. Claim severity has trended upward primarily due to loans with larger
unpaid principal balances and corresponding risk becoming delinquent along with
a lower level of mitigation potential due to housing depreciation trends.
Expectations of greater claim frequency are impacted by several factors,
including the number of loans entering into default, the level of rescission
activity, the outlook for the housing market, tightening lending standards which
affect borrowers’ ability to refinance troubled loans, the aging of the bulk
business, and the overall declining state of the economy.
32
Average
mortgage
guaranty paid claims, and certain delinquency ratio data as of the end of
the periods shown are listed below:
Average
Paid Claim
|
|||||||||||||
Amount
(a)
|
Delinquency
Ratio
|
||||||||||||
Traditional
|
Traditional
|
||||||||||||
Primary
|
Bulk
|
Primary
|
Bulk
|
||||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
|||||||||||||
2006
|
$
|
25,989
|
$
|
21,846
|
4.41
|
%
|
3.29
|
%
|
|||||
2007
|
32,214
|
34,951
|
5.47
|
6.85
|
|||||||||
2008
|
43,532
|
56,481
|
10.34
|
17.17
|
|||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
41,401
|
56,047
|
8.36
|
13.80
|
|||||||||
2009
|
48,389
|
60,804
|
15.04
|
%
|
27.57
|
%
|
|||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
|||||||||||||
2008
|
44,649
|
61,023
|
|||||||||||
2009
|
$
|
45,919
|
$
|
59,640
|
|||||||||
|
(a)
|
Amounts
are in whole dollars.
|
Traditional
Primary Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States (b):
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
VA
|
NC
|
PA
|
||||||||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
2.7
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
6.1
|
%
|
4.5
|
%
|
7.8
|
%
|
2.9
|
%
|
4.1
|
%
|
2.6
|
%
|
4.6
|
%
|
4.8
|
%
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.7
|
4.5
|
7.2
|
5.4
|
8.1
|
6.7
|
5.4
|
4.1
|
4.8
|
5.2
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
21.9
|
7.1
|
11.1
|
10.8
|
11.0
|
19.8
|
11.4
|
8.1
|
7.6
|
7.7
|
|||||||||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
17.1
|
5.7
|
9.2
|
8.5
|
9.5
|
15.9
|
9.1
|
6.5
|
6.0
|
6.6
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
31.2
|
%
|
9.2
|
%
|
16.2
|
%
|
17.1
|
%
|
14.7
|
%
|
28.5
|
%
|
18.9
|
%
|
12.5
|
%
|
10.8
|
%
|
10.6
|
%
|
Bulk
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States (b):
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
NY
|
CO
|
AZ
|
||||||||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
1.6
|
%
|
4.0
|
%
|
4.4
|
%
|
4.2
|
%
|
9.3
|
%
|
1.6
|
%
|
3.5
|
%
|
4.4
|
%
|
3.3
|
%
|
1.0
|
%
|
|||||||||
2007
|
7.8
|
5.4
|
7.3
|
8.6
|
10.6
|
7.0
|
6.6
|
6.6
|
5.8
|
5.1
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
27.0
|
10.2
|
16.3
|
19.1
|
17.1
|
22.4
|
16.0
|
13.8
|
9.8
|
18.2
|
|||||||||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
21.4
|
8.0
|
13.3
|
15.7
|
15.0
|
17.6
|
12.9
|
11.5
|
8.0
|
13.9
|
|||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
42.5
|
%
|
14.5
|
%
|
23.6
|
%
|
31.3
|
%
|
21.1
|
%
|
37.5
|
%
|
30.0
|
%
|
23.7
|
%
|
15.2
|
%
|
34.0
|
%
|
Total
Delinquency Ratios for Top Ten States (includes “other” business)
(b):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FL
|
TX
|
GA
|
IL
|
OH
|
CA
|
NJ
|
NY
|
NC
|
PA
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
As
of December 31:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006
|
2.0
|
%
|
4.1
|
%
|
5.2
|
%
|
3.1
|
%
|
7.3
|
%
|
1.4
|
%
|
3.6
|
%
|
4.0
|
%
|
3.3
|
%
|
4.3
|
%
|
||||||||||
2007
|
6.9
|
4.5
|
6.7
|
5.0
|
8.0
|
5.5
|
5.5
|
5.4
|
4.1
|
5.1
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
21.3
|
7.2
|
11.2
|
10.2
|
11.4
|
17.2
|
12.1
|
10.8
|
6.8
|
8.1
|
||||||||||||||||||||
As
of September 30:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008
|
16.7
|
5.8
|
9.3
|
8.2
|
9.8
|
13.6
|
9.7
|
8.8
|
5.4
|
6.9
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
33.3
|
%
|
9.7
|
%
|
16.6
|
%
|
17.8
|
%
|
15.4
|
%
|
30.9
|
%
|
21.6
|
%
|
17.8
|
%
|
10.0
|
%
|
11.7
|
%
|
||||||||||
|
(b)
|
As
determined by risk in force as of September 30, 2009, these 10 states
represent approximately 50.0%, 59.9%, and 50.4%, of traditional primary,
bulk, and total risk in force,
respectively.
|
The title
insurance loss ratios remain in the single digits due to a continuation
of favorable trends in claims frequency and severity for business underwritten
since 1992 in particular. Though still reasonably contained, the increases in
claim ratios for the first nine months of 2009 and the years 2008 and 2007 are
reflective of the continuing downturn in the housing and related mortgage
lending industries.
Reinsurance
Programs
To
maintain premium production within its capacity and limit maximum losses and
risks for which it might become liable under its policies, Old Republic may cede
a portion or all of its premiums and liabilities on certain classes of
insurance, individual policies, or blocks of business to other insurers and
reinsurers. Further discussion of the Company’s reinsurance programs can be
found in Part 1 of the Company’s 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
33
Expenses:
Underwriting Acquisition and Other
Expenses
|
The
following table sets forth the expense ratios registered by each major business
segment and in consolidation for the periods shown:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
24.4
|
%
|
22.5
|
%
|
93.6
|
%
|
44.7
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
24.1
|
17.7
|
98.1
|
41.3
|
||||||||
2008
|
24.2
|
15.7
|
103.6
|
39.1
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
24.2
|
15.8
|
102.0
|
39.0
|
||||||||
2009
|
26.0
|
15.1
|
94.4
|
42.2
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
23.8
|
14.8
|
102.2
|
38.8
|
||||||||
2009
|
25.8
|
%
|
17.3
|
%
|
91.1
|
%
|
44.4
|
%
|
Variations
in the Company’s consolidated expense ratios reflect a continually changing
mix of coverages sold and attendant costs of producing business in the Company’s
three largest business segments. To a significant degree, expense ratios for
both the general and title insurance segments are mostly reflective of variable
costs, such as commissions or similar charges, that rise or decline along with
corresponding changes in premium and fee income, as well as changes in general
operating expenses which can contract or expand in differing proportions due to
varying levels of operating efficiencies and expense management opportunities in
the face of changing market conditions.
Expenses:
Total
|
The
composite ratios of the above summarized net claims, benefits and underwriting
expenses that reflect the sum total of all the factors enumerated above have
been as follows:
General
|
Mortgage
|
Title
|
Consolidated
|
|||||||||
Years
Ended December 31:
|
||||||||||||
2006
|
90.3
|
%
|
65.3
|
%
|
99.5
|
%
|
90.0
|
%
|
||||
2007
|
91.9
|
136.5
|
104.7
|
101.5
|
||||||||
2008
|
97.2
|
215.0
|
110.6
|
120.9
|
||||||||
Nine
Months Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
97.0
|
208.1
|
109.0
|
119.1
|
||||||||
2009
|
102.1
|
218.9
|
102.0
|
122.5
|
||||||||
Quarters
Ended September 30:
|
||||||||||||
2008
|
96.3
|
217.9
|
109.2
|
120.6
|
||||||||
2009
|
103.3
|
%
|
231.3
|
%
|
99.4
|
%
|
122.8
|
%
|
Expenses:
Income Taxes
|
The
effective consolidated income tax rates (credits) were (58.6)% and (60.0)% in
the third quarter and first nine months of 2009, compared to (34.6%) and (31.6%)
in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008. The rates for each year
reflect primarily the varying proportions of pretax operating income (loss)
derived from partially tax sheltered investment income (principally state and
municipal tax-exempt interest), the combination of fully taxable investment
income, realized investment gains or losses, and underwriting and service
income, and judgments about the recoverability of deferred tax
assets.
OTHER
INFORMATION
|
Reference
is here made to “Information About Segments of Business” appearing elsewhere
herein.
Historical
data pertaining to the operating results, liquidity, and other performance
indicators applicable to an insurance enterprise such as Old Republic are not
necessarily indicative of results to be achieved in succeeding years. In
addition to the factors cited below, the long term nature of the insurance
business, seasonal and annual patterns in premium production and incidence of
claims, changes in yields obtained on invested assets, changes in government
policies and free markets affecting inflation rates and general economic
conditions, and changes in legal precedents or the application of law affecting
the settlement of disputed and other claims can have a bearing on
period-to-period comparisons and future operating results.
Some of
the oral or written statements made in the Company’s reports, press releases,
and conference calls following earnings releases, can constitute
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Of necessity, any such forward-looking statements
involve assumptions, uncertainties,
34
and risks
that may affect the Company’s future performance. With regard to Old Republic’s
General Insurance segment, its results can be affected, in particular, by the
level of market competition, which is typically a function of available capital
and expected returns on such capital among competitors, the levels of interest
and inflation rates, and periodic changes in claim frequency and severity
patterns caused by natural disasters, weather conditions, accidents, illnesses,
work-related injuries, and unanticipated external events. Mortgage Guaranty and
Title Insurance results can be affected by similar factors and by changes in
national and regional housing demand and values, the availability and cost of
mortgage loans, employment trends, and default rates on mortgage loans. Mortgage
Guaranty results, in particular, may also be affected by various risk-sharing
arrangements with business producers as well as the risk management and pricing
policies of government sponsored enterprises. Life and health insurance earnings
can be affected by the levels of employment and consumer spending, variations in
mortality and health trends, and changes in policy lapsation rates. At the
parent holding company level, operating earnings or losses are generally
reflective of the amount of debt outstanding and its cost, interest income on
temporary holdings of short-term investments, and period-to-period variations in
the costs of administering the Company’s widespread operations.
A more
detailed listing and discussion of the risks and other factors which affect the
Company’s risk-taking insurance business are included in Part I, Item 1A – Risk
Factors, of the Company’s 2008 Annual Report to the Securities and Exchange
Commission, which Item is specifically incorporated herein by
reference.
Any
forward-looking statements or commentaries speak only as of their dates. Old
Republic undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any and all such
comments, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
and accordingly they may not be unduly relied upon.
35
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
|
Item
3 - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk
Market
risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the fair value
of financial instruments as a result of changes in interest rates, equity
prices, foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. Old Republic’s primary
market risks consist of interest rate risk associated with investments in fixed
maturities and equity price risk associated with investments in equity
securities. The Company has no material foreign exchange or commodity
risk.
Old
Republic’s market risk exposures at September 30, 2009, have not materially
changed from those identified in the Company’s 2008 Annual Report on Form
10-K.
Item
4 - Controls and Procedures
Evaluation
of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
The
Company’s principal executive officer and its principal financial officer have
evaluated the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the
period covered by this quarterly report. Based upon their evaluation, the
principal executive officer and principal financial officer have concluded that
the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e)
and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) are effective for the
above referenced evaluation period.
Changes
in Internal Control
During
the three month period ended September 30, 2009, there were no changes in
internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over
financial reporting.
Management’s
Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
The
Company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting
and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance
with generally accepted accounting principles. The Company’s internal control
over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain
to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly
reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the Company; (ii)
provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to
permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the Company are
being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of
the Company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or
timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of the
Company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial
statements.
Because
of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not
prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of
effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance
with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
36
OLD
REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
|
FORM
10-Q
|
PART
II – OTHER INFORMATION
|
Item 1 – Legal
Proceedings
The
information contained in Note 6 “Commitments and Contingent Liabilities” of the
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements filed as Part 1 of this Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 1A – Risk
Factors
There
have been no material changes with respect to the risk factors disclosed in the
Company’s 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 6 –
Exhibits
(a)
Exhibits
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
37
|
SIGNATURE
|
Pursuant
to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has
duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto
duly authorized.
Old
Republic International Corporation
|
|||
(Registrant)
|
|||
Date:
|
November
6, 2009
|
||
/s/ Karl W. Mueller
|
|||
Karl
W. Mueller
Senior
Vice President,
Chief
Financial Officer, and
Principal
Accounting Officer
|
38
EXHIBIT
INDEX
Exhibit
|
||
No.
|
Description
|
|
31.1
|
Certification
by Aldo C. Zucaro, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) and
15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
|
|
31.2
|
Certification
by Karl W. Mueller, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
and 15d-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
|
|
39